march 1, 20101 64 th interdepartmental hurricane conference jim weyman, director central pacific...
TRANSCRIPT
March 1, 2010March 1, 2010 11
6464thth Interdepartmental Interdepartmental Hurricane ConferenceHurricane Conference
Jim Weyman, DirectorCentral Pacific Hurricane Center
2009 Central 2009 Central Pacific Pacific Hurricane Hurricane Season and Season and 2010 2010 ChangesChanges
March 1, 2010March 1, 2010 22
Central Pacific 2009 Central Pacific 2009 Hurricane SeasonHurricane Season
Seven tropical cyclones occurred Seven tropical cyclones occurred Greater than the long-term average of 4 to 5Greater than the long-term average of 4 to 5 Three hurricanes, one of them majorThree hurricanes, one of them major Three tropical stormsThree tropical storms One tropical depressionOne tropical depression
March 1, 2010March 1, 2010 33
Central Pacific 2009 Central Pacific 2009 Hurricane SeasonHurricane Season
Three formed in basin, four moved in Three formed in basin, four moved in from eastfrom east
Six of the cyclones occurred in very Six of the cyclones occurred in very late July and in August, with the late July and in August, with the other in Octoberother in October
No fatalities or significant damagesNo fatalities or significant damages
March 1, 2010 4
TS Lana 30 Jul – 3 Aug
MH Neki18-26 Oct
TS Hilda 23-27 Aug
H Felicia8-11 Aug
TS Maka10-12 Aug
TD Two-C28-29 Aug
2009 Central North Pacific Tropical Cyclone Tracks (Preliminary)(dates within the basin)
H Guillermo16-19 Aug
March 1, 2010 5
2009 CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE SEASON(NAMED STORMS ONLY, WITHIN THE BASIN ONLY)
NAME DATES MAX WINDS (MPH)DIRECTDEATHS
U.S. DAMAGE ($ million)
TS LANA 30 JUL-3 AUG 65 0 0
H FELICIA 8-11 AUG 90 (1) 0 0
TS MAKA 10-12 AUG 40 0 0
H GUILLERMO 16-19 AUG 80 (1) 0 0
TS HILDA 23-27 AUG 65 0 0
H NEKI 18-26 OCT 120 (3) 0 0
March 1, 2010March 1, 2010 66
March 1, 2010March 1, 2010 77
Felicia ImagesFelicia ImagesFelicia ImagesFelicia Images
March 1, 2010March 1, 2010 88
Felicia HighlightsFelicia Highlights
Extensive public and media attentionExtensive public and media attention Air Force C-130s and NOAA G-IV taskedAir Force C-130s and NOAA G-IV tasked Tropical storm watches issued for Tropical storm watches issued for
portions of Hawaii, but no tropical storm portions of Hawaii, but no tropical storm warningswarnings
Wind speed/intensity probabilities usedWind speed/intensity probabilities used
March 1, 2010March 1, 2010 99
Felicia HighlightsFelicia Highlights
Remnants produced heavy rains and some Remnants produced heavy rains and some flooding in Hawaiiflooding in Hawaii 3 to 6 inches widespread across several islands3 to 6 inches widespread across several islands Maximum rainfall near 14 inches on Kauai and Maximum rainfall near 14 inches on Kauai and
OahuOahu Flash floods on OahuFlash floods on Oahu
March 1, 2010March 1, 2010 1010
Hurricane Neki – 105 knots
March 1, 2010March 1, 2010 1111
TS Lana 30 Jul – 3 Aug
MH Neki18-26 Oct
TS Hilda 23-27 Aug
H Felicia8-11 Aug
TS Maka10-12 Aug
TD Two-C28-29 Aug
2009 Central North Pacific Tropical Cyclone Tracks (Preliminary)(dates within the basin)
H Guillermo16-19 Aug
March 1, 2010March 1, 2010 1212
Hurricane Neki Hurricane Neki HighlightsHighlights
Peak intensity 105 knots (category 3)Peak intensity 105 knots (category 3) Only major hurricane in in 2009Only major hurricane in in 2009 Hurricane watch for Johnston IslandHurricane watch for Johnston Island Hurricane watches and warnings for Hurricane watches and warnings for
portions of Northwestern Hawaiian portions of Northwestern Hawaiian IslandsIslands
March 1, 2010March 1, 2010 1313
Hurricane Neki Hurricane Neki HighlightsHighlights
Evacuations via NOAA ship and Coast Evacuations via NOAA ship and Coast Guard C-130Guard C-130
Impacted the area as a strong tropical Impacted the area as a strong tropical stormstorm
No impacts in main Hawaiian IslandsNo impacts in main Hawaiian Islands
March 1, 2010March 1, 2010 1414
March 1, 2010March 1, 2010 1515
2009 CPHC Operational 2009 CPHC Operational ChangesChanges
Lead times for tropical storm and Lead times for tropical storm and hurricane watches and warnings hurricane watches and warnings extended to 48 and 36 hoursextended to 48 and 36 hours
Experimental color-coded Graphical Experimental color-coded Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook (Low, Tropical Weather Outlook (Low, Medium, and High)Medium, and High)
March 1, 2010March 1, 2010 1616
CPHC and FEMA Hurricane CPHC and FEMA Hurricane CourseCourse
April 2009April 2009
23-25 February 2010
March 1, 2010March 1, 2010 1717
Catastrophic Hurricane Catastrophic Hurricane Plan Plan
1A, 1B, 1C, 1D, 1E5A3A, 3B
4A, 4B2A, 2B
March 1, 2010March 1, 2010 1818
New for 2010New for 2010
Tropical Cyclone Public Advisory Format Tropical Cyclone Public Advisory Format Changed – More ReadableChanged – More Readable
……HeadlineHeadline ……Tropical Cyclone SummaryTropical Cyclone Summary ……Watches and WarningsWatches and Warnings ……Discussion and 48-Hour OutlookDiscussion and 48-Hour Outlook ……Hazards Affecting LandHazards Affecting Land ……Next AdvisoryNext Advisory
March 1, 2010March 1, 2010 1919
New for 2010New for 2010
Tropical Weather OutlookTropical Weather Outlook
Issued at 0200, 0800,1400, and 2200 HSTIssued at 0200, 0800,1400, and 2200 HST Three hours earlier than previouslyThree hours earlier than previously
Probabilities of Development in Probabilities of Development in Percentages Low (0 – 20%), Medium (30-Percentages Low (0 – 20%), Medium (30-50%), and High (60-100%) 50%), and High (60-100%)
March 1, 2010March 1, 2010 2020
Questions?Questions?
[email protected]@noaa.gov
808-973-5272808-973-5272