magonomics presentation

31
Magazines & Brand Metrics The impact of investment Econometri cs & ROI

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Magonomics Presentation from James Papworth, presented at #PPAScotland's quarterly members meeting on 12 June.

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Page 1: Magonomics Presentation

Magazines & Brand Metrics

The impact of investment

Econometrics & ROI

Page 2: Magonomics Presentation

Magazines & the Customer

Journey - ‘MAGNIFY’

Magazines & Brand Metrics

The impact of investment

Econometrics & ROI

Page 3: Magonomics Presentation

Understanding the consumer journey

AWARENESS

RESEARCH & FAMILIARITY

OPINION & SHORT LIST

CONSIDERATION

PURCHASE

PRE-AWARENESS

PURCHASE INTENT TRIGGER

Page 4: Magonomics Presentation

NOTED SCORES

ADVERTISING EDITORIAL

WELCOME

54% 54%

NET ACTION SCORES

ADVERTISING EDITORIAL

63% 66%

SOURCE: MAGNIFY

1Magazine Influence

Page 5: Magonomics Presentation

Purchase actions

How magazines drive consumer behaviour

Engagement Reference actions

AD

VE

RT

ISIN

GE

DIT

OR

IAL

FAMILIARITY RESEARCH CONSIDERATION & PURCHASE

Impact actions

BRAND ACTIVISM

SOURCE: MAGNIFY

Read most

Read Any

25%

45%

Read Any

Read Most

50%

33%

Gatheredmore info

Visited brandwebsite

Cut out ad7%

16%

18%

Used for ideas

Gatheredmore info

Cut out ed

Visited brandwebsite

18%

13%

11%

7%

Have a morefavourableopinion

Recommendedthe product

14%

19%

Discussed/referred

Passedto someone

19%

13%

Consideringpurchase

Purchased9%

22%

Consideringpurchase

Purchased

12%

4%

1

Page 6: Magonomics Presentation

MAG

AZINE

But how do magazines compare?

Page 7: Magonomics Presentation

MagazinesAn ROI study

Magazines & Brand Metrics

The impact of investment

Econometrics & ROI

2

3

4

Page 8: Magonomics Presentation

What is ROI?

2

Page 9: Magonomics Presentation

Brand Pyramid

Brand Lifestage Typology

Brand Voltage

MINDSHARE/BRANDZ

Brand Personality

2

Page 10: Magonomics Presentation

MINDSHARE/BRANDZ

2

Page 11: Magonomics Presentation

7The brand pyramid

brand Typology:

Defender

MINDSHARE/BRANDZ

2

79

88

73

55

Page 12: Magonomics Presentation

Magazines & Brand Metrics

Bonding is the most

important factor which drives consumers towards purchase

MINDSHARE/BRANDZ

2

HighShare of wallet

LowShare of wallet

Page 13: Magonomics Presentation

BrandZ Analysis

201114 Categories

136 brands

Mainstream media spend by channel

a COMPREHENSIVE UNDERSTANDING OF MEDIA vs BONDING SCORE

MINDSHARE/BRANDZ

2

Page 14: Magonomics Presentation

<£2mCampaign Value

Magazines & Bonding

Brands that invest 20% above average* in magazines enjoy higher bonding scores than

brands that underinvest

£2m – £10mCampaign Value

25% 72%

BrandZ: 136 Brands using magazines*Based on average share of spend of 7% in 2011: Source WARC/ AA

2

Magazine = ave. 7% of spend

Page 15: Magonomics Presentation

58

76

56

45

8

59

77

57

41

9

62

76

59

47

11

Olay has spent more than

£15 millionBrandZ: Face care, *Source: Nielsen AdDynamix

In magazines since 2008*

2008 2009 2010

Magazines & Brand MetricsOlay used magazines’ bonding power to rebuild and maintain their brand

Base: (403) Base: (400) Base: (399)

2

Page 16: Magonomics Presentation

24

31

23

18

4

27

34

26

20

5

34

40

33

24

8

P&G’s Aussie has spent more than

80%BrandZ: Haircare, *Source: Nielsen AdDynamix

of their budget on magazines* since 2007

2007 2009 2011

Magazines & Brand Metrics

P&G’s Aussie is a brand that has been built on magazines bonding power

Base: (403) Base: (400) Base: (399)

2

Page 17: Magonomics Presentation

How do magazines perform in

econometrics?

3

Page 18: Magonomics Presentation

Base

Price / Promo

In Store

DM

Media

Comp. Price / Promo

Comp. Launches

Comp. Media

Seasonality

Sales

Measured level of base sales

Isolating the media effect

Time

Sale

s

Page 19: Magonomics Presentation

SALES UPLIFT

+10%ATL Media’s contribution to sales

DISTRIBUTION

PRICING

PROMOTIONS

COMPETITORACTIVITIES

PAY-DAYS +HOLIDAYS

CLIMATEFACTORS

BROADCASTMEDIA

PRINTMEDIA

ONLINE

OUTDOOR& CINEMA

Isolating the media effect

SOURCE: MINDSHARE/OHAL

3

Page 20: Magonomics Presentation

The ROI challenges for magazines

Estimated as Press

Using appropriate

media inputs

3

Low weighting

Page 21: Magonomics Presentation

The challenges for magazines

81%

GRPs

Time (weeks)Week 1(On sale week)

Incorrectly applied print models assume the total audience is reached during the on sale week

Monthly Magazines

ReachIn four weeks

SOURCE: NRS ACCUMULATION STUDY

3

Page 22: Magonomics Presentation

Analysis of 5 FMCG campaigns…

Without accumulation Magazine ROI is underestimated

On average, accumulation data shows an ROI uplift for mags of..…19%

SOURCE: MINDSHARE INPUT ANALYSIS OF 5 FMGC CAMPAIGNS - 2012

3

+3%

Brand B +7%

Brand C+14%

Brand D +33%

Brand E+40%

Brand A

Page 23: Magonomics Presentation

So how do magazines really stack up?

“But of course he is going to say that!”

£6m

ANALYSIS OF 77 CAMPAIGNS WITH A SPEND UP TO

MAGAZINE

150

60

137

103

99

97

167R

OI

Med

ian

In

dex

per

ch

ann

el

SOURCE: MINDSHARE/OHAL META ANALYSIS OF 77 CAMPAIGNSINDEX OF MEDIAN PERFORMANCE OF EACH CAMPAIGN

Page 24: Magonomics Presentation

Why do magazines…

1

4

…rank so highly?

Page 25: Magonomics Presentation

Use in channel selection

Optimising budget allocation

Maximum potential salesSales

potential

Spend

Blue sales100k

The same investment can yield much higher returns dependent on chosen media.

In this illustration £100k invested in the yellow media can yield twice the sales of blue media100k

Yellowsales

4

Page 26: Magonomics Presentation

Use in channel selection

% of maximum sales on the media channel

100%

Weekly Media Spend

90%

80%

70%

60%

50%

40%

30%

20%

10%

0%£0 £500,000 £1,000,000 £1,500,000 £2,000,000

Outdoor TV1 Magazines TV 2

In this case, magazines are by far the most underinvested medium…

… this appearsto be consistent across most campaigns analysed

Diminishing Return Curve Analysis – Campaign A

4

SOURCE: MINDSHARE/OHAL

Page 27: Magonomics Presentation

Budget Reallocation

SOURCE: MINDSHARE DIMINISHING RETURN CURVE ANALYSIS OF 5 FMGC CAMPAIGNS - 2012

Average Sales Uplift

The gains made by reallocating budget to magazines was far greater than what was lost from the host medium

4

Analysis of 5 FMCG campaigns…

1% 1.9% 2.6%

+10%

+20%

+30%

Page 28: Magonomics Presentation

By how much can magazine budgets

be increased before it impacts

on ROI?

4

Page 29: Magonomics Presentation

The bottom line

… budgets have to be at least doubled

before magazine ROI reduced to the same

level as TV

SOURCE: MINDSHARE DIMINISHING RETURN CURVE ANALYSIS OF 5 FMGC CAMPAIGNS - 2012

4

Analysis of 5 FMCG campaigns…

Brand Ax2

Brand B x3

Brand Cx5

Brand D x8

Brand Ex15

What changes in magazine investment are required to match TV ROI?

Page 30: Magonomics Presentation

ROI in Summary

Magazines get consumers

closer to brands.

Brands who are heavy magazine users enjoy higher bonding scores

It is easy to underestimatemagazine ROI

Magazines ROI is

provento be higher than all other media channels

To address the levelof underinvestment in magazines, budgets

need to be more than doubled

before ROI starts dropping off

ROI

Page 31: Magonomics Presentation

Magazines & Brand Metrics

The impact of investment

Econometrics & ROI