india - the caged phoenix

Upload: kk-sharma

Post on 08-Apr-2018

234 views

Category:

Documents


0 download

TRANSCRIPT

  • 8/6/2019 India - The Caged Phoenix

    1/29

    The Caged PhoenixThe Caged Phoenix

    by KK Sharmaby KK Sharma

  • 8/6/2019 India - The Caged Phoenix

    2/29

    The Paradox

    How is that the Indians are sofastidiously clean but India is

    so dirty??

    Do we belong to cat family?

  • 8/6/2019 India - The Caged Phoenix

    3/29

    http://images.google.co.in/imgres?imgurl=http://www.pheonix-az.com/pheonix_bird.jpg&imgrefurl=http://www.pheonix-az.com/Pheonix_Bird.htm&usg=__0boLhNTo3oStRPi8a1Zfcinnc6I=&h=445&w=352&sz=26&hl=en&start=2&um=1&itbs=1&tbnid=93s1GniutcoOBM:&tbnh=127&tbnw=100&prev=/images%3Fq%3Dphoenix%2Bbird%26hl%3Den%26rlz%3D1T4GTKR_enIN317IN318%26sa%3DX%26um%3D1http://images.google.co.in/imgres?imgurl=http://api.ning.com/files/3dOMuCZtKjWUpWW-nZ52l3dcMxyzB4fHAR-HU5Fqo6O3JxepmkUx0w6*wV4VBa*EhB4WQ6oRlkGoW7PdKmGLzVXTDnyUIaIP/Phoenix_by_WhiteRaven90.jpg&imgrefurl=http://www.sodahead.com/living/egyptian-astrology/question-181104/&usg=__JNR-nLXPHxk9nmAfn8YSmqDJyGo=&h=1024&w=750&sz=638&hl=en&start=9&um=1&itbs=1&tbnid=eyOafWxBdg76EM:&tbnh=150&tbnw=110&prev=/images%3Fq%3Dphoenix%2Bbird%26hl%3Den%26rlz%3D1T4GTKR_enIN317IN318%26sa%3DX%26um%3D1http://images.google.co.in/imgres?imgurl=http://www.eaudrey.com/myth/images/phoenix.gif&imgrefurl=http://www.eaudrey.com/myth/phoenix.htm&usg=__KCJtuHMN19ZWGAeJ0UA5Kw1hXcc=&h=285&w=275&sz=19&hl=en&start=11&um=1&itbs=1&tbnid=CFYx0vZhOQ336M:&tbnh=115&tbnw=111&prev=/images%3Fq%3Dphoenix%26hl%3Den%26rlz%3D1T4GTKR_enIN317IN318%26sa%3DN%26um%3D1http://images.google.co.in/imgres?imgurl=http://marvel.com/universe3zx/images/thumb/a/a5/Phoenix_force.jpg/440px-Phoenix_force.jpg&imgrefurl=http://marvel.com/universe/Phoenix_Force&usg=__dlOPaD7O8ytVJ_Ujc0E4Mes8CSw=&h=362&w=440&sz=71&hl=en&start=1&um=1&itbs=1&tbnid=e_ZhOrmAvJoe1M:&tbnh=104&tbnw=127&prev=/images%3Fq%3Dphoenix%26hl%3Den%26rlz%3D1T4GTKR_enIN317IN318%26sa%3DN%26um%3D1http://images.google.co.in/imgres?imgurl=http://inobscuro.com/portfolio/digital/phoenix.jpg&imgrefurl=http://inobscuro.com/gallery/phoenix-74/&usg=__5B-uOmb4rfcl4TJoqtjV86TJVrI=&h=900&w=600&sz=157&hl=en&start=4&um=1&itbs=1&tbnid=ljcaNnCAi6d2JM:&tbnh=146&tbnw=97&prev=/images%3Fq%3Dphoenix%26hl%3Den%26rlz%3D1T4GTKR_enIN317IN318%26sa%3DN%26um%3D1
  • 8/6/2019 India - The Caged Phoenix

    4/29

    The history of Phoenix Egyptian mythology, a mythical sacred firebird.

    Said to live for 500, 1461 or for 12594 years (depending on the source),

    A male bird with beautiful gold and red plumage.

    End of its life-cycle builds itself a nest of cinnamon twigs and ignites;

    both nest and bird burn fiercely and are reduced to ashes, from which a

    new, young phoenix arises.

    The new phoenix embalms the ashes of the old phoenix in an egg made

    of myrrh and deposits it in Heliopolis ("the city of the sun"), Egypt.

    The bird was also said to regenerate when hurt or wounded by a foe,

    thus being almost immortal and invincible - a symbol of fire and divinity.

  • 8/6/2019 India - The Caged Phoenix

    5/29

    The caging parameters Rise and fall of phoenix

    Connection between rich and the poor

    The facts Consensus politics

    How to make the phoenix fly again

    Challenges The surge effect

    India of tomorrow flying again!!!!

    PreviewPreview

  • 8/6/2019 India - The Caged Phoenix

    6/29

    Missing connection between rich and the poor

    Gap between Intellectual capital and merchant capital From vibrant village to patronage afflictions

    The political class and leadership

    Poor state of the State in social sector..

    State of education Taxila/Patliputra to AICTE/PTU Weakening institutions Legislature, judiciary and

    executive

    Thriving parallel economy

    Hemmed in nation unable to break out of S Asia. Caste parameters

    Suspicious and frustrated citizens

    Raging wars within

    The caging parameters

  • 8/6/2019 India - The Caged Phoenix

    7/29

    Rise and Fall of PhoenixRise and Fall of Phoenixcitizens confidence in nation-state

    0

    10

    20

    30

    40

    50

    60

    70

    80

    1947 1955 1964 1972 1975 1985 1990 1995 2007 2010 2015

    The total outlay of the 1st five year plan was worth Rs.2,069 croresFOUNDATIONS

    Post1962war

    Post1971war I

    nternalConflicts

    Ecocrisis

    Indiashining

    Restrainin

    gfor

    c

    es

  • 8/6/2019 India - The Caged Phoenix

    8/29

    0

    10

    20

    30

    40

    50

    60

    70

    80

    90

    1947 1955 1964 1972 1975 1985 1990 1995 2007 2010 2015

    The total outlay of the 11th five year plan was worth Rs. 36,44,718 crore (1761.6 times)

    En

    ablin

    gfor

    ces

    FOUNDATIONS

    Post1962war

    Post1971war I

    nternalConflicts

    Ecocrisis

    Indiashining

    Rise and Fall of PhoenixRise and Fall of Phoenixcitizens confidence in nation-state

  • 8/6/2019 India - The Caged Phoenix

    9/29

    The restraining forcesThe restraining forces

    Social disparities Neglected social sector and poor implementation

    Lack of inclusive growth

    Corruption

    Regional and intra state developmental imbalances

    Lack of discipline and civic sense

    Political rot and absence of leadership

    Patronage and crony politics Mobocracy vs meritocracy.

  • 8/6/2019 India - The Caged Phoenix

    10/29

    Connecting the rich to the poorConnecting the rich to the poor

    Interlinked contraries slums and skyscrapers

    Vote and forget public

    5 lakh villages, Mandal surveyed only 810only 810.

    Patornising western ethnocentrism

    For a sociology and not culturology of India.

    Caste polity in villages rule of high priests Agriculture and farmer

  • 8/6/2019 India - The Caged Phoenix

    11/29

    Agricultural Subsidy (US $)

    India 66

    Japan 26,000

    USA 21,000 OECD countries 11,000

  • 8/6/2019 India - The Caged Phoenix

    12/29

    Some facts

    30% urban population; 70% semi rural and rural. 500,000 villages in 628 districts, 28 states plus 7 UTs.

    72,000 slums

    15% population in slums

    160,000 students go abroad to study US $10 b to 12 b.

    Tax payers 3 cr; population 112 cr.

    83 cr (77%) earn less than Rs 100 per day

    Intolerant mobs ever increasing public property damage

    8 Lakhs under trials; 2 lakhs convicts in jails.

    With spending capacity of Rs150 pd - you are in the middle class.With spending capacity of Rs150 pd - you are in the middle class.

  • 8/6/2019 India - The Caged Phoenix

    13/29

    Some facts Vocational training of work force India 5%, Germany 70%, Japan 80%,

    S Korea 95%.

    Engineers 112,000 per annum against US 137,000.

    Cellphones 220 millions, China - 470 million.

    6 million households (total 177 m 3.7%) own cars and jeeps. 4.5 million

    US citizens below poverty line own cars, 290,000 more than two. In US

    237.4 million registered cars.

    Thailand 27 cars per 1000, Malaysia - 147; India - 7.

    Car productions:

    GM 5.7 million in 2006. Toyota 6.8 m Ford 3.4 m Tata 0.19 million Maruti 0.744 m

    M&M 0.14 m.

  • 8/6/2019 India - The Caged Phoenix

    14/29

    Consensus of politics Acceptance of Mandal Commission.

    Parliamentary privileges, retirement benefits, travel and upkeepallowances

    Hostility towards judiciary.

    Against the eradication of undemocratic laws that curtail civilliberties.

    Supporting establishment of SEZ. Allowing NPAs.

    No initiative on judicial or police reforms.

    Lip service on higher education and collapsing public educationsystem.

    No reforms in election funding and defection. Allowing bicameral assemblies in some states.

    Allowing criminals into politics.

    Lack of willingness to prosecute political or communal murderers.

  • 8/6/2019 India - The Caged Phoenix

    15/29

    The Hindu Concept of Dirt

    How is that the Indians are so fastidiously clean but India is so dirty?? Forbes study ranks India as a dirt capital of the world.

    Mumbai and Delhi among 25 dirtiest capital cities.

    No correlation of poverty with filth.

    Washington, London or Paris were same in 1800s

    Concept of anything that touches the ground is dirty.

    Historical mystery of god-men

    Indian Holy Cow.

    Goddess to sati to female feticide

  • 8/6/2019 India - The Caged Phoenix

    16/29

    Making the Phoenix Fly

    Fundamental rethink of fundamentals.

    Multi-tiered approach, rejection of cultural otherness.

    Task of intellectual to expose and criticise and not rejoice or gloat.

    Un-organised sector 92% of the employees.

    Infrastructure and development.

    Work ethics, discipline, eradication of corruption..

    Look at China and Chinese products in every corner of the world.

    Improved efficiency and productiveness to reach that level.

  • 8/6/2019 India - The Caged Phoenix

    17/29

    Challenges Education meaningful and universal

    Health and sanitation

    Corruption

    Democracy at grass root level

    Development as agenda for the nation

    Infrastructure as agenda for the government

    Good governance

    HDI

    GDP

    World power

  • 8/6/2019 India - The Caged Phoenix

    18/29

    Sensex Movement one year

  • 8/6/2019 India - The Caged Phoenix

    19/29

    Sensex Movement 5 years

  • 8/6/2019 India - The Caged Phoenix

    20/29

    60 years to $1 tn; 10 to $3 tn

    0

    500

    1000

    1500

    2000

    2500

    3000

    1947 2000 2009 2020

    Business Today 27 Dec 2009Business Today 27 Dec 2009

  • 8/6/2019 India - The Caged Phoenix

    21/29

    Doubling of per capita income

    GDP Growth Per-capitaGDP Growth

    Years to doubleper capita GDP

    1972-82 3.5 1.2 571982-92 5.2 3.0 23

    1992-02 6.0 3.9 18

    2002-09 8.4 5.9 12

    2010-20 8.5+(?) 6.5 (?) 6 (?)

  • 8/6/2019 India - The Caged Phoenix

    22/29

    Percentage share in GDP

    Services Industry Agro andalliedactivities

    2000-01 57 20 23

    2008-09 63 20 17

    2019-20 71 17 12

  • 8/6/2019 India - The Caged Phoenix

    23/29

    Savings and consumption

    Savingsas %ge ofincome

    Privateconsu-mption

    Invest-ment

    GovtConsu-mption

    Netexports

    1959-60 10.81969-70 14

    1979-80 19.8

    1989-90 21.893-98

    55 34 12 -81999-2000 24.8 98-03 58 27 12 14

    2007-08 37.9 03-08 46 57 6 -15

  • 8/6/2019 India - The Caged Phoenix

    24/29

    Demographic Dividends

    Share of working population

    50

    52

    54

    56

    58

    60

    62

    64

    66

    68

    2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 2045 2050

    India

    China

    G6

  • 8/6/2019 India - The Caged Phoenix

    25/29

    The enabling forces

    Demography from a burden to strength

    1991 IMF advised us and arm-twisted

    2009 RBI and GOI advised IMF.

    World economy Jul-Sep negative growth, India 7.9%.

    From being market driven companies to driving the markets (KM Birla).

    Trade as %ge of GDP by 2009 40%.

    Share in new jobs in the world economy during 2005-20 30%, (China

    14% and US 3%).

    Social spending 1992 (8,500cr to 1,00,000 cr in 2010)

  • 8/6/2019 India - The Caged Phoenix

    26/29

    Signs that the Phoenix will fly

    Social orientation through inclusive growth plans. No terrorist strike after 26/11.

    Global Inc. recognises the potential.

    Seat on all high tables G8, G77, COP15, ASEAN, ARF, IORC, P5,Eco Summits.

    BASIC or BRIC lead.

    Indian multi-nationals.

    Ring of fire getting roasted in own fire.

    Extremely high confidence level

    Twitter and young politicians change.. Initiative by civil society.

    Blaring medianasty but useful.

    Increasing transparency

  • 8/6/2019 India - The Caged Phoenix

    27/29

    Flat WorldFlat World The business world has been flattened by globalization, changing

    demographics, ubiquity of technology, and regulatory compliance.

    Conducting business in this level playing field requires a change in

    mindset, strategies and operations.

    To harness the opportunities of the Flat World, companies must

    address four shifts

    Optimize Cost to Fuel Growth

    Think Faster Innovation

    Think Money from Information

    Think Winning in the Turns.

  • 8/6/2019 India - The Caged Phoenix

    28/29

    Infosys Tomorrows Global Company

    The survival and success of tomorrows global

    company is bound integrally to the health of a

    complex global system composed of three

    interdependent sub-systems the natural

    environment, the social and political system,

    and the global economy. Global companies

    play a role in all three and they require all threeto flourish.

    http://images.google.co.in/imgres?imgurl=http://inobscuro.com/portfolio/digital/phoenix.jpg&imgrefurl=http://inobscuro.com/gallery/phoenix-74/&usg=__5B-uOmb4rfcl4TJoqtjV86TJVrI=&h=900&w=600&sz=157&hl=en&start=4&um=1&itbs=1&tbnid=ljcaNnCAi6d2JM:&tbnh=146&tbnw=97&prev=/images%3Fq%3Dphoenix%26hl%3Den%26rlz%3D1T4GTKR_enIN317IN318%26sa%3DN%26um%3D1
  • 8/6/2019 India - The Caged Phoenix

    29/29

    http://images.google.co.in/imgres?imgurl=http://inobscuro.com/portfolio/digital/phoenix.jpg&imgrefurl=http://inobscuro.com/gallery/phoenix-74/&usg=__5B-uOmb4rfcl4TJoqtjV86TJVrI=&h=900&w=600&sz=157&hl=en&start=4&um=1&itbs=1&tbnid=ljcaNnCAi6d2JM:&tbnh=146&tbnw=97&prev=/images%3Fq%3Dphoenix%26hl%3Den%26rlz%3D1T4GTKR_enIN317IN318%26sa%3DN%26um%3D1