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Finance Club IIM Ranchi Workshop for 2014-16 Batch [email protected] https://www.facebook.com/FinClub.IIMRanchi

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Page 1: Finance Club Session 3

Finance ClubIIM Ranchi

Workshop for 2014-16 Batch

[email protected]://www.facebook.com/FinClub.IIMRanchi

Page 2: Finance Club Session 3

Financial Ratio Analysis is a study of relationship among various factors in a business

It can be used as a preliminary screening tool for the assessment of a stock or future financial condition and hence result for a company

Most importantly these ratios are used from the perspectives of credit rating agency(debt instruments) , equity research firm(equity growth) and shareholders or investors(financial health) and Managers

Financial Ratios

Page 3: Finance Club Session 3

Types of Financial Ratios

Liquidity Measurement

Profitability Indicators Financial Leverage Operating Performance Investment Valuation

Current Ratio Profit Margin Analysis Debt Ratio Fixed Assets Turnover Price/Earnings Ratio

Quick Ratio Return on Assets Debt-Equity Ratio Sales/ Revenue Price/Earnings to Growth ratio

Return on Equity Capitalization Ratio Average Collection Period Dividend Yield

Return on Capital Employed

Interest Coverage Ratio Inventory Turnover Dividend Payout Ratio

Total assets Turnover

Page 4: Finance Club Session 3

Liquidity refers to the ability of a firm to meet its short-term financial obligations when and as they fall due.

The main concern of liquidity ratio is to measure the ability of the firms to meet their short-term maturing obligations.

The greater the coverage of liquid assets to short-term liabilities the better as it is a clear signal that a company can pay its debts that are coming due in the near future and still fund its ongoing operations.

Liquidity Ratios

Page 5: Finance Club Session 3

• Formula – Current Assets / Current Liabilities– Current assets includes cash, marketable securities, accounts receivable and

inventories. – Current liabilities includes accounts payable, short term notes payable, short-term

loans, current maturities of long term debt, accrued income taxes and other accrued expenses

• Meaning – The number of times that the short term assets can cover the short term debts. In

other words, it indicates an ability to meet the short term obligations as & when they fall due

• Analysis – Higher the ratio, the better it is, however but too high ratio reflects an in-efficient use

of resources & too low ratio leads to insolvency. The ideal ratio is considered to be 2:1.,

Current Ratio

Page 6: Finance Club Session 3

• Formula– (Cash + Cash Equivalents + Short Term Investments + Accounts

Receivables) / Current Liabilities

• Meaning – Indicates the ability to meet short term payments using the most liquid

assets. This ratio is more conservative than the current ratio because it excludes inventory and other current assets, which are more difficult to turn into cash

• Analysis– The ideal ratio is 1:1. Another beneficial use is to compare the quick ratio with

the current ratio. If the current ratio is significantly higher, it is a clear indication that the company's current assets are dependent on inventory.

Quick Ratio

Page 7: Finance Club Session 3

• Profitability is the ability of a business to earn profit over a period of time

• The profitability ratios show the combined effects of liquidity, asset management (activity) and debt management (gearing/leverage) on operating results.

• The overall measure of success of a business is the profitability which results from the effective use of its resources.

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Profitability Ratios

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• Gross profit margin• Operating profit margin• Net profit margin

Margins

• Return on assets• Return on equity

Returns

Profitability Ratios

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• Formula– (Gross Profit/Net Sales)*100

• Meaning– A company's cost of goods sold represents the expense related to

labor, raw materials and manufacturing overhead involved in its production process. This expense is deducted from the company's net sales/revenue, which results in a company's gross profit. The gross profit margin is used to analyze how efficiently a company is using its raw materials, labor and manufacturing-related fixed assets to generate profits.

• Analysis– Higher the ratio, the higher is the profit earned on sales

Gross Profit Margin

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• Formula– (Operating Profit/Net Sales)*100

• Meaning– By subtracting selling, general and administrative expenses from

a company's gross profit number, we get operating income. Management has much more control over operating expenses than its cost of sales outlays. It Measures the relative impact of operating expenses

• Analysis – Lower the ratio, higher the expense related to the sales

Operating Profit Margin

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• Formula– (Net Profit/Net Sales)*100

• Meaning– This ratio measures the ultimate profitability

• Analysis– Higher the ratio, the more profitable are the sales.

Net Profit Margin

Page 12: Finance Club Session 3

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• Formula– Net Income / Total Assets

• Meaning– This ratio illustrates how well management is employing

the company's total assets to make a profit

• Analysis – Higher the return, the more efficient management is in

utilizing its asset base

Return on Assets(ROA)

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• Formula– Net Income / Shareholders Equity

• Meaning– It measures how much the shareholders earned for their

investment in the company

• Analysis – Higher percentage indicates the management is in utilizing

its equity base and the better return is to investors

Return on Equity(ROE)

Page 14: Finance Club Session 3

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• Formula– EBIT / Capital Employed– Capital Employed = Long term Liabilities + Shareholders Equity

• Meaning– This ratio complements the return on equity ratio by adding a company's debt

liabilities, or funded debt, to equity to reflect a company's total "capital employed". This measure narrows the focus to gain a better understanding of a company's ability to generate returns from its available capital base.

• Analysis – It is a more comprehensive profitability indicator because it gauges

management's ability to generate earnings from a company's total pool of capital

Return on Capital Employed(ROCE)

Page 15: Finance Club Session 3

These ratios indicate the degree to which the activities of a firm are supported by creditors’ funds as opposed to owners as the relationship of owner’s equity to borrowed funds is an important indicator of financial strength.

The debt requires fixed interest payments and repayment of the loan and legal action can be taken if any amounts due are not paid at the appointed time.

A relatively high proportion of funds contributed by the owners indicates a cushion (surplus) which shields creditors against possible losses from default in payment.

Financial leverage will be to the advantage of the ordinary shareholders as long as the rate of earnings on capital employed is greater than the rate payable on borrowed funds.

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Financial Leverage Ratios

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• Formula– Total Liabilities / Total Equity– Sometimes only interest-bearing, long-term debt is used instead of total

liabilities in the calculation

• Meaning– This ratio measures how much suppliers, lenders, creditors and obligors have

committed to the company versus what the shareholders have committed. This ratio indicates the extent to which debt is covered by shareholders’ funds.

• Analysis – A lower ratio is always safer, however too low ratio reflects an in-efficient use of

equity. Too high ratio reflects either there is a debt to a great extent or the equity base is too small

Debt – Equity Ratio

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• Formula– Total Debt / Total Assets

• Meaning– This compares a company's total debt to its total assets, which is used to gain a

general idea as to the amount of leverage being used by a company. This is the measure of financial strength that reflects the proportion of capital which has been funded by debt, including preference shares

• Analysis – With higher debt ratio (low equity ratio), a very small cushion has developed thus

not giving creditors the security they require. The company would therefore find it relatively difficult to raise additional financial support from external sources if it wished to take that route. The higher the debt ratio the more difficult it becomes for the firm to raise debt

Debt Ratio

Page 18: Finance Club Session 3

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• Formula– Long Term Debt / (Long Term Debt + Shareholder’s Equity)

• Meaning– This ratio measures the debt component of a company's capital structure, or

capitalization (i.e., the sum of long-term debt liabilities and shareholders' equity) to support a company's operations and growth

• Analysis – A low level of debt and a healthy proportion of equity in a company's capital structure

is an indication of financial fitness– A company too highly leveraged (too much debt) may find its freedom of action

restricted by its creditors and/or have its profitability hurt by high interest costs. – This ratio is one of the more meaningful debt ratios because it focuses on the

relationship of debt liabilities as a component of a company's total capital base, which is the capital raised by shareholders and lenders

Capitalization Ratio

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• Formula– EBIT / Interest Expense

• Meaning– This ratio measures the number of times a company can meet its

interest expense

• Analysis – The lower the ratio, the more the company is burdened by debt

expense. When a company's interest coverage ratio is only 1.5 or lower, its ability to meet interest expenses may be questionable

Interest Coverage Ratio

Page 20: Finance Club Session 3

• These ratios look at how well a company turns its assets into revenue as well as how efficiently a company converts its sales into cash, i.e. how efficiently & effectively a company is using its resources to generate sales and increase shareholder value.

• The better these ratios, the better it is for shareholders.

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Operating Performance Ratios

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• Formula– Sales / Net Fixed Assets

• Meaning– This ratio is a rough measure of the productivity of a

company's fixed assets with respect to generating sales

• Analysis – High fixed assets turnovers are preferred since they indicate

a better efficiency in fixed assets utilization.

Fixed Assets Turnover

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• Formula– Sales / Average Inventory – “Investopedia”– Also calculated as COGS/Average Inventory

• Meaning– It measures the stock in relation to turnover in order to determine how

often the stock turns over in the business.It indicates the efficiency of the firm in selling its product.

• Analysis – High ratio indicates that there is a little chance of the firm holding

damaged or obsolete stock.

Inventory Turnover

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• Formula– (Accounts Receivable / Annual Credit Sales)*365 days

• Meaning– DSO measures the quality of debtors since it indicates the speed of their

collection

• Analysis – The shorter the DSO, the better the quality of debtors, as a short collection period

implies the prompt payment by debtors. An excessively long collection period implies a very liberal and inefficient credit and collection performance. The delay in collection of cash impairs the firm’s liquidity. On the other hand, too low a collection period is not necessarily favorable, rather it may indicate a very restrictive credit and collection policy which may curtail sales and hence adversely affect profit.

Days Sales Outstanding(DSO)

Page 24: Finance Club Session 3

• These ratios can be used by investors to estimate the attractiveness of a potential or existing investment and get an idea of its valuation.

• The most important class of ratios for an external investor evaluating a stock or a company

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Investment Valuation Ratios

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• Formula– Market Price per Share / Earnings Per Share

• Meaning– This ratio measures how many times a stock is trading (its price) per each rupee of EPS

• Analysis – A stock with high P/E ratio suggests that investors are expecting higher earnings growth

in the future compared to the overall market, as investors are paying more for today's earnings in anticipation of future earnings growth. Hence, stocks with this characteristic are considered to be growth stocks

– Conversely, a stock with a low P/E ratio suggests that investors have more modest expectations for its future growth compared to the market as a whole

– However, a stock trading at higher P/E than the average P/E of the industry may also suggest that the stock is overpriced and is due for a correction

– Most be looked in tandem with other investment valuation ratios

Price to Earning Ratio ( P/E Ratio)

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• Formula– Market Price per Share / Book Value of Equity per share

• Meaning– A ratio used to compare a stock's market value to its book value. It is calculated by

dividing the current closing price of the stock by the latest quarter's book value per share

• Analysis – A lower P/B ratio could mean that the stock is undervalued. However, it could also mean

that something is fundamentally wrong with the company. As with most ratios, be aware that this varies by industry

– This ratio also gives some idea of whether you're paying too much for what would be left if the company went bankrupt immediately

Price to Book Value Ratio ( P/B Ratio )

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• Formula– Market Price per Share / Revenue per share

• Meaning– A ratio for valuing a stock relative to its own past performance, other companies or the

market itself. Price to sales is calculated by dividing a stock's current price by its revenue per share for the trailing 12 months:

• Analysis – The price-to-sales ratio can vary substantially across industries; therefore, it's useful

mainly when comparing similar companies. Because it doesn't take any expenses or debt into account, the ratio is somewhat limited in the story it tells.

Price to Sales Ratio ( P/S Ratio )

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• Formula– ( P/E Ratio ) / Earnings Growth

• Meaning– The price/earnings to growth ratio, commonly referred to as the PEG ratio, is obviously closely

related to the P/E ratio. The PEG ratio is a refinement of the P/E ratio and factors in a stock's estimated earnings growth into its current valuation. By comparing a stock's P/E ratio with its projected, or estimated, earnings per share (EPS) growth, investors are given insight into the degree of overpricing or under pricing of a stock's current valuation, as indicated by the traditional P/E ratio

• Analysis – The general consensus is that if the PEG ratio indicates a value of 1, this means that the

market is correctly valuing (the current P/E ratio) a stock in accordance with the stock's current estimated earnings per share growth. If the PEG ratio is less than 1, this means that EPS growth is potentially able to surpass the market's current valuation. In other words, the stock's price is being undervalued. On the other hand, stocks with high PEG ratios can indicate just the opposite - that the stock is currently overvalued.

Price Earnings to Growth Ratio(PEG)

Page 29: Finance Club Session 3

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• Formula– ( Annual Dividend per Share / Market Price per Share )

• Meaning– This ratio allows investors to compare the latest dividend they

received with the current market value of the share as an indictor of the return they are earning on their shares

• Analysis – This enables an investor to compare ratios for different companies and

industries. Higher the ratio, the higher is the return to the investor

Dividend Yield Ratio

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• Formula– (Dividend per Share / Earnings per Share )

• Meaning– This ratio identifies the percentage of earnings (net income)

per common share allocated to paying cash dividends to shareholders. The dividend payout ratio is an indicator of how well earnings support the dividend payment.

Dividend Payout Ratio

Page 31: Finance Club Session 3

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• Formula– Enterprise Value/EBITDA

• Meaning– A ratio used to determine the value of a company. The enterprise multiple looks at a firm as a

potential acquirer would, because it takes debt into account - an item which other multiples like the P/E ratio do not include

• Analysis – It's useful for transnational comparisons because it ignores the distorting effects of individual

countries' taxation policies.– It's used to find attractive takeover candidates. Enterprise value is a better metric than market

cap for takeovers. It takes into account the debt which the acquirer will have to assume. Therefore, a company with a low enterprise multiple can be viewed as a good takeover candidate.

– Expect higher enterprise multiples in high growth industries (like biotech) and lower multiples in industries with slow growth (like railways)

– A low ratio indicates that a company might be undervalued

Enterprise Multiple (EV/EBITDA)

Page 32: Finance Club Session 3

• Du-Point Equation• Cash Conversion Cycle (CCC)• Working Capital• Sustainable Growth Rate • Free Cash Flow to Firm(FCFF)• Free Cash Flow to Equity (FCFE)

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Other Important Terms and Equations

Page 33: Finance Club Session 3

• Formula– ROE = Profit Margin (Profit/Sales) * Total Asset Turnover (Sales/Assets) * Equity

Multiplier (Assets/Equity)

• Meaning– DuPont analysis tells us that ROE is affected by three things:

1) Operating efficiency, which is measured by profit margin2) Asset use efficiency, which is measured by total asset turnover3) Financial leverage, which is measured by the equity multiplier

• Analysis– It is believed that measuring assets at gross book value removes the incentive to avoid

investing in new assets. New asset avoidance can occur as financial accounting depreciation methods artificially produce lower ROEs in the initial years that an asset is placed into service. If ROE is unsatisfactory, the DuPont analysis helps locate the part of the business that is underperforming.

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Du-Point Equation

Page 34: Finance Club Session 3

• Formula– CCC=DIO+DSO-DPO

DIO represents days inventory outstandingDSO represents days sales outstandingDPO represents days payable outstanding

• Meaning– A metric that expresses the length of time, in days, that it takes for a company to convert

resource inputs into cash flows. – It looks at the amount of time needed to sell inventory, the amount of time needed to

collect receivables and the length of time the company is afforded to pay its bills without incurring penalties.

• Analysis– This cycle is extremely important for retailers and similar businesses. It illustrates how

quickly a company can convert its products into cash through sales. – The shorter the cycle, the less time capital is tied up in the business process, and thus

the better for the company's bottom line

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Cash Conversion Cycle

Page 35: Finance Club Session 3

• Formula– Working Capital = Current Assets – Current Liabilities

• Meaning– If a company's current assets do not exceed its current liabilities, then it may

run into trouble paying back creditors in the short term. The worst-case scenario is bankruptcy. A declining working capital ratio over a longer time period could also be a red flag that warrants further analysis. For example, it could be that the company's sales volumes are decreasing and, as a result, its accounts receivables number continues to get smaller and smaller

• Analysis– This ratio indicates whether a company has enough short term assets to cover

its short term debt. Anything below 1 indicates negative W/C (working capital). While anything over 2 means that the company is not investing excess assets. Most believe that a ratio between 1.2 and 2.0 is sufficient

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Working Capital

Page 36: Finance Club Session 3

• Formula– ROE x Retention Ratio – Retention Ratio = (1 – Dividend Payout Ratio)

• Meaning– The maximum growth rate that a firm can sustain without having to increase financial

leverage.

• Analysis– The sustainable growth rate is a measure of how much a firm can grow without

borrowing more money. After the firm has passed this rate, it must borrow funds from another source to facilitate growth.

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Sustainable Growth Rate

Page 37: Finance Club Session 3

• Formula– FCFF= Net Income + Depreciation + Interest(1-Tax Rate) – Change in Working

Capital – Net Capex

• Meaning– A measure of financial performance that expresses the net amount of cash

that is generated for the firm, consisting of expenses, taxes and changes in net working capital and investments.

• Analysis– This is a measurement of a company's profitability after all expenses and

reinvestments. It's one of the many benchmarks used to compare and analyse financial health

– A positive value would indicate that the firm has cash left after expenses. A negative value, on the other hand, would indicate that the firm has not generated enough revenue to cover its costs and investment activities

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Free Cash Flow to the Firm(FCFF)

Page 38: Finance Club Session 3

• Formula– FCFE = Net Income - Net Capital Expenditure - Change in Net Working

Capital + New Debt - Debt Repayment

• Meaning– This is a measure of how much cash can be paid to the equity shareholders

of the company after all expenses, reinvestment and debt repayment.

• Analysis– FCFE is often used by analysts in an attempt to determine the value of a

company– This alternative method of valuation gained popularity as the dividend

discount model's usefulness became increasingly questionable38

Free Cash Flow to the Equity(FCFE)

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Example - Granules India

Page 40: Finance Club Session 3

Thank YouAman Vij +91-9608983826 Saurabh Jain +91-8404884578 Viswajeeth Thippeswamy +91-7762924663