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Jiaguo Qi Michigan State University, East Lansing, MI, USA and Makoto Taniguchi, FE in Asia Research Institute for Humanity and Nature, Kyoto, Japan 20 th Anniversary of NASA LCLUC Program MEETING, April 18-20, 2016

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Page 1: Jiaguo Qi - LCLUClcluc.umd.edu/.../Future-Asia-talk-CLUC-2016-04-19-Qi.pdf · 2016-04-29 · Jiaguo Qi Michigan State University, East Lansing, MI, USA and Makoto Taniguchi, FE in

Jiaguo QiMichigan State University, East Lansing, MI, USA

andMakoto Taniguchi, FE in Asia

Research Institute for Humanity and Nature, Kyoto, Japan

20th Anniversary of NASA LCLUC Program MEETING, April 18-20, 2016

Page 2: Jiaguo Qi - LCLUClcluc.umd.edu/.../Future-Asia-talk-CLUC-2016-04-19-Qi.pdf · 2016-04-29 · Jiaguo Qi Michigan State University, East Lansing, MI, USA and Makoto Taniguchi, FE in

research for global sustainability

photos: www.dawide.com

WMO

To provide the knowledge required for societies in the world to face risks posed by global environmental change and to

seize opportunities in a transition to global sustainability

FE Platform• Internationally collaborative

• Inter- and trans-disciplinary

• Solutions-oriented

• Co-designed and co-produced in partnership with the “users” of research

Page 3: Jiaguo Qi - LCLUClcluc.umd.edu/.../Future-Asia-talk-CLUC-2016-04-19-Qi.pdf · 2016-04-29 · Jiaguo Qi Michigan State University, East Lansing, MI, USA and Makoto Taniguchi, FE in
Page 4: Jiaguo Qi - LCLUClcluc.umd.edu/.../Future-Asia-talk-CLUC-2016-04-19-Qi.pdf · 2016-04-29 · Jiaguo Qi Michigan State University, East Lansing, MI, USA and Makoto Taniguchi, FE in

FORMALLY ALIGNED COMMUNITIES…

BioGenesis

EcoHealth

BioDiscovery

Earth System

Modeling (AIMES)

iHOPEAir

chemistry (IGAC)

Land-air(iLEAPS)

Water(GWSP)

Coasts

Human Health

Surface ocean

(SOLAS)

Marine (IMBER)

Mountain biodiversity

GMBA

Climate change and

food security

Global Land Project

Monsoon Asia

(MAIRS)

Earth system

governance (ESG)

Past change(PAGES)

Risk (IRG)

Ecosystem Services (PECS)

Global Carbon Project

EcoServices

Cities (UGEC)

23 Core Projects

Page 5: Jiaguo Qi - LCLUClcluc.umd.edu/.../Future-Asia-talk-CLUC-2016-04-19-Qi.pdf · 2016-04-29 · Jiaguo Qi Michigan State University, East Lansing, MI, USA and Makoto Taniguchi, FE in

NEESPI and MAIRSTwo regional programs that cover Asia

Page 6: Jiaguo Qi - LCLUClcluc.umd.edu/.../Future-Asia-talk-CLUC-2016-04-19-Qi.pdf · 2016-04-29 · Jiaguo Qi Michigan State University, East Lansing, MI, USA and Makoto Taniguchi, FE in

MAIRS: MONSOON ASIAINTEGRATED REGIONAL STUDIES

Mission: To significantly advance the understanding of the

interactions between the human-natural components of the overall

environment in the monsoon Asian region, and implicationsfor the global earth system, in order to support strategies for

sustainable development.

Page 7: Jiaguo Qi - LCLUClcluc.umd.edu/.../Future-Asia-talk-CLUC-2016-04-19-Qi.pdf · 2016-04-29 · Jiaguo Qi Michigan State University, East Lansing, MI, USA and Makoto Taniguchi, FE in

Monsoon Asia

(MAIRS)

Monson Asia Integrated Regional Studies2005 - 2015

Open Science Conference2014

Transition to Future Earth in Asia Core Project2015

MAIRS involved in and supported by LCLUC for projects, ST meetings, workshops and training since 2007

Page 8: Jiaguo Qi - LCLUClcluc.umd.edu/.../Future-Asia-talk-CLUC-2016-04-19-Qi.pdf · 2016-04-29 · Jiaguo Qi Michigan State University, East Lansing, MI, USA and Makoto Taniguchi, FE in

10 Key issues identified

1. Co-design and co-implementation within diverse culture

2. Uniqueness of monsoon climate and topography

3. Vulnerability to natural disasters4. Rapid economic growth5. Accelerated urbanization6. Sustainable food, water and

energy systems7. Safeguard ecosystems8. Pathways guided by Asian

tradition and cultures9. Social equity and inclusion10.Institutions and governance

Formation of FE Regional Hub and Center

Page 9: Jiaguo Qi - LCLUClcluc.umd.edu/.../Future-Asia-talk-CLUC-2016-04-19-Qi.pdf · 2016-04-29 · Jiaguo Qi Michigan State University, East Lansing, MI, USA and Makoto Taniguchi, FE in

RIHN: The Regional Center for Future Earth in Asia

http://www.futureearth.org/asi

FUTURE EARTH:SECRETARY

5 Functions• Coordination• Research Enabling • Communication and

Outreach • Capacity Building• Synthesis and Foresignts

Future Earth Hubs and Projects: 5 Hubs, 4 Regional Centers, 23 Core Projects, 60,000 Scientists

Page 10: Jiaguo Qi - LCLUClcluc.umd.edu/.../Future-Asia-talk-CLUC-2016-04-19-Qi.pdf · 2016-04-29 · Jiaguo Qi Michigan State University, East Lansing, MI, USA and Makoto Taniguchi, FE in

FUTURE EARTH:SECRETARY

Future Earth Hubs and Projects: 5 Hubs, 4 Regional Centers, 23 Core Projects, 60,000 Scientists

CNC-FE: Beijing, China

5 Functions• Coordination• Research Enabling • Communication and

Outreach • Capacity Building• Synthesis and Foresignts

Page 11: Jiaguo Qi - LCLUClcluc.umd.edu/.../Future-Asia-talk-CLUC-2016-04-19-Qi.pdf · 2016-04-29 · Jiaguo Qi Michigan State University, East Lansing, MI, USA and Makoto Taniguchi, FE in

THEMES FOR FUTURE EARTH

Japan1.Water-energy-

food nexus2.Biodiversity3.Urban-rural

interactions4.Sustainable

Technology & institution

5.Natural disasters

China1.Pollution linked with environmental and climate

change 2.Urbanization and social harmonic development3.Climate variability over monsoon region and human

activities4.Global change and responses on critical zones5.Food, Energy Supply and Future Development 6.Biodiversity and ecosystem services7.Industrial transformation and green production8.Disaster early warming in the context of global

environmental change9.East Asia traditional culture and sustainable

development10.Sustainability in polar regions11.Observations and knowledge services for the earth

system12.Earth system model, climate economy model and

scientific policy

Page 12: Jiaguo Qi - LCLUClcluc.umd.edu/.../Future-Asia-talk-CLUC-2016-04-19-Qi.pdf · 2016-04-29 · Jiaguo Qi Michigan State University, East Lansing, MI, USA and Makoto Taniguchi, FE in

KNOWLEDGE ACTION NETWORK (KAN) SET – ASIA PRIORITIES

3 Themes8 Challenges

Dynamic Planet

SustainableDevelopment

Transformations to Sustainability

1. Water, food, energy for all

2. Decarbonise socioeconomic systems & adapt

3. Safeguard natural assets

4. Build healthy, resilient cities

5. Sustainable rural futures

6. Improve human health under GEC

7. Sustainable consumption and production

8. Social resilience to future threats

SDGs

Food-Energy-Water Nexus

Future cities

Risks Reduction

3 themes

8 Challenges

62 SRA

Natural assets

Page 13: Jiaguo Qi - LCLUClcluc.umd.edu/.../Future-Asia-talk-CLUC-2016-04-19-Qi.pdf · 2016-04-29 · Jiaguo Qi Michigan State University, East Lansing, MI, USA and Makoto Taniguchi, FE in
Page 14: Jiaguo Qi - LCLUClcluc.umd.edu/.../Future-Asia-talk-CLUC-2016-04-19-Qi.pdf · 2016-04-29 · Jiaguo Qi Michigan State University, East Lansing, MI, USA and Makoto Taniguchi, FE in

WEF NEXUS IN ASIA

Page 15: Jiaguo Qi - LCLUClcluc.umd.edu/.../Future-Asia-talk-CLUC-2016-04-19-Qi.pdf · 2016-04-29 · Jiaguo Qi Michigan State University, East Lansing, MI, USA and Makoto Taniguchi, FE in

WEF NEXUS

FAO Concept

Global Challenges• Adaptation to

climate change• Population

growth (societal changes, consumption patterns)Land

• Water: Support more with the same or less

• Food: Produce more with the same

• Energy: Generate more with the same resources

Page 16: Jiaguo Qi - LCLUClcluc.umd.edu/.../Future-Asia-talk-CLUC-2016-04-19-Qi.pdf · 2016-04-29 · Jiaguo Qi Michigan State University, East Lansing, MI, USA and Makoto Taniguchi, FE in

WEF NEXUS IN ASIA & PACIFIC

Belmont Call coming up soon!

Page 17: Jiaguo Qi - LCLUClcluc.umd.edu/.../Future-Asia-talk-CLUC-2016-04-19-Qi.pdf · 2016-04-29 · Jiaguo Qi Michigan State University, East Lansing, MI, USA and Makoto Taniguchi, FE in

A

B

C

D E

Human Well-beingGlobal Sustainability

(The Environment, Society, The Economy)

C. Water for food-Agricultural irrigation-Rainwater harvesting-Water footprint-Ecosystems

E. Energy for food-Food production-Food transport-Groundwater pumping

D. Food for energy-Biofuel

B. Water for energy-Hydroelectric power-Geothermal power-Fracking

A. Energy for water-Transporting water-Water withdrawal-Heating water

Human Environmental Security (Risk, Resilience)

Water-Groundwater-Spring water-Surface water

Energy-Micro-hydro-Geothermal/

Hot spring-Shale gas

Food-Fishery prod.-Aquaculture prod.-Agricultural prod.

RIHN Nexus Background

Demands for water, energy & foodare estimated to increase by 40%,50% and 35% by 2030

Increase pressure on water, energy& food resources presentingcommunities with increased levelsof tradeoffs and potential conflicts

PurposeDesign optimal policy to increasehuman-environmental securitywithin the complexity of water-energy-food system

Page 18: Jiaguo Qi - LCLUClcluc.umd.edu/.../Future-Asia-talk-CLUC-2016-04-19-Qi.pdf · 2016-04-29 · Jiaguo Qi Michigan State University, East Lansing, MI, USA and Makoto Taniguchi, FE in

SOME UNIQUENESS OF ASIA

Page 19: Jiaguo Qi - LCLUClcluc.umd.edu/.../Future-Asia-talk-CLUC-2016-04-19-Qi.pdf · 2016-04-29 · Jiaguo Qi Michigan State University, East Lansing, MI, USA and Makoto Taniguchi, FE in

• MUCH TIGHT TELE-CONNECTIONS

Page 20: Jiaguo Qi - LCLUClcluc.umd.edu/.../Future-Asia-talk-CLUC-2016-04-19-Qi.pdf · 2016-04-29 · Jiaguo Qi Michigan State University, East Lansing, MI, USA and Makoto Taniguchi, FE in

• LARGE NUMBER OF UNDERNOURISHED POPULATION

Page 21: Jiaguo Qi - LCLUClcluc.umd.edu/.../Future-Asia-talk-CLUC-2016-04-19-Qi.pdf · 2016-04-29 · Jiaguo Qi Michigan State University, East Lansing, MI, USA and Makoto Taniguchi, FE in
Page 22: Jiaguo Qi - LCLUClcluc.umd.edu/.../Future-Asia-talk-CLUC-2016-04-19-Qi.pdf · 2016-04-29 · Jiaguo Qi Michigan State University, East Lansing, MI, USA and Makoto Taniguchi, FE in

• THERE IS A GREAT VARIATION IN PREDICTEDCLIMATE CHANGE ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST ASIA

Page 23: Jiaguo Qi - LCLUClcluc.umd.edu/.../Future-Asia-talk-CLUC-2016-04-19-Qi.pdf · 2016-04-29 · Jiaguo Qi Michigan State University, East Lansing, MI, USA and Makoto Taniguchi, FE in

• SEA LEVEL RISES IMPACTS

Page 24: Jiaguo Qi - LCLUClcluc.umd.edu/.../Future-Asia-talk-CLUC-2016-04-19-Qi.pdf · 2016-04-29 · Jiaguo Qi Michigan State University, East Lansing, MI, USA and Makoto Taniguchi, FE in

• DIET PATTERN: RICE DEPENDENT NATIONS

Page 25: Jiaguo Qi - LCLUClcluc.umd.edu/.../Future-Asia-talk-CLUC-2016-04-19-Qi.pdf · 2016-04-29 · Jiaguo Qi Michigan State University, East Lansing, MI, USA and Makoto Taniguchi, FE in

Source: UNISDR, Global Assessment Report on Disaster Risk Reduction, Geneva, 2011. Global analysis, reprocessed at subnational level by UNEP/GRID Geneva

• DISASTER PRONE

Page 26: Jiaguo Qi - LCLUClcluc.umd.edu/.../Future-Asia-talk-CLUC-2016-04-19-Qi.pdf · 2016-04-29 · Jiaguo Qi Michigan State University, East Lansing, MI, USA and Makoto Taniguchi, FE in

Water and Food Baseline: 2000

Page 27: Jiaguo Qi - LCLUClcluc.umd.edu/.../Future-Asia-talk-CLUC-2016-04-19-Qi.pdf · 2016-04-29 · Jiaguo Qi Michigan State University, East Lansing, MI, USA and Makoto Taniguchi, FE in

Water and Food: 2025

Page 28: Jiaguo Qi - LCLUClcluc.umd.edu/.../Future-Asia-talk-CLUC-2016-04-19-Qi.pdf · 2016-04-29 · Jiaguo Qi Michigan State University, East Lansing, MI, USA and Makoto Taniguchi, FE in

Water and Energy Baseline (2010)

Page 29: Jiaguo Qi - LCLUClcluc.umd.edu/.../Future-Asia-talk-CLUC-2016-04-19-Qi.pdf · 2016-04-29 · Jiaguo Qi Michigan State University, East Lansing, MI, USA and Makoto Taniguchi, FE in

Water and Energy: 2025 under A1B scenario

Page 30: Jiaguo Qi - LCLUClcluc.umd.edu/.../Future-Asia-talk-CLUC-2016-04-19-Qi.pdf · 2016-04-29 · Jiaguo Qi Michigan State University, East Lansing, MI, USA and Makoto Taniguchi, FE in

Land

FUTURE EARTH?FUTURE LCLUC?

FE WEF Nexus Workshop Series:• What is the role of

observations and governance in the WEF Nexus?

At the 20th LCLUC Anniversary• What is the role of

the land system in WEF Nexus?

• What is the role of the LCLUC in WEF Nexus?

• Why Asia?

THANKYOU!