green energy for a green archipelago: the azores 2.pdf · 2011. 7. 14. · azores energy strategy...
TRANSCRIPT
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Green energy for a Green archipelago: the Azores
A contribution from the MIT-Portugal Program:
Sustainable Energy Systems
Paulo FerrãoMIT-Portugal Program Director
30th CPMR Islands CommissionGeneral Assembly“How can Islands seize new opportunities in the prospect of a sustainable development?”
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Engineering systems focus: gives emphasis to complex systems that not only have critical technological components, but also have significant economical and socio-technical level interactions, going beyond traditionally defined engineering disciplines.
The following specific fields were identified as the initial focus areas, on top of which an integrative anchor program will be developed:
– Engineering Design and Advanced Manufacturing
– Transportation Systems
– Sustainable Energy Systems
– Bio-Engineering Systems
MIT-Portugal Program
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PhD and Masters programs
• PhD:• 3-4 years
• 1 year of classes in either modular-intensive or traditional term-length format: varies by program
• International program: all materials, lectures and activities in English
• Teaching by Portuguese and MIT faculty (in person and distance learning)
• Most students do 12-18 months research at MIT and have MIT co-advisor
• Master programs:• 1 year programs mostly for professionals
• Comparable to first year of PhD lectures plus additional activities
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Our knowledge-creation model
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A systems approach – the ENERGY and MOBILITY SOFTWARE– Intelligent networks, smart grids– New vehicle energy paradigms– Better integration, the individual as an
actor of the energy system
Energy: the challenge ahead
PresentFuture
AlternativesDo “nothing” status quo
Reduce demand– Improve efficiency– Demand Side Management – Pricing mechanisms
New Energy Sources and Technologies–wind, solar, biomass, geothermal…–nuclear, tar sands,…
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A demand oriented approach The energy system in São Miguel
47%
27%
Heating
Cooling
Lighting
Mech. Power
Transporting
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Azores energy strategy for 2018
• Goals for all Azores– 75% of renewables on electricity production– 40% of renewables on primary energy (electrification of other sectors)
• Plan (for São Miguel)– 3MW Geothermal by 2010– 9MW Wind by 2011– 10MW Geothermal by 2013
• Questions– Another 10 MW Geothermal after 2013?– Storage system?– How to use biomass?– Is this enough? What else?
Green Islands Project
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“Green Islands Project”
The project goal – Design for Sustainability:
• Reduce fossil fuel dependencetogether with GHG, and create value and jobs building comparative advantages through Engineering Design and Systems Thinking.
• ISLANDS CONSTITUTE A PERFECT LIVING LAB TO TEST SOLUTIONS FOR OUR “ISLAND EARTH”
Pólo de Competitividade e Tecnologia da Energia
SGC Energia | Grupo SGC
http://images.google.pt/imgres?imgurl=http://www.fcee.lisboa.ucp.pt/resources/images/upload/edp.jpg&imgrefurl=http://bolsalisboa.blogspot.com/2008/01/edp-prepara-colocao-em-bolsa-da-sua.html&h=274&w=640&sz=38&hl=en&start=1&usg=__z616HCJ2kYf1XJMPBBzBLsk1foI=&tbnid=HjGz8eL05JCqpM:&tbnh=59&tbnw=137&prev=/images?q=energias+de+Portugal&gbv=2&hl=enhttp://images.google.pt/imgres?imgurl=http://www.portugalmaispositivo.com/?q=image/view/4969&imgrefurl=http://www.portugalmaispositivo.com/?q=node/7424&h=176&w=448&sz=11&hl=en&start=8&usg=__XtXPXKDniMVfTLW5ovCuW8E5mfw=&tbnid=Gpt6qR-NP4RBOM:&tbnh=50&tbnw=127&prev=/images?q=efacec&gbv=2&hl=enhttp://images.google.pt/imgres?imgurl=http://www.apfn.com.pt/Boletim/12/galp energia.jpg&imgrefurl=http://grandelojadoqueijolimiano.blogspot.com/2004_05_01_archive.html&h=70&w=216&sz=12&hl=en&start=7&usg=__A8Ek4FMuf2wSVCXjnnKh4kW6wos=&tbnid=bVQskSwtQvEuGM:&tbnh=35&tbnw=107&prev=/images?q=galp+energia&gbv=2&hl=en
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• 2007 Electricity Demand
Electricity Demand - São Miguel (EDA, December 2007)
The main challenge
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Why is this a challenge?
The Cost-Effective and Implementable Transition
to a “Green Island” Requires…
• A detailed understanding local energy resources… including their daily, seasonal, and inter-annual variability
… where and when they best fit the current
and future energy system
… where, when and under what circumstances
renewables complement or conflict one another
• A detailed understanding for
energy service needs… including detailed energy demand patterns, both
behavioral and technological
… economic, demographic and other trends affecting demand
… understanding the technology and its interaction with people
Hourly Electricity Demand,Mainland Portugal
Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May
Jun
Jul
Aug
Sep
Oct
Nov
Dec
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Partnering for a New Energy Economy• Understanding the Islands’
Energy Needs and Supplies• Understanding energy in space and time
• Developing a full understanding of local resources
• Developing New Ideas for FutureIslands’ Economic and EnergyNeeds and Options• Future electricity supplies, inlcuding energy storage• Exploring new transportation options,
including electricity• Looking at ways to reduce energy use, including
innovations in buildings and construction
• Partnering to Implement this New EnergyEconomy for the Azores
• Develop new innovative demonstration and pilot projects thatlaunch a new generation of energy businesses
Green Islands:
Developing the Knowledge and Tools for Real Change
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The MIT-Portugal Sustainable Energy Systems
SES Focus Area is developing its research and educational
initiatives to fill in this “meso-scale” (minutes-to-months,
buildings-to-regions) as cost and emissions effectiveness
at these scales will
inform policymakers
and industry of local
and national oppor-
tunities for trans-
formative “energy
pathways.”
By definition, SES
activities must involve
government and
industry and
integrate new re-
search with new
educational offerings.
MPP Sustainable Energy Systems
Time and Space Map
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Gaps of modeling tools on other dimensions
Hour Year
Region /Country
House /Neighborhood
Second
Space
Time
Projections
Optimization
Methodology
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New generation of modeling tools
Hour Year
Region /Country
House /Neighborhood
Second
Space
Time
Projections
Optimization
Methodology
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How does TIMES model SES
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Hybridize TIMES with other tools
Electric Grid Response
Energy Efficiency Measures
Transportation Fleet Evolution
Incentives
Real Options
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Scenarios with efficiency policies
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Strategy for 2018 MIT PortugalLocal Agents
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AMBITION FOR SOME PILOT PROJECTS
BASED ON MIT-PORTUGAL RESEARCH
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AZORES: A SUSTAINABLE ENERGY SYSTEMS
LIVING LAB
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Paradigm ChangeTHE ENERGY INTERNETTHE NEXT REVOLUTION
Transmission Network
Distribution Network
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The challenge
The “secret” is that they need to cooperate, they are not working alone
Renewables
Transp.
Buildings
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The future – Intelligent Energy Networks, the energy software revolution
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The future – Intelligent Energy Networks, the energy software revolution
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THE AZORES ARE COMMITTED TO SUSTAINABILITY
... DEMONSTRATING EUROPEAN PATHWAYS TO SUSTAINABILITY
A MAJOR LIGHTHOUSE FOR EU, PARTNERSHIP IS WELCOME.
ISLANDS ANTECIPATE THE FUTURE