morganza to the gulf hurricane protection feasibility report march 2002 hydraulic analysis

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Morganza to the Gulf Hurricane Protection Feasibility Report March 2002 Hydraulic Analysis

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Page 1: Morganza to the Gulf Hurricane Protection Feasibility Report March 2002 Hydraulic Analysis

Morganza to the Gulf Hurricane Protection Feasibility Report

March 2002

Hydraulic Analysis

Page 2: Morganza to the Gulf Hurricane Protection Feasibility Report March 2002 Hydraulic Analysis

Interior Drainage Analysis

• UNET (gradually varied unsteady flow 1D model that conserves energy & volume)

• Geometry - mixed, some new & some from earlier studies back to 1987, datum to NGVD

• Datum errors as much as 1 foot in both topography and measured water levels.

• Calibration - Hurricane Andrew (1992) and 1991 rainfall event

Page 3: Morganza to the Gulf Hurricane Protection Feasibility Report March 2002 Hydraulic Analysis

ADCIRC Modeling

• Grid developed from surveys, nautical charts & quadrangle maps

• Verification – Carmen(1974), Juan (1985) & Andrew (1992)

• 17 experienced storms from 1893 to 1992 used to generate data set

• Storms experienced prior to ~1945 produced unacceptable results. Sparse storm data during this earlier period did not permit accurate computation of surge elevations

Page 4: Morganza to the Gulf Hurricane Protection Feasibility Report March 2002 Hydraulic Analysis

Frequency Analysis

• EST (Emperical sampling technique) – not used to analyze ADCIRC results due to the lack of data during the 100 year storm analysis period, but used for UNET results with some smoothing

• Plotting position formulation – used to generate exterior frequencies at gage locations and interpolated between.

• HEC-FDA used to compute confidence bands based on estimated record length

Page 5: Morganza to the Gulf Hurricane Protection Feasibility Report March 2002 Hydraulic Analysis
Page 6: Morganza to the Gulf Hurricane Protection Feasibility Report March 2002 Hydraulic Analysis

Table 2.5.1 Exterior Stage Frequencies                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             

Page 7: Morganza to the Gulf Hurricane Protection Feasibility Report March 2002 Hydraulic Analysis

Levee Design

• Windspeeds from GM – Larose GDM, 1972 (77mph = 100-yr frequency)

• ACES used to determine Hs, T & Levee Height

• Runup from Hs & T added to SWL determined levee height

Page 8: Morganza to the Gulf Hurricane Protection Feasibility Report March 2002 Hydraulic Analysis

Table 2.6.5. 100 Year Frequency Hurricane, Wave Characteristics And Design Wave Runup And Design Elevations Of Protective Structures, Highway 57 Alignment – Base Conditions                                                                             

Page 9: Morganza to the Gulf Hurricane Protection Feasibility Report March 2002 Hydraulic Analysis

Morganza to the Gulf Hurricane Protection Restudy

2008

Page 10: Morganza to the Gulf Hurricane Protection Feasibility Report March 2002 Hydraulic Analysis

Interior Drainage

• HEC-RAS • Geometry – from ADCIRC grid• Grid composed of ~ 10-year old Lidar• Original datum adjusted to

NAVD88(2004.65) • May 2008 - Corrections grid datum using

latest survey data• Calibration - Hurricane Rita (2005) and

a recent rainfall event

Page 11: Morganza to the Gulf Hurricane Protection Feasibility Report March 2002 Hydraulic Analysis

‘New’ ADCIRC Modeling

• Preliminary stages generated in LACPR study not used due to errors in grid datum and recent availability of new survey data

• Restudy will use a sub-set, 54 hypothetical storms, specifically for Morganza region

• Verification – Rita(2005)

• Model - base & future, w & w/o levee alignments

Page 12: Morganza to the Gulf Hurricane Protection Feasibility Report March 2002 Hydraulic Analysis

Frequency Analysis

• JPM-OS (Joint probability-optimum sampling technique)

• Products will be 50-, 100-, 500- & 1000-yr frequency stages

• & Confidence bands

Page 13: Morganza to the Gulf Hurricane Protection Feasibility Report March 2002 Hydraulic Analysis

Levee Design

• Waves – STWAVE (using ADCIRC grid) Hs & T plus confidence bands generated for required frequencies

• Standard deviations (std) for SWL, Hs, & T• Runup & overtopping at 50% confidence

from PCOverslag determines levee slope.• Design Height determined at overtopping

limit of 0.1 cfs/linear foot at 90% confidence for base & future conditions

Page 14: Morganza to the Gulf Hurricane Protection Feasibility Report March 2002 Hydraulic Analysis

Structure Design

• Waves – STWAVE (using ADCIRC grid) Hs & T plus confidence bands generated for required frequencies

• Standard deviations (std) for SWL, Hs, & T

• Design Heights determined for vertical walls by overtopping limit of 0.1 cfs/linear foot at 90% confidence for future conditions