mgh oc venture group 2007 09 12
DESCRIPTION
Mark Heesen's VC in the OC KeynoteTRANSCRIPT
VC in the OCBreakfast Keynote Address
September 12, 2007
Mark G. HeesenPresident
Venture Capital –Barely a macroeconomics rounding error in the world of US finance….
US Venture Capital Investment in Perspective
US GDP $12.5 trillion annuallyHedge fund intake $1.5 trillion over last 3 years estimatedMutual fund intake $158 billion in 2006Buyout intake $103 billion in 2006Venture capital intake $28.6 billion in 2006
Venture capital fundraising & investment Is 0.2% of total GDP
Source: BLS website, Investment Company Institute, Thomson Financial, NVCA
Global Insight StudyIn 2006, venture backed companies:
Provided 10.4 million US jobsHad sales of $2.3 trillion
Represents 17.6% of GDPStill dominated venture-created sectors
56% of biotech revenue78% of computer and peripherals revenue94% of computer and peripherals jobs88% of software sector jobs
Outgrew the economy 2003-2006 in every sector
Source: Venture Impact 2006 by Global Insight
Venture-Backed Employment
8.7
9.4
10.4
7.5
8
8.5
9
9.5
10
10.5
2000 2003 2005
3.6%
1.7%
0.0%
1.0%
2.0%
3.0%
4.0%
VC-Backed Growth Pvt Sector Growth
As a % of total US Pvt Jobs in 2006
Outpaces 2003 - 2006 Total US Job Growth
VC-Backed Jobs = 9%
VC-Backed US Jobs (millions)
Source: Venture Impact 2006 by Global Insight
VC-Backed Companies Share of Total Employment Top Sectors 2006
Computers and Peripherals Employment
94%
6%
VC-Backed Total
Medical Devices Employment
83%
17%
VC-Backed Total
Telecomm Employment
48%52%
VC-Backed Total
Software Employment
88%
12%
VC-Backed Total
Source: Venture Impact 2006 by Global Insight
Venture Capital Investment is Productive ...
For VC every dollar invested in 1970-2001, there was $7.90 in US revenue during 2006For every $28,463 of venture capital invested in 1970-2001, there was one job in the year 2006
Note these ratios are based on investment through 2001 ($296B) because investment after that time has likely had little effect on jobs and revenues. If investment through 2006 ($421B) is used, the ratios would be $5.55 and $40,364 respectively
Source: Venture Impact 2006 by Global Insight
Fundraising & Resources
At Year End
# Venture Firms
Capital Under Mgt
1970 28 $1B 1980 89 $4B 1990 395 $30B
2000 881 $228B 2001 946 $255B 2006 798 $235B
The Number of US VC Firms Has Peaked .. Thankfully
Source: 2007 NVCA Yearbook, prepared by Thomson Financial, figure 1.04
Investment Marches On -Rumors that the Venture Industry has stopped investing are greatly
exaggerated
VC Investment Peaked in 2000; Recently 20-23% of Peak; 2006 Was Higher
$0
$20,000
$40,000
$60,000
$80,000
$100,000
$120,000
$ M
illio
n In
vest
ed
1980
1981
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1989
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1991
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1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
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2000
2001
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2004
2005
2006
1H07
Source: PricewaterhouseCoopers/National Venture Capital Association MoneyTree™ Report, Data: Thomson Financial
1998 to 2006:IT share from 53% to 50%;LS share from 13% to 28%In 2007, LS is 33% (Was 35% in Q1 2007!)
0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%
1H07
2006
1998
IT Life Sciences Consumer, Other
Source: PricewaterhouseCoopers/National Venture Capital Association MoneyTree™ Report, Data: Thomson Financial
$0
$200
$400
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$1,200
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Invested $M
# Deals
Cleantech/Greentech shows significant growth nationally
Source: PricewaterhouseCoopers/National Venture Capital Association MoneyTree™ Report, Data: Thomson Financial
Number of First Time Fundings (New Projects) is On Track to Post-Bubble High!
-
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3,000
3,500
First Fundings 891 1,143 1,286 1,408 2,442 3,370 1,217 835 749 909 997 1,134 592
1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 1H07
Source: PricewaterhouseCoopers/National Venture Capital Association MoneyTree™ Report, Data: Thomson Financial
The Reconcentration of Investment Within the US
Top 5 States by Percentage Invested Within State in 2006(75% of Investment by CA-domiciled funds was into CA companies)
0.0
10.0
20.0
30.0
40.0
50.0
60.0
70.0
80.0
% in state 75.0 53.0 50.0 44.0 41.0
CA WA TX NC RI
Source: NVCA 2007 Yearbook produced by Thomson Financial
# of States Receiving Funding from CA VCs in 2006 is Up!
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
# States 31 30 37
1985 1995 2006
Source: NVCA 2007 Yearbook produced by Thomson Financial
California Share seems to be Ever-Increasing
0%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%
100%
49 states % 62% 59% 52% 51%SoCal% 9% 8% 12% 15%NorCal % 29% 33% 36% 34%
1998 2000 2006 1H07
Source: PricewaterhouseCoopers/National Venture Capital Association MoneyTree™ Report, Data: Thomson Financial
What’s Happening in the Californias and the OC?
Latest Data from the PricewaterhouseCoopers/National Venture Capital Association MoneyTree™ Report, Data: Thomson
Financial
For an interactive state analysis tool: www.pwcmoneytree.com
$0
$1,000
$2,000
$3,000
$4,000
$5,000
$6,000
$7,000
$8,000
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$10,000
$M In
vest
ed
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
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# U
psta
te D
eals
$M # Deals
$M 1,283 1,841 4,805 8,929 3,595 2,222 1,909 2,215 2,707 3,169 2,132# Deals 252 330 486 742 398 257 265 274 320 346 191
1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 1H07
SoCal Investment –Tracks at or above national trends
Source: PricewaterhouseCoopers/National Venture Capital Association MoneyTree™ Report, Data: Thomson Financial
SoCal’s share has grown over the past decade (MoneyTree regions aggregated for presentation)
0%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%
MidAtl & NY 17% 12%New England 11% 13%SoCal% 9% 15%NorCal % 29% 34%
1998 1H07
Source: PricewaterhouseCoopers/National Venture Capital Association MoneyTree™ Report, Data: Thomson Financial
The Exit Scene -the importance of acquisitions has become clear over the past several years
0.0
5.0
10.0
15.0
20.0
25.0
30.0
1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 1H07
Off
er $
B
0
50
100
150
200
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300
Num
ber
of IP
Os
IPO Levels Jumped in 2004 but not sustained; New hope in 2007?
Source: Thomson Financial/National Venture Capital Association
0
100
200
300
400
Median Val ($M) 108 182 342 247 322 223 228 255 203 255 3461997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 1H07
Recent Median IPO Valuations Are Consistently Higher than Pre-1999
Source: Thomson Financial/National Venture Capital Association
020406080
100
IPOs Done 29 93 56 57 18 26In Reg on last day 31 57 16 36 44 40
2003 2004 2005 2006 1Q07 2Q07
What’s in the IPO Pipeline?IPOs During Period and Registration Counts at Period End
Source: Thomson Financial/National Venture Capital Association
“Happy” Acquisitions Do Exist –4Q 2006 Was StrongRatio of sale price to total VC investment
0
100
200
300
400
# of
M&
A E
xits
>10x TVI 17 39 38 60 74x-10x TVI 38 72 69 67 101x-4x TVI 125 116 135 114 18< TVI 113 115 104 94 20
2003 2004 2005 2006 1H07
Source: Thomson Financial/National Venture Capital Association – Undisclosed txns are prorated
Venture Exit Counts-IPOs and M&A by Year
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
73 74 75 76 77 78 79 80 81 82 83 84 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 '00
'01
'02
'03
'04
'05
'06
1H07
Year
Num
ber
of Is
sues
M&AIPO
Source: Thomson Financial/National Venture Capital Association
Still Private35%
Known Failed18%
Public or In Reg14%
Acquired33%
For First Fundings From 1991 to 2000, Approximately 33% Were Acquired and 14% Went Public[11,686 Companies Total]
Source: PricewaterhouseCoopers/National Venture Capital Association MoneyTree™ Report, Data: Thomson Financial
Still Private68%
Known Failed8%
Public or In Reg3%
Acquired21%
Of Companies Receiving First Funding in 2001 and 2002, There Are Few Exits[2040 Companies Total]
Source: PricewaterhouseCoopers/National Venture Capital Association MoneyTree™ Report, Data: Thomson Financial
Public Policy andThe Venture Industry
Big Challenges …
What’s Running the Show in 2007?An expensive warCongressional eagerness to eliminate middle class AMTRevenue scoringIt’s silly season*Vague legislation creating less predictable outcomes
* - Defined as the 4-year period leading up to a presidential election
Mark G. HeesenPresident