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HIGH PERFORMANCE CAPITAL PARTNERS Providing a natural high to your returns ALTIN 2008 Hinterberger, Mayer, Nagarajan, Stein-Kaempfe, Ugboma 10 March 2008

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HIGH PERFORMANCE CAPITAL PARTNERS. Providing a natural high to your returns. ALTIN 2008 Hinterberger, Mayer, Nagarajan, Stein-Kaempfe, Ugboma 10 March 2008. - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Page 1: HIGH PERFORMANCE CAPITAL PARTNERS

HIGH PERFORMANCE CAPITAL PARTNERS

Providing a natural high to your returns

ALTIN 2008Hinterberger, Mayer, Nagarajan, Stein-Kaempfe, Ugboma10 March 2008

Page 2: HIGH PERFORMANCE CAPITAL PARTNERS

LEGAL N

OTICES &

DISCLO

SURES

This presentation is intended for information purposes only. It is not an invitation or offer to make an investment in High Performance Capital Partners (the “Fund”) or to purchase any investment product. Any representation to the contrary is not permitted.The complete terms of investment for the Fund, including the investment program, fees and charges, tax consequences, risk factors, conflicts of interest and liquidity are set forth in the Fund’s offering memorandum.The Fund or any investment product made available involve a degree of risk. Potential investors must familiarize themselves with the offering materials related to such investment and must meet certain investment sophistication levels in order to make such investments and must be able to fully absorb the risks associated with such investment. The offering memorandum for the Fund and related subscription agreement will be made available to those persons eligible for participation who demonstrate the capacity to evaluate the risks and merits of such investment.The past performance of the principals of the Fund is no indication of future results that may be achieved by an investment in the Fund.This presentation is produced solely for the specified recipient. This presentation may not be transmitted, reproduced or made available to any other person.

Page 3: HIGH PERFORMANCE CAPITAL PARTNERS

AGEN

DA

Executive Summary

The Team

Investment Style & Process

Risk Management & Control

Performance

Sample Transactions

4

5

11

13

14

15

Appendix – Summary of Investment Proposals 16

Page 4: HIGH PERFORMANCE CAPITAL PARTNERS

EXECUTIVE SU

MM

ARYCompany Information

High Performance Capital Partners is a Global Macro fund active in the world’s Foreign Exchange, Commodities and Equities markets. Our superior ability to identify and then exploit trends for absolute returns reflects three key approaches:

1.A fundamental, top-down approach in order to:– Identify structural changes– Pick disruptive technologies– Barriers to entry– Pricing power– Macroeconomic issues– Demographic changes

2.Sound bottom-up analysis through:– Balance sheet and other financial data modeling– Business model appraisal – Assessing the quality of Management

3.Trading and modeling skills to structure investment plays based on:

– Intrinsic value analysis– Market sentiments– Technical analysis e.g. when prices break through support/resistance

We pride ourselves on our ability to make profitable investments on both sides of the market, whether long or short.

Summary of performance & Portfolio mix

From inception to date our fund has returned annualized compounded returns of over 30%, outperforming the 5-year S&P 500 compounded annual returns of 11.62%.

Portfolio value in $ since inception date

Page 5: HIGH PERFORMANCE CAPITAL PARTNERS

THE TEAM

OUR PARTNER’S ABILITIES DIFFERENTIATE US FROM OUR PEERS

Financial Analysis & Modeling

Investment Management

TradingRisk &

Portfolio Management

Economic & Political Analysis

Page 6: HIGH PERFORMANCE CAPITAL PARTNERS

INVESTM

ENT STYLE

OUR INVESTMENT PHILOSOPHY…

Independent Fundamental Research

Active Risk Management

Top Down

Bottom Up

Primary Focus Top down

Early identification of Secular & cyclical trends

Key Drivers:•Growth – Analyze growth in sector, industry and corporate profits•Valuation – Historical and relative value comparison•Catalysts – Analyze market momentum and other possible catalysts that could affect the market

Theme-Based opportunities identified by (a) reviewing trends within current market environment(b) developing specific themes from which to associate opportunities. These lead to a series of linked positions

Traditional relative value opportunities are identified within distinct asset classes through fundamental and statistical securities analyses

Asset Allocation

Page 7: HIGH PERFORMANCE CAPITAL PARTNERS

Weekly investm

ent cycle

EVENT TIMING ROLE DOCUMENTATION

Monday Identify economic and macro trends Discuss possible tradesAssign further research to “expert(s)”

Email memo with responsibilities

Thursday Discuss details, structuring and exit points Unanimously approve submission to board

Written proposals circulated by “expert(s)”

Friday Validate trades Selected proposals submitted to board for approval

Week following approval

Trades are executed pending approval by the “board”

Email memo with details

Strategy Meeting

Execution

Investment Committee

Board Approval

WEEKLY INVESTMENT PLANNING PROCESS

Page 8: HIGH PERFORMANCE CAPITAL PARTNERS

RISK MAN

AGEM

ENT &

CON

TROL

RISK IN OUR PORTFOLIO IS ACTIVELY MANAGED

High Performance Capital Partners has put several mechanisms in place to limit risk and market exposure:

• Trades are unanimously approved by all partners before implementation

• We monitor risk via the calculation of VaR, semi-standard deviation and RAP

• Extensive & creative use of Scenario analysis tools

• We do not allow losses over :

– 10% of nominal for simple transactions and

– 5% of long exposure for Long-Short plays

• A maximum loss in % and/or USD is defined in every investment proposal

• Risk Return Ratio must exceed 1:2

• Every trade has a clear time horizon, all open positions reviewed after 4 weeks

• Use of real-time tools to monitor prices

• More robust monitoring of execution after initial loss of 7% of portfolio

Appointed risk managers: Iris Hinterberger, Francis Ugboma

Page 9: HIGH PERFORMANCE CAPITAL PARTNERS

PERFORM

ANCE

RETURN/RISK MEASURES

Annualized Standard Deviation 31.53%Annualized Semi-standard deviation 23.96%Skewness -0.79Kurtosis 8.94

TARGET PERFORMANCE

High Performance Objectives :

• Annual compounded returns above 15%

• Non-volatile return profile

• 1 Month VaR < 10% portfolio value

Implement advanced risk measures e.g. RAP, Sharpe & Sortino ratios

VAR & SCENARIO ANALYSIS MEASURES

Positive days 20Negative days 9Latest 1 Month VaR (SD)

$117,982,95Latest 1 Month VaR (SSD) -$100,296.33

ACTUAL PERFORMANCE

Annualized arithmetic mean returns 36.64%Annualized compounded returns 31.64%Risk-Adjusted Performance 8.33%Sortino ratio (3%) 1.40Sharpe ratio 1.07

76% between $0-$2500

CUMULATIVE DISTRIBUTION OF DAILY RETURNS $

Page 10: HIGH PERFORMANCE CAPITAL PARTNERS

SAMPLE TRAN

SACTION

S

BEARISH ON THE USD, CONFIDENT ON EUR

Underlying Idea

US – pessimistic outlookEU – optimistic outlook

Execution

Long EUR/USD @ 1.4548

Exit

@ 1.5208 after 7 weeksROCE: 322%

SHORT US CAR RETAILERS

Underlying Idea

Decrease in purchases, car credit defaults to squeeze margins, young, highly

leveraged companies will increase bearish sentiment

Execution

Short a basket of US small car retailers

Exit

After 5 weeksROI: 9.27% (ex repo profit)

Page 11: HIGH PERFORMANCE CAPITAL PARTNERS

CON

TACT INFO

RMATIO

N

HOW TO FIND USCONTACT DETAILS

CONVINCED? TERMS & CONDITIONSCONDITIONS & FEE STRUCTURE

Website:

Email: [email protected]

High Performance Capital Partnersc/o IESE Business SchoolAvda. Pearson, 2108034 Barcelona

Minimum Investment: $10,000,000

Subsequent Purchase Minimum: $1,000,000

Lockup: 2 years

Subscription Frequency: Annual

Notice for Redemption: 12 months

Management Fee: 1.5% p.a.

Performance Fee: 18.5%

High-Water-Mark?: Yes

Hurdle rate: 15%

Page 12: HIGH PERFORMANCE CAPITAL PARTNERS

APPEND

IX – INVESTM

ENT PRO

POSALS

Summary of our investment proposals

Page 13: HIGH PERFORMANCE CAPITAL PARTNERS

WEEK 1 – 18/01/2008

BEARISH ON THE USD, CONFIDENT ON EUR

• Rationale: US slowdown worse than currently priced in, possible reserve diversification of oil exporting nations – European economic outlook is stable, dovish interest rate policy

• Specs: Long EUR Futures, Entry: 1.4630 - Target: 1.6500 - Stop Loss: 1.4300

• Executed? Yes, held for 7 weeks

• Return: 4,54% ROI: 322% (on initial margin)

BULLISH ON AGRICULTURAL COMMODITIES VS. ENERGY

• Rationale: Crude is not breaking through 100$/bbl, supply squeeze on seeds due to higher demand (biofuels), weakening dollar is followed by increasing commodity prices

• Specs: Long GSCI, Short Crude Oil, Heating Oil, Natural Gas, Gasoline

• Executed? Yes, held for 1 week

• Return: -7.47%

Page 14: HIGH PERFORMANCE CAPITAL PARTNERS

WEEK 2 – 25/01/2008

BULLISH ON JBLU VS. OTHER AIRLINES

• Rationale: JBLU has suffered more from oil price rise than competition, spread will narrow due to sound strategy and management, softening crude prices, Lufthansa

• Specs: Long JBLU, Short airline stocks – here UAUA (United Airlines)

• Executed? No

• Return:

BULLISH SAMSUNG VS. ASIAN TECHNOLOGY STOCKS

• Rationale: Samsung’s low performance indicators are unjustified – handset share and the TFT-LCD margins more than offset memory weakness

• Specs: Long Samsung ADR, Short Matthews Asian Technology Fund

• Executed? No

• Return:

Page 15: HIGH PERFORMANCE CAPITAL PARTNERS

WEEK 3 – 01/02/2008

SHORT US CAR RETAILERS

• Rationale: Economic environment leads to decrease in purchase of big-ticket items, manufacturing prices under inflation pressure will push down retail margin, car credit defaults in the wake of the credit crisis will push supply of (used) cars while lowering demand. Choice of young, highly leveraged companies will increase bearish sentiment

• Specs: Short KMX, AN, LAD, RUSHB, CRMT (independent US car vendors)

• Executed? Yes, held for 5 weeks

• Return: 9.27% (pure return on capital employed excluding repo profit)

MERGER ARBITRAGE ON BANK OF AMERICA - COUNTRYWIDE

• Rationale: Market sentiment is that merger is not 100% certain – we believe it is because BAC has never backed out of a transaction, is already highly exposed to CFC and is facing a high break-up fee. Also, CFC management needs to act to avoid jail and the companies are highly complementary

• Specs: Long CFC, short BAC

• Executed? No.

• Return:

Page 16: HIGH PERFORMANCE CAPITAL PARTNERS

WEEK 4 – 08/02/2008

CHINESE YAHOO - MICROSOFT

• Rationale: The deal faces close antitrust scrutiny, Google is very actively lobbying to block the deal and presents a second strategic option, it has been rumored that the deal plan is merely a decoy to divert attention from poor management performance at MSFT and finally MSFT does not have the experience to merge the businesses

• Specs: Short YHOO, long MSFT

• Executed? Yes, held for 4 weeks

• Return: 1.78%

BULLISH ON VOLATILITY

• Rationale: Recession fears stay unchanged, disappointing home sales, tax stimulus packet is not going to be helpful, emerging monoline insurer issues will be worse than currently expected, Put/Call Ratio (indicating bearish sentiment) is rising

• Specs: Long slightly out-of-the-money SPY put and call options

• Executed? No

• Return:

Page 17: HIGH PERFORMANCE CAPITAL PARTNERS

WEEK 5 – 15/02/2008

CONSTRUCTION: SHORT SPAIN, LONG FULL ORDER BOOKS

• Rationale: Sound companies have been caught in the market turmoil, even though their order books are healthy and big orders are likely to come in in the short term. On the other hand Spanish constructors are set to suffer as house prices fall and mortgage applications get stricter.

• Specs: Long PCEI, TOSH, short ABG, ANA, ACS, CLEO, FCC, OHL

• Executed? Yes, held for 3 weeks

• Return: 7.25% (24.20% on net capital employed)

LONG AMERICAN COAL MINES

• Rationale: US mining companies profit from China’s increased demand in coal and recent export ban, adverse weather conditions in exporting countries, breakdown of price correlation with oil and increase of mining capacity in US

• Specs: Long ACI, FCL, BTU

• Executed? Yes, held for 3 weeks

• Return: 4.55%

Page 18: HIGH PERFORMANCE CAPITAL PARTNERS

WEEK 6 – 22/02/2008

BEARISH GBP, BULLISH JPY

• Rationale: Interest rate in Great Britain is set to fall, undermining the attractiveness of the GBP for investors. Falling M&A activity, rising current accounts and high deficit/high taxes add to the problem. In contrast, the Japanese labor and equity markets are sound and the dependence on the US has decreased

• Specs: Short USD/GBP, long USD/JPY

• Executed? No.

• Return:

EXPLOIT SEASONAL PATTERN OF SOYBEANS AND CORN

• Rationale: Soy and corn mainly come from the Northern Hemisphere where planting starts soon. Weather patterns, US elections and fundamental shifts in agricultural markets influence traders’ sentiment on the supply situations and drive prices up in the short term

• Specs: Long CK8, SK8

• Executed? Yes, held for 2 weeks

• Return: 10.95% ROI: 269% (on initial margin of contracts)

Page 19: HIGH PERFORMANCE CAPITAL PARTNERS

WEEK 7 – 29/02/2008

CONVERGING VALUATIONS IN AGROCHEMICALS

• Rationale: Driven by growing world population and demand for bio-fuels the demand for GM seeds is set to increase dramatically over the next few years. Whereas these possibilities are far overvalued in the shares of Monsanto (P/E 53) we believe that the opportunities for Syngenta (P/E 24) are undervalued by the market

• Specs: Short USD/GBP, long USD/JPY

• Executed? Yes, held for 1 week

• Return: 4.51% ROI: 15.60% (on net capital employed)

BEARISH ON BANKING SECRET IN EUROPE

• Rationale: After the tax probes into German and British tax evaders in Liechtenstein, the interest of other countries in the subject and the vow of Monaco to work with EU countries to hinder tax evasion, we believe that tax havens in continental Europe will see massive outflows of funds to more opaque legislations (Bahamas, Singapore, Middle East). Overall we believe the Swiss economy is stable

• Specs: Short BAER, long EWL Index Fund (Swiss companies)

• Executed? No

• Return: