mdot 5-yearplan

8/7/2019 MDOT 5-YearPlan

1/19

Kirk T. Steud le, Michigan Department of Transportation Direc tor

St a t e Transpor t a t ion Com m ission

November 18, 2010


2/19

Present a t ion Objec t ives

Review revenues available to support theprogram

Identify MDOTs investment strategies and

funding issues

Provide overview of each programs objectives

Obtain Transportation Commission agreement

to post draft to website and seek public inputand comment


3/19

Five-Year Transpor t at ion ProgramK ey Messages

Five-Year Program includes all modes:Highway, Passenger Transportation, Rail

Freight, Ports and Aviation

Continues to focus on system preservation and

safety

Document streamlined to provide focus on keymessages


4/19

Five-Year Transpor t at ion ProgramK ey Messages

State revenues continue to decline

No additional state funding appears in sight

Highway Program able to match all availablefederal aid in FY 2011 due to one-time budgetadjustments, but significant shortfall begins in

FY 2012. No highway category is completelycut

Consequences of reduced investment areidentified in the Five-Year Program


5/19

2011-2015 Transportation Program

INVESTMENTS

Anticipated Investment = $6.1 Billion

Highw ay

$4.074BAviation

$659.6M

Bus/Marine/Rail

$1.378B


6/19

Highw ay Program

Presenter- Denise Jackson


7/19

Revenue Assum pt ionsHighw ay Program

Federal Revenue Assumptions

No Federal Reauthorization Bill- operating underContinuing Resolution

2011 Revenue assumed same as 2010, then 3.2%annual growth from 2012-2015

$4.1 billion in federal funding would be available forthe trunkline program, if state match funds areavailable


8/19

Revenue Assum pt ionsHighw ay Program

State Revenue Assumptions Revenue based on Department of Treasurys

Michigan Transportation Fund estimate

Assumes flat to less than 1% growth on average for

FY 2011-2015

Total state revenue is estimated at $2.2 billion forcapital outlay, routine maintenance, and debt service

Includes bond proceeds to support the Blue Water BridgePlaza Project


9/19

Inab i l i t y t o Mat c h Federal A id Highw ay Program


10/19

Inves t m ent St rat egy Highw ay Program

Inves t m ent St rat egy Highw ay Program

Highway Program- (Annual/Avg)FY 2011 FY 2012-2015

Repair & Rebuild Roads $493 M $111 M

Repair & Rebuild Bridges $250 M $69 M

Capacity Improvements/ $135 M $50 MNew Roads

Safety and System Operations $131 M $64 M Safety $17 M $10 M Congestion Mitigation $42 M $7 M

and Air Quality ITS $14 M $3 M Operations $18 M $5 M

Other $94 M $48 M

Routine Maintenance $275 M $275 M

TOTAL $1.378 B $677 M


11/19

Highw ay Program Im pac t s Pavem ent and Br idge Preservat ion

Pavement

Over 180 projects (over 325 miles) either delayed or

removed from this Five-Year Program. Nearly 700 miles of preventive maintenance work

annually, removed or delayed.

Bridges Approximately 300 bridges will not receive repairs from

the Bridge Replacement and Rehabilitation Program.

Approximately 300 bridges will not be sufficientlymaintained with preventive maintenance work. Eachyear, more susceptible to becoming structurally deficient.


12/19

Preserv ing t he Highw ay Syst emHow Long Wi l l t he Pavem ent Last ?

Historic and Projected RSL Pavement Condition

Current Strategy vs Match All Federal Aid Strategy

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020

Year

%Good/F

air

Historic Current Match All Federal Aid Goal


13/19

Preserv ing t he Highw ay Syst emHow Long Wi l l t he Pavem ent Last ?

Historic and Projected Network Remaining Service Life

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

1996 2002 2007 2012 2015

Year

RemainingServiceLifeofNetwork


14/19

Preserv ing t he Highw ay Syst emWhat Does t he Dr iver Perc eive?

Historic and Projected Sufficiency Pavement Surface Condition

Current Strategy vs Match All Federal Aid Strategy

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019Year

%

Good/Fair

Historic Sufficiency Surface Condition Current Match All Federal Aid


15/19

Preserv ing t he Highw ay Syst emHow Com for t ab le is t he Dr iver s Ride?

Michigan Pavement Ride Quality

75

80

85

90

95

2001

2002

2003

2004

2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

Years

PercentGoodandFair

(b

asedonroadb

edmileage)

IRI


16/19

Preserv ing t he Highw ay Syst emBr idge Condi t ion

Will not meet the combined bridge condition goal

of 92.5% Good or Fair under current fundinglevels

Bridge Condition Forecast System

MDOT - Freeway and Non-Freeway Bridges

70.00%

75.00%

80.00%

85.00%

90.00%

95.00%

100.00%

1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019

Year

PercentB

ridges

in

Fairor

Goo

d

Condition

Actual Match All Federal-Aid Current Funding Level

Hi h P I


17/19

Highw ay Program Im pac t s Safet y & Sys t em Opera t ions

Safety

Several projects will be delayed that would have

addressed fatalities and severe injuries The Safety Work Authorization program will be

eliminated

Congestion Management and Air Quality $2M shortfall in operation budget of MITS Center

Increased risk if having to implement costlyprescriptive measures

Intelligent Transportation System

Elimination of the entire capital program at MDOT forITS deployment activities


18/19

Highw ay Program Im pac t s Ex panding t he Highw ay Syst em

Less than 10% of MDOTs Highway ProgramInvestments will go towards expanding the system.

The projects anticipated to move forward include:

The Blue Water Bridge project is a major portion of the

capacity program, supported by toll revenue. Project will improve overall crossing efficiency, safety and

security of entry, and I-94/I-69 corridor leading to the plaza.

M-231- Bridge over the Grand River in Ottawa Countyin 2011.

US-131- New bridge over the St. Joseph River, in St.

Joseph County in 2013.

Hi h P I


19/19

Highw ay Program Im pac t s Support ing Ec onom ic Oppor t un i t ies

Effect on Employment of the Five-Year Highway

Program 2011-2015

15,840

8,0518,813

7,2477,709

$624

$778

$673

$621

$1,378

0

2,000

4,000

6,000

8,000

10,000

12,000

14,000

16,000

18,000

Year

NumberofJobs

$0

$200

$400

$600

$800

$1,000

$1,200

$1,400

$1,600

$1,800

Investment(millions)

Jobs Investment (millions)

mdot 5-yearplan

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