josé sergio gabrielli de azevedo president and ceo september 25, 2006
DESCRIPTION
The Role of Petrobras in Energy Integration and Renewable Fuels in South America. José Sergio Gabrielli de Azevedo President and CEO September 25, 2006. Disclosure. - PowerPoint PPT PresentationTRANSCRIPT
1
José Sergio Gabrielli de AzevedoPresident and CEOSeptember 25, 2006
The Role of Petrobras
in Energy Integration and Renewable
Fuels in South America
22
The presentation may contain forecasts about future events. Such forecasts merely reflect the expectations of the Company's management. Such terms as "anticipate", "believe", "expect", "forecast", "intend", "plan", "project", "seek", "should", along with similar or analogous expressions, are used to identify such forecasts. These predictions evidently involve risks and uncertainties, whether foreseen or not by the Company. Therefore, the future results of operations may differ from current expectations, and readers must not base their expectations exclusively on the information presented herein. The Company is not obliged to update the presentation/such forecasts in light of new information or future developments.
Cautionary Statement for US investors
The United States Securities and Exchange Commission permits oil and gas companies, in their filings with the SEC, to disclose only proved reserves that a company has demonstrated by actual production or conclusive formation tests to be economically and legally producible under existing economic and operating conditions. We use certain terms in this presentation, such as oil and gas resources, that the SEC’s guidelines strictly prohibit us from including in filings with the SEC.
Disclosure
33
Concentration of reserves in sensitive areas cause for increasing concern
• In the medium to long term light oil supplies likely to come from Middle East, Africa (OPEC) and Russia •More than 62% of the world reserves on the hands of 5 Middle East Countries
Asia North America
AfricaSouth and Central America
Europe &
Eurasia
MiddleEast
742.7
40.259.5
103.5
(reserves billion boe)
114.3 140.5
Fonte: BP Statistical Review of World Energy
44
12,7%
7,6%
13,4%
5,0%
4,8%
56,5%
Middle East Europe & Eurasia Africa
North America Pacific Asia Latin America
7.9%
6.4%
8.8%
3.8%
8.0%
65.1% 11.7%
9.4%
5.1%
3.5%
8.5%
61.8%
1984 1994 2004
Total762 billion boe
Total1.017 billion boe
Total1.188 billion boe
• In 20 years, Latin America’s proven reserves increased from 36.6 billion barrels (1984) to 101 billion barrels (2004).
Source: BP Statistical Review of World Energy
Latin American proven oil reserves have increased in relative importance and average life
R/P* = 26.77R/P* = 41.78
R/P* = 41.84
* Reserves/Production Latin America (years)
55
24%
16%
1%11%
2%
46.0%
World Total Primary Energy Supply has shown increased use of gas, coal and nuclear sources
Source: IEA Energy Statistics
1973
25%
21%
6%
11%2%
35.2%
2004
25.21%
22.12%
26.19%
13.04%2,59%
10.85%
Coal Crude OilGas NuclearHydro Renewables and Others
Increase5,069 Mtoe
6,154 Mtoe 11,223 Mtoe
66
Compared to OECD, LA uses more hydro, oil and renewables and less nuclear and coal (2003)
Source: IEA Energy Statistics
5%
20%1%
19%
10% 45.5%
Coal Crude OilGas NuclearHydro Renewables and Others
Latin America
21%
22%
11%
4%2%
40%
OECD464 Mtoe 5,395 Mtoe
25%
21%
6%
11%2%
35%
World10,579 Mtoe
In comparison to the whole world LA uses much less coal and more crude oil as a result of China.
77
Transportation (liquids) in energy consumption is likely to increase with growing income
Source: IEA Energy Statistics
39%28%
3%
30%
Industry Sector Transportation Sector
Other Sectors Non-Energy Use
Latin America
30%
33%
4%
33%
OECD364 Mtoe 3,754 Mtoe
88
Coal Crude Oil Natural Gas Nuclear Hydro Renewables Geothermal/Solar/Eolic
Coal has dominated Electric Energy Generation growth in the world
99
Carvão Petróleo Gás Natural Nuclear Hídrica Renováveis Geotérmica/Solar/Eólica
While in LA hydro power has predominated followed by natural gas
1010
Explore synergies between existing companies in Brazil, Argentina, Bolivia and Colombia
Increase exploration and production efforts in Peru, Ecuador and Venezuela
Intensify commercial operations in Paraguay, Uruguay and Chile
Invest in tecnology logistics and production of renewable fuels
Participate in development of integrated gas pipeline network
PETROBRAS in position to promote energy integration in South America
1111
Liderar o mercado de petróleo, gás natural e derivados na América Latina, atuando como empresa integrada de energia, com expansão seletiva
da petroquímica e da atividade internacional.
Growth ProfitabilityGrowth ProfitabilitySocial and Environmental Social and Environmental
ResponsibilityResponsibility
Consolidate and increase
competitive advantages in the
Brazilian and South American
oil and oil products market
Develop and lead the domestic
natural gas market and perform in an integrated manner
in the gas and power market in South America
Selectively expand
international activities in an
integrated manner with the
Company’s business
Selectively expand interest
in the petrochemicals
market
Expand participation in biofuels market, lead the domestic
biodiesel production and increase
participation in the ethanol business
Operational, management, technological and human resources excellence
Lead the Latin American oil, natural gas, oil products and biofuels market, working as an integrated energy company, with selective expansion in petrochemical, renewable energy and
international activities.
Corporate Strategy
Corporate Strategy already points to integration and renewable fuels
PETROBRAS
121212
309416427
593614624660
809908919945
1.2671.4481.484
Sinopec
Repsol
Statoil
ENI
Lukoil*
Yukos*
ConocoPhillips
Petrobras
Total
Chevron Texaco
Petrochina*
Shell
BP
ExxonMobil
6.3434.026
2.9982.747
2.708
2.202
2.1952.114
1.2231.175
1.139524
296
2.275
XOM
RDSSinopec
BP
TOTCOP
PetroChinaCVX
PetrobrasYukos
Repsol
LukoilENI**
Statoil8,0
9,0
10,1
11,5
12,2
12,2
12,3
13,1
14,2
14,6
15,1
19,6
20,8
32,7
Repsol
Shell
Statoil
ENI
BP
Total
Sinopec
Chevron Texaco
ConocoPhillips
Petrobras
ExxonMobil
Petrochina*
Yukos*
Lukoil*
3,33,84,3
6,89,4
11,111,511,812,113,0
17,618,5
20,122,4
Repsol
Sinopec*
Statoil
ENI
ConocoPhillips
Total
Shell
Petrobras
Chevron Texaco
Yukos*
BP
Petrochina*
Lukoil*
ExxonMobil
Petrobras already among largest publicly traded companies
Proven reserves (SEC - billion boe) – Dec. 2005 Oil and gas production (million boe) - 2005
Reserve life (years) – Dec. 2005 Refining capacity (thousand bpd) - 2005
Source: Evaluate Energy and Company Reports
7th
5th
9th
7th
1313
Note: Includes International
31.0
12.41.0
1.0
49.3
23.0
7.53.32.3
1.8
E&P Downstream G&EPetrochemical Distribution Corporate
9%4%
3% 26%
56%
3%
Business Plan 2007-2011US$ 87.1 billion
86%
14%
Brazil International
US$ 12.1 bi
US$ 75.0 bi
Investment Plan reflects integrated global expansion
49,3
23,0
7,53,32,21,8
1414
Sources
(*)86.7
12.6
2004-2010Financing
Cash Flow
(US$ 99.3 billion)
87.1
12.2
2004-2010Debt Amortization
Capex
(US$ 99.3 billion)
• Accrued Economic Profit (2006-2015): US$ 83.4 billion (US$ 53.9 until 2011).
Uses
Capex to be financed with its own cash flow
1515
54,3% 53,1%51,5% 50,5%
43,8%40,5% 39,7%
34,3%
30,0% 29,7%
25,0%
20,3%
12,9%
0,0%
10,0%
20,0%
30,0%
40,0%
50,0%
60,0%
P
etrob
ras
S
hell
T
otal
C
NOOC
S
tatoil
B
P
E
xxon
Mob
il
L
ukoil
C
hevro
n
C
onoco
Phillips
R
epsol-Y
PF
P
etroC
hina
S
inopec
Undeveloped Reserves / Total Reserves* (2005)
• Strong investments in production will optimize the development of Petrobras’ proven reserves, aiming light oil production and a minimum reserve/production ratio of 15 years.
• Petrobras had a 55% success ratio for our exploration wells during 2005, with 38 wells classified as discovery or producing wells.
* Source: Evaluate Energy
Oil and gas production based on development of existing reserves
17
1616
2, 3742, 812
551
724
742
185
278
383
2015
For ec as t
1, 6841, 880
1, 540 1, 493
250 265274
289
133
161 168163
85
101
9496
2003 2004 2005 T ar get 2006
Oi l and NG L - B r az i l Natur al G as - B r az i l
O i l and NG L - I nter nac i onal Natur al G as - I nter nac i onal
2,036 2,020 2,2172,403
3,493
4,556Thousand boed
7.8% p.a.
7.5% p.a.
Target 2011
Production targets assure brazilian consumption and among most ambitious in the industry
1717
Fast growing domestic natural gas market for electicity and other uses
Mil
lio
n m
3 /d
ay
Mil
lio
n m
3 /d
ay
9,6 7,1
48,422,9 24,8
38,6
5,4 13,5
34
up to 71.0
up to 30.0
up to 20.0
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
2004 Consumed in2005
MaximumDemand 2011(*)
Potential Supply2011
Thermoplants Industry Other
National Production Bolivian Imports LNG
* Considers maximal dispatch for every thermoelectric power plant
121.0
17.7% p.a.
121.0
45.4
Natural gas market
36.9
Variation 2004 x 2005
Others 150%
Industry 8,30%
Thermoplants -26,04%
1818
New Refinery in Pernambuco
• Investment: US$ 2,5 billion
• Throughput capacity: 200 thousand heavy oil barrels (50% Petrobras oil / 50% PDVSA oil)
• Focusing diesel and LPG production maximization, the new refinery will aim the growth of oil products demand in the Northeast.
• The Northeast Region, which responds for 19% of oil products demand and holds only one refinery in Bahia, will no longer be a fuel importer (either from refineries in Brazil or abroad).
• Costs reduction: oil products transportation are more expensive than for crude oil.
Brazilian market open for investments in downstream
1919
Main Projects
Rio de Janeiro Petrochemical Complex
Acrylic Complex /SAP
PTA Pernambuco
Nitrogenated Fertilizers Unit III
Fafen BA
Advantages:
• Proximity to Petrobras’ installations in
Rio de Janeiro;
• Availability of labor for both the
construction and operational phase;
• Proximity to port installations.
• Products: Diesel, LPG, Ethylene,
Propylene, PX, Benzene and Coke. •The Complex will add value to 150,000 barrels/day of heavy oil form the Campos Basin.
and petrochemicals
• Investments of US$ 3.3 billion in Petrochemicals or more with Rio de Janeiro petrochemical plant
• Reducing the Brazilian deficit and adding value to Downstream production. São Gonçalo
Liquids Outflow Unit
Petrochemical Complex –
Itaboraí
2020
South Cone: US$ 2.8 Million Americas, Africa e Eurasia: US$ 5.4 Million
New Businesses: US$ 3.9 Million
Others 4%
Ecuador 4%
Peru 8%
Argentina 84%
Nigeria/Guine 33%
Others 8%
Venezuela 9%
United States50%
Southern cone and Venezuela to receive US$3.3 billion Capex and US$3.9 billion still to be allocated
2121(*) Petrobras Energía
Argentina (*)Proved Reserves: 336 MMBOe (SPE, 2005)
2005 Average Production: 104,000 boed
Refining and Distribution: 62,900 bbld in Ricardo D. Eliçabe – Bahía Blanca, Refisan - San Lorenzo; and Refinor (28.5 % interest:) refineries648 service stationsLUBRAS lubricant plantDock Sud and Puerto Galvan TerminalsPetrochemicalPower generationEnergy Transmission and DistributionOil and Gas Transportation
Producing, refining and distributing in the South Cone
Bolívia
Production: San Alberto e San Antonio; and Colpa-Caranda (*)
Proved Reserves: 553 MMBOe (SPE, 2005)
2005 Average Production: 54,100 boed
Yacuiba – Rio Grande Gas pipe (431 km, 32”, 17 MM m3/dia transportation capacity)
2 Refineries, with 60,000 bpd of total capacity
20 service stations with Petrobras brand
Paraguay
132 service stations
Uruguay
89 service stations
Natural Gas Distribution: share control and operation of Conecta and Gaseba (Montevidéu)
2222(*) Petrobras Energía
Ecuador (*)
1 Production Block
1 Exploration Block
Proved Reserves: 81.2 MMBOe(SPE 2005)
Production: 9.1 thous. boed – 2005
Peru (*)
1 Production Block
5 Exploration Blocks
Proved Reserves: 109.2 MMBOe(SPE 2005)
Production: 14.3 thous. boed – 2005
Exploring and producing in Ecuador and Peru
2323
Venezuela
4 Production Blocks (*)
2 Explorations Blocks (*)
Proved Reserves: 269 MMBOe(SPE 2005) (*)
Production 47.6 thous. boed – 2005 (*)
Moruy II exploratory block, operated by Petrobras in the Venezuelan Golf
(*) Petrobras Energía
Colômbia
6 Production Blocks. Includes Guando field, the largest discovery in the country in the last 15 years.
11 Exploration Blocks. Includes Tayrona Block (22,500 km2) in deep waters of the Caribbean Sea
Proved Reserves 36.3 MMBOe (SPE 2005)
Production 16.6 thous. boed – 2005
39 service stations
Producing and exploring in Colombia and Venezuela, and distributing in Columbia
PETROBRAS
242424
Oil Natural Gas Renewables
Investments of US$ 0.7 billion in renewable energy and biofuels
Total avoided GHG emissions of 3.93 (M Tons of CO2 Equivalent)
Availability of 855,000 m3/year of biodiesel
Processing 425,000 m3/year of vegetable oil (H-BIO)
240 MW installed capacity of power generation from renewable sources
3.5 million m3 ethanol exports
Company commitment to reduce carbon intensity of operations and products
2525
Ethanol from sugar cane much more efficient than from other crops
Raw Material Energy Output / Energy Input(boe)
Wheat 1.2
Corn 1.3 – 1.8
Sugar Beet 1.9
Sugar Cane(under Brazilian production conditions)
8.3
Raw Material
Production / ha
(kg)
Quantity of Ethanol / ha
Energy Output /
Energy Input (boe)
Sugar Cane 85,000 7,080 liter 8.3
Corn 10,000 4,000 liter 1.3 – 1.8
PETROBRAS
262626
• Consumer wants to decide the fuel at the gas station
• Fuel price is one the most important factor
• Consumer is aware of pollution and renewable fuels
• Today cars manufacturer is producing 80% of FFV in Brazil
0
10,000
20,000
30,000
40,000
50,000
60,000
70,000
80,000
90,000
100,000
110,000
120,000
130,000
140,000
150,000
units
Jan
-03
Feb
-03
Mar
-03
Ap
r-03
May
-03
Jun
-03
Jul-
03
Au
g-0
3
Sep
-03
Oct
-03
No
v-03
Dec
-03
Jan
-04
Feb
-04
Mar
-04
Ap
r-04
May
-04
Jun
-04
Jul-
04
Au
g-0
4
Sep
-04
Oct
-04
No
v-04
Dec
-04
Jan
-05
Feb
-05
Mar
-05
Ap
r-05
May
-05
Jun
-05
Jul-
05
Au
g-0
5
Sep
-05
Oct
-05
No
v-05
Dec
-05
Jan
-06
Feb
-06
Mar
-06
LIGHT VEHICLES TOTAL SALES
Ethanol Gasoline FFV
Ethanol-gasoline flex-fuel vehicles are already a reality
2727
• Ethanol global market is 46.5 Billion Liters (2005)
• Ethanol as a Fuel is 30.6 Billion Liters (67% of total ethanol production)
• Today the ethanol consumption is 2.6% of gasoline MKT
• 10% of ethanol in gasoline will represent 118 Billion Lt
• Recently, Petrobras incorporated Brazil-Japan Ethanol Inc.
• The company will import and distribute Brazilian-produced ethanol in Japan;
• Development of technical and commercial solutions for the reliable and long term supply of alcohol in the Japanese market;
• Petrobras will break into one of the most complex and important energy markets in the World:
• ethanol logistics distribution
• fuel distribution sector in Japan.
Brazil-Japan Ethanol Inc.
Ethanol may become a global market
2828
Marine Terminal Rio de Janeiro
Marine Terminal São Paulo
New Ethanol Pipeline (800 km)
New Water Wayfor Ethanol Ethanol Export
8.0 Million m3 in 2012
But as all renewables need investments in logistics
PETROBRAS
292929
Agribusiness
Farming
Seeds
or
or
or
Ethanol
Methanol
Glycerin + Others
Biodiesel
B2 or B5 mixture
orDiesel
Distributors
DieselRefinery
Hydrogen Diesel Fractions
Stations
Processed Oil
Crushing
Transesterification
Bio diesel and H-bio will reduce dependency on imported diesel
Complementary and not competitive processes
• H-Bio: refining process that utilizes vegetable oils as an input, in order to obtain diesel oil;
• Hydrogenation of a blend of diesel and vegetable oils;
PETROBRAS
303030
Muchas Gracias