lecture 4 basic statistics dr. a.k.m. shafiqul islam school of bioprocess engineering university...

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Lecture 4 Basic Statistics Dr. A.K.M. Shafiqul Islam School of Bioprocess Engineering University Malaysia Perlis 21.09.2011

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Page 1: Lecture 4 Basic Statistics Dr. A.K.M. Shafiqul Islam School of Bioprocess Engineering University Malaysia Perlis 21.09.2011

Lecture 4Basic StatisticsDr. A.K.M. Shafiqul Islam

School of Bioprocess EngineeringUniversity Malaysia Perlis

21.09.2011

Page 2: Lecture 4 Basic Statistics Dr. A.K.M. Shafiqul Islam School of Bioprocess Engineering University Malaysia Perlis 21.09.2011

PROPAGATION OF ERRORSAddition and subtraction:— errors add as the square root of the squares of the absolute values of the

uncertainties

2c

2b

2ar eeee

cbar

3.067 ± 0.040

4.02 ± 0.01

- 2.9846 ± 0.3308

4.1024 ± 0.333

Page 3: Lecture 4 Basic Statistics Dr. A.K.M. Shafiqul Islam School of Bioprocess Engineering University Malaysia Perlis 21.09.2011

PROPAGATION OF ERRORSMultiplication and division:

─ The relative uncertainties are additive, and the most probable error is represented by the square root of the sum of the relative variances.

─ i.e., the relative variance of the answer is the sum of the individual relative variances.

Page 4: Lecture 4 Basic Statistics Dr. A.K.M. Shafiqul Islam School of Bioprocess Engineering University Malaysia Perlis 21.09.2011

PROPAGATION OF ERRORSMultiplication and division:— relative errors add as the square root of the squares of the relative

uncertainties

2c

2b

2ar

c

e

b

e

a

e

r

e

c

bar

Page 5: Lecture 4 Basic Statistics Dr. A.K.M. Shafiqul Islam School of Bioprocess Engineering University Malaysia Perlis 21.09.2011

Find out the relative uncertainty of the calculation

PROPAGATION OF ERRORS

Page 6: Lecture 4 Basic Statistics Dr. A.K.M. Shafiqul Islam School of Bioprocess Engineering University Malaysia Perlis 21.09.2011

PROPAGATION OF ERRORS

=356.0

= ±0.002566

= ±356.0 X ±2.6 X 10 3

= ±2.6 X 10 3

= ±0.93

So the answer is 356.0 ± 0.9.

Page 7: Lecture 4 Basic Statistics Dr. A.K.M. Shafiqul Islam School of Bioprocess Engineering University Malaysia Perlis 21.09.2011

• A quality control chart is a time plot of a measured quantity that is assumed to be constant (with a Gaussian distribution) for the purpose of ascertaining that the measurement remains within a statistically acceptable range.

• The control chart consists of a central line representing the known or assumed value of the control and either one or two pairs of limit lines, the inner and outer control limits.

CONTROL CHARTS

Page 8: Lecture 4 Basic Statistics Dr. A.K.M. Shafiqul Islam School of Bioprocess Engineering University Malaysia Perlis 21.09.2011

• Calculation of the standard deviation for a set of data provides an indication of the precision inherent in a particular procedure or analysis.

• But unless there is a large number of data, it does not by itself give any information about how close the experimentally determined mean x might be to the true mean value m.

• Statistical theory allows us to estimate the range within which the true value might fall, within a given probability, defined by the experimental mean and the standard deviation.

CONFIDENCE LIMIT

Page 9: Lecture 4 Basic Statistics Dr. A.K.M. Shafiqul Islam School of Bioprocess Engineering University Malaysia Perlis 21.09.2011

• This range is called the confidence interval, and the limits of this range are called the confidence limit.

• The likelihood that the true value falls within the range is called the probability, or confidence level, expressed as a percent.

• The confidence limit is given by

• where t is a statistical factor that depends on the number of degrees of freedom and the confidence level desired.

CONFIDENCE LIMIT

Page 10: Lecture 4 Basic Statistics Dr. A.K.M. Shafiqul Islam School of Bioprocess Engineering University Malaysia Perlis 21.09.2011

CONFIDENCE LIMIT

Page 11: Lecture 4 Basic Statistics Dr. A.K.M. Shafiqul Islam School of Bioprocess Engineering University Malaysia Perlis 21.09.2011

• A soda ash sample is analyzed in the analytical chemistry laboratory by titration with standard hydrochloric acid. The analysis is performed in triplicate with the following results: 93.50, 93.58, and 93.43% Na2CO3. Within what range are you 95% confident that the true value lies?

• So you are 95% confident that, in the absence of a determinate error, the true value falls within 93.31 to 93.69%.

CONFIDENCE LIMIT

Page 12: Lecture 4 Basic Statistics Dr. A.K.M. Shafiqul Islam School of Bioprocess Engineering University Malaysia Perlis 21.09.2011

CONFIDENCE LIMIT

Page 13: Lecture 4 Basic Statistics Dr. A.K.M. Shafiqul Islam School of Bioprocess Engineering University Malaysia Perlis 21.09.2011

• Why we do testing to our experimental data?

1. to compare data among friends with the intention of gaining some confidence that the data observed could be accepted or rejected.

2. to decide whether there is a difference between the results obtained using two different methods. All these can be confirmed by doing some significant tests.

SIGNIFICANT TESTING

Page 14: Lecture 4 Basic Statistics Dr. A.K.M. Shafiqul Islam School of Bioprocess Engineering University Malaysia Perlis 21.09.2011

• Is used to determine if 2 sets of measurements are statistically different.

• The comparison between 2 set of measurements which made by 2 method, one will be test method and the other one will be accepted method.

• By using T test, we can determine whether these two method are significant difference.

T TEST

Page 15: Lecture 4 Basic Statistics Dr. A.K.M. Shafiqul Islam School of Bioprocess Engineering University Malaysia Perlis 21.09.2011

• This is a test designed to indicate whether there is a significant difference between two methods based on their standard deviations.

• F is defined in terms of the variances of the two methods, where the variance is the square of the standard deviation:

F TEST

Page 16: Lecture 4 Basic Statistics Dr. A.K.M. Shafiqul Islam School of Bioprocess Engineering University Malaysia Perlis 21.09.2011

• The F test evaluates differences between the spread of results, while the t test looks at differences between means.

F TEST

Page 17: Lecture 4 Basic Statistics Dr. A.K.M. Shafiqul Islam School of Bioprocess Engineering University Malaysia Perlis 21.09.2011

• You are developing a new colorimetric procedure for determining the glucose content of blood serum. You have chosen the standard Folin-Wu procedure with which to compare your results. From the following two sets of replicate analyses on the same sample, determine whether the variance of your method differs significantly from that of the standard method.

F TEST

Page 18: Lecture 4 Basic Statistics Dr. A.K.M. Shafiqul Islam School of Bioprocess Engineering University Malaysia Perlis 21.09.2011

• Solution

• The F value is > 1.

F TEST

= 1.73

Page 19: Lecture 4 Basic Statistics Dr. A.K.M. Shafiqul Islam School of Bioprocess Engineering University Malaysia Perlis 21.09.2011

F TEST

Page 20: Lecture 4 Basic Statistics Dr. A.K.M. Shafiqul Islam School of Bioprocess Engineering University Malaysia Perlis 21.09.2011

• The tabulated F value for v1 = 6 and V2 = 5 is 4.95.

• Since the calculated value is less than this, we conclude that there is no significant difference in the precision of the two methods, i.e., the standard deviations are from random error alone and don't depend on the sample.

F TEST