low income oversight board meetingliob.cpuc.ca.gov/docs/item 8. opower liob july 10, 2012... ·...
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Opower
Low Income Oversight Board Meeting
July 10th, 2012
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Conservation messages printed on door hangers and lefton homes
Applied behavioral science: At the core of our products
Schultz & Cialdini (OPOWER Scientists)Hewlett Foundation San Marcos Study
$$$
Turn off AC &Turn on Fan
Environment
Turn off AC &Turn on Fan
Citizenship
Turn off AC &Turn on Fan
Zero Impact on Consumption
Neighbors
Turn off AC &Turn on Fan
6% Drop inConsumption
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Opower Overview
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Customer engagement platform that helps all save energy and money
Company• 70+ utility partners
• 250 people in Washington, San Francisco and London
Consumer DNA• Behavioral science software
• Data analytics
• User-centric design
Proven efficiency results» 85% customer engagement
» 1.5% - 3.5% demand reduction
» Over 1TWh of energy savings
» More than $120 million in bill savings
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Working with 70+ utilities, reaching more than 11 million households
≈
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Opower uses a broad spectrum of messaging
5 - 10%
15 - 25%
50 - 75%
90%~99%
SMS Email Online Access (Portal,Social and Online
Advertising)
Telephone(IVR. Call Center)
Accessible to nearly all households
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0.0%
0.5%
1.0%
1.5%
2.0%
2.5%
3.0%
3.5%
4.0%
4.5%
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38
Results are predictable, consistent & sustained across all geographies & fuels
Average Steady State Savings = ~1.5 – 3.5%
Months since program start
Energy saved
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Measurement & verification approach called “gold standard” by U.S. DoE
Random Allocation
Control Group
Test Group
Statistically equivalent
groups
+
ReceiveReports
Energy Usage
No Reports+
Targeted households in
utility footprint
Randomized Control Trials
» Follows experimental design
» Clearly isolates impact of program
» Endorsed by U.S. DoE and LBNL
» Follows NAPEE guidelines
» Used in PUC filings in 24 states
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Opower independent evaluations
Evaluator* Utility Results
Hunt Allcott, MIT 17 deployments 1.4 – 3.3%
Opinion Dynamics & Navigant National Grid (MA) 1.61%
EDF 11 deployments 0.9 – 2.9%
Navigant Consulting SMUD (CA) 1.3 – 2.9%
KEMA Puget Sound Energy (WA) 1.26 & 1.84%
LBNL (meta-analysis) Puget Sound Energy (WA) 1.26 & 1.84%
Power System Engineering Connexus (MN) 2.05 – 2.10%
Power System Engineering Lake Country Power (MN) 2.73 – 2.81%
Hunt Allcott, MIT N/A 2.70%
Hunt Allcott, MIT Connexus (MN) 2.3 – 2.4%
Ian Ayres, Yale SMUD (CA) & Puget Sound Energy (WA) 2.1% & 1.2%
Summit Blue (d/b/a Navigant) SMUD (CA) 2.13 – 2.24%
* In reverse chronological order based on time of publication
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Energy Savings by Age
Energy Savings by Household EfficiencyEnergy Savings by # of Residents
Energy Savings by Income
Impact across all segments
>100k75-100k50-75k25-50k0-25k 60+50-5940-4930-3918-29
3 Residents2 Residents1 Resident “Efficient”“Average”“More than Average”
Impact Variance Very Low Across Demographic Groups and Energy Profiles
>4 Residents
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» Energy costs for average and low income households are similar, but are a higher burden for low income consumers
» Low income households benefit from energy savings by more than 2X compared to average
» Improving efficiency may also lead to better health & comfort, including more retained heat in winter
Big savings for low income
* Assumes median “average” income of $50,000, median “low income” of $20,000, and $1800 /year in energy costs
Energy spending as a % of income
Low incomehouseholds
Average incomehouseholds
3.6% 9%
Benefit of a 3% reduction in energy usage (as a % of household income)
Low incomehouseholds
Average incomehouseholds
>2x0.11%
0.27%
Greater proportional savings for low income households
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Some Opower deployments specifically target low-income households
Utility Total Opowerhouseholds* (Low-income households)
Launch date
Midwest Utility 225,000 (17,000) 8/2010
Southwest Utility 80,000 (10,000) 5/2011
Midwest Utility 100,000 (3,750) 10/2011
Northwest Utility 50,000 (13,000) 9/2009
Midatlantic Utility 25,000 (2,500) 11/2010
* Total households includes expansion households in contract but not yet deployed** Saving rate for overall utility program
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Northern California Utility Southern California Utility Midwestern Utility
Opower increases participation in other efficiency programs
Promoted Programs Include
Appliance recycling Pool pump replacementHome energy audits AC tuning
Control Group
Report Recipients
Control Group
Report Recipients
Control Group
Report Recipients
17.6% +25%+59%
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Opower benefits to low income programs in California
1. Ability to reach tens of thousands more eligible and willing households at a new, minimum, treatment level
2. Opportunity to lift overall cost-effectiveness of the portfolio
3. Address education and awareness gaps, a significant barrier to capturing and sustaining energy savings
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Thank You
Jeff LyngDirector, Market Development & Regulatory [email protected], 303.818.2302
Rachel GoldRegulatory Affairs [email protected]