efow/ lercpa: leaders of energy without borders. on our way to 100% renewables
TRANSCRIPT
2016 Year of Organization for Change on Energy, Climate Change Agreement and the Sustainable
Development post-2015 Agenda
Leaders of Energy without Borders:Our roadmap to a 100% renewables
energy architecture
29 th February 2015: Open Google Hangout
Adriaan Kamp
2016 Year of Organization for Change on Energy, Climate Change Agreement and the Sustainable Development post-2015 Agenda
World Economic Forum –2030 Scenario’s
We are here- so mind the moment we are in!
Clickable Access to Report
Enough Studies
• UN SDSN- deep-decarbonization project: http://deepdecarbonization.org/
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• Prof. Marc Jacobsen of Stanford ( 100 % renewables): http://thesolutionsproject.org/
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• Bloomberg Energy Outlook: http://www.bloomberg.com/company/new-energy-outlook/
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• GreenPeace 100% renewable: http://www.greenpeace.org/international/en/campaigns/climate-change/energyrevolution/
Enough Energy Outlooks
Sixth IEA-IEF-OPEC Symposium on Energy Outlooks16 February 2016 Riyadh, Saudi Arabia
…….."Unfortunately, this report also shows that the current pace of action is falling short of the aim of limiting climate change to a global temperaturerise of 2°C (in ETP modelling, the 2° Scenario or 2DS). Indeed, despite positive signs in manyareas, for the first time since the IEA started monitoring clean energy progress, not one ofthe technology fields tracked is meeting its objectives. As a result, our ability to deliver afuture in which temperatures rise modestly is at risk of being jeopardised, and the future thatwe are heading towards will be far more difficult unless we can take action now to radicallychange the global energy system."
Constructing An Integrative Framework for Steering Transition
Levels of Maturity of Change (1)Integration- Transition- Transformation• Level 1
• Level 2
• Level 3
• Level 4
• Change and No Change. Resistance to Change. Policy, Administrative and Derivative Change (CO2 tax, ETS, Accounting). Coal vs. Gas. Continued backroom lobbying
• Full Integration of Renewables (cleantech, energy conservations, smartness, etc.) in the Energy Architecture - but not with a system change. Retained regulations, ownership , revenue, tax and capital control structures
• Energy Autonomy: Transition to a New Energy Architecture and Newly shared socio-economic and corporate business models- also in international trade.
• Transformation of Economies and Societies. Eco-modernity and New human consciousness
Levels of Maturity of Change (2)Integration- Transition- TransformationElectricity Markets
(Homes and Cities)
NOW
Transportation
coming 5-15 years
Industry
Just starting
Level 4Yet to come
• E.g. New 100 Re % Energy Architectures: combining Sun, Wind. Geo-thermal (/ Gas?), storage and grid- regional, national and local (micro): Central and Distributed.
• E.g. Plan Obama: changing the face of personal mobility, and mass transit in cities- and between cities. Greening shipping and trucking. Cleaner and even more fuel efficient airplanes.
• E.g. Circle Economy, Green Chemistry . 3D printing. Light materials/ material s for construction and manufacturing, new material science, eco-friendly etc..
• E.g. Transformation of Economies and Societies. Eco-modernity and New human consciousness
UNRegional Blocks
CountriesCities
CommunitiesCompanies and InstitutesCo-alitions of the Willing
Old vs NewClickable Presentations
Vs 250 Bn USD investment
Dialogue and ConversationRoles and Opportunities
• Scandinavia
• NW Europe/ Germany
• US Markets/ America’s (e./g. Mexico, Argentine)
• Middle-East
• India/ SE Asia
• Africa
Click to Go To Website
Germany: An example how it works- in real
America’s New Grid
Autonomous Driving Cars-On-Demand: A new paradigm shift
A Happy Marriage of Google with Uber
100% Renewables (Cities and Communities)- The movement
Sweden- Vaxjo
India
197 countries need to change
Building New Bridges onEnergy & Sustainability
Focus – Impact- Meaning- Results
Circles of Change
Back-up
• Agora Think-Thank: http://www.agora-energiewende.de/en/•
• GGGI-in Korea: http://gggi.org/staff/yvo-de-boer/•
• Energy Transition and leadership over Change ( Nyenrode Energy Classes): energy transition model/ working classes• http://www.energytransitionmodel.com/•
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• EU PDF roadmap to energy transition- for Africa and rural villages |(see attachment) http://www.euei-pdf.org/•
• Europe: https://ec.europa.eu/energy/.../2012_energy_roadmap_2050_en_0.pdf•
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• And for cities/ communities:•
• Australia: - http://www.circlesofsustainability.org/•
• Sweden: https://sweden.se/nature/sustainable-living/•
• In the guardian: http://www.theguardian.com/cities/2015/nov/25/what-can-the-world-learn-from-vaxjo-europes-self-styled-greenest-city•
• Germany: World Future Council, Anna Leidreiter- http://go100re.net/•
One World. Many Needs. Many Views
Eco-Conscious
Moderated Consumerism
Limits to Growth
Cradle-to-Cradle, Bio-Mimicry
Zero emissions
Nature First
NetworkedSociety
Away with traditional country and/or
corporate borders : City-Hubs.
Horizontal, cross-border collaborations
Cultural awareness and tolerance
A new world of sharing and abundance
Power to the People
Expansion of wealth, ownership and new growth
Continued Consumerism and Hedonistic life-styles.
Short-termism, Schumpeter, Ayn Rand, Resilience
A world of larger inequalities and divisions:
Rich and poor. Have’s and Have Not’s
Money First
Shared Capitalism
A world of Power , Principles and Politics
Polarisation between Beliefs and/or Power
Blocks
The Geo-politics of Emotions
Darwin’s Survival of the Fittest
Power to the Strongest, FirstDarwin
Techno Modernity
The world of Prof. Michio Kaku and
Kurz Weill Singularity
Game-changers and Disruptive Innovations
A world of Smart Cities, New Surprises ,
Exponential Growth and Abundance
The Rule of Science &
Technology
Conscious Capitalism
The rise of new (global and business)
leadership: Gandhi’s and Mandela’s
Neuroscience , psychology and spirituality
Gaia, Oneness and Global Mind-set.
Transformative leadership
Conscious Humanity