lutfi anwar 0910440287

8/2/2019 lutfi anwar 0910440287

1/12

Persamaan Simultan

LAPORAN PRAKTIKUM METODE KUANTITATIF

Analisis Persamaan Simultan

Disusun Oleh :

Lutfi Anwar 0910440287

PROGRAM STUDI AGRIBISNIS

JURUSAN SOSIAL EKONOMI PERTANIAN

FAKULTAS PERTANIAN

UNIVERSITAS BRAWIJAYA

MALANG

2012

8/2/2019 lutfi anwar 0910440287

2/12

Persamaan Simultan

Hasil SPSS

Two-stage Least Squares Analysis Persamaan 1

Notes

Output Created 27-Apr-2012 23:39:16

Comments

Input Active Dataset DataSet0

Filter

Weight

Split File

N of Rows in Working Data File 21

Date

Missing Value

Handling

Definition of Missing User-defined missing values are treated as missing.

Cases Used Statistics are based on all cases with valid data for all

variables across all equations.

Syntax 2SLS Dt WITH POPt It PDG Dt1

/INSTRUMENTS PDGt1 It POPt NTt Dt1 St

PRODGt PDVt L_T IMG PWG PDG

/CONSTANT

/SAVE PRED.

Resources Processor Time 0:00:00.015

Elapsed Time 0:00:00.016

Time Series

Settings (TSET)

Amount of Output PRINT = DEFAULT

Saving New Variables NEWVAR = CURRENT

Treatment of User-Missing Values MISSING = EXCLUDE

Equations Include CONSTANT

Variables Created

or Modified

FIT_1 Fit for Dt, MOD_1 Equation 1

[DataSet0]

Model Description

Type of Variable

Equation 1 Dt dependent

POPt predictor & instrumental

It predictor & instrumental

PDG predictor & instrumental

Dt1 predictor & instrumental

PDGt1 instrumental

NTt instrumental

8/2/2019 lutfi anwar 0910440287

3/12

Persamaan Simultan

St instrumental

PRODGt instrumental

PDVt instrumental

L_T instrumental

IMG instrumental

PWG instrumental

MOD_1

Model Summary

Equation 1 Multiple R .754

R Square .569

Adjusted R Square .461

Std. Error of the Estimate 407810.695

ANOVA

Sum of Squares df Mean Square F Sig.

Equation 1 Regression 3.510E12 4 8.774E11 5.276 .007

Residual 2.661E12 16 1.663E11

Total 6.171E12 20

Coefficients

Unstandardized CoefficientsB Std. Error

Equation 1 (Constant) -6.009E6 3155699.191

POPt 63.212 25.613

It -6.449 4.134

PDG -786.267 348.899

Dt1 .290 .183

Coefficients

Beta t Sig.

Equation 1 (Constant) -1.904 .075

POPt 2.266 2.468 .025

It -.429 -1.560 .138

PDG -2.040 -2.254 .039

Dt1 .342 1.584 .133

Coefficient Correlations

POPt It PDG Dt1

Equation 1 Correlations POPt 1.000 -.732 -.976 -.386

It -.732 1.000 .774 .011

8/2/2019 lutfi anwar 0910440287

4/12

Persamaan Simultan

PDG -.976 .774 1.000 .276

Dt1 -.386 .011 .276 1.000

Two-stage Least Squares Analysis p`Persamaan 2

Notes


Comments

Input Active Dataset DataSet0

Filter

Weight

Split File


Date

Missing Value

Handling



variables across all equations.

Syntax 2SLS PRODGt WITH PDG L_T PDVt

/INSTRUMENTS PDGt1 It POPt NTt Dt Dt1 St PDVt

L_T IMG PWG PDG

/CONSTANT

/SAVE PRED.



Time Series

Settings (TSET)


Saving New Variables NEWVAR = CURRENT

Treatment of User-Missing

Values

MISSING = EXCLUDE


Variables Created

or Modified

FIT_2 Fit for PRODGt, MOD_2 Equation 1

[DataSet0]Model Description

Type of Variable

Equation 1 PRODGt dependent

PDG predictor & instrumental

L_T predictor & instrumental

PDVt predictor & instrumental

PDGt1 instrumental

It instrumental

POPt instrumentalNTt instrumental

8/2/2019 lutfi anwar 0910440287

5/12

Persamaan Simultan

Dt instrumental

Dt1 instrumental

St instrumental

IMG instrumental

PWG instrumental

MOD_2

Model Summary


R Square .563



ANOVA


Equation 1 Regression 8.647E11 3 2.882E11 7.313 .002

Residual 6.701E11 17 3.942E10

Total 1.535E12 20

Coefficients

Unstandardized Coefficients

B Std. ErrorEquation 1 (Constant) 424545.267 469878.355

PDG 139.932 294.932

L_T -.069 .113

PDVt 293793.286 74698.666

Coefficients

Beta t Sig.

Equation 1 (Constant) .904 .379

PDG .728 .474 .641

L_T -.926 -.608 .551

PDVt .679 3.933 .001


PDG L_T PDVt

Equation 1 Correlations PDG 1.000 -.994 .244

L_T -.994 1.000 -.211

PDVt .244 -.211 1.000

8/2/2019 lutfi anwar 0910440287

6/12

Persamaan Simultan

Two-stage Least Squares Analysis Persamaan 3

Notes


CommentsInput Active Dataset DataSet0

Filter

Weight

Split File


Date

Missing Value

Handling



variables across all equations.Syntax 2SLS PDG WITH PWG NTt IMG PDGt1

/INSTRUMENTS PDGt1 It POPt NTt Dt Dt1 St

PRODGt PDVt L_T IMG PWG

/CONSTANT

/SAVE PRED.



Time Series

Settings (TSET)


Saving New Variables NEWVAR = CURRENTTreatment of User-Missing Values MISSING = EXCLUDE


Variables Created

or Modified

FIT_3 Fit for PDG, MOD_3 Equation 1

[DataSet0]

Model Description

Type of Variable

Equation 1 PDG dependent

PWG predictor & instrumental

NTt predictor & instrumental

IMG predictor & instrumental

PDGt1 predictor & instrumental

It instrumental

POPt instrumental

Dt instrumental

8/2/2019 lutfi anwar 0910440287

7/12

Persamaan Simultan

Dt1 instrumental

St instrumental

PRODGt instrumental

PDVt instrumental

L_T instrumental

MOD_3

Model Summary


R Square .977



ANOVA


Equation 1 Regression 40604217.234 4 10151054.309 172.696 .000

Residual 940479.718 16 58779.982

Total 41544696.952 20

Coefficients

Unstandardized Coefficients

B Std. ErrorEquation 1 (Constant) -361.370 136.438

PWG .691 .179

NTt .054 .049

IMG -9.259E-5 .000

PDGt1 .667 .110

Coefficients

Beta t Sig.

Equation 1 (Constant) -2.649 .018

PWG .346 3.871 .001

NTt .132 1.104 .286

IMG -.040 -.607 .552

PDGt1 .577 6.087 .000


PWG NTt IMG PDGt1

Equation 1 Correlations PWG 1.000 -.414 -.103 -.295

NTt -.414 1.000 -.465 -.578

8/2/2019 lutfi anwar 0910440287

8/12

Persamaan Simultan

IMG -.103 -.465 1.000 .126

PDGt1 -.295 -.578 .126 1.000

FREQUENCIES VARIABLES=Dt PRED_DT PRODGt PRED_PRODGt PDG PRED_PDGt/STATISTICS=MEAN /ORDER=ANALYSIS.

Frequencies

Notes


Comments

Input Data C:\Users\drago\Documents\SEMESTER

6\Metkuan\metkuan praktikum\MINGGU

5\baru\data.sav

Active Dataset DataSet1

Filter

Weight

Split File


Missing Value

Handling


Cases Used Statistics are based on all cases with valid data.

Syntax FREQUENCIES VARIABLES=Dt PRED_DT PRODGt

PRED_PRODGt PDG PRED_PDGt

/STATISTICS=MEAN

/ORDER=ANALYSIS.



[DataSet1] C:\Users\drago\Documents\SEMESTER 6\Metkuan\metkuanpraktikum\MINGGU 5\baru\data.sav

Statistics

Dt Fit for Dt,

MOD_1

Equation 1

PRODGt Fit for PRODGt,

MOD_2

Equation 1

PDG Fit for PDG,

MOD_3

Equation 1

N Valid 21 21 21 21 21 21

Missing 0 0 0 0 0 0

Mean 3.4144E6 3.4143640E6 2.0042E6 2.0041987E6 2054.9524 2.0549524E3

Frequency Table

Dt

Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent

Valid 1910968.00 1 4.8 4.8 4.8

8/2/2019 lutfi anwar 0910440287

9/12

Persamaan Simultan

2769278.00 1 4.8 4.8 9.5

2940631.00 1 4.8 4.8 14.3

2943923.00 1 4.8 4.8 19.0

3160562.00 1 4.8 4.8 23.8

3187530.00 1 4.8 4.8 28.6

3190974.00 1 4.8 4.8 33.3

3284303.00 1 4.8 4.8 38.1

3328465.00 1 4.8 4.8 42.9

3366006.00 1 4.8 4.8 47.6

3368570.00 1 4.8 4.8 52.4

3374606.00 1 4.8 4.8 57.1

3392090.00 1 4.8 4.8 61.9

3489930.00 1 4.8 4.8 66.7

3514290.00 1 4.8 4.8 71.4

3922160.00 1 4.8 4.8 76.2

3964030.00 1 4.8 4.8 81.0

3977884.00 1 4.8 4.8 85.7

4073471.00 1 4.8 4.8 90.5

4102519.00 1 4.8 4.8 95.2

4439453.00 1 4.8 4.8 100.0

Total 21 100.0 100.0

Fit for Dt, MOD_1 Equation 1


Valid 2332572.31984 1 4.8 4.8 4.8

2671775.78783 1 4.8 4.8 9.5

3083020.84805 1 4.8 4.8 14.3

3098497.78845 1 4.8 4.8 19.0

3124355.57057 1 4.8 4.8 23.8

3261216.31730 1 4.8 4.8 28.6

3273234.29627 1 4.8 4.8 33.3

3312400.89649 1 4.8 4.8 38.1

3328543.65060 1 4.8 4.8 42.9

3466606.19994 1 4.8 4.8 47.6

3497376.54222 1 4.8 4.8 52.4

3531931.53545 1 4.8 4.8 57.1

3537296.72627 1 4.8 4.8 61.9

3558538.71445 1 4.8 4.8 66.7

3562899.59662 1 4.8 4.8 71.4

3584361.06236 1 4.8 4.8 76.2

3694790.08193 1 4.8 4.8 81.0

3704176.13921 1 4.8 4.8 85.7

8/2/2019 lutfi anwar 0910440287

10/12

Persamaan Simultan

3867040.23189 1 4.8 4.8 90.5

4102456.26459 1 4.8 4.8 95.2

4108552.42969 1 4.8 4.8 100.0

Total 21 100.0 100.0

PRODGt


Valid 1488269.00 1 4.8 4.8 4.8

1493933.00 1 4.8 4.8 9.5

1631918.00 1 4.8 4.8 14.3

1690004.00 1 4.8 4.8 19.0

1725467.00 1 4.8 4.8 23.8

1755354.00 1 4.8 4.8 28.6

1898809.00 1 4.8 4.8 33.3

2004051.00 1 4.8 4.8 38.1

2014574.00 1 4.8 4.8 42.9

2051645.00 1 4.8 4.8 47.6

2059576.00 1 4.8 4.8 52.4

2094195.00 1 4.8 4.8 57.1

2108348.00 1 4.8 4.8 61.9

2119585.00 1 4.8 4.8 66.7

2175874.00 1 4.8 4.8 71.4

2191986.00 1 4.8 4.8 76.2

2241742.00 1 4.8 4.8 81.0

2252667.00 1 4.8 4.8 85.7

2306484.00 1 4.8 4.8 90.5

2329811.00 1 4.8 4.8 95.2

2453881.00 1 4.8 4.8 100.0

Total 21 100.0 100.0

Fit for PRODGt, MOD_2 Equation 1


Valid 1588501.64145 1 4.8 4.8 4.8

1673735.44886 1 4.8 4.8 9.5

1791326.28511 1 4.8 4.8 14.3

1802182.65890 1 4.8 4.8 19.0

1803586.71636 1 4.8 4.8 23.8

1832676.32263 1 4.8 4.8 28.6

1833952.11673 1 4.8 4.8 33.3

1874326.44313 1 4.8 4.8 38.1

2015851.42873 1 4.8 4.8 42.9

8/2/2019 lutfi anwar 0910440287

11/12

Persamaan Simultan

2038858.48940 1 4.8 4.8 47.6

2066127.46790 1 4.8 4.8 52.4

2071942.11495 1 4.8 4.8 57.1

2074443.96632 1 4.8 4.8 61.9

2099687.91771 1 4.8 4.8 66.7

2129785.38959 1 4.8 4.8 71.4

2157082.98293 1 4.8 4.8 76.2

2191222.36857 1 4.8 4.8 81.0

2191225.82959 1 4.8 4.8 85.7

2203549.72562 1 4.8 4.8 90.5

2280452.87026 1 4.8 4.8 95.2

2367654.81525 1 4.8 4.8 100.0

Total 21 100.0 100.0

PDG


Valid 592.00 1 4.8 4.8 4.8

615.00 1 4.8 4.8 9.5

653.00 1 4.8 4.8 14.3

729.00 1 4.8 4.8 19.0

890.00 1 4.8 4.8 23.8

1041.00 1 4.8 4.8 28.6

1125.00 1 4.8 4.8 33.3

1215.00 1 4.8 4.8 38.1

1256.00 1 4.8 4.8 42.9

1260.00 1 4.8 4.8 47.6

1430.00 1 4.8 4.8 52.4

1461.00 1 4.8 4.8 57.1

1525.00 1 4.8 4.8 61.9

2572.00 1 4.8 4.8 66.7

2640.00 1 4.8 4.8 71.4

2989.00 1 4.8 4.8 76.2

3619.00 1 4.8 4.8 81.0

3745.00 1 4.8 4.8 85.7

4110.00 1 4.8 4.8 90.5

4212.00 1 4.8 4.8 95.2

5475.00 1 4.8 4.8 100.0

Total 21 100.0 100.0

Fit for PDG, MOD_3 Equation 1

8/2/2019 lutfi anwar 0910440287

12/12

Persamaan Simultan

Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative

Percent

Valid 435.13722 1 4.8 4.8 4.8

524.39733 1 4.8 4.8 9.5

558.04707 1 4.8 4.8 14.3

638.08432 1 4.8 4.8 19.0

784.47740 1 4.8 4.8 23.8

1002.02162 1 4.8 4.8 28.6

1161.08917 1 4.8 4.8 33.3

1279.18829 1 4.8 4.8 38.1

1378.38642 1 4.8 4.8 42.9

1423.32122 1 4.8 4.8 47.6

1505.84925 1 4.8 4.8 52.4

1591.98505 1 4.8 4.8 57.1

1759.65675 1 4.8 4.8 61.9

2387.74419 1 4.8 4.8 66.7

2523.67749 1 4.8 4.8 71.4

3253.02277 1 4.8 4.8 76.2

3676.24204 1 4.8 4.8 81.0

3868.88011 1 4.8 4.8 85.7

3942.63414 1 4.8 4.8 90.5

4379.67565 1 4.8 4.8 95.2

5080.48251 1 4.8 4.8 100.0

Total 21 100.0 100.0