leaders of energy without borders : managing energy transition in cross-border / complex-stakeholder...
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2016 Year of Organization for Change on Energy, Climate Change Agreement and the Sustainable
Development post-2015 Agenda
Leaders of Energy without Borders: Managing Energy Transition in Cross-
Border/ Complex Stakeholder Situations
th February 2015: Open Google Hangout
Adriaan Kamp
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2014 2030-2050
7 Billion People
9 Billion People
90 trillion USD
economy
180-210 trillion
USD
225 million oil eq/day
500- 750 million
oil eq/day
400 ppm CO2 and Carbon Budget consumed for 2 degrees/ 21st century
??? ppm CO2 and Climate Change Effects
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The State of Our World Energy System
Three wise moves:
• The Western (OECD-) countries could do well if they were able to “make room” and reduce their average fossil energy footprint significantly, in order to-
• Allow and facilitate the non-OECD countries to grow and allow their benefits and wealth creation (opportunity) from fossil energy.
• The general predicted increase in world average energy consumption per capita should ideally be generated by non-fossil fuels such as renewable energy. Overall world fossil fuel production is not to rise further significantly if we do not wish to cross levels which can no longer be sustained or guaranteed for our economies, societies or nature.
And an action agenda:
• A political agenda: “We need better oversight and agreement on the rules of the game on sustainability and the dynamic developments in the world energy system.”
• A business and large (energy) corporation agenda: “making room for the new: enabling the development of energy architectures of the 21st century”
• A social agenda: “we need to allow for the poor and middle-class incomes: ensuring that energy once and when made available – remains affordable.”
• We need leadership values of the 21st century : allowing for better integration of sustainability in the energy value chains and across borders.
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UN Sustainable Development Goals
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UN FCCC COP21 Paris (3)
Paris Agreement
Adaptation capacity-building climate finance Compliance intended nationally determined
contributions (INDC) loss and damage Mitigation national reporting Paris Outcome REDD/REDD+ Technology technology mechanism
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Year 2016 Agenda
How can we organize ourselves to support and achieve these Three (3)
Objectives?
1. Support the UN Sustainable Development Goals
2. Implement the Paris Agreement
3. Enable the rise of Sustainable Societies and provide Energy to our Economies
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Integration Transition Transformation
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Leadership and Vision: The Opportunity is shaped in the
beginning. •The possibility for Value Creation is largest in the Early Stages of any opportunity
How good is your Opportunity
Framing ?
Energy For One World- 2012, All Rights Reserved
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Levels of Maturity of Change Integration- Transition- Transformation
• Level 1
• Level 2
• Level 3
• Level 4
• Change and No Change. Resistance to Change. Policy, Administrative and Derivative Change (CO2 tax, ETS, Accounting). Coal vs. Gas. Continued backroom lobbying
• Full Integration of Renewables (cleantech, energy conservations, smartness, etc.) in the Energy Architecture - but not with a system change. Retained regulations, ownership , revenue, tax and capital control structures
• Transition to a New Energy Architecture and Newly shared socio-economic and corporate business models- also in international trade
• Transformation of Economies and Societies. Eco-modernity and New human consciousness
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Constructing An Integrative Framework for Steering Transition
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Dialogue and Conversation Roles and Opportunities
• Scandinavia
• NW Europe/ Germany
• US Markets/ America’s (e./g. Mexico, Argentine)
• Middle-East
• India/ SE Asia
• Africa
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One World. Many Needs. Many Views
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Eco- Conscious
Moderated Consumerism
Limits to Growth
Cradle-to-Cradle, Bio-Mimicry
Zero emissions
Nature First
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Networked Society
Away with traditional country and/or
corporate borders : City-Hubs.
Horizontal, cross-border collaborations
Cultural awareness and tolerance
A new world of sharing and abundance
Power to the People
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Expansion of wealth, ownership and new growth
Continued Consumerism and Hedonistic life-styles.
Short-termism, Schumpeter, Ayn Rand, Resilience
A world of larger inequalities and divisions:
Rich and poor. Have’s and Have Not’s
Money First
Shared Capitalism
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A world of Power , Principles and Politics
Polarisation between Beliefs and/or Power
Blocks
The Geo-politics of Emotions
Darwin’s Survival of the Fittest
Power to the Strongest, First Darwin
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Techno Modernity
The world of Prof. Michio Kaku and
Kurz Weill Singularity
Game-changers and Disruptive Innovations
A world of Smart Cities, New Surprises ,
Exponential Growth and Abundance
The Rule of Science &
Technology
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Conscious Capitalism
The rise of new (global and business)
leadership: Gandhi’s and Mandela’s
Neuroscience , psychology and spirituality
Gaia, Oneness and Global Mind-set.
Transformative leadership
Conscious Humanity