information group conference 2008 - greenwich cphc information group research activity professor...
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![Page 1: Information Group Conference 2008 - Greenwich CPHC Information Group Research Activity Professor Lachlan MacKinnon, Head of School of Computing & Creative](https://reader036.vdocument.in/reader036/viewer/2022083009/5697bf8a1a28abf838c8aa92/html5/thumbnails/1.jpg)
Information Group
Conference 2008 - Greenwich
CPHC Information Group
Research Activity
Professor Lachlan MacKinnon,
Head of School of Computing & Creative Technologies
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Information Group
Conference 2008 - Greenwich
• Background– CPHC previously employed a researcher,
Anna Round, under Information Group:• Investigated school pupil attitudes to studying
Computing at school and at University, and attitudes to Computing as a career
• Set against declining student numbers in HE Computing
• Reported at CPHC Conference in Glasgow in 2006• Provided basis for dialogue with Bill Rammell,
Minister for Lifelong Learning, Further and Higher Education
• Report available on CPHC website
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Information Group
Conference 2008 - Greenwich
• Outcome of previous research– Meeting with Bill Rammell:
• Numbers decline challenged as a problem• Substantial growth in numbers 1996-2001 cited as
basis • Computing still 6th most popular subject• CPHC statistics did not show industry shortfall
– CPHC response:• Anna Round finalised research and moved to new
role• Keith Mander, then Chair of CPHC, undertook to
develop further statistics from UCAS/HESA reports• e-Skills and Microsoft reports backed CPHC position
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Information Group
Conference 2008 - Greenwich
• Role for Information Group 2007– New Chair, Anne de Roeck, identified
mandate for Information Group • Develop responses on public consultations of
relevance to CPHC, in concert with BCS and UKCRC
• Develop information resources to support CPHC activities, particularly in lobbying government and funding agencies
• Commission and coordinate research to link together existing activities by e-Skills, industry and public agencies.
• Identify and, where possible, populate gaps in existing research relative to CPHC agenda.
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Information Group
Conference 2008 - Greenwich
• Information Group Activities– Team has responded, as required, in public
consultations– Two major pieces of work during the year:
• Briefing note on the UK ICT Industry Skills and Jobs Crisis - authored by Lachlan MacKinnon and Liz Bacon
• A Study on the IT Labour Market in the UK - a report by Research Insights, commissioned by CPHC through BCS, coordinated by Lachlan MacKinnon and Liz Bacon
• Briefing note circulated to members and available on CPHC website. Research Insights report currently being finalised, will appear on website in due course.
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Information Group
Conference 2008 - Greenwich
• Briefing note:– Pulled together existing research to highlight
continuing problem of declining student numbers• Used existing research from e-Skills, Microsoft, the
Leitch and Lambert Reviews• Highlighted concerns about shortage of graduates
to meet growing industry requirements, especially in technically skilled posts to support “Knowledge Economy”
• Production of the briefing note highlighted wide discrepancy in reported figures, inconsistencies and gaps in the data available and need to produce some verifiable information to support CPHC position.
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Information Group
Conference 2008 - Greenwich
• Research Insights report:– Commissioned late December 2007 to consider:
• Computing graduates passing out from UK Higher Education Institutes (HEIs)
• Destination of Computing graduates passing out from UK HEIs
– Graduates working in the IT industry– Graduates working in the non-IT industry– Destination of graduates after passing out from UK HEIs
• IT skills gap and immigration as a result of the skills gap• To confirm whether there has been a decline in the
Computing departments in UK HEIs– Decline in academic staff numbers– Relabeling of jobs in Computing departments– Changes in staff and non-staff budgets– Erosion of infrastructure in Computing departments
– Report just being completed, and will be available to members
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Information Group
Conference 2008 - Greenwich
• Headlines from Report:– At a time when the number of Higher Education students and
graduations for “All Subjects” is at a record high, Higher Education Computing student numbers and graduations are falling.
• Students: HE Computing students fell by 22.3% from 2003-04 to 2006-07 (from 137,650 down to 106,910), and are now at their lowest level since 2001.
– Over the same period “All subject” student numbers increased by 5.1% (from 2,247,440 to 2,362,815)
• Graduations: HE Computing graduations fell by 16.5% from 2004-05 to 2006-07 (from 37,445 down to 31,270), and are now at their lowest level since 2002.
– Over the same period “All subject” graduations increased by 2.8% (from 633,045 to 651,060)
– An even larger decline can be seen in the number of pupils studying A-Level Computing courses (down 46.8% since 2003). This will contribute to a continuing decline in future applications for Higher Education Computing courses.
• The number of pupils studying Computing at A-Level has fallen every year since an all time high in 2003 (down 48.6% from 10,913 to 5,610).
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Information Group
Conference 2008 - Greenwich
• Headlines (cont.)• Without significant intervention, the fall in the annual number of
Computing graduates will continue for the next 3 years at least.• The number of UCAS applications and acceptances for Computing
courses has fallen for the last 6 years (2001 was the high point ; 2007 is the current low point). This will result in a fall in the annual number of students graduating until at least 2010.
• Long term change is only possible if a major initiative is launched to increase Higher Education Computing student numbers.
• Higher Education qualifications are of fundamental importance to employment in the IT labour market.
• In 2004, 54% of IT professionals had a degree, and 39% of IT professionals with a degree had a Computing degree.
• The IT labour market is set to grow by 163,000 from 2007 to 2016 (from 1,069,000 up to 1,232,000).
• Continuing demand for staff in the IT labour market across a wide range of roles is leading to a net growth in the number employed
• The single largest area of growth will be amongst Software Professionals, a role for which a high degree of technical knowledge, capability and training is required.
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Information Group
Conference 2008 - Greenwich
26,132
22,654
17,964 17,39615,535 15,258
29,47726,135
23,54120,139
17,81615,537
0
10,000
20,000
30,000
1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007Year
Total Applicants
Applicants for Computing Acceptances for Computing
UCAS Undergraduate Applicants & Acceptances for Computing Courses 1996-2007
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Information Group
Conference 2008 - Greenwich
4.27% 3.33% 2.12% 1.14%
9.12% 7.57%
20.60%
7.20%
13.26%
0.57%
7.23%
4.79%1.78%2.54%
2.70%
-4.63%-8.48%
-11.02%-15%
-10%
-5%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
1998-99 1999-00 2000–01 2001–02 2002–03 2003–04 2004–05 2005–06 2006-07
Percentage change
All Subjects Computing
Year-on-year Change in HE Student Numbers (1998-99 to 2006–07) sourced from HESA
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Information Group
Conference 2008 - Greenwich
3.39%1.23% 1.59%
6.96%9.83%
16.61%14.99%
17.94%
9.77%
6.96%9.59%
2.98%6.79%
6.28%
2.25% 1.64%
-9.19% -8.04%-15%
-10%
-5%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
1998-99 1999-00 2000–01 2001–02 2002–03 2003–04 2004–05 2005–06 2006-07
Percentage Changes
All Subjects Computing
Year-on-year Change in HE Qualifications (1998-99 to 2006-07) - sourced from HESA
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Information Group
Conference 2008 - Greenwich
IT and Telecom Professionals in the IT labour market by Occupation 2007–16
NUMBER OF PROFESSIONALS IT ROLES
2007 2016 E
GROWTH IN POPULATION 2007-2016
Software Professionals 317,000 403,000 +86,000 ICT Managers 286,000 324,000 +38,000
IT Strategy & Planning 140,000 176,000 +36,000 IT Operations Technicians 125,000 134,000 +9,000
IT User Support 48,000 51,000 +3,000 Computer Engineers 37,000 35,000 -2,000
Others 116,000 109,000 -7,000
Total 1,069,000 1,232,000 +163,000 Percentage of degree-qualified IT Professionals with Computing Qualifications (2006)
IT ROLES % OF PROFESSIONALS WITH COMPUTING DEGREE
Software Professionals 46% IT Strategy/Planning Staff 44% Operation Technicians 38% ICT Managers 28%
Total Workforce 39%
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Information Group
Conference 2008 - Greenwich• A substantial number of IT labour market appointments are made each
year.• 179,800 appointments are made each year in the IT labour market, the
majority (78.5%; 141,300) of which will go to “new entrants” (people who are not currently in the IT labour market).
• Of this annual requirement of 141,300, 26,800 will be joining direct from university. Only a proportion of this 26,800 will be Computing graduates.
• A decline in the number of Computing graduates will result in fewer “new entrants” from Higher Education having the necessary deep-based technical skills.
• The worst skill gap in the IT labour market relates to technical skills.• 38% of IT Managers have a technical skill gap, as do 12% of Networking
Staff, 10% of Programmers, and 10% of PC Support Staff.• It is crucial to understand that technical staff and managers are the two areas
where the largest employment growth will take place over the coming years.• A technical skill gap amongst such people is a serious problem.• A major initiative/focus is needed to resolve this technical skill gap
• Other skill gaps exist, especially amongst IT Managers.• 23% of IT Managers have a business skills gap, 22% have an interpersonal
skills gap, and 22% have an “other” (undefined) skills gap.• By contrast, the level of business skills gap and interpersonal skills gap
amongst other IT roles is small (less than 10%).
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Information Group
Conference 2008 - Greenwich
Annual Average Job Appointments in the UK IT labour market (2008-2012 Estimates)
M o v i n g w i t h i n
t h e I T
i n d u s t r y ,
3 8 , 6 0 0
" N e w
e n t r a n t s "
n e e d e d ,
1 4 1 , 3 0 0
Report on Technology Counts IT and Telecom Insights 2008 (e-skill s UK)
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Information Group
Conference 2008 - Greenwich
Source of 141,300 Annual “New Entrants” to the UK IT labour market
4 3 , 6 0 0 ( 3 1 % )
f r o m O t h e r
S o u r c e s
2 6 , 8 0 0 ( 1 9 % )
d i r e c t f r o m
H E
7 0 , 9 0 0 ( 5 0 % )
f r o m N o n -
I T / I C T R o l e s
Source: Report on Technology Counts IT and Telecom Insights 2008 (e-skills UK)
Based on 2008-2012 estimates
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Information Group
Conference 2008 - Greenwich
38
10 1012
23
63
6
22
69
0
22
3 30
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
IT Management Programmers PC Support Staff Networking Staff
% With Skill Gap
Technical Skills Gap Business Skills Gap Interpersonal Skills Gap Other Skills Gap
Skill Gap by IT Role - e-Skills 2008
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Information Group
Conference 2008 - Greenwich
• Conclusions:– Decline is real, figures have now reversed growth
of 1996-2001 and are equivalent to mid to late 90s– IT job market is growing significantly, and the
requirement for technically-skilled staff in particular
– Destinations data shows that around half of IT graduates go into the industry, but we need more data to confirm this
– Attempts to define impact on HE sector have not generated usable results, we need to address this.
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Information Group
Conference 2008 - Greenwich
– Now need to move forward to rejoin the dialogue with government and funding bodies
– The question on what interventions might be undertaken could be informed by an EU report on dealing with the skills crisis in the IT sector from 1999-2000
Policies to Mitigate the IT Skills Shortages skill requirement SHORT-TERM DEMAND LONG-TERM DEMAND
Highly-skilled IT Personnel
Immigration / offshoring to non-EU countries with a highly qualified labour force
Increased output of tertiary education
Medium-skilled IT Personnel
Immigration, off-shoring, training and retention activities
Increased output of secondary education
Low-skilled IT Personnel
Training and re-qualification activities Increased computer and Internet literacy in primary and secondary education
Source: http://ec.europa.eu/enterprise/enterprise_policy/competitiveness/doc/competitiveness_report_2001/chapter_3_annex_1.pdf
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Information Group
Conference 2008 - Greenwich
Questions????