2016 leaders of energy without borders - usa group
TRANSCRIPT
2015 Year of Climate Change Agreement and the Sustainable Development post-2015 Agenda
Leaders of Energy without Borders
17th December 2015: Open Google Hangout
Adriaan Kamp
Adriaan Kamp 2009- - Energy For One WorldA practice on Global Change, Energy and
Leadership.
Program Director Executive Energy (transition) & Leadership Education
20 years Industry/Shell International :
Upstream ( 5 Countries and HQ).
Contents of Session
1. Year 2015: Global Change, Climate Change and the Sustainable Development Agenda post -2015
2. Paris COP21
3. Year 2016: Leaders of Energy without Borders
UN FCCC COP21 Paris (3) Paris Agreement
Prof. Jeffrey Sachs- Earth Institute: The Age of Sustainable Development
05/01/23
Clickable Video Presentation
01.05.23
Geopolitical shifts and re-alignments
• Economic and finance system change and fundamentals
• A new technological era
• Global production systems & the rise of new (multinational) corporations
• Social Changes (network economies), and the quest for wealth justice
• Planetary boundaries/ Resource Scarcities
• Demographic change and migration/ Changing labour markets
Global Change
BP Energy Outlook 2035
05/01/23
Linear (logarithmic) relation between Energy Consumption and GDP
05/01/23 Source: Jeffrey Sachs- Earth Institute, 2014
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2014 2030-2050
7 Billion People
9 Billion People
90 trillion USD
economy
180-210 trillion
USD
225 million oil eq/day
500- 750 million
oil eq/day 400 ppm CO2 and Carbon Budget
consumed for 2 degrees/ 21st century
??? ppm CO2 and Climate Change Effects
BRIC:
It’s our time. Let us grow our Economies and take care of
our peopleYou’ll fix whatever you want
to fix!
The West:“If you do as I have done
it will be a mess.”
Let us all change- rapidlyLet’s secure our nation,
people and planet
Emerging:Will there be enough for
us?Can i afford it?
Who will deliver it to me?
The poor:When will we see electricity and get
mobility?
Opec and GasPec:You need us!
We can deliver your needs!What is all that fuzz about
Availability and climate change?
G7 and the next 100 years
Pope Francis and his Encyclical – on Poverty and the Environment
UN Sustainable Development Goals
How are we going to live together and provide energy to all people of this world – reliably,
sustainably, affordable, and in harmony?
Can we build Sustainable Societies for all?
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Contents of Session
1. Year 2015: Global Change, Climate Change and the Sustainable Development Agenda post -2015
2. Paris COP21
3. Year 2016: Leaders of Energy without Borders
Year 2015 – A Pivot Year• Feb: February 5-7 – Delhi Sustainable Development Summit
| New Delhi, India• March: Returns in from Voluntary Contributions INDC.• May : 12-13 – Bonn Conference for Global Transformation |
Bonn, Germany / 2nd annual United Nations Sustainable Energy for All Forum from 17-21 May New York
• June: UN Vienna Energy Forum 18-20 June; 18th June: Pope Encyclical.
• July: 7-10 – Our Common Future under Climate Change | Paris, France; Addis Ababa Accord- Financing for Sustainable Development- 13- 16 July
• September: 25-27 UN General Assembly/ SDG post-2015• December: Paris Climate Change Agreement - Nov 30-Dec
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UN FCCC COP21 Paris Two weeks Global Conference and Actions
05/01/23
UN FCCC COP21 Paris (2)
UN FCCC COP21 Paris (3) Paris Agreement
Adaptationcapacity-buildingclimate financeComplianceintended nationally determined contributions (INDC)loss and damageMitigationnational reportingParis OutcomeREDD/REDD+Technologytechnology mechanism
UN FCCC COP21 Paris (3) COP 21 Conclusion
2/1/2012 Energy For One World- All Rights Reserved
Contents of Session
1. Year 2015: Global Change, Climate Change and the Sustainable Development Agenda post -2015
2. COP21
3. Year 2016: Leaders of Energy without Borders
Year 2016 Agenda How can we organize ourselves to support and achieve these
three Objectives?
1.Support the UN Sustainable Development Goals
2.Implement the Paris Agreement
3.Provide Energy to our Societies
UN Regional Blocks
Countries Cities
Communities Companies and InstitutesCo-alitions of the Willing
Old vs New Clickable Presentations
Vs 250 Bn USD investment
AND WHERE IT ALL MATTERS..
Sustainable Community Building
The Rise of a new middle-class ( 3 Billion) – in MegaCitiesand more people live in Greater Tokyo (35m) than in all of Canada
The top 10 cities by population:
1. Tokyo, (34 million)2. Seoul (24.4 million)3. Guangzhou (24.2 million)4. Mexico City (23.4 million)5. Delhi (23.2 million)6. Mumbai (22.8 million)7. New York (22.2 million)8. Sao Paolo (20.9 million)9. Manila (19.6 million)10.Shanghai (19.4 million)
All above fit comfortably into the list Of Top-50 nations by population
New Possibility Thinking (1)Mission Innovation
New Possibility Thinking (2)International Solar Alliance
New Possibility Thinking (3)Largest Solar Farm (First Solar)
2 4 8 16 32 64 128 256 512 1024
2 yr 4yr 6yr 8 yr 10 yr 12 yr 14 yr 16 yr 18yr 20 yr
5 yr 10 yr 15 yr 20 yr 25 yr 30 yr 35 yr 40 yr 45 yr 50 yr
3500 hectares160,000 homes1,5 Bn USD550 MW8 million panels
New Possibility Thinking (4)Largest Offshore Wind Farm’s
4
2 4 8 16 32 64 128 256 512 1024
2 yr 4yr 6yr 8 yr 10 yr 12 yr 14 yr 16 yr 18yr 20 yr
5 yr 10 yr 15 yr 20 yr 25 yr 30 yr 35 yr 40 yr 45 yr 50 yr
An offshore area of 100km2175 wind turbinesTwo offshore substationsNearly 450km of offshore cablingOne onshore substation630MW of electricityEnough power for nearly half a million homes
New Possibility Thinking (5): New distributed utility
Largest Ore Wind Farm’s
New Possibility Thinking (6)Solar City- A New Value Proposition
New Possibility Thinking (7)Car-manufacturer, Carlos Ghosn
Electric Vehicles sales are in direct correlation with the number and amount of charging stations installed in a city, region or nation.
It's a public-private partnership. It's a matter of trust. It's a matter of convenience. But it surely the way to go into our Future.
(Carlos doesnot believe in fuel-celled LPV's. He is truly committed to the electrification of self-driving and navigating new car concepts)
New Possibility Thinking(8)Smart Cities
The vision of “Smart Cities” is the urban center of the future, made safe, secure environmentally green, and efficient because all structures - whether for power, water, transportation, etc. are designed, constructed, and maintained making use of advanced, integrated materials, sensors, electronics, and networks which are interfaced with computerized systems comprised of databases, tracking, and decision-making algorithms. - U.S. Dept. of Energy, “The Vision of a Smart City”, 2000
Examples of New, Smart or Sustainable Cities:• C40 – Vancouver, Oslo, New York, etc. • Masdar, Abu Dhabi, • New Songho City, South Korea, • Gujarat International Finance Tec-City, India• King Abdullah + Economic CitIES, Saudi Arabia• e.g. China Tianjin Development• •PM Modi’s 100 smart cities
•King Abdullah Economic City, Saudi Arabia
New Possibility Thinking (9) Better Architecture- Zero, Zero-Plus and more
05/01/23
New Possibility Thinking (11)Energy Project Finance
New Possibility Thinking (12)Finance, Banks and Insurers
World Power Sector(electricity only- ~30% world energy)- IEA, June 2015
51
From WEF/ Accenture: The energy architecture is an integrated physical system of energy sources, carriers and demand sectors shaped by
government, industry and civil society.
The energy architecture on location is a reflection of the socio-political, economic, ecological and business philosophies,
leadership and interests exercised on location.
The energy architecture in a country, region or global community is (ideally) to serve (the rise of, establishment of) thriving sustainable societies-
making energy available, affordable and sustainable to all: balancing economic interests with that of society and nature. Here and there. Now
and in the future.
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Energy Architecture
Re-inventing Strategies/Relationships: “X-Factor of Integration, Transition
and Transformation”
1 2
3
4
5
“Every Energy Company and Every Energy Architecture in this world can be improved
upon in order to raise the availability, affordability and sustainability of energy to
all”.- Adriaan Kamp, 2015
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Building New Bridges onEnergy & Sustainability
Focus – Impact- Meaning- Results
New International Value Drivers for Change
(year 2016 and beyond) 1.Support the UN Sustainable Development Goals
2.Implement the Paris Agreement
3.Provide Energy to our Societies
Energy For One World- 2012, All Rights Reserved