mainstreet - sk march 1

8/20/2019 Mainstreet - SK March 1

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[MARCH 3, 2016]

SASKATCHEWAN

Mainstreet surveyed a random sample of 1,498 Saskatchewan residents by Smart IVR™ on Mast, 2016. A mixture of landlines and cell phones were surveyed. Margin of error: +/- 2.53%, 19 tim

out of 20. Regional margins of error: Regina: +/-4.23%; Saskatoon: +/-4.5%; rest Saskatchewan: +/-4.43%; 19 times out of 20. Results were weighed by geography, age agender based on the 2011 Canadian Census.

EMBARGOED UNTIL: 6 AM CST, MARCH 3, 2016

PRINT EXCLUSIVE: POSTMEDIA NETWORK INC.


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"Exclusive Mainstreet/Postmedia polls are protected by copyrigh

The information and/or data may only be rebroadcast or republish

with full and proper credit and attribution to “Mainstreet/Postmed

SK PARTY LEADS WITH ELECTION IMMINENT

March 3rd, 2016 (Toronto, ON) – A new Mainstreet/Postmedia poll find the Saskatchewan Party leading

province with an election expected within the week. The Mainstreet/Postmedia Poll has a margin of eof +/- 2.53%, 19 times out of 20.

Among all voters he Saskatchewan Party is up 49% from 46% (+3%) while the NDP is now at 28% (-2%

After trending upward for some weeks the NDP has slipped back to 28%,” said Quito Maggi, PresidenMainstreet Research. “While they have improved from the beginning of the year the Saskatchewan Pa

ooks set to easily capture a majority government.”

For Saskatchewan’s NDP the national conversation around Energy East could not have come at a w

ime. Brad Wall has been assertive on the issues and Quebec’s recently announced court challenge, he loand acts very much like a statesman for the western interests. Though Cam Broten has expressed suppor Energy East, currently the visuals are of Wall at the national table in Vancouver.”

We took a look at some issue questions this week around natural resources. When it comes to a potenagreement with Indigenous peoples in Saskatchewan there is lukewarm support, 42% support suchagreement compared to 36% who do not. Most of the positive score came from those who ‘somewapprove’ as opposed to those who ‘strongly approve’. Another 21% of Saskatchewanians did not have

opinion on the matter.”

Looking at the proposed Energy East pipeline, most in Saskatchewan believe it will be built (46%) and

he provincial government is doing enough (46%),” finished Maggi.

About Mainstreet ResearchMainstreet is a national public research firm. With 20 years of political experience at all three levelgovernment, President and CEO Quito Maggi is a respected commentator on Canadian public affairs.

Differentiated by its large sample sizes, Mainstreet Research has provided accurate snapshots of puopinion, having predicted a majority NDP government in Alberta, a majority Liberal government in BrColumbia and a majority Liberal government in Ontario. Mainstreet has been the most accurate polling

n several by elections and the most recent Toronto mayoral election. Most recently, Mainstreet was the opolling firm to correctly predict a Liberal majority government in the 2015 federal election.

-30-

Available for Interview from Toronto: Quito Maggi, [email protected] more information: David Valentin, (613) 698-5524 - [email protected]


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If a provincial election were held today which party would you support?

SASKATCHEWAN PARTY LED BY BRAD WALL

NDP LED BY CAM BROTENLIBERAL PARTY LED BY DARRIN LAMOUREUXGREEN PARTY LED BY VICTOR LAUUNDECIDED

SAMPLE

18-3446%

28%6%3%17%

225

35-4948%

27%8%2%15%

309

50-6449%

32%7%2%9%

386

65+53%

26%6%2%13%

578

Fema48%

31%4%2%14%

764

Male49%

25%10%3%13%

734

SASKATCHEWAN PARTY LED BY BRAD WALLNDP LED BY CAM BROTENLIBERAL PARTY LED BY DARRIN LAMOUREUXGREEN PARTY LED BY VICTOR LAUUNDECIDED

SAMPLE

Regina40%32%5%7%16%

535

Rest of 51%26%9%1%

13%

489

Saskatoon50%31%2%1%17%

474

SK49%28%7%2%

14%

1498

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

45

50

55

Oct 6 Jan 4 Feb 11 Feb 23 Mar 1


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If a provincial election were held today which party would you support? (DECIDED OR LEANING)

SASKATCHEWAN PARTY LED BY BRAD WALLNDP LED BY CAM BROTENLIBERAL PARTY LED BY DARRIN LAMOUREUX

GREEN PARTY LED BY VICTOR LAUSAMPLE

18-3452%34%10%

3%197

35-4955%32%10%

4%287

50-6453%35%9%

2%357

65+60%29%8%

3%532

Fema54%36%7%

3%681

Male55%30%12%

3%692

SASKATCHEWAN PARTY LED BY BRAD WALLNDP LED BY CAM BROTEN

LIBERAL PARTY LED BY DARRIN LAMOUREUXGREEN PARTY LED BY VICTOR LAUSAMPLE

Regina47%37%

8%8%484

Rest of 57%30%

11%2%452

Saskatoon56%37%

6%2%437

SK55%33%

9%3%

1373

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

45

50

55

60

Oct 6 Jan 4 Feb 11 Feb 23 Mar 1


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And which party are you leaning towards voting for?

14%

15%

12%

4%

55%


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And, do you approve or disapprove of Saskatchewan introducing revenue sharingwith indigenous people in Saskatchewan, also known as first nations or aboriginal peoples?

STRONGLY APPROVESOMEWHAT APPROVESOMEWHAT DISAPPROVESTRONGLY DISAPPROVENOT SURE

18-34

15%19%16%25%24%

35-49

17%28%18%17%21%

50-64

16%31%18%17%19%

65+

16%34%13%19%18%

Fema

17%27%15%18%23%

Male

15%27%18%22%18%

STRONGLY APPROVESOMEWHAT APPROVESOMEWHAT DISAPPROVESTRONGLY DISAPPROVENOT SURE

Regina

16%29%16%17%22%

Rest of

16%28%17%19%20%

Saskatoon

15%23%15%24%23%

SK

16%27%16%20%21%

Approve Disapprove Not Sure

43%

36%

21%


7/11

Regardless of your approval or disapproval, do you think the Energy East Pipeline will be built or not?

YESNONOT SURE

18-3449%23%28%

35-4947%21%32%

50-6442%17%41%

65+45%18%37%

Fema44%19%37%

Male48%21%31%

YESNO

NOT SURE

Regina45%21%

34%

Rest of 45%19%

36%

Saskatoon48%21%

31%

SK46%20%

34%

46%

20%

34%



8/11

Is the provincial government doing enough to get new pipelines approved?

YESNONOT SURE

18-3456%11%33%

35-4941%16%42%

50-6439%15%45%

65+44%18%38%

Fema47%14%39%

Male44%16%40%

YESNO

NOT SURE

Regina43%15%

42%

Rest of 42%15%

43%

Saskatoon57%13%

30%

SK46%15%

40%

%46%

15%

40%



9/11

If a provincial election were held today which party would you support?

Saskatchewan Party led by Brad WallNDP led by Cam Broten

Green Party led by Victor LauLiberal Party led by Darrin Lamoureux

Undecided

And which Party are you leaning towards voting for?

Saskatchewan Party led by Brad WallNDP led by Cam Broten

Green Party led by Victor Lau

Liberal Party led by Darrin LamoureuxUndecided

And, do you approve or disapprove of Saskatchewan introducing revenue sharing with indigenous

people in Saskatchewan, also known as first nations or aboriginal peoples?

Strongly Approve

Somewhat Approve

Somewhat DisapproveStrongly DisapproveNot Sure

Regardless of your approval or disapproval, do you think the Energy East Pipeline will be built or no

Yes

NoNot Sure

Is the provincial government doing enough to get new pipelines approved?

YesNo

Not Sure


10/11

ONLY WE

CALLED

THELIBERAL

MAJORITY

Mainstreet Research | 132−2255B Queen Street East

| Toronto | Ontario | M4E 1G3 | Canada

“I recommend "Raiders of the Lost Campaign Arc," released Oct. 18, because it’s an interviewwith a pollster that everyone who follows politics should hear. Quito Maggi, of Mainstreet Pub

Research, was the only pollster I saw call the Liberal majority with such confidence, a weekbefore we voted.

Maggi also has the distinction of being the guy who predicted the BC Liberals would win in 20in defiance of the majority of the polls.

His technique involves picking a true bellwether riding and polling it thoroughly. His explanatiofor how he does it is well worth a listen and should be required research for anyone running

political campaign.” - Shannon Rupp, The Tyee, November 4th, 2015


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CONNECT WITH US: WEBSITE

mainstreetresearch.ca

© 2015 M i t t R h All i ht

Mainstreet is a national public research firm. With 20 years of political experience at all thrlevels of government, President and CEO Quito Maggi is a respected commentator on Canadi

public affairs.

Differentiated by its large sample sizes, Mainstreet Research has provided accurate snapshots public opinion, having predicted a majority NDP government in Alberta, a majority Liber

government in British Columbia and a majority Liberal government in Ontario. Mainstreet h

been the most accurate polling firm in several by elections and the most recent Toronto mayoelection. Most recently, Mainstreet was the only polling firm to correctly predict a Liberal major

government in the 2015 federal election.

CONNECT WITH US: WEBSITE

mainstreetresearch.ca

TWITTER

@MainStResearch

FACEBOOK

fb.com/mainstresearch

mainstreet - sk march 1

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