Initial Analysis

Geo-Political Status

PRC integratesinto WTO

2001 2012 2015 2015

PRC - Taiwan Treaty

PRC claims Hegemony

PLA reinforces presenceon Spratly Islands

ASEAN nations, Australia& US

condemn actions

US/PI CommonDefense Treaty

2010 2016

PI Helicopter launches missileOn PRC DD

2016 +2mos

PRC invadesKepulalian Netuna

PRC disregards territorial waters of PI, Malaysia and Indonesia

PLA Navy quarantinesPuerto Princesa

PRC calls for treaty with PI and Indonesia

30 days to respond

PRC threatens to invadePalawan if ASEAN reacts

UN sanctions resolutionvetoed by SC

2016 +3mos 1day

PRC invades Palawan

PLA quarantine of Palawan

US NCA directs SECDEF/COMPAC

to form CJTF

Philippines Indonesia

Australia

Singapore

Campaign Objectives1st: Deter Chinese aggression and protect Philippine and

Indonesia sovereignty2nd: Re-establish Philippine sovereignty over Palawan

Two Expeditionary Strike Groups forward deployed in Japan

2 x 80K ton EXWAR ships 2 x LPD-175 x LCS 2 x CG 3 x DDG (non TBMD)*All other US forces have been withdrawn to the US to create additional expeditionary strike groups

NO STRIKES ON CHINA OR TAIWAN MAINLANDS WILL BE AUTHORIZED BY THE NCA

Isolate, Interrogate, Sustain

Initial Ops