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COVID19 Impact on European Air Traffic EUROCONTROL Comprehensive Assessment

Air Traffic situation: Tuesday 23 June 2020 & Week 25 (15-21 June 2020)

(compared with equivalent period in 2019)

Key Highlights • Tuesday, 23 June 2020

o 8,769 flights on Tue 23 June, an increase of +959 movements / 12% increase

compared to the previous Tuesday, 16 June. This remain -75.1% against the equivalent day in 2019 (26,501 fewer flights)

o Turkish Airlines was the busiest operator with 401 movements, followed by Wᴉzz (270), Widerøe (258), Lufthansa (250), and DHL Express (250). Ryanair (218) operated 218 flights, having recommenced operations in recent days.

o Paris CDG was the busiest airport with 425 movements, followed by Schiphol

(313), Frankfurt (303), New Istanbul (265) and Gardermoen (236). Heathrow (227) handled 227 movements.

• Week #25 (15-21 June):

o 7,706 flights (daily avg) -77.9% (190,615 fewer flights) – an increase of +1,330 per

day on the previous week (08-14 June) (i.e. +20.9%).

o Mainland Spain + Balearics: Signs of recovery in International movements but more notably in their Domestic market.

• Month of June: Over the first 22 days of June, traffic was increasing and reaching -80.5%

below 2019 level.

• Traffic projections: Latest EUROCONTROL European Network Operations (NOP) 2020 Recovery Plan (published on 19 June), confirms an upward recovery trend:

o Network traffic is expected to reach 13,000 flights by beginning July.

o By end-July/beginning of August, we expect 15,500 flights (mainly intra-

European). This will be around 40% of normal capacity.

• China o China domestic traffic now running at approximately 75% of average domestic

compared to 2019, with 9,459 flights (7-day rolling average to 18 June 2020)

o However, both Beijing Airports (Beijing Capital and Daxing) have seen a sharp decrease of their operations since 15 June 2020.

1. Summary points on the network situation:

• NM Network flights Mon 22 June: 8,877 flights -75.2% (26,939 fewer flights) o Increase of +946 movements on the previous Monday (15 June) (i.e. +12%). o More than 8,800 flights for the first time since Saturday 21 March. o Turkish Airlines was the busiest airline with 410 movements, followed by Ryanair (252),

Lufthansa (251), Widerøe (240), Wizz Air (229), Air France (220), SAS (203) and DHL Express (185).

o Paris/CDG was the busiest airport with 388 movements, followed by Amsterdam (340), Frankfurt (334), Istanbul/Grand (277), Athens (270), London/Heathrow (266), Munich (224) and Oslo (222).

• Week #25 (15-21 June): 7,706 flights (daily avg) -77.9% (190,615 fewer flights) o Increase of +1,330 per day on the previous week (08-14 June) (i.e. +20.9%). o Saturday was the quietest day of the week with 5,999 flights. o The ‘deficit’ since 01 March 2020 totals 2,596,455 flights. o Turkish Airlines (402) was the busiest operator with an average of 404 movements per

day, followed by Lufthansa (242), Wizz (201), Widerøe (198), with DHL Express (184) level with Air France (184).

o Averaged across the week, CDG (354) was the busiest airport with an average of 354 movements per day followed by Frankfurt (333), Schiphol (310), with Heathrow (258) level with New Istanbul (258).

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EUROCONTROL NetworkDaily Variation (Flights) compared with equivalent days in 2019

% Daily variation Flights 2019 Flights 2020 7-day moving avg of variation vs. 2019

• When zooming in, a constant but slight recovery is clearly visible at network level since mid-

April both in terms of variation against 2019 and in absolute number of flights (using 7-day moving average for both indicators).

• The largest variation of average daily flights between Monday 15 and Monday 22 June was for Spain with 272 additional flights, followed by Germany (+196), Italy (+155), UK (+134), France (+124).

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Traffic variation between 2020 and 2019at Network Manager Area level

7-day moving avg of 2020 flights 7-day moving avg variation vs. 2019

272

196

155

134

124

68 66 56 48 44 43 41 30 30 25 23 21 21 20 18 17 14 12 11 10 8 8 8 2 2 2 1-1 -2 -4 -4 -4

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States in EUROCONTROL NetworkAverage Daily Variation (IFR Dep/Arr Flights)

22/06/2020 vs. 15/06/2020

• When considering departing and arriving flights per country-pairs on Monday 22 June, the domestic flows within Norway were clearly the highest with 135 dep/arr flights a day on average, followed by Domestic flights within Turkey, Spain, Germany, Italy, France and Greece.

• Between Monday 15 and Monday 22 June, the country-pairs which increased the most were the domestic flights within Norway (+44 dep/arr flights per day on average), followed by the flows within Turkey (+22), within Germany (+15), within Spain (+11) and within Turkey (+10).

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22/06/2020

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Top Country-pairs variation(Number of average dep/arr flights per day)

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2. Return to Operations

• Latest EUROCONTROL European Network Operations (NOP) 2020 Recovery Plan:

https://www.eurocontrol.int/news/eurocontrol-nm-publishes-network-recovery-plan [NOP 2020 Recovery Plan covers a rolling four-week period and is updated by the EUROCONTROL Network Manager on a weekly basis. It consolidates data from around 350 airlines, 68 area control centres (ACCs), 55 airports and 43 State.]

o Network traffic is expected to reach up to 13.000 flights by beginning of July, getting gradually to up to 15.500 flights by the end of July/beginning of August 2020.

o This would represent in average for the last week of July 2020 approximately 40% of the traffic during the similar period in 2019.

Average Daily Traffic

EUROCONTROL European Network Operations (NOP) 2020 Recovery Plan, 19 June 2020

• European Airline Examples Over the last few weeks, restart is clearly visible for some airlines:

o Since the beginning of June for Turkish airlines, Wizz Air, Alitalia, Pegasus and LOT airlines.

o On Monday 15 June for Brussels airlines, Austrian Airlines and easyJet. o On Sunday 21 June for Ryanair. o Constantly since 1 May for Air France, Lufthansa, KLM.

• The chart below presents an evolution of the largest European aircraft operators since 1 May

2020: For more, see: https://www.eurocontrol.int/Economics/DailyTrafficRestart-AOs.html

• Return to Operations - Focus on China

o China domestic traffic now running at approximately 75% of average domestic traffic at end 2019, with 9,459 flights – 7-day rolling average to 18 June 2020 (source: EUROCONTROL NM / Aireon).

1

CHINA airspace: Domestic and International flights

--------------------Domestic (daily)--------------------Domestic (7 days average)--------------------International (daily)--------------------International (7 days average)

Data update: 18-Jun-2020

o It must however be noted that due to resurgence of COVID-19 in Beijing, both Beijing Airports have seen a sharp decrease of their operations since 15 June 2020.

3. Airports: • On Monday 22 June, Paris/CDG was the busiest airport with 388 movements, followed by

Amsterdam (340), Frankfurt (334), Istanbul/Grand (277), Athens (270), London/Heathrow (266), Munich (224) and Oslo (222).

8

CHINA airports: Beijing Capital (ZBAA)

--------------------Domestic (daily)--------------------Domestic (7 days average)--------------------International (daily)--------------------International (7 days average)

Data update: 18-Jun-2020

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270

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0

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Top 40 Airports (Dep/Arr flights + share)22/06/2020

• The largest variation of average daily flights between Monday 15 and Monday 22 June was for Palma de Mallorca with 88 additional flights, followed by Barcelona (+44), Amsterdam (+41), Istanbul Grand (+38), Paris CDG (+36) and London Stansted (+35).

• On Monday 22 June, the airport-pairs which accounted the most were flows between Norwegian airports with more than 25 dep/arr flights a day on average (reaching 31 between Oslo and Trondheim), Las Palmas/Tenerife was 3rd with 24, Marseille/Paris CDG was 5th with 20. All other top 40 airport pairs are around 9-19 dep/arr flights a day on average.

88

44 41 38 36 35

26 23 22 19 17 17 16 16 14 13 12 11 10 10 7 4 3 3 2 1 1 0

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Airports in EUROCONTROL NetworkAverage Daily Variation (IFR Dep/Arr Flights)

22/06/2020 vs. 15/06/2020

31

25 24 23

20 19 19 19 18 18 18 18 17 17 16 16 15 14 14 13 13 13 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 11 11 11 11 11 10 10 10 9 9

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

Oslo

/Gar

derm

oen

- Tro

ndhe

im/V

aern

es

Berg

en/F

lesla

nd -

Stav

ange

r/So

la

Las P

alm

as -

Tene

rife

Nor

te

Berg

en/F

lesla

nd -

Oslo

/Gar

derm

oen

Mar

seill

e/Pr

oven

ce -

Paris

/Cha

rles-

De-G

aulle

Las P

alm

as -

Arre

cife

Lan

zaro

te

Oslo

/Gar

derm

oen

- Sta

vang

er/S

ola

Fuer

teve

ntur

a - L

as P

alm

as

Barc

elon

a - P

alm

a De

Mal

lorc

a

Oslo

/Gar

derm

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- Tro

mso

/Lan

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Larn

aca

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ens

Toul

ouse

/Bla

gnac

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ris/C

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s-De

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lle

Nic

e - P

aris/

Char

les-

De-G

aulle

Athe

ns -

Mak

edon

ia

La P

alm

a - T

ener

ife N

orte

Ibiza

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lma

De M

allo

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Mah

on -

Palm

a De

Mal

lorc

a

Ham

burg

- M

unic

h

Cope

nhag

en/K

astr

up -

Aalb

org

Anta

lya

- Ist

anbu

l/Sab

iha

Gokc

en

Bodo

- O

slo/G

arde

rmoe

n

Cata

nia

Font

anar

ossa

- Ro

me/

Fium

icin

o

Trab

zon

- Ist

anbu

l/Sab

iha

Gokc

en

Mad

rid/B

araj

as -

Palm

a De

Mal

lorc

a

Izm

ir-Ad

nan-

Men

dere

s - Is

tanb

ul/S

abih

a Go

kcen

Duss

eldo

rf -

Mun

ich

Athe

ns -

Irakl

ion/

Nik

os/K

azan

tzak

is

Adan

a-Sa

kirp

asa

- Ist

anbu

l/Sab

iha

Gok

cen

Lond

on/H

eath

row

- N

ew Y

ork

Athe

ns -

Sant

orin

i

Arre

cife

Lan

zaro

te -

Tene

rife

Nor

te

Pale

rmo

Punt

a Ra

isi -

Rom

e/Fi

umic

ino

Anka

ra-E

senb

oga

- Ist

anbu

l/Sab

iha

Gokc

en

Vien

na -

Zuric

h

Helsi

nki-V

anta

a - S

tock

holm

/Arla

nda

Athe

ns -

Mik

onos

Mila

n/M

alpe

nsa

- Rom

e/Fi

umic

ino

Amst

erda

m -

Paris

/Cha

rles-

De-G

aulle

Anta

lya

- Ist

anbu

l Gra

nd

Cata

nia

Font

anar

ossa

- M

ilan/

Mal

pens

a

Aver

ge n

umbe

r of f

light

per

day

Top 40 Airport-pairs(Average number of dep/arr flights per day)

22/06/2020

• Between Monday 15 and 22 June, the airport-pairs which increased the most were the flows within Norway (+8 -10 dep/arr flights per day on average), followed by Las Palmas-Tenerife (+8), and Marseille-Paris/CDG (+6).

4. Airlines • For the largest Air Operator Groups, the reductions on Monday 22 June were: easyJet

-97.5%, Ryanair Group -90.5%, IAG Airlines -92.5%, Lufthansa Group -84.8% and Air-France-KLM -81.9%.

• On Monday 22 June, compared to 2019, TUI Jet was -98%, easyJet -98%, TAP -97%, Iberia -92%, British Airways -92%, Ryanair -91%, Lufthansa -85%, Air France -82%, KLM -80%, SAS -78%, Turkish Airlines -72%, Wizz Air -66% and Widerøe -32%.

• Turkish Airlines was the busiest airline with 410 movements, followed by Ryanair (252), Lufthansa (251), Widerøe (240), Wizz Air (229), Air France (220), SAS (203) and DHL Express (185).

10

8 8 8

6 6 65 5 5 5 5

4 4 4 4 4 4 43 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

Oslo

/Gar

derm

oen

- Tro

ndhe

im/V

aern

es

Berg

en/F

lesla

nd -

Stav

ange

r/So

la

Berg

en/F

lesla

nd -

Oslo

/Gar

derm

oen

Las P

alm

as -

Tene

rife

Nor

te

Oslo

/Gar

derm

oen

- Sta

vang

er/S

ola

Mar

seill

e/Pr

oven

ce -

Paris

/Cha

rles-

De-…

Las P

alm

as -

Arre

cife

Lan

zaro

te

Oslo

/Gar

derm

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- Tro

mso

/Lan

gnes

Athe

ns -

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edon

ia

Nic

e - P

aris/

Char

les-

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aulle

Toul

ouse

/Bla

gnac

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ris/C

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alm

a - T

ener

ife N

orte

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teve

ntur

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as P

alm

as

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aca

- Ath

ens

Barc

elon

a - P

alm

a De

Mal

lorc

a

Ibiza

- Pa

lma

De M

allo

rca

Cope

nhag

en/K

astr

up -

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org

Izm

ir-Ad

nan-

Men

dere

s -…

Ham

burg

- M

unic

h

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slo/G

arde

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n

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nia

Font

anar

ossa

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me/

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asa

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cen

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on/H

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row

- N

ew Y

ork

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ns -

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ion/

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os/K

azan

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is

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eldo

rf -

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ich

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zon

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l/Sab

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en

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en

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ns -

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orin

i

Varia

tion

of n

umbe

r of a

vg d

ep/a

rr fl

ight

s per

day

Top Airport-pairs variation(Number of average dep/arr flights per day)

22/06/2020 vs. 15/06/2020

-81,9%

-97,5%

-92,5%

-84,8%

-90,5%

425 49 201 569 252

-100%

-95%

-90%

-85%

-80%

-75%

-70%

AIR FRANCE-KLM EASYJET GROUP IAG AIRLINES LUFTHANSA GROUP RYANAIR GROUP

Air Operator Group | Daily Network Trafficcompared to the same operational day last year22-06-2020

• The largest variation of average daily flights between Monday 15 and Monday 22 June was for Ryanair with 192 additional flights followed by Wizz Air (+73), Air Europa (+30) and Turkish Airlines (+30).

410

(5%

)

252

(3%

)

251

(3%

)

240

(3%

)

229

(3%

)

220

(2%

)

203

(2%

)

185

(2%

)

153

(2%

)

152

(2%

)

116

(1%

)

108

(1%

)

107

(1%

)

104

(1%

)

102

(1%

)

88 (

1%)

85 (

1%)

80 (

1%)

80 (

1%)

68 (

1%)

67 (

1%)

67 (

1%)

66 (

1%)

60 (

1%)

57 (

1%)

56 (

1%)

56 (

1%)

56 (

1%)

54 (

1%)

53 (

1%)

52 (

1%)

51 (

1%)

49 (

1%)

49 (

1%)

48 (

1%)

48 (

1%)

47 (

1%)

47 (

1%)

47 (

1%)

47 (

1%)

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

400

450

Turk

ish

Airli

nes

Ryan

air

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sche

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sa

Wid

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z Air

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e

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ines

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tem

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way

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lia

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jets

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sus H

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.

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g

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s Int

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tiona

l

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sh A

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s

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nal

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ss A

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es

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man

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ess S

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rian

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nes

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ss C

orp

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/Y

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Hel

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ter S

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ce A

s

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S.A.

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Easy

jet

Jetf

ly A

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s

Nor

weg

ian

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le

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rs (I

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nd) L

td

Air B

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Cor

pora

t.

Uni

ted

Parc

el S

vc

Top 40 Aircraft Operators (Flights + share)22/06/2020

192

73

30 30 24 23 22 21 21 16 11 8 7 4 4 3 3 3 3 1 0 0 0

-1 -2 -5 -8-50

0

50

100

150

200

250

Ryan

air

Wizz

Air

Air E

urop

a

Turk

ish A

irlin

es

Vuel

ing

Airli

nes S

a

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sche

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sa

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Sys

tem

Aust

rian

Airli

nes

Euro

win

gs A

g

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e

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Roy

al D

utch

Airl

Brus

sels

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nes

Nor

weg

ian

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hutt

le

Pega

sus H

ava

Tasi.

Air N

ostr

um

Finn

air O

/Y

Lot-

Polis

h Ai

rline

s

Swiss

Inte

rnat

iona

l

Alita

lia

Briti

sh A

irway

s

Iber

ia

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Air P

ortu

gal

Aer L

ingu

s Teo

rant

a

Tui J

et

El A

l-Isr

ael A

irl.

Easy

jet

Aircraft operators in EUROCONTROL NetworkAverage Daily Variation (IFR Flights)

22/06/2020 vs. 15/06/2020

5. ECAC – Worldwide Regions Traffic: • In March, all bi-directional traffic flows between ECAC and other regions in the world decreased

with various dynamics and amplitude. The flow with Asia/Pacific is now the largest share of traffic to/from ECAC at 6%, followed by North Atlantic and Middle East after having reached a minimum early April.

• Over the first 21 days of June, the intra-ECAC flows represented 5104 flights on average per day.

80%

2%4%

5%3%0%1%1%4%

80%

6%

5%

4%1%0%0%2%2%

Share of Europe flightswith other Regions

ECACAsiaPacific'North-Atlantic''Middle-East''North-Africa''Mid-Atlantic''South-Atlantic''Southern Africa''Other Europe'

21/06/2020 compared with 14/06/2020

ECAC<->Total number of

flights Avg daily number

of flights Total number

of flights Variation

(Delta)Variation

(%)ECAC 107 177 5 104 5401 1687 45,4%AsiaPacific 7 438 354 330 -15 -4,3%'North-Atlantic' 6 202 295 318 0 0,0%'Middle-East' 5 808 277 293 23 8,5%'North-Africa' 1 877 89 88 8 10,0%'Mid-Atlantic' 541 26 22 -8 -26,7%'South-Atlantic' 626 30 32 1 3,2%'Southern Africa' 2 022 96 84 -11 -11,6%'Other Europe' 2 719 129 168 15 9,8%

Period 1-21 June 2020

6. Market Segments (Up to 20 June 2020) • This time last year, all-cargo flights accounted for about 2% of total Departure / Arrival flights,

whereas now, it accounted for 8% on 20 June 2020. The share of scheduled traffic, which accounted for 85% reduced to 44%.

• During the crisis, all-cargo flights remained stable at the 2019 level with a variation around the Easter period (both 2019 and 2020) while scheduled and low-cost traffic reduced by 87% (respectively 95%) during the crisis. The recovery of business flights since mid-April must be noted.

• As shown below, the traffic per market segment is steadily increasing since week 16 and all cargo flights, despite increasing in absolute terms, see their share slightly reducing as they increased less than other market segment flights.

26 34285%

3 54111%

5322%

7232%

3 14044%

2 79139%

5578%

6829%

Market Segments in EUROCONTROL NetworkDaily Traffic and share (IFR Dep/Arr Flights)

Scheduled Charter andbusiness aviation

All Cargo Other

3%

-93%-85%

-69%

-37%

-120%

-100%

-80%

-60%

-40%

-20%

0%

20%

40%

21-f

évr-

2020

23-f

évr-

2020

25-f

évr-

2020

27-f

évr-

2020

29-f

évr-

2020

02-m

ars-

2020

04-m

ars-

2020

06-m

ars-

2020

08-m

ars-

2020

10-m

ars-

2020

12-m

ars-

2020

14-m

ars-

2020

16-m

ars-

2020

18-m

ars-

2020

20-m

ars-

2020

22-m

ars-

2020

24-m

ars-

2020

26-m

ars-

2020

28-m

ars-

2020

30-m

ars-

2020

01-a

vr-2

020

03-a

vr-2

020

05-a

vr-2

020

07-a

vr-2

020

09-a

vr-2

020

11-a

vr-2

020

13-a

vr-2

020

15-a

vr-2

020

17-a

vr-2

020

19-a

vr-2

020

21-a

vr-2

020

23-a

vr-2

020

25-a

vr-2

020

27-a

vr-2

020

29-a

vr-2

020

01-m

ai-2

020

03-m

ai-2

020

05-m

ai-2

020

07-m

ai-2

020

09-m

ai-2

020

11-m

ai-2

020

13-m

ai-2

020

15-m

ai-2

020

17-m

ai-2

020

19-m

ai-2

020

21-m

ai-2

020

23-m

ai-2

020

25-m

ai-2

020

27-m

ai-2

020

29-m

ai-2

020

31-m

ai-2

020

02-ju

in-2

020

04-ju

in-2

020

06-ju

in-2

020

08-ju

in-2

020

10-ju

in-2

020

12-ju

in-2

020

14-ju

in-2

020

16-ju

in-2

020

18-ju

in-2

020

20-ju

in-2

020

Market segments in EUROCONTROL Network(compared with equivalent days in 2019)

Daily Variation (Traffic)

All Cargo (7-day avg) Low Cost (7-day avg) Traditional (7-day avg) Non Sched (7-day avg) Biz (7-day avg)

To further assist you in your analysis, EUROCONTROL provides the following additional information on a daily basis (daily updates at approximately 12:00 CET): 1. EUROCONTROL Daily Traffic Variation dashboard:

www.eurocontrol.int/Economics/DailyTrafficVariation (or via the COVID-19 button on the top of our homepage www.eurocontrol.int) • This dashboard will provide traffic for Day+1 for all European States; for the

largest airports; for each Area Control Centre (ACC); and for the largest airline operators.

2. COVID Related-NOTAMS With Network Impact (i.e. summary of airspace restrictions): https://www.public.nm.eurocontrol.int/PUBPORTAL/gateway/spec/index.html • The public Network Operations Portal (NOP) under “Latest News” will be

updated daily with a summary table of the most significant COVID-19 NOTAMs applicable at 12.00 UTC.

900 832 766 747 836 801 828 861 846 882 868 904 927

1067 894 834 873 984 1032 1188 1349 1375 1528 1638 1732 2064

3536

17231323 1272 1393 1441 1542 1645 1692 1814 2257

27533460

415

369415 378

490 444581

679 783904

855928

1013

-

1 000

2 000

3 000

4 000

5 000

6 000

7 000

8 000

13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25

Weekly number of flightsper market segment

Average of All-Cargo Average of BizAv&Charter Average of Sched Average of Other

15% 22% 23% 23% 23% 22% 20% 19% 18% 17% 15% 14% 12%

18%23% 25% 27% 27% 28% 29% 30% 29% 30% 29% 27% 28%

60%45% 40% 39% 38% 39% 37% 36% 36% 35% 40% 44% 46%

7% 10% 12% 12% 13% 12% 14% 15% 17% 18% 15% 15% 14%

0%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%

100%

13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25

Weekly share of number of flightsper market segment

Average of All-Cargo Average of BizAv&Charter Average of Sched Average of Other