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Jonathan Honiball Senior Director, Customer Research New Market Research Techniques to Improve Product Acceptance February 20, 2014

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Jonathan Honiball ● Senior Director, Customer Research

New Market Research Techniques to Improve Product Acceptance

February 20, 2014

February 2015 2

Speaker Introduction

Agenda– Don’t Do Market Research?!?– Learning from Outside the Industry– Learning from Within the Industry– New Market Research Techniques– Case Story– Why Invest Early in Research?

Introduction

February 2015 3

“If I had asked people what they wanted, they would have said faster horses.”

–Henry Ford

Don’t Do Market Research?!?

February 2015 4

Launch and refine is risky for medical devices given FDA approval requirements and product reputation

“Speed to Market Strategies” are Risky

Get prototype product in front of customers as fast as possible, solicit feedback, and incorporate feedback in next prototype for customer evaluation

Lean Process

Pilot Testing

Introduce new product to a sample set of all customers (e.g., of the company’s customers in a region) and evaluate customer response

February 2015 5

Learning from Outside the Industry

In January of 2012, CEO Ron Johnson (ex- Sr VP, Apple) launched a new retailing strategy

JC Penney shoppers rejected the new model

JCP stock fell from $42.44 to $14.62 in 2012/13 and the CEO was fired (Δ Mkt Cap > -$ 5 B)

February 2015 6

Over the past two years, we have interviewed investors involved in funding medical devices

While we did hear about many successes, most of what we heard were horror stories

Many products fail because of technical issues – however, even if the product is exactly as intended, it can still be a commercial failure.

Learning from Within the Medical Device Industry

February 2015 7

Charging the wrong price Targeting the wrong specialty Not understanding laggard behavior

– A better product is not enough to cause a switch

Engineers, Sales and Marketers not being on the same page

Typical Reasons for Commercial Failure

February 2015 8

Many companies lack sufficient information early enough to properly define “successful” new products/services where…

“successful” =

– correct mix of product and service features, benefits, price points and distribution channels

– which provides a “total solution” to meet/exceed customer expectations

– to meet/exceed company’s product financial targets

The Problem

February 2015 9

Research Questions For Your New Products

Product Acceptance

How big is the market?

What features and

functionality to offer?

What price to charge?

How to position vs.

competition?

How to promote?

February 2015 10

“Sell” the product before you build it.

Gain customer feedback to understand their actual needs rather than focusing on pushing out a product– How to use market research to get this customer

feedback

A Solution: Sell - Build

February 2015 11

February 2015 12

…But Market Research has Changed

Cheaper, Faster, AND Better Information

February 2015 13

Ethnography

Mobile Ethnography

• Invited customers perform tasks, recording and detailing as directed by a researcher leveraging mobile technology

February 2015 14

Focus Groups

Discussion Boards

• Invited customers respond to topics and questions presented by a moderator in an asynchronous online discussion boards

February 2015 15

Customer Satisfaction (VOC)

CRM Integration

• Design a feedback loop within each customer interaction. Continuously field surveys and analyze data.

February 2015 16

1. Determine the product-brand-price mix that will appeal to the greatest proportion of the target market

2. Understand product expectations and purchase drivers across customer segments

3. Reduce the risk of over or under investing due to mismatch between product and customers’ needs

4. Limited number of questions create a forecast of future behavior

Consumer Choice Model

Consumer Choice Model (CCM)

CCM techniques to determine the most successful mix

February 2015 17

Consumer Choice Modeling Has Changed

Due to historically high costs, use was limited

With technology, the costs are 10% of what they were

Timelines are now weeks instead of months

1960s 1970s 1990s 2000s

1970s

Done using manual methods, regression analysis, mainframe computers

2000s

More powerful, lower cost computers, more complex simulations using advanced analytical techniques

1990s

More powerful computers, more sophisticated analytical techniques(e.g., advanced statistical methods)

1980s

February 2015 18

Product Acceptance

What Attributes Define Product Acceptance?

ProductFeatures

Aesthetics

Performance

Brand

PriceFinancing

Comparative

Residual Value

Switching cost

ExperienceExpectations

Function

Emotion

Social proof

AccessChannels

Regulation

Location

Timeliness

ServiceAccess to service

Customer care

Warranty

Purchase

February 2015 19

This matrix represents 21,600 possible combinations

CCM: Example Attribute Table

Level 1 Level 2 Level 3 Level 4 Level 5 Level 6Brand Company 1 Company 2 Company 3 Company 4Effectiveness 99% 97% 95% 90% 85% 80%Market Usage Used by 50% Used by 35% Used by 25% Used by 10% New to marketSize 2 cubic feet 4 cubic feet 8 cubic feet 12 cubic feet 20 cubic feetRun Time 30 minutes 25 minutes 20 minutes 15 minutes 10 minutes 5 minutesPrice $200 $300 $400 $500 $600 $700

February 2015 20

Divides a product into key attributes/product features and then combines these attributes/product features into a selection of “hypothetical products”

Testing the boundaries and not just focusing on current features

CCM: Question Example

Company 1 Company 2 Company 3

90% effective 95% effective 80% effective

Product is new to market

Product is used by 10% of consumers

Product is used by 35% of consumers

4 cubic feet 2 cubic feet 8 cubic feet

10 minutes 15 minutes 20 minutes

$500 $600 $200

m m m

Which of the following medical devices would you be most likely to purchase?

February 2015 21

Market Simulator Sample

Market Configuration

Preference Share

65%

35%

Simulations• Add products to the

marketplace• Change product

attributes• “What if” scenarios

for any possible market changes

• External metrics can be calculated

Company 1 Company 2

90% effective 95% effective

Product is used by 10% of consumers

Product is new to market

2 cubic feet 4 cubic feet

10 minutes 15 minutes

$600 $600

February 2015 22

Market Simulator Sample

Market Configuration

Preference Share

45%

55%

Simulations• Add products to the

marketplace• Change product

attributes• “What if” scenarios

for any possible market changes

• External metrics can be calculated

Company 1 Company 2

90% effective 95% effective

Product is used by 10% of consumers

Product is new to market

2 cubic feet 4 cubic feet

10 minutes 15 minutes

$300 $600

February 2015 23

Simulator Demo

February 2015 24

Simulator Snapshot

February 2015 25

Can Be Analyzed for Any Sub-Segment

February 2015 26

Running a Simulation

February 2015 27

Running a Simulation – Selecting Options

February 2015 28

Running a Simulation – The Output

Increase from 35%

February 2015 29

Running a Simulation – A Better Solution

Increase from 35%

February 2015 30

Helps avoid costly, distracting and time-consuming missteps

Aligns and engages customers early

Makes sure that attributes are those that matter to buyers and influencers

Better aligns your engineering and sales teams

Why Invest Early in Research?

February 2015 31

For more information or a demonstration, please contact:

Jonathan HoniballSenior Director, Customer Research

[email protected]: 650-223-8228 | Office: 650-327-8108 | Mobile: 267-992-6730

Pacific Consulting Group | 200 S. California Avenue, Suite 200 | Palo Alto, CA 94306www.pcgfirm.com

February 2015 32

Challenge:

A life science company launched its brand in the US two years earlier as the first and only product indicated for two different conditions.

Competitor launched in select overseas with plans for a US rollout.

 

Research objectives:

Determine the sales impact on existing markets from competitive launch, as well as the likely impact in yet undeveloped markets.

Case Story: Competitive positioning and timing

February 2015 33

Methodology:

Choice Modeling was used to evaluate current and future competitive situations

Market Simulator calculated a "preference share” enabling comparison of current and future market share.

 

Results:

Simulator gave the client dozens of scenarios to plan investment. Client accelerated R&D efforts in order to launch 1st in other markets.

Actual market share in all markets measured are in line with model predicted preference shares.

Case Story: Competitive positioning and timing