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Investor Presentation September 2017

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  • Investor Presentation

    September 2017

  • Content

    A Snapshot of Mexico & PEMEX

    Upstream

    Midstream & Downstream

    Overall Financial Performance

    Business Outlook

    1

    1

  • Mexico Snapshot

    0

    3

    6

    9

    12

    15

    18

    2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

    GDP per Capita, PPP USD thousand

    Brazil

    Chile

    Colombia

    Mexico

    Peru

    LATAM

    0

    2

    4

    6

    8

    10

    12

    14

    2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

    Unemployment% of total labor force

    Brazil

    Chile

    Colombia

    Mexico

    Peru

    LATAM0

    2

    4

    6

    8

    10

    2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

    Inflation%

    Brazil

    Chile

    Colombia

    Mexico

    Peru

    LATAM

    • Today, Mexico’s fundamentals are stronger, allowing to face external shocks in a better

    position

    Source : The World Bank 2

    0

    100

    200

    300

    400

    500

    600

    700

    2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

    Exports of Goods and Services USD Billion

    Brazil

    Chile

    Colombia

    México

    Peru

    LATAM

    1,400

    1,300

    1,200

  • O&G: The Industry Moving the World• According to the IEA, by 2040, crude oil demand is expected to grow 6% up to 103

    MMbd, while natural gas consumption increases by 50%

    31 Btoe: billion tons of oil equivalent

    2 Includes geothermal, solar, wind, heat and electricity trade.

    Source : Key world energy statistics & World Energy Outlook 2016, International Energy Agency,

    55%

    12%

    12%

    21%

    O&G

    Coal

    Biofuels and waste

    Other

    World energy

    consumption 2014

    100% = 9.4 Btoe2

    2

    9.4

    0.0

    1.0

    2.0

    3.0

    4.0

    5.0

    6.0

    7.0

    8.0

    9.0

    10.0

    O&G Coal Biofuels andwaste

    Other Fuels 2014Total

    Consumption

    Btoe

    Industry Transport Other uses Non-energy use

    2

  • PEMEX: The Most Important Company in Mexico

    4

    8th Crude oil producer

    98th largest company2

    7th Trading company in the world

    Main producer of oil, gas and

    refined products in Mexico

    14th Refining company worldwide

    Holder of 95% of the country's

    1P reserves

    Key player in hydrocarbons

    logistics infrastructure

    More than 40,000 km of pipelines

    15th Logistics company in the world

    by assets

    Largest Tax Contributor

    MXN 1.6 billion annual revenues1

    8th Drilling company

    5th Producer of petrochemicals in

    Mexico

    1st Producer of phosphates in LATAM

    9 Gas Processing Complexes

    74 Storage and distribution terminals

    Close to 1,500 tank trucks

    16 Ships with transportation capacity

    of 4,618 Mb

    1 Last five years average.

    2 Source: Fortune 500 ranking.

    258 Operating platforms

    9,000 Wells

  • Distribution of PEMEX’s Reserves1

    5

    Basin

    ReservesProspective

    Resources2

    1P

    (90%)

    2P

    (50%)

    3P

    (10%)Conv.

    Non

    Conv.

    Southeastern 7.2 11.1 14.5 11.6

    Tampico

    Misantla1.0 3.4 6.0 3.3

    Burgos 0.2 0.3 0.4 1.5

    Veracruz 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.6

    Sabinas 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4

    Deepwater 0.1 0.2 1.1 6.0

    Total PEMEX 8.6 15.1 22.1 18.2 5.2

    MMMboe (billion barrels of oil equivalent)

    Exploration

    Projects

    Development and

    Exploitation

    Projects

    1 As of January 1, 2017. Numbers may not total due to rounding.

    2 Prospective resources assigned to PEMEX in Round Zero

    Oil and Gas

    Gas

    Veracruz

    Tampico-

    Misantla

    BurgosSabinas

    Gulf of Mexico

    Deep Sea

    Exploration

    Yucatan

    Platform

    Southeastern

    3 As of January 1, 2017. 1P includes discoveries, developments, revisions and delineations.3P replacement

    rate only considers new discoveries. Reflects reserve replacements conducted by PEMEX.

    PEMEX holds 95% of Mexico’s hydrocarbon reserves

  • Environmentally Conscious and Socially Responsible Company

    6

    • We strive to minimize the impact of our operations to the environment and to

    maximize the benefits that a sustainable operation brings

    SocialEnvironmental

    Water

    Residues

    Emissions

    Communities

    Social investment

    Environmental

    impact studies

    Economic

    Sustainable development framework

    Biodiversity

    conservationHuman Rights

    Sustainable value

    chain

    Project analysis

    Sustainable

    investment

  • Key Highlights / First Half-Year Recap

    7

    Trion block through a farm-out with BHP

    Billiton

    Consortium formed by PEMEX, Chevron and

    Inpex was awarded Block 3 North in deep

    waters of the Gulf of Mexico

    Joint venture with Air Liquide for the supply of

    hydrogen to our Tula refinery

    Migration process without a partner of the

    fields Ek and Balam in shallow waters

    PEMEX was awarded two blocks in shallow

    waters through consortia with DEA and

    Ecopetrol

    The first open season was awarded to Tesoro

  • Key Highlights 2Q17

    8

    Crude oil production remains stable: it

    averaged 2,013 Mbd

    Gas flaring recorded its best performance in

    3 years: 4.1%

    Positive net result of 121 billion pesos as of

    first half 2017

    Crude oil processing remains in line with

    1Q17

    Third consecutive quarter with positive net

    results

  • Content

    A Snapshot of Mexico & PEMEX

    Upstream

    Midstream & Downstream

    Overall Financial Performance

    Business Outlook

    9

    2

  • Upstream: Current Status and Challenges

    1010

    0

    50

    100

    150

    200

    250

    300

    350

    -

    500

    1,000

    1,500

    2,000

    2,500

    3,000

    3,500

    2004

    2005

    2006

    2007

    2008

    2009

    2010

    2011

    2012

    2013

    2014

    2015

    2016

    1Q

    17

    MXN bnMbd

    Other assets Ku-Maloob-Zaap Cantarell E&P Investment

    Crude Oil Production

    • PEMEX continues to be a main player in the O&G industry

    • The challenge has been replacing Cantarell, a giant field that produced by itself 2 MMbd,

    to stabilize and eventually increase production

    1 Includes non-capitalized maintenance.

    Source: PEMEX 2017

    1

    -38%

    +46%

  • Industry Cost Leader

    5.2 6.1 6.87.9 8.2 6.7 5.5

    2.72.3

    2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016Production cost before taxes Taxes and Duties

    Production Costsa,b

    (USD / boe)

    2016 Benchmarking: Production Costs1

    (USD / boe)

    5.00

    6.14

    7.78

    8.46

    9.89

    10.92

    12.00

    12.55

    13.15

    16.27

    Statoil

    Total S.A.

    PEMEX

    BP

    Exxon Mobil

    Royal Dutch / Shell

    Connoco Phillips

    Eni S.P.A.

    Chevron-Texaco

    Petrobras

    11

    9.47.8

    • The development of exploitation strategies focused on shallow waters has allowed PEMEX to

    maintain very competitive production costs, as compared to most of its peers in the oil and gas

    industry.

    • Lower production costs provide greater flexibility, especially under lower crude oil price scenarios.

    a) Figures in nominal values.

    b) Source: 20-F Form (2016, 2014

    & 2012).

    1. Source: Annual Reports

    and SEC Reports 2016.

  • Upstream: New Production Frontiers

    12

    Deepwater Infrastructure1 Shale Potential2

    1 Source: National Geographic

    2 Source: CNH with information from North Dakota Department of Mineral Resources, Oklahoma Geological Survey, Texas Railroad

    Commission, Bureau of Ocean Energy Management, Oil & Gas Journal

    • Underinvestment and reduced access to know-how has limited intensive exploitation of

    new complex frontiers to stabilize and increase production

  • Upstream: Business Plan

    • Concentrates on assignments that are profitable after taxes

    Business Plan

    Scenario

    13

    • Aggressive farm-out program

    • Development of fields that are profitable for the country and which, under similar fiscal conditions than privates, are profitable for PEMEX after taxes

    • Incremental income from farm-out production is shared between PEMEX and the Federal Government

    Improved Scenario

    1313

    • With profitability as its ultimate goal, the Business Plan contemplates increased production

    and investment through different business schemes such as JVs and farm-outs to

    maintain and gradually increase the production platform.

    2,6

    01

    2,5

    77

    2,5

    33

    2,5

    48

    2,5

    22

    2,4

    29

    2,2

    67

    2,1

    54

    1,9

    44

    1,9

    51

    1,9

    82

    2,0

    17

    2,1

    41

    19

    5

    25

    7

    26

    7

    31

    6

    0

    500

    1,000

    1,500

    2,000

    2,500

    200

    9

    201

    0

    201

    1

    201

    2

    201

    3

    201

    4

    201

    5

    201

    6

    201

    7

    201

    8

    201

    9

    202

    0

    202

    1

    Crude Oil Production* Mbd PEMEX

    production

    * Includes PEMEX’s production -estimations sent to the Ministry of Finance on September 2017- and others -as considered in the Business

    Plan published in November 2016.

  • Upstream: Recent Developments (Trion & Block 3)

    Trion

    Trion Blocks awarded in Round 1.4

    Exploratus

    Maximino

    Great White

    Matamoros

    179 Km

    28

    Km

    2

    1

    1

    3

    4

    • BHP Billiton will invest up to USD 1.9 billion

    before PEMEX makes additional

    contributions

    • Joint operating agreement was signed on

    March 3, 2017

    • PEMEX expects to invest USD 600 million by

    the time initial production is achieved

    Block 3

    North

    PEMEX’s Assignments

    Trión Farm-Out

    Round 1.4 Deep Waters

    Oil and Gas Field

    3D Seismic

    Perdido Fold Belt – Block 3

    • Joint Venture with Chevron and Inpex

    • The contract considers 3,374 work units, equivalent

    to USD 3.4 million

    • No wells were committed for this contract

    • Contract was signed on February 28, 2017

    14

  • Upstream: Upcoming Developments

    Ayín-Batsil

    Ek-Balam

    Ogarrio & Cárdenas-Mora

    San

    Ramón &

    Basilio

    151 Exploration and Extraction Integrated Service Contracts.

    • PEMEX will focus on the development of projects through joint ventures and migrations to

    share risks, obtain technology, know-how and improvements within the upstream division

    Farm-outs (Round 2)

    • Ogarrio, Cárdenas-Mora &

    Ayín-Batsil

    Board of Directors approves

    second deep-water farm-out

    • Maximino-Nobilis

    Migrations without a partner

    • Ek-Balam

    May 2, 2017

    • Future case-by-case analysis

    CSIEE1

    • Advanced model contract

    • San Ramón and Blasillo to

    be signed during the 2H17

    TrionMaximino-

    Nobilis

  • Content

    A Snapshot of Mexico & PEMEX

    Upstream

    Midstream & Downstream

    Overall Financial Performance

    Business Outlook

    16

    3

  • 99

    90

    90

    70

    60

    3

    2

    France

    USA

    China

    Japan

    South Africa

    India

    Mexico

    Iran

    Midstream: Investment Opportunities

    171 Source: Strategy, PwC 2017

    2 Source: http://pipeline101.com/where-are-pipelines-located

    3 Source: EIA 2017

    • Further gasoline storage capacity and pipelines are required in Mexico. The U.S. has 27

    times more infrastructure to supply fuel and 45 times more storage terminals than Mexico

    Gasoline Storage Days by Country1

    2016

    Pipelines in the United States2 and in Mexico3

    2016

  • Downstream: Current Status and Challenges

    18

    • The challenge is to reverse the economic and operational losses of close to MXN 100

    billion

    Achievements

    • Hydrogen supply JV with Air Liquide

    Future Projects

    • Hydrogen supply JVs for Madero and Cadereyta refineries

    77.7 76.9 76.971.0 68.6 66.1

    61.7

    51.645.9 47.7

    30

    40

    50

    60

    70

    80

    90

    20042006200820102012201420152016 Jan Feb

    Equivalent Distillation Capacity Usage%

    International reference (1Q) International reference (4Q)

    2017

    5.7 4.2 3.4

    9.212.2 10.7 10.1 11.2

    12.7

    26.3

    31.0 29.9

    0

    5

    10

    15

    20

    25

    30

    35

    2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Jan Feb

    Non-Scheduled Shutdowns Index%

    International reference (goal)

    2017

  • 49.2

    41.9

    36.211

    -108.9

    29.4

    -120

    -80

    -40

    0

    40

    Impact of the Strategic Initiatives on the Financial Balance1 until 2025

    (MXN billion in cash flow)

    Midstream & Downstream: Business Plan

    19

    Financial

    Balance

    2025

    (Equivalent to

    -96.3 in 2017)

    Partnerships

    Safe and reliable

    operations

    Acknowledgment

    and efficiency in

    transportation

    costs

    Stolen

    ProductResult

    Business Plan scenario

    PEMEX Industrial Transformation

    • Partnerships in operation of auxiliary activities

    and revamps of refineries

    • Operational discipline and reliability

    • Timely attention to risk factors

    • Cost efficiency and gradual acknowledgment

    of opportunity costs in transportation prices

    • Pipeline custody

    • Illicit markets

    PEMEX Logistics

    • Open season

    • Concentrates on

    profitable business lines

    • Underinvestment, supply mandates and cost recognition are being and will continue to be

    addressed in the upcoming years to reverse the accumulated losses in the midstream and

    downstream divisions

    1 The financial balance considers the result from subtracting total expenses (including financing costs) from total

    revenues.

  • Midstream & Downstream: Upcoming Developments

    2

    3

    45

    20

    • The Mexican fuels market is moving towards an open, competitive and market-driven price

    structure

    • Pemex Logistics is offering its non-used storage and distribution capacity to third-parties,

    which will yield additional revenues

    PEMEX auctioned

    20% of its capacity in

    Baja California and

    Sonora, at fees 10%

    above the minimum

    required

    1

  • Content

    A Snapshot of Mexico & PEMEX

    Upstream

    Midstream & Downstream

    Overall Financial Performance

    Business Outlook

    21

    4

  • Positive Trend

    -20,000

    -10,000

    0

    10,000

    20,000

    1Q

    12

    4Q

    12

    3Q

    13

    2Q

    14

    1Q

    15

    4Q

    15

    3Q

    16

    2Q

    17

    Operating IncomeUSD million

    -12,000

    -7,000

    -2,000

    3,000

    1Q

    12

    4Q

    12

    3Q

    13

    2Q

    14

    1Q

    15

    4Q

    15

    3Q

    16

    2Q

    17

    Net ResultUSD million

    22

    • During 2016 operating losses were turned into income, net result was improved by 58%

    and the liquidity position was substantially improved. Debt’s maturity profile was extended

    to 7.3 years.

    Average Debt’s Maturity

    Years

    5.0

    5.5

    6.0

    6.5

    7.0

    7.5

    8.0

    dic

    -11

    jun-1

    2

    dic

    -12

    jun-1

    3

    dic

    -13

    jun-1

    4

    dic

    -14

    jun-1

    5

    dic

    -15

    jun-1

    6

    dic

    -16

    jun-1

    7

    7.22

  • Net Indebtedness Trend

    Note: All numbers in billion pesos; exchange rate: 18.6 pesos per dollar

    Debt ceiling for 2018 pending approval 23

    2017 Debt ceiling: 150 bn

    pesos (≈8 bn dollars)

    Financing needs for the year:

    94 bn pesos (≈5 bn dollars)

    • Any additional transaction throughout the year would be aimed to term-out

    PEMEX’s maturity profile or substitute bank financing.

    Since 2016, financial deficit

    has decreased. In addition,

    net indebtedness for 2017 is

    substantially lower than

    previous years, confirming the

    trend stated in our Business

    Plan

    132 147

    102 94 89

    223

    195

    240

    150 142

    0

    50

    100

    150

    200

    250

    2014 2015 2016 2017 2018*

    Financial Deficit Available Debt Ceiling

    Bill

    ion P

    esos

  • 24

    Diversified Debt Structure

    By Currency By Interest Rate By InstrumentBy Currency

    Exposure

    66%

    14%

    3%

    0%2%

    13%

    1%

    Dollar Euros

    UDIS British Pounds

    Yens Pesos

    Swiss Francs

    82%

    18%

    Fixed Floating

    71%

    12%

    4%

    5% 4% 2%

    Int. Bonds

    Cebures

    ECAs

    Int. Bank Loans

    Domestic Bank Loans

    Others

    83%

    1%1%

    15%

    Dollar Yen

    UDIS Pesos

    • PEMEX’s portfolio strategy has prioritized the development of new sources of financing to

    diversify its investor base and currencies

    • To reduce external impacts, the company has chosen a hedging strategy that matches its

    U.S. dollar-based income structure

    Note: As of June 30, 2017. Sums may not total due to rounding.

  • Credit Rating Agencies recognize PEMEX’s strategic importance for Mexico

    25Source: PEMEX.

    Full Rating Reports are available at http://www.pemex.com/en/investors/debt/Paginas/credit-ratings.aspx

    2017 PEMEX annual rating revisions highlight:

    Key energy

    supplier

    Close linkage to

    Mexican

    Government &

    fiscal relevance

    Stable finances

    Expectation of

    improved

    profitability

    due to the

    Energy Reform

    Rating Agency Last Revision Global Scale Outlook National Scale

    Fitch August 2017 BBB+ Stable AAA(mex)

    S&P August 2017 BBB+ Stable mxAAA

    Moody’s April 2017 Baa3 Negative Aa3.mx

    R&I April 2017 BBB+ Stable N.A.

    HR Ratings September 2017 HR A- (G) Stable HR AAA

  • Markets respond positively to PEMEX’s strategy

    26

    PEMEX’s efforts and business strategy have yielded tangible results, as shown in

    the spread between PEMEX’s 10Y benchmark and both Mexico’s UMS 10Y and

    US Treasury.

    Source: Bloomberg

  • Investment Considerations

    27

    Today

    Financial

    Balance

    2020-2021

    Strategic company in Mexico and worldwide

    Production goals met

    Net result improved by

    MXN 266bn in 1H17

    Energy Reform: historic

    opportunity

    Business Plan focus:

    Profitability

    2016: Stable finances

    2017: Inflection point

    & attractive investment

    opportunities

    • The joint efforts have finally begun to bear fruit and to reflect in the results of the year.

    PEMEX has now stable finances, with positive trends, however, there is still room for

    improvement.

    • As a result of the implementation of a Business Plan focused on profitability, the

    administration has very clear what will be the next steps taken to achieve financial

    equilibrium. PEMEX reiterates its commitment to prioritize profitability and sustainability.

  • Content

    A Snapshot of Mexico & PEMEX

    Upstream

    Midstream & Downstream

    Overall Financial Performance

    Business Outlook

    28

    5

  • Financial Outlook: Scenarios with Realistic Premises

    29

    2017 marks an inflection point:

    • Primary Surplus (first time since 2012): 8.4 billion pesos

    • Attainable Production Platform: 1.944 million barrels per day

    • Conservative Price Projection:42 dollars per barrel

    In 2016 PEMEX exceeded its financial cash flow and production goal

    Financial Cash Flow(Billion pesos)

    5558

    5960

    61

    4246

    5557

    56

    48

    56

    68

    71 71

    40

    45

    50

    55

    60

    65

    70

    75

    2017 2018 2019 2020 2021

    Price of Oil(Dollars per Barrel)

    BRENT Futuros Pemex Petrobras

    Source: Bloomberg, Petrobras and PEMEX

    -32

    -58-40-49

    -36

    -133-147

    -102-89

    -64

    -1

    43-35

    3

    92

    145

    -200

    -150

    -100

    -50

    0

    50

    100

    150

    200

    200

    9

    201

    0

    201

    1

    201

    2

    201

    3

    201

    4

    201

    5

    201

    6

    201

    7

    201

    8

    201

    9

    202

    0

    202

    1

    Bill

    ion

    pe

    sos

    Business Plan Improved

    2,6

    01

    2,5

    77

    2,5

    53

    2,5

    48

    2,5

    22

    2,4

    29

    2,2

    67

    2,1

    30

    1,9

    44

    1,9

    51

    2,0

    37

    2,0

    72

    2,1

    92

    0

    500

    1,000

    1,500

    2,000

    2,500

    3,000

    20

    09

    20

    10

    20

    11

    20

    12

    20

    13

    20

    14

    20

    15

    20

    16

    20

    17

    20

    18

    20

    19

    20

    20

    20

    21

    Tho

    usa

    nd

    s o

    f b

    arre

    ls p

    er

    day

    Oil Production*(Thousands of barrels per day)

    Business Plan Actual Improved

    * Business Plan published in November 2016, with

    information up to October 2016

  • Investor Relations

    (+52 55) 1944-9700

    [email protected]

    www.pemex.com/en/investors