future climate simulationseurobasin.dtuaqua.dk/eurobasin/documents/48 moths meeting... ·...
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![Page 1: Future Climate Simulationseurobasin.dtuaqua.dk/eurobasin/documents/48 moths meeting... · 2014-09-03 · •ORCA-025, NEMO v3.5, HadGEM2-ES, 1980-2099 –Based on Yool et al. (2013)](https://reader033.vdocument.in/reader033/viewer/2022042117/5e94fffb3a0f2503ec2c5847/html5/thumbnails/1.jpg)
Future Climate Simulations
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NOC simulations
Completed
• ORCA-100, NEMO v3.2, reanalysis, 1966-2006
– Utilised in Yool et al. (2011)
• ORCA-025, NEMO v3.2, reanalysis, 1988-2008
– Based on Popova et al. (2010)
• ORCA-100, NEMO v3.2, HadGEM2-ES, 1860-2099
– Utilised in Yool et al. (2013)
• ORCA-025, NEMO v3.5, HadGEM2-ES, 1980-2099
– Based on Yool et al. (2013)
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Future forecast
• HadGEM2-ES forcing
• Initialised at 1860 (high-resolution spun-off of low-resolution at 1980)
• RCP8.5 scenario (strong warming and ocean acidification)
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NEMO-MEDUSA at year 2050
Comparison low vs high resolution NEMO
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Sea surface temperature DJF JJA
Low resolution
High resolution
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Mixed layer depth DJF JJA
Low resolution
High resolution
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Surface diatom concentration DJF JJA
Low resolution
High resolution
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Surface dissolved inorganic nitrogen DJF JJA
Low resolution
High resolution
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Integrated non-diatom primary production DJF JJA
Low resolution
High resolution
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Air-sea CO2 exchange DJF JJA
Low resolution
High resolution
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2000s vs 2050s
High resolution NEMO
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