growing two-sided networks by advertising the user base: a field experiment catherine tucker and...

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Growing Two-Sided Networks by Advertising the User Base: A Field Experiment Catherine Tucker and Juanjuan Zhang Marketing Science, 2010, 29(5), pp. 805-814.

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Page 1: Growing Two-Sided Networks by Advertising the User Base: A Field Experiment Catherine Tucker and Juanjuan Zhang Marketing Science, 2010, 29(5), pp. 805-814

Growing Two-Sided Networks by Advertising the User Base: A Field Experiment

Catherine Tucker and Juanjuan Zhang

Marketing Science, 2010, 29(5), pp. 805-814.

Page 2: Growing Two-Sided Networks by Advertising the User Base: A Field Experiment Catherine Tucker and Juanjuan Zhang Marketing Science, 2010, 29(5), pp. 805-814

Many networks advertise the size of their user base

Page 3: Growing Two-Sided Networks by Advertising the User Base: A Field Experiment Catherine Tucker and Juanjuan Zhang Marketing Science, 2010, 29(5), pp. 805-814

It is unclear how potential customers would respond

• Suppose a network advertises having many existing sellers. How would potential sellers respond?1. Worry about competition Less likely to enter

2. Infer that demand is high More likely to enter

Page 4: Growing Two-Sided Networks by Advertising the User Base: A Field Experiment Catherine Tucker and Juanjuan Zhang Marketing Science, 2010, 29(5), pp. 805-814

We disentangle these two effects with a field experiment

• Randomize:1. Whether to display the existing number of sellers

and/or buyers on the network2. The number of sellers/buyers, if displayed

Page 5: Growing Two-Sided Networks by Advertising the User Base: A Field Experiment Catherine Tucker and Juanjuan Zhang Marketing Science, 2010, 29(5), pp. 805-814

Findings: the two effects coexist

• When the numbers of sellers and buyers are both displayed, a large number of sellers deters further seller entry

• This deterrence effect disappears when the number of sellers is presented in isolation (new sellers infer demand from competition)

• The demand-inference effect is stronger when there is greater demand uncertainty

Page 6: Growing Two-Sided Networks by Advertising the User Base: A Field Experiment Catherine Tucker and Juanjuan Zhang Marketing Science, 2010, 29(5), pp. 805-814

Takeaways

• Suggest a cost-effective growth strategy for networks – Emphasize competitive information to potential

customers who know less about demand• Emphasize a nuanced interpretation of

competition– It hurts profits but signifies market potential