foreign agricultural service world markets and trade fg 11-06united states department of agriculture...

United States Department of Agriculture Grain: Foreign Agricultural Service World Markets and Trade Circular Series FG 11-06 November 06

Tightening World Grain Supplies Push Prices to Decade-High Levels

Global Grain Stocks Decline Prices Soar From Last Year % (Year to Year Change) $/Ton (Year to Year Change) 0

Wheat Sorghum

Barley

Corn

FOBU.S.

Sorghum-5

Corn EU U.S. HRW + $60 U.S.

-10 Barley Wheat

-15 + $40

-20

-25 + $20

-30

-35 $0

Short crops around the world this year, combined with strengthening demand, are shrinking global grain stocks and causing prices to soar to the highest levels in a decade. Wheat prices have climbed as exportable supplies are sharply down in key Northern Hemisphere exporters such as the United States, Black Sea region, and the European Union. This tightness has been exacerbated by a severe crop shortfall in Australia and strong import demand in India.

Surging corn prices are being driven by a smaller U.S. crop and strong demand for use in ethanol and exports. Barley prices have also jumped to decade highs as a result of sharply lower exportable supplies in Australia--the largest exporter the past 3 years--as well as strengthening feed demand in light of poor wheat crops. Sorghum prices are also strong as U.S. production has fallen to the lowest level in 60 years, and this is curtailing export availability.

*Oct 05 Avg vs. Oct 06

Approved by the World Agricultural Outlook Board - USDA

TABLE OF CONTENTS

World Markets and Trade: Commentary and Current Data Wheat ................................................................................................................. 4 Rice .................................................................................................................. 10 Coarse Grains................................................................................................... 15

Historical Data Series for Selected Regions and Countries ............................ 38

Endnotes to Grain: World Markets and Trade ............................................... 63

Circular Modifications:

FAS released a new version of PSD Online on August 31, 2006. It retains all of the ease-of-use and functionality of the current version, while incorporating some new features. It is available on the FAS website (http://www.fas.usda.gov/psdonline/).

The new system allowed us to overhaul this Circular so readers may have noticed a new look during the past few months. This revised format will be "in transition" over the next several months, as we make use of the expanded capabilities of the new PSD system. The circular will also now be released earlier at noon.

Your comments on the new Circular will be welcome and can be sent to [email protected]. Wethank you in advance for your patience over the next few months.

Foreign Agricultural ServiceCommodity and Marketing Programs

November2006

Grain: World Markets and Trade, November 2006

2

All Grain Summary Comparison

Marketing Year

Wheat Rice, Milled Corn

2006/072005/062004/052006/072005/062004/052006/072005/062004/05

Production

United States (Jun-May) 58.7 57.3 49.3 7.5 7.1 6.1 299.9 282.3 272.9

Other 570.1 561.6 537.5 393.0 408.3 410.4 412.9 411.0 415.8

World Total 628.8 618.9 586.8 400.5 415.5 416.5 712.8 693.3 688.7

Domestic Consumption


Other 577.0 587.0 584.9 401.7 408.0 412.4 459.2 468.3 477.3

World Total 608.8 618.2 616.1 405.7 411.8 416.3 683.9 699.9 720.9

Ending Stocks


Other 136.7 131.5 107.4 76.9 79.2 77.7 77.5 74.5 66.2

World Total 151.4 147.1 118.8 78.1 80.6 78.8 131.2 124.5 90.0

TY Imports


Other 108.2 108.6 106.8 26.5 25.7 25.5 76.0 79.5 78.6

World Total 110.1 110.9 109.6 26.9 26.3 26.2 76.3 79.7 78.8

TY Exports


Other 84.6 86.2 85.9 25.1 24.3 25.0 31.1 26.5 25.0

World Total 113.1 113.7 111.9 29.0 28.0 28.0 76.5 82.7 80.5

Note: Consumption in this table has not been adjusted for differences in marketing year imports and exports and therefore differs from global totals shown elsewhere.

Marketing years for U.S. grains are: Wheat (Jun-May), Rice (Aug-Jul), Corn (Sep-Aug).


November2006

WHEAT: WORLD MARKETS AND TRADE

0

2

4

6

8Brazilian Imports Jump MMT

Production Imports

MONTHLY HIGHLIGHTS:

Brazil Expected To Be Largest Importer in2006/07: Brazil is expected to surpass Egypt and the European Union this year and return as the world’s largest import market for the first timesince 2000/01. Production has fallen to only half of last year’s level as the crop has been severely hit by a combination of drought and frosts at the end of August and beginning of September. This crop shortfall will lead to higher import demand, and could result in greater wheat needing to besourced from countries outside South America. Last year 91 percent of Brazilian imports were sourced from Argentina, and 7 percent from Paraguay.

PRICES:

Domestic: For October, wheat prices climbed for all classes, and continued to set 10-year highs. The main catalyst for higher prices has been severe drought in Australia, which has slashed production by more than half and is exacerbating already tight global exportable supplies. For the month, Soft Red Winter (SRW) prices rose $22 per ton, Soft White (SWW) prices rose $17, Hard Red Winter (HRW) rose $12, and Hard Red Spring (HRS) prices rose $8.

U.S. Weekly FOB Export Bids

130

140

150

160

170

180

190

200

210

220

230

8/4 8/11 8/18 8/25 9/1 9/8 9/15 9/22 9/29 10/6 10/13 10/20 10/27

$/M

T

U.S. No.1 HRW 11% (Gulf) U.S. No.2 SRW (Gulf) U.S. No.1 SWW (PNW) US No.1 DNS 14% (PNW)


November2006


4

TRADE CHANGES IN 2006/2007

Selected Exporters

• Australia is down 1.0 million tons to 12.0 million as the drought-ravaged crop continues to shrink. Additionally, poor pasture conditions are expected to result in greater wheat feeding, further reducing supplies available for export.

• Russia is up 1.0 million tons to 8.5 million as production is raised and export pricesremain very attractive.

• Ukraine is down 500,000 tons to 3.5 million as government export policies have reduced shipments.

• China is up 500,000 tons to 2.5 million on strong sales of feed-quality wheat to Asianmarkets.

• Romania is up 150,000 tons to 400,000 as the crop estimate is raised and greater exports are expected to the EU.

Selected Importers

• Brazil is up 300,000 tons to 7.3 million on sharply lower production.

• Iraq is down 500,000 tons to 3.5 million on slow purchases to date.

• Nigeria is down 300,000 tons to 3.6 million. The combination of high wheat prices andlower prices of other local staples (due to bumper harvests) are curtailing wheat consumption growth this year.


November2006


5

World Wheat, Flour, and Products Trade

July/June Year, Thousand Metric Tons

2002/03 2003/04 2004/05 2005/06 2006/07Oct

2006/07Nov

none

TY Exports

9,0009,0008,30113,5027,3466,276 Argentina

12,00013,00015,21315,82615,09610,946 Australia

1,0001,0001,2001,100401,107 Bulgaria

20,50020,50015,64415,14215,5269,393 Canada

2,5002,0001,3971,1712,8241,718 China, Peoples Republic of

16,00016,00015,03214,36710,93119,940 EU-25

5,0005,0003,0002,7004,1106,238 Kazakhstan, Republic of

8,5007,50010,6647,9513,11412,621 Russian Federation

2,0002,0002,9002,217854839 Turkey

3,5004,0006,4614,351666,569 Ukraine

5,9405,7906,4356,31812,32011,655 Others

85,94085,79086,24784,64572,22787,302 Subtotal

26,00026,00027,42428,46432,29522,834 United States

111,940111,790113,671113,109104,522110,136 World Total

none

TY Imports

4,8004,8005,5005,3983,9336,079 Algeria

2,1002,1002,1002,0091,9451,335 Bangladesh

7,3007,0006,1945,3095,5596,631 Brazil

1,3501,3501,3141,2481,2461,166 Colombia

7,0007,0007,7718,1507,2956,327 Egypt

6,8006,8007,6097,3935,91213,921 EU-25

6,0006,00011814819 India

4,8004,8005,0004,6614,5353,984 Indonesia

3,5004,0004,8003,0101,9251,579 Iraq

1,2001,2001,6001,5499511,691 Israel

5,5005,5005,4695,7445,7515,579 Japan

3,6003,6003,8843,5913,4344,052 Korea, Republic of

1,5001,5001,7001,5081,0571,421 Libya

1,3501,3501,2161,4121,3291,195 Malaysia

3,6003,6003,5493,7173,6443,161 Mexico

1,9001,9002,4182,2722,4142,720 Morocco

3,6003,9003,6563,0142,3832,304 Nigeria

1,5001,5001,6561,4491,4881,157 Peru

2,7002,7002,9542,5932,9753,230 Philippines


1,6001,6001,6591,522995860 Sudan

1,2001,2001,1741,0811,139895 Thailand

1,6001,6001,6911,5041,538961 Venezuela

1,3001,3001,1811,226830875 Vietnam

1,9001,9002,2001,8531,6351,772 Yemen

27,92027,94530,92135,76835,02931,814 Others

106,820107,345108,616108,19299,976105,773 Subtotal

2,3201,6452,7462,9712,7862,405 Unaccounted

2,8002,8002,3091,9461,7601,958 United States

111,940111,790113,671113,109104,522110,136 World Total


November2006

World Wheat Production, Consumption, and Stocks

Local Marketing Years, Thousand Metric Tons

2002/03 2003/04 2004/05 2005/06 2006/07Oct

2006/07Nov

none

Production

13,25013,25013,00016,00014,50012,300 Argentina

10,50011,00024,50022,60026,13210,132 Australia

26,30026,30026,77525,86023,55216,198 Canada


8,2008,2008,1847,1776,4436,300 Egypt

117,237117,887122,638136,774106,878124,829 EU-25

68,00068,00068,64072,15065,10071,810 India

14,00014,00014,50014,00013,50012,450 Iran


6,1006,1003,0435,5405,1473,357 Morocco

21,70021,70021,50019,50019,18318,227 Pakistan


18,00018,00018,00018,50016,80016,800 Turkey

14,30013,50018,70017,5003,60020,556 Ukraine

5,8005,8006,0505,5005,4005,000 Uzbekistan, Republic of

55,60555,58959,96161,70652,95652,539 Others

537,492535,826561,641570,107490,781523,938 Subtotal

49,31649,31657,28058,73863,81443,705 United States

586,808585,142618,921628,845554,595567,643 World Total

none

Total Consumption

7,7007,7007,5007,3006,8006,650 Algeria

6,9006,4006,4006,2005,9566,178 Australia

10,40010,60010,80010,2009,8009,890 Brazil

9,1009,1009,1339,3007,6378,181 Canada


15,60015,60014,80014,20013,30012,800 Egypt

116,000116,000119,500115,200107,900118,100 EU-25

72,50072,50069,97172,83868,25874,294 India

15,20015,20014,80014,50014,30014,350 Iran


7,4007,4007,1006,9006,4006,220 Morocco

22,00022,00021,50020,00019,10018,380 Pakistan


16,80016,80016,10016,80016,80016,800 Turkey

11,20010,60012,50011,7009,02514,500 Ukraine

128,647128,751130,071125,022116,600115,388 Others

583,883581,912592,071578,294555,971573,311 Subtotal

31,16331,16331,19131,82332,50730,448 United States

615,046613,075623,262610,117588,478603,759 World Total

none

Ending Stocks

3,3963,3963,7013,5062,8142,712 Algeria

6,6936,6939,7437,9226,0805,725 Canada


3,5963,5254,0062,8611,7441,316 Egypt

12,95413,62720,91725,20210,60216,643 EU-25


5,2335,3025,4835,2525,2125,072 Syria

36,78636,07848,49849,50444,28557,669 Others

107,446107,918131,521136,708117,807153,188 Subtotal

11,38211,38215,54514,69914,87213,374 United States

118,828119,300147,066151,407132,679166,562 World Total


November2006

Thousand Metric Tons

Regional Wheat Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks

2002/03 2003/04 2004/05 2005/06Oct

2006/07Nov

2006/07

TY Imports none

5,501 North America 5,630 5,910 6,136 6,650 6,650

1,381 Central America 1,500 1,510 1,506 1,575 1,575

1,774 Caribbean 1,839 2,034 1,926 1,905 1,905

11,394 South America 11,207 10,826 12,687 12,940 13,240

13,921 European Union 5,912 7,393 7,609 6,800 6,800

1,971 Other Europe 4,229 1,836 1,591 1,500 1,500

4,601 Former Soviet Union - 12 7,260 4,566 4,704 4,040 4,040

11,507 Middle East 8,813 10,202 13,168 11,425 10,925

18,714 North Africa 15,480 18,407 18,589 16,400 16,400

9,603 Sub-Saharan Africa 9,713 12,091 13,021 12,525 12,200

12,236 East Asia 15,320 18,357 12,830 12,050 12,050

3,569 South Asia 3,008 4,832 4,465 9,880 9,880

10,663 Southeast Asia 11,177 11,429 11,942 11,775 11,775

896 Oceania 648 745 751 680 680

107,731 Total 101,736 110,138 110,925 110,145 109,620

Production none

63,133 North America 90,066 87,018 87,075 78,716 78,716

1 Central America 1 1 1 1 1

0 Caribbean 0 0 0 0 0

17,903 South America 23,632 25,261 20,949 19,273 18,773

124,829 European Union 106,878 136,774 122,638 117,887 117,237

12,642 Other Europe 7,564 15,538 13,198 11,600 12,050


37,991 Middle East 39,486 41,463 42,020 41,300 41,300

11,704 North Africa 16,285 17,166 15,178 18,325 18,325


91,468 East Asia 87,750 93,193 98,724 104,795 104,795

95,303 South Asia 90,966 97,696 96,300 95,950 95,950

96 Southeast Asia 107 130 150 148 148

10,434 Oceania 26,453 22,856 24,793 11,277 10,777

567,643 Total 554,595 628,845 618,921 585,142 586,808

Domestic Consumption none

44,529 North America 46,044 47,123 46,424 46,463 46,463

1,221 Central America 1,354 1,410 1,408 1,476 1,476

1,774 Caribbean 1,839 2,034 1,926 1,905 1,905

22,305 South America 23,240 23,493 24,461 24,052 23,852

118,100 European Union 107,900 115,200 119,500 116,000 116,000

13,359 Other Europe 12,870 14,128 13,505 12,930 13,030


46,701 Middle East 46,708 48,958 49,973 50,735 50,735

29,666 North Africa 30,082 32,583 33,775 35,125 35,125


117,757 East Asia 116,539 114,061 113,570 113,115 113,165

101,320 South Asia 96,891 102,188 101,091 104,245 104,250

10,440 Southeast Asia 10,438 11,029 11,677 11,818 11,818

7,083 Oceania 6,831 7,122 7,341 7,255 7,755

603,499 Total 581,183 608,783 618,166 614,814 616,110

Ending Stocks none

19,849 North America 21,695 22,997 25,600 18,387 18,387

190 Central America 185 185 185 185 185

20 Caribbean 20 20 20 20 20

3,170 South America 2,992 2,856 2,862 1,888 1,903

16,643 European Union 10,602 25,202 20,917 13,627 12,954

3,335 Other Europe 2,110 3,949 3,267 2,012 2,202


13,375 Middle East 12,487 12,002 12,144 11,524 10,934

5,959 North Africa 7,467 10,245 10,022 9,368 9,407


63,218 East Asia 46,249 41,934 37,916 38,961 38,461

17,915 South Asia 9,200 7,201 5,725 6,301 6,255

1,572 Southeast Asia 2,030 2,052 2,008 1,617 1,633

3,328 Oceania 5,548 7,265 9,443 2,625 2,625

166,562 Total 132,679 151,407 147,066 119,300 118,828


November2006

2002/03 2003/04 2004/05 2005/06Oct

2006/07Nov

2006/07

NOTES: Regional definitions appear on last page of this circular. Imports are reported on an international year basis. All other data are reported using marketing years.


November2006

RICE: WORLD MARKETS AND TRADE PRICES:

International: Export prices in Thailand weaken under pressure from the Government’s lower announced intervention prices and plans to sell off 3.7 million tons of intervention stocks. Conversely, Viet 5% is currently quoted at $287 per ton, FOB, up $16 due to tight supplies.

Domestic: U.S. #2/4 long grain milled rice is up slightly from last month at $434 per ton, FOB. The spread between comparable qualities of Thai and U.S. rice is $140 per ton compared to $33 per ton this time last year. The last time U.S. prices were at $434 was in June of 1998. The spread then was $102. U.S. medium grain prices remain unchanged with quotes at $525 per ton, FOB.

TRADE CHANGES FOR 2007

Selected Exporters

• Burma is down 100,000 to 150,000 on the expectation of tighter exportable supply.

TRADE CHANGES FOR 2006

Selected Exporters

• China is up 100,000 to 1.1 million based on strong export pace.

Nominal Rice Quotes – 2002 to Present

75

125

175

225

275

325

375

425

475

7/9/02

12/9/03

5/17/05

11/7/06

Thai 100B US #2/4 Viet 5%


November2006


10

World Rice Trade

January/December Year, Thousand Metric Tons

2002/03 2003/04 2004/05 2005/06 2006/07Oct

2006/07Nov

none

TY Exports

400400400345249170 Argentina

15015035052131141 Australia

1501502502723719 Brazil

15025075190130388 Burma, Union of

45045035020030010 Cambodia

1,0001,0001,1006568802,583 China, Peoples Republic of

9009001,0001,095826579 Egypt

150150175201187220 EU-25

170170170182243200 Guyana

4,3004,3003,8004,6873,1724,421 India

200200200200200200 Japan

2,9002,9003,0003,0321,9861,958 Pakistan

8,2508,2507,3007,27410,1377,552 Thailand

750750700762804675 Uruguay

4,7004,7005,0005,1744,2953,795 Vietnam

365365421825517830 Others

24,98525,08524,29125,14724,09423,741 Subtotal

3,0003,0003,7003,8623,0903,834 United States

27,98528,08527,99129,00927,18427,575 World Total

none

TY Imports

6006007007858011,112 Bangladesh

7506505505477621,063 Brazil

350350335321285242 Canada

8008007006091,122258 China, Peoples Republic of

800800850867740750 Cote d'Ivoire

700700600736639371 Cuba

9259259259681,079950 EU-25

450450400450425357 Ghana

350350400328269345 Haiti

315315315315309307 Hong Kong

6006009005006502,750 Indonesia

9009001,200983950900 Iran

1,2001,2001,200786889672 Iraq

650650650787706654 Japan

500500300600465633 Korea, Democratic

850775850751700500 Malaysia

600600600553521582 Mexico

350350350350375232 Mozambique

1,7001,7001,6001,7771,3691,448 Nigeria

1,6501,6501,9001,8901,1001,300 Philippines

375375375350350385 Russian Federation

1,0001,0001,0001,3571,5001,150 Saudi Arabia

8508507501,200850750 Senegal

375375375375346375 Singapore

800800800850818725 South Africa, Republic of

7,1067,1067,0367,4916,8156,330 Others

25,54625,37125,66126,52624,83525,141 Subtotal

1,8142,1241,7302,0641,8721,976 Unaccounted

625590600419477458 United States

27,98528,08527,99129,00927,18427,575 World Total

Note about dates: 2006/07 is calendar year 2007, 2005/06 is calendar year 2006, and so on.


November2006

World Rice Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2002/03 2003/04 2004/05 2005/06 2006/07Oct

2006/07Nov

none

Milled Production

29,10029,10028,75825,60026,15225,187 Bangladesh

7,9008,5007,8748,9968,7097,050 Brazil

10,50010,70010,4409,57010,73010,788 Burma, Union of

3,0253,0252,8352,3302,9602,400 Cambodia


4,1404,1404,1304,1283,9003,705 Egypt

91,00091,00091,04083,13088,53071,820 India

35,08835,08834,95934,83035,02433,411 Indonesia

7,9407,9408,2577,9447,0918,089 Japan


2,8002,8002,7002,3002,2002,200 Nigeria

5,6005,6005,5474,9204,8484,479 Pakistan

9,7509,7509,8009,4259,2008,450 Philippines

18,25018,50018,20017,36018,01117,198 Thailand

22,53622,53622,00022,71622,08221,527 Vietnam

30,12130,01530,61829,41329,01927,558 Others

410,386411,344408,340393,025385,369370,969 Subtotal

6,1376,1057,1137,4626,4206,536 United States

416,523417,449415,453400,487391,789377,505 World Total

none

Total Consumption

29,75029,75029,00026,90026,70026,100 Bangladesh

8,9509,2508,9748,8608,6878,100 Brazil

10,50010,50010,40010,30010,20010,100 Burma, Union of


3,3003,3003,2753,2503,2253,200 Egypt

87,50087,50085,22080,74385,63079,860 India

35,80035,80035,80035,85036,00036,500 Indonesia

3,2253,2253,1753,1253,1003,075 Iran

8,2008,2008,2508,3008,3578,742 Japan


2,8152,8152,8182,8672,9832,755 Nepal

4,4504,4504,3504,2504,0003,750 Nigeria

11,25011,25011,00010,40010,2509,550 Philippines

9,5709,5709,5009,4809,4709,460 Thailand

18,50018,50018,25018,00017,85017,500 Vietnam

45,93045,88745,15844,24543,57241,941 Others

414,358414,990409,206403,805409,261403,836 Subtotal

3,9053,9043,8093,9353,6563,534 United States

418,263418,894413,015407,740412,917407,370 World Total

none

Ending Stocks


9,7209,72010,5208,50010,80011,000 India

3,3953,3953,5073,4484,0184,344 Indonesia

2,6162,6162,4261,9191,7002,466 Japan

5,5225,5225,2724,5724,0473,807 Philippines

4,2924,5423,7622,3121,7063,302 Thailand

2,9003,1183,2644,1644,3024,065 Vietnam

12,35511,81513,51313,08414,14513,398 Others

77,74577,77379,20976,93084,633105,693 Subtotal

1,0941,0621,3701,211761829 United States

78,83978,83580,57978,14185,394106,522 World Total

Note: All data are reported on a milled basis.


November2006


Regional Rice Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks

2002/03 2003/04 2004/05 2005/06Oct

2006/07Nov

2006/07

TY Imports none

1,282 North America 1,283 1,293 1,535 1,540 1,575

416 Central America 463 531 480 500 500

820 Caribbean 1,084 1,213 1,215 1,205 1,205

1,449 South America 1,111 966 885 1,050 1,150

950 European Union 1,079 968 925 925 925

209 Other Europe 230 220 220 205 205

540 Former Soviet Union - 12 526 526 551 551 551

3,970 Middle East 4,510 4,485 4,630 4,430 4,430

238 North Africa 225 261 225 225 225


2,166 East Asia 2,948 2,556 2,565 2,655 2,655

1,351 South Asia 1,169 1,051 1,015 910 910

5,063 Southeast Asia 3,202 4,236 4,660 4,035 4,110

244 Oceania 238 256 225 225 225

25,599 Total 25,312 26,945 26,261 25,961 26,171

Production none

6,669 North America 6,620 7,657 7,294 6,286 6,318

574 Central America 553 466 507 511 511

865 Caribbean 838 666 736 730 730

12,614 South America 14,667 15,346 14,162 14,650 14,050

1,731 European Union 1,728 1,864 1,710 1,674 1,659

15 Other Europe 21 22 21 20 20


2,151 Middle East 2,483 2,611 2,737 2,803 2,803

3,746 North Africa 3,941 4,169 4,171 4,181 4,181


137,917 East Asia 126,628 140,858 142,072 143,184 143,170

106,556 South Asia 124,689 118,781 130,548 130,950 130,950

96,639 Southeast Asia 101,066 99,267 101,235 102,610 102,160

313 Oceania 395 231 749 286 286

377,505 Total 391,789 400,487 415,453 417,449 416,523


4,476 North America 4,666 5,006 4,919 5,054 5,055

950 Central America 976 1,025 1,056 1,063 1,063

1,610 Caribbean 1,877 1,870 1,855 1,970 1,970

12,876 South America 13,535 13,837 14,097 14,468 14,168

2,597 European Union 2,509 2,529 2,550 2,600 2,600

224 Other Europe 236 227 231 235 235


6,694 Middle East 6,697 6,625 6,997 7,107 7,107

3,429 North Africa 3,491 3,552 3,541 3,566 3,566


153,015 East Asia 148,454 147,042 144,443 144,306 144,306

113,800 South Asia 120,469 115,642 122,244 125,375 125,375

89,449 Southeast Asia 90,493 90,597 91,810 92,546 92,521

535 Oceania 540 545 550 555 555

404,900 Total 410,393 405,667 411,832 416,542 416,286

Ending Stocks none

998 North America 940 1,385 1,550 1,223 1,255

410 Central America 441 383 332 270 270

220 Caribbean 157 206 168 193 193

2,107 South America 3,010 3,650 2,975 2,096 2,362

960 European Union 974 1,134 1,044 893 878

45 Other Europe 40 50 60 65 65


1,299 Middle East 1,170 1,719 2,406 2,482 2,482

870 North Africa 719 502 357 297 297


67,047 East Asia 46,764 42,005 40,649 40,882 40,768

11,848 South Asia 12,189 8,933 11,503 10,693 10,793

17,070 Southeast Asia 15,952 15,520 16,885 17,502 17,184

632 Oceania 550 412 511 317 317

106,522 Total 85,394 78,141 80,579 78,835 78,839


November2006

2002/03 2003/04 2004/05 2005/06Oct

2006/07Nov

2006/07



November2006

COARSE GRAINS: WORLD MARKETS AND TRADE

U.S. Gulf Export Bids

80

90

100

110

120

130

140

150

Sep

-03

Dec

-03

Mar

-04

Jun-

04

Sep

-04

Dec

-04

Mar

-05

Jun-

05

Sep

-05

Dec

-05

Mar

-06

Jun-

06

Sep

-06

$/M

T

Sorghum (Texas Gulf) Corn

PRICES:

Domestic: October export bids for #2 yellow corn soared by over $20 per ton to $142, the highest in over 10 years. The escalation resultsfrom expanding domestic demand, strong exports, and high wheat prices.


Selected Exporters

• United States corn is down 1.5 million tons to 55.5 million due toreduced production and high prices.

• Australia barley is lowered 300,000 tons to 2.7 million as production isexpected to fall to less than half last year’s level.

• Brazil corn is raised 1.0 million tons this month to 3.0 million because of high international prices and a reduction in the U.S. crop.

• Russia barley is raised 300,000 tons to 2.5 million on higher production and lesscompetition from Ukraine.

• Ukraine barley is lowered 500,000 tons to 4.7 million as government export policy has reduced shipments in recent months.

Selected Importers

• South Korea corn is down 400,000 tons to 8.5 million based on likely shifts to lessexpensive imported feedstuffs..


Selected Exporters

• United States corn is down 300,000 tons to 56.2 million based on near-final trade data.

• Argentina corn is up 500,000 tons to 10.5 given a surge in late-season trade.


November2006


15

• Paraguay corn is raised nearly 1 million tons to a record 1.3 million based on final trade data. The increase is mostly late-season trade with Brazil (with corn imports there raised500,000 tons to 950,000, a 6-year high).

• Final corn trade data is used to adjust exporters Brazil, China, South Africa, andThailand; and importers China, Japan, South Africa, South Korea, and Thailand.


16 Foreign Agricultural ServiceCommodity and Marketing Programs

November2006

World Coarse Grain Trade

October/September Year, Thousand Metric Tons

2002/03 2003/04 2004/05 2005/06 2006/07Oct

2006/07Nov

none

TY Exports

11,45511,45511,05514,37110,83413,055 Argentina

2,9453,3955,7204,9966,7522,472 Australia

3,0502,0502,8281,4576,1913,246 Brazil

3,5253,5253,9753,2173,4741,712 Canada


4,6554,6553,3265,0782,3429,736 EU-25

70070050089593243 Romania


1,2051,0051,20559363366 Serbia and Montenegro

6,5007,0007,2056,4653,8113,420 Ukraine

3,6003,3756,1945,1795,6155,167 Others

44,16043,38547,31051,40248,66558,247 Subtotal

60,33561,73561,59550,69254,07746,428 United States

104,495105,120108,905102,094102,742104,675 World Total

none

TY Imports

2,0552,0552,1052,1741,7881,696 Algeria

1,0001,0001,115745596935 Brazil

2,8702,8702,0702,3392,0814,098 Canada

1,5151,5151,6151,1891,1481,110 Chile


3,3253,3253,3302,5162,2322,428 Colombia

1,1501,1501,1001,031824906 Dominican Republic

4,8204,8204,5205,4053,7474,867 Egypt

3,5953,4453,7703,7667,3536,721 EU-25

1,3001,3001,4505411,4361,633 Indonesia

3,3003,5003,1003,8492,5182,157 Iran

1,6751,6751,4251,7002,0121,382 Israel

19,52019,47019,78219,70919,98220,321 Japan

1,0009001,200938771820 Jordan


700700675693531322 Libya

2,6002,6002,5002,4062,4012,408 Malaysia

9,3009,5009,8008,9758,8738,766 Mexico

1,9051,9052,0401,9891,3261,212 Morocco

1,4001,4001,6001,3661,114992 Peru

7,5007,5008,1007,6447,1308,927 Saudi Arabia

8258251,026277612750 South Africa, Republic of

2,4002,4002,1002,2811,5411,198 Syria

4,6504,9504,6504,7575,1144,829 Taiwan

1,1501,2501,2001,2288831,046 Tunisia

9,4659,21511,54210,55910,95211,030 Others

99,985100,635102,70598,86097,485101,265 Subtotal

2,0602,0353,8759923,016867 Unaccounted

2,4502,4502,3252,2422,2412,543 United States

104,495105,120108,905102,094102,742104,675 World Total


November2006

World Coarse Grains Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2002/03 2003/04 2004/05 2005/06 2006/07Oct

2006/07Nov

none

Production

21,57321,57317,89824,90218,59619,445 Argentina

7,7558,05513,75911,57314,8616,652 Australia

43,75943,25943,77437,87444,88147,097 Brazil

23,25523,25526,03626,44726,32619,892 Canada


9,4259,4259,0857,5656,5604,775 Ethiopia

127,164128,098131,470150,749122,998138,660 EU-25

33,70033,70034,39033,57037,81025,660 India

29,13029,13025,83328,94730,27726,420 Mexico

24,20024,20023,70022,30020,30019,050 Nigeria

9,6759,95511,83913,8057,9658,365 Romania


9,9989,9987,38012,20910,36310,126 South Africa, Republic of

11,04511,04511,94511,04510,0409,960 Turkey

19,45019,15018,14023,00015,60017,110 Ukraine

127,163125,036125,965123,337120,573114,770 Others

678,752674,639676,510695,175641,603632,107 Subtotal

285,722290,120298,736319,417275,098243,719 United States

964,474964,759975,2461,014,592916,701875,826 World Total

none


9,6739,6739,1239,0587,3577,427 Argentina

42,90942,90941,97241,55838,91338,585 Brazil

24,73524,73524,04023,80423,82622,816 Canada


11,68011,68011,38012,36410,27711,989 Egypt

133,775134,325132,645138,817135,467136,086 EU-25

33,60033,60034,23033,24036,00026,750 India

19,92019,89520,02019,87820,73720,475 Japan

38,48038,68037,58038,27637,33235,533 Mexico

24,05024,05023,45022,05020,25019,000 Nigeria

10,80511,10511,10511,0058,9558,205 Romania



11,36511,46511,56511,40411,18610,674 Turkey

13,30013,10011,99015,20014,00013,262 Ukraine

189,003187,380187,084177,308172,488161,102 Others

754,796754,068742,525735,269720,720688,337 Subtotal

255,149256,546244,597240,216225,958214,667 United States

1,009,9451,010,614987,122975,485946,678903,004 World Total

none

Ending Stocks

3,5473,6223,8474,3808,0456,360 Brazil

4,1974,1976,3326,3414,0763,135 Canada


15,68415,93822,78024,22712,62221,714 EU-25

2,2392,4392,7392,7391,8731,781 Iran

3,0593,2093,1095,3065,6783,884 Mexico

2,7882,4883,0982,7082,4342,645 Saudi Arabia

28,80527,71834,57537,47730,91533,037 Others

94,25791,489112,278120,195111,124138,925 Subtotal

27,39129,12254,84158,80028,76430,940 United States

121,648120,611167,119178,995139,888169,865 World Total


November2006


Regional Coarse Grains Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks

2002/03 2003/04 2004/05 2005/06Oct

2006/07Nov

2006/07

TY Imports none

15,407 North America 13,195 13,556 14,195 14,820 14,620

1,980 Central America 2,178 2,405 2,625 2,500 2,500

1,509 Caribbean 1,634 1,913 2,110 2,185 2,185

6,606 South America 6,383 6,460 8,640 7,990 8,140

6,721 European Union 7,353 3,766 3,770 3,445 3,595

1,196 Other Europe 1,563 689 647 640 640

756 Former Soviet Union - 12 1,440 1,080 1,160 930 980

16,952 Middle East 16,162 17,864 17,255 17,405 17,355

9,143 North Africa 8,275 11,489 10,540 10,730 10,630


36,109 East Asia 35,786 35,611 35,672 36,035 35,385

10 South Asia 32 44 10 0 0

4,726 Southeast Asia 4,046 3,499 4,745 4,280 4,280

97 Oceania 14 23 40 20 20

103,808 Total 99,726 101,102 105,030 103,085 102,435

Production none

290,031 North America 331,701 374,811 350,605 342,505 338,107

3,060 Central America 3,206 2,882 2,889 3,146 3,146

540 Caribbean 535 505 456 456 456

75,291 South America 72,953 72,662 71,542 74,841 75,391

138,660 European Union 122,998 150,749 131,470 128,098 127,164

22,146 Other Europe 18,710 29,052 26,796 24,405 24,125


17,508 Middle East 17,717 18,496 19,186 18,286 18,286

9,612 North Africa 11,757 11,786 9,299 11,692 11,692


133,039 East Asia 126,244 140,589 150,079 151,500 153,500

30,464 South Asia 42,245 38,130 38,950 38,263 38,263

18,264 Southeast Asia 19,543 21,740 22,543 22,700 22,700

7,317 Oceania 15,472 12,198 14,406 8,702 8,402

875,826 Total 916,701 1,014,592 975,246 964,759 964,474


273,016 North America 287,116 302,296 306,217 319,961 318,364

4,935 Central America 5,070 5,455 5,500 5,725 5,775

2,056 Caribbean 2,112 2,350 2,533 2,618 2,618

59,512 South America 60,478 65,467 67,038 69,015 69,015

136,086 European Union 135,467 138,817 132,645 134,325 133,775

20,986 Other Europe 21,270 24,964 24,943 24,479 24,189


30,736 Middle East 34,351 33,889 35,850 36,330 36,480

19,162 North Africa 18,746 21,891 20,775 21,815 21,765


172,991 East Asia 175,783 177,183 183,428 187,780 187,105

31,524 South Asia 40,573 37,815 38,790 38,163 38,163

22,160 Southeast Asia 21,818 24,140 26,133 26,340 26,340

5,936 Oceania 7,245 7,275 7,565 7,540 7,890

901,894 Total 943,866 975,055 985,584 862,812 1,007,947

Ending Stocks none

37,959 North America 38,518 70,447 64,282 32,881 34,647

375 Central America 696 537 495 465 466

74 Caribbean 131 199 232 245 255

8,820 South America 10,879 8,283 7,232 6,548 6,998

21,714 European Union 12,622 24,227 22,780 10,152 15,684

2,981 Other Europe 1,698 4,138 4,303 2,390 2,424


6,467 Middle East 6,457 8,178 8,191 1,963 7,052

1,019 North Africa 2,288 3,327 2,388 1,083 2,945


71,188 East Asia 49,780 41,221 39,792 34,691 37,547

826 South Asia 1,231 1,116 961 862 836

1,228 Southeast Asia 1,988 2,075 2,621 2,432 2,526

1,303 Oceania 2,330 2,652 3,863 280 1,450

169,865 Total 139,888 178,995 167,119 99,059 121,648


November2006

2002/03 2003/04 2004/05 2005/06Oct

2006/07Nov

2006/07



November2006

World Corn Trade


2002/03 2003/04 2004/05 2005/06 2006/07Oct

2006/07Nov

none

TY Exports

11,00011,00010,50013,75210,43912,349 Argentina

3,0002,0002,8281,4315,8183,181 Brazil

300300250150144113 Burma, Union of


5005001251644591,995 EU-25

5005001,314386548733 Paraguay

60060030058793144 Romania

1,2001,0001,20058957353 Serbia and Montenegro

5005001,4061,5177971,141 South Africa, Republic of

1,8001,8002,4502,3341,238811 Ukraine

1,5501,5252,4142,6413,2841,445 Others

24,95023,72526,51431,14030,43037,509 Subtotal

55,50057,00056,20045,34748,80840,924 United States

80,45080,72582,71476,48779,23878,433 World Total

none

TY Imports

2,0002,0001,9002,0461,7651,643 Algeria

850850950481459639 Brazil

2,8002,8002,0002,2372,0333,846 Canada

1,4001,4001,5001,0811,043933 Chile

3,1003,1003,1002,2561,9992,112 Colombia

650650600569583514 Costa Rica

650650600546469279 Cuba

1,1501,1501,1001,031824906 Dominican Republic

4,8004,8004,5005,3983,7434,848 Egypt

3,0003,0003,2002,9665,5094,327 EU-25

600600750641513513 Guatemala

1,3001,3001,4505411,4361,633 Indonesia

2,5002,5002,3002,5581,8572,157 Iran

1,2001,2001,0001,2421,377776 Israel

16,50016,50016,61916,48516,78116,863 Japan


2,6002,6002,5002,4062,4012,408 Malaysia

6,3006,3006,7005,9455,7395,269 Mexico

1,5001,5001,5001,4231,1831,054 Morocco

1,3001,3001,5001,3011,041917 Peru

1,5001,5001,4001,2241,6211,424 Saudi Arabia


1,6001,6001,3001,781941919 Syria

4,5004,8004,5004,5624,9514,681 Taiwan

650750600714784734 Tunisia

6,9056,5558,5297,7987,9848,606 Others

78,55579,00579,47775,99676,30977,399 Subtotal

1,6451,4702,9872102,588660 Unaccounted

250250250281341374 United States

80,45080,72582,71476,48779,23878,433 World Total


November2006

World Corn Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2002/03 2003/04 2004/05 2005/06 2006/07Oct

2006/07Nov

none

Production

17,50017,50014,50020,50015,00015,500 Argentina

41,00040,50041,00035,00042,00044,500 Brazil

8,8008,8009,4618,8409,6008,999 Canada


5,8705,8705,8605,8405,7406,000 Egypt

44,32544,32548,31853,47839,87649,360 EU-25

14,50014,50015,09014,18014,72011,100 India

6,6006,6006,9007,2006,3506,100 Indonesia

22,00022,00019,50022,05021,80019,280 Mexico

7,5007,5007,0006,5005,5005,200 Nigeria

5,8005,8005,9005,0504,9004,430 Philippines

8,5008,80010,30012,0007,0207,300 Romania

6,6006,6006,6006,5693,8005,585 Serbia and Montenegro


6,0006,0007,1508,8006,8504,180 Ukraine

68,30066,83667,08664,85560,72656,698 Others

415,795412,131411,030412,868369,412375,207 Subtotal

272,931277,005282,260299,914256,278227,767 United States

688,726689,136693,290712,782625,690602,974 World Total

none

Total Consumption

6,1006,1005,9005,2004,4004,100 Argentina

40,00040,00039,00038,50036,30035,800 Brazil

11,80011,80011,01210,31411,22812,576 Canada


10,60010,60010,30011,3009,20010,900 Egypt

49,30049,30048,90051,70046,81449,526 EU-25

14,50014,50014,60013,90013,20012,000 India

8,0008,0008,2507,9007,3507,500 Indonesia

16,60016,60016,60016,50017,20016,800 Japan


28,30028,30027,90027,90026,40024,700 Mexico

7,4007,4006,8006,3005,5005,200 Nigeria

5,9005,9005,8005,1504,9504,650 Philippines

9,5009,8009,7009,5007,9007,200 Romania


110,374109,359108,874105,71998,76391,215 Others

479,673479,278468,388460,325436,006426,596 Subtotal

243,597244,867231,584224,648211,644200,748 United States

723,270724,145699,972684,973647,650627,344 World Total

none

Ending Stocks

3,4423,4423,6924,1927,8786,258 Brazil

1,6011,6012,0011,8021,1431,111 Canada


7,5367,56110,0117,5182,9384,826 EU-25

1,2131,2131,3131,4131,0551,048 Iran


2,4902,6402,4904,4404,3723,238 Mexico

15,28715,09318,38120,23015,50815,112 Others

66,24364,24474,49277,53279,08397,777 Subtotal

23,76025,29450,05553,69724,33727,603 United States

90,00389,538124,547131,229103,420125,380 World Total


November2006


Regional Corn Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks

2002/03 2003/04 2004/05 2005/06Oct

2006/07Nov

2006/07

TY Imports none

9,489 North America 8,113 8,463 8,950 9,350 9,350

1,980 Central America 2,178 2,401 2,625 2,500 2,500

1,509 Caribbean 1,634 1,913 2,110 2,185 2,185

5,629 South America 5,805 5,738 7,970 7,365 7,515

4,327 European Union 5,509 2,966 3,200 3,000 3,000

872 Other Europe 1,084 459 367 310 310


7,668 Middle East 7,901 8,039 7,250 8,075 8,225

8,413 North Africa 7,673 10,013 8,975 9,450 9,350


30,602 East Asia 30,682 30,044 30,014 30,550 29,850

7 South Asia 32 40 10 0 0

4,721 Southeast Asia 4,021 3,492 4,735 4,275 4,275

84 Oceania 8 3 20 0 0

77,773 Total 76,650 76,277 79,727 79,255 78,805

Production none

256,046 North America 287,678 330,804 311,221 307,805 303,731

2,676 Central America 2,874 2,552 2,582 2,820 2,820

415 Caribbean 407 377 328 328 328

66,971 South America 64,550 63,302 63,436 66,016 66,566

49,360 European Union 39,876 53,478 48,318 44,325 44,325

17,767 Other Europe 15,130 23,699 22,183 20,310 20,010


3,763 Middle East 4,382 4,732 5,432 4,932 4,932

6,202 North Africa 5,942 6,042 6,062 6,072 6,072


123,074 East Asia 117,679 132,145 141,277 142,789 144,789

14,707 South Asia 17,875 17,300 18,210 17,620 17,620

17,972 Southeast Asia 19,246 21,380 22,183 22,340 22,340

459 Oceania 550 482 572 572 572

602,974 Total 625,690 712,782 693,290 689,136 688,726


238,024 North America 249,272 262,862 270,496 284,967 283,697

4,570 Central America 4,735 5,100 5,190 5,400 5,450

1,931 Caribbean 1,984 2,222 2,405 2,490 2,490

51,041 South America 52,555 56,033 58,390 60,090 60,090

49,526 European Union 46,814 51,700 48,900 49,300 49,300

16,906 Other Europe 17,270 20,174 20,414 20,125 19,835


10,642 Middle East 12,208 12,221 12,806 13,181 13,331

14,334 North Africa 13,298 15,702 14,925 15,550 15,500


158,247 East Asia 161,385 163,078 169,004 173,491 172,791

15,573 South Asia 16,493 17,034 17,720 17,620 17,620

21,896 Southeast Asia 21,515 23,797 25,788 26,000 26,000

465 Oceania 555 465 580 555 555

626,117 Total 646,648 683,897 699,899 721,826 720,871

Ending Stocks none

31,952 North America 29,852 59,939 54,546 29,535 27,851

329 Central America 654 521 478 447 448

74 Caribbean 131 199 232 245 255

8,008 South America 9,763 7,249 6,555 5,969 6,326

4,826 European Union 2,938 7,518 10,011 7,561 7,536

2,462 Other Europe 1,175 3,404 3,648 2,342 1,933


1,976 Middle East 1,985 2,400 2,101 1,927 1,927

338 North Africa 805 996 1,104 1,043 1,026


68,847 East Asia 48,338 39,901 38,461 34,310 36,309

379 South Asia 536 392 592 442 392

1,220 Southeast Asia 1,983 2,049 2,595 2,406 2,500

45 Oceania 38 37 29 26 26

125,380 Total 103,420 131,229 124,547 89,538 90,003


November2006

2002/03 2003/04 2004/05 2005/06Oct

2006/07Nov

2006/07



November2006

World Barley Trade


2002/03 2003/04 2004/05 2005/06 2006/07Oct

2006/07Nov

none

TY Exports

200200300338167101 Argentina

2,7003,0005,3004,4816,1042,159 Australia

15015020040020154 Bulgaria

1,5001,5001,9001,4761,937304 Canada

3,5003,5002,5003,8819846,307 EU-25

300300100100613542 Kazakhstan, Republic of

100100200308099 Romania


5554613 Serbia and Montenegro

50505050320446 Syria

25050550260504 Turkey

4,7005,2004,7003,9922,5572,334 Ukraine

00002183 Others

15,95516,25517,30516,54414,44616,212 Subtotal

400400350771384552 United States

16,35516,65517,65517,31514,83016,764 World Total

none

TY Imports

150150150182128296 Brazil


200200200234181226 Colombia

3503504005546721,443 EU-25

8001,0008001,2916610 Iran

400400300313508448 Israel

1,4001,4001,4001,5221,3591,399 Japan

600600800607400414 Jordan

20020020021462116 Kuwait

300300200261333188 Libya

400400500565143156 Morocco


6,0006,0006,7006,4205,5087,502 Saudi Arabia

800800800500600279 Syria

50050060051499312 Tunisia

1,2301,2301,5101,2151,4961,411 Others

15,78015,98017,01016,70714,10716,257 Subtotal

275375495451226225 Unaccounted

300300150157497282 United States

16,35516,65517,65517,31514,83016,764 World Total


November2006

World Barley Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2002/03 2003/04 2004/05 2005/06 2006/07Oct

2006/07Nov

none

Production

1,4501,4504001,3141,220416 Algeria

4,2004,5009,8697,70810,3873,865 Australia

1,3501,3501,8002,0001,8001,681 Belarus

10,00010,00012,48113,18612,3287,489 Canada


1,8001,8001,7851,5751,4101,200 Ethiopia

54,86355,01352,91761,75354,82656,509 EU-25

1,4001,4001,0801,3101,4101,500 India

2,9002,9002,9002,9002,9003,085 Iran

1,2501,2501,2501,2501,1501,000 Iraq


2,5002,5001,1022,7602,6201,669 Morocco


7,2007,2007,6007,4006,9007,200 Turkey

11,80011,5009,00011,1006,85010,364 Ukraine

10,37010,35010,61811,95110,2299,707 Others

134,583134,213133,502148,129136,847129,907 Subtotal

3,9203,9204,6136,0916,0594,940 United States

138,503138,133138,115154,220142,906134,847 World Total

none

Total Consumption

3,7003,5003,4003,2003,0502,700 Australia

1,5001,5001,9751,9001,7501,700 Belarus

10,20010,20010,42010,7679,8937,905 Canada


1,8001,8001,7851,5751,4101,200 Ethiopia

54,80054,80052,50052,90056,87754,400 EU-25

1,4001,4001,1001,3001,4001,500 India

4,1004,1003,9003,5003,1002,900 Iran

1,6501,6501,6501,6501,6301,600 Japan

2,6002,6002,4502,7002,3002,000 Morocco


6,3106,2106,3105,4107,0105,810 Saudi Arabia

1,5501,5501,4501,3501,2501,100 Syria

7,1007,2007,3007,3007,1006,800 Turkey

6,9006,7004,9006,4006,2007,400 Ukraine

16,42816,42816,12916,64414,92514,216 Others

141,571141,271137,551137,559142,557131,204 Subtotal

4,2464,2464,5715,6724,9905,179 United States

145,817145,517142,122143,231147,547136,383 World Total

none

Ending Stocks

1,0261,026626876611291 Algeria

1,1031,1033,3032,1341,887948 Australia

1,6391,6393,2893,4352,1021,475 Canada

5,6695,7868,25610,7064,2878,488 EU-25

1,0849109342,1102,2274,706 Russian Federation

2,7522,4523,0622,6722,3992,611 Saudi Arabia

1,4328321,2129915961,424 Ukraine

5,6085,8886,5117,8305,8335,749 Others

20,31319,63627,19330,75419,94225,692 Subtotal

1,9161,9162,3502,7962,6191,510 United States

22,22921,55229,54333,55022,56127,202 World Total


November2006


Regional Barley Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks

2002/03 2003/04 2004/05 2005/06Oct

2006/07Nov

2006/07

TY Imports none

514 North America 567 291 250 400 400

772 South America 440 538 550 535 535

1,443 European Union 672 554 400 350 350

235 Other Europe 384 172 190 240 240


9,081 Middle East 8,112 9,619 9,860 9,235 9,035

721 North Africa 601 1,473 1,520 1,270 1,270

97 Sub-Saharan Africa 69 102 100 100 100

3,340 East Asia 3,047 3,768 3,800 3,800 3,800

2 South Asia 0 0 0 0 0

1 Oceania 6 20 20 20 20

16,539 Total 14,604 16,864 17,160 16,280 16,080

Production none

13,166 North America 19,469 20,209 17,847 14,820 14,820

1,399 South America 2,039 2,058 1,802 1,895 1,895

56,509 European Union 54,826 61,753 52,917 55,013 54,863

3,208 Other Europe 2,395 4,119 3,381 2,867 2,887


12,438 Middle East 12,116 12,540 12,530 12,130 12,130

2,430 North Africa 4,795 4,719 2,212 4,595 4,595


3,839 East Asia 3,136 3,678 3,845 3,925 3,925

1,995 South Asia 1,970 2,025 1,795 2,118 2,118

4,306 Oceania 10,765 8,088 10,269 4,900 4,600

134,847 Total 142,906 154,220 138,115 138,133 138,503


13,884 North America 15,833 17,389 15,941 15,396 15,396

1,950 South America 2,189 2,330 2,220 2,225 2,225

54,400 European Union 56,877 52,900 52,500 54,800 54,800

2,810 Other Europe 2,700 3,495 3,205 3,035 3,035


18,627 Middle East 20,750 20,232 21,675 21,830 21,830

3,839 North Africa 4,427 5,164 4,780 5,230 5,230


6,949 East Asia 6,719 7,457 7,660 7,760 7,760

1,998 South Asia 1,960 2,015 1,815 2,118 2,118

3,125 Oceania 3,450 3,600 3,800 3,925 4,125

136,810 Total 146,185 144,118 140,890 145,634 146,034

Ending Stocks none

3,027 North America 4,921 6,470 5,731 3,647 3,647

267 South America 404 331 163 168 168

8,488 European Union 4,287 10,706 8,256 5,786 5,669

455 Other Europe 470 683 606 423 443


4,448 Middle East 4,429 5,742 6,054 5,089 5,089

640 North Africa 1,442 2,291 1,244 1,879 1,879


1,388 East Asia 850 839 824 789 789

24 South Asia 34 44 24 24 24

1,017 Oceania 1,939 2,186 3,375 1,170 1,170

27,202 Total 22,561 33,550 29,543 21,552 22,229



November2006

World Sorghum Trade


2002/03 2003/04 2004/05 2005/06 2006/07Oct

2006/07Nov

none

TY Exports

250250250279228604 Argentina

10025020037042575 Australia

505002437164 Brazil

2525252816888 China, Peoples Republic of

25252524426 India

505050505050 Nigeria

25252551010 Sudan

4545514567104 Others

5707206268251,3611,001 Subtotal

4,4004,3005,0004,5414,8454,911 United States

4,9705,0205,6265,3666,2065,912 World Total

none

TY Imports

656565716258 Chile

252525815550 Eritrea

225751502261,139439 EU-25

5050503410469 Israel

1,3501,3001,3931,3741,4341,562 Japan

2,9003,1003,0002,9313,0023,384 Mexico

505050505025 Niger

2525751801 Somalia

1001002501601515 Sudan

505050616164 Taiwan

7070300227235210 Others

4,9104,9105,4085,2336,1575,877 Subtotal

601102181324934 Unaccounted

000101 United States

4,9705,0205,6265,3666,2065,912 World Total


November2006

World Sorghum Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2002/03 2003/04 2004/05 2005/06 2006/07Oct

2006/07Nov

none

Production

2,8002,8002,2002,9002,2002,800 Argentina

2,1002,1002,0192,1772,0091,465 Australia

1,9001,9001,8502,0512,1031,900 Brazil

1,6001,5001,8371,4001,5201,260 Burkina


900900900900900900 Egypt

2,9002,9002,8002,1501,7001,100 Ethiopia

480480470470380701 EU-25

7,8007,8007,7907,2407,3307,060 India

6,1506,1505,5005,8907,3006,338 Mexico

675650750500720700 Niger

10,50010,50010,50010,0009,0007,850 Nigeria

3,7003,7004,3802,7005,1902,930 Sudan

700800890820500835 Tanzania, United Republic

490380450400420425 Uganda

4,3914,3984,2774,3144,3864,064 Others

49,48649,35849,15946,24048,52343,655 Subtotal

7,3277,65110,00511,52310,4469,163 United States

56,81357,00959,16457,76358,96952,818 World Total

none

Total Consumption

2,5002,5002,2002,6001,9502,250 Argentina

2,0051,8551,8551,9051,4051,405 Australia

1,9001,9001,9002,1001,6501,850 Brazil

1,6001,5001,8371,4001,5201,260 Burkina


900900900900900900 Egypt

3,0003,0002,2002,1501,7001,105 Ethiopia

7756255507001,966677 EU-25

7,7007,7007,7007,2007,3507,150 India

1,4001,3751,4001,4001,5001,575 Japan

9,1009,3008,6009,3009,8009,900 Mexico

700675750550750725 Niger

10,45010,45010,4509,9508,9507,800 Nigeria

4,0004,0004,2503,5004,5003,500 Sudan

700800890820500860 Tanzania, United Republic

5,1455,0475,2065,1005,0624,817 Others

54,05153,95353,33852,07252,52348,797 Subtotal

3,8103,9374,8516,2555,6384,939 United States

57,86157,89058,18958,32758,16153,736 World Total

none

Ending Stocks

278278228378429370 Argentina


500500600000 Ethiopia

2202201458061123 India

4744745246241,103601 Mexico

200200200200200200 Nigeria

443343668313958263 Sudan

777770891926837682 Others

3,0692,9623,4432,6773,8352,786 Subtotal

9811,1781,6551,4468521,093 United States

4,0504,1405,0984,1234,6873,879 World Total


November2006


Regional Sorghum Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks

2002/03 2003/04 2004/05 2005/06Oct

2006/07Nov

2006/07

TY Imports none

3,385 North America 3,002 2,932 3,000 3,100 2,900



123 South America 104 158 90 65 65

439 European Union 1,139 226 150 75 225

34 Other Europe 24 7 10 10 10

71 Middle East 105 34 50 50 50

1 North Africa 0 0 35 0 0


1,632 East Asia 1,526 1,450 1,468 1,370 1,420

1 South Asia 0 4 0 0 0

5 Southeast Asia 25 7 10 5 5

0 Oceania 0 0 0 0 0

5,878 Total 6,157 5,234 5,408 4,910 4,910

Production none

15,501 North America 17,746 17,413 15,505 13,801 13,477

384 Central America 332 330 307 326 326

125 Caribbean 128 128 128 128 128

5,473 South America 5,075 5,777 4,890 5,551 5,551

701 European Union 380 470 470 480 480

5 Other Europe 5 5 5 5 5

553 Middle East 485 485 485 485 485

915 North Africa 915 915 915 915 915


3,344 East Asia 2,882 2,348 2,566 2,420 2,420

7,263 South Asia 7,560 7,470 8,020 8,030 8,030

132 Southeast Asia 137 200 200 200 200

1,465 Oceania 2,009 2,177 2,019 2,100 2,100

52,818 Total 58,969 57,763 59,164 57,009 56,813


14,839 North America 15,438 15,555 13,451 13,237 12,910

365 Central America 335 355 310 325 325

125 Caribbean 128 128 128 128 128

4,988 South America 4,459 5,594 5,006 5,326 5,326

677 European Union 1,966 700 550 625 775

39 Other Europe 29 12 15 15 15

610 Middle East 590 527 535 535 535

916 North Africa 915 915 950 915 915


4,484 East Asia 4,603 3,886 3,985 3,850 3,875

7,354 South Asia 7,580 7,431 7,930 7,930 7,930

104 Southeast Asia 143 183 185 180 180

1,405 Oceania 1,405 1,905 1,855 1,855 2,005

53,538 Total 58,141 58,230 58,039 57,964 58,085

Ending Stocks none

1,694 North America 1,955 2,070 2,179 1,652 1,455



447 South America 608 585 404 469 394

68 European Union 32 21 34 31 34


43 Middle East 43 36 36 36 36

40 North Africa 40 39 39 39 39

530 Sub-Saharan Africa 1,375 773 1,703 1,267 1,378

826 East Asia 463 347 371 243 311

123 South Asia 61 80 145 220 220

8 Southeast Asia 5 26 26 26 26

54 Oceania 63 130 144 139 139

3,879 Total 4,687 4,123 5,098 4,140 4,050


November2006

2002/03 2003/04 2004/05 2005/06Oct

2006/07Nov

2006/07



November2006

World Oats Trade


2002/03 2003/04 2004/05 2005/06 2006/07Oct

2006/07Nov

none

TY Exports

555201 Argentina

125125200137210145 Australia

1,7001,7001,7001,3749841,058 Canada

252525294412 Chile

250250250354443794 EU-25


00521129 Others

2,1102,1102,1901,9221,6982,020 Subtotal


2,1402,1402,2301,9531,7362,059 World Total

none

TY Imports

555217 Algeria

555655 Bosnia and Herzegovina

202020161949 Canada


252525262328 Colombia

10101061111 EU-25

707070676783 Japan

505050519182 Mexico

555101 Morocco


505050263834 Switzerland

0059296 Others

285285290265324332 Subtotal

555514059110-50 Unaccounted

1,8001,8001,8001,6291,3021,777 United States

2,1402,1402,2301,9531,7362,059 World Total


November2006

World Oats Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2002/03 2003/04 2004/05 2005/06 2006/07Oct

2006/07Nov

none

Production

400400350508348500 Argentina

1,0001,0001,4161,3212,018957 Australia

550550600770500575 Belarus

475475517433413390 Brazil

3,8003,8003,4323,6833,6912,911 Canada

380380420425425420 Chile


7,4687,7787,3868,7558,6239,280 EU-25


349349349359333279 Norway

350350350350350350 Romania


120120120120110125 Serbia and Montenegro

290290290290285290 Turkey

9009008001,000925943 Ukraine

557557559547555495 Others

22,37922,48921,87924,25124,47623,915 Subtotal

1,3611,3611,6671,6792,0961,684 United States

23,74023,85023,54625,93026,57225,599 World Total

none

Total Consumption

400400350500359525 Argentina

1,0751,0751,2001,1751,705800 Australia

550550650700500600 Belarus

475475515425410382 Brazil

2,2002,2002,1182,1942,1871,870 Canada

350350400400380430 Chile


7,2007,5007,3508,3308,2768,287 EU-25


130130130126182133 Mexico

350350350360340280 Norway

350350350350350350 Romania


290290290290288290 Turkey

9009008001,000950950 Ukraine

780780787760747743 Others

20,74920,94920,72222,33223,20422,692 Subtotal

3,1893,1893,2873,2973,3893,480 United States

23,93824,13824,00925,62926,59326,172 World Total

none

Ending Stocks

737378837777 Argentina

115115315299290187 Australia

792792872974788524 Canada


7557827279148341,010 EU-25

323233343338 Norway


134134127183123156 Others

2,3002,2272,4512,8362,4352,674 Subtotal

716716763841941723 United States

3,0162,9433,2143,6773,3763,397 World Total


November2006


Regional Oats Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks

2002/03 2003/04 2004/05 2005/06Oct

2006/07Nov

2006/07

TY Imports none

1,908 North America 1,412 1,696 1,870 1,870 1,870

30 South America 34 26 30 25 25

11 European Union 11 6 10 10 10

41 Other Europe 47 34 55 55 55


0 Middle East 5 0 0 0 0



90 East Asia 76 80 90 90 90

0 Oceania 0 0 0 0 0

2,109 Total 1,626 1,894 2,090 2,085 2,085

Production none

4,660 North America 5,882 5,437 5,179 5,241 5,241

1,331 South America 1,221 1,397 1,317 1,285 1,285

9,280 European Union 8,623 8,755 7,386 7,778 7,468

963 Other Europe 981 1,028 1,026 1,026 1,026


290 Middle East 285 290 290 290 290

65 North Africa 105 110 110 110 110


602 East Asia 602 602 602 602 602

1,032 Oceania 2,093 1,396 1,491 1,075 1,075

25,599 Total 26,572 25,930 23,546 23,850 23,740


5,483 North America 5,758 5,617 5,535 5,519 5,519

1,390 South America 1,207 1,382 1,325 1,280 1,280

8,287 European Union 8,276 8,330 7,350 7,500 7,200

1,015 Other Europe 1,042 1,064 1,082 1,082 1,082


290 Middle East 288 290 290 290 290

73 North Africa 106 110 120 120 120


685 East Asia 677 677 690 690 690

875 Oceania 1,780 1,250 1,275 1,150 1,150

26,120 Total 26,368 25,552 23,932 24,094 23,894

Ending Stocks none

1,250 North America 1,732 1,818 1,638 1,511 1,511

98 South America 104 118 110 110 110

1,010 European Union 834 914 727 782 755

63 Other Europe 52 50 49 48 48





108 East Asia 109 114 116 118 118

187 Oceania 290 299 315 115 115

3,397 Total 3,376 3,677 3,214 2,943 3,016



November2006

World Rye Trade


2002/03 2003/04 2004/05 2005/06 2006/07Oct

2006/07Nov

none

TY Exports

5050505050150 Belarus

12512512512318644 Canada

400400450676452624 EU-25

005012242687 Others

5755756759717301,505 Subtotal


5805806809737321,507 World Total

none

TY Imports

1010101422501 EU-25

2525751112389 Israel

200200300261341414 Japan

25250811431 Korea, Republic of

20202013168 Norway


555272 Switzerland

202020611643 Turkey

50500032222 Ukraine

0015121190 Others

4554555206595881,400 Subtotal

25253514043-2 Unaccounted

100100125174101109 United States

5805806809737321,507 World Total


November2006

World Rye Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2002/03 2003/04 2004/05 2005/06 2006/07Oct

2006/07Nov

none

Production


1,1001,1001,1501,4001,2001,600 Belarus

335335359420327134 Canada

6,6727,1427,6769,9666,9079,190 EU-25


240240240240240255 Turkey

6006001,0501,6006251,511 Ukraine

220220227223221225 Others

12,02212,49214,35716,78813,75720,145 Subtotal

183183191210219165 United States

12,20512,67514,54816,99813,97620,310 World Total

none

Total Consumption


1,1001,1001,1001,3251,2001,300 Belarus

215215187211138106 Canada

7,3007,7008,60010,0758,7009,310 EU-25

200200300261340415 Japan


505050505050 Romania


260260260299283269 Turkey

8508501,0501,3009001,300 Ukraine

195195243270298305 Others

13,22113,62115,50117,29717,69419,404 Subtotal

307307304344297321 United States

13,52813,92815,80517,64117,99119,725 World Total

none

Ending Stocks

114114164164139199 Belarus

1651651701304325 Canada

8649341,8823,1563,8346,177 EU-25

202020202019 Japan

7676126773551,805 Russian Federation

6767267336140325 Ukraine

000111 Others

1,3061,3762,6293,8844,5328,551 Subtotal


1,3241,3942,6473,9044,5478,562 World Total


November2006


Regional Rye Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks

2002/03 2003/04 2004/05 2005/06Oct

2006/07Nov

2006/07

TY Imports none

111 North America 101 174 125 100 100

52 South America 0 0 0 0 0

501 European Union 22 14 10 10 10

14 Other Europe 24 17 25 25 25


132 Middle East 39 172 95 45 45


445 East Asia 455 269 300 225 225

12 Oceania 0 0 0 0 0

1,509 Total 689 833 645 555 555

Production none

299 North America 546 630 550 518 518

85 South America 42 94 64 61 61

9,190 European Union 6,907 9,966 7,676 7,142 6,672

147 Other Europe 143 145 145 141 141


255 Middle East 240 240 240 240 240


0 East Asia 0 0 0 0 0

20 Oceania 20 20 20 20 20

20,310 Total 13,976 16,998 14,548 12,675 12,205


427 North America 435 555 491 522 522

111 South America 42 94 64 61 61

9,310 European Union 8,700 10,075 8,600 7,700 7,300

160 Other Europe 173 163 171 166 166


358 Middle East 306 410 335 285 285


446 East Asia 454 269 300 225 225

31 Oceania 20 20 20 20 20

19,665 Total 17,788 17,574 15,799 13,932 13,532

Ending Stocks none

36 North America 58 150 188 183 183

0 South America 0 0 0 0 0

6,177 European Union 3,834 3,156 1,882 934 864


2,329 Former Soviet Union - 12 634 577 557 257 257



19 East Asia 20 20 20 20 20

0 Oceania 0 0 0 0 0

8,562 Total 4,547 3,904 2,647 1,394 1,324



November2006

HISTORICAL DATA SERIES FOR SELECTED REGIONS AND COUNTRIES

CONTENTS

European Union: Grain Supply and Demand ............................................... 39 China: Grain Supply and Demand ................................................................ 40 Other Europe: Grain Supply and Demand .................................................... 41 Former Soviet Union: Grain Supply and Demand........................................ 42 Wheat Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters ................................ 49 Corn Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters................................... 51 Barley Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters ................................ 53 Sorghum Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters............................ 54 U.S. Grains: Supply and Distribution ........................................................... 55 Total Wheat and Coarse Grains: Supply and Demand ................................. 57 World Wheat and Coarse Grains: Supply and Demand ............................... 58 World Corn and Barley: Supply and Demand .............................................. 60 World Rice: Supply and Demand ................................................................. 62

DG F/SA &F


November2006


38

Wheat and Coarse Grains Millions of Metric Tons/Hectares

European Union: Grain Supply and Demand

Area Harvested

Yield Production Imports Exports Feed Dom. Consumpti

Domestic Consumpti

Ending Stocks

Wheat

114.7 106.551.219.45.15.222.0 1999/00 15.0

124.2 111.154.216.84.75.323.5 2000/01 16.0

113.6 110.153.414.210.75.122.3 2001/02 15.9

124.8 118.158.419.913.95.423.1 2002/03 16.6

106.9 107.950.810.95.94.822.0 2003/04 10.6

136.8 115.256.714.47.45.923.2 2004/05 25.2

122.6 119.560.515.07.65.422.5 2005/06 20.9

117.2 116.057.016.06.85.222.7 2006/07 13.0

Coarse Grains

133.5 126.795.015.24.84.629.1 1999/00 21.1

132.7 131.099.510.75.44.629.0 2000/01 17.6

140.3 134.4101.28.05.94.729.5 2001/02 21.4

138.7 136.1102.88.66.44.829.2 2002/03 21.7

123.0 135.5101.94.47.84.229.0 2003/04 12.6

150.7 138.8106.54.03.75.229.1 2004/05 24.2

131.5 132.6100.53.83.54.628.3 2005/06 22.8

127.2 133.8101.44.23.74.627.7 2006/07 15.7

Wheat and Coarse Grains

248.3 233.2146.234.59.94.951.1 1999/00 36.1

256.9 242.1153.727.510.24.952.5 2000/01 33.6

253.8 244.5154.622.216.64.951.8 2001/02 37.3

263.5 254.2161.228.620.35.052.3 2002/03 38.4

229.9 243.4152.715.313.74.551.0 2003/04 23.2

287.5 254.0163.218.411.15.552.3 2004/05 49.4

254.1 252.1161.018.911.25.050.8 2005/06 43.7

244.4 249.8158.420.210.54.950.4 2006/07 28.6

Notes: Trade year statistics are on a July/June year for wheat and an Oct/Sept year for coarse grains. Data for years 1994-1999 represents EU-15 countries prior to its expansion in 1999.


November2006


China: Grain Supply and Demand

Area Harvested


Domestic Consumpti

Ending Stocks

Wheat

102.2 106.53.20.512.53.528.9 1995/96 76.5

110.6 107.63.41.02.73.729.6 1996/97 81.2

123.3 109.14.91.21.94.130.1 1997/98 96.2

109.7 108.35.00.50.83.729.8 1998/99 97.9

113.9 109.36.50.51.03.928.9 1999/00 102.9

99.6 110.310.00.60.23.726.7 2000/01 91.9

93.9 108.79.01.51.13.824.6 2001/02 76.6

90.3 105.26.51.70.43.823.9 2002/03 60.4

86.5 104.56.02.83.73.922.0 2003/04 43.3

92.0 102.04.01.26.74.321.6 2004/05 38.8

97.5 101.03.51.41.04.322.8 2005/06 34.9

103.5 101.04.02.50.74.423.4 2006/07 35.6

Coarse Grains

124.5 115.478.40.23.04.627.3 1995/96 101.1

141.3 121.082.64.02.14.929.1 1996/97 119.5

114.7 121.687.26.21.64.128.1 1997/98 108.0

143.5 127.391.43.42.64.929.1 1998/99 123.4

137.2 128.892.710.02.34.629.6 1999/00 124.2

114.0 130.494.47.32.44.326.5 2000/01 102.8

122.2 132.996.28.62.04.427.5 2001/02 85.6

130.7 136.498.415.31.84.728.0 2002/03 66.4

124.0 138.799.17.71.54.627.1 2003/04 45.5

138.3 141.2100.27.62.14.928.2 2004/05 37.0

147.7 147.5103.13.82.35.129.1 2005/06 35.8

151.3 151.4105.14.02.35.129.8 2006/07 33.9


226.7 221.981.60.715.54.056.2 1995/96 177.6

251.9 228.686.05.04.84.358.7 1996/97 200.7

238.0 230.692.17.43.54.158.1 1997/98 204.2

253.2 235.696.43.93.44.358.8 1998/99 221.3

251.1 238.199.210.53.44.358.4 1999/00 227.1

213.6 240.7104.47.92.64.053.1 2000/01 194.7

216.1 241.6105.210.13.14.152.1 2001/02 162.1

221.0 241.6104.917.12.24.351.9 2002/03 126.7

210.4 243.2105.110.55.34.349.1 2003/04 88.8

230.2 243.2104.28.88.84.649.8 2004/05 75.8

245.1 248.5106.65.13.34.751.9 2005/06 70.7

254.8 252.4109.16.53.04.853.2 2006/07 69.5

Notes: Trade year statisics are on July/June Year for wheat and an Oct/Sep year for coarse grains.


November2006


Other Europe: Grain Supply and Demand

Area Harvested


Domestic Consumpti

Ending Stocks

Wheat

16.6 14.23.32.81.23.35.1 1995/96 3.7

8.9 12.63.00.62.22.33.9 1996/97 1.7

16.0 14.43.21.11.53.25.0 1997/98 3.6

14.5 14.33.11.11.23.14.6 1998/99 3.9

11.9 13.33.21.61.83.13.9 1999/00 2.6

12.1 12.82.80.91.92.84.4 2000/01 2.9

14.7 13.63.32.02.02.95.1 2001/02 4.0

12.6 13.43.21.92.02.74.7 2002/03 3.3

7.6 12.92.50.14.22.23.5 2003/04 2.1

15.5 14.13.51.41.83.84.1 2004/05 3.9

13.2 13.53.12.01.63.14.3 2005/06 3.3

12.1 13.02.81.61.53.13.9 2006/07 2.2

Coarse Grains

25.8 25.221.20.90.73.47.6 1995/96 1.8

23.4 23.519.51.00.93.07.7 1996/97 1.5

29.4 27.022.91.20.73.97.5 1997/98 3.5

22.8 23.819.81.00.63.17.3 1998/99 2.1

26.5 25.821.80.90.83.67.3 1999/00 2.7

15.2 17.513.50.31.42.36.6 2000/01 1.4

21.1 20.516.61.01.13.16.8 2001/02 2.2

22.1 21.017.21.71.33.46.6 2002/03 3.0

18.7 21.317.90.31.52.86.6 2003/04 1.7

29.1 25.019.82.30.74.27.0 2004/05 4.1

26.8 24.919.32.40.73.96.9 2005/06 4.3

24.1 24.218.72.50.63.86.4 2006/07 2.4


42.4 39.424.43.81.83.312.7 1995/96 5.6

32.3 36.122.51.63.02.811.6 1996/97 3.2

45.4 41.426.12.32.23.612.4 1997/98 7.1

37.3 38.223.02.11.83.112.0 1998/99 6.0

38.4 39.125.02.52.53.511.1 1999/00 5.3

27.3 30.316.31.33.32.511.0 2000/01 4.3

35.8 34.019.93.03.13.011.8 2001/02 6.1

34.8 34.320.53.53.33.111.3 2002/03 6.3

26.3 34.120.40.45.82.610.1 2003/04 3.8

44.6 39.123.33.72.54.011.1 2004/05 8.1

40.0 38.422.44.32.33.611.2 2005/06 7.6

36.2 37.221.54.02.13.510.3 2006/07 4.6

Notes: Trade year statisics are on July/June Year for wheat and an Oct/Sep year for coarse grains.


November2006

Millions of Tons/Hectares

Former Soviet Union: Grain Supply and Demand (Barley)

Area Harvested

Ending Stocks

Total Consumpti

Feed Consumpti

MY Exports

MY Imports

ProductionYieldCountry Mktg Year

Former Soviet Union - 12

Kazakhstan, Republic of

2.2 1.91.80.50.01.31.8 2002/03 0.9

2.1 2.01.90.70.01.21.8 2003/04 0.4

1.5 1.61.50.10.00.91.7 2004/05 0.2

1.5 1.41.30.10.00.91.6 2005/06 0.2

1.5 1.41.30.30.00.91.6 2006/07 0.0

Russian Federation

18.7 15.510.73.10.31.810.3 2002/03 4.7

18.0 18.613.72.30.41.710.5 2003/04 2.2

17.2 16.511.71.10.31.710.0 2004/05 2.1

15.8 15.510.91.70.31.79.2 2005/06 0.9

18.5 16.111.52.50.31.810.1 2006/07 1.1

Ukraine

10.4 7.45.52.90.02.54.2 2002/03 1.4

6.9 6.24.71.50.01.54.6 2003/04 0.6

11.1 6.44.74.30.02.54.5 2004/05 1.0

9.0 4.93.24.00.12.14.4 2005/06 1.2

11.8 6.95.24.70.02.35.2 2006/07 1.4

Uzbekistan, Republic of

0.2 0.20.20.00.02.70.1 2002/03 0.0

0.2 0.20.10.00.01.40.1 2003/04 0.0

0.2 0.20.20.00.02.70.1 2004/05 0.0

0.2 0.20.20.00.02.70.1 2005/06 0.0

0.2 0.20.20.00.02.70.1 2006/07 0.0

Other Former Soviet Union - 12

2.6 2.61.90.00.02.41.1 2002/03 0.3

2.5 2.61.80.00.22.01.2 2003/04 0.5

3.2 2.92.20.00.12.61.2 2004/05 0.8

2.9 3.12.30.00.12.51.2 2005/06 0.7

2.5 2.72.00.00.12.21.1 2006/07 0.6

Total Former Soviet Union - 12

34.1 27.620.06.50.32.017.3 2002/03 7.4

29.6 29.522.24.50.71.618.3 2003/04 3.7

33.2 27.620.25.50.31.917.5 2004/05 4.2

29.4 25.117.85.80.51.816.3 2005/06 3.1

34.5 27.320.17.50.31.918.1 2006/07 3.2


November2006


Former Soviet Union: Grain Supply and Demand (Barley) (Continued)

Area Harvested

Ending Stocks

Total Consumpti

Feed Consumpti

MY Exports

MY Imports



November2006


Former Soviet Union: Grain Supply and Demand (Corn)

Area Harvested

Ending Stocks

Total Consumpti

Feed Consumpti

MY Exports

MY Imports




0.4 0.40.30.00.03.20.1 2002/03 0.0

0.3 0.30.20.00.03.00.1 2003/04 0.0

0.3 0.30.20.00.03.00.1 2004/05 0.0

0.3 0.30.20.00.03.00.1 2005/06 0.0

0.3 0.30.20.00.03.20.1 2006/07 0.0

Russian Federation

1.6 1.61.20.00.12.80.6 2002/03 0.1

2.1 2.62.20.00.53.00.7 2003/04 0.2

3.5 3.63.00.00.23.90.9 2004/05 0.2

3.2 3.63.00.10.33.80.9 2005/06 0.1

3.2 3.53.00.00.33.21.0 2006/07 0.1

Ukraine

4.2 3.52.80.80.03.51.2 2002/03 0.8

6.9 5.64.91.20.03.42.0 2003/04 0.8

8.8 6.05.32.30.03.82.3 2004/05 1.3

7.2 5.14.42.50.04.31.7 2005/06 0.9

6.0 4.54.01.80.04.01.5 2006/07 0.6


0.2 0.10.10.00.04.30.0 2002/03 0.0

0.1 0.20.10.00.04.10.0 2003/04 0.0

0.2 0.20.10.00.04.40.0 2004/05 0.0

0.2 0.20.20.00.04.60.0 2005/06 0.0

0.2 0.20.20.00.04.60.0 2006/07 0.0


2.2 2.32.00.00.12.80.8 2002/03 0.5

2.1 2.42.10.10.12.90.7 2003/04 0.3

2.6 2.72.40.00.33.10.9 2004/05 0.6

2.3 2.62.40.00.33.10.8 2005/06 0.5

2.3 2.52.20.00.23.10.7 2006/07 0.5


8.5 7.96.40.90.23.22.7 2002/03 1.5

11.5 11.09.51.30.63.23.6 2003/04 1.4

15.4 12.711.02.40.53.74.2 2004/05 2.2

13.1 11.810.12.50.63.93.4 2005/06 1.6

11.9 11.09.61.80.53.63.4 2006/07 1.2


November2006


Former Soviet Union: Grain Supply and Demand (Corn) (Continued)

Area Harvested

Ending Stocks

Total Consumpti

Feed Consumpti

MY Exports

MY Imports



November2006


Former Soviet Union: Grain Supply and Demand (Wheat)

Area Harvested

Ending Stocks

Total Consumpti

Feed Consumpti

MY Exports

MY Imports




12.6 6.82.76.20.01.111.5 2002/03 3.7

11.0 6.82.74.10.01.011.3 2003/04 3.8

10.0 7.42.72.70.00.811.8 2004/05 3.6

11.0 7.42.73.00.00.911.8 2005/06 4.3

11.5 7.62.75.00.00.912.2 2006/07 3.2

Russian Federation

50.6 39.316.012.61.02.025.7 2002/03 6.1

34.1 35.512.53.11.01.522.2 2003/04 2.6

45.4 37.413.68.01.21.924.2 2004/05 3.9

47.7 38.414.910.71.31.925.4 2005/06 3.8

43.5 36.913.78.51.21.823.7 2006/07 3.1

Ukraine

20.6 14.54.06.60.83.06.8 2002/03 3.3

3.6 9.00.40.13.41.52.5 2003/04 1.1

17.5 11.72.14.40.03.05.9 2004/05 2.6

18.7 12.52.96.50.12.86.6 2005/06 2.4

14.3 11.21.83.50.12.65.4 2006/07 2.1


5.0 4.90.80.00.34.21.2 2002/03 0.9

5.4 5.20.80.50.23.71.5 2003/04 0.9

5.5 5.40.80.10.23.91.4 2004/05 1.1

6.1 5.60.80.10.24.21.5 2005/06 1.7

5.8 6.00.80.10.24.51.3 2006/07 1.6


8.2 9.81.30.32.52.63.2 2002/03 2.5

6.8 9.41.20.12.62.32.9 2003/04 2.5

8.5 11.01.60.13.12.63.2 2004/05 3.0

8.7 11.41.60.13.12.63.3 2005/06 3.4

7.6 10.81.30.12.52.53.0 2006/07 2.7


96.9 75.424.825.74.62.048.4 2002/03 16.5

60.9 65.917.67.87.31.540.3 2003/04 11.0

86.8 72.920.815.24.61.946.5 2004/05 14.3

92.2 75.322.920.34.71.948.5 2005/06 15.6

82.7 72.520.317.24.01.845.6 2006/07 12.7


November2006


Former Soviet Union: Grain Supply and Demand (Wheat) (Continued)

Area Harvested

Ending Stocks

Total Consumpti

Feed Consumpti

MY Exports

MY Imports



November2006


Former Soviet Union: Grain Supply and Demand

Area Harvested


Domestic Consumpti

Ending Stocks

Wheat

63.1 64.016.25.05.21.543.1 2000/01 5.1

91.3 70.221.113.93.82.045.7 2001/02 16.0

96.9 75.424.825.74.62.048.4 2002/03 16.5

60.9 65.917.67.87.31.540.3 2003/04 11.0

86.8 72.920.815.24.61.946.5 2004/05 14.3

92.2 75.322.920.34.71.948.5 2005/06 15.6

82.7 72.520.317.24.01.845.6 2006/07 12.7

Coarse Grains

49.1 45.328.82.51.11.631.0 2000/01 6.0

61.8 50.833.36.61.01.932.6 2001/02 11.5

60.7 52.835.08.10.71.931.4 2002/03 12.0

55.4 56.739.46.11.51.831.2 2003/04 6.0

62.9 54.638.18.11.12.031.1 2004/05 7.3

55.1 49.533.58.41.11.928.3 2005/06 5.6

58.4 50.635.39.41.02.029.9 2006/07 5.0

Notes: Trade year statistics are on a July/June year for wheat and an Oct/Sept year for coarse grains.


November2006

Million Metric Tons/Hectares

Wheat Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters

Area Harvested

Ending Stocks

Total Consumpti

Feed Consumpti

MY Exports

MY Imports


Wheat Competitors

Argentina

13.3 4.90.08.60.02.55.4 1998/99 0.7

16.4 4.90.111.60.02.76.2 1999/00 0.6

16.2 5.00.111.30.02.56.4 2000/01 0.6

15.5 4.90.110.10.02.36.8 2001/02 1.1

12.3 5.20.16.80.02.15.9 2002/03 1.5

14.5 5.20.19.40.02.55.7 2003/04 1.4

16.0 5.00.111.80.02.66.1 2004/05 0.6

13.0 5.00.18.20.02.65.0 2005/06 0.4

13.3 4.90.18.50.02.55.2 2006/07 0.2

Australia

21.5 4.51.816.50.11.911.5 1998/99 2.8

24.8 5.22.517.80.12.012.2 1999/00 4.6

22.1 5.32.615.90.11.812.1 2000/01 5.5

24.3 5.42.716.40.12.111.6 2001/02 8.0

10.1 6.23.59.10.30.911.1 2002/03 3.1

26.1 6.03.218.00.12.013.1 2003/04 5.4

22.6 6.23.514.70.11.613.8 2004/05 7.1

24.5 6.43.716.00.11.912.6 2005/06 9.3

10.5 6.94.210.50.10.911.3 2006/07 2.4

Canada

24.1 8.14.314.70.22.310.7 1998/99 7.4

26.9 8.14.119.20.22.610.4 1999/00 7.3

26.5 7.03.017.30.22.411.0 2000/01 9.7

20.6 7.63.716.30.31.910.6 2001/02 6.7

16.2 8.24.19.40.41.88.8 2002/03 5.7

23.6 7.63.415.80.22.310.5 2003/04 6.1

25.9 9.35.115.00.22.69.9 2004/05 7.9

26.8 9.15.016.10.32.79.8 2005/06 9.7

26.3 9.14.720.50.32.510.6 2006/07 6.7

Total Wheat Competitors

58.8 17.56.139.70.22.127.6 1998/99 11.0

68.1 18.26.648.60.32.428.7 1999/00 12.5

64.9 17.45.744.50.32.229.5 2000/01 15.8

60.4 17.96.542.80.42.129.0 2001/02 15.9


November2006


Wheat Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters (Continued)

Area Harvested

Ending Stocks

Total Consumpti

Feed Consumpti

MY Exports

MY Imports


38.6 19.57.625.30.71.525.8 2002/03 10.4

64.2 18.86.743.20.32.229.2 2003/04 12.8

64.5 20.58.741.50.32.229.7 2004/05 15.6

64.3 20.58.840.30.42.327.4 2005/06 19.4

50.1 20.99.039.50.31.927.1 2006/07 9.4

India

66.4 63.70.40.02.22.526.7 1998/99 9.9

70.8 68.80.40.21.42.627.4 1999/00 13.1

76.4 66.80.51.60.42.827.5 2000/01 21.5

69.7 65.10.53.10.02.725.7 2001/02 23.0

71.8 74.30.64.90.02.825.9 2002/03 15.7

65.1 68.30.65.70.02.624.9 2003/04 6.9

72.2 72.80.52.10.02.726.6 2004/05 4.1

68.6 70.00.30.80.02.626.5 2005/06 2.0

68.0 72.50.30.56.02.725.0 2006/07 3.0

Turkey

18.0 16.91.02.61.92.18.6 1998/99 2.6

16.5 16.81.02.21.51.98.7 1999/00 1.6

18.0 16.71.01.60.52.18.7 2000/01 1.7

15.5 16.51.10.81.01.88.5 2001/02 1.0

16.8 16.81.00.81.22.08.6 2002/03 1.5

16.8 16.81.00.81.12.08.6 2003/04 1.7

18.5 16.81.02.00.42.28.6 2004/05 1.8

18.0 16.10.43.20.12.18.6 2005/06 0.6

18.0 16.80.82.00.72.18.6 2006/07 0.5

Notes: Wheat trade statistics are on July/June year.


November2006


Corn Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters

Area Harvested

Ending Stocks

Total Consumpti

Feed Consumpti

MY Exports

MY Imports


Argentina

13.5 6.54.97.90.05.22.6 1998/99 0.7

17.2 5.54.011.90.05.53.1 1999/00 0.5

15.4 5.63.99.70.05.52.8 2000/01 0.6

14.7 4.22.710.90.06.02.5 2001/02 0.3

15.5 4.12.511.20.06.32.5 2002/03 0.5

15.0 4.42.810.90.06.52.3 2003/04 0.2

20.5 5.23.514.60.07.42.8 2004/05 1.0

14.5 5.94.28.50.06.02.4 2005/06 1.1

17.5 6.14.311.50.07.02.5 2006/07 1.0

China, Peoples Republic of

133.0 113.986.53.30.35.325.2 1998/99 122.9

128.1 117.389.59.90.14.925.9 1999/00 123.8

106.0 120.292.07.30.14.623.1 2000/01 102.4

114.1 123.194.08.60.04.724.3 2001/02 84.8

121.3 125.996.015.20.04.924.6 2002/03 65.0

115.8 128.497.07.60.04.824.1 2003/04 44.9

130.3 131.098.07.60.05.125.4 2004/05 36.6

139.4 137.0101.03.70.15.326.4 2005/06 35.3

143.0 141.0103.04.00.15.327.0 2006/07 33.4

South Africa, Republic of

7.9 7.93.70.50.62.23.6 1998/99 0.9

11.5 8.94.11.40.03.03.8 1999/00 2.0

8.0 8.74.11.30.42.53.2 2000/01 0.5

10.1 8.43.91.10.92.83.5 2001/02 1.9

9.7 8.54.01.10.42.73.7 2002/03 2.4

9.7 8.74.10.70.22.93.3 2003/04 3.0

11.7 9.75.02.10.43.63.2 2004/05 3.2

7.0 9.14.40.80.93.32.1 2005/06 1.2

9.5 9.34.60.90.43.23.0 2006/07 0.9

Brazil

32.4 33.228.20.01.22.712.1 1998/99 2.1

31.6 33.528.50.21.62.512.6 1999/00 1.7

41.5 34.529.56.30.23.213.0 2000/01 2.7

35.5 35.029.52.10.43.011.8 2001/02 1.5

44.5 35.830.04.60.73.413.0 2002/03 6.3

42.0 36.330.54.40.43.412.4 2003/04 7.9


November2006


Corn Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters (Continued)

Area Harvested

Ending Stocks

Total Consumpti

Feed Consumpti

MY Exports

MY Imports


35.0 38.532.10.70.53.011.6 2004/05 4.2

41.0 39.032.53.51.03.212.8 2005/06 3.7

41.0 40.033.52.00.83.312.6 2006/07 3.4

Total Corn Competitors

186.8 161.5123.211.82.04.343.5 1998/99 126.6

188.4 165.2126.123.51.74.145.4 1999/00 128.0

171.0 169.0129.524.50.84.142.1 2000/01 106.2

174.3 170.7130.122.61.34.142.1 2001/02 88.6

191.0 174.3132.532.21.24.443.7 2002/03 74.2

182.5 177.8134.423.70.64.342.1 2003/04 55.9

197.5 184.4138.625.00.94.643.0 2004/05 44.9

201.9 191.0142.116.51.94.643.7 2005/06 41.2

211.0 196.4145.418.41.34.745.1 2006/07 38.6

Notes: Corn Trade Statistics are on an Oct/Sept year.


November2006


Barley Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters

Area Harvested

Ending Stocks

Total Consumpti

Feed Consumpti

MY Exports

MY Imports


Australia

6.0 2.11.34.20.01.93.2 1998/99 0.5

5.0 2.61.72.60.01.92.6 1999/00 0.4

6.7 2.21.34.00.02.03.5 2000/01 1.0

8.3 2.81.84.70.02.23.7 2001/02 1.8

3.9 2.71.82.00.01.03.9 2002/03 0.9

10.4 3.12.26.40.02.34.5 2003/04 1.9

7.7 3.22.34.30.01.74.6 2004/05 2.1

9.9 3.42.55.30.02.14.7 2005/06 3.3

4.2 3.72.82.70.01.04.2 2006/07 1.1

Canada

12.7 11.310.11.10.03.04.3 1998/99 2.7

13.2 11.49.91.70.03.24.1 1999/00 2.8

13.2 11.610.12.00.02.94.6 2000/01 2.5

10.8 10.38.91.10.12.64.2 2001/02 2.0

7.5 7.96.50.40.22.23.3 2002/03 1.5

12.3 9.98.51.80.02.84.4 2003/04 2.1

13.2 10.89.31.20.13.34.1 2004/05 3.4

12.5 10.48.92.30.13.23.9 2005/06 3.3

10.0 10.28.71.50.12.93.4 2006/07 1.6

EU-25

57.5 51.637.310.41.14.113.9 1999/00 11.6

58.8 54.940.47.71.14.313.6 2000/01 9.0

57.0 53.939.03.81.64.213.5 2001/02 9.9

56.5 54.438.75.01.54.213.3 2002/03 8.5

54.8 56.941.02.80.64.113.4 2003/04 4.3

61.8 52.937.52.90.54.713.1 2004/05 10.7

52.9 52.537.23.10.24.113.0 2005/06 8.3

54.9 54.839.53.00.44.312.8 2006/07 5.7

Notes: Barley trade statistics are on October/September year.


November2006


Sorghum Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters

Area Harvested

Ending Stocks

Total Consumpti

Feed Consumpti

MY Exports

MY Imports


Argentina

3.2 2.62.50.60.04.40.7 1998/99 0.7

3.4 2.52.40.90.04.60.7 1999/00 0.7

2.7 2.52.40.40.04.80.6 2000/01 0.4

2.8 2.32.20.40.05.10.5 2001/02 0.5

2.8 2.32.10.60.05.10.6 2002/03 0.4

2.2 2.01.90.20.04.60.5 2003/04 0.4

2.9 2.62.40.40.05.00.6 2004/05 0.4

2.2 2.22.00.20.04.40.5 2005/06 0.2

2.8 2.52.30.30.05.10.6 2006/07 0.3

Australia

1.9 1.41.40.50.03.20.6 1998/99 0.1

2.1 1.31.30.90.03.40.6 1999/00 0.1

1.9 1.31.30.60.02.60.8 2000/01 0.1

2.0 1.71.70.40.02.50.8 2001/02 0.1

1.5 1.41.40.10.02.20.7 2002/03 0.1

2.0 1.41.40.60.02.70.7 2003/04 0.1

2.2 1.91.90.20.02.70.8 2004/05 0.1

2.0 1.91.90.20.02.30.9 2005/06 0.1

2.1 2.02.00.10.02.60.8 2006/07 0.1

Notes: Sorghum trade statistics are on October/September year.


November2006

Thousand Metric Tons/Hectares

U.S. Grains Supply and Distribution: Wheat, Corn, Sorghum, Barley, Oats, Rye, and Rice

Area Harvested

Yield Rough Production

Production Imports TY Imports Exports TY Exports Feed Dom. Consumption


Ending Stocks

Wheat

21,15032,4344,95326,27026,1902,9532,92753,001nr319,616 2001/02

13,37430,4483,15022,83423,1391,9582,10643,705nr218,544 2002/03

14,87232,5075,52132,29531,5241,7601,71563,814nr321,474 2003/04

14,69931,8234,95528,46429,0091,9461,92158,738nr320,234 2004/05

15,54531,1914,17427,42427,4672,3092,22457,280nr320,283 2005/06

11,38231,1633,94626,00025,1742,8002,85849,316nr318,943 2006/07

Corn

40,551200,941148,95847,27148,383202258241,377nr927,830 2001/02

27,603200,748141,30340,92440,334374367227,767nr828,057 2002/03

24,337211,644147,19748,80848,258341358256,278nr928,710 2003/04

53,697224,648156,42845,34746,181281275299,914nr1029,798 2004/05

50,055231,584155,85356,20054,545250227282,260nr930,395 2005/06

23,760243,597153,67755,50055,883250254272,931nr928,752 2006/07

Sorghum

1,5496,4275,8426,1356,1420013,057nr43,472 2001/02

1,0934,9394,3284,9114,681119,163nr32,883 2002/03

8525,6384,6244,8455,0490010,446nr33,156 2003/04

1,4466,2554,8604,5414,6751111,523nr42,637 2004/05

1,6554,8513,5825,0004,9450010,005nr42,321 2005/06

9813,8102,4134,4004,191007,327nr32,153 2006/07

Barley

2,0065,6612,2725175755385215,407nr31,729 2001/02

1,5105,1791,8195526592824024,940nr31,669 2002/03

2,6194,9901,6173844094974496,059nr31,913 2003/04

2,7965,6722,2487715061572646,091nr41,627 2004/05

2,3504,5711,1313506051501174,613nr31,323 2005/06

1,9164,2468714004353003273,920nr31,194 2006/07

Oats

9173,4592,41337411,4971,6541,707nr2773 2001/02

7233,4802,43539381,7771,6401,684nr2833 2002/03

9413,3892,33038361,3021,5472,096nr2898 2003/04

8413,2972,22331391,6291,5571,679nr2723 2004/05

7633,2872,21340301,8001,5721,667nr2738 2005/06

7163,1892,10030291,8001,8101,361nr2638 2006/07

Rye


November2006

Area Harvested


Production Imports TY Imports Exports TY Exports Feed Dom. Consumption


Ending Stocks

143127545164126175nr2101 2001/02

113218523109156165nr2106 2002/03

15297622110183219nr2129 2003/04

2034410724174143210nr2121 2004/05

183046953125114191nr2113 2005/06

183077153100127183nr2111 2006/07

Rice, Milled

1,2163,850nr3,2952,9544204196,7149,76471,341 2001/02

8293,534nr3,8343,8604584716,5369,57071,298 2002/03

7613,656nr3,0903,3104774786,4209,06871,213 2003/04

1,2113,935nr3,8623,4964194197,46210,54081,346 2004/05

1,3703,809nr3,7003,6896005447,11310,12571,361 2005/06

1,0943,905nr3,0003,0806255726,1378,76781,142 2006/07

Notes: Wheat trade year statistics are on July/June years. Barley, corn, sorghum, rye and oats trade year statistics are on Oct/Sept years. Rice trade year statistics are for subsequent calendar year.


November2006

Millions of Metric Tons/Hectares

Total Wheat and Coarse Grains: Supply and Demand

Area Harvested

Yield Production TY Exports Feed Dom. Consumpti

Domestic Consumpti

Ending Stocks


1,068.9 233.21,076.8511.7158.31.9570.7 1977/78

1,183.1 278.21,138.1556.8161.82.1569.7 1978/79

1,153.1 273.71,157.6573.9182.62.0569.0 1979/80

1,159.3 255.21,179.2562.6200.62.0577.6 1980/81

1,204.0 281.01,178.3573.5196.92.0587.8 1981/82

1,248.0 332.11,197.1593.4189.62.2576.9 1982/83

1,162.5 278.51,216.2588.4193.22.1563.8 1983/84

1,315.0 339.91,253.6609.9203.62.3567.0 1984/85

1,328.5 420.51,247.9613.1165.22.3570.9 1985/86

1,348.0 468.91,299.5644.2174.72.4565.6 1986/87

1,285.0 422.01,329.8655.2202.22.4544.7 1987/88

1,218.0 337.41,302.6618.2203.32.2542.2 1988/89

1,327.7 318.71,346.4643.1208.92.4548.4 1989/90

1,416.7 365.81,369.6666.9190.12.6548.8 1990/91

1,355.4 356.41,364.7649.8207.52.5545.4 1991/92

1,431.0 395.01,389.5662.2205.22.6549.3 1992/93

1,356.2 362.41,388.8654.0188.22.5540.5 1993/94

1,392.4 358.61,396.2666.5200.12.6537.8 1994/95

1,338.8 317.11,380.3636.0187.52.5533.5 1995/96

1,491.6 366.11,442.6669.1198.42.7553.6 1996/97

1,491.2 412.91,444.5680.0190.32.8539.6 1997/98

1,480.9 445.51,448.2678.5198.72.8533.6 1998/99

1,463.4 441.11,467.3685.2217.52.8515.1 1999/00

1,443.8 416.51,468.4692.8208.52.8514.3 2000/01

1,474.8 399.71,491.6707.0213.62.9516.1 2001/02

1,443.5 336.41,506.8708.5214.82.8507.9 2002/03

1,471.3 272.61,535.2711.9207.32.8517.1 2003/04

1,643.4 330.41,585.6747.6215.23.2519.2 2004/05

1,594.2 314.21,610.4745.0222.63.1519.3 2005/06

1,551.3 240.51,625.0742.4216.43.0514.9 2006/07

Notes: Wheat and coarse grains trade data are on July June years through 1975/76. From 1976/77 to the present, coarse grains data are on an Oct/Sept trade year. "Stocks as a Percent of Consumption" represents the ratio of marketing year ending stocks to total consumption.


November2006


World Wheat and Coarse Grains: Supply and Demand

Area Harvested


Domestic Consumpti

Ending Stocks

Wheat

377.8 109.2396.085.571.71.7227.2 1977/78

438.9 134.8413.389.871.31.9228.9 1978/79

417.5 120.5431.994.085.51.8227.8 1979/80

435.9 112.7444.191.293.21.8236.9 1980/81

445.0 112.5445.190.6100.51.9238.9 1981/82

472.7 129.9455.692.897.72.0238.4 1982/83

484.3 145.3468.995.6101.22.1229.9 1983/84

508.9 168.0486.299.9104.72.2231.7 1984/85

494.8 178.3484.597.283.62.2229.8 1985/86

524.1 191.1511.3113.289.72.3227.9 1986/87

497.9 158.6530.3113.6114.12.3219.7 1987/88

495.0 134.0519.6104.0104.32.3217.4 1988/89

533.2 136.2531.0103.7103.92.4225.8 1989/90

588.0 170.5553.7130.1101.32.5231.4 1990/91

542.9 162.0551.5113.8111.42.4222.5 1991/92

561.6 175.7547.6110.9113.22.5222.8 1992/93

558.0 181.4552.4108.0101.72.5222.1 1993/94

523.2 162.1542.499.6101.52.4214.4 1994/95

537.9 155.3544.891.999.22.5218.8 1995/96

582.6 164.5573.496.7104.02.5230.2 1996/97

610.0 197.1577.3101.0104.52.7228.4 1997/98

590.0 208.1579.0103.7102.02.6225.1 1998/99

585.8 208.9585.099.7112.72.7215.4 1999/00

581.5 206.5583.9104.0104.12.7217.6 2000/01

581.1 202.7585.0106.6110.82.7214.7 2001/02

567.6 166.6603.8112.7110.12.6214.6 2002/03

554.6 132.7588.596.7104.52.6209.9 2003/04

628.8 151.4610.1106.6113.12.9218.9 2004/05

618.9 147.1623.3111.1113.72.8218.1 2005/06

586.8 118.8615.0104.2111.92.8212.0 2006/07

Coarse Grains

691.0 124.0680.8426.286.62.0343.5 1977/78

744.1 143.3724.8467.090.52.2340.8 1978/79

735.5 153.2725.6479.997.12.2341.1 1979/80

723.5 142.6735.1471.4107.42.1340.7 1980/81

759.0 168.4733.2482.996.42.2348.9 1981/82

775.3 202.2741.5500.692.02.3338.6 1982/83

678.2 133.1747.3492.792.02.0333.9 1983/84

806.1 171.9767.4510.098.92.4335.3 1984/85

833.7 242.2763.4515.981.62.4341.1 1985/86

823.9 277.9788.2531.085.02.4337.7 1986/87

787.1 263.3799.5541.688.12.4325.0 1987/88

723.0 203.4782.9514.299.02.2324.9 1988/89

794.5 182.5815.4539.4105.02.5322.6 1989/90

828.6 195.2815.9536.888.92.6317.5 1990/91

812.5 194.4813.3536.096.22.5322.8 1991/92

869.3 219.3841.9551.291.92.7326.4 1992/93

798.1 181.1836.4546.086.52.5318.4 1993/94

869.2 196.5853.8567.098.62.7323.5 1994/95

800.9 161.8835.5544.188.22.5314.7 1995/96

909.0 201.7869.2572.494.42.8323.4 1996/97


November2006

Area Harvested


Domestic Consumpti

Ending Stocks

881.2 215.8867.2578.985.82.8311.2 1997/98

890.9 237.4869.2574.896.72.9308.5 1998/99

877.6 232.2882.4585.5104.82.9299.7 1999/00

862.3 210.0884.5588.9104.42.9296.7 2000/01

893.7 197.0906.6600.4102.73.0301.4 2001/02

875.8 169.9903.0595.7104.73.0293.3 2002/03

916.7 139.9946.7615.2102.73.0307.3 2003/04

1,014.6 179.0975.5641.1102.13.4300.3 2004/05

975.2 167.1987.1633.9108.93.2301.2 2005/06

964.5 121.61,009.9638.2104.53.2302.9 2006/07

Notes: Wheat and coarse grains trade data are on July June years through 1975/76. From 1976/77 to the present, coarse grains data are on an Oct/Sept trade year. "Stocks as a Percent of Consumption" represents the ratio of marketing year ending stocks to total consumption.


November2006


World Corn and Barley: Supply and Demand

Area Harvested


Domestic Consumpti

Ending Stocks

Corn

365.4 77.3356.5226.763.62.9125.8 1977/78

392.1 91.4378.0247.067.13.1126.0 1978/79

425.6 111.2405.8277.173.23.3127.3 1979/80

408.7 102.5417.9279.277.83.1131.2 1980/81

441.8 127.2417.1286.166.93.3133.0 1981/82

439.9 149.8417.3293.563.23.5125.2 1982/83

348.3 89.0409.1271.161.12.9119.7 1983/84

458.4 118.2429.2289.566.13.6129.0 1984/85

479.0 177.7419.5284.353.83.7131.0 1985/86

475.4 204.9448.3304.656.93.6131.9 1986/87

451.0 197.5458.3316.558.83.5127.2 1987/88

400.9 145.2453.2306.866.03.2126.3 1988/89

462.0 132.8474.4324.874.53.6127.5 1989/90

482.1 141.2473.6318.358.83.7129.4 1990/91

493.2 140.9493.6334.363.03.7132.7 1991/92

536.1 162.5512.5348.662.64.0133.4 1992/93

476.0 129.3509.2342.057.43.6130.9 1993/94

559.0 152.9535.3371.171.94.1135.3 1994/95

515.9 132.5536.3364.864.83.8134.9 1995/96

592.6 165.3559.8387.366.74.2141.6 1996/97

573.8 165.7573.3400.963.14.2136.2 1997/98

605.7 190.4581.1404.268.74.4139.2 1998/99

607.5 192.9605.0422.373.54.4139.0 1999/00

590.5 173.1610.3427.776.44.3137.1 2000/01

599.7 149.8623.1435.974.64.4137.8 2001/02

603.0 125.4627.3433.178.44.4137.7 2002/03

625.7 103.4647.7444.579.24.4141.9 2003/04

712.8 131.2685.0471.576.54.9144.8 2004/05

693.3 124.5700.0474.482.74.8145.5 2005/06

688.7 90.0723.3476.380.54.7145.8 2006/07

Barley

157.1 19.9158.9113.810.11.983.0 1977/78

175.6 24.3171.2123.910.62.280.9 1978/79

153.8 18.9159.2118.510.21.884.0 1979/80

157.4 18.3158.3111.213.52.078.6 1980/81

149.5 16.0151.8109.414.51.881.6 1981/82

161.2 21.5155.8113.416.02.078.8 1982/83

158.5 15.5164.5122.015.82.079.8 1983/84

170.5 23.1162.9122.417.42.279.2 1984/85

173.6 29.6167.2127.817.72.280.0 1985/86

178.1 33.8173.8132.118.32.279.6 1986/87

175.3 33.4173.6129.718.32.278.7 1987/88

164.0 31.1166.2121.919.02.176.4 1988/89

166.1 26.7170.5126.218.52.373.6 1989/90

179.0 29.8175.9130.419.62.572.9 1990/91

169.8 33.3166.3120.219.42.276.4 1991/92

166.2 33.3165.6118.916.42.373.4 1992/93

169.2 33.5168.9123.718.82.374.7 1993/94

160.7 28.5165.8121.115.32.273.2 1994/95

141.6 19.5150.6107.713.42.169.0 1995/96

153.6 23.6149.4106.217.92.366.5 1996/97


November2006

Area Harvested


Domestic Consumpti

Ending Stocks

154.3 32.2145.8103.712.82.464.9 1997/98

135.7 28.9139.098.617.82.260.7 1998/99

127.5 24.0132.394.018.82.355.3 1999/00

132.8 22.8134.194.416.92.454.6 2000/01

142.3 28.7136.395.117.62.556.8 2001/02

134.8 27.2136.494.316.82.456.4 2002/03

142.9 22.6147.5102.614.82.460.1 2003/04

154.2 33.6143.2100.117.32.658.4 2004/05

138.1 29.5142.196.917.72.456.4 2005/06

138.5 22.2145.8101.716.42.457.0 2006/07

Notes: Coarse grains trade data are on July June years through 1975/76. From 1976/77 to the present, coarse grains data are on an Oct/Sept trade year. "Stocks as a Percent of Consumption" represents the ratio of marketing year ending stocks to total consumption.


November2006


World Rice: Supply and Demand

Area Harvested


Production TY Exports Domestic Consumpti

Ending Stocks

Rice, Milled

368.8 44.8244.79.5250.62.6143.4 1977/78

385.4 54.8252.311.8262.42.7143.6 1978/79

376.6 54.0257.612.0256.82.7141.2 1979/80

397.0 52.6271.211.9269.92.7144.4 1980/81

408.3 50.5280.011.3277.92.8144.4 1981/82

418.3 56.8278.711.2285.03.0140.5 1982/83

450.9 69.3294.411.9306.93.1144.6 1983/84

464.9 87.7298.411.0316.83.2144.2 1984/85

467.3 97.7307.911.8318.03.2144.8 1985/86

481.9 103.3310.412.9316.03.3144.8 1986/87

465.0 105.3313.311.4315.33.3141.7 1987/88

491.0 111.7325.814.0332.23.4146.5 1988/89

510.4 120.6336.411.7345.33.5147.6 1989/90

518.9 126.7345.012.3351.03.5146.7 1990/91

522.9 126.8353.114.4353.33.5147.5 1991/92

524.2 123.3357.514.9354.03.6146.5 1992/93

526.5 119.1359.216.6355.03.6145.4 1993/94

539.5 117.8365.220.8363.93.7147.5 1994/95

547.2 118.4368.119.7368.73.7148.2 1995/96

564.5 120.6378.718.9380.93.8150.0 1996/97

574.4 127.9379.627.6386.93.8151.2 1997/98

586.5 134.3388.124.8394.63.8152.7 1998/99

608.0 145.1398.022.8408.83.9155.2 1999/00

593.2 149.2394.524.4398.73.9151.5 2000/01

593.9 136.4412.027.9399.13.9150.5 2001/02

562.1 106.5407.427.6377.53.9145.8 2002/03

584.3 85.4412.927.2391.83.9148.1 2003/04

595.7 78.1407.729.0400.54.0149.6 2004/05

618.6 80.6413.028.0415.54.1152.2 2005/06

620.4 78.8418.328.0416.54.1152.5 2006/07

Notes: Stocks, exports and consumption are expressed on a milled basis in marketing years. "Stocks as a Percent of Consumption" represents the ratio of marketing year ending stocks to total consumption.


November2006

ENDNOTES TO GRAIN: WORLD MARKETS AND TRADE

REGIONAL TABLES North America: Canada, Mexico, the United States.

Latin America: Central America, the Caribbean, South America. EU: Austria, Belgium/Luxembourg, Cyprus, Czech Republic, Denmark, Estonia, Finland,

France, Germany, Greece, Hungary, Ireland, Italy, Latvia, Lithuania, Malta, Netherlands, Poland, Portugal, Slovakia, Slovenia, Spain, Sweden, United Kingdom. Former Soviet Union: Armenia, Azerbaijan, Belarus, Georgia, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Moldova, Russia, Tajikistan, Turkmenistan, Ukraine, Uzbekistan.

Other Europe: Albania, Azores, Bosnia and Herzegovina, Bulgaria, Croatia, Gibraltar, Iceland, Macedonia, Norway, Romania, Serbia and Montenegro, Switzerland, Yugoslavia. Middle East: Bahrain, Iran, Iraq, Israel, Jordan, Kuwait, Lebanon, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, Syria, Turkey, United Arab Emirates, Yemen. North Africa: Algeria, Egypt, Libya, Morocco, Tunisia. Other Africa: all African countries except North Africa. South Asia: Afghanistan, Bangladesh, Bhutan, India, Nepal, Pakistan, Sri Lanka,

Maldives. Southeast Asia: Brunei, Burma, Cambodia, Indonesia, Laos, Malaysia, Philippines,

Singapore, Thailand, Vietnam. East Asia: China, Hong Kong, Japan, South Korea, North Korea, Macau, Mongolia,

Taiwan. Oceania: Australia, Fiji, New Zealand, Papua New Guinea.

OTHER NOTESStocks: Unless otherwise stated, stock data are based on an aggregate of differing local marketing years and should not be construed as representing world stock levels at a fixed point in time.

Consumption: World totals for consumption reflect total utilization, including food, seed, industrial, feed, and waste; as well as differences in marketing year imports and marketing yearexports. Consumption statistics for regions and individual countries, however, reflect food, seed, industrial, feed, and waste only.

EU Consolidation: The trade figures for the EU-25 for the years 1999/00 through 2002/03 are inflated by the two-way trade between the two groups (EU-15 and acceding 10). Over the past 6 years, this “intra-trade” has averaged about 700,000 tons for wheat, 350,000 tons each for corn and barley, and 150,000 tons for rye. The trade figures also include intra-trade between membersof the acceding 10. From 2003/04 onward, all intra-trade has been removed.

Statistics: (1) Wheat trade statistics include wheat, flour, and selected products on a grain equivalent basis. (2) Rice trade statistics include rough, brown, milled, and broken on a milledequivalent basis. (3) Coarse grains statistics include corn, barley, sorghum, oats, rye, millet, and mixed grains but exclude trade in barley malt, millet, and mixed grains.


November2006


63

Unaccounted: This term includes grain in transit, reporting discrepancies in some countries, and trade to countries outside the USDA database.

The Grain and Feed Division, Commodity and Marketing Programs, Foreign Agricultural Service, USDA, Washington DC 20250, prepared this circular. Information is gathered from official statistics of foreign governments and other foreign source materials, reports of U.S.agricultural attachés and Foreign Service officers, office research, and related information. Further information may be obtained by writing the Division or telephoning (202) 720-6219.

Note: The previous report in this series was the Grain: World Markets and Trade Foreign Agricultural Service Circular FG 10-06 October 2006. For further details on world grain production, see World Agricultural Production Foreign Agricultural Service Circular WAP 11-06 November 2006.

This circular is available in its entirety on the World Wide Web via the Foreign Agricultural Service Home Page. The address is: http://www.fas.usda.gov


November2006


64

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