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Page 1: How to Harvest the Gold in your Game Sales Databasetwvideo01.ubm-us.net/o1/vault/gdc2012/slides... · be having fun, and jumping on the latest bandwagon of distraction. be considered

How to Harvest the Gold in your Game Sales Database Nick Berry, M.Eng, ARAeS, CIPP

President, DataGenetics

All logos and trademarks in this presentation are property of their respective owners.

Page 3: How to Harvest the Gold in your Game Sales Databasetwvideo01.ubm-us.net/o1/vault/gdc2012/slides... · be having fun, and jumping on the latest bandwagon of distraction. be considered

Agenda

1) What is Social Gaming?

2) Why is it so popular?

3) How to find out more about download customers

4) Examples

Page 4: How to Harvest the Gold in your Game Sales Databasetwvideo01.ubm-us.net/o1/vault/gdc2012/slides... · be having fun, and jumping on the latest bandwagon of distraction. be considered

What is a Social Game?

“But they’re not social!”

“A game played on a Social Network”

So what is a game?

P

P

(After all, “Casual Games” are not casual either!)

Not Work!

“Any non-obligatory activity that is performed for fun!”

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A Social Game is …

… any non-obligatory activity that is performed, for fun, on

a Social Network.

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Discoverability Accessibility

Camaraderie Why are Social Games so Popular?

Facebook has exposed people to copious quantities of non-essential

activities and provided easy channels to

announce participation in these entertainments to others.

Players broadcast their indulgences, performances and achievements (both actively and passively).

In no more than a couple of clicks, exposed users can

be having fun, and jumping on the latest bandwagon of

distraction.

Whilst social could be considered a poor

adjective to describe

games when many games are solo activities, these

activities do earn it the moniker social because

they offer a shared

experience. Albeit asynchronously, all the

people who have enjoyed the same activity have been

down the same path.

Curiosity, Invitation, Peer Pressure,

Challenge.

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What do you know about your existing

customers?

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Social Game Developers have it “easy”

Age=18 Age=49 Age=23 Age=38

Age=27 Age=17 Age=58 Age=16

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What do you know about your Deluxe Download customers?

Page 10: How to Harvest the Gold in your Game Sales Databasetwvideo01.ubm-us.net/o1/vault/gdc2012/slides... · be having fun, and jumping on the latest bandwagon of distraction. be considered

Sales Database

Sales Date Sales Value

Credit card Name Credit card Number

2/3/2001

$6.95

Nicholas Berry

3713 xxxx xxxx 9980

2/3/2001

$6.95

Nicholas Berry

3713 xxxx xxxx 9980

2/3/2001

$6.95

Nicholas Berry

3713 xxxx xxxx 9980

2/3/2001

$6.95

Nicholas Berry

3713 xxxx xxxx 9980

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What’s in a name? (Gender)

Nicholas Jessica

Taylor

What about androgynous names?

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US Social Security Administration

Database of all registered names in

USA since 1880 complete with gender.

NAME Year Frequency

Mary F 1967 25,320

Susan F 1967 22,259

Karen F 1967 21,544

Angela F 1967 19,537

Melissa F 1967 18,370

Patricia F 1967 17,745

Amy F 1967 16,130

Elizabeth F 1967 16,110

Christine F 1967 15,992

Laura F 1967 15,820

Julie F 1967 15,541

Cynthia F 1967 15,336

Donna F 1967 14,789

Tina F 1967 14,154

Deborah F 1967 14,004

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History of Male Names

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History of Female Names:

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Scrabble™ Score

Creative spelling:

Z replacing S Y replacing I

Izzabellah (33 points) instead of Issabella (11 points)

Kristyn (14 points) instead of Kristin (11 points)

Score Letters

1 A , E , I , O , U , L , N , R , S , T

2 D , G

3 B , C , M , P

4 F , H , V , W , Y

5 K

8 J , X

10 Q , Z

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Trivia – Highest scoring name in the 86,987 distinct names in the SSA database is:

Jazzmyne (scoring 38 points)

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Returning to Androgynous names

2009 Data

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Taylor over the years

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Nobody lives forever

Males named Taylor who

are still alive

Females named Taylor who are still

alive

Number of male Taylors born in 2012 (still alive) + Number of male Taylors born in 2011 (still alive) +

Number of male … + Number of male Taylors born in 1940 (still alive) +

Male %

Female % Number of female Taylors born in 2012 (still alive) + Number of female Taylors born in 2011 (still alive) +

Number of female … + Number of female Taylors born in 1940 (still alive) +

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Life (Death) tables

CDC/NCHS – Center for Disease Control and Prevention/National Center for Health Statistics

1901 Life Tables

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Life (Death) Percentage chance of reaching a specified age.

39.1%

67.9%

82.4%

88.7%

92.1%

65

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100%

0%

Perc

enta

ge C

hance o

f Reachin

g S

pecifie

d A

ge Gender Differences

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1930

Gender Differences – Age at Death

1980 Age at Death (per 100,000)

Male Female

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Multiply

Page 25: How to Harvest the Gold in your Game Sales Databasetwvideo01.ubm-us.net/o1/vault/gdc2012/slides... · be having fun, and jumping on the latest bandwagon of distraction. be considered

Taylor

Probability density function

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Who names their child “Ethel” these days?

Probability Density Functions

Page 27: How to Harvest the Gold in your Game Sales Databasetwvideo01.ubm-us.net/o1/vault/gdc2012/slides... · be having fun, and jumping on the latest bandwagon of distraction. be considered

Facebook demographics

Page 28: How to Harvest the Gold in your Game Sales Databasetwvideo01.ubm-us.net/o1/vault/gdc2012/slides... · be having fun, and jumping on the latest bandwagon of distraction. be considered

FaceBook Demographics

AGE

13

65+

Female Male

Page 29: How to Harvest the Gold in your Game Sales Databasetwvideo01.ubm-us.net/o1/vault/gdc2012/slides... · be having fun, and jumping on the latest bandwagon of distraction. be considered

FaceBook Demographics

Many users of college

age

In USA large number of members over 65

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Page 31: How to Harvest the Gold in your Game Sales Databasetwvideo01.ubm-us.net/o1/vault/gdc2012/slides... · be having fun, and jumping on the latest bandwagon of distraction. be considered

Call of Duty 4 Tetris

Country and Rock Fishing

Hunting NASCAR

Black Eyed Peas Star Trek

Star Wars Yoville

Texas Holdem Poker Warstorm

Happy Island Pet Society

Fishville Collapse!

Taylor Swift Transformers Country Life Harry Potter

Britney Spears Mobsters 2 - Vendetta

Castle Age Vampire Wars

Twilight Mobsters

World of Warcraft Zoosk

Civilization Pepsi

NFL Converse

Jersey Shore Victorias Secret

MTV Coca-Cola

Pillow Fight Sims 3

Super Mario Bros Mafia Wars

Happy Aquarium Cafe World

Jigsaw Puzzles Barn Buddy

Country Story Mythbusters Avril Lavigne

Red Bull Disney

Johhny Depp Titanic

Starbucks Red Hot Chili Peppers

Lord of the Rings SpongeBob McDonalds

Scrabble (LIL) Farm Life

Dilbert Investing

Farm Town Law and Order

TextTwist Farmville

Treasure Isle Doodle Jump

Playboy Dr Phil

Island Paradise Zoo World Fish World

Bejeweled Blitz Roller Coaster Kingdom

Justin Bieber Conan oBrien

Jay Leno Michael Jackson

James Bond James Patterson

Angels and Demons Roller Coasters

Chess Mahjong Dimensions

Mahjong Petville

Uno Elvis

Frank Sinatra Soccer Cigars

Golf Jogging Pilates

Yoga Puma

Adidas Nike

Reebok Lifetime Colbert

Howard Stern Big Bang Theory

Ellen Degenerous Dr Who

Lost Top Gear

WWE Wrestling

Jui Jitsu Martial Arts

MMA UFC

Boxing NCIS

Cooking Sewing Knitting

Martha Stewart Horses

Makeup Fashion

Cake Decorating Greenhouse

Bird Watching Dogs

Plants Cats

Flowers Gardening

Baking The Bachelor

Crocs Jeep

The Office Saturday Night Live

Scrubs South Park Family Guy Simpsons

Heroes Ugly Betty

Battlestar Galactica Dunkin Donuts

Pizza Hut Taco Bell

Scuba Diving Skiing

Snowboarding iTunes

Barry Manilow Dairy Queen

Lady Gaga Vin Diesel

Criminal Minds Two and a Half Men

How I met your Mother Medium

Ghost Whisperer Biggest Loser

Americas Next Top Model Sex and the City

Desperate Housewives CSI

American Idol Happy Pets

Mind Jolt Games Restaurant City

Twitter iPHONE

iPad Pokemon

Nintendo DS Xbox 360

PS3 Diabetes

Monopoly Settlers of Catan

Megan Fox Rock Band

Foursquare Guitar Hero

Oprah Winfrey Show Halo

Wii Fit Wii

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Page 33: How to Harvest the Gold in your Game Sales Databasetwvideo01.ubm-us.net/o1/vault/gdc2012/slides... · be having fun, and jumping on the latest bandwagon of distraction. be considered

Jay Leno vs. Conan

Page 34: How to Harvest the Gold in your Game Sales Databasetwvideo01.ubm-us.net/o1/vault/gdc2012/slides... · be having fun, and jumping on the latest bandwagon of distraction. be considered

Comparing Demographic “Genes”

38.41% correlation

Page 35: How to Harvest the Gold in your Game Sales Databasetwvideo01.ubm-us.net/o1/vault/gdc2012/slides... · be having fun, and jumping on the latest bandwagon of distraction. be considered

80.89% correlation

Page 36: How to Harvest the Gold in your Game Sales Databasetwvideo01.ubm-us.net/o1/vault/gdc2012/slides... · be having fun, and jumping on the latest bandwagon of distraction. be considered

Bejeweled Blitz Affinity

Page 37: How to Harvest the Gold in your Game Sales Databasetwvideo01.ubm-us.net/o1/vault/gdc2012/slides... · be having fun, and jumping on the latest bandwagon of distraction. be considered

What are fans of glee on facebook interested in?

Page 39: How to Harvest the Gold in your Game Sales Databasetwvideo01.ubm-us.net/o1/vault/gdc2012/slides... · be having fun, and jumping on the latest bandwagon of distraction. be considered

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%Sim

s

Monopoly

Pet

Socie

ty

Happy P

ets

Tetr

is

Uno

Wii

Nin

tendo D

S

Countr

y S

tory

Happy A

quari

um

Guitar

Hero

Resta

ura

nt

City

Super

Mario B

ros

Rock B

and

Petv

ille

Soro

rity

Life

Doodle

Jum

p

Fis

hville

Civ

iliz

ation

Pokem

on

Zoo W

orl

d

Roller

Coaste

r Kin

gdom

Pillo

w F

ight

Millionair

e C

ity

Wii F

it

Yoville

TextT

wis

t

Happy I

sla

nd

Cityville

Min

d J

olt G

am

es

Barn

Buddy

Cafe

Worl

d

Sett

lers

of C

ata

n

Collapse!

Vam

pir

e W

ars

Farm

ville

Scra

bble

Tre

asure

Isle

Worl

d o

f W

arc

raft

Fis

h W

orld

Texas H

old

em

Poker

Jigsaw

Puzzle

s

Mafia W

ars

Chess

Castle A

ge

Halo

Farm

Tow

n

Isla

nd P

ara

dis

e

Mobste

rs 2

- V

endett

a

Beje

wele

d B

litz

PS

3

Xbox 3

60

Wars

torm

Mahjo

ng D

imensio

ns

Affinity for Games

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0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%Je

rsey S

hore

Am

eri

can I

dol

MTV

SpongeBob

Am

eri

cas N

ext

Top M

odel

Satu

rday N

ight

Liv

e

Scru

bs

How

I m

et

your

Moth

er

Lost

The O

ffic

e

Hero

es

Fam

ily G

uy

Ugly

Bett

y

Dr

Who

CSI

The B

achelo

r

Sim

psons

Despera

te H

ousew

ives

NCIS

Ghost

Whis

pere

r

Sex a

nd t

he C

ity

Myth

buste

rs

Big

Bang T

heory

Tw

o a

nd a

Half M

en

Crim

inal M

inds

Colb

ert

Law

and O

rder

Conan o

Bri

en

Ellen D

egenero

us

South

Park

Jay L

eno

Big

gest

Loser

Sta

r Tre

k

Mart

ha S

tew

art

Mediu

m

Opra

h W

infr

ey S

how

Top G

ear

Batt

lesta

r G

ala

ctica

How

ard

Ste

rn

TV Shows

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0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

TaylorSwift

LadyGaga

KatyPerry

BritneySpears

Shakira JustinBieber

AvrilLavigne

Rihanna BlackEyed

Peas

MichaelJackson

FrankSinatra

Red HotChili

Peppers

Elvis BarryManilow

Music

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0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

Pepsi

Coca-C

ola

Red B

ull

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

Sta

rbucks

McD

onald

s

Taco B

ell

Dair

y Q

ueen

Dunkin

Donuts

Piz

za H

ut

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

Convers

e

Pum

a

Nik

e

Reebok

Adid

as

Cro

cs

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0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%M

akeup

Fashio

n

Soccer

Snow

board

ing

Skiing

Bakin

g

Joggin

g

Fis

hin

g

Yoga

Scuba D

ivin

g

Knitting

Mart

ial Art

s

Golf

NASCAR

Gard

enin

g

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

Hors

es

Cats

Dogs

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

iTunes

Tw

itte

r

Fours

quare

Investing

Cig

ars

Page 44: How to Harvest the Gold in your Game Sales Databasetwvideo01.ubm-us.net/o1/vault/gdc2012/slides... · be having fun, and jumping on the latest bandwagon of distraction. be considered

Example #1

GreatPokerHands Texas Hold’em Poker Strategy cards sold at retail.

Page 45: How to Harvest the Gold in your Game Sales Databasetwvideo01.ubm-us.net/o1/vault/gdc2012/slides... · be having fun, and jumping on the latest bandwagon of distraction. be considered

GreatPokerHands sales Database

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GreatPokerHands Age/Gender Profile

Children under 18 do not have credit cards

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GreatPokerHand Sales Correlations

45.63%

34.81%

25.72%

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Results:

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Example CPC Prices:

Texas Holdem $1.73

Golf (74.77%) $0.88

Texas Holdem $2.05 - $3.06

Scuba Diving (65.93%) $0.79 - $1.16

NASCAR (65.56%) $0.41 - $0.56

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White House Visitor Logs

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Every visitor to White House recorded, but no gender or age information …

1.95 1.95 million

records available

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The End

Slides available: DataGenetics.com/content.html Email: [email protected]