hibbett_fall 2016 web

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November 16, 2016 HIBBETT SPORTS INCORPORATED HIBB/NASDAQ Continuing Coverage: Hibbett Builds On Its Winning Streak Investment Rating: PRICE: $ 44.53 S&P 500: 2,176.94 DJIA: 18,868.14 RUSSELL 2000: 1,302.20 Hibbett’s Strategy of focusing on smaller, lessserved markets has certainly worked Productivity improvements help achieve a better customer experience Growing in contiguous markets adds to distribution efficiency and lower cost Ecommerce will contribute to increased sales Superior customer service through invested human capital leads to brand loyalty Our 12month target price is $52. Valuation 2016 A 2017 E 2018 E EPS $ 2.92 $ 3.43 $ 3.71 P/E 15.3x 13.0x 12.0x CFPS $ 2.42 $ 6.06 $ 4.32 P/CFPS 18.4x 7.3x 10.3x Market Capitalization Stock Data Equity Market Cap (MM): $ 979.66 52Week Range: $27.58 $45.85 Enterprise Value (MM): $ 954.69 12Month Stock Performance: 46.82% Shares Outstanding (MM): 22.00 Dividend Yield: Nil Estimated Float (MM): 21.80 Book Value Per Share: $ 14.49 3Mo. Avg. Daily Volume: 354,000 Beta: 1.20 Short Ratio 16.14 EV/EBITDA 7.1x Company Quick View: Hibbett Sports is on deck with Sports Authority striking out. Hibbett Sports is a sporting good retail operator headquartered in Birmingham, Alabama. Hibbett Sports provides name brand footwear, apparel and equipment to its loyal customers. The Company specializes in local and regional markets. Hibbett Sports is known for its superior customer service and small market focus. Company Website:www.hibbett.com Analysts: Investment Research Manager: Cole Mancuso Matt Rizner Jacob Singer Daniel Iavarone Daniel Karp The BURKENROAD REPORTS are produced solely as a part of an educational program of Tulane University's Freeman School of Business. The reports are not investment advice and you should not and may not rely on them in making any investment decision. You should consult an investment professional and/or conduct your own primary research regarding any potential investment. Wall Street's Farm Team BURKENROAD REPORTS

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Page 1: Hibbett_Fall 2016 web

November16,2016  

HIBBETT  SPORTS  INCORPORATED  HIBB/NASDAQ    

Continuing  Coverage:  Hibbett  Builds    On  Its  Winning  Streak    

Investment  Rating:      

PRICE: $44.53 S&P500: 2,176.94 DJIA: 18,868.14 RUSSELL2000: 1,302.20    • Hibbett’s  Strategy  of  focusing  on  smaller,  less-­‐served  markets  has  certainly  

worked  • Productivity  improvements  help  achieve  a  better  customer  experience  • Growing  in  contiguous  markets  adds  to  distribution  efficiency  and  lower  

cost    • E-­‐commerce  will  contribute  to  increased  sales    • Superior  customer  service  through  invested  human  capital  leads  to  brand  

loyalty  • Our  12-­‐month  target  price  is  $52.    

Valuation  2016  A  2017  E 2018  EEPS $  2.92 $  3.43 $  3.71P/E 15.3x   13.0x   12.0x  CFPS $  2.42 $  6.06 $  4.32P/CFPS 18.4x   7.3x   10.3x  

 

Market  Capitalization Stock  DataEquity  Market  Cap  (MM): $  979.66 52-­‐Week  Range:   $27.58  -­‐  $45.85

Enterprise  Value  (MM): $  954.69 12-­‐Month  Stock  Performance: 46.82%

Shares  Outstanding  (MM): 22.00 Dividend  Yield: Nil

Estimated  Float  (MM): 21.80 Book  Value  Per  Share: $  14.493-­‐Mo.  Avg.  Daily  Volume: 354,000 Beta: 1.20Short  Ratio 16.14 EV/EBITDA 7.1x    

Company  Quick  View:    

Hibbett  Sports  is  on  deck  with  Sports  Authority  striking  out.  Hibbett  Sports  is  a  sporting  good  retail  operator  headquartered  in  Birmingham,  Alabama.  Hibbett  Sports  provides  name  brand  footwear,  apparel  and  equipment  to  its  loyal  customers.  The  Company  specializes  in  local  and  regional  markets.  Hibbett  Sports  is  known  for  its  superior  customer  service  and  small  market  focus.   Company  Website:www.hibbett.com    

Analysts:   Investment  Research  Manager:  Cole  Mancuso   Matt  Rizner  Jacob  Singer      Daniel  Iavarone    Daniel  Karp    

The BURKENROAD REPORTS are produced solely as a part of an educational program of Tulane University's Freeman School of Business. The reports are not investment advice and you should not and may not rely on them in making any investment decision. You should consult an investment professional and/or conduct your own primary research regarding any potential investment.

Wall Street's Farm Team

BURK

ENRO

AD R

EPO

RTS

4/1/13 4:47 PM

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Figure  1:  Five-­‐year  Stock  Price  Performance  

 

 Source:  Yahoo  Finance  

INVESTMENT  SUMMARY    Our  team  gives  Hibbett  Sports  an  investment  rating  of  Market  Perform  by  assigning  a  12  month  target  stock  price  of  $52.  We  predict  that  the  November23rd  price  of  $41.50  will  increase  by  25.3%  to  reach  our  target  stock  price.  We  forecasted  revenue  by  using  a  quantity  and  price  method  focusing  on  revenue  per  square  foot  and  total  store  square  footage.  For  this  forecast,  we  factored  in  the  seasonality  of  the  sporting  goods  industry  by  using  historical  data  to  predict  revenue  per  square  foot  by  quarter.      Hibbett  Sports  is  a  sporting  goods  retailer  headquartered  in  Birmingham,  Alabama.  Hibbett  Sports  focuses  on  the  small  to  mid-­‐sized  markets  located  in  the  Mid-­‐Atlantic,  Midwest  and  Southern  regions  of  the  U.S.  The  Company  offers  high  quality  and  regionally  specific  apparel,  footwear,  and  equipment  in  order  to  appeal  to  its  customers  in  different  markets.  Hibbett’s  ability  to  respond  quickly  to  major  sporting  events  allows  the  Company  to  appeal  to  thelocal  interests  of  its  customers.  Hibbett  employs  3,300  full  time  and  5,600  part-­‐time  employees  that  are  dedicated  to  establishing  strong  relationships.  The  Company  operates  1,044  retail  stores  throughout  33  states.  Hibbett  takes  advantage  of  efficiencies  in  logistics,  marketing,  and  regional  management  by  opening  new  stores  that  are  within  a  two-­‐hour  driving  distance  from  an  existing  store.  Hibbett  Sports  focuses  on  developing  significant  relationships  within  local  communities  and  customers  in  order  to  build  brand  loyalty.                

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Table  1:  Historical  Burkenroad  Ratings  and  Prices    

Report  Date   Stock  Price   Rating   12  Month    Target  Price  

10/30/15   $34.16   Market  Outperform   $42.00  11/22/13   $62.72   Market  Perform   $63.00  11/06/12   $53.95   Market  Perform   $56.00  11/29/11   $44.05   Market  Perform   $48.00  11/26/10   $34.61   Market  Perform   $37.36  12/08/09   $19.85   Market  Perform   $22.10  04/11/08   $16.00   Market  Outperform   $20.36  

 INVESTMENT  THESIS    Our  team  assessed  Hibbett  Sports  with  a  Market  Perform  rating.  We  attribute  this  rating  to  a  12-­‐month  target  price  of  $52.  The  Company’s  future  growth  can  be  attributed  to  its  expanding  store  operations,  satisfying  customer  experience,  and  investments  in  human  capital.  Considering  these  factors,  Hibbett  appears  to  possess  significant  upside  potential.    Hibbett’s  Strategy  of  focusing  on  smaller,  less-­‐served  markets  has  certainly  worked Hibbett’s  strategy  involves  targeting  isolated  markets  with  less  competition.  As  such,  the  Company  is  currently  undergoing  a  clustered  expansion  program.  Under  this  program,  Hibbett  aims  to  open  new  stores  within  two  hours  driving  distance  of  existing  stores  (see  Figure  2).  By  targeting  smaller  communities,  avoiding  congested  urban  regions,  and  expanding  in  a  clustered  method,  Hibbett  achieves  greater  marketing  success,  larger  economies  of  scale,  and  decreasing  costs  per  store.  Furthermore,  suburban  and  rural  markets  result  in  lower  corporate,  logistical,  and  operational  expenses.  Hibbett  also  combats  low  customer  frequency  by  locating  stores  near  strip  centers  and  super  stores  like  Walmart.  

Figure  2:  Hibbett  Store  Map  by  State

Source:  Hibbett’s  Roadshow  Presentation

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 Productivity  Improvements  help  achieve  a  better  customer  experience Hibbett’s  management  capitalizes  on  its  customer  base  by  choosing  different  products  lines  for  different  communities.  The  Company  offers  regional  team  and  college  inspired  apparel  and  sports  gear.  Additionally,  the  sports  gear  offered  is  based  on  the  weather  conditions  and  fields  in  the  area.  With  products  correlated  to  community  needs  and  wants,  Hibbett’s  customers  find  a  highly  satisfying  customer  experience.  After  management  creates  a  product  line,  it  maintains  relevant  product  offerings  through  high-­‐tech  information  systems.  These  systems  help  record  customer  data  and  decipher  trends  in  the  market  so  Hibbett  is  always  selling  exactly  what  the  customer  wants.  Growing  in  contiguous  markets  adds  to  distribution  efficiency  and  lower  cost      All  of  Hibbett’s  merchandise  is  shipped  and  received  from  a  single  wholesale  and  logistics  facility  in  Alabaster,  Alabama.  This  centralized  distribution  facility  allows  Hibbett  to  maintain  low  operating  costs,  as  well  as  to  use  third-­‐party  logistic  providers  to  help  it  gain  efficiencies  by  25%  at  their  outlying  stores.  The  Company’s  logistic  and  wholesale  facility  is  designed  with  automation  and  to  ensure  efficiency  and  lower  costs.    E-­‐commerce  will  contribute  towards  increased  sales Hibbett’s  primary  revenue  source  will  continue  to  be  from  brick  and  mortar  stores;  however,  a  growing  and  more  developed  website  should  lead  to  significant  revenue  generation.  E-­‐commerce  is  an  integral  section  of  Hibbett’s  omni-­‐channel  initiative  with  a  strategy  of  engaging  the  consumer  in  multiple  platforms.  Growth  in  Hibbett’s  e-­‐commerce  sales,  which  currently  represents  only  5%  of  Company  sales,  could  potentially  lead  to  more  accurate  information  systems.  Ultimately,  the  increase  in  technology  and  implementation  of  the  omni-­‐channel  initiative  will  create  a  more  individualized  customer  experience  which  will,  in  turn,  lead  to  higher  customer  satisfaction.  Superior  customer  service  through  invested  human  capital  leads  to  brand  loyalty The  final  piece  in  Hibbett’s  strategy  is  carrying  out  exceptional  customer  service.  Sales  associates  are  trained  and  specialized  in  sporting  goods  products.  As  a  result,  employees  are  able  to  effectively  manage  customers’  needs  and  provide  assistance  throughout  their  visit.  This  further  enhances  the  customer  experience  and  builds  strong  brand  loyalty  to  Hibbett.  

 

 

 

 

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VALUATION  

Hibbett’s  Stock  price  is  $44.53  as  of  November  16,  2016.  We  calculated  a  12-­‐month  target  price  of  $51  for  Hibbett  using  the  discounted  cash  flow  (DCF)  and  relative  multiple  methods  (See  figure  3).    

Figure  3:  Hibbett’s  Current  Stock  Price  and  12-­‐Month  Target  Price  

 

Source:  Burkenroad  Valuation  

Discounted  Cash  Flow  

A  large  component  of  Hibbett’s  performance  is  based  on  the  amount  of  square  footage  their  stores  cover.  As  such,  we  forecasted  revenue  using  a  quantity  and  price  method  based  on  revenue  per  square  foot.  In  projecting  total  square  footage,  we  estimated  a  growth  rate  in  stores  using  both  historical  figures  and  management  projections.  

Other  notable  figures  we  used  to  discount  free  cash  flows  to  the  firm  are  the  risk  free  rate,  market  risk  premium,  and  Hibbett’s  beta,  all  of  which  we  found  on  Bloomberg.  In  order  to  calculate  the  weighted  average  cost  of  capital  (WACC),  we  used  the  capital  asset  pricing  model,  as  the  Company  has  no  debt.  We  then  assumed  a  liquidity  premium  to  further  discount  the  cash  flows.  Finally,  we  assumed  a  terminal  growth  rate  of  3%.  Discounting  the  next  ten  years’  free  cash  flows  and  terminal  value  to  present  value,  we  calculated  Hibbett  having  a  target  price  of  $51.  

 

 

 

 

$20.00  $25.00  $30.00  $35.00  $40.00  $45.00  $50.00  $55.00  $60.00  

DCF   P/E  15X   P/BV  3.16X  

12-­‐Month  Target  Price:  $52.00  

Current  Price:  $44.53  

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Relative  Multiple  Methods  

In  our  analysis,  we  also  used  two  relative  multiples:  price  to  equity  (P/E)  and  price  to  book  value  (P/BV).  When  looking  at  Hibbett’s  peers  to  calculate  multiple  values,  we  used  historical  figures  from  Dick’s,  Cabela’s,  Footlocker,  and  Genesco.  We  found  an  industry  average  P/E  ratio  of  15x  and  when  applied  to  Hibbett,  we  calculated  a  target  price  of  $54.  We  found  an  industry  average  P/BV  of  3.16  and  when  applied  to  Hibbett,  we  calculated  a  target  price  of  $51.  After  analyzing  all  three  calculated  prices,  we  decided  on  a  12-­‐month  target  price  of  $51.    INDUSTRY  ANALYSIS    Hibbett  Sports,  Inc.  operates  in  the  sporting  goods  store  industry.  The  sporting  goods  industry  is  highly  fragmented  with  no  single  company  controlling  more  than  17%  of  the  total  market  share.  In  recent  years  the  industry  has  experienced  more  competition  from  e-­‐commerce,  specialty  stores,  and  mass  merchandisers.  The  introduction  of  these  new  competitors  has  led  to  a  more  fragmented  market  as  well  as  a  price-­‐based  competition  environment.    According  to  the  American  College  of  Sports  Medicine,  alternative  exercise  methods,  such  as  yoga  and  pilates,  are  expected  to  drive  industry  revenue  growth  in  the  coming  years.  This  is  due  to  the  growing  health  consciousness  of  middle  aged  and  elderly  Americans.  These  individuals  are  expected  to  participate  in  low  intensity  exercises  such  as  swimming,  yoga,  and  bowling  which  will  stimulate  sales  of  both  apparel  and  sports  equipment  for  these  exercises.    Additionally,  team  sport  participation  is  expected  to  rise  by  1%  in  the  next  five  years.      Current  state  of  the  industry  and  changing  cultural  trends  have  presented  a  number  of  challenges  for  Hibbett’s  management.  Hibbett  primarily  focuses  on  selling  quality,  brand  name  merchandise  such  as  Nike,  Adidas,  and  Oakley.  The  growing  presence  of  online  retailers,  such  as  Amazon,  and  mass  merchandisers,  such  as  Walmart  and  Target,  have  forced  Hibbett  to  lower  its  prices  to  remain  competitive.  Additionally,  Hibbett  has  been  slow  to  respond  to  the  increasing  importance  of  e-­‐commerce,  as  online  sales  represent  just  5%  of  total  revenue.  This  is  in  stark  contrast  with  competitors  such  as  Dick’s  Sporting  Goods  and  Academy  Sports.  Individuals,  specifically  those  aged  7-­‐17,  are  choosing  to  participate  in  more  leisure  activities  than  sporting  activities  in  recent  years.  Individuals  aged  7-­‐17  participated  in  slightly  fewer  team  sports.  This  can  be  attributed  to  a  number  of  factors  but  one  of  the  primary  reasons  is  the  growing  video  gaming  industry.  As  these  games  become  more  advanced  and  interactive,  individuals  are  choosing  to  spend  their  time  playing  these  games  as  opposed  to  participating  in  exercises  or  team  sports  (IBIS  World).                

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 Industry  State

The  sporting  goods  industry  is  currently  consolidating  and  experiencing  low  revenue  volatility,  low  revenue  growth,  and  high  competition.  These  factors  are  indicative  of  an  industry  in  the  mature  lifecycle  stage.  The  high  number  of  consolidations  has  allowed  some  retailers  to  bypass  sporting  wholesalers  and  reduce  overall  costs.  Additionally,  as  more  competition  has  entered  the  industry,  retailers  have  started  to  pursue  exclusive  deals  with  both  wholesalers  and  manufactures  in  order  to  limit  availability  of  products  and  drive  their  brands.  Sporting  goods  stores  have  begun  to  focus  on  apparel  and  footwear  in  recent  years,  as  these  high  margin  products  have  grown  in  popularity.  Apparel  sales  have  been  spurred  by  the  increased  sports  participation  among  women  as  well  as  sport-­‐specific  apparel  such  as  tennis  shorts  and  golf  shirts.      Developing  Health  Consciousness   According  to  IBIS  World,  individuals  are  expected  to  participate  in  more  exercise  and  team  sports  in  the  coming  years  due  to  the  increased  health  consciousness  of  the  population.  Individuals  aged  18-­‐44  have  been  growing  more  health  conscious  in  recent  years  as  they  engage  in  physical  activities  such  as  camping  and  fishing.  This  group  presents  two  opportunities  to  the  sporting  goods  industry.  The  primary  opportunity  is  this  groups’  increasing  demand  for  sports  apparel  and  footwear.  According  to  IBIS  World,  this  group  is  expected  to  comprise  42.5%  of  industry  revenue  in  2016.  Additionally,  many  individuals  in  this  age  group  have  children.  As  more  schools  no  longer  require  fitness  classes,  these  parents  are  emphasizing  physical  activities  for  both  themselves  and  their  children.  These  activities  often  include  fishing  and  camping  which  suggests  that  the  parents  will  become  more  active  as  their  children  get  older  (IBIS  World).    One  major  concern  is  that  17%  of  children  and  adolescents  are  obese.  This  is  a  historically  high  number  and  it  provides  a  counterbalance  towards  the  overall  growing  health  consciousness  environment.     Key  Success  Factors  

Due  to  the  fragmented  nature  of  the  sporting  goods  industry,  companies  must  be  efficient  with  their  resources  and  maximize  revenue  opportunities  through  marketing,  product  selection,  and  market  control.  Hibbett  attempts  to  maximize  its  revenue  by  offering  products  that  are  regionally  favored,  such  as  Atlanta  Braves  and  Crimson  Tide  apparel  in  Georgia  and  Alabama.  Another  key  success  factor  is  location  in  key  markets.  High  foot  and  vehicle  traffic  correlates  with  increased  revenue.  Hibbett,  with  its  emphasis  on  small  and  medium  sized  markets,  is  limited  in  its  ability  to  generate  high  traffic.  Other  key  success  factors  are  disposable  personal  income  (DPI),  consumer  confidence,  and  gross  domestic  product  (GDP).  As  disposable  income  rises,  individuals  can  purchase  more  luxury  items  such  as  sports  apparel,  footwear  and  sports  equipment.  This  is  particularly  important  to  Hibbett  as  its  products  are  generally  more  expensive  than  those  products  offered  by  mass  merchandisers.  Additionally,  as  gross  domestic  product  grows,  consumer  confidence  grows  and  this  makes  it  more  likely  that  individuals  will  spend  money  on  more  expensive,  higher  quality  items.    

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 Growing  E-­‐Commerce A  major  development  in  general  retailing  is  the  tremendous  growth  e-­‐commerce  has  played  in  sales.  In  fact,  sporting  goods  retailers  have  developed  their  own  websites  to  connect  with  customers  at  home.  The  emergence  of  online  sales  has  not  only  increased  competition  between  sporting  goods  stores,  but  online  sales  has  allowed  general  retailers  and  athletic  brands  to  enter  the  market. Online  distributors  and  merchandisers,  like  Nike,  are  able  to  sell  directly  to  customers.  This  access  to  customers  allows  online  distributors  and  merchandisers  to  cut  out  retail  stores  such  as  Hibbett  Sports.  In  fact,  Nike’s  annual  online  sales,  totaling  over  $1  billion,  now  amount  to  more  than  Hibbett’s  total  sales.  To  fight  this  growing  trend,  sporting  goods  retailers  are  relying  on  the  consumer's’  desire  to  test  equipment  or  ask  a  specialist  for  assistance.    Availability  of  Substitutes Sporting  goods  are  not  difficult  to  purchase.  Consumers  can  look  to  alternatives  such  as  department  stores,  big-­‐box  retailers,  and  online  distributors.  Online  distributors  pose  a  significant  threat  as  popularity  grows  and  prices  drop.  Currently,  Hibbett  has  only  about  5%  of  its  sales  online.   Hibbett’s  major  draw  is  the  knowledge  employees  can  provide  on  specific  sports  equipment,  coupled  with  the  understanding  of  what  best  matches  the  needs  of  the  community  where  customers  are  located.  For  example,  sales  associates  will  know  which  cleats  perform  best  on  the  local  high  school's  field.   Bargaining  Power  of  Suppliers

In  order  to  maintain  high-­‐quality  merchandise,  sporting  goods  stores  are  reliant  on  a  few  top  brands  to  supply  products.  The  sporting  goods  industry  is  primarily  brand  name  driven.  As  such,  over  70%  of  Hibbett’s  inventory  purchases  can  be  attributed  to  three  vendors.  This  heavy  reliance  on  a  few  vendors  gives  suppliers  significant  bargaining  power  over  sporting  goods  retailers.  This  dependence  on  few  vendors  requires  small  and  mid-­‐sized  sporting  goods  stores  to  maintain  strong  and  stable  relationships  with  these  vendors.    Bargaining  Power  of  Buyers

As  a  sporting  goods  store  that  sells  directly  to  the  end  user,  Hibbett  has  no  major  single  customer.  Consumers  are  able  to  gain  their  small  bargaining  power  through  their  ability  to  purchase  products  from  alternative  stores.  Hibbett  must  be  constantly  aware  of  competitors’  prices;  however,  due  to  the  Company’s  investment  in  employee  knowledge  in  training  and  product  knowledge,  consumers  are  less  price  sensitive  than  competitors.        

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 Threat  of  Entry The  high  initial  costs  to  entering  the  sporting  goods  industry  make  up  a  large  portion  the  barriers  to  entry.  These  costs  include  the  building,  inventory  to  fill  a  retail  store,  and  cost  of  training  employees.  A  new  entrant  would  likely  need  to  spend  additional  capital  on  marketing  expenses  in  order  to  compete  against  the  well-­‐established  sporting  goods  stores. Furthermore,  a  new  entrant  would  require  a  line  of  credit.  Retailers  use  lines  of  credit  to  purchase  inventories  and  cover  other  short-­‐term  operating  expenses.    Additionally,  retail  is  a  relatively  unregulated  industry  with  very  few  competitive  advantages  other  than  capital.  For  these  reasons,  the  threat  of  entry  in  the  sporting  goods  industry  is  moderate.    Competitive  Rivalry The  retail  sporting  goods  industry  is  increasingly  competitive.  This  has  directly  led  to  decreasing  prices  and  aggressive  marketing  campaigns.  Firms  compete  primarily  on  price  but  also  battle  over  service,  quality  and  range  of  products,  and  knowledge  of  the  communities.  A  consequence  of  this  stiff  competition  is  consolidation  and  a  sharp  rise  in  acquisitions.  Companies  are  focusing  on  decreasing  costs,  increasing  efficiency,  and  gaining  market  share.  

ABOUT  HIBBETT   Hibbett  Sports  Inc.  is  a  sporting  goods  retail  operator  headquartered  in  Birmingham,  Alabama.  Hibbett  Sports  focuses  on  the  small  to  mid-­‐sized  markets.  The  Company  also  targets  the  Mid-­‐Atlantic,  Midwest,  and  Southern  regions  of  the  U.S.  In  1945,  Hibbett  Sports  opened  a  single  location  in  Florence,  Alabama  that  sold  athletic,  marine  and  small  aircraft  equipment.  In  1960,  Hibbett  decided  to  focus  primarily  on  sporting  goods  merchandise.  Mickey  Newsome  was  soon  hired  as  Chief  Executive  Officer,  and  he  helped  expand  Hibbett  Sports  Inc.  from  12  stores  to  79  stores,  eventually  taking  the  Company  public  in  October  of  1996.  As  of  January  2016,  Hibbett  Sports  operated  1,044  retail  stores  in  33  states  of  the  U.S.  Hibbett  Sports  stores  account  for  98%  of  the  Company’s  locations,  while  the  other  2%  are  smaller-­‐format  sports  athletic  shoe  stores  (see  figure  4).                            

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 Figure  4:  Hibbett  Sports  Inc.  Store  Location  by  State

 Products         Hibbett  provides  an  array  of  quality  name  brand  footwear,  apparel,  and  athletic  equipment  at  an  economical  price  point  with  a  full  service  environment.  The  Company  emphasizes  the  importance  of  providing  local  products.  For  fiscal  year  2016,  Hibbett  generated  49%  of  net  sales  from  footwear,  29%  from  apparel,  and  22%  from  equipment.    Competitive  Advantage Hibbett’s  competitive  advantage  is  derived  from  six  key  factors:   Logistics-­‐  All  of  Hibbett’s  merchandise  is  shipped  and  received  from  a  single  wholesale  and  logistics  facility  in  Alabaster,  Alabama.  This  centralized  distribution  facility  allows  Hibbett  to  maintain  low  operating  costs,  as  well  as  to  use  third-­‐party  logistic  providers  to  help  it  gain  efficiencies  by  25%  at  their  outlying  stores.  The  Company’s  logistic  and  wholesale  facility  is  designed  with  automation  and  operational  efficiencies.  All  of  these  aspects  play  a  key  role  in  Hibbett  Sports  expansion  strategy. Small  Market  Focus-­‐  Hibbett  Sports  targets  small  communities  that  range  in  population  from  25,000  to  100,000  residents.  The  Company’s  strong  focus  on  regional  markets  has  resulted  in  reduced  corporate  expenses,  lower  logistic  costs,  and  increased  economies  of  scale  from  marketing  activities. Store  Concepts-­‐  Hibbett  Sports’  retail  format  is  approximately  5,000  square  feet  per  store,  with  locations  near  a  highly  populated  Walmart  store.  About  80%  of  all  Hibbett  Sports  stores  are  located  in  strip  centers  which  allow  greater  access  for  consumers.      

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 Merchandise-­‐  Hibbett  provides  quality,  brand  name  merchandise  at  an  economical  price  that  is  lower  than  its  competitors.  Although  Hibbett  stocks  a  mostly  identical  general  inventory  within  its  locations,  the  Company  often  caters  to  local  and  regional  communities  through  inclusion  of  event  and  community  specific  offerings. Customer  Service-­‐  Hibbett  Sports  is  known  for  its  superior  customer  service  at  every  location.  Hibbett  Sports  provides  customers  in  different  communities  with  extensive  knowledge  on  mainstream  products,  as  well  as  the  regionally  targeted  products  that  the  Company  offers  to  different  communities.  Because  of  its  competitive  industry,  Hibbett  offers  a  personalized  customer  experience  that  affords  the  Company  a  competitive  advantage  over  its  peers.  This  aspect  of  the  Company  is  a  core  value  that  has  driven  success  day  in  and  day  out. Information  Systems-­‐  Over  the  past  few  years,  Hibbett  has  invested  in  information  systems  that  are  flexible  enough  to  meet  the  needs  of  each  store  location.  These  systems  assist  in  financial  control,  cost  management,  inventory  control,  merchandise  planning,  logistics,  replenishment,  and  product  allocation.    Corporate  Expansion  Strategy Top  executives  at  Hibbett  Sports  are  implementing  two  main  strategies,  which  they  hope  can  help  expedite  growth.  The  first  strategy  primarily  focuses  on  opening  new  stores  within  120  miles  of  an  existing  Hibbett  location.  The  second  strategy  involves  investing  in  infrastructure  to  reach  customers  through  digital  commerce.   Recent  Developments In  order  to  satisfy  the  strategies  for  corporate  expansion,  Hibbett  Sports  has  implemented  an  upgrade  to  its  point-­‐of-­‐sale  (POS)  system,  which  allows  the  Company  to  gain  inventory  visibility  across  all  stores  and  allow  store-­‐to-­‐store  transfers  to  complete  a  customer  sale.  This  new  POS  system  will  allow  Hibbett  Sports  employees  to  provide  a  better  customer  experience,  which  will  layer  onto  the  Company’s  current  superb  customer  service.   In  addition  to  the  upgrade  of  the  POS  system,  Hibbett  Sports  will  implement  a  new  Customer  Relationship  Management  (CRM)  capability  that  improves  its  ability  to  communicate  and  market  to  its  loyal  customers.  This  CRM  software  will  also  allow  the  Company  to  enable  a  store-­‐to-­‐home  capability,  which  allows  Hibbett’s  chain-­‐wide  inventory  to  be  shipped  directly  to  a  customer’s  home.  The  addition  will  help  retain  the  Company’s  five  million  loyalty  members  who  are  enrolled  in  a  MVP  rewards  program.  The  goal  is  to  have  these  systems  provide  a  better  customer  experience,  which  in  turn  will  gain  more  loyalty  members  following  a  positive  experience. Recent  2016  figures  show  that  Hibbett  Sports  added  56  stores  between  the  fourth  quarters  of  2015  and  2016.  This  increase  in  stores  has  caused  net  sales  to  increase  2.6%,  from  $239.3  million  to  $245.7  million  from  the  fourth  quarter  of  2015  to  the  fourth  quarter  of  2016.

 

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PEER  ANALYSIS  

Hibbett  Sports,  Inc.  has  many  established  peers  active  in  the  sporting  goods  retail  industry.  Its  peers  include  Dick’s  Sporting  Goods  Inc.,  Big  5  Sporting  Goods  Corporation,  Cabela’s  Incorporated,  and  Academy  Sports  +  Outdoors.  It  is  important  to  note  that  a  former  peer,  The  privately-­‐owned  Sports  Authority,  filed  for  bankruptcy  earlier  in  the  year  and  its  brand  was  acquired  by  Dick’s.  

Table  2:  Hibbett’s  Peers  

Company Hibbett   Dick’s   Big  5   Cabela’s  

Symbol HIBB   DKS   BGFV CAB

Market  Cap 972M 7.04B   318M 3.53B  

P/E 13.64 21.58 2.85 0.83

EPS 3.05 2.85 0.52 2.64

Beta   1.05 0.83 0.52 0.97

ROE   22.19% 18.25% 7.77% 10.39%

Operating  CF   58.80M 643.00M 16.40M 177.22M

       Source:  Google  Finance  September  22,  2016

Dick’s  Sporting  Goods,  Inc.(DKS/NYSE) Dick’s  Sporting  Goods,  Inc.,  is  one  of  the  largest  players  in  the  sporting  goods  market.  Dick’s  was  founded  in  1948  and  is  currently  headquartered  in  Coraopolis,  Pennsylvania.  It  has  a  market  capitalization  of  $6.94  billion  and  operates  in  all  50  states.  Dick’s  primary  operations  consist  of  sales  in  equipment,  apparel,  footwear,  and  other  sports  accessories.  Additionally,  it  has  subsidiaries  in  a  range  of  specialty  sports  stores.    

Big  5  Sporting  Goods  Corporation  (BGFV/NASDAQ) Big  5  Sporting  Goods  is  a  major  player  in  sporting  goods  retail  for  Western  America.  The  company  currently  operates  approximately  440  stores  in  over  ten  different  states.  Big  5  operates  as  a  retailer  for  big  merchandising  brands  as  well  as  selling  private  merchandise  under  its  various  trademarks.  The  company  also  sells  merchandise,  specialty  sports  equipment,  and  footwear  through  its  online  platform.  Compared  to  the  industry,  Big  5  stores  are  significantly  smaller  than  the  competition,  averaging  11,000  square  feet  per  store.  However,  Big  5  is  known  for  its  diverse  range  of  brands  throughout  its  stores. Cabela’s  Incorporated  (NYSE:  CAB) Cabela’s  Incorporated  is  a  specialty  outdoor  activities  retailer  made  up  of  three  business  segments.  Headquartered  in  Sidney,  Nebraska,  Cabela’s  operates  77  retail  stores  in  the  U.S.  and  Canada.  Its  two  primary  forms  of  revenue  generation  consist  of  the  retail  and  the  direct.    

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 The  retail  segment  consists  of  in-­‐stores  sales  while  the  direct  segment  is  composed  of  e-­‐commerce  and  mail  catalogs.  Both  segments  sell  primarily  outdoor  apparel,  equipment,  footwear,  and  technology.  The  third  business  segment  performed  by  Cabela’s  is  Financial  Services.  This  segment  offers  credit  cards  and  other  financing  options.    Academy  Sports  +  Outdoors  (Private) Academy  Sports  +  Outdoors  is  one  of  the  largest  private  retailers.  Academy  operates  approximately  200  stores  in  over  15  states  with  $4.6  billion  in  revenue  throughout  the  south  and  southwest.  Operations  primarily  consist  of  sports,  outdoor  activities,  and  lifestyle  products.  In  August  2011,  Academy  Sports  +  Outdoors  was  acquired  by  Kohlberg  Kravis  Roberts  &  Co  L.P.,  a  private  equity  firm.  Academy  emphasizes,  convenience,  quality,  and  service  throughout  the  customer  experience.    MANAGEMENT  PERFORMANCE  AND  BACKGROUND  

Hibbett  Sports,  Inc.’s  top  level  management  has  significant  experience  and  knowledge  of  the  sporting  goods  industry  which  allows  for  continued  growth  of  the  Company.     Jeffry  O.  Rosenthal Chief  Executive  Officer,  President  (58) Jeffry  Rosenthal  is  currently  Hibbett’s  Chief  Executive  Officer  (CEO)  as  well  as  President  and  Chief  Operating  Officer  (COO).  He  was  promoted  from  Vice  President  of  Merchandising  to  the  duties  of  CEO  in  2010  and  has  retained  that  position  to  date.  Mr.  Rosenthal  has  served  as  President  and  and  COO  since  2009.  In  2014,  Mr.  Rosenthal  was  nominated  for  CEO  of  the  year  by  the  Alabama  Retail  Association.  He  was  awarded  the  Silver  award,  which  recognizes  the  CEO  that  reaches  annual  sales  of  more  than  $20  million.  Mr.  Rosenthal  previously  worked  for  a  sporting  goods  company  named  Champs  Sports,  where  he  held  the  position  of  Vice  President  of  Divisional  Merchandise  (DMM)  for  apparel  from  1981  to  1998.    Scott  J.  Bowman Senior  Vice  President,  Chief  Financial  Officer,  Principal  Accounting  Officer  (49) Scott  Bowman  has  been  Hibbett’s  Chief  Financial  Officer  and  Senior  Vice  President  since  July  2012.  Mr.  Bowman’s  expertise  comes  from  his  work  as  a  financial  leader  of  a  795  store  division  that  represented  $25  billion  in  annual  sales.  Prior  to  joining  Hibbett  Sports,  Mr.  Bowman  served  as  Home  Depot’s  Division  Chief  Financial  Officer  for  three  years.    Cathy  E.  Pryor   Senior  Vice  President  of  Operations  (53) Cathy  Pryor  has  been  with  Hibbett  Sports  since  1988  where  she  served  as  a  District  Manager  and  Director  of  Store  Operations.  From  1995  to  2012,  Ms.  Pryor  was  the  Vice  President  of  Operations  and  eventually  earned  the  title  of  Senior  Vice  President  of  Operations.          

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 Jared  S.  Briskin Senior  Vice  President  and  Chief  Merchant  (43) Jared  Briskin  was  named  Senior  Vice  President  and  Chief  Merchant  at  Hibbett  Sports  in  2014.  Before  then,  he  served  as  the  Vice  President  of  Apparel  and  Equipment  at  Hibbett  Sports  from  2004  to  2010.  In  2010,  he  was  promoted  to  Vice  President  of  Footwear  and  Equipment.  He  retained  that  position  until  his  2014  promotion  to  Senior  Vice  President  and  Chief  Merchant.    Michael  J.  Newsome Non  Executive  Chairman  of  the  Board  (75) Michael  Newsome  is  currently  a  non-­‐independent  Director  of  Hibbett’s  Board  and  has  been  a  member  since  1996.  In  1981,  Mr.  Newsome  was  the  President  of  Hibbett  Sports  and  in  1999  he  was  named  the  Chief  Executive  Officer.  In  2004,  he  was  named  as  the  Chairman  of  the  Board.  Mr.  Newsome  held  his  positions  until  2010.  In  2014,  Mr.  Newsome  resigned  from  his  executive  management  positions  to  serve  as  the  Chairman  of  the  Board.  In  2007  the  National  Sporting  Goods  Association  inducted  Mr.  Newsome  into  the  Sporting  Goods  Industry  Hall  of  Fame.  Mr.  Newsome  had  a  pivotal  role  in  the  transformation  of  Hibbett  Sports  from  a  small  privately  owned  retailer  to  the  successful  public  company  it  is  today.  Return  on  Invested  Capital  (ROIC) Return  on  invested  capital  (ROIC)  measures  the  Company’s  ability  to  generate  cash  flows  relative  to  their  invested  capital.  This  measurement  allows  investors  to  view  how  well  a  company  uses  its  own  money  to  generate  returns.  Table  3  shows  the  five  year  ROIC  of  Hibbett  Sports  and  their  comparable  companies.  Hibbett  Sports  Inc.  has  a  higher  ROIC  for  every  year  as  compared  to  the  peer  average.

Table  3:  Return  on  Invested  Capital

Company Ticker 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011

Hibbett  Sports  Inc. HIBB 22.01% 23.33% 25.86% 32.46% 28.98%

Dick’s  Sporting  Goods  Inc. DKS 18.33% 19.57% 20.56% -­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐ 16.56%

Big  5  Sporting  Goods  Corporation BGFV 6.32% 6.38% 12.38% 7.41% 6.24%

Cabela’s  Incorporated CAB 3.29% 4.20% 5.75% 5.15% 4.70%

Peer  Average 9.31% 10.05% 12.90% 6.28% 9.17%

 Source:  Thomson  One  September  22,  2016  

           

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 Management  Compensation Hibbett  Sports’  Management  compensation  panel  has  an  extensive  procedure  when  setting  goals  and  guidelines  to  motivate  its  executive  officers  to  improve  performance  from  past  years.  This  panel  is  specifically  responsible  for  managing  the  guidelines  for  the  compensation  program  as  well  as  managing  equity  bonuses  for  executive  officers.  Factors  considered  include  performance-­‐based  cash  bonuses,  performance  based  equity  awards,  and  base  salary.  The  panel  warrants  competitive  compensation  by  evaluating  a  group  of  equally  qualified  executives  from  22  peer  companies.  The  executive’s  compensation  correlates  with  the  progress  of  the  Company  as  well  as  making  sure  the  executives  are  always  doing  what  is  best  for  the  shareholders.  The  program  ensures  that    equity  awards  and  cash  bonuses  account  for  a  higher  portion  of  the  total  compensation  to  keep  these  executives  motivated  for  the  right  reasons.  Each  executive  position  payment  is  calculated  individually,  which  takes  into  account  factors  such  as  the  responsibility  of  the  executive  officer,  tenure,  performance,  and  the  amount  of  Company  stated  goals  achieved.  Overall  compensation  is  evaluated  by  Hibbett  Sports  performance  goal  and  earnings  before  interest  and  taxes  (EBIT),  which  is  found  in  Table  4.  The  Compensation  Panel’s  idea  of  “pay  for  performance”  allows  named  executive  officers  (NEOs)  to  receive  annual  cash  bonuses  based  on  the  Company’s  targeted  EBIT.  Table  4  shows  the  relationship  between  NEO’s  percentage  earning  of  performance  bonuses  and  the  Company’s  EBIT  goal  for  the  fiscal  years  of  2014,  2015  and  2016,  respectively.  

 Table  4:  Estimated  Bonuses  according  to  EBIT  Goal  Attained

%  of  Company  Performance  Goal  Attained

%  of  Executive’s  Performance  Bonus  

Earned  

Below  85.0% 0.0%

     85.0% 62.5%

   90.0% 75.0%

     95.0% 87.5%

100.0% 100.0%

105.0% 112.5%

110.0% 125.0%

115.0% 137.5%

120.0%  or  above 150.0%

Source:  Hibbett  Sports  Proxy  Statement  Fiscal  Year  2016  

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Table  5  shows  the  past  three  fiscal  years  of  how  percentage  payout  for  NEOs  is  affected  by  the  Company’s  EBIT:

Table  5:  Annual  EBIT  Goals  and  Achievements   EBIT  Goal EBIT  Achieved %  of  Goal  Achieved %  of  Payout

Fiscal  2016 $123.0  Million $110.1  Million 89.0% 72.5%

Fiscal  2015 $119.0  Million $118.1  Million 99.3% 97.5%

Fiscal  2014 $122.1  Million $113.9  Million 93.3% 82.5%

Source:  Hibbett  Sports  Proxy  Statement  Fiscal  Year  2016  SHAREHOLDER  ANALYSIS    As  of  September  21,  2016,  Hibbett  Sports  Inc.  had  21,987,475  shares  outstanding  with  a  free  float  of  21,748,644.  Additionally,  Hibbett  had  436  shareholders,  of  which  the  ten  largest  are  from  the  U.S.  (see  Table  6).  Fidelity  Management  &  Research  Company  remains  the  largest  stakeholder  owning  15.30%  of  shares  outstanding.  TimesSquareCapital  became  a  new  investor  this  calendar  year  and  now  owns  5.78%  of  shares  outstanding.  In  the  last  three  months,  Times  Square  Capital  has  increased  its  stake  in  the  Company  by  purchasing  429,850  common  shares  outstanding.  Hibbett’s  shares  are  primarily  controlled  by  the  top  ten  shareholders.  These  shareholders  own  69.85%  of  shares  outstanding  and  all  except  Arrowpoint  Asset  Management,  LLC  have  a  low  turnover  rate.  This  low  turnover  rate  keeps  Hibbett’s  stock  stable  and  active  with  a  three  month  average  daily  trading  volume  of  393,780  shares.    

Table  6:  Hibbett’s  Largest  Shareholders Holder  Name   %  O/S Shares  Held %  Change  (YTD) Fidelity  Management  &  Research  Company 15.30 3,363,207 (6.23) BlackRock  Institutional  Trust  Company,  N.A. 9.41 2,068,044 1.66 Arrowpoint  Asset  Management,  LLC   8.47 1,861,518 39.17 The  Vanguard  Group,  Inc. 8.23 1,808,753 (0.36) Neuber  Berman,  LLC   6.92 1,521,530 (6.46) TimesSquare  Capital  Management,  LLC   5.78 1,270,150 100 Epoch  Investment  Partners,  Inc. 4.75 1,045,343 6.22 ClearBridge  Investments,  LLC   3.90 858,284 (3.73) GW&K  Investment  Management   3.71 815,472 (0.54) Champlain  Investment  Partners,  LLC   3.38 743,005 (13.38) Total           69.85 15,355,306

Source:  Thompson  One  September,  21  2016        

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Stock  Repurchase  Program  

Hibbett  has  not  historically  issued  dividends  and  does  not  plan  to  do  so  in  the  coming  years.  Instead,  the  Company  has  a  history  of  repurchasing  stocks.  In  November  2012,  the  Board  of  Directors  authorized  a  $250  million  Stock  Repurchase  Program.  In  November  2015,  this  authorization  was  replaced  by  a  new  Stock  Repurchase  Plan.  This  program  authorized  the  repurchase  of  $300  million  common  stocks  through  February  2,  2019.  During  the  13  weeks  ended  July  30,  2016,  Hibbett  repurchased  620,455  shares  of  common  stock  at  a  cost  of  $27.9  million.  As  of  July  30,  2016,  Hibbett  had  approximately  $271.2  million  remaining  under  the  Stock  Repurchase  Program.    RISK  ANALYSIS  AND  INVESTMENT  CAVEATS    Hibbett’s  future  success  is  challenged  by  multiple  risks.  These  risk affect  management  strategies  and  could  potentially  limit  growth.  Hibbett’s  risk  can  be  broken  into  two  main  groups:  Operational  Risk  and  Financial  and  Governmental  Risk.  Many  of  these  risks  can  be  attributed  to  the  retail  sporting  goods  industry;  however,  others  are  unique  to  Hibbett  because  of  its  size,  location,  and  strategic  position.     Operational  Risk    Economic Hibbett’s  sales  primarily  come  from  customers’  discretionary  spending.  This  dependence  on  discretionary  spending  makes  Hibbett  susceptible  to  economic  factors  such  as  interest  rates,  inflation,  housing,  prices,  and  taxes.  Many  of  the  economic  risks  are  outside  of  Hibbett’s  control  and,  therefore,  cannot  be  completely  mitigated.  Any  major  disruption  in  the  U.S.  economy  or  financial  markets  would  likely  lead  to  decreased  sales  as  well  as  smaller  profit  margins.    Seasonality Similar  to  other  retailers,  Hibbett  faces  seasonal  fluctuations  in  revenue.  Due  to  holiday  buying  patterns,  the  Company  consistently  records  its  highest  sales  in  the  first  and  fourth  quarters.  Specifically,  customers  increase  purchasing  directly  before  the  December  holidays.  First  quarter  sales  are  credited  to  New  Year’s  resolutions  to  get  in  shape  and,  thus,  purchase  workout  gear  and  equipment.    An  economic  decline  during  either  of  these  periods  would  likely  adversely  affect  the  Company’s  earnings  to  a  greater  extent  than  if  a  downturned  occurred  during  the  second  or  third  quarter  of  the  year.       Additionally,  merchandising  apparel  can  lead  to  an  increase  in  sales  if  a  regional  team  has  a  successful  sports  season.  Along  the  same  lines,  if  a  team  is  underperforming,  apparel  sales  can  be  significantly  lower  than  average.  Furthermore,  any  trends  or  new  products  can  cause  temporary  spikes  in  sales.      

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 Vendors Hibbett  relies  on  a  select  number  of  key  vendors  to  supply  its  products.  This  selection  process  is  a  direct  result  of  customers  preferring  top  brands.  As  such,  Hibbett  is  dependent  on  maintaining  strong  relationships  with  its  major  vendors  and  manufacturers.  In  fact,  Hibbett’s  top  three  vendors  account  for  over  70%  of  products  purchased.  A  major  risk  would  be  any  conflict  in  these  relationships.  If  such  a  conflict  were  to  occur,  Hibbett  would  experience  operational  declines  as  they  search  for  new  vendors.  If  the  new  vendors  were  not  of  the  same  quality  as  the  existing  vendors,  these  operational  declines  could  persist  into  the  future.   Furthermore,  when  a  product  is  limited  by  supply  rather  than  demand,  a  vendor’s  allocation  of  products  among  retailers  plays  a  major  role  in  sales.  Continuing  a  strong  relationships  with  its  vendors  will  give  Hibbett  an  advantage  on  new  product  launches  and  will  help  Hibbett  keep  pace  with  market  trends.    Imported  Goods    Most  of  Hibbett’s  vendors  produce  and  import  a  large  majority  of  products  from  foreign  countries.  These  imported  goods  are  less  expensive  than  domestically  made  products  and  contribute  positively  to  Hibbett’s  profit  margins.  If  imported  goods  increase  in  price  or  become  unavailable,  the  Company’s  profit  margins  would  suffer  significantly.  Additionally,  the  domestic  products  used  to  supplement  the  foreign  products  may  be  of  a  lesser  quality  than  those  our  vendors  currently  import.  Additional  risks  associated  with  the  Company’s  reliance  on  imported  goods  include,  but  are  not  limited  to,  raw  materials  shortages,  problems  with  oceanic  shipping,  international  disputes,  rising  commodity  prices,  and  trade  restrictions.  Additionally,  if  a  vendor  is  associated  with  questionable  labor  practices,  it  could  negatively  affect  the  public’s  perception  of  Hibbett.   Information  Systems     Hibbett  claims  in  its  most  recent  10-­‐k  that  the  operation  of  its  business  is  dependent  on  the  successful  integration  and  operation  of  its  information  systems.  Hibbett  uses  its  information  system  to  manage  sales,  logistics,  merchandise  planning,  and  to  select  the  optimal  inventory  amounts  for  its  stores.  Hibbett  attempts  to  control  the  risk  of  business  interruptions  through  control  protocols  and  a  disaster  recovery  plan.  The  Company  primarily  uses  third-­‐party  service  providers  for  certain  system  applications.  A  disruption  or  failure  by  these  service  providers  in  the  form  of  inadequate  encryption,  data  separation,  or  technical  problems  could  negatively  affect  Hibbett’s  business.  Additionally,  Hibbett  does  not  have  the  necessary  technology  to  support  all  of  its  current  information  needs  and  rely  on  third-­‐party  service  providers  for  specific  software  and  applications.  Furthermore,  Hibbett’s  insufficient  focus  on  technology  infrastructure  leaves  it  vulnerable  to  technological  and  human  capital  losses.  The  Company’s  inability  to  invest  in  the  current  technology  and  replace  obsolete  equipment  pose  long-­‐term  threats  to  Hibbett’s  growth.              

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 Financial  and  Governmental  Risks   Uninsured  Assets    Hibbett  manages  cash  and  cash  equivalents  beyond  federally  insured  limits.  Additionally,  Hibbett  purchases  investments  that  are  not  guaranteed  by  the  Federal  Deposit  Insurance  Corporation.  This  creates  the  risk  that  Hibbett  may  not  recover  the  full  principal  of  its  investments  as  well  as  the  risk  that  its  future  liquidity  may  be  diminished.  In  an  attempt  to  combat  this  risk,  Hibbett  practices  an  investment  policy  that  emphasizes  preservation  of  principal  and  liquidity.    Significant  Stockholders    As  a  publicly  traded  Company,  Hibbett  is  vulnerable  to  attempts  by  significant  stockholders  attempting  to  take  control  over  or  influence  the  Company.  This  action  could  adversely  affect  Hibbett’s  operation  and  financial  health.  Responding  to  stockholder  actions  and  motions  is  both  time  consuming  and  costly.  Additionally,  it  forces  the  Board  of  Directors  and  senior  management  to  step  away  from  its  daily  operation  of  the  business.  Labor  Unions   Hibbett  cannot  be  certain  that  it  will  always  avoid  pressure  from  labor  unions  or  labor  union  campaigns.  This  risk  could  grow  if  federal  legislation  or  regulatory  changes  facilitate  union  organization  and  development.  If  this  risk  materialized,  Hibbett  would  be  forced  to  negotiate  wages,  salaries,  and  benefits  with  its  employees.  This  could  negatively  affect  operations  by  increasing  Hibbett’s  overall  cost  to  operate.  Hibbett  believes  that  it  can  mitigate  some  of  this  risk  by  maintaining  strong  relationships  with  its  employees.      

FINANCIAL  PERFORMANCE  AND  PROJECTIONS  

Our  12-­‐month  price  projection  for  Hibbett  Sports  is  $52  with  a  Market  Perform  rating.    

To  calculate  revenue,  our  team  used  the  quantity  and  price  method.  To  use  this  model,  our  team  looked  at  historical  revenue  per  square  foot  as  well  as  historical  growth  in  square  footage.    Historically,  Hibbett  has  generated  revenue  of  between  $0.18  and  $0.20  per  square  foot.  However,  Hibbett  Sports  revenue  per  square  foot  is  seasonal  as  the  first  and  fourth  quarters  generate  the  most  revenue  per  square  foot  out  of  the  four  quarters.  Our  team  used  historical  store  growth  as  well  as  discussions  with  management  to  forecast  store  growth  of  between  3%  and  5%  a  year  for  the  next  few  years.  

This  projected  growth  is  from  two  main  sources.  The  growth  in  revenue  is  attributable  to  two  main  sources.  First,  is  the  planned  expansion  into  new  states  such  as  California.  This  will  increase  the  number  of  stores  as  well  as  revenue.  The  second  source  of  revenue  growth  is  the  growth  of  Hibbett’s  online  sales.  This  will  increase  the  amount  of  revenue  per  square  foot  as  well  as  overall  sales.  Some  key  assumptions  we  made  are  that  Hibbett  will  maintain  its  moderate  growth  strategy  by  avoiding  acquisitions  and  by  avoiding  taking  on  excessive  amounts  of  debt  in  order  to  increase  the  growth  of  the  Company.  Additionally,  we  assumed  that  Hibbett’s  revenue  per  square  foot  will  remain  similar  to  historical  trends.    

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To  calculate  costs,  our  team  looked  at  Hibbett’s  historical  costs  such  as  costs  of  goods  sold,  selling,  general  and  administrative  and  depreciation  costs.  Historically,  these  costs  have  represented  around  65%,  21%  and  2%,  respectively.  Management  did  not  expect  this  cost  structure  to  change  dramatically  in  the  future.  Some  short-­‐term  costs  due  to  the  implementation  of  the  omni-­‐channel  system  are  expected  but  these  costs  are  not  expected  to  be  long  term  expenses.  

The  Company’s  Stock  Repurchase  Plan  is  one  considerable  use  of  cash  that  our  team  forecasts  will  end  soon.  We  expect  the  stock  repurchases  to  end  sometime  in  the  2018  fiscal  year.  Carrying  the  repurchases  any  further  could  potentially  turn  cash  flow  negative  as  the  Company  has  historically  avoided  debt  due  to  its  preference  for  a  strong  balance  sheet.    SITE  VISIT    Our  team  of  four  flew  out  on  the  morning  of  October  28  to  Birmingham,  Alabama  where  Hibbett  Sports  is  headquartered.  Upon  arrival  we  were  escorted  to  the  boardroom  where  we  met  with  the  Jeffry  Rosenthal  (Chief  Executive  Officer),  Scott  Bowman  (Senior  Vice  President  and  Chief  Financial  Officer)  and  Cathy  Pryor  (Senior  Vice  President  of  Operations).  We  began  the  site  visit  with  a  question  and  answer  session.  Mr.  Rosenthal  focused  a  great  deal  on  the  new  Omni-­‐Channel  initiative,  which  will  provide  a  better  experience  for  customers.  He  had  mentioned  the  efforts  they  were  going  through  to  activate  their  e-­‐commerce  plans,  which  he  had  hoped  to  occupy  10-­‐20%  of  their  revenues  once  implemented.  Mr.  Bowman  provided  details  about  the  costs  for  building  a  new  store.  He  provided  us  with  great  insight  on  lease  terms  for  new  stores  as  well  as  their  target  goals  for  how  many  new  stores  they  wish  to  open  per  year.   The  executives  focused  a  great  deal  on  their  brand  new  store  opening  in  California  and  their  hopes  to  open  100  new  stores  in  California  in  the  coming  years.  Ms.  Pryor  touched  on  Hibbett’s  training  systems  in  place  for  each  new  store,  as  well  as  how  the  implementation  process  works  for  stores.  We  asked  about  the  differences  in  stores  and  how  Hibbett  determines  markets  in  which  to  enter,  and  we  learned  that  location  selection  depends  on  their  competition.  We  touched  on  Hibbett’s  no-­‐debt  model  as  well  as  their  investment  plans  for  the  future.                        

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 Each  executive  had  a  unique  view  on  the  Company  and  seemed  to  blend  well  together,  which  we  thought  allowed  them  to  create  a  successful  business  model.  Our  team  gained  great  insight  into  the  future  of  the  Industry,  Hibbett’s  operations,  and  the  Company’s  future  plans  for  continued  success  in  the  sporting  goods  industry.  

 

Site  Visit  Photo                                      

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 INDEPENDENT  OUTSIDE  RESEARCH   Our  team  had  the  opportunity  to  visit  a  local  Hibbett  Sports  in  New  Orleans.  We  knew  that  actually  visiting  a  local  Hibbett  Sports  location  would  be  the  best  way  to  test  Hibbett’s  outstanding  service  and  selection  claims.  Hibbett  Sports  has  two  locations  in  the  greater  New  Orleans  area  and  we  decided  to  go  to  the  store  located  in  the  Lakewood  area  to  evaluate  the  shopping  experience.   Entering  Hibbett  was  a  crucial  step  in  understanding  the  Company’s  direction  because  it  was  our  first  look  at  the  store  layout.  Since  the  majority  of  Hibbett  Sports  stores  are  5,000  Sq.  ft.  this  visual  gave  us  a  good  representation  of  what  other  stores  look  like.  We  noticed  how  the  aspect  of  implementing  a  5,000  Sq.  ft.  store  plan  for  each  store  was  beneficial  because  the  customer  has  a  full  view  of  every  product  offered  in  store.  In  turn,  this  perspective  could  lead  customers  to  purchase  more  than  one  item.  After  walking  throughout  the  store,  we  recognized  almost  every  brand  name,  which  confirmed  our  expectation  that  Hibbett  is  stocked  with  the  top  tier  brands  and  high  quality  merchandise.  Another  aspect  of  the  5,000  sq.  ft.  store  was  that  it  made  it  easy  on  the  consumer  to  ask  for  help  by  having  employees  covering  the  limited  space.  Employees  were  able  to  provide  enough  space  to  consumers  so  they  felt  no  pressure  to  purchase  an  item,  yet  the  consumer  also  never  had  to  wait  for  help  if  needed.  In  our  site  visit  to  the  store,  we  could  see  how  the  5,000  sq.  ft.  store  format  was  mutually  beneficial  for  both  consumer  and  employee.    In  the  store  we  decided  to  shop  for  basketball  shoes,  because  two  of  the  team  members  were  strong  enthusiasts  of  the  sport  and  knew  basketball  shoes  well.  Our  goal  was  to  judge  the  customer  service  that  the  employees  would  provide  to  us.  At  the  time  of  arrival  to  the  store  there  were  only  two  employees  working,  which  seemed  to  be  a  small  number  of  employees  for  a  5,000  Sq.  ft.  store.  But,  as  we  spent  more  time  in  the  store,  we  realized  that  both  employees  were  moving  around  the  store  efficiently  and  helping  customers  in  a  timely  fashion.  As  we  found  our  way  over  to  the  basketball  shoe  section,  we  noticed  they  offered  a  wide  variety.  As  we  were  looking  over  the  shoes,  an  employee  came  over  to  ask  us  if  we  needed  help.  We  mentioned  we  were  looking  for  a  basketball  shoe  that  had  great  comfort  on  court,  but  could  also  be  worn  as  a  lifestyle  sneaker  off  the  court.  She  immediately  found  a  newly  released  Nike  shoe.  She  offered  her  reasoning  as  to  why  the  shoe  was  great  for  on  court,  and  also  explained  why  you  could  wear  this  as  a  lifestyle  sneaker.  In  addition  to  finding  a  shoe  that  satisfied  our  criteria,  she  advised  us  to  get  the  shoe  one  size  bigger  based  on  her  experience.  We  were  impressed  with  her  knowledge  of  shoes  and  Hibbett’s  overall  shoe  line.                    

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 As  our  other  team  members  were  looking  around  the  store,  they  met  Troy,  the  Assistant  Manager  of  the  store.  He  happily  guided  them  to  find  the  exact  item  they  were  searching  for  in  the  store  and  he  asked  if  they  were  in  need  of  any  other  products.  One  team  member  said  he  was  looking  for  the  newest  Nike  lifestyle  shoe  release  that  had  come  out  earlier  in  the  day.  Troy  told  our  team  member  that  they  were  sold  out  of  the  item  and  continued  to  explain  the  process  of  inventory  for  each  store  to  the  group.  This  led  to  the  high  point  of  our  experience  at  Hibbett  Sports  because  Troy  proceeded  to  have  a  45  minute  conversation  with  one  of  our  team  members  about  all  of  the  new  and  old  shoe  releases,  as  well  as  discussing  Troy’s  personal  interests.  Our  group  truly  saw  the  passion  and  knowledge  Troy  had  for  shoes  and  how  proud  he  was  to  be  an  Assistant  Manager  at  this  Hibbett  Sports  location.  Troy’s  politeness  and  helpfulness  exceeded  our  expectations  for  Hibbett’s  customer  service  and  it  is  clear  why  this  Company  retains  so  many  loyal  customers.    Overall,  our  surprise  visit  to  the  local  Hibbett  Sports  not  only  confirmed,  but  exceeded,  our  expectations  for  merchandise,  staff  knowledge,  and  customer  service.  Though  our  interactions  with  Hibbett’s  employees,  it  was  evident  how  focused  Hibbett  is  on  properly  training  its  employees.   Competition:   Dick’s  Sporting  Goods  On  our  site  visit  to  Dick’s  Sporting  Goods,  we  noticed  that  it  was  a  very  large  store  compared  to  Hibbett  Sports.  The  large  store  size  made  it  difficult  to  determine  where  products  were  located.  We  found  our  way  over  to  the  Basketball  shoe  section,  but  found  no  help  in  sight.  We  saw  they  had  most  of  the  up  to  date  shoe  releases  and  latest  technology,  but  we  were  not  able  to  get  any  information  about  the  products.  We  stood  around  for  a  minute  or  two  had  to  go  over  to  another  department  of  the  store  to  ask  for  help.  The  employee  had  mentioned  to  us  that  they  have  to  call  the  specific  employee  due  to  the  fact  that  each  employee  works  only  in  their  department.  Once  we  found  this  out  about  Dick’s  Sporting  Goods,  it  was  clear  that  the  Hibbett  Sports  had  a  clear  competitive  advantage  by  having  well  rounded  and  knowledgeable  employees  compared  to  their  competitors.    Big  5  Sporting  Goods Unfortunately,  we  could  not  do  a  site  visit  to  Big  5  Sporting  Goods  store  because  there  were  no  locations  nearby.  We  conducted  research  on  their  website  and  searched  for  Men’s  Basketball  shoes.  We  judged  Big  5  Sporting  Goods  to  have  a  poor  selection  due  to  their  lack  of  brand  name  merchandise  and  limited  selection.  Also,  Big  5  did  not  offer  the  latest  technology  advanced  basketball  shoes  to  their  consumer  as  well.              

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 Conclusion After  our  site  visits  and  online  research,  our  team  concluded  that  Hibbett  Sports  has  a  clear  competitive  advantage  in  the  shoe  market  over  Dick’s  Sporting  Goods  and  Big  5  Sporting  Goods.  Even  though  Dick’s  Sporting  Goods  offered  the  same  caliber  basketball  shoes,  they  did  not  provide  the  customer  service  that  Hibbett  offered  to  customers.  Also,  Big  5  Sporting  Goods  did  not  provide  the  selection  that  most  consumers  are  hoping  to  find.  Even  though  Big  5  may  offer  a  good  customer  service  experience  in  store,  Big  5’s  product  selection  is  no  match  for  Hibbett  Sports.  It  was  clear  that  Hibbett  Matches  its  competitors  with  the  high  quality  products,  and  thoroughly  surpassed  competitors  in  customer  service.    Analyst  Reports   Multiple  analysts  on  the  Thomson  One  Database  believe  that,  in  order  for  companies  to  succeed  in  this  industry,  they  not  only  need  to  have  strong  sales  within  the  stores,  but  their  e-­‐commerce  must  serve  as  a  key  contributor  in  these  sales.  We  spoke  to  one  analyst  who  believes  that  Hibbett  Sports  has  a  strong  brick  and  mortar  presence  in  the  Sporting  Goods  Industry  that  is  rapidly  growing,  but  he  said  that  their  lack  of  e-­‐commerce  is  a  weaknesses  against  competitors.  Hibbett’s  CEO,  Jeffry  Rosenthal,  is  aware  of  their  situation  and  is  investing  in  the  proper  technology  and  issuing  strategies  that  will  develop  a  competitive  e-­‐commerce  by  2017.  In  the  future,  this  analyst  believes  that  Hibbett  Sports  must  have  15-­‐20%  of  the  Company’s  revenue  coming  from  its  website.  If  it  only  reaches  a  target  of  10%,  which  is  believed  to  be  too  low,  Hibbett  Sports  will  risk  losing  market  share.  Mr.  Rosenthal  understands  that  the  e-­‐commerce  business  will  not  grow  overnight,  but  Hibbett  must  set  the  bar  high  to  keep  market  share  and  stay  highly  competitive  in  the  industry.

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ANOTHER WAY TO LOOK AT IT

ALTMAN  Z-­‐SCORE    In  1968,  Dr.  Edward  Altman  developed  the  Z-­‐Score  test  to  determine  the  risk  of  a  manufacturing  company  going  bankrupt.  Over  time,  his  test  has  been  applied  to  publicly  traded  companies  in  all  industries.  The  Altman  Z-­‐Score  is  a  multiple  discriminant  analysis  that  tracks  changes  in  bankruptcy  risk  over  time.  To  determine  the  Z-­‐Score,  one  uses  the  following  ratios:  working  capital/total  assets,  retained  earnings/total  assets,  EBIT/total  assets,  market  value  of  equity/book  value  of  total  liabilities  and  sales/total  assets.      The  Z-­‐Score  separates  companies  into  four  different  bankruptcy  risk  classifications.  Companies  with  a  Z-­‐Score  greater  than  3.0  are  considered  to  have  a  very  low  risk  of  bankruptcy  and  is  considered  by  lenders  to  be  a  safe  investment.  A  Z-­‐Score  between  2.7  and  2.99  represents  a  company  that  is  considered  to  have  a  low  risk  of  bankruptcy,  but  lenders  tend  to  be  cautious  in  this  range.  A  Z-­‐Score  between  1.8  and  2.7  represents  a  significant  chance  that  the  company  may  go  bankrupt  within  the  next  two  years.  A  Z-­‐Score  below  1.8  signifies  a  company  with  a  very  high  risk  of  bankruptcy  within  the  next  two  years.  Lenders  would  be  extremely  wary  of  investing  in  this  company.  

Table  7:  Hibbett  Sports  Altman  Z-­‐Score  Ratio   2009   2010   2011   2012   2013   2014   2015   Multiplier    Working  Capital  to  Total  Assets    

0.455   0.533   0.557   0.565   0.538   0.565   0560   1.2  

Retained  Earnings  to  Total  Assets    

0.898   0.880   0.923   1.113   1.117   1.183   1.251   1.4  

EBIT  to  Total  Assets    

0.204   0.189   0.234   0.297   0.307   0.273   0.261   3.3  

Market  Cap  to  BV  of  Liabilities    

4.000   6.074   8.259   12.246   10.258   14.033   9.444   0.6  

Sales  to  Total  Assets    

2.310   2.145   2.116   2.336   2.170   2.046   2.019   1.0  

Total  Altman  Z-­‐Score    

7.276   8.287   9.804   12.900   11.547   13.702   10.969    

 As  shown  in  Table  7,  Hibbett  Sports  has  maintained  a  Z-­‐Score  significantly  above  the  3.0  cut-­‐off  and  is  considered  a  very  low  risk  for  bankruptcy.  Hibbett’s  Z-­‐Score  decline  in  2015  can  be  attributed  to  the  decrease  in  market  capitalization.  That  year,  the  Company’s  market  capitalization  decreased  by  slightly  over  $370  million.  On  all  other  metrics,  Hibbett  has  almost  maintained  its  position  or  shown  positive  growth.  

   

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 PETER  LYNCH  EARNINGS  MULTIPLE  VALUATION    Peter  Lynch,  who  managed  Fidelity  Investments’  fund,  was  known  as  arguably  the  greatest  mutual  fund  manager  in  history.  His  simple  yet  effective  technique  was  to  compare  a  company’s  stock  price  to  the  S&P  500  by  using  the  price  to  earning  ratio  of  15x.  Peter  Lynch  was  the  author  of  multiple  books,  but  his  most  famous  book  “One  Up  On  Wall  Street”  included  investing  tips,  questions  you  should  ask  yourself  before  investing,  and  of  course  details  on  Lynch’s  charting  tool  that  simplified  all  of  his  investment  choices.    Figure  5  shows  Hibbett  Sports’s  closing  stock  prices  for  the  past  five  years  multiplied  by  15.  According  to  Peter  Lynch  if  the  stock  is  traded  well  below  the  earnings  line  he  would  buy  it,  and  when  it  rose  above  the  earnings  line,  he  would  sell.  This  technique  allowed  him  to  capture  enormous  amounts  of  profit.    Hibbett’s  stock  price  as  of  October  27,  2016  is  $39.075,  which  is  12.8x  of  its  earnings.  As  such,  Peter  Lynch  would  purchase  the  Company’s  stock.  

Figure  5:  Hibbet’s  Peter  Lynch  Chart  

Source:  Bloomberg  Data/  Burkenroad  Analysis  accessed  October  27,  2016  

Stock Price

Earnings

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27  

WWBD? What Would Ben (Graham) Do?  

Benjamin  Graham  is  credited  as  the  father  of  value  investing.  Graham’s  methodology  has  yielded  amazing  success.  Graham’s  value  investing  methodology  revolves  around  eight  hurdles.  The  hurdles  measures  how  undervalued  a  company’s  stock  currently  is  and  its  future  growth  potential.  If  a  given  stock  passes  four  of  the  eight  hurdles,  Graham’s  framework  determines  the  stock  is  an  attractive  investment.  

Hibbett  Sports,  Inc.  passes  five  of  Graham’s  eight  hurdles.  With  a  high  earnings  to  price  yield,  no  debt,  and  a  substantial  amount  of  inventory  on  hand,  Hibbett  passes  hurdles  one,  five,  and  six  easily.  On  the  contrary,  the  Company  is  far  from  passing  hurdles  three  and  four,  as  Hibbett  has  never  paid  dividends  to  common  shareholders  and  has  a  stock  price  of  nearly  300%  of  book  value.    

According  to  Ben  Graham’s  value  investing,  Hibbett  Sports  is  an  attractive  investment  (see  Figure  6).    

Figure  6:  Ben  Graham  Diagram  

 

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28  

Earningspershare(ttm) 2.99$ Price: 39.05$

EarningstoPriceYield 7.65%

10YearTreasury(2X) 3.70%

P/Eratioasof 1/31/16 11.0

P/Eratioasof 1/31/15 16.4

P/Eratioasof 1/31/14 22.2

P/Eratioasof 1/31/13 19.4

P/Eratioasof 1/31/12 22.3

CurrentP/ERatio 13.1

Dividendspershare(ttm) -$ Price: 39.05$

DividendYield 0.00%

1/2Yieldon10YearTreasury 0.93%

StockPrice 39.05$

BookValuepershareasof 7/30/16 14.20$

150%ofbookValuepershareasof 7/30/16 21.30$

Interest-bearingdebtasof 7/30/16 -$

Bookvalueasof 7/30/16 318,693$

Currentassetsasof 7/30/16 354,599$

Currentliabilitiesasof 7/30/16 123,096$

Currentratioasof 7/30/16 2.9

EPSforyearended 1/31/12 2.15$

EPSforyearended 1/31/13 2.72$

EPSforyearended 1/31/14 2.70$

EPSforyearended 1/31/15 2.87$

EPSforyearended 1/31/16 2.92$

EPSforyearended 1/31/12 2.15$

EPSforyearended 1/31/13 2.72$ 27%

EPSforyearended 1/31/14 2.70$ -1%

EPSforyearended 1/31/15 2.87$ 6%

EPSforyearended 1/31/16 2.92$ 2%

Stockpricedataasof November16,2016

HIBBETTSPORTSINC.(HIBB)

BenGrahamAnalysis

Hurdle#1:AnEarningstoPriceYieldof2XtheYieldon10YearTreasury

Hurdle#2:AP/ERatioDownto1/2oftheStocksHighestin5Yrs

Yes

Yes

Hurdle#3:ADividendYieldof1/2theYieldon10YearTreasury

Hurdle#4:AStockPricelessthan1.5BV

No

No

No

Hurdle#8:StabilityinGrowthofEarnings

Hurdle#5:TotalDebtlessthanBookValue

Hurdle#6:CurrentRatioofTwoorMore

Hurdle#7:EarningsGrowthof7%orHigheroverpast5years

Yes

Yes

Yes

 

Page 29: Hibbett_Fall 2016 web

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21.1%

21.9%

19.5%

25.5%

21.4%

21.4%

21.7%

Ope

ratingincome

13.4%

12.9%

11.9%

15.7%

4.9%

12.9%

12.4%

11.9%

16.0%

5.2%

12.9%

12.0%

11.9%

Incomebe

foreprovision

forincometaxes

13.3%

12.9%

11.8%

15.7%

4.9%

12.8%

12.4%

11.9%

16.0%

5.1%

12.9%

12.0%

11.9%

Netearnings

SELECT

EDYEA

RTO

YEA

RCH

ANGES

NetSales

Costofgoo

dssold,includ

ingdistribu

tion

cen

terandstoreoccupancycosts

8.3%

4.06%

4.40%

8.1%

7.22%

8.11%

7.5%

9.9%

3.1%

8.0%

7.8%

7.5%

10.0%

3.2%

8.1%

7.5%

7.5%

3.24%

4.55%

3.85%

6.16%

5.44%

5.02%

6.28%

7.07%

4.79%

5.56%

5.89%

4.04%

4.10%

3.43%

5.62%

4.45%

4.41%

6.28%

7.07%

4.79%

5.56%

5.90%

Storeop

erating,selling,and

adm

inistrativeexpe

nses

6.98%

7.11%

5.47%

4.15%

4.73%

8.80%

1.88%

6.70%

0.11%

3.91%

3.70%

7.36%

5.25%

Incomebe

foreprovision

forincometaxes

-1.82%

3.65%

-5.21%

1.24%

-5.64%

4.43%

16.89%

5.29%

8.47%

12.84%

5.50%

1.69%

6.20%

Netearnings

OTH

ER

Stores(e

ndofp

eriod)

Netincreaseinstores

Averagenum

berofstores

Averagesalesperstore

Averagegrossprofitperstore

Averageope

rating,sellingandadministrativeexpe

nses

Year-to-yearchangeinaveragesalesperstore

Inventorype

rstore

Capitalexpen

ditures/ne

tincreaseinstores

PPEpe

rstore

StoreDetail

#5000squ

arefootstores

#sm

aller-fo

rmatstores

-2.35%

927

54

900

946

$

344

$

195

$ -1

.79%

244

$

935

93

910

17

3.82%

988

61

960

951

$

340

$

196

$

0.54%

243

$

375

94

969

19

-4.15%

1.82%

-7.41%

4.35%

15.77%

5.01%

7.82%

9.19%

5.50%

1.69%

5.66%

1,044

1,053

1,059

1,074

1,088

1,088

1,102

1,116

1,130

1,144

1,144

56

9

6

15

14

44

14

14

14

14

56

1,020

1,049

1,056

1,067

1,081

1,068

1,095

1,109

1,123

1,137

1,121

924

$

269

$

196

$

227

$

240

$

928

$

274

$

200

$

226

$

241

$

936

$

326

$

100

$

65$

83$

85$

331

$

102

$

66$

82$

85$

334

$

195

$

51$

50$

48$

50$

198

$

51$

50$

48$

51$

199

$

-2.85%

-0.84%

-0.92%

1.78%

1.20%

0.37%

1.77%

1.95%

-0.49%

0.36%

0.88%

271

$

239

$

277

$

261

$

256

$

256

$

239

$

265

$

266

$

265

$

265

$

449

753

983

804

852

833

860

868

876

883

872

97

98

99

104

109

109

114

119

124

129

129

1,024

1,034

1,040

1,054

1,068

1,068

1,082

1,096

1,110

1,124

1,124

20

19

19

20

20

20

20

20

20

20

20

Totalstores

927

988

1,044

1,053

1,059

1,074

1,088

1,088

1,102

1,116

1,130

1,144

1,144

SquareFeet:

#5000sfstores

#sm

aller-fo

rmat

#largerfo

rmat

Totalsqu

arefeetfo

rallstores

Averagesqu

arefeet

Averagereven

uepersqu

arefoot

Year-to-yearchangeinaveragereven

ueperSF

4,550,000

39,100

4,

589,100

4,467,850

0.19069

$

-1.69%

4,845,000

43,700

4,

888,700

4,751,783

0.19224

$

0.81%

5,120,000

5,170,000

5,200,000

5,270,000

5,340,000

5,340,000

5,410,000

5,480,000

5,550,000

5,620,000

5,620,000

46,000

43,700

43,700

46,000

46,000

46,000

46,000

46,000

46,000

46,000

46,000

5,166,000

5,213,700

5,243,700

5,316,000

5,386,000

5,386,000

5,456,000

5,526,000

5,596,000

5,666,000

5,666,000

5,048,117

5,189,850

5,228,700

5,279,850

5,351,000

5,285,233

5,421,000

5,491,000

5,561,000

5,631,000

5,549,333

0.18682

$

0.05435

$

0.03958

$

0.04591

$

0.04842

$

0.18741

$

0.05531

$

0.04035

$

0.04567

$

0.04857

$

0.18900

$

-2.82%

-0.89%

-1.02%

1.71%

1.15%

0.31%

1.75%

1.95%

-0.51%

0.31%

0.85%

Page 30: Hibbett_Fall 2016 web

Evolution  Pe

troleu

m  Corp.  (E

PM)  

BURK

ENRO

AD  REP

ORT

S  (w

ww.burkenroa

d.org)  

Nov

embe

r  16,  201

6  

30  

HIBBE

TTSPO

RTSINC.(H

IBB)

Ann

ualand

QuarterlyEarnings

Intho

usands

Forthepe

riod

end

ed

NetSales

Costofgoo

dssold,includ

ingdistribu

tion

cen

terandstoreoccupancycosts

Grossprofit

Storeop

erating,selling,and

adm

inistrativeexpe

nses

Dep

reciationandam

ortization

Ope

ratingincome

Interestincome

Interestexpen

se

Interestexpen

se,net

Incomebe

foreprovision

forincometaxes

Provisionforincometaxes

Netearnings

201

4A

851,965

$

542,700

309,265

181,527

13,847

113,891

(11)

199

188

11

3,703

42,826

70,877

$

201

5A

913,486

$

586,702

326,784

192,648

15,990

118,146

(22)

315

293

11

7,853

44,269

73,584

$

201

6A

03-M

ayA

02-AugA

01-NovE

31-JanE

201

7E

02-M

ayE

01-AugE

31-OctE

30-JanE

2018E

943,104

$

282,092

$

206,933

$

242,372

$

259,083

$

990,480

$

299,811

$

221,562

$

253,971

$

273,493

$

1,048,837

$

610,389

177,090

138,676

154,148

167,368

637,282

188,213

148,480

161,526

176,676

674,895

332,715

105,002

68,257

88,223

91,715

353,198

111,597

73,082

92,445

96,816

373,942

203,673

56,061

53,501

52,371

54,642

216,574

58,549

56,540

54,279

58,599

227,967

17,038

4,599

4,638

4,674

4,827

18,739

4,953

5,129

5,278

5,425

20,785

112,004

44,342

10,118

31,178

32,247

117,885

48,095

11,413

32,889

32,792

125,189

(2)

(2)

(4)

(2)

(3)

(2)

(1)

(8)

69

69

69

69

276

69

69

69

69

276

292

65

62

67

67

261

67

66

67

68

268

111,712

44,277

10,056

31,112

32,179

117,624

48,028

11,347

32,822

32,724

124,921

41,184

16,371

3,546

11,622

12,021

43,560

17,941

4,239

12,261

12,224

46,665

70,528

$

27,906

$

6,510

$

19,490

$

20,159

$

74,064

$

30,087

$

7,108

$

20,561

$

20,500

$

78,256

$

2018E

2017E

Basicearningspershare

Dilutedearningspershare

Weightedaveragesharesoutstanding(inthou

sand

s)

Basic

Diluted

SELECT

EDCOMMON-SIZEAMOUNTS

Costofgoo

dssold,includ

ingdistribu

tion

cen

terandstoreoccupancycosts

Grossprofit

Storeop

erating,selling,and

adm

inistrativeexpe

nses

2.74

$

2.70

$

25,870

26,266

63.7%

36.3%

21.3%

2.90

$

2.87

$

25,369

25,620

64.2%

35.8%

21.1%

2.95

$

1.23

$

0.29

$

0.88

$

0.94

$

3.45

$

1.44

$

0.34

$

0.98

$

0.98

$

3.75

$

2.92

$

1.22

$

0.29

$

0.87

$

0.93

$

3.43

$

1.43

$

0.34

$

0.98

$

0.97

$

3.71

$

23,947

22,780

22,281

22,104

21,447

21,447

20,844

20,880

20,911

20,944

20,895

24,129

22,947

22,442

22,274

21,617

21,617

21,014

21,050

21,081

21,114

21,065

64.7%

62.8%

67.0%

63.6%

64.6%

64.3%

62.8%

67.0%

63.6%

64.6%

64.3%

35.3%

37.2%

33.0%

36.4%

35.4%

35.7%

37.2%

33.0%

36.4%

35.4%

35.7%

21.6%

19.9%

25.9%

21.6%

21.1%

21.9%

19.5%

25.5%

21.4%

21.4%

21.7%

Ope

ratingincome

13.4%

12.9%

11.9%

15.7%

4.9%

12.9%

12.4%

11.9%

16.0%

5.2%

12.9%

12.0%

11.9%

Incomebe

foreprovision

forincometaxes

13.3%

12.9%

11.8%

15.7%

4.9%

12.8%

12.4%

11.9%

16.0%

5.1%

12.9%

12.0%

11.9%

Netearnings

SELECT

EDYEA

RTO

YEA

RCH

ANGES

NetSales

Costofgoo

dssold,includ

ingdistribu

tion

cen

terandstoreoccupancycosts

8.3%

4.06%

4.40%

8.1%

7.22%

8.11%

7.5%

9.9%

3.1%

8.0%

7.8%

7.5%

10.0%

3.2%

8.1%

7.5%

7.5%

3.24%

4.55%

3.85%

6.16%

5.44%

5.02%

6.28%

7.07%

4.79%

5.56%

5.89%

4.04%

4.10%

3.43%

5.62%

4.45%

4.41%

6.28%

7.07%

4.79%

5.56%

5.90%

Storeop

erating,selling,and

adm

inistrativeexpe

nses

6.98%

7.11%

5.47%

4.15%

4.73%

8.80%

1.88%

6.70%

0.11%

3.91%

3.70%

7.36%

5.25%

Incomebe

foreprovision

forincometaxes

-1.82%

3.65%

-5.21%

1.24%

-5.64%

4.43%

16.89%

5.29%

8.47%

12.84%

5.50%

1.69%

6.20%

Netearnings

OTH

ER

Stores(e

ndofp

eriod)

Netincreaseinstores

Averagenum

berofstores

Averagesalesperstore

Averagegrossprofitperstore

Averageope

rating,sellingandadministrativeexpe

nses

Year-to-yearchangeinaveragesalesperstore

Inventorype

rstore

Capitalexpen

ditures/ne

tincreaseinstores

PPEpe

rstore

StoreDetail

#5000squ

arefootstores

#sm

aller-fo

rmatstores

-2.35%

927

54

900

946

$

344

$

195

$ -1

.79%

244

$

935

93

910

17

3.82%

988

61

960

951

$

340

$

196

$

0.54%

243

$

375

94

969

19

-4.15%

1.82%

-7.41%

4.35%

15.77%

5.01%

7.82%

9.19%

5.50%

1.69%

5.66%

1,044

1,053

1,059

1,074

1,088

1,088

1,102

1,116

1,130

1,144

1,144

56

9

6

15

14

44

14

14

14

14

56

1,020

1,049

1,056

1,067

1,081

1,068

1,095

1,109

1,123

1,137

1,121

924

$

269

$

196

$

227

$

240

$

928

$

274

$

200

$

226

$

241

$

936

$

326

$

100

$

65$

83$

85$

331

$

102

$

66$

82$

85$

334

$

195

$

51$

50$

48$

50$

198

$

51$

50$

48$

51$

199

$

-2.85%

-0.84%

-0.92%

1.78%

1.20%

0.37%

1.77%

1.95%

-0.49%

0.36%

0.88%

271

$

239

$

277

$

261

$

256

$

256

$

239

$

265

$

266

$

265

$

265

$

449

753

983

804

852

833

860

868

876

883

872

97

98

99

104

109

109

114

119

124

129

129

1,024

1,034

1,040

1,054

1,068

1,068

1,082

1,096

1,110

1,124

1,124

20

19

19

20

20

20

20

20

20

20

20

Totalstores

927

988

1,044

1,053

1,059

1,074

1,088

1,088

1,102

1,116

1,130

1,144

1,144

SquareFeet:

#5000sfstores

#sm

aller-fo

rmat

#largerfo

rmat

Totalsqu

arefeetfo

rallstores

Averagesqu

arefeet

Averagereven

uepersqu

arefoot

Year-to-yearchangeinaveragereven

ueperSF

4,550,000

39,100

4,

589,100

4,467,850

0.19069

$

-1.69%

4,845,000

43,700

4,

888,700

4,751,783

0.19224

$

0.81%

5,120,000

5,170,000

5,200,000

5,270,000

5,340,000

5,340,000

5,410,000

5,480,000

5,550,000

5,620,000

5,620,000

46,000

43,700

43,700

46,000

46,000

46,000

46,000

46,000

46,000

46,000

46,000

5,166,000

5,213,700

5,243,700

5,316,000

5,386,000

5,386,000

5,456,000

5,526,000

5,596,000

5,666,000

5,666,000

5,048,117

5,189,850

5,228,700

5,279,850

5,351,000

5,285,233

5,421,000

5,491,000

5,561,000

5,631,000

5,549,333

0.18682

$

0.05435

$

0.03958

$

0.04591

$

0.04842

$

0.18741

$

0.05531

$

0.04035

$

0.04567

$

0.04857

$

0.18900

$

-2.82%

-0.89%

-1.02%

1.71%

1.15%

0.31%

1.75%

1.95%

-0.51%

0.31%

0.85%

 

Page 31: Hibbett_Fall 2016 web

Evolution  Pe

troleu

m  Corp.  (E

PM)  

BURK

ENRO

AD  REP

ORT

S  (w

ww.burkenroa

d.org)  

Nov

embe

r  16,  201

6  

31  

HIBB

ETTSPORT

SINC.(H

IBB)

Annu

aland

QuarterlyStatemen

tsofC

ashFlow

sInth

ousand

sForthe

perioden

ded

Cashflow

sfromope

ratin

gactiv

ities:

Netincome

Adjustmen

ts

Depreciatio

nandam

ortization

Deferred

and

unrecognizedincometaxbe

nefit,net

Excessta

xbe

nefitfrom

stockop

tionexercises

(Gain)Losso

ndisposaland

write-do

wnofassets,net

201

4A 70,877

$

13,847

(73)

(4

,357

)

173

201

5A 73,584

$

15,990

4,220

(2,911

)

181

201

6A

03-M

ayA

02-AugA

01-NovE

31-Ja

nE

201

7E

02-M

ayE

01-AugE

31-OctE

30-Ja

nE

2018E

70,528

$

27,906

$

6,510

$

19,490

$

20,159

$

74,064

$

30,087

$

7,108

$

20,561

$

20,500

$

78,256

$

17,038

4,599

4,639

4,674

4,827

18,740

4,953

5,129

5,278

5,425

20,785

1,285

(900

)

(156

)

2018E

2017E

Stock-basedcompe

nsation

Other

Changesinop

eratingassetsand

liabillities

Tradereceivables,net

Accoun

tsre

ceivable

Inventories,net

Prep

aidexpe

nsesand

othercurrentassets

5,838

(1,993

)

(5,167

)

36

4,468

117

706

(1

3,86

3)

6,614

5,198

2,149

947

818

882

4,796

2,427

948

818

882

5,075

19

30

(474

)

16,280

15,855

(16,76

9)

(503

)

(518

)

17,790

(106

)

(4,271

)

(295

)

(4,566

)

(718

)

1,379

(571

)

(344

)

(254

)

607

(3,710

)

(256

)

(3,966

)

(623

)

1,198

(496

)

(299

)

(221

)

(42,69

1)

31,258

(41,06

5)

12,200

2,486

4,878

15,298

(33,04

8)

(4,347

)

(2,596

)

(24,69

3)

2,186

8,053

(8,326

)

(8,157

)

(8,430

)

8,157

(8,401

)

(245

)

Othernon

curren

tassets

Accoun

tspayable

(475

) (2

7,48

9)

469,907

(443

)

-

4,017

(22,78

4)

39,567

(6,942

)

12,767

22,608

5,279

4,104

(9,032

)

8,966

9,317

Deferred

rent

1,798

2,240

3,076

(3,011

)

227

(2,785

)

227

227

227

227

906

Accrue

dexpe

nsesand

other

Otherchangeinassetsa

ndliabilitie

sTo

talchangeinassetsa

ndliabilitie

sNetcashprovided

byop

erations

Cashflow

sfrominvestingactiv

ities:

Purchaseofinvestm

ents(n

et)

Capitalexpen

ditures

738

(452

) (3

3,00

4)

53,301

(704

) (5

0,50

7)

1,093

6,860

10

2,392

(90)

(22,87

3)

(1,160

)

4,863

2,883

7,746

1,192

927

(2,039

)

2,025

2,104

4,809

(2,642

)

2,167

-

(34,51

4)

21,336

(12,46

6)

(873

)

9,655

17,653

28,811

(25,21

4)

(16,25

8)

(423

)

(13,08

4)

58,479

56,009

(340

)

23,635

51,804

131,108

49,509

(12,53

2)

9,880

44,175

91,032

65 (25,14

7)

(6,780

)

(5,897

)

(12,05

8)

(11,92

7)

(36,66

2)

(12,03

7)

(12,14

7)

(12,25

7)

(12,36

7)

(48,80

9)

Proceedsfrom

saleso

fprope

rtyandeq

uipm

ent

Proceedsfrom

insurance

Other,net

Netcashused

ininvestingactiv

ities

Cashflow

sfromfinancingactiv

ities:

221

(5

0,99

0)

320

84 (22,55

9)

298

107

147

(4)

143

(24,67

7)

(6,633

)

(5,901

)

(12,05

8)

(11,92

7)

(36,51

9)

(12,03

7)

(12,14

7)

(12,25

7)

(12,36

7)

(48,80

9)

Cashusedforstockre

purchases

Netpaymen

tsonrevolvingcred

itfacilityandcapitalleaseobligations

Excessta

xbe

nefitfrom

stockop

tionexercises

Cashusedtose

ttlenetsh

areeq

uityre

wards

Proceedsfrom

optionsexercise

dandpu

rchaseofsharesu

nderth

eem

ployeestockpu

rchaseplan,includ

ing

taxbe

nefit

Other,net

Netcashprovided

by(usedin)financingactivities

Increase(d

ecrease)incash&te

mpo

rarycashinvestmen

tsCashand

tempo

raryinvestmen

tsatb

eginningofp

eriod

Cashand

tempo

raryinvestmen

tsate

ndofp

eriod

(15,80

7)

(268

)

4,357

(4,288

)

3,011

(1

2,99

5)

(10,68

4)

76,911

66,227

(56,30

2)

(377

)

2,911

(4,669

)

774

(5

7,66

3)

22,170

66,227

88,397

(89,21

2)

(7,378

)

(21,37

6)

(27,12

5)

(27,12

5)

(83,00

3)

(27,12

5)

(27,12

5)

(346

)

(113

)

(114

)

(187

)

(187

)

(600

)

(198

)

(198

)

(198

)

(198

)

(793

)

900

(2,120

)

853

169

152

452

452

1,225

452

452

452

452

1,807

(913

)

51

(862

)

(89,92

5)

(8,235

)

(21,28

7)

(26,85

9)

(26,85

9)

(83,24

0)

(26,87

1)

254

254

254

(26,11

0)

(56,12

3)

41,141

(27,52

8)

(15,28

2)

13,017

11,349

10,601

(24,42

5)

(2,124

)

32,061

16,113

88,397

32,274

73,415

45,887

30,605

32,274

43,623

54,224

29,799

27,675

43,623

32,274

73,415

45,887

30,605

43,623

43,623

54,224

29,799

27,675

59,736

59,736

Ope

ratin

gcashflow

persh

areexclud

ing

workingcapita

lchanges

Ope

ratin

gcashflow

persh

areinclud

ing

workingcapita

lchanges

3.29

$

2.03

$

3.73

$

4.00

$

3.85

$

1.51

$

0.54

$

1.10

$

1.95

$

5.25

$

0.98

$

0.60

$

1.24

$

2.11

$

4.94

$

2.42

$

2.44

$

(0.02)

$

1.06

$

2.40

$

6.06

$

2.36

$

(0.60)

$

0.47

$

2.09

$

4.32

$

   

Page 32: Hibbett_Fall 2016 web

Evolution  Pe

troleu

m  Corp.  (E

PM)  

BURK

ENRO

AD  REP

ORT

S  (w

ww.burkenroa

d.org)  

Nov

embe

r  16,  201

6  

32  

HIBB

ETTSPORT

SINC.(H

IBB)

Ratio

s

Forthe

perioden

ded

Prod

uctiv

ityRatios

Receivablesturno

ver

201

4A

118.71

201

5A

114.35

201

6A

03-M

ay-16A

02-Aug-16A

01-Nov-16E

31-Ja

n-17

E201

7E

02-M

ay-17E

01-Aug-17E

31-Oct-17E

30-Ja

n-18

E20

18E

128.73

79.73

N/A

60.74

31.38

126.92

32.58

25.81

32.44

31.49

119.61

2018

E20

17E

Inventoryturnover

2.42

2.51

2.33

0.66

0.51

0.54

0.60

2.27

0.70

0.53

0.54

0.59

2.32

Workingcapita

lturno

ver

3.89

3.74

3.94

1.19

0.86

1.09

1.24

4.64

1.49

1.10

1.21

1.22

4.84

Netfixedassetturno

ver

12.61

10.21

9.70

2.75

1.99

2.24

2.24

8.99

2.45

1.71

1.86

1.90

7.88

Totalassettu

rnover

2.15

2.10

2.11

0.63

0.45

0.52

0.56

2.18

0.63

0.46

0.51

0.53

2.09

#ofdaysS

alesinA/R

3.59

3.02

2.73

NA

NA

3.00

3.00

3.14

3.00

3.00

3.00

3.00

3.13

#ofdaysC

osto

fSalesinInventory

151.95

149.15

168.82

129.41

192.21

165.71

151.27

158.91

127.12

181.39

169.19

156.02

163.37

#ofdaysC

ash-basedexpe

nsesinpayables

52.76

54.31

52.91

51.44

55.99

64.82

63.97

66.28

63.73

63.58

64.23

63.75

65.52

Liqu

idity

Measures

Curren

tratio

3.58

3.48

3.14

3.66

2.88

2.77

2.48

2.48

2.40

2.36

2.58

2.57

2.57

Quickra

tio0.77

0.90

0.34

0.79

0.37

0.29

0.35

0.35

0.42

0.23

0.23

0.44

0.44

Cashra

tio0.77

0.90

0.34

0.79

0.37

0.29

0.35

0.35

0.42

0.23

0.23

0.44

0.44

Cashflow

from

ope

ratio

nsra

tio0.58

1.00

0.56

0.60

0.00

0.20

0.38

0.96

0.35

-0.08

0.07

0.30

0.61

Workingcapita

l23

5,42

025

3,37

322

5,17

824

7,80

123

1,50

321

4,54

520

1,84

220

1,84

220

0,62

820

2,14

821

7,02

923

1,95

023

1,95

0

FinancialRisk

(Leverage)Ratios

Totaldeb

t/eq

uityra

tio0.37

0.39

0.42

0.36

0.47

0.46

0.52

0.52

0.54

0.54

0.47

0.47

0.47

Debt/equ

ityra

tio(e

xcludingdeferredtaxes)

0.37

0.39

0.42

0.36

0.47

0.46

0.52

0.52

0.54

0.54

0.47

0.47

0.47

TotalLTde

bt/equ

ityra

tio0.07

0.08

0.08

0.08

0.09

0.08

0.08

0.08

0.08

0.08

0.07

0.07

0.07

LTdeb

t/eq

uity(e

xcludingdeferredtaxes)

0.07

0.08

0.08

0.08

0.09

0.08

0.08

0.08

0.08

0.08

0.07

0.07

0.07

Totaldeb

tratio

0.27

0.28

0.30

0.27

0.32

0.32

0.34

0.34

0.35

0.35

0.32

0.32

0.32

Debtra

tio(e

xcud

ingde

ferred

taxes)

0.27

0.28

0.30

0.27

0.32

0.32

0.34

0.34

0.35

0.35

0.32

0.32

0.32

Profita

bility/Va

luationMeasures

Grossp

rofitm

argin

36.30%

35.77%

35.28%

37.22%

32.99%

36.40%

35.40%

35.66%

37.22%

32.99%

36.40%

35.40%

35.65%

Ope

ratin

gprofitmargin

13.37%

12.93%

11.88%

15.72%

4.89

%12

.86%

12.45%

11.90%

16.04%

5.15

%12

.95%

11.99%

11.94%

Returnonassets

17.86%

16.94%

15.76%

6.23

%1.41

%4.21

%4.36

%16

.28%

6.35

%1.46

%4.12

%3.94

%15

.58%

Returnoneq

uity

26.10%

23.40%

22.19%

8.68

%2.00

%6.18

%6.51

%23

.99%

9.72

%2.24

%6.19

%5.79

%23

.31%

Earningsbeforeinterestm

argin

8.30

%8.02

%7.45

%9.87

%3.12

%8.01

%7.75

%7.45

%10

.01%

3.18

%8.07

%7.47

%7.44

%EB

ITDA

margin

14.95%

14.62%

13.62%

17.30%

7.07

%14

.74%

14.26%

13.74%

17.65%

7.41

%14

.97%

13.92%

13.87%

EBITDA

/Assets

32.09%

30.75%

28.71%

10.90%

3.17

%7.71

%7.99

%29

.92%

11.17%

3.37

%7.62

%7.31

%28

.96%

 

Page 33: Hibbett_Fall 2016 web

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Page 34: Hibbett_Fall 2016 web

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Page 35: Hibbett_Fall 2016 web

BURKENROAD REPORTS RATING SYSTEM  

MARKET OUTPERFORM: This rating indicates that we believe forces are in place that would enable this company's stock to produce returns in excess of the stock market averages over the next 12 months.  

MARKET PERFORM: This rating indicates that we believe the investment returns from this company's stock will be in line with those produced by the stock market averages over the next 12 months.  

MARKET UNDERPERFORM: This rating indicates that while this investment may have positive attributes, we believe an investment in this company will produce subpar returns over the next 12 months.   BURKENROAD REPORTS CALCULATIONS 

CPFS is calculated using operating cash flows excluding working capital changes.  

All amounts are as of the date of the report as reported by Bloomberg or Yahoo Finance unless otherwise noted. Betas are collected from Bloomberg.  

Enterprise value is based on the equity market cap as of the report date, adjusted for long‐term debt, cash, & short‐term investments reported on the most recent quarterly report date.  

12‐month Stock Performance is calculated using an ending price as of the report date. The stock performance includes the 12‐month dividend yield.   

2016‐2017 COVERAGE UNIVERSE  

Amerisafe Inc. (AMSF)  MidSouth Bancorp Inc. (MSL) 

Bristow Group Inc. (BRS)  Newpark Resources Inc. (NR) 

CalIon Petroleum Company (CPE)  PetroQuest Energy Inc. (PQ) 

Cal‐Maine Foods Inc. (CALM)  Pool Corporation (POOL) 

Computer Programs and Systems, Inc. (CPSI)  Powell Industries Inc. (POWL) 

Conn's Inc. (CONN)  RPC Incorporated (RES) 

Crown Crafts Inc. (CRWS)  Ruth’s Hospitality Group Inc. (RUTH) 

Denbury Resources Inc. (DNR)  Sanderson Farms Inc. (SAFM) 

EastGroup Properties Inc. (EGP)  SEACOR Holdings Inc. (CKH) 

Era Group Inc. (ERA)  Sharps Compliance Inc. (SMED) 

Evolution Petroleum Corp. (EPM)  Spark Energy Inc. (SPKE) 

Globalstar (GSAT)  Stone Energy Corp. (SGY) 

Gulf Island Fabrication Inc. (GIFI)  Sunoco LP (SUN) 

Hibbett Sports (HIBB)  Superior Uniform Group Inc. (SGC) 

Hornbeck Offshore Services Inc. (HOS)  Team Incorporated (TISI)  

IBERIABANK Corp. (IBKC)  The First Bancshares (FBMS) 

Investar Holding Corporation (ISTR)  Tidewater Inc. (TDW) 

ION Geophysical Corp. (IO)  U.S. Physical Therapy, Inc. (USPH) 

LHC Group, Inc. (LHCG)  Vaalco Energy Inc. (EGY) 

Marine Products Corp. (MPX)  Willbros Group Inc. (WG) 

 PETER RICCHIUTI Director of Research Founder of Burkenroad Reports [email protected]  ANTHONY WOOD Senior Director of Accounting [email protected] 

AUTHOR HUGHLEY STEELE HULL KATHLEEN MCCABE J.P. NAVARRO Associate Directors of Research    

BURKENROAD REPORTS Tulane University New Orleans, LA 70118‐5669  (504) 862‐8489 (504) 865‐5430 Fax 

Page 36: Hibbett_Fall 2016 web

To receive complete reports on any of the companies we follow, contact:Peter Ricchiuti, Founder & Director of Research

Tulane UniversityFreeman School of BusinessBURKENROAD REPORTS

Phone: (504) 862-8489Fax: (504) 865-5430

E-mail: [email protected] visit our web site at www.BURKENROAD.org

Printed on Recycled Paper

Named in honor of William B. Burkenroad Jr., an alumnus and a longtime supporter of Tulane’s business school, and funded through contributions from his family and friends, BURKENROAD REPORTS is a nationally recognized program, publishing objective, investment research reports on public companies in our region. Students at Tulane University’s Freeman School of Business prepare these reports.Alumni of the BURKENROAD REPORTS program are employed at a number of highly respected financial institutions including:ABN AMRO Bank · Aegis Value Fund · Invesco/AIM Capital Management · Alpha Omega Capital Partners · American General Investment Management · Ameriprise Financial · Atlas Capital · Banc of America Securities · Bank of Montreal · Bancomer · Barclays Capital · Barings PLC · Bearing Point · Bessemer Trust · Black Gold Capital· Bloomberg · Brookfield Asset Management · Brown Brothers Harriman Capital · Blackrock Financial Management · Boston Consulting Group · Buckingham Research · California Board of Regents · Cambridge Associates· Canaccord Genuity · Cantor Fitzgerald · Chaffe & Associates · Citadel Investment Group · Citibank · Citigroup Private Bank · City National Bank · Cornerstone Resources · Credit Suisse · D. A. Davidson & Co. · Deutsche Banc · Duquesne Capital Management · Equitas Capital Advisors· Factset Research · Financial Models · First Albany · Fiduciary Trust · Fitch Investors Services · Forex Trading · Franklin Templeton · Friedman Billings Ramsay · Fulcrum Global Partners · Gintel Asset Management · Global Hunter Securities · Goldman Sachs · Grosever Funds · Gruntal & Co. · Guggenheim Securities , LLC · Hancock Investment Services · Healthcare Markets Group · Capital One Southcoast · Howard Weil Labouisse Friedrichs · IBERIABANK Capital Markets · J.P. Morgan Securities · Janney Montgomery Scott · Jefferies & Co. · Johnson Rice & Co. · KBC Financial · KDI Capital Partners · Key Investments · Keystone Investments · Legacy Capital · Liberty Mutual · Lowenhaupt Global Advisors · Mackay Shields · Manulife/John Hancock Investments · Marsh & McLennan · Mercer Partners · Merrill Lynch · Miramar Asset Management · Moodys Investor Services · Morgan Keegan · Morgan Stanley · New York Stock Exchange · Perkins Wolf McDonnell · Piper Jaffray & Co. · Professional Advisory Services · Quarterdeck Investment Services · RBC · Raymond James · Restoration Capital · Rice Voelker, LLC · Royal Bank of Scotland· Sandler O'Neill & Partners · Sanford Bernstein & Co. · Scotia Capital · Scottrade · Second City Trading LLC · Sequent Energy · Sidoti & Co · Simmons & Co. · Southwest Securities · Stephens & Co. · Sterne Agee · Stewart Capital LLC · Stifel Nicolaus · Sun-Trust Capital Markets · Susquehanna Investment Group · Thomas Weisel Partners · TD Waterhouse Securities · Texas Employee Retirement System · Texas Teachers Retirement System · ThirtyNorth Investments · Thornburg Investment Management · Tivoli Partners · Tudor Pickering & Co. · Tulane University Endowment Fund · Turner Investment Partners · UBS · Value Line Investments · Vaughan Nelson Investment Management · Wells Fargo Capital Management · Whitney National Bank · William Blair & Co. · Zephyr Management