implementation of gfcs elements in wmo regional associations

World Meteorological OrganizationWorking together in weather, climate and water

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IMPLEMENTATION OF GFCS ELEMENTS IN WMO REGIONAL ASSOCIATIONS

Peer Hechler, Rupa Kumar KolliWMO

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AIM OF TALK

To provide key examples of GFCS elements at regional level and to facilitate a common understanding of

relevant implementation aspects

Topics of the talk: -> WMO Regional Climate Centres (RCC), -> Regional Climate Outlook Forums (RCOFs), -> WMO Regional Climate Watch Systems

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INTRODUCTION

GFCS to address needs at 3 spatial scales – Examples of (potential) elements

Global services and service providers

WMO Global Producing Centres, Global Seasonal Climate Update, Global Climate Observing System, WCRP Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP), etc. [Global users: e.g. UN agencies and programmes]

Regional services and service providers

WMO Regional Climate Centres, Regional Climate Outlook Forums, European Composite Observing System, Regional Baseline Climatological Networks, WCRP-Coordinated Regional Climate Downscaling Experiment, etc. [Regional users: e.g. Economic communities, intergovernmental authorities]

National services and service providers

NMHSs, national observing networks, national climate data bases, national long-range forecasts, national climate monitoring products, national climate applications, national research activities, etc. [National users: e.g. governments]

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INTRODUCTION

-> … by building on observations and monitoring,

-> … by liaising closely with the research community,

-> … by generating services as part of CSIS,

-> … by facilitating and promoting user liaison, and-> … by providing capacity building.

Activities of WMO Regional Climate Centres, Regional Climate Outlook Forums and Regional Climate Watch Systems

address all 5 GFCS components…

Fig.: GFCS components

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GFCS ELEMENT: WMO REGIONAL CLIMATE CENTRES

WMO RCCs are Centres of Excellence that create regional climate products in support of regional and national climate activities and thereby strengthen capacity of

WMO Members in a given region to deliver better climate services to national users

A WMO RCC serves primarily the NMHSs in the region! WMO RCC responsibilities shall be regional in nature

and shall not duplicate or replace national responsibilities

WMO RCC: A multifunctional centre that fulfils all the required functions of an RCC WMO RCC-Network: A group of centres performing climate-related activities that collectively fulfil all the required functions of an RCC

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• WMO RCCs perform mandatory operational regional-scale climate functions in the domains of long-range forecasting, climate monitoring, data services and training

• WMO RCCs are strongly encouraged to perform highly recommended functions comprising extended services in the above mentioned domains as well as functions in the domains of climate projections, co-ordination, capacity building and R&D

Mandatory product list (examples):

Assessment of LRF products from GPCs

Regional/sub-regional seasonal outlooks

Consensus outlook statements (e.g. RCOFs)

Verification datasets

Climate diagnostic bulletins

Reference climatologies

Implementation of Climate Watches

Regional climate datasets

Training, feedback mechanisms, information portals

WMO RCC Services:

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RA VI Pilot RCC-Network: Station density of regional climate dataset (left) and reference climatology (May, 1961-90) for sunshine duration (right)

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How to establish and run a WMO Regional Climate Centre [principle overview; for details see WCASP-80 (WMO/TD-1534)]

Identification of target region … usually done by WMO Regional Association

Requirements survey … usually done by regional WMO Working Group

Expression of intent … by candidate; usually done in regional agreement

Demonstration phase … pre-operational production of all mandatory products and services as well as of as many highly-recommended functions as possible

Formal designation … through defined WMO process involving RAs, CCl, CBS

Operations … including performance assessments, requirement reviews and further product and service development.

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WMO RCC Implementation Status worldwide:

RA I Africa initiated RCC implementation by identifying six RCCs (North African RCC-Network, ECOWAS RCC, IGAD RCC, CEMAC RCC, SADC RCC, African RCC); Demonstration phases formally initiated by ICPAC and ACMAD in Spring 2011

RA II Beijing and Tokyo designated as WMO RCCs in June 2009; North Eurasian Climate Centre (Russia) commenced RCC pilot phase in December 2010; India preparing for the pilot phase; Iran and Saudi Arabia expressed interest to host RCCs

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RA III South America decided to establish 3 RCCs (CIIFEN to host Western SA RCC, Brazil + French Guyana to host Northern SA RCC, Argentina +

Brazil to host Southern SA RCC); RA III WGCS is developing the implementation plan

RA IV Discussions underway; CIMH informally expressed interest

RA V Discussions underway, RA V WG CLS is planning a capability survey

RA VI Pilot phase of RA VI RCC-Network successfully concluded in summer 2011, Network ready for designation.

Polar RCCs under consideration

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Regional Climate Centres (RCCs)(* Pilot phase)RCC Network Nodes (Pilot)

Overview of WMO RCCs implementation worldwide (as of December 2011)

Toulouse*

Moscow*

BeijingTokyo

De Bilt* Offenbach*

ACMAD*

ICPAC*

RCC candidates

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Existing WMO RCC arrangements

RA VI RCC-Network

(pilot)

RCC-Network being implemented as a collaborative effort of WMO Members (NMHSs)

RCC Beijing, RCC Tokyo;

RCC Moscow at NEACC

(pilot)

RCCs (being) implemented by a WMO Member (and hosted by the NMHS)

African RCC at ACMAD

(pilot)

RCC being implemented at an international institution

IGAD RCC at ICPAC

(pilot)

RCC being implemented at an institution of a regional organisation

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GFCS ELEMENT: REGIONAL CLIMATE OUTLOOK FORUMS

RCOFs bring together national, regional and international climate experts,on a regular basis, to produce regional climate outlooks based oninput from global and regional producers of climate information as well asfrom NMHSs of the region concerned by:

---> addressing regions of common climate characteristics---> ensuring consistency in access to, and interpretation of, climate

information---> facilitating close user interaction to jointly assess the likely

implications of the outlooks---> providing training on long-range forecasting, communication etc.

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SASCOF

East-Asian Winter Monsoon Joint Meeting

Existing RCOFs worldwide (as of August 2011)

Under consideration: Polar-COFs, PRESANORD/MedCOF, SEACOF, Indian Ocean Islands COF

NEACOF

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July to September constitutes a major rainfall season over much of the northern sector as well as the western parts of the equatorial sector of the GHA .

Zone I: Increased likelihood of above normal rainfall over Central Sudan and western Ethiopia.Zone II: Increased likelihood of above to near normal rainfall over Eritrea; Djibouti: Uganda; Rwanda; northern Burundi; north-western Tanzania; Western Kenya; extreme north-western Somalia; south-western, central and north-eastern Ethiopia

as well as southern and parts of north-eastern Sudan.The rest of the GHA region is likely to remain generally dry.

IGAD Pilot RCC: Greater Horn of Africa Consensus Climate Outlook for July to September 2011

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GFCS ELEMENT: WMO CLIMATE WATCH SYSTEMS

WMO Climate Watch Systems…

… enable delivery of national climate advisories on occurring and expected climate anomalies with potential negative impacts on societies

… are part of the mandatory RCC functions. NMHSs will receive guidance information from regional entities and mechanisms, such as RCCs and RCOFs

… might be initiated in a Region/sub-region through a WMO Climate Monitoring and Climate Watch Implementation Workshop (held so far in RA III, RA II and RA VI).

GOALS:- To monitor and predict climate anomalies and related extremes

- To produce and disseminate climate advisories (climate alert bulletins) on significant ongoing or foreseen climate anomalies

- To heighten awareness among relevant users to initiate preparedness measures

- To interact with the users prior, during and after the Alert episode

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The heading incl. name of issuing entity

Name of warning, Area affected, Date and time issued, Period of validity

Text (Alert)

Large-scale climate situation

Information on update advice, NMS contact details

List of attachments

GFCS ELEMENT: WMO CLIMATE WATCH SYSTEMS

Expert Meeting on Scoping Global Seasonal Climate Update, Geneva 12-14 October 2010

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GFCS ELEMENTS: IMPLEMENTATION ASPECTS

Prerequisites for establishing WMO RCCs (main technical aspects):

Clear mandate; appropriate infrastructure, such as office space, IT (hard- and software), communication systems (incl. broadband internet access); appropriate human resources, incl. administration staff, technical support staff, data- and climate specialists; appropriate

level of collaboration with global, regional and national entities; sustainability

Prerequisites for initiating RCOF processes (main technical aspects)

(Sub-) regional agreement, meeting facilities incl. appropriate Internet access, (external) resource persons and trainers familiar with RCOF processes, close liaison with a WMO RCC or equivalent entity, appropriate user contacts, plans for sustaining the process

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Prerequisites for implementing regional Climate Watch systems (main technical aspects)

(Sub-)regional agreement, Climate Watch workshop (recommended), close liaison with a WMO RCC or equivalent entity, NMHSs capable of generating and communicating Climate Watch

advisories, sustainability

In all cases appropriate observing systems and database management, lively exchange of information, research links and user contacts are

required at regional and national levels!!

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Implementation of WMO RCCs, RCOFs and Climate Watch to be initiated by the Regions based on Members’ requirements

Members might wish to discuss an additional partnership/ mentoring approach where experienced RCC and/or RCOF hosts collaborate with

a potential RCC and/or RCOF host to facilitate successful implementation!

WMO is ready to act as partner of relevant initiatives and offers advice on technical and formal matters as well as assistance in co-ordination

and resource mobilisation activities

World Meteorological OrganizationWorking together in weather, climate and water

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Thank youThank youMerciMerci

СпасибоСпасибоGraciasGraciasشكراشكرا

谢谢谢谢

Thank youThank youMerciMerci

СпасибоСпасибоGraciasGraciasشكراشكرا

谢谢谢谢

implementation of gfcs elements in wmo regional associations

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