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www.cmar.csiro.au/staff/oke www.cmar.csiro.au/staff/oke GODAE OceanView Observing System Evaluation Task Team (OSEval TT) Session Introduction Peter Oke Peter Oke CSIRO Marine and Atmospheric Research November 2011 “The most exciting phrase to hear in science, the one that heralds the most discoveries, is not ‘Eureka!’, but ‘That’s funny…’ ”, Isaac Asimov (1920-1992)

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Page 1: Www.cmar.csiro.au/staff/oke/ GODAE OceanView Observing System Evaluation Task Team (OSEval TT) Session Introduction Peter Oke CSIRO Marine and Atmospheric

www.cmar.csiro.au/staff/oke/ www.cmar.csiro.au/staff/oke/

GODAE OceanView Observing System Evaluation Task Team

(OSEval TT) Session Introduction

Peter OkePeter OkeCSIRO Marine and Atmospheric Research

November 2011

“The most exciting phrase to hear in science, the one that heralds the most discoveries, is not ‘Eureka!’, but ‘That’s funny…’ ”, Isaac Asimov (1920-1992)

Page 2: Www.cmar.csiro.au/staff/oke/ GODAE OceanView Observing System Evaluation Task Team (OSEval TT) Session Introduction Peter Oke CSIRO Marine and Atmospheric

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Talk Outline

• OSEval TT session agenda• OSEval TT structure• OSEval TT mission• Session objectives

– Progress NRT OSE activities– Explore links to other task teams

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Page 3: Www.cmar.csiro.au/staff/oke/ GODAE OceanView Observing System Evaluation Task Team (OSEval TT) Session Introduction Peter Oke CSIRO Marine and Atmospheric

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OSEval TT session agenda

0900 Introduction (Peter Oke)• Reminder of the OSEval TT mission• Review of outcomes from GOV/CLIVAR Workshop• Objectives of this session

0930 NRT OSEs presentation (Matt Martin, for Dan Lea)• Review of past NRT OSE results (Jan-May 2011);• New results from recent NRT OSEs (June-October 2011);• Proposal for NRT OSE results dissemination.

1000 Discussion of NRT OSE activities (Discussion Chair: Peter Oke)• Which groups will participate?• How should NRT OSE results be disseminated?

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OSEval TT session agenda (cont)

1030 GODAE OceanView’s role in supporting the XBT program• Demonstrating the quantitative impact of XBT in model sis

difficult because of the quantity of Argo data;• Should all XBT data be with-held from operational systems

and serve as the foundation of model evaluation and inter-comparisons?

1100 Science presentations• Speakers TBC

1200 Close session

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Page 5: Www.cmar.csiro.au/staff/oke/ GODAE OceanView Observing System Evaluation Task Team (OSEval TT) Session Introduction Peter Oke CSIRO Marine and Atmospheric

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GOV OSEVal-TT organisation

Co-Chairs: Peter Oke (CSIRO)Gilles Larnicol (CLS)

Core Members: Magdalena Balmaseda (ECMWF)Laurent Bertino (NERSC)Gary Brassington (BoM)Jim Cummings (NRL)Yosuke Fujii (JMA/MRI)Pat Hogan (NRL)Villy Kourafalou (Univ. Miami)Daniel Lea (UKMet)Matthew Martin (UKMet)Avichal Mehra (NOAA)Pavel Sakov (NERSC)Anthony Weaver (CERFACS)

Associate members:Mike Bell (UKMet)Eric Dombrowsky (Mercator)Fabrice Hernandez (Mercator)Eric Lindstrom (NASA)Andreas Schiller (CSIRO)

Page 6: Www.cmar.csiro.au/staff/oke/ GODAE OceanView Observing System Evaluation Task Team (OSEval TT) Session Introduction Peter Oke CSIRO Marine and Atmospheric

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Observing System Evaluation Task Team (OSEval-TT)

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Routine Monitoring

of the GOOS

Routine Monitoring

of the GOOS

Delayed-mode OSEs and OSSEs

for short-range and seasonal forecast

systems

Delayed-mode OSEs and OSSEs

for short-range and seasonal forecast

systems

Design and evaluation of new

and future observation system

components

Design and evaluation of new

and future observation system

components

Provision and management of

Observation Impact Statements (OIS)

based on OSEval evidence

Provision and management of

Observation Impact Statements (OIS)

based on OSEval evidence

Cap

acit

y B

uil

din

gC

apac

ity

Bu

ild

ing

Page 7: Www.cmar.csiro.au/staff/oke/ GODAE OceanView Observing System Evaluation Task Team (OSEval TT) Session Introduction Peter Oke CSIRO Marine and Atmospheric

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Framework for Ocean Observing:where GODAE OceanView fits

7Contributed by E. Lindstrom, OOPC Chair, NASA

GOV OSEva

l-TT

Page 8: Www.cmar.csiro.au/staff/oke/ GODAE OceanView Observing System Evaluation Task Team (OSEval TT) Session Introduction Peter Oke CSIRO Marine and Atmospheric

www.cmar.csiro.au/staff/oke/

OSEval TT mission

• Support observational agencies by demonstrating the impact of observations on forecast and reanalysis systems

• Contribute to the assessment of existing observing systems• Identifying gaps and redundancies• Identifying errors

• Contribute to the design of future observing systems• e.g., altimeter constellations, mooring arrays etc

Page 9: Www.cmar.csiro.au/staff/oke/ GODAE OceanView Observing System Evaluation Task Team (OSEval TT) Session Introduction Peter Oke CSIRO Marine and Atmospheric

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NRT OSEs Routinely run parallel forecast at operational centers and

with-hold a different data each month: Quantify the impact of each data type on forecasts Multi-system approach Rotating data types each month

We need to agree on:experiment schedule (what to with-hold and when);Who will participate?Metrics (what?);Analysis (what, who, how?); andDissemination (where, how?)

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NRT OSEs schedule

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Jan 2011Feb 2011Mar 2011Apr 2011May 2011Jun 2011Jul 2011 :Dec 2011Jan 2012Feb 2012Mar 2012Apr 2012May 2012Jun 2012Jul 2012

ArgoXBTTAOJason-2All altimsSSTArgo :TAOJason-2All altimsSSTArgoTAOJason-2All altims

Proposed schedule for discussion

5 data types with-held

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Provision of Observation Impact Statements (OISs)

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Provision of Observation Impact Statements (OISs)

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Provision of Observation Impact Statements (OISs)

Actions:Agree on NRT OSE scheduleAgree on metricsAgree on content of OISsAgree on method of dissemination

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