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ISLMBP Applications ISLMBP Applications to EMU Economics to EMU Economics

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Page 1: ISLMBP Applications to EMU Economics. ISLMBP Applications to EMU Economics 1) Fixed Exchange Rates, Fiscal Policy, Low Capital Mobility 2) Fixed Exchange

ISLMBP Applications ISLMBP Applications to EMU Economicsto EMU Economics

Page 2: ISLMBP Applications to EMU Economics. ISLMBP Applications to EMU Economics 1) Fixed Exchange Rates, Fiscal Policy, Low Capital Mobility 2) Fixed Exchange

ISLMBP Applications to EMU EconomicsISLMBP Applications to EMU Economics

• 1) Fixed Exchange Rates, Fiscal Policy,

Low Capital Mobility

• 2) Fixed Exchange Rates, Fiscal Policy, High Capital Mobility

• 3) Fixed Exchange Rates, Monetary Policy, Low Capital Mobility

• 4) Fixed Exchange Rates, Monetary Policy, High Capital Mobility

• 1) Fixed Exchange Rates, Fiscal Policy,

Low Capital Mobility

• 2) Fixed Exchange Rates, Fiscal Policy, High Capital Mobility

• 3) Fixed Exchange Rates, Monetary Policy, Low Capital Mobility

• 4) Fixed Exchange Rates, Monetary Policy, High Capital Mobility

Page 3: ISLMBP Applications to EMU Economics. ISLMBP Applications to EMU Economics 1) Fixed Exchange Rates, Fiscal Policy, Low Capital Mobility 2) Fixed Exchange

ISLMBP Applications to EMU EconomicsISLMBP Applications to EMU Economics

• 5) Flexible Exchange Rates, Fiscal Policy, Low Capital Mobility

• 6) Flexible Exchange Rates, Fiscal Policy, High Capital Mobility

• 7) Flexible Exchange Rates, Monetary Policy, High Capital Mobility

• 5) Flexible Exchange Rates, Fiscal Policy, Low Capital Mobility

• 6) Flexible Exchange Rates, Fiscal Policy, High Capital Mobility

• 7) Flexible Exchange Rates, Monetary Policy, High Capital Mobility

Page 4: ISLMBP Applications to EMU Economics. ISLMBP Applications to EMU Economics 1) Fixed Exchange Rates, Fiscal Policy, Low Capital Mobility 2) Fixed Exchange

O Y

BP

LM1

IS1

r1

Y1

a

1. Fixed exchange rates, Fiscal Policy, Low Capital Mobility 1. Fixed exchange rates, Fiscal Policy, Low Capital Mobility

Page 5: ISLMBP Applications to EMU Economics. ISLMBP Applications to EMU Economics 1) Fixed Exchange Rates, Fiscal Policy, Low Capital Mobility 2) Fixed Exchange

O

r

Y

BP

LM1

IS1

r1

Y1

An expansionary fiscal policy:An expansionary fiscal policy:

IS2

a

1. Fixed exchange rates, Fiscal Policy, Low Capital Mobility 1. Fixed exchange rates, Fiscal Policy, Low Capital Mobility

Page 6: ISLMBP Applications to EMU Economics. ISLMBP Applications to EMU Economics 1) Fixed Exchange Rates, Fiscal Policy, Low Capital Mobility 2) Fixed Exchange

a

O

r

Y

BP

LM1

IS1

r1

Y1

An expansionary fiscal policy:An expansionary fiscal policy:BPBP curve steeper than curve steeper than LMLM curve curve

IS2

r2

b

Y2

1. Fixed exchange rates, Fiscal Policy, Low Capital Mobility1. Fixed exchange rates, Fiscal Policy, Low Capital Mobility

Page 7: ISLMBP Applications to EMU Economics. ISLMBP Applications to EMU Economics 1) Fixed Exchange Rates, Fiscal Policy, Low Capital Mobility 2) Fixed Exchange

O

r

Y

BP

LM1

IS1

r1

Y1

An expansionary fiscal policy:An expansionary fiscal policy:BPBP curve steeper than curve steeper than LMLM curve curve

IS2

a

r2

b

Y2

1. Fixed exchange rates, Fiscal Policy, Low Capital Mobility1. Fixed exchange rates, Fiscal Policy, Low Capital Mobility

Page 8: ISLMBP Applications to EMU Economics. ISLMBP Applications to EMU Economics 1) Fixed Exchange Rates, Fiscal Policy, Low Capital Mobility 2) Fixed Exchange

O

r

Y

BP

LM1

IS1

r1

Y1

An expansionary fiscal policy:An expansionary fiscal policy:

IS2

a

r2

b

Y2

Restoration of

full equilibrium

LM2

r3

Y3

c

1. Fixed exchange rates, Fiscal Policy, Low Capital Mobility1. Fixed exchange rates, Fiscal Policy, Low Capital Mobility

Page 9: ISLMBP Applications to EMU Economics. ISLMBP Applications to EMU Economics 1) Fixed Exchange Rates, Fiscal Policy, Low Capital Mobility 2) Fixed Exchange

2. Fixed exchange rates, Fiscal Policy, High Capital Mobility2. Fixed exchange rates, Fiscal Policy, High Capital Mobility

O

Y

BP

LM

IS

r1

Y1

a

Page 10: ISLMBP Applications to EMU Economics. ISLMBP Applications to EMU Economics 1) Fixed Exchange Rates, Fiscal Policy, Low Capital Mobility 2) Fixed Exchange

O

Y

BP

LM1

IS1

r1

Y1

An expansionary fiscal policyAn expansionary fiscal policy

IS2

a

r2

Y2

b

2. Fixed exchange rates, Fiscal Policy, High Capital Mobility2. Fixed exchange rates, Fiscal Policy, High Capital Mobility

Page 11: ISLMBP Applications to EMU Economics. ISLMBP Applications to EMU Economics 1) Fixed Exchange Rates, Fiscal Policy, Low Capital Mobility 2) Fixed Exchange

O

r

Y

BP

LM1

IS1

a

r1

Y1

IS2

r2

b

Y2

2. Fixed exchange rates, Fiscal Policy, High Capital Mobility2. Fixed exchange rates, Fiscal Policy, High Capital Mobility

Page 12: ISLMBP Applications to EMU Economics. ISLMBP Applications to EMU Economics 1) Fixed Exchange Rates, Fiscal Policy, Low Capital Mobility 2) Fixed Exchange

O

r

Y

BP

LM1

IS1

ar1

Y1

IS2

r2

b

Y2

Restoration of

full equilibrium

LM2

r3

Y3

c

2. Fixed exchange rates, Fiscal Policy, High Capital Mobility2. Fixed exchange rates, Fiscal Policy, High Capital Mobility

Page 13: ISLMBP Applications to EMU Economics. ISLMBP Applications to EMU Economics 1) Fixed Exchange Rates, Fiscal Policy, Low Capital Mobility 2) Fixed Exchange

O

r

Y

BP

LM1

IS

ar1

Y1

An expansionary monetary policyAn expansionary monetary policy

3. Fixed exchange rates, Monetary Policy, High Capital Mobility 3. Fixed exchange rates, Monetary Policy, High Capital Mobility

Page 14: ISLMBP Applications to EMU Economics. ISLMBP Applications to EMU Economics 1) Fixed Exchange Rates, Fiscal Policy, Low Capital Mobility 2) Fixed Exchange

O

r

Y

BP

LM1

IS

ar1

Y1

An expansionary monetary policyAn expansionary monetary policy

LM2

Y2

r2

b

3. Fixed exchange rates, Monetary Policy, High Capital Mobility 3. Fixed exchange rates, Monetary Policy, High Capital Mobility

Page 15: ISLMBP Applications to EMU Economics. ISLMBP Applications to EMU Economics 1) Fixed Exchange Rates, Fiscal Policy, Low Capital Mobility 2) Fixed Exchange

O

r

Y

BP

LM1

IS

ar1

Y1

An expansionary monetary policyAn expansionary monetary policy

Y2

LM2

r2

b

3. Fixed exchange rates, Monetary Policy, High Capital Mobility 3. Fixed exchange rates, Monetary Policy, High Capital Mobility

Page 16: ISLMBP Applications to EMU Economics. ISLMBP Applications to EMU Economics 1) Fixed Exchange Rates, Fiscal Policy, Low Capital Mobility 2) Fixed Exchange

O

r

Y

BP

LM1

IS

ar1

Y1

An expansionary monetary policyAn expansionary monetary policy

Y2

LM2

r2

bFull equilibrium

is restoredback at point a

ISLMBP analysis: fixed exchange ratesISLMBP analysis: fixed exchange rates

Page 17: ISLMBP Applications to EMU Economics. ISLMBP Applications to EMU Economics 1) Fixed Exchange Rates, Fiscal Policy, Low Capital Mobility 2) Fixed Exchange

• Analysis under free-floating rates

– effects of exchange rate changes on the BP curve

• Analysis under free-floating rates

– effects of exchange rate changes on the BP curve

THE OPEN ECONOMY AND ISLM ANALYSISTHE OPEN ECONOMY AND ISLM ANALYSIS

Page 18: ISLMBP Applications to EMU Economics. ISLMBP Applications to EMU Economics 1) Fixed Exchange Rates, Fiscal Policy, Low Capital Mobility 2) Fixed Exchange

O

r

Y

BP

SURPLUS

Movements in the BP curveMovements in the BP curve

Appreciation

Page 19: ISLMBP Applications to EMU Economics. ISLMBP Applications to EMU Economics 1) Fixed Exchange Rates, Fiscal Policy, Low Capital Mobility 2) Fixed Exchange

O

r

Y

BP

DEFICIT

Depreciation

Movements in the BP curveMovements in the BP curve

Page 20: ISLMBP Applications to EMU Economics. ISLMBP Applications to EMU Economics 1) Fixed Exchange Rates, Fiscal Policy, Low Capital Mobility 2) Fixed Exchange

O

r

Y

BP

LM

IS1

Y1

An expansionary fiscal policyAn expansionary fiscal policy

IS2

Y2

r1

r2

b

a

ISLMBP analysis: floating exchange ratesISLMBP analysis: floating exchange rates

Page 21: ISLMBP Applications to EMU Economics. ISLMBP Applications to EMU Economics 1) Fixed Exchange Rates, Fiscal Policy, Low Capital Mobility 2) Fixed Exchange

O

r

Y

BP

LM

IS1

Y1

An expansionary fiscal policyAn expansionary fiscal policy

IS2

a

Y2

r1

r2

b

ISLMBP analysis: floating exchange ratesISLMBP analysis: floating exchange rates

Page 22: ISLMBP Applications to EMU Economics. ISLMBP Applications to EMU Economics 1) Fixed Exchange Rates, Fiscal Policy, Low Capital Mobility 2) Fixed Exchange

O

r

Y

BP

LM

IS1

Y1

An expansionary fiscal policyAn expansionary fiscal policy

IS2

a

Y2

r1

r2

b

ISLMBP analysis: floating exchange ratesISLMBP analysis: floating exchange rates

Page 23: ISLMBP Applications to EMU Economics. ISLMBP Applications to EMU Economics 1) Fixed Exchange Rates, Fiscal Policy, Low Capital Mobility 2) Fixed Exchange

O

r

Y

BP1

LM

IS1

Y1

An expansionary fiscal policyAn expansionary fiscal policy

IS2

a

Y2

r1

r2

b

Full equilibrium isrestored at point c

BP2

IS3

Y3

r3

c

ISLMBP analysis: floating exchange ratesISLMBP analysis: floating exchange rates

Page 24: ISLMBP Applications to EMU Economics. ISLMBP Applications to EMU Economics 1) Fixed Exchange Rates, Fiscal Policy, Low Capital Mobility 2) Fixed Exchange

O

r

Y

LM

BP1

IS1

Y1

An expansionary fiscal policy:An expansionary fiscal policy:BPBP curve steeper than curve steeper than LMLM curve curve

ar1

IS2

Y2

r2b

ISLMBP analysis: floating exchange ratesISLMBP analysis: floating exchange rates

Page 25: ISLMBP Applications to EMU Economics. ISLMBP Applications to EMU Economics 1) Fixed Exchange Rates, Fiscal Policy, Low Capital Mobility 2) Fixed Exchange

O

r

Y

LM

BP1

IS1

Y1

An expansionary fiscal policy:An expansionary fiscal policy:BPBP curve steeper than curve steeper than LMLM curve curve

a

Y2

r1

r2b

IS2

ISLMBP analysis: floating exchange ratesISLMBP analysis: floating exchange rates

Page 26: ISLMBP Applications to EMU Economics. ISLMBP Applications to EMU Economics 1) Fixed Exchange Rates, Fiscal Policy, Low Capital Mobility 2) Fixed Exchange

O

r

Y

LM

BP1

IS1

Y1

An expansionary fiscal policy:An expansionary fiscal policy:BPBP curve steeper than curve steeper than LMLM curve curve

a

Y2

r1

r2b

IS2

ISLMBP analysis: floating exchange ratesISLMBP analysis: floating exchange rates

Page 27: ISLMBP Applications to EMU Economics. ISLMBP Applications to EMU Economics 1) Fixed Exchange Rates, Fiscal Policy, Low Capital Mobility 2) Fixed Exchange

O

r

Y

LM

BP1

IS1

Y1

An expansionary fiscal policy:An expansionary fiscal policy:BPBP curve steeper than curve steeper than LMLM curve curve

IS3

a

Y2

r1

r2b

BP2

IS2

Y3

r3c

Full equilibrium isachieved at point c

ISLMBP analysis: floating exchange ratesISLMBP analysis: floating exchange rates

Page 28: ISLMBP Applications to EMU Economics. ISLMBP Applications to EMU Economics 1) Fixed Exchange Rates, Fiscal Policy, Low Capital Mobility 2) Fixed Exchange

O

r

Y

LM1

IS1

Y1

An expansionary monetary policyAn expansionary monetary policy

a

Y2

r1

r2

BP1

LM2

b

ISLMBP analysis: floating exchange ratesISLMBP analysis: floating exchange rates

Page 29: ISLMBP Applications to EMU Economics. ISLMBP Applications to EMU Economics 1) Fixed Exchange Rates, Fiscal Policy, Low Capital Mobility 2) Fixed Exchange

O

r

Y

LM1

IS1

Y1

An expansionary monetary policyAn expansionary monetary policy

a

Y2

r1

r2 b

The balance of paymentsdeficit causes the BP line

to shift downward

BP1

LM2

ISLMBP analysis: floating exchange ratesISLMBP analysis: floating exchange rates

Page 30: ISLMBP Applications to EMU Economics. ISLMBP Applications to EMU Economics 1) Fixed Exchange Rates, Fiscal Policy, Low Capital Mobility 2) Fixed Exchange

O

r

Y

LM1

IS1

Y1

An expansionary monetary policyAn expansionary monetary policy

a

Y2

r1

r2 b

The depreciationcauses the IS curveto shift to the right

BP1

LM2

ISLMBP analysis: floating exchange ratesISLMBP analysis: floating exchange rates

Page 31: ISLMBP Applications to EMU Economics. ISLMBP Applications to EMU Economics 1) Fixed Exchange Rates, Fiscal Policy, Low Capital Mobility 2) Fixed Exchange

O

r

Y

BP2

LM1

IS1

Y1

An expansionary monetary policyAn expansionary monetary policy

a

Y2

r1

r2 b Full equilibrium isrestored at point c

BP1

IS2

Y3

r3

LM2

c

ISLMBP analysis: floating exchange ratesISLMBP analysis: floating exchange rates