godae oceanview and its task teams

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GODAE OceanView-CLIVAR Workshop, Santa Cruz, 13-17 June 2011 GODAE OceanView GODAE OceanView and its Task Teams and its Task Teams Centre for Australian Weather and Climate Research; Wealth from Oceans Research Flagship, CSIRO Andreas Schiller GODAE OceanView-CLIVAR Workshop, Santa Cruz, 13-17 June 2011

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GODAE OceanView and its Task Teams. Andreas Schiller. Centre for Australian Weather and Climate Research; Wealth from Oceans Research Flagship, CSIRO. GODAE OceanView-CLIVAR Workshop, Santa Cruz, 13-17 June 2011. GODAE Achievements and Successes (1998-2008). - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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GODAE OceanView-CLIVAR Workshop, Santa Cruz, 13-17 June 2011

GODAE OceanViewGODAE OceanView

and its Task Teams and its Task Teams

Centre for Australian Weather and Climate Research; Wealth from Oceans Research Flagship, CSIRO

Andreas Schiller

GODAE OceanView-CLIVAR Workshop, Santa Cruz, 13-17 June 2011

GODAE OceanView-CLIVAR Workshop, Santa Cruz, 13-17 June 2011

GODAE Achievements GODAE Achievements and Successes (1998-2008)and Successes (1998-2008)

Implementation of observing and data processing systems• Argo and GHRSST (pilot projects), altimetry, in-situ

Implementation of global modelling & data assim. capabilities• High resolution and climate

Implementation of data/product serving capabilities• Inter-comparison / validation, metric and standardisation

Demonstration of feasibility and utility• Mesoscale nowcasting and forecasting, ocean climate research, marine pollution and safety, weather forecasting, marine resources, etc.

Scientific advances• Modelling, data assimilation, scientific validation

GODAE OceanView-CLIVAR Workshop, Santa Cruz, 13-17 June 2011

Feasibility of Now-/Forecasting Feasibility of Now-/Forecasting of Ocean Mesoscaleof Ocean Mesoscale

Hurlburt et al, 2008, AGU Monograph 177

GODAE OceanView-CLIVAR Workshop, Santa Cruz, 13-17 June 2011

The New Challenges (1)The New Challenges (1)Face emerging new societal needs

• Understand/monitor/forecast the earth system from days to decades– Improve atmospheric forecast where the ocean impacts it (cyclones,

monsoons, …)– Application of ocean prediction techniques to improve climate and

decadal prediction including the ocean contribution

• Where (most) people live– Improve near-shore/coastal waters real-time prediction (coupling to

and/or downscaling from the offshore/deep ocean; physics, biogeochemistry)

– Understand the impact of climate change in coastal regions (downscaling)

• For the sustained exploitation of the seas– Develop ecosystem-based management of marine living resources

Support environmental policies through environmental monitoring

GODAE OceanView-CLIVAR Workshop, Santa Cruz, 13-17 June 2011

The New Challenges (2)The New Challenges (2)Improve and extend our capacities

• Research and development in ocean modeling, data assimilation

• Coupling with other components of the earth system

• Cooperation with international research programs (e.g. WCRP, IGBP, SCOR)

Improve accuracy of the environmental information and products

GODAE OceanView-CLIVAR Workshop, Santa Cruz, 13-17 June 2011

The New Challenges (3)The New Challenges (3)Better observe the ocean

• Help the international organizations in charge of the development of the ocean observing systems:

– For the transition to sustained operations of the global in situ and space observing system

• better use of existing systems, such as ARGO, Jason, …

– For the design/assessment of new observing systems• new observable (e.g. bio, …), new focus (e.g. coastal, …)

– For the optimization of the resources• measure the relative impact, assess the utility, etc… through

OSE/OSSE

Evaluate benefit and optimize use of the GOOS

GODAE OceanView-CLIVAR Workshop, Santa Cruz, 13-17 June 2011

Next Meeting of GODAE Next Meeting of GODAE OceanView Science Team: OceanView Science Team: ESTEC, Oct 2011ESTEC, Oct 2011(ESA / European Space Research and Technology Centre)

Total in situ networks 62% January 2010

System % complete

Scope and Objectives of GODAE OceanViewScope and Objectives of GODAE OceanViewLeading the Scientific Development and Supporting

the Implementation of Ocean Forecasting Systems

GODAE OceanView-CLIVAR Workshop, Santa Cruz, 13-17 June 2011

GODAE OceanView:GODAE OceanView: • Establishment of the GODAE OceanView Science

Team in 2008/09

• Five Task Teams

• International Patrons

• New members

• Work Plan 2009-2013

• GODAE OceanView web site

• Summer School Perth 2010

GODAE OceanView-CLIVAR Workshop, Santa Cruz, 13-17 June 2011

GODAE OceanView GODAE OceanView Forecasting Systems Forecasting Systems

• National systems involving research & operational systems

BLUElink – Australia Brazilian Consortium Canadian Consortium NLOM and NCOM – USA HYCOM Consortium – USA ECCO – USA Indian Consortium Move & COMPASS-K – Japan China MERCATOR – France MFS – Italy NCOF (FOAM) U.K. TOPAZ – Norway

• European coordination ECMWF myOcean

GODAE OceanView-CLIVAR Workshop, Santa Cruz, 13-17 June 2011

To be Achieved by To be Achieved by GODAE OceanViewGODAE OceanView

• Improve accuracy and utility of ocean analysis and forecasting products

• Promote the development of downstream use of ocean data and information products from GODAE OceanView systems

• Support the transition to operational services Links with JCOMM/ET-OOFS (lead)

• Demonstrate the value of the observing systems

• Coordinate the development of new capabilities and links to other communities (international relationships)

job of task teams

GODAE OceanView-CLIVAR Workshop, Santa Cruz, 13-17 June 2011

GODAE OceanView Task TeamsGODAE OceanView Task Teams

• TASK TEAMS address specific topics of particular importance to GODAE

OceanView require collaboration with international research programs or

other groups (e.g. coastal community):– Inter-comparison and Validation (Martin & Hernandez)

– Observing System Evaluation (Oke & Larnicol)

– Coastal Ocean and Shelf Seas (DeMey & Kourafalou)

– Marine Ecosystem Analysis and Prediction (Barciela & Brasseur)

– Short- to Medium-Range Coupled Prediction (Brassington)

GODAE OceanView-CLIVAR Workshop, Santa Cruz, 13-17 June 2011

OMAPS(fc) = Bluelink operational 3-4-d forecasts

OMAPS(ban) = Bluelink operational hindcast (6-9-d behind RT)

HYCOM = US Navy hindcast (5-d behind RT)

Mercator = French hindcast (7-14-d behind RT)

UKMet = UK hindcast (~3-m behind RT)

GODAE OceanViewGODAE OceanView IntercomparisonIntercomparison

GODAE OceanView-CLIVAR Workshop, Santa Cruz, 13-17 June 2011

NO ALTIM NO Argo NO SSTNO DATA ALL DATA

Complimentary Data TypesComplimentary Data Types

Oke and Schiller (2007)

No SST

No ALTIM• 1/10o Bluelink system

• 6-month long OSEs starting December 2005

GODAE OceanView-CLIVAR Workshop, Santa Cruz, 13-17 June 2011

AlgaRisk08 integrates environ. obs with AlgaRisk08 integrates environ. obs with operational modeloperational model (POLCOMS-ERSEM) (POLCOMS-ERSEM)

Predictive tool used by U.K. Environment Agency to assess bloom events on beaches

Daily analysis & 5 day forecast.

Parameters provided: physical: SST, salinity, stratification, currents, PAR, wind, cloud cover.

biogeochemical: phytoplankton biomass, flagellates, dinoflagellates, picoplankton, nutrient ratios.

Boundary conditions from FOAM

GODAE OceanView-CLIVAR Workshop, Santa Cruz, 13-17 June 2011

CLAM-TC: Test Case TC UluiCLAM-TC: Test Case TC UluiEXAMPLE: TC ULUI 3 Day forecast base date 20100313

GODAE OceanView-CLIVAR Workshop, Santa Cruz, 13-17 June 2011

Current systems

Future systems

Global systems:Current model space

4000×2000×50

Near-term future model space

>10000×5000×100

global eddy-res. systems regional systems

littoral zone systems

GODAE OceanView-CLIVAR Workshop, Santa Cruz, 13-17 June 2011

Andreas SchillerCSIRO Marine and Atmospheric Research, Hobart([email protected])

GODAE OceanView-CLIVAR Workshop, Santa Cruz, 13-17 June 2011

GODAE OceanView-CLIVAR Workshop, Santa Cruz, 13-17 June 2011

Oceanography Special Issueand Oceanobs’09 Papers