fourth quarter and full-year 2016 earnings |...
TRANSCRIPT
Fourth Quarter and Full-Year 2016 Earnings | February 2, 2017
Earnings Presentation | Fourth Quarter and Full-Year 2016
Forward-Looking Statements
Certain statements in these slides and made during this presentation may be considered forward-looking
statements. These statements reflect management's current views and are subject to risks and
uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from those expressed or implied in these
statements. Factors which could cause actual results to differ include but are not limited to: (i) the level of
our indebtedness and changes in interest rates; (ii) industry conditions, including but not limited to
changes in the cost or availability of raw materials, energy and transportation costs, competition we face,
cyclicality and changes in consumer preferences, demand and pricing for our products; (iii) global
economic conditions and political changes, including but not limited to the impairment of financial
institutions, changes in currency exchange rates, credit ratings issued by recognized credit rating
organizations, the amount of our future pension funding obligation, changes in tax laws and pension and
health care costs; (iv) unanticipated expenditures related to the cost of compliance with existing and new
environmental and other governmental regulations and to actual or potential litigation; (v) changes in our
estimates for the costs and insurance coverage associated with the recent incident at our Pensacola,
Florida mill and for the time required to resume full operations at the mill; (vi) whether we experience a
material disruption at one of our other manufacturing facilities; (vii) risks inherent in conducting business
through joint ventures; (viii) the failure to realize the expected synergies and cost-savings from our
purchase of the cellulose fibers business of Weyerhaeuser Company; and (ix) our ability to achieve the
benefits we expect from all other strategic acquisitions, divestitures and restructurings. These and other
factors that could cause or contribute to actual results differing materially from such forward-looking
statements are discussed in greater detail in our Securities and Exchange Commission filings. We
undertake no obligation to publicly update any forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new
information, future events or otherwise.
2
Earnings Presentation | Fourth Quarter and Full-Year 2016
Statements Relating to Non-GAAP Financial Measures
During the course of this presentation, certain non U.S. GAAP financial measures
will be presented, such as Adjusted Operating EPS, Adjusted EBIT, Adjusted
EBITDA, Adjusted EBITDA Margin, Free Cash Flow and Adjusted ROIC.
A reconciliation of all presented non-GAAP measures (and their components) to
U.S. GAAP financial measures is available on the company’s website at
internationalpaper.com under Performance/Investors.
3
Earnings Presentation | Fourth Quarter and Full-Year 2016
Ilim JV Information
All financial information and statistical measures regarding our 50/50 Ilim joint
venture in Russia (“Ilim”), other than historical International Paper Equity Earnings
and dividends received by International Paper, have been prepared by the
management of Ilim. Any projected financial information and statistical measures
reflect the current views of Ilim management and are subject to risks and
uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from those
expressed or implied by such projections. See “Forward-Looking Statements.”
4
Earnings Presentation | Fourth Quarter and Full-Year 2016
9.2%
11.0%9.9%
2014 2015 2016
Adjusted ROIC1
Full-Year 2016 Highlights
Strong Free Cash Flow2 of $1.9B
Delivered Adjusted ROIC of ~10%,
7th consecutive year above cost of capital
Key strategic levers:
• Further strengthened N.A. Industrial
Packaging business
• Acquisition of Weyco’s pulp business
• Conversion of Riegelwood Mill
• Acquisition and planned conversion of
Madrid Mill
• Sale of Asia Box business
Increased dividend by 5% to $1.85/share
5
1 Adjusted ROIC = Adjusted Operating Earnings before Interest / Average Invested Capital [Equity (adjusted to remove pension related amounts in OCI, net of tax) +
Interest-bearing Debt]2 See slide #27 for a reconciliation of cash provided by operations to Free Cash Flow
Earnings Presentation | Fourth Quarter and Full-Year 2016
Full-Year 2016 Financial Results
$ Billion(Except as noted)
2014 2015 2016
Sales $23.6 $22.4 $21.1
Adj. EBIT1 $2.7 $2.6 $2.3
Adj. Operating EPS2 $3.00 $3.65 $3.35
Operating EPS impact of Ilim F/X3 – IP Share
($0.63) ($0.18) $0.06
Adj. EBITDA1 $4.1 $3.9 $3.5
Adj. EBITDA Margin 17.5% 17.6% 16.6%
FCF4 $2.1 $1.8 $1.9
Year-End Debt $9.4 $9.3 $11.3
Cash Balance $1.9 $1.0 $1.0
1 From continuing operations before special items and non-operating pension expense2 Adjusted operating EPS based on Adjusted Operating Earnings (defined as Net Earnings (GAAP) from continuing operations before special items and non-operating
pension expense)3 Represents F/X impact including that related to Ilim JV USD-denominated net debt (balance of ~$0.6B at year end 2016)4 See slide #27 for a reconciliation of cash provided by operations to Free Cash Flow
6
$2.1$1.8 $1.9
2014 2015 2016
FCF4
($MM)
Earnings Presentation | Fourth Quarter and Full-Year 2016
Global Economic
Recession
$1.6
$1.8
$2.1
$1.8 $1.9
$0.0
$0.5
$1.0
$1.5
$2.0
$2.5
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
$ B
illi
on
sStrong, Sustainable Free Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow, a non U.S. GAAP measure, reflects cash provided by continuing operations for 2005 – 2011, based on data in the 10-K for each year at the time of
filing. Free Cash Flow reflects cash provided by operations for 2012 onward.
Excludes net cash pension contributions impacting 2006, 2010, 2011, 2013, 2014, 2015 & 2016, cash flows under European accounts receivable securitization
beginning in 2009 and ending in 2011, and cash received from Black Liquor Tax Credits in 2009 and 2010. 2012 excludes $120MM cash paid for Temple-Inland
change-in-control agreements, $251MM cash received from unwinding a timber monetization, $44MM cash paid for Temple-Inland pension plan contribution, and
$80MM cash paid for Guaranty Bank settlement. 2013 excludes $31MM cash paid for pension plan contribution and $30MM cash received from Guaranty Bank
insurance reimbursements. For 2014 onward, see slide #27 for a reconciliation of cash provided by operations to Free Cash Flow.
Transformation:
$0.5 Billion (average)
5-Year Average
$1.8 Billion
7
Earnings Presentation | Fourth Quarter and Full-Year 2016
Global
Economic
Recession
4.5%
6.3%
7.5%
6.5%
5.0%
8.1%
9.5%
8.3%
9.3% 9.2%
11.0%
9.9%
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Expanded Spread of Adj. ROIC1 Above Cost of Capital | Increasing Shareholder Value
8
5-Year Average
9.6%
WACC for 20161 Adjusted ROIC = Adjusted Operating Earnings before Interest / Average Invested Capital [Equity (adjusted to remove pension related amounts in OCI, net of tax) +
Interest-bearing Debt]
Earnings Presentation | Fourth Quarter and Full-Year 2016
3.65
3.35
(.70)
(.14).10.02
.13.10
.16 .03
2015 Price / Mix Volume Operations& Costs
MaintenanceOutages
Input Costs Tax / Interest/ Other
Ilim JV PulpAcquisition
2016
2016 vs. 2015 Adj. Operating EPS
9
Adjusted operating EPS based on Adjusted Operating Earnings (defined as Net Earnings (GAAP) from continuing operations before special items and non-operating pension expense)
Earnings Presentation | Fourth Quarter and Full-Year 2016
4Q16 Financial Results
4Q15 3Q16 4Q16
Sales ($B) $5.4 $5.3 $5.4
Adj. EBIT1 ($MM) $616 $613 $498
Adj. Operating EPS2 $0.87 $0.91 $0.73
Operating EPS impact of Ilim F/X3 – IP Share
($0.05) $0.01 $0.01
Adj. EBITDA1 ($MM) $930 $927 $826
Adj. EBITDA Margin1 17.1% 17.6% 15.4%
Free Cash Flow4 ($MM) $501 $575 $467
1 From continuing operations before special items and non-operating pension expense2 Adjusted operating EPS based on Adjusted Operating Earnings (defined as Net Earnings (GAAP) from continuing operations before special items and non-operating
pension expense)3 Represents F/X impact including that related to Ilim JV USD-denominated net debt (balance of ~$0.6B at end of 4Q16)4 See slide #27 for a reconciliation of cash provided by operations to free cash flow
Solid results in N.A. Industrial Pkg
driven by strong demand and
increasing prices
Higher input costs ($17MM)
unfavorably impacted earnings
Impact from Hurricane Matthew
Continued solid operational
performance across businesses
Strong performance at Ilim JV
continued with adjusted operational
EBITDA of $180MM
Closed acquisition of Weyco pulp
business and integrating as new
Global Cellulose Fibers business
10
Earnings Presentation | Fourth Quarter and Full-Year 2016
.91
.73
(.18)
(.01) (.03) .01.03
3Q16 Price / Mix Volume Operations& Costs
MaintenanceOutages
Input Costs Tax / Other Ilim JV PulpAcquisition
4Q16
4Q16 vs. 3Q16 Adj. Operating EPS
11
Adjusted operating EPS based on Adjusted Operating Earnings (defined as Net Earnings (GAAP) from continuing operations before special items and non-operating
pension expense)
0 0
0
Earnings Presentation | Fourth Quarter and Full-Year 2016
429
379
(12) (57)
(11)
22
8
3Q16 Price / Mix Volume Operations& Costs
MaintenanceOutages
Input Costs 4Q16
Industrial Packaging | 4Q16 vs. 3Q16 Adj. EBIT1
12
$ M
illio
n
1 Segment adjusted operating profit before special items
Earnings Presentation | Fourth Quarter and Full-Year 2016
N.A. Industrial Packaging | October 2016 Price Increase Update
13
2017 Full Year benefits partially offset by:
• 2016 price reductions and exit rate (see chart above)
• Price increase implementation timing
• Rising input costs
9MM Tons
1MM Tons
2MM Tons
IP Containerboard Shipment Volume~12 Million Tons1
US IP Box Plants; ~9MM Tons
Domestic (Open Mkt); ~1MM Tons
Export (Open Mkt) and Non-US IP Box Plants; ~2MM Tons
1 Excludes Saturating Kraft/Gypsum Liner2 IP data
Impact of Domestic Containerboard Price Increase = ~$400MM Annualized
95
96
97
98
99
100
101
102
103
104
105
60
70
80
90
100
110
120
130
140
4Q'15 1Q'16 2Q'16 3Q'16 4Q'16
Bo
x
OC
C
Indexed to 4TH Quarter 20152
OCC Delivered Cost Box Pricing
Earnings Presentation | Fourth Quarter and Full-Year 2016
Global Cellulose Fibers | Business Overview
14
~70%
~30%
Current Product Mix1
Fluff Pulp & Specialties Market Pulp
Total Capacity ~3.6MM MTPY Targeted Mix
Fluff Pulp & Specialties 3.0MM 85%
Market Pulp 0.6MM 15%
1 Combined businesses, with Riegelwood PM18 running SW market pulp
Earnings Presentation | Fourth Quarter and Full-Year 2016
Global Cellulose Fibers | Advantaged Position in Advantaged Markets
15
Well-Positioned to Serve Growing Demand with Global, Strategic Customers
Source: Poyry World Fibre Outlook up to 2030, IP Analysis
North America
Latin America
EMEA
Asia
Other
2016
2016 - 2020
CAGR
Column1
4.3%
3.6%
3.5%
2.9%Airlaid
11%
Adult
Incontinence
30%
Feminine
Care
23%
Baby
Diapers
36%
5.5MM MTPY
CAGR = 3.6%
Fluff Demand by Region and End Use
3.0%
1.8%
5.1%
5.8%
1.1%
2016 - 2020
CAGR
Earnings Presentation | Fourth Quarter and Full-Year 2016
$479
$209
2015 2016
Global Cellulose Fibers | Pro-forma Operating Results and 2017 Outlook
2017 Outlook
Demand growth
Ramp up of synergies
Implement recently announced
price increases
Exit rate pricing
Short-term mix impact
Port Wentworth capital
investment downtime
16
Combined Business
Pro-forma EBITDA(Before Special Items)
Earnings Presentation | Fourth Quarter and Full-Year 2016
Global Cellulose Fibers | Synergies Overview
17
Synergy Categories
SG&A
Commercial mix opportunities
Manufacturing, Supply Chain
and Sourcing
One-time Costs/Expenses1
~$85 Million
$0
Synergies Run-Rate Timeline
Dec
2018
Dec
2017
Jan
2017
$100 MM
$175 MM
1 Treated as special items
Earnings Presentation | Fourth Quarter and Full-Year 2016
61
41
(2)(5)
(4)
(9)
3Q16 Price / Mix Volume Operations& Costs
MaintenanceOutages
Input Costs 4Q16
Consumer Packaging | 4Q16 vs. 3Q16 Adj. EBIT1
18
$ M
illio
n
1 Segment adjusted operating profit before special items
0
Earnings Presentation | Fourth Quarter and Full-Year 2016
167
121
(8)
(35)
(14)
(4)(5)
20
3Q16 Price / Mix Volume Operations… Maintenance… Input Costs Other 4Q16
Printing Papers | 4Q16 vs. 3Q16 Adj. EBIT1
19
$ M
illio
n
1 Segment adjusted operating profit before special items
Earnings Presentation | Fourth Quarter and Full-Year 2016
Ilim Joint Venture | 4Q16 vs. 3Q16
$ Million 4Q15 3Q16 4Q16 2015 2016
Sales Volume (thousand tons)
891 849 987 3,349 3,523
Sales $492 $473 $539 $1,931 $1,927
EBITDA $129 $172 $194 $506 $743
F/X (Impact of USD Net Debt)1 ($48) $6 $14 ($188) $63
Adj. Operational EBITDA2 $177 $166 $180 $694 $680
IP Equity Earnings (Loss)3 $34 $46 $45 $131 $199
Record production at all three mills in 4Q and full year
Higher sales volume driven by stronger demand
Expect modest export price improvement, more than offset by normal seasonality for 1Q’17
20
Ilim JV results are on U.S. GAAP basis 1 Represents F/X impact including that related to Ilim JV USD-denominated net debt (balance of ~$0.6B at end of 4Q16); Ilim Group’s functional currency is the
Ruble (RUB); Non-functional-denominated currency balances are measured monthly using the month-end exchange rate2 Before F/X impact including USD-denominated net debt3 IP Equity Earnings (Loss) for 4Q15 include after-tax f/x losses (primarily on USD-denominated net debt) of ($19)MM, 3Q16 and 4Q16 include after-tax F/X gains
(primarily on USD-denominated net debt) of $3MM and $6MM, respectively; FY15 include after-tax f/x loss of ($75)MM and FY16 include after-tax f/x gain of $25MM
Earnings Presentation | Fourth Quarter and Full-Year 2016
Balance Sheet | Financial Strength$
Bill
ion
3.2x
$9.4Balance
Sheet
Debt
$0.8 Op. Lease Adj. $0.5 Op. Lease Adj.
$3.6Pension Gap
[2.3x]1
20152014 2016
3.9x
Moody’s methodology: Adjusted Debt reflects gross balance sheet debt plus pension gap and operating leases
Moody’s methodology: 2016 Adjusted EBITDA of $3.9B incorporates pension and lease expense adjustments1 Simple Debt Coverage: Balance Sheet Debt / 2014 IP’s Adjusted EBITDA of $4.1B2 Simple Debt Coverage: Balance Sheet Debt / 2015 IP’s Adjusted EBITDA of $3.9B3 Simple Debt Coverage: Balance Sheet Debt / 2016 IP’s Adjusted EBITDA of $3.5B
Moody’s Target: Adjusted Debt < 3X Adjusted EBITDA
Pension gap decreased by $0.2B
Made $750MM voluntary
pension contribution
Year-end discount rate decreased from
4.4% (2015) to 4.1% (2016)
Attractive debt financing
10 year and 30 year debt to finance
Weyco pulp acquisition
$ 1.0B cash balance at year end
$9.3Balance
Sheet
Debt
[2.4x]2
$0.5 Op. Lease Adj.
$3.9Pension Gap
3.2x
21
$11.3Balance
Sheet
Debt
$3.4Pension Gap
[3.2x]3
2016 Highlights
Earnings Presentation | Fourth Quarter and Full-Year 2016
North America EMEA & Russia Brazil
Price / Mix
Packaging Continued implementation Stable Stable
Cellulose Fibers Stable
Paper Stable Stable Improving
Volume
Packaging Stable Stable Stable
Cellulose Fibers Acquisition
Paper Stable Stable Seasonal decrease
Operations & Other
Packaging Non-repeats Stable Stable
Cellulose Fibers Stable
Paper Non-repeats Improving Stable
Mill Maintenance Outages
Packaging Increase $46MM N/A Increase $1MM
Cellulose Fibers Increase $47MM
Papers Increase $23MM Decrease $15MM N/A
Inputs & FreightPackaging Higher OCC & energy Stable Stable
Cellulose Fibers Higher energy
Printing Papers Higher energy Stable Stable
Other Items
Corporate expense, ~$15MM in 1Q17
Interest expense, in line with full-year outlook of ~$575MM-$600MM
Tax rate, in line with full-year outlook of ~33%
Ilim JV, lower due to normal seasonality
First Quarter Outlook1 | Changes from 4Q16
22
1 Does not include impact from 1/22/17 Pensacola incident
Earnings Presentation | Fourth Quarter and Full-Year 2016
Pensacola Update | January 22 Digester Incident
23
Key Focus Areas:
Ensure the health and safety of all
employees, contractors and residents
Clean up affected areas and property
and address community needs
Take care of our customers
Safely restore mill operations
Overview:
• Entire mill went down following significant structural damage to the mill’s largest digester
and power house
• Teams currently engaged in cleanup outside the mill
• Business continuity and restoration plans underway
~500M tons virgin containerboard
~200M tons fluff pulp
Pensacola Mill
Cantonment, FL
Earnings Presentation | Fourth Quarter and Full-Year 2016
Key Financial Metrics
$ Million
(Except as noted)2015 2016 2017
Capital Spending $1.5B $1.35B ~$1.5B
Depreciation & Amortization $1.3B $1.2B ~$1.4B
Net Interest Expense $555 $520 $575 - 600
Corporate Items $36 $69 ~$60
Effective Tax Rate 33% 32% ~33%
Input Cost Fav / (Unfav) $232 $82 ($180 - $200)
24
Earnings Presentation | Fourth Quarter and Full-Year 2016
Deliver strong free cash flow and Adjusted ROIC ≥ 10%
Integrate newly acquired pulp business and drive synergies to bottom line;
improve Global Cellulose Fibers product mix
Drive N.A. Industrial Packaging earnings improvement
Continue strong operations and cost reduction initiatives
Conversion of Madrid Mill
Continue strong performance at Ilim JV
Allocate capital to create value with focus on near-term debt reduction
IP Focus Areas For 2017
25
Earnings Presentation | Fourth Quarter and Full-Year 2016
AppendixInvestor Relations Contacts
Jay Royalty 901-419-1731
Michele Vargas 901-419-7287
Media Contact
Tom Ryan 901-419-4333
26
Earnings Presentation | Fourth Quarter and Full-Year 2016
$ Million 2014 4Q15 2015 1Q16 2Q16 3Q16 4Q16 2016
Cash Provided by Operations
$3,077 $990 $2,580 $620 $605 $341 $912 $2,478
Cash Invested in Capital Projects
($1,366) ($489) ($1,487) ($309) ($328) ($266) ($445) ($1,348)
Cash Contribution to Pension Plan
$353 - $750 - $250 $500 - $750
Free Cash Flow $2,064 $501 $1,843 $311 $527 $575 $467 $1,880
Free Cash Flow
27
Earnings Presentation | Fourth Quarter and Full-Year 2016
Maintenance Outages Expenses | 2016 Actual
$ Million 1Q16A 2Q16A 3Q16A 4Q16A 2016A
Industrial Packaging $73 $80 $44 $36 $233
North America 73 78 44 35 230
Brazil 0 2 0 1 3
Global Cellulose Fibers1 $50 $9 $16 $3 $78
Printing Papers Total $16 $41 $11 $28 $96
North America 16 26 0 13 55
Europe 0 8 10 15 33
Brazil 0 7 0 0 7
India 0 0 1 0 1
Consumer Packaging $19 $3 $2 $11 $35
North America 19 0 0 11 30
Europe 0 3 2 0 5
Total Impact $158 $133 $73 $78 $442
28
1 4Q’16 and FY’16 includes Dec’16 maintenance outages expenses from newly-acquired pulp business
Earnings Presentation | Fourth Quarter and Full-Year 2016
Maintenance Outages Expenses | 2017 Forecast
$ Million 1Q17F 2Q17F 3Q17F 4Q17F 2017F
Industrial Packaging $94 $95 $47 $48 $284
North America 92 95 47 48 282
Brazil 2 0 0 0 2
Global Cellulose Fibers $50 $49 $27 $10 $136
Printing Papers Total $36 $42 $9 $12 $99
North America 36 33 1 11 81
Europe 0 9 0 1 10
Brazil 0 0 7 0 7
India 0 0 1 0 1
Consumer Packaging $0 $31 $0 $11 $42
North America 0 28 0 11 39
Europe 0 3 0 0 3
Total Impact $180 $217 $83 $81 $561
29
Earnings Presentation | Fourth Quarter and Full-Year 2016
North American Downtime
30
93140 146
72 92141 125
86117
53
55
78
230
212
85107 41
Maintenance Economic
718 12 15 21
0 0
10
4113
4 29
31
31
13
29
0
30
11
25
0103
0
17 13 11
4
2716
0
119
Containerboard Uncoated Papers
Global Cellulose Fibers
Th
ou
sand
Sh
ort
To
ns
Th
ou
sand
Sh
ort
To
ns
Th
ou
sand
Me
tric
To
ns
146 150
48
Coated Paperboard
201
31
16
322
46
353
210193
158
13
Th
ou
sand
Sh
ort
To
ns
Earnings Presentation | Fourth Quarter and Full-Year 2016
Special Items Pre-Tax ($ Million) 4Q15 3Q16 4Q16
Industrial Packaging
Turkey Facility Closure ($7)
Impairment of Asia Box & Restructuring ($5)
Impairment of Brazil Packaging Goodwill & Intangible
($137)
Global Cellulose Fibers
Weyco Pulp Business Acquisition ($7) ($19)
Weyco Pulp Business Inventory Step-up Amortization
($19)
Consumer Pkg. Riegelwood Repurposing ($15)
Impairment of Sun JV Goodwill & PPE $12
Corporate
Debt Extinguishment ($29)
India Packaging Evaluation Write-off ($17)
Regulatory Pre-Engineering Write-off ($8)
Legal Reserve ($15)
Other ($3)
Total Special Items Before Tax ($158) ($66) ($45)
Special Items Before Tax | Continuing Operations
31
Earnings Presentation | Fourth Quarter and Full-Year 2016
Special Items Net of Taxes
4Q16 2016
$ Million EPS $ Million EPS
Earnings Before Special Items $303 $0.73 $1,392 $3.35
Special Items Net of Taxes:
Impairment of Asia Box & Restructuring ($58)
Debt Extinguishment ($18)
Weyco Pulp Business Acquisition ($14) ($21)
Weyco Pulp Business Inventory Step-up Amortization ($11) ($11)
India Packaging Evaluation Write-off ($11)
Turkey Facility Closure ($6) ($6)
Riegelwood Repurposing ($6)
Regulatory Pre-Engineering Write-off ($5)
Sale of Arizona Chemical Investment $5
Tax Adjustments ($31) $23
Total Special Items Net of Taxes ($62) ($0.15) ($108) ($0.26)
Non-Operating Pension Expense ($23) ($0.05) ($375) ($0.90)
Discontinued Operations Net of Taxes ($5) ($0.01)
Net Earnings $218 $0.53 $904 $2.18
32
Earnings Presentation | Fourth Quarter and Full-Year 2016
Adj. Operating Profits by Industry Segment | Continuing Operations
33
$ Million 4Q15 3Q16 4Q16 2015 2016
Earnings (Loss) From Continuing Operations Before Income Taxes and Equity Earnings $265 $373 $280 $1,266 $956
Interest Expense, Net $133 $132 $136 $555 $520
Noncontrolling Interest / Equity Earnings Adjustment ($2) $1 $0 $8 $1
Corporate Items, Net $9 $11 $11 $36 $69
Special Items, Net $158 $66 $45 $559 $182
Non-Operating Pension Expense $60 $42 $37 $258 $6101
Adj. Operating Profit Before Special Items $623 $625 $509 $2,682 $2,338
Industrial Packaging2 $441 $429 $379 $1,990 $1,728
Global Cellulose Fibers2,3 $14 ($32) ($32) $68 ($130)
Printing Papers2 $130 $167 $121 $465 $540
Consumer Packaging2 $38 $61 $41 $159 $200
Total Adj. Industry Segment Operating Profit2,3 $623 $625 $509 $2,682 $2,338
Equity Earnings (Loss), net of taxes – Ilim $34 $46 $45 $131 $199
1 Includes non-cash settlement charge before tax of $439MM2 Excludes special items (Non-GAAP)3 4Q’16 and FY’16 includes Dec’16 results from newly-acquired pulp business
Earnings Presentation | Fourth Quarter and Full-Year 2016
Geographic Business Segment Operating Results | Quarterly
34
$ MillionSales D & A Adj. Operating Profit1
4Q15 3Q16 4Q16 4Q16 4Q15 3Q16 4Q16
Industrial Packaging
North America $3,098 $3,087 $3,052 $167 $451 $439 $384
Europe $293 $313 $325 $9 $4 $0 $9
Brazil $48 $62 $77 $7 ($12) ($9) ($14)
Global Cellulose Fibers2
Global Cellulose Fibers $244 $241 $379 $40 $14 ($32) ($32)
Printing Papers
North America $489 $477 $465 $20 $33 $82 $43
Europe $270 $278 $284 $10 $41 $40 $28
Brazil $252 $229 $260 $25 $58 $53 $50
India $41 $35 $47 $5 ($2) ($8) $0
Consumer Packaging
North America $475 $407 $386 $27 $12 $39 $21
Europe $81 $87 $78 $3 $26 $22 $201 Excludes special items (Non-GAAP)2 4Q’16 and FY’16 includes Dec’16 results from newly-acquired pulp business
Earnings Presentation | Fourth Quarter and Full-Year 2016
Geographic Business Segment Operating Results | Annually
35
$ MillionSales Adj. Operating Profit1
2015 2016 2015 2016
Industrial Packaging
North America $12,541 $12,227 $2,009 $1,757
Europe $1,114 $1,227 $13 $22
Brazil $228 $232 ($26) ($43)
Global Cellulose Fibers2
Global Cellulose Fibers $975 $1,092 $68 ($130)
Printing Papers
North America $1,942 $1,890 $179 $236
Europe $1,064 $1,109 $111 $142
Brazil $878 $897 $186 $173
India $172 $167 ($11) ($11)
Consumer Packaging
North America $1,939 $1,628 $91 $107
Europe $319 $327 $87 $93
1 Excludes special items (Non-GAAP)2 4Q’16 and FY’16 includes Dec’16 results from newly-acquired pulp business
Earnings Presentation | Fourth Quarter and Full-Year 2016
2016 Operating Earnings
36
Pre-Tax$MM
Tax$MM
Non-controlling
Interest$MM
EquityEarnings
Net Income$MM
Average Shares
MMDiluted EPS1
Net Earnings from Continuing Operations
1Q16 $317 ($41) - $63 $339 414 $0.82
2Q16 ($14) $9 - $45 $40 415 $0.10
3Q16 $373 ($107) $3 $43 $312 415 $0.75
4Q16 280 ($108) ($1) $47 $218 416 $0.53
Net Special Items
1Q16 $38 ($74) - - ($36) 414 ($0.09)
2Q16 $33 $7 - - $40 415 $0.10
3Q16 $66 ($24) - - $42 415 $0.10
4Q16 $45 $17 - - $62 416 $0.15
Non-Operating Pension Expense
1Q16 $44 ($17) - - $27 414 $0.07
2Q16 $487 ($188) - - $2992 415 $0.722
3Q16 $42 ($16) - - $26 415 $0.06
4Q16 $37 ($14) - - $23 416 $0.05
Adj. Operating Earnings
1Q16 $399 ($132) - $63 $330 414 $0.80
2Q16 $506 ($172) - $45 $379 415 $0.92
3Q16 $481 ($147) $3 $43 $380 415 $0.91
4Q16 $362 ($105) ($1) $47 $303 416 $0.731 A reconciliation to GAAP EPS is available at www.internationalpaper.com under the Performance tab, Investors section2 Includes non-cash settlement charge before tax of $439MM and net of taxes of $270MM, or ($0.65) EPS
Earnings Presentation | Fourth Quarter and Full-Year 2016
Adj. Operating EPS
37
2006 as originally reported
2007-2011 adjusted for elimination of the Ilim JV reporting lag
2006-2010 Net Earnings from continuing operations and before special items; 2010 onward reflects Operating Earnings
xpedx is reflected as a Discontinued Operation from 2010 onward
.12
.35
.40
.47 .45
.52
.57
.73
.45.49
.41
.15
.07
.27
.38
.22
.05
.44
.85
.72.76 .77 .78
.67
.58
.49
.77
.66.64
.61
1.01
.81
.60
.93.95
.53
.84
.97 .97
.87
.80
.92 .91
.73
.42
.08
1Q
2Q
3Q
4Q
1Q
2Q
3Q
4Q
1Q
2Q
3Q
4Q
1Q
2Q
3Q
4Q
1Q
2Q
3Q
4Q
1Q
2Q
3Q
4Q
1Q
2Q
3Q
4Q
1Q
2Q
3Q
4Q
1Q
2Q
3Q
4Q
1Q
2Q
3Q
4Q
1Q
2Q
3Q
4Q
2006 2007 20102008
Impact of Mineral
Rights Gain
2009
.83
2011
.93Final Land Sale
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Earnings Presentation | Fourth Quarter and Full-Year 2016
.87
.73
(.21)
(.04) (.03)(.03).02
.06.03
.03.03
4Q15 Price / Mix Volume Operations& Costs
MaintenanceOutages
Input Costs Corporate& Other Items
Tax Ilim JV PulpAcquisition
4Q16
4Q16 vs. 4Q15 Adj. Operating EPS
38
Adjusted operating EPS based on Adjusted Operating Earnings (defined as Net Earnings (GAAP) from continuing operations before special items and non-operating
pension expense)
Earnings Presentation | Fourth Quarter and Full-Year 2016
441
379
(64)
(21) (23)18 28
4Q15 Price / Mix Volume Operations& Costs
MaintenanceOutages
Input Costs 4Q16
Industrial Packaging | 4Q16 vs. 4Q15 Adj. EBIT1
39
$ M
illio
n
1 Segment adjusted operating profit before special items
Earnings Presentation | Fourth Quarter and Full-Year 2016
4Q16 vs. 3Q16 4Q16 vs. 4Q15
Business VolumePrice / Mix
per TonVolume
Price / Mixper Ton
N.A. Container1 5% $4 2% ($18)
European Container 12% (€12) 2% €1
Average IP volume and price realization (includes the impact of mix across all segments)1 Corrugator plant sales on FBA shipping day basis
Industrial Packaging | Volume and Pricing Trends
40
Earnings Presentation | Fourth Quarter and Full-Year 2016
N.A. Industrial Packaging Relative Adj. EBITDA Margins
41
22.0% 22.0%
17.7%
21.3% 20.8%
18.2%
19.7%
20.6%
15.8%
IP PCA WestRock
4Q15 3Q16 4Q16
IP Adjusted EBITDA margins based on North American Industrial Packaging operating profit before special items
Excludes the Recycling Business and revenue from trade volumes
Competitor Adjusted EBITDA margin estimates obtained from public filings and IP analysis
2016
21.1%
201621.5%
17.5%
2016
Earnings Presentation | Fourth Quarter and Full-Year 2016
Global Cellulose Fibers | 4Q16 vs. 3Q16 Adj. EBIT1
42
1 Segment adjusted operating profit before special items
(32) (32)
(14)(2)
(9)
(2)
10
17
3Q16 Price / Mix Volume Operations& Costs
MaintenanceOutages
Input Costs PulpAcquisition
4Q16
$ M
illio
n
Earnings Presentation | Fourth Quarter and Full-Year 2016
Global Cellulose Fibers | 4Q16 vs. 4Q15 Adj. EBIT1
43
1 Segment adjusted operating profit before special items
14
(32)(45)
(18) (1)(2)
3
17
4Q15 Price / Mix Volume Operations& Costs
MaintenanceOutages
Input Costs PulpAcquisition
4Q16
$ M
illio
n
Earnings Presentation | Fourth Quarter and Full-Year 2016
38
41
(11)
(7)
(2)
16
3
4
4Q15 Price / Mix Volume Operations& Costs
MaintenanceOutages
Input Costs Other 4Q16
Consumer Packaging | 4Q16 vs. 4Q15 Adj. EBIT1
44
$ M
illio
n
1 Segment adjusted operating profit before special items
Earnings Presentation | Fourth Quarter and Full-Year 2016
Average IP price realization (includes the impact of mix across all grades)1 All periods exclude Carolina brand coated bristols sales
4Q16 vs. 3Q16 4Q16 vs. 4Q15
VolumePrice / Mix
per TonVolume
Price / Mixper Ton
N.A. Coated Paperboard1 (10%) $2 (1%) ($34)
Revenue Revenue
Foodservice 2% (5%)
Consumer Packaging | Volume and Pricing Trends
45
Earnings Presentation | Fourth Quarter and Full-Year 2016
130
121
(9)
(3) (2)(3)7 1
4Q15 Price / Mix Volume Operations& Costs
MaintenanceOutages
Input Costs Other 4Q16
Printing Papers | 4Q16 vs. 4Q15 Adj. EBIT1
46
$ M
illio
n
1 Segment adjusted operating profit before special items
Earnings Presentation | Fourth Quarter and Full-Year 2016
4Q16 vs. 3Q16 4Q16 vs. 4Q15
Business VolumePrice / Mix
per TonVolume
Price / Mixper Ton
N.A. Printing Papers Flat ($23) (1%) ($41)
European Papers1 16% (€15) 11% (€15)
Average IP volume and price realization (includes the impact of mix across all grades)1 Excludes Russia
Printing Papers | Volume and Pricing Trends
47
Earnings Presentation | Fourth Quarter and Full-Year 2016
N.A. Printing Papers Relative Adj. EBITDA Margins
48
10.8%
9.2%
15.9%
21.6%
19.1%
17.3%
13.5%
18.4%
IP PCA Domtar
4Q15 3Q16 4Q16
UFS
Reports
2/9/17
IP Adjusted EBITDA margins based on operating profit from continuing operations before special items
Competitor Adjusted EBITDA margin estimates obtained from public filings and IP analysis
2016
16.7%
2016
17.1%
Earnings Presentation | Fourth Quarter and Full-Year 2016
Printing Papers | IP Brazil
49
$ Million 4Q15 3Q16 4Q16
Sales $252 $229 $260
Adj. Earnings $58 $53 $51
Adj. EBITDA Margin 31% 34% 29%
4Q16 vs. 3Q16 4Q16 vs. 4Q15
Uncoated Freesheet VolumePrice / Mix
per TonVolume
Price / Mixper Ton
Domestic (BRL) 8% R$64 (16%) R$515
Export (USD) 20% ($3) (1%) ($55)
Segment adjusted operating profit before special items
IP Brazil results are reported in the Printing Papers segment
Average IP Brazil price realization (includes the impact of mix across all grades)
Earnings Presentation | Fourth Quarter and Full-Year 2016
Ilim Joint Venture | Full Year Financials
50
2013 2014 2015 2016
Sales Volume (Million tons) 2.7 3.2 3.3 3.5
Sales ($B) 1.9 2.1 1.9 1.9
Debt ($B) 1.5 1.4 1.2 1.5
Adj. Operating EBITDA ($MM) 203 459 694 680
F/X Gain (Loss)1 ($MM) (80) (674) (188) 63
EBITDA ($MM) 123 (215) 506 743
Depreciation ($MM) 176 188 128 121
EBIT ($MM) (53) (403) 378 622
Interest Expense ($MM) 39 69 52 81
Net Income / (Loss) ($MM) (72) (359) 237 385
IP Equity Earnings / (Loss) ($MM) (46) (194) 131 199
Dividends (to IP) ($MM) 0 56 35 60
Ilim JV results are US GAAP basis 1 Represents F/X impact including that related to Ilim JV USD-denominated net debt (balance of ~$0.6B at year end 2016)
Earnings Presentation | Fourth Quarter and Full-Year 2016
Ilim Joint Venture | Volume and Pricing Trends
51
4Q16 vs. 3Q16 4Q16 vs. 4Q15
Business VolumePrice / Mixper Tonne
VolumePrice / Mixper Tonne
Pulp (metric ton) 16% ($15) 11% ($27)
Average Ilim JV (100%) volume and price realization (includes the impact of mix across all grades and destinations)
Earnings Presentation | Fourth Quarter and Full-Year 2016
Total Cash Cost Components | FY 2016
52
Fiber35%
Materials15%
Freight12%
Labor12%
Energy8%
Overhead10%
Chemicals8%
North American mills only
Earnings Presentation | Fourth Quarter and Full-Year 2016
($8)
($4)($4)
($1)
Fiber Energy Chemicals Freight
North America Outside North America
($11)
($2)
($4)
$0
IndustrialPackaging
GlobalCellulose
Fibers
PrintingPapers
ConsumerPackaging
Energy Wood Chemicals Freight OCC
By Business By Input Type
Input costs ($MM) for continuing businesses1 IP legacy pulp only
Global Input Costs vs. 3Q16 | $17MM Unfavorable, or $0.03/Share
53
OCC
Wood
1
Earnings Presentation | Fourth Quarter and Full-Year 2016
($2)
($17)
$0
($1)
Fiber Energy Chemicals Freight
North America Outside North America
($23)
($2)
$1 $4
IndustrialPackaging
GlobalCellulose
Fibers
PrintingPapers
ConsumerPackaging
Energy Wood Chemicals Freight OCC
By Business By Input Type
Global Input Costs vs. 4Q15 | $20MM Unfavorable, or $0.03/Share
54
OCC
Wood
1
Input costs ($MM) for continuing businesses1 IP legacy pulp only
Earnings Presentation | Fourth Quarter and Full-Year 2016
$11
$34
$3
$34
Fiber Energy Chemicals Freight
North America Outside North America
$42
$6 $4
$30
IndustrialPackaging
GlobalCellulose
Fibers
PrintingPapers
ConsumerPackaging
Wood Energy Chemicals Freight OCC
By Business By Input Type
Global Input Costs vs. 2015 | $82MM Favorable, or $0.13/Share
OCC
Wood
55
1
Input costs ($MM) for continuing businesses1 IP legacy pulp only
Earnings Presentation | Fourth Quarter and Full-Year 2016
90
95
100
105
110
115
120
125
130
U.S. Mill Wood Delivered Cost Trend | 4Q16 Average Cost Down 1% vs. 3Q16
56
IP cost Indexed to January 2007 values
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Earnings Presentation | Fourth Quarter and Full-Year 2016
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
180
200
IP cost Indexed to January 2007 values
U.S. OCC Delivered Cost Trend | 4Q16 Average Cost Up 4% vs. 3Q16
57
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Earnings Presentation | Fourth Quarter and Full-Year 2016
0
50
100
150
200
250
U.S. Natural Gas Cost Trend | 4Q16 Average Cost Up 6% vs. 3Q16
58
IP cost Indexed to January 2007 values
NYMEX Natural Gas closing prices
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Earnings Presentation | Fourth Quarter and Full-Year 2016
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
U.S. Fuel Oil Cost Trend | 4Q16 Average Cost Up 3% vs. 3Q16
59
IP cost Indexed to January 2007 values
WTI Crude prices
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Earnings Presentation | Fourth Quarter and Full-Year 2016
75
100
125
150
175
200
U.S. Chemical Composite Cost Trend | 4Q16 Average Cost Up 3% vs. 3Q16
60
IP cost Indexed to January 2007 values
Delivered cost to U.S. facilities: includes Caustic Soda, Sodium Chlorate, Starch and Sulfuric Acid 2007 - 2008 excludes WY PKG
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Earnings Presentation | Fourth Quarter and Full-Year 2016
2017 Global Consumption | Annual Purchase Estimates for Key Inputs
61
Commodity U. S. Non – U. S.
Energy
Natural Gas (MM BTUs) 75,000,000 11,000,000
Fuel Oil (Barrels) 350,000 400,000
Coal (Tons) 130,000 600,000
FiberWood (Tons) 52,000,000 8,000,000
Old Corrugated Containers / DLK (Tons) 4,800,000 400,000
Chemicals
Caustic Soda (Tons) 320,000 70,000
Starch (Tons) 370,000 120,000
Sodium Chlorate (Tons) 160,000 50,000
LD Polyethylene (Tons) 40,000 -
Latex (Tons) 10,000 6,000
Data does not include newly-acquired pulp business