gl presentation - nigeria_updated (2) - 201011

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  • 8/3/2019 GL Presentation - Nigeria_updated (2) - 201011

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    Chartered Institute of Bankers of Nigeria (CIBN)

    George Lewis, Group Head, RBC Wealth ManagementOctober 20, 2011

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    Contents

    RBC and Canada Evolution of Global Status in Financial Services

    Universal Banking Definition and Context / Speaker Bias

    Universal Banking History and Contribution vs. Monolines to MarketDisruption

    Performance During Market Disruption Reasons for DifferencesBetween Countries/Markets

    Client and Market Outcomes / Risks to Universal Banking Model

    Concluding Thoughts for Financial Systems of Developing Economies

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    1. Source: Bloomberg, as at August 19, 2011.

    Market Capitalization US$ billions (1)

    50 100 150 200 250

    RBC Among the Top 20 Largest Banks Globally

    1 ICBC

    2 China Construction Bank

    3 HSBC

    4 JP Morgan

    5 Wells Fargo6 Bank of China

    7 Citigroup

    8 Commonwealth Bank of Aus.

    9 Banco Santander

    10 RBC

    11 Banco Itau

    12 Bank of America

    13 TD

    14 Mitsubishi UFJ Financial

    15 Sberbank

    16 Westpac Banking

    17 Goldman Sachs

    18 BNP Paribas

    19 Banco Bradesco

    20 Scotiabank

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    Universal bank in Canada with selective focus globally

    Active in all banking areas in Canada with leading market positions / Canada rated#1 by WEF for four straight years for safety and soundness of banking

    Global capabilities in capital markets and wealth management

    Diversified model with the right mix of businesses and geographies

    Able to generate significant returns throughout the economic cycle

    Long-term strategic balance

    75% retail banking, wealth management and insurance businesses

    25% capital markets businesses

    Canada and

    other geographies Continuing to invest in our businesses while focusing on cost effectiveness

    Robust capital position and senior debt ratings

    Managing our company for long-term success

    Who we are Universal bank with financial strength

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    -4.0%-5.0%

    3.0%

    10%

    5%

    10%11.0%

    5.0%

    7.0%

    Strong Shareholder Returns

    Global Peers 2RBC

    Total Shareholder Return 1

    S&P/TSX Bank Index

    Strong earnings generation and consistent increase in shareholder value

    $0.6

    9

    $0

    .76

    $0.8

    6

    $1.0

    1

    $1.1

    8 $1.4

    4

    $1.8

    2

    $2.0

    0

    $2.0

    0

    $2.0

    0

    2001

    2002

    2003

    2004

    2005

    2006

    2007

    2008

    2009

    2010

    History of delivering stable andgrowing dividends

    Announced dividend increase in Q22011 by 8% to $0.54 per share (per

    quarter) .

    1. Price appreciation plus dividends reinvested, as at August 19, 20112. See 2010 Annual Report for details on Global Peer group.

    3-year 5-year 10-year

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    1. Universal Banking Definition and Context

    Provision of a full range of financial services (deposits, investments,

    brokerage/discretionary, trusts, mortgage lending, cards and payments,fx, business and corporate services, capital markets services, insurance)to a full range of client segments within one or across multiple geographicmarkets.

    Distribution of all products/services is a necessary condition to bedefined as a universal bank. Manufacturing each one is a choice.

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    2. Universal Banking History and Contribution vs. Monolinesto Market Disruption

    Europe/Asia/Latin America Historical Model (although with large, separate insurance sector)

    U.K. / Commonwealth (eg Canada, Australia)

    25 year history since Four Pillars (commercial banking, investmentbanking, trusts and insurance) could combine

    United States

    just beginning life as a universal banking market (will it be allowed to

    last?)

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    Originate and Distribute monoline mortgage model in U.S. createdfeedstock for market disruption of 2008/2009 With Absolute Certainty

    single product focus at client level versus multi-faceted relationship ata universal bank

    Did the Complexity or Size of Universal Banks contribute to marketdisruption of 2008/2009? Less Clear

    origin of contagion (US-based Investment Banks) not part of universalbanks at the time

    confusion of market-making versus product-placement duties mayhave contributed

    clear and correctable regulatory/public policy failures versus aninherent too big to fail/too many conflicts problem

    2. Universal Banking History and Contribution vs. Monolinesto Market Disruption

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    3. Universal Banking Geographic Differences in Performance

    Canada/Australia (+ve) versus U.K. (-ve)

    ability to capture significant share of wealth management, capitalmarkets business diversifiers

    smaller markets attract fewer global monoline competitors

    alternative banking models (grocers, internet banks) present but not assuccessful with anti-bank positioning and encountered significantchallenges

    public policy / regulatory differences

    quantitative/rules-based differences e.g. absolute leverage limit

    qualitative/principle differences industry/govt/CB/regulatorrelations

    business strategy and execution

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    4. Universal Banking Client and Market Outcomes(Canada)

    Efficiency, Stability, Choice

    long-term decline in spreads in basic banking where universal bankingmodel prevalent ability to provide profitable additional services makes

    basic banking more affordable diversification of earnings streams adds to stability of individual universal

    banks and to system overall

    mix of universal banks and global monolines can be desirable from client

    choice and market efficiency perspective as long as there are no barriers touniversal banks choosing to provide both manufacturing and distribution ofproducts and services.

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    4. Universal Banking Risks to Universal Banking Model

    Legislative Proposals to limit scope of activities based on incorrect

    views that conflicts cant be managed, activities cant be properlyregulated and an insufficient appreciation for the benefits of efficiency,stability and choice that universal banking model can (and has) delivered.(eg. Dodd-Frank in the U.S. prohibition on proprietary trading)

    Regulatory Proposals

    Basel III Proposal which could create an unlevel playing fieldbetween universal banks and monoline/shadow-banking providersin some cases

    UK Proposal (Vickers report) to ring-fence wholesale bankingactivities puts at risk the efficiency and client/shareholder benefits ofuniversal banking model in order to attain absolute protection oftaxpayers in terms of exposure to deposit guarantees not asurprising proposal/outcome given performance of UK banking

    industry in last crisis (i.e., government capital required)

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    Concluding Thoughts For Developing Economies

    Follow the developed Commonwealth colonies not theU.K in terms of public policy and financial servicesregulation

    Encourage technological innovation (eg mobile access) to

    strengthen branch-based universal banking and promoteuniversal access

    Encourage mix of domestically-controlled universal bank(s)

    and global providers of select services to select segments