keynote slides: the new world of business
DESCRIPTION
Slides for Ross Dawson's first keynote at Congreso Internacional de Retail in Lima Peru. Slides are designed to support the keynote not to stand alone. For more content see www.rossdawson.comTRANSCRIPT
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The New World ofBusiness
FuturistStrategy advisorAuthor
@rossdawson
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Taking diverging paths
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-90%
-70%
-50%
-30%
-10%
10%
30%
1965 1969 1973 1977 1981 1985 1989 1993 1997 2001 2005 2008
US economy: Return on Assets
Top Quartile Bottom Quartile
Source: The Shift Index, Deloitte Center for the Edge
Not keeping pace
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Leadership
Technology
Society
Structure
Work
Organizations
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Technology
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Information accelerates
Flickr credit: kainet
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Connected world
Source: Internet World Stats, as of June 30, 2012
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90
Oceania
Middle East
Africa
Latin America
North America
Europe
Asia
0 200 400 600 800 1000 1200
Internet usersPenetration
%
million
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Wherever you go
0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% 120%
0% 100% 200% 300% 400% 500% 600% 700% 800% 900% 1000%
ChinaRussia
BrazilGermany
NetherlandsFrance
CanadaUK
USAAustralia
JapanWorld
Source: Morgan Stanley, Informa
Mobile Internet – Penetration and Growth
3G Subscription Growth YoY
3G Penetration
3G Penetration
3G Subscription Growth YoY
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Supercomputers in our hands
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Machines become smarter
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The rise of digital information
Source: IDC/ EMC
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Data from inside
Source: IDC/ EMC
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At your command
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Seeing more
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Thought interfaces
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The rise of 3D printing
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Society
Flickr credit: Calsidyrose
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We expect
more
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0 1000 2000 3000 4000 5000 6000 7000 8000
$0 ‐ $300 $300 ‐ $3,000 $3,000 ‐ $30,000 $30,000 ‐ $100,000 > $100,000
Million people
Annual income US$
Opportunity
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Excellence
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Timeliness
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Choice
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Design and beauty
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Participation
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Meaning
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Flickr credit: monasosh
Power to the individual
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Structure
Flickr credit: Visual Artist Frank Bonilla
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Transaction costs slide
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Flickr credit: Ssppeeeeddyy/
The modular economy
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Matching demand and availability
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Reinventing fashion
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Sharing not owning
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Using unused space
Flickr credit: noii’s
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Payments anywhere
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Work
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Getting help to do work
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Expertise can be anywhere
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The diversity of crowds
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“No matter who you are, most of the smartest people
work for someone else.”Bill Joy, Co-Founder, Sun Microsystems
Flickr credit: Andrew Morrell Photography
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Open innovation
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Complex cognitive tasks
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Robots get better
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Replacing human workers
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Value vs. employment
Source: United Nations, U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics
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Knowledge workers supplanted
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Polarization of work
Source: The Polarization of Job Opportunities in the U.S. Labor Market, David Autor
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Humanization of work
Flickr credit: Dell
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Open education
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Organizations
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How organizations really work
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Ad-hoc networks
The two layers of organizations…Standardized
processes
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Building unique organizations
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The inside is the outside
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Procter & Gamble asks for help
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Information across boundaries
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Distributed value creation
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From companies to ecosystems
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Layers of data
Open
Trusted
Proprietary
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Data-driven organizations
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Leadership
Flickr credit: Calsidyrose
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The only way
you can control your destiny
is to be more flexible
than your environment
- The Law of Requisite Variety
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Experimentation and learning
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The lean startup loop
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Governance for transformation
Benefits Risks/ Concerns Risks of NOT taking action
Productivity and efficiency
Productivity loss Reduced competitiveness
Staff satisfaction and engagement
Loss of control Harder to attracttalented staff
Access to information and processes
Information reliability
Fragmentation of information
Flexibility in work Systems security Unauthorized use of technology
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Leadership
Technology
Society
Structure
Work
Organizations
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