kabanov michael vsevolodovich corresponding member of ras, director of imces sb ras

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KABANOV MICHAEL VSEVOLODOVICH Corresponding Member of RAS, Director of IMCES SB RAS Actual evidences of radical climate changes in Siberia at Institute of Monitoring of Climatic and Ecological Systems SB RAS

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KABANOV MICHAEL VSEVOLODOVICH Corresponding Member of RAS, Director of IMCES SB RAS. Actual evidences of radical climate changes in Siberia at Institute of Monitoring of Climatic and Ecological Systems SB RAS. - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Page 1: KABANOV MICHAEL VSEVOLODOVICH Corresponding Member of RAS, Director of IMCES SB RAS

KABANOV MICHAEL VSEVOLODOVICH

Corresponding Member of RAS,

Director of IMCES SB RAS

Actual evidences of radical climate changes in Siberia

atInstitute of Monitoring of Climatic and Ecological Systems

SB RAS

Page 2: KABANOV MICHAEL VSEVOLODOVICH Corresponding Member of RAS, Director of IMCES SB RAS

CASE 1. Vast continental territory of Siberia (approximately 10 mln km2), which has weak technogenic impact. Some regions are free of such an impact at all…

CASE 2. Statistical analysis shows that accelerated warming is observed in Siberia in the last few decades (up to 0.5 C/10 years)…

Page 3: KABANOV MICHAEL VSEVOLODOVICH Corresponding Member of RAS, Director of IMCES SB RAS
Page 4: KABANOV MICHAEL VSEVOLODOVICH Corresponding Member of RAS, Director of IMCES SB RAS

CASE 3. The wavelet analysis of time series

of the surface temperature shows that clearly

pronounced (statistically significant)

periodicities are present in the range from 5

to 30 years …

Page 5: KABANOV MICHAEL VSEVOLODOVICH Corresponding Member of RAS, Director of IMCES SB RAS
Page 6: KABANOV MICHAEL VSEVOLODOVICH Corresponding Member of RAS, Director of IMCES SB RAS

In-dex

Perio-dicity

Omsk

TK

Krasnoyarsk

TI

IrkutskTТ 5 0.850.38 0.810.40 0.510.43

11 0.880.37 0.810.40 0.750.35

22 0.890.36 0.870.37 0.810.33

30 0.970.32 0.790.41 0.950.27

Ap 30 0.620.54 0.740.49 0.570.56

W 30 0.670.38 0.730.44 0.670.38

Page 7: KABANOV MICHAEL VSEVOLODOVICH Corresponding Member of RAS, Director of IMCES SB RAS

CASE 4. It follows from analysis of 2D

climate phase pattern in Tomsk that climate

aridity significantly increased in recent five

years …

Page 8: KABANOV MICHAEL VSEVOLODOVICH Corresponding Member of RAS, Director of IMCES SB RAS

Two-dimensional phase pattern of states of regional natural and climate system (Tomsk)

Page 9: KABANOV MICHAEL VSEVOLODOVICH Corresponding Member of RAS, Director of IMCES SB RAS

CASE 5. Comparison of evolution

trajectories for surface temperature in two

Siberian cities (Omsk and Krasnoyarsk)

revealed (quantitatively) influence of an

anthropogenic event on climatic changes

observed…

Page 10: KABANOV MICHAEL VSEVOLODOVICH Corresponding Member of RAS, Director of IMCES SB RAS
Page 11: KABANOV MICHAEL VSEVOLODOVICH Corresponding Member of RAS, Director of IMCES SB RAS

CASE 6. Investigations of observed environmental and climate changes in Siberia are carried out by qualified researchers…