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HY17 Results Presentation
Important Notice
The purpose of this presentation is to provide general information about
Fortescue Metals Group Limited ("Fortescue"). It is not recommended that
any person makes any investment decision in relation to Fortescue based
on this presentation. This presentation contains certain statements which may
constitute "forward-looking statements". Such statements are only predictions
and are subject to inherent risks and uncertainties which could cause actual
values, results, performance or achievements to differ materially from those
expressed, implied or projected in any forward-looking statements.
No representation or warranty, express or implied, is made by Fortescue that
the material contained in this presentation will be achieved or prove to be
correct. Except for statutory liability which cannot be excluded, each of
Fortescue, its officers, employees and advisers expressly disclaims any
responsibility for the accuracy or completeness of the material contained in
this presentation and excludes all liability whatsoever (including in
negligence) for any loss or damage which may be suffered by any person
as a consequence of any information in this presentation or any error or
omission therefrom.
Fortescue accepts no responsibility to update any person regarding any
inaccuracy, omission or change in information in this presentation or any
other information made available to a person nor any obligation to furnish
the person with any further information.
Additional InformationThis presentation should be read in conjunction with the Annual Report at 30
June 2016 together with any announcements made by Fortescue in
accordance with its continuous disclosure obligations arising under the
Corporations Act 2001.
Any references to reserve and resources estimations should be read in
conjunction with Fortescue’s Ore Reserves and Mineral Resources statement
for its Hematite and Magnetite projects at 30 June 2016 as released to the
Australian Securities Exchange on 19 August 2016. Fortescue confirms in the
subsequent public report that it is not aware of any new information or data
that materially affects the information included in the relevant market
announcement and, in the case of estimates of mineral resources or ore
reserves, that all material assumptions and technical parameters
underpinning the estimates in the relevant market announcement continue to
apply and have not materially changed.
All amounts within this presentation are stated in United States Dollars
consistent with the functional currency of Fortescue Metals Group Limited,
unless otherwise stated. Tables contained within this presentation may
contain immaterial rounding differences.
Forward looking statements
2
Building a world class company
Core supplier to China’s growth
Safety focus
Shipped over
800mt
First ore
in 2008
Unique culture
165-170mtProduction rate
Low cost
producerEngagement
Empowerment
Leadership
3
4
Delivering on targets
Focus on safety, productivity and efficiency
Safety
165-170mt shipped
Productivity + efficiency
Low cost global producer
Debt repayments
Consistent dividend policy
5
6
Safety performance
Continuing to improve the safety of all our employees and contractors
12-13
14.4
9.2
7.6
6.0 5.1
4.3
3.2
0
5
10
15
FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16 HY17
12 month rolling TRIFR
HY 17 snapshot
Productivity initiatives delivering sustainable cost reductions and financial results
US$2.6bnUnderlying
EBITDA
US$1.2bn
NPAT
Refer to attached glossary for definition of non-IFRS terms
86.1mtShipped
US$4.0bn Net debt
C1 Cost
$13.06/wmt
20% reduction
A$0.20 Interim dividend
38% payout
7
Focus on productivity and efficiency delivering cost savings
Continuous + sustainable cost improvements
Solomon operations
Blending strategy 58% Fe
Processing, wet plants + de-sands
Operational efficiencies
Fx and fuel decreases
1
2
3
4
5
US$/wmt
4844
34
27
15
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17Guidance
$12 - $1312-13
8
Innovative shipping fleet
Eight ore carriers - natural extension of Fortescue’s supply chain
• Provides 12% shipping requirements
• Complement port infrastructure
• Maximise tonnage, improve load rates
• Safe manoeuvring within the port
• CDB Leasing agreement US$473m
9
Construction and manufacturing projects support iron ore inventory levels
Iron ore supply in balance
Source: Bloomberg and Umetal 10
$30
$50
$70
$90
$110
$130
$150
$170
$190
$210
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
180
Jul-1
0
Se
p-1
0
Nov-1
0
Jan
-11
Ma
r-11
Ma
y-1
1
Jul-1
1
Se
p-1
1
Nov-1
1
Jan
-12
Ma
r-12
Ma
y-1
2
Jul-1
2
Se
p-1
2
Nov-1
2
Jan
-13
Ma
r-13
Ma
y-1
3
Jul-1
3
Se
p-1
3
Nov-1
3
Jan
-14
Ma
r-14
Ma
y-1
4
Jul-1
4
Se
p-1
4
Nov-1
4
Jan
-15
Ma
r-15
Ma
y-1
5
Jul-1
5
Se
p-1
5
Nov-1
5
Jan
-16
Ma
r-16
Ma
y-1
6
Jul-1
6
Se
p-1
6
Nov-1
6
Jan
-17
US
$
Mt
IO Inventory Levels (mt)
62% Fe CFR (RHS)
China's Iron Ore Supply CFR Costs (including royalties & ocean freight)
Moving down the global cost curve
Source: Metalytics – November 2016
2012
2016
11
Tonnes millions
Financial performance
13
Focused on delivering shareholder value
Financial drivers
SHAREHOLDER RETURNS AND VALUE
Debt repayments and capital management
Price + cost improvements + capital management
HY17 financial outcomes
Operational performance delivering financial results
US$1.7bn
14
Debt repaid
Refer to attached glossary for definition of non-IFRS terms
US$1.2bnCash on hand
US$1.5bnFree cashflows
US$0.39Earnings per share
282%
30%
Net gearing
52% in six months
4.50
5.00
5.50
6.00
6.50
7.00
Feb-17Jan-17Dec-16Nov-16Oct-16Sep-16Aug-16
Underlying EBITDA
103% increase through cost improvement and higher prices
15Refer to attached glossary for definition of non-IFRS terms
1,301
2,645
78
312
1,016 93 32 1
-
1,000
2,000
3,000
HY16 Volume Cost Price Royalty Fx Other HY17
Underlying EBITDA (US$m)US$
39%
59%
0%
20%
40%
60%
HY16 HY17
Underlying EBITDA Margin
Improvements driven by continued cost performance and higher prices
HY17 Earnings
16Refer to attached glossary for definition of non-IFRS terms
34% 283%
3,344
4,492
-
2,000
4,000
6,000
HY16 HY17
US$m Revenue
103%
1,301
2,645
-
1,000
2,000
3,000
HY16 HY17
US$m Underlying EBITDA
319
1,222
-
500
1,000
1,500
HY16 HY17
US$m NPAT
US$3.7bn in operating cost savings delivered since achieving full operational capacity
Cost savings delivered
17
0.8
0.8
1.9
0.2
3.7
0.3
4.0
-
1.0
2.0
3.0
4.0
FY14 FY15 FY16 HY17 FY14 - HY17delivered
2HY17 fcst FY14 - FY17 fcstdelivered savings
US$bn
Operational performance continuing to increase shareholder value
Returns to shareholders
282% 53% 567% HY16 to HY17
18
10.3
39.3
-
15
30
45
HY16 HY17
US cents
Earnings per share
32.4
49.7
-
20
40
60
HY16 HY17
US cents
Free cash flows per share
3
12
20
-
5
10
15
20
HY16 Final FY16 HY17
AUD cents
Dividends per share
Cash and Balance sheet
Growing operating cash flows support returns to shareholders and investment
Cash flows
69%
Refer to attached glossary for definition of non-IFRS terms
53%
1,097
1,857
-
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
HY16 HY17
US$m Net cash from operations
88
312
-
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
HY16 HY17
US$m Capital expenditure
255%
1,009
1,545
-
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
HY16 HY17
US$m Free cash flows
20
Cash levels supporting additional debt repayments and dividends
Cash movements
Refer to attached glossary for definition of non-IFRS terms 21
0.3
1.7
0.3
1.9
1.61.2
-
1.0
2.0
3.0
4.0
Jun 16 cash Operating Capex Debt repayment Dividends Dec 16 cash
US$bn
US$7.5bn of net debt repaid since expansion complete improving gross gearing to 36%
Debt repayments
Refer to attached glossary for definition of non-IFRS terms
12,691
9,557 9,569
6,771
5,156
10,533
7,159 7,188
5,188
3,996
-
20
40
60
80
-
4,000
8,000
12,000
16,000
FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16 1HY17
Debt Net debt Gross gearing (RHS) Net gearing (RHS)
US$m %
22
US$1.7bn repaid in FY17 with flexibility to continue voluntary early repayments
Debt maturity
Refer to attached glossary for definition of non-IFRS terms
1,976
0
478
2,160
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
CY2017 CY2018 CY2019 CY2020 CY2021 CY2022
US
$m
Senior Secured Credit Facility Senior Unsecured Notes Senior Secured Notes
23
Free cash prioritised to debt with cash funding of ore carriers
Capital expenditure
• Sustaining capex US$2/wmt
• Development of Firetail replacement
• Ore carriers 85% cash funded via CDB
• D&A US$7.10/wmt
FY17 Guidance
24
225
340
31
40
48
270
40
90
-
200
400
600
800
FY16 FY17 Guidance
US$m
Sustaining capital Exploration Ore carriers Development Tugs
Market
Fortescue values its relationship with China
Four key areas of engagement
Source: IMF World Economic Database Oct 2016
IMF projected GDP growth for 2017
Chinese economic momentum
27
Asian economies generating two thirds of global growth
Developing and emerging Asia
Source: IMF World Economic Database Oct 2016
13th Five Year Plan (2016-2020)
RMB12.5 trillion for ~ 11,000 listed projects
152,000km Roads in rural
areas
Source: China Daily
3,000kmNew urban
rail lines
Over 50 civilian
airports
80% cities
with high
speed rail
New power
projects
+480,000 MW
Pipelines
+
gas storage 29
Residential sales and tier 1 house prices have increased
Property and infrastructure driving steel demand
30Based on a three month moving average. Source: China NBS, Bloomberg
-10
-5
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
-40
-20
0
20
40
60
80
01-J
an
-11
01-J
ul-
11
01-J
an
-12
01-J
ul-
12
01-J
an
-13
01-J
ul-
13
01-J
an
-14
01-J
ul-
14
01-J
an
-15
01-J
ul-
15
01-J
an
-16
01-J
ul-
16
01-J
an
-17
%
Sales (left) Prices (right)
%
Well established 17% market share of imported iron ore to China
Core supplier to Asia
• Low impurity 58% Fe average
• Competitive value in use
• Large diverse customer base
• Responsive to market needs
• Proximity to high growth region
Source: World Steel Association Crude Steel Production 2015 31
808
10596
79
541
Total 2016 global steel production 1,629mt
China Japan India United States Rest of the World
32
Continued growth in steel consumption throughout China, ASEAN and India
Steel stock tonnes per capita
Source: NBS, worldsteel, Macquarie, February 2017
-
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
195
0
195
2
195
4
195
6
195
8
196
0
196
2
196
4
196
6
196
8
197
0
197
2
197
4
197
6
197
8
198
0
198
2
198
4
198
6
198
8
199
0
199
2
199
4
199
6
199
8
200
0
200
2
200
4
200
6
200
8
201
0
201
2
201
4
201
6
201
8f
202
0f
202
2f
202
4f
202
6f
202
8f
203
0f
203
2f
203
4f
203
6f
203
8f
204
0f
204
2f
204
4f
204
6f
204
8f
205
0f
Ste
el
cap
ital
sto
ck t
on
nes/c
ap
ita
USA Japan China ASEAN India
33
China iron ore supply
417
155248
399
2013: 1,219mt
Australia Brazil Other China
640
215
170
232
2016: 1,257mt
Australia Brazil Other China
Source: National Bureau of Statistics, PRC
Chinese ore replaced with lower cost seaborne supply – mainly Australian
Generating regional demand for steel and opportunities for Northern Australia
China’s One Belt One Road
87% realisation in HY17 after timing adjustments
Price realisations consistent
35
75%
80%
85%
90%
95%
100%
$0
$20
$40
$60
$80
$100
29
/07
/20
14
29
/08
/20
14
29
/09
/20
14
29
/10
/20
14
29
/11
/20
14
29
/12
/20
14
29
/01
/20
15
28
/02
/20
15
31
/03
/20
15
30
/04
/20
15
31
/05
/20
15
30
/06
/20
15
31
/07
/20
15
31
/08
/20
15
30
/09
/20
15
31
/10
/20
15
30
/11
/20
15
31
/12
/20
15
31
/01
/20
16
29
/02
/20
16
31
/03
/20
16
30
/04
/20
16
31
/05
/20
16
30
/06
/20
16
31
/07
/20
16
31
/08
/20
16
30
/09
/20
16
31
/10
/20
16
30
/11
/20
16
31
/12
/20
16
31
/01
/20
17
Platts 62 CFR MBIO58 [P] CFR 62% v 58% [P] price realisation (RHS)
Reserves and resources
Largest Pilbara tenement footprint
Resource portfolio supports asset baseM
inera
l R
eso
urc
es d
ry i
n s
itu
(M
t)
37
2,266 2,227 2,143 2,550 2,550
3,222 3,328 3,280 3,159
695 695 695
695 695
695 303 491 491
1,715 2,224
2,860
3,070 3,070
3,504
4,877 4,793 4,755
624 624
624
740 740 740
1,032
2,013
2,463
2,463 2,463 2,463
-
1,230 1,230
2,465
3,237
5,205 4,676
5,504
6,706
-
2,000
4,000
6,000
8,000
10,000
12,000
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Chichester Hub Chichester Other Solomon Hub Western Hub Nyidinghu Magnetite
38
Options for Firetail replacement being developed
Firetail replacement - 2021
Supporting our community
40
Creating opportunities through training, employment and business development
Building strong communities
40
Diversity is fundamental to driving innovation and business success
Championing diversity
41
42
• Mining provides income and jobs for remote communities
• Empowering people through
opportunity, not welfare
• Developing pride through self
sufficiency and achievement
• Helping to identify and preserve
indigenous culture
Ensure our communities benefit from growth and success of Fortescue
Business activity key to community development
Focussed strategy
China's Iron Ore Supply CFR Costs (including royalties & ocean freight)
Moving down the global cost curve
Source: Metalytics – November 2016 44
2012
2016
Tonnes millions
Strategic delivery
Culture, continuous improvement, speed and flexibility
Consistent 165-170mtpa
Lowering costs to US$12-13/wmt
Maximising resource value
Capital management
Consistent dividend policy
45
The new force in iron ore
Continuous improvement
46
Customer focus
Reliable
Competitive
Sustainable
low cost
producer
World classassets & people
Unique culturedrives performance
www.fmgl.com.au@FortescueNews
Proudly supporting:
48
Glossary
C1: Operating costs of mining, processing, rail
and port on a per tonne basis, including
allocation of direct administration charges
and production overheads.
Debt coverage ratio: Debt / Underlying EBITDA.
dmt: Dry metric tonnes.
Free cash flow: Net cash inflows from operations less capital
expenditure.
FY: Full year.
HY: Half year.
Interest coverage ratio: Underlying EBITDA / Interest
mtpa: million tonnes per annum.
Net debt: Borrowings and finance lease liabilities
less cash and cash equivalents
NPAT: Net profit after tax.
Underlying EBITDA: Earnings before interest, tax, depreciation and amortisation,
exploration, development and other expenses. The reconciliation of
Underlying EBITDA to the financial metrics disclosed in the financial
statements prepared under Australian accounting standards is
presented below:
Reconciliation of Underlying EBITDA to IFRS measures:
VLOC: Very large ore carrier.
wmt: wet metric tonnes.
US$m
31 December
2016
31 December
2015
Profit before income tax 1,732 428
Finance income (8) (200)
Finance expenses 256 340
Depreciation amortisation 622 627
Exploration, development and other 43 106
Underlying EBITDA 2,645 1,301