goldman sachs industrials conference - power …pub/@eaton/@corp/...electrical sector systems and...
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© 2016 Eaton. All rights reserved.
Goldman Sachs Industrials Conference
Craig Arnold – Chairman & Chief Executive Officer November 2, 2016
2 © 2016 Eaton. All rights reserved.
Forward Looking Statements and Non-GAAP Financial Information
The information provided at our conference today contain forward-looking statements concerning, among other matters, performance of our worldwide end markets, fourth quarter 2016 net income and operating earnings per share, full year 2016 net income and operating earnings per share, segment margins, capital expenditures, cash flow, tax rate, corporate expenses, projected revenue growth, foreign currency exchange impact, capital allocation plans and the costs and benefits associated with planned restructuring actions. These statements should be used with caution and are subject to various risks and uncertainties, many of which are outside the company’s control. The following factors could cause actual results to differ materially from those in the forward-looking statements: unanticipated changes in the markets for the company’s business segments; unanticipated downturns in business relationships with customers or their purchases from us; competitive pressures on sales and pricing; unanticipated changes in the cost of material and other production costs, or unexpected costs that cannot be recouped in product pricing; the introduction of competing technologies; unexpected technical or marketing difficulties; unexpected claims, charges, litigation or dispute resolutions; strikes or other labor unrest; the performance of recent acquisitions; unanticipated difficulties integrating acquisitions; new laws and governmental regulations; interest rate changes; stock market and currency fluctuations; war, civil or political unrest or terrorism; and unanticipated deterioration of economic and financial conditions in the United States and around the world. We do not assume any obligation to update these forward-looking statements. This presentation includes certain non-GAAP measures as defined by SEC rules. A reconciliation of those measures to the most directly comparable GAAP equivalent is provided in the investor relations section of our website at www.eaton.com.
3 © 2016 Eaton. All rights reserved.
Eaton – A Power Management Leader
• Successful power management strategy
• Leading Electrical franchise
• Strong Industrial businesses
• Robust cash flow with consistent return of cash
• Goals and guidance
4 © 2016 Eaton. All rights reserved.
Electrical Sector
Systems and Services Vehicle Aerospace Hydraulics Products
We deliver safe, reliable, and efficient power management solutions
Industrial Sector
Providing safe and efficient electrical solutions from generation through
distribution and control
2015 Sales: $7.0B 33% of sales
2015 Sales: $5.9B 28% of sales
2015 Sales: $2.5B 12% of sales
2015 Sales: $1.8B 9% of sales
2015 Sales: $3.7B 18% of sales
While helping our customers solve their most difficult challenges
Solutions for the world’s most demanding
power needs
Mission critical, safe, and reliable
solutions
Leader in fuel economy and
emissions reduction
5 © 2016 Eaton. All rights reserved.
We expect to see a number of megatrends continue to drive our business
+ ++
+++
Population growth - Growing population, urbanization, and middle class requiring places to live, food to eat, and increasing amounts of electricity
Environmental concerns and increased regulation - Air and water quality, and solid waste disposal will necessitate increased innovation
Energy efficiency - Highly influenced by environmental factors, energy efficiency will continue to be a major driver of growth
Intelligent products and connectivity - Value creation to be driven by the interconnectivity of products and systems
Increased demand for superior value solutions - Increasingly, customers are turning to alternatives providing superior value
6 © 2016 Eaton. All rights reserved.
Hydraulics
We have built a company of leading franchises…
• Top 4 global player in a $200B market • Growth driven by a global focus on efficiency requirements and infrastructure needs
• Strong margins driven by a portfolio of great brands and a leading channel position
• Among the 3 largest players in a diverse $40B market • Serving the world’s most challenging applications with power density solutions
• Positioned for strong returns as industry recovers
• Among leaders in $10B+ niche within global aerospace market
• Strong growth potential underscored by long-term trend of increasing passenger and freight air traffic
• Low volatility driven by long lead-times, a robust backlog, and strong aftermarket demand
• Leader in $45B market providing solutions to improve performance, emissions, and fuel economy
• Differentiated technology, customer service, and brand underscore high margins • High returns enabled by our value proposition and relatively low capital base
Electrical
Aerospace
Vehicle
7 © 2016 Eaton. All rights reserved.
…that work together and make all of Eaton stronger
• Corporate structure and shared service centers drive cost savings
Benefits of scale
Cash generation
Corporate structure
Shared technology
Shared markets
• Leverage expertise in engineering and technologies across segments
• Deepen relationships with customers through providing a broader solution
• Generating strong and consistent cash flow through the cycle
• Highly efficient corporate structure
• Eight global shared service centers
• Development synergies in electronics, software, prognostics, and diagnostics
• Serving common customers in industrial, MOEM, mining, and oil and gas markets
• Free cash flow grew 16% CAGR over past 5 years
• Corporate cost ~1% of sales
One Eaton
8 © 2016 Eaton. All rights reserved.
The businesses in our portfolio are evaluated against a clear set of criteria
Ability to lead in large global markets
Above average growth potential
High margin potential
High returns
Consistent profitability
Addressable market >$2B
Long-term growth > real GDP
Segment operating margin in mid- to high-teens
Return on tangible assets mid-twenties or above
Minimum of low-teens segment margin at the trough
We evaluate businesses through the cycle
9 © 2016 Eaton. All rights reserved.
We have an experienced and effective leadership team…
Chairman and CEO • 15 years at Eaton • Member of Eaton board • Director Medtronic plc • COO, Industrial Sector • CEO, Fluid Power Group • 17 years at General Electric
• President of Lighting, Europe
• President of Appliances, Asia
CFO • 13 years at Eaton • Member of Eaton board • Lead Director PolyOne • 6 years at Transamerica
as SVP Corporate Development
• 5 years at NatSteel in Singapore as Chairman NatSteel Chemicals & VP Corporate Development
Electrical COO • 14 years at Eaton • President, Electrical
Americas • President, Electrical APAC
(based in China) • VP/GM, Electrical
Components Division • 6 years at Honeywell
• VP, Honeywell Field Solutions
Industrial COO • 16 years at Eaton • President, Aerospace • EVP, Eaton Business System • President, Hydraulics APAC
(based in China) • VP, Supply Chain, Fluid
Power Group • Managing Director, Eaton India • 6 years at Lucas Engineering and
Systems Consulting based in Europe
Craig Arnold Rick Fearon Revathi Advaithi Uday Yadav
10 © 2016 Eaton. All rights reserved.
…with depth in both Electrical and Industrial Sectors
These 10 leaders have over 200 years of combined Eaton experience
Jim McGill President, Electrical - Americas • 38 years at Eaton(1) • President, Electrical
Products Americas • President, Electrical APAC • President, Eaton APAC • EVP, Eaton Business System • EVP, Human Resources
Brian Brickhouse President, Electrical - APAC • 30 years at Eaton(1) • President, Power Quality Division • SVP/GM, Distributed PQ Division • SVP, Critical Power
Solutions Division • Powerware Commercial
integration leader
Frank Campbell President, Electrical and Eaton - EMEA • 31 years at Eaton(1)
• President, Electrical EMEA • SVP, Electrical Sales
and Marketing • VP/GM, Electrical Assemblies • VP/GM, Electrical
Commercial Facilities
Ken Davis President, Vehicle • 30 years at Eaton • President, Vehicle Group Americas • President, Light and Medium-
Duty Transmission • VP/GM, Clutch Division
Curt Hutchins President, Hydraulics • 12 years at Eaton • President, Heavy Duty
Transmission business • President, Eaton APAC • 16 years in consumer products
and aerospace industries
Nanda Kumar President, Aerospace • 25 years at Eaton • EVP, Eaton Business System • President, Vehicle EMEA • SVP/GM, Valvetrain • VP/GM, Specialty Controls and
Valve Actuation
(1) Includes tenure at companies acquired by Eaton
11 © 2016 Eaton. All rights reserved.
0%
20%
$0
$4
2000 20150%
20%
$0
$4
2000 20150%
20%
$0
$4
2000 2015
Sale
s ($
B)
Sale
s ($
B)
Sale
s ($
B)
We have steadily improved the performance of our businesses
8.1% 8.7%
15.2%
2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016Emidpoint
0%
20%
$0
$13
2000 2015
Segment Operating Margin¹
Electrical Hydraulics Aerospace Vehicle
Sale
s ($
B)
Margin
Margin
Margin
Margin
Expansion period average: 11.9%
Expansion period average: 14.3%
¹Excludes acquisition integration charges
12 © 2016 Eaton. All rights reserved.
We have a three-pronged strategy
Strategic Growth Initiatives - Develop technology leadership (safe, reliable, efficient, connected, and intelligent), convert on our channel and service strength, deliver superior value
Expand Margins - Accelerate our operational excellence, implement multi-year productivity plans, focus on outliers (fix the tail, grow the head)
Disciplined Capital Allocation - Invest to win, consistently return cash to shareholders (dividends, share buybacks), criteria-based product and business evaluation
13 © 2016 Eaton. All rights reserved.
Eaton – A Power Management Leader
• Successful power management strategy
• Leading Electrical franchise
• Strong Industrial businesses
• Robust cash flow with consistent return of cash
• Goals and guidance
14 © 2016 Eaton. All rights reserved.
Our seven core platforms deliver solutions for the entire power system…
Data centers Facilities Utility Residential Machine builders Commercial
Industrial
15 © 2016 Eaton. All rights reserved.
…providing differentiated value to key customer segments
• Single family • Apartments • Condos
Segment
Examples
Customer value
• Internet / Web
• Telecom • Enterprise • Multi-tenant
• Mining • Oil & gas • Steel
Protecting people and profit with solutions that increase operational performance
• Generation • Transmission • Distribution
Delivering reliable, efficient and safe power where and when it is needed
• Packaging machinery
• Conveyors • Injection
molding
• Offices • Retail • Warehouses • Healthcare • Education
Enabling machines to deliver the performance, energy efficiency and reliability customers demand
Protecting businesses by focusing on reliability and efficiency to maximize comfort, safety and ROI
Energizing data centers for maximum performance, time to market, reliability and ROI
Providing reliable, sustainable and safe solutions for modern lifestyles
Data centers Facilities Utility Residential Machine builders Commercial
Industrial
16 © 2016 Eaton. All rights reserved.
We are balanced both geographically and across key end markets
Geographic mix Segment mix
41% 59%
Rest of World
United States Commercial & Institutional / Gov’t. Industrial
Data Center / IT Utility Residential
32%
9%
13%
15%
31%
2015 Sales $12.9B
17 © 2016 Eaton. All rights reserved.
Electrical Sector is poised to deliver profitable growth
Strategic growth initiatives • Delivering superior customer value • Leveraging our technology leadership • Converting on our service and channel strength
Expand margins • Product line optimization • Multi-year productivity plans • Accelerating our operational excellence
18 © 2016 Eaton. All rights reserved.
Designing and delivering the right products for the right markets
$0
$5
$10
$15
$20
$25
2013 2014 2015
93E (400V) Sales
APAC MEA / E. Europe
($M)
• Designed to meet the specific needs of emerging market customers and their unique applications
• Development efforts conducted in-region to ensure close customer intimacy and enable rapid feedback
• Delivers up to 98% efficiency with a footprint up to 35% smaller than competitive offerings
• Rapid sales growth across APAC, MEA and Eastern Europe since 2012 launch
• Using emerging market design and cost concepts in products designed for developed markets
93E UPS for Data Centers in emerging markets
$100M additional Eaton 93E annual revenue opportunity by 2020
19 © 2016 Eaton. All rights reserved.
A leading LED and connected lighting business driving growth across the entire electrical franchise
Total connected lighting growth
Convergence of light sources and controls facilitates growth of integrated lighting networks
Industry leading LED penetration
2012 2015
19%
60%
$800M additional Eaton Lighting annual revenue opportunity by 2020
Investing in new products and technology for new markets
• High-performance connected LED lighting • Sports lighting, outdoor, and industrial
applications • Controls capability with embedded
intelligence and communications
LED w/ Integrated controls
LED “Stand alone”
Traditional sources
20 © 2016 Eaton. All rights reserved.
Integrating intelligent devices, software and communications for the Industrial Internet
Intelligent devices
Substation Control center
Utility automation application • Ability to integrate thousands of
intelligent devices
• Software that aggregates and analyzes information to optimize the grid
• Communications provide cybersecurity for remote access
• Helps to manage, monitor and secure an increasingly complex electrical grid
$500M additional Eaton automation annual revenue
opportunity by 2020
21 © 2016 Eaton. All rights reserved.
Industry leading channel partnerships by focusing on what is important to distributors
• Eaton can provide 65% of a typical distributor’s revenue; Eaton’s products are typically #1 or #2 in most categories
• Eaton has the largest electrical sales force in North America; over 1,700 sales personnel
• Eaton has over 2,000 service and project management specialists
• Eaton has ~10,000 R&D professionals with intimate customer and market knowledge
• Eaton has strong anchor brands and a powerful corporate brand
• Eaton has invested in electronic tools to increase distributor productivity
Distributor requirements of their best suppliers
$900M additional Eaton distributor annual revenue opportunity by 2020
22 © 2016 Eaton. All rights reserved.
Our efforts to improve product line performance have and will continue to raise overall profitability
Low margin
High margin
Profitability distribution
Focus Area
Fixing • Identifying underperformers • Leveraging EBS toolkit • Driving productivity and margin
improvement • Focusing on operational excellence
Growing • Targeting attractive markets • Structuring innovation processes • Investing in R&D to address unmet
customer needs • Capitalizing on channel strengths
Fixing Growing
23 © 2016 Eaton. All rights reserved.
Opportunities still exist for improving our global manufacturing and supply chain footprint
ETN Elec Opportunity
>60% in higher cost locations
Sales per manufacturing site Manufacturing sites
0-100 100-200 200+
Mfg. sites by number of employees
Results in improved customer experience (OTD, quality) and significant cost-out
Actions • Should-cost analysis • Core vs. non-core activities • Manufacturing Centers of Excellence (COEs)
• Distribution Center optimization • Supplier consolidation
Scale opportunities
24 © 2016 Eaton. All rights reserved.
2015 2016E Through thecycle
Segment Margins Key Drivers of Growth
• Leading the conversion to connected LED lighting
• Growth in the global distribution channel
• Global power quality product offering for IT markets
• Leveraging our portfolio of industry leading electrical components
17.6%-18.0% 16.0%-19.0%
16.9%
Our Electrical Products business has the scale and technological innovation to compete globally
Note: 2015 segment margins exclude acquisition integration charges
25 © 2016 Eaton. All rights reserved.
2015 2016E Through thecycle
Segment Margins Key Drivers of Growth
• Arc flash and explosion-proof technologies
• Capitalizing on leadership position for energy-efficient UPS
• IEC assemblies for global markets
• Exploiting our extensive project management capabilities and value- added services
12.6%-13.0%
13.0%-16.0%
13.3%
Our Electrical Systems & Services business provides solutions to all levels of the value chain
Note: 2015 segment margins exclude acquisition integration charges
26 © 2016 Eaton. All rights reserved.
Eaton – A Power Management Leader
• Successful power management strategy
• Leading Electrical franchise
• Strong Industrial businesses
• Robust cash flow with consistent return of cash
• Goals and guidance
27 © 2016 Eaton. All rights reserved.
We have industry-leading businesses across the Industrial Sector
• Hydraulic pumps, motors & valves
• Airframe and engine fuel pumps and valves
• Sealing technology and debris monitoring
• Conveyance and ducting
• Hollow and solid valves
• Valve actuation & cylinder deactivation
• Lockers and limited slip differentials
• Heavy-Duty and Medium-Duty manual transmissions & clutches
• Hydraulic pumps
• Valves
• Steering control units
• Low speed high torque motors
• Conveyance and fittings
Aerospace Hydraulics Vehicle
Customer value
Leader in fuel economy and emissions reduction
Solutions for the world’s most demanding
power needs
Mission critical, safe and reliable solutions
Segments
Leading products
28 © 2016 Eaton. All rights reserved.
Our Hydraulics business serves large and diverse end markets
• 65% Mobile Equipment • 35% Stationary Equipment • 50% Direct • 50% Through Distribution
2015 Sales of $2.5B
• Large $40B global and diverse market
• Enhanced product portfolio
• Intelligent products, leveraging end market exposures
Why We Like Hydraulics
Business Mix
Expected 2016 operating margin of 9.6% to 10.0%
Market Mix
Construction & Mining
Agriculture
Energy
Commercial Vehicle
Material Handling
Manufacturing
Processing
Other
29 © 2016 Eaton. All rights reserved.
Multi-year Hydraulics restructuring strategy creates a competitive long-term position
Actions completed in 2014 and 2015: • 15% reduction in support costs
• Reduced fixed manufacturing expenses by 12%
• Completed $47M of restructuring actions
Longer-term strategy: • Announced new restructuring plans for 2016 and 2017
• Adjusting our manufacturing footprint to match market demand
• Consolidating operations to more efficient plants 2015 Long-term
Target
Fixed costs as a % of sales target
Delivering stronger margin performance through future cycles
30 © 2016 Eaton. All rights reserved.
Hydraulics is positioned to capitalize on growth opportunities
Driving Long-Term Growth with New Technologies
Expanding Base Business Product Offering Growing Aftermarket
Product Example: Advanced mobile control
valves in mobile machinery • $850M mobile control market;
~10% CAGR
Product Example: Hybrid fork lift
• $2.1B Lift truck market; 3% CAGR
• 35%+ fuel efficiency, integrates full power engine management
Mining in Australia On-site 24/7 service
• $12B market opportunity; 2% CAGR
• One third of Eaton 2015 sales • $18B installed base of
Eaton products • Key actions
• Localizing products • Building service
capabilities • Adding channel partners
Product Example: Stationary industrial machinery
Product Example: Palm oil processing
• ~40% cost savings through automation upgrade
• Integrated SmartWire-DT panel assembly
• Axis Pro Internal diagnostics system
• Capability to communicate issues to central controller - minimize downtime
31 © 2016 Eaton. All rights reserved.
Our Aerospace business is balanced across market segments and diverse platforms
2015 Sales of $1.8B
Why We Like Aerospace
Business Mix
Market Mix
• 65% Commercial / 35% Military
• 61% New Aircraft / 39% Aftermarket
• Growing content and new technology on new OE platforms
• Long-cycle industry
• Advantageous technology position
Commercial OEM
Commercial Aftermarket
Military Aftermarket
Military OEM
Other
Expected 2016 operating margin of 19.1% to 19.5%
32 © 2016 Eaton. All rights reserved.
Future growth driven by accelerating OE programs, new technologies and the aftermarket
Driving long-term growth with new technology
New OE platforms will drive future growth
Expanding our Aftermarket presence
Hydraulic power generation on aircraft
$5B Commercial OE market; 4% CAGR • Improves fuel economy by reducing
weight and power consumption • Higher power electronics and
embedded intelligence
Aircraft fuel and inerting systems
$5B Military OE market; 1% CAGR • Optimized system efficiency • Reduced weight improves fuel economy • High reliability - reduced maintenance cost
$4B global market; 2.5% CAGR • Global installed base of $14B+;
39% of 2015 revenue • 22% growth since 2012;
300bps mix change • Initiatives focused on:
• Expand kitting and enhancing data analytical capabilities
• Capturing entitlement • Driving modifications
and upgrades • Developing regional
MRO partnerships
2015 2020
Eaton’s Aftermarket sales
4% CAGR
Uni
ts
33 © 2016 Eaton. All rights reserved.
Our Vehicle Group provides targeted solutions for both commercial and passenger markets
Why We Like Vehicle
Business Mix
Expected 2016 operating margin of 15.2% to 15.6%
• Americas: 70%
• EMEA: 20%
• APAC: 10%
• Expanding opportunities for innovation
• Leader in fuel economy and emissions reduction
• Diversifying product offerings into adjacent segments
2015 Sales of $3.7B
Market Mix
Passenger
Line Haul
Vocational
Pickup and Delivery
Ag / Off Highway Other
34 © 2016 Eaton. All rights reserved.
Driving long-term growth across several platforms Automated Transmissions
• Automation growth creates a large market opportunity with 40-50% higher price point than equivalent manual products
Electronic Limited Slip Differential
• Manual to automated manual transmissions
• Automated transmissions have ~55% share vs 25% in 2012
$1.1B+ Torque control market; 6% CAGR • Improves trailer tow capability • Leverages Electronic Stability Control sensors to
optimize slip control • Broadens vehicle capabilities from low-speed traction to
all-speed dynamic control
Auxiliary Braking System
$5B Valvetrain market; 4% CAGR • ~35%+ braking effectiveness • 1% lower in fuel consumption • Solving customers need to meet regulations • Integrates engine design with valve actuation components
$4B clutch and transmission market; 2% CAGR • Global installed base of 4.6M units;
~15% of 2015 revenue • NAFTA initiatives changed mix by 400bps
since 2012 • Initiatives focused on:
• Capturing secondary market opportunities
• Global distribution partners and authorized service centers
• Building strategic partnerships
• Vertical integration OEMs are largely complete
• Increased presence in adjacent markets • New Product introductions: Procision in
medium-duty market
Expanding Aftermarket Presence
35 © 2016 Eaton. All rights reserved.
We have multiple levers to expand operating margins
•Significant margin enhancement through the cycle post restructuring
Productivity plans and restructuring • Footprint optimization • Reducing support costs
Product line optimization and sales mix • Focusing on the outliers • Improved sales mix
Operational excellence • Manufacturing and supply chain efficiencies • Program execution
2016 Estimates and Peak-to-trough
operating margin targets
Vehicle Hydraulics Aerospace
16%-19% 16%-19%
13%-16%
9.8%*
19.3%*
15.4%*
* Midpoint of 2016 guidance estimate
36 © 2016 Eaton. All rights reserved.
Eaton – A Power Management Leader
• Successful power management strategy
• Leading Electrical franchise
• Strong Industrial businesses
• Robust cash flow with consistent return of cash
• Goals and guidance
37 © 2016 Eaton. All rights reserved.
Free cash flow has grown $1.0B over the past five years, resulting in $1.9B in 2015
$0
$1
$2
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014* 2015
Free Cash Flow ($B)
* Adjusted for legal settlements
16% annual growth in free cash flow over the past 5 years
38 © 2016 Eaton. All rights reserved.
$0
$2
$4
$6
2013 2014 2015
Operating EPS Cash Operating EPS
Cash earnings remain much greater than operating earnings…
Note: Cash Operating EPS = Operating EPS plus per share after-tax corporate amortization and inventory step-up
$.80/Share
Purchase accounting related non-cash charges averaged $0.90 / share from 2013 - 2015
Cash earnings comparison
39 © 2016 Eaton. All rights reserved.
… with a steady rise in free cash flow conversion
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
120%
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014* 2015 2016E
Free cash flow conversion
* Adjusted for legal settlements
40 © 2016 Eaton. All rights reserved.
Our capital allocation strategy is now focused on growth and returning capital to shareholders
Reinvest in the business to drive organic growth: capital expenditures between 2.5% - 3.0% of sales and R&D of ~3.0% of sales Return cash to shareholders with a growing dividend: Over the last 10 years, dividend CAGR of 12% Repurchase shares equal to at least 1% - 2% of our market capitalization per year; in times of multiple compression, such as now, target higher share repurchase amounts For balance of available capital, look for acquisitions which advance our strategy and return at least 300 bps over our cost of capital
1
2
3
4
41 © 2016 Eaton. All rights reserved.
$0
$1
$2
Our dividend has increased steadily and provides an attractive yield to investors
10 year CAGR through 2016: 12% 5 year CAGR through 2016: 11%
Dividend per share Dividend yield as of 09/30/16
We have increased our quarterly dividend for 2016 by 3.6%, from $0.55 to $0.57
Source: Capital IQ, Eaton analysis
0%
1%
2%
3%
4%
5%
EMR
ETN
AB
BSI
ESU UTX
DO
VR
OK LR ITW
HO
N PH IRD
HR
42 © 2016 Eaton. All rights reserved.
0
350
700
Dividends Paid Share Repurchases
Through repurchases and dividends, we have returned $4.6B to shareholders in the past two years & 9 months
2014 2015 Total Dividends Paid 929 1,026 1,955 Share Repurchases 650 682 1,322 Total ($M) 1,579 1,708 3,287
Share repurchases and dividends ($M)
From 2015-2018, we plan on repurchasing $3.0B in shares. YTD 9/30/16, we repurchased $567M in shares.
YTD 2016 780 567
1,347
43 © 2016 Eaton. All rights reserved.
Eaton – A Power Management Leader
• Successful power management strategy
• Leading Electrical franchise
• Strong Industrial businesses
• Robust cash flow with consistent return of cash
• Goals and guidance
44 © 2016 Eaton. All rights reserved.
We have established new 5-year goals and modified our long-term incentive plan
Our new 5 year goals... Aligned management incentives…
• Significant equity holding requirements for senior management
• Short-term compensation plan is directly linked to EPS growth and cash flow return
• New long-term incentive plan aligned with relative total shareholder return
45 © 2016 Eaton. All rights reserved.
Our earnings growth is being driven by actions under management’s control
EPS Growth Drivers (CAGR)
2015 - 2020 Organic growth 1% - 2% Restructuring and OpEx 3% - 4% Share repurchases 3% Acquisitions 1% Total 8% - 9%
46 © 2016 Eaton. All rights reserved.
2016 organic revenue growth now expected to decline ~(4)%
Segment 2016 Organic Revenue Growth Key Drivers
Electrical Products 0 - 1%
Strength in North American residential and light commercial markets Continued growth in lighting Modest growth in EMEA driven by construction markets Weakness in industrial markets and oil and gas APAC remains sluggish
Electrical Systems and Services
(3)% - (4)% Utility spend on distribution equipment improving modestly Harsh and hazardous, remains challenging environment Large power distribution assemblies remain soft, especially in industrial markets
Hydraulics (8)% - (9)% Stabilization of China construction equipment market Global agriculture equipment markets at low levels Oil & gas and mining markets weak on low commodity prices
Aerospace 0 - 1% Strength in civilian OEM aircraft markets Civilian aftermarket growing at trend Defense spending modestly weaker
Vehicle (12)% - (13)% European and Chinese light vehicle markets continue to grow NAFTA Class 8 Trucks down sharply Latin American markets down, less sharply than in 2015
Eaton ~(4)%
47 © 2016 Eaton. All rights reserved.
Our 2015-2017 restructuring program is expected to generate over $400M in savings
* Full year effect of 2017 actions yield additional $75M of benefit in 2018
2015 Actuals 2016 Estimate 2017 Estimate Total
Cost
Annual Benefits Cost
Incremental Annual Benefits Cost
Incremental Annual Benefits
Estimated Cost
Estimated Cumulative
Benefits
$(129) $78 $(145) $200 $(180) $155 $(454) $508*
• Total program will spend $454M over three years, yielding $508M of cumulative benefits
• In 2016, restructuring actions will deliver $184M incremental profit versus 2015
• In 2017, the program will yield $155M incremental benefits versus 2016, partially offset by $(35)M of additional spending over 2016
48 © 2016 Eaton. All rights reserved.
2016 outlook summary
Organic Revenue Growth ~(4)% Acquisition Revenue Growth $35M Forex ($225) Segment Operating Margins 15.0% - 15.4%
Corporate expenses $90M below 2015 levels
Tax Rate 9% - 10%
Operating EPS / Net Income Per Share
Full Year $4.15 - $4.25 Q4 $1.05 - $1.15
Operating Cash Flow $2.6B - $2.8B Free Cash Flow $2.1B - $2.3B CAPEX $525M
49 © 2016 Eaton. All rights reserved.
A self-help strategy delivering near-term results with significant upside when markets improve
Accelerating organic growth with a focus on three key initiatives • Focusing R&D efforts on three critical areas • Expanding channel position and aftermarket • Providing superior value
Expanding margin by improving our cost position • Enhanced focus on operational excellence • $450M multi-year restructuring program • Improving outliers, fix poor performers, and grow top performers
Generating significant cash with disciplined capital allocation • Investing for organic growth • Delivering attractive cash returns to shareholders
• $3B share buyback and attractive dividend • Providing funding for acquisitions
New leadership team aligned on achieving our 2015 - 2020 goals by:
50 © 2016 Eaton. All rights reserved.