morning consult poll data sept 1

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National Tracking Poll Project: 150805 N Size: 2015 Registered Voters Margin of Error: ± 2% Topline Report August 28-30, 2015 Question Response Frequency Percentage P1 Now, generally speaking, would you say that things in the country are going in the right direction, or have they pretty seriously gotten off on the wrong track? Right Direction 589 29% Wrong Track 1426 71% P2NET Do you approve or disapprove of the job Barack Obama is doing as President? Approve 843 42% Disapprove 1110 55% Don’t Know / No Opinion 62 3% P2 Do you approve or disapprove of the job Barack Obama is doing as President? Strongly Approve 318 16% Somewhat Approve 525 26% Somewhat Disapprove 387 19% Strongly Disapprove 723 36% Don’t Know / No Opinion 62 3% P3 Now, thinking about your vote, what would you say is the top set of issues on your mind when you cast your vote for federal offices such as U.S. Senate or Congress? Economic Issues 810 40% Security Issues 348 17% Health Care Issues 253 13% Senior’s Issues 241 12% Women’s Issues 87 4% Education Issues 124 6% Energy Issues 73 4% Other 80 4% gopPresApp_1NET Next we will look at a list of names that have been talked about as potential Republican candidates for President. It is a long list, please take the time to go through the list carefully and give an individual answer for each name below. For each person, please indicate if you have a Very Favorable, Somewhat Favorable, Somewhat Unfavorable, or Very Unfavorable opinion of each individual. If you have heard of the person, but do not have an opinion, please mark “Heard Of, No Opinion.” If you have not heard of the person, please mark “Never Heard Of.” Jeb Bush Total Favorable 694 34% Total Unfavorable 1014 50% No Opinion / Never Heard Of 308 15% Page | 1

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Real estate mogul Donald Trump has broadened his lead over his rivals for the Republican presidential nomination, a new poll shows, as more Republican voters begin to see the bombastic billionaire in a favorable light.The Morning Consult survey shows Trump leading among Republicans and Republican-leaning independents with 37 percent of the vote, compared with just nine percent for the second-place finishers, former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush (R) and retired neurosurgeon Ben Carson.Sen. Marco Rubio (R-Fla.) and former Arkansas Gov. Mike Huckabee (R) are tied for the next spot with six percent. Former Wisconsin Gov. Scott Walker (R) claims 5 percent of the vote, barely ahead of Sens. Ted Cruz (R-Texas) and Rand Paul (R-Ky.) at 4 percent.

TRANSCRIPT

Page 1: Morning Consult Poll Data Sept 1

National Tracking Poll

Project: 150805N Size: 2015 Registered Voters

Margin of Error: ± 2%Topline Report August 28-30, 2015

Question Response Frequency PercentageP1 Now, generally speaking, would you say that things in the country are going in the

right direction, or have they pretty seriously gotten off on the wrong track?Right Direction 589 29%

Wrong Track 1426 71%

P2NET Do you approve or disapprove of the job Barack Obama is doing as President?Approve 843 42%

Disapprove 1110 55%Don’t Know / No Opinion 62 3%

P2 Do you approve or disapprove of the job Barack Obama is doing as President?Strongly Approve 318 16%

Somewhat Approve 525 26%Somewhat Disapprove 387 19%Strongly Disapprove 723 36%

Don’t Know / No Opinion 62 3%

P3 Now, thinking about your vote, what would you say is the top set of issues on yourmind when you cast your vote for federal offices such as U.S. Senate or Congress?

Economic Issues 810 40%Security Issues 348 17%

Health Care Issues 253 13%Senior’s Issues 241 12%Women’s Issues 87 4%

Education Issues 124 6%Energy Issues 73 4%

Other 80 4%

gopPresApp_1NET Next we will look at a list of names that have been talked about as potentialRepublican candidates for President. It is a long list, please take the time to go throughthe list carefully and give an individual answer for each name below. For each person,please indicate if you have a Very Favorable, Somewhat Favorable, SomewhatUnfavorable, or Very Unfavorable opinion of each individual. If you have heard of theperson, but do not have an opinion, please mark “Heard Of, No Opinion.” If you havenot heard of the person, please mark “Never Heard Of.” Jeb Bush

Total Favorable 694 34%Total Unfavorable 1014 50%

No Opinion / Never Heard Of 308 15%

Page | 1

Page 2: Morning Consult Poll Data Sept 1

Question Response Frequency PercentagegopPresApp_1 Next we will look at a list of names that have been talked about as potential

Republican candidates for President. It is a long list, please take the time to go throughthe list carefully and give an individual answer for each name below. For each person,please indicate if you have a Very Favorable, Somewhat Favorable, SomewhatUnfavorable, or Very Unfavorable opinion of each individual. If you have heard of theperson, but do not have an opinion, please mark “Heard Of, No Opinion.” If you havenot heard of the person, please mark “Never Heard Of.” Jeb Bush

Very Favorable 160 8%Somewhat Favorable 534 27%

Somewhat Unfavorable 476 24%Very Unfavorable 538 27%

Heard Of, No Opinion 196 10%Never Heard Of 111 6%

gopPresApp_2NET Next we will look at a list of names that have been talked about as potentialRepublican candidates for President. It is a long list, please take the time to go throughthe list carefully and give an individual answer for each name below. For each person,please indicate if you have a Very Favorable, Somewhat Favorable, SomewhatUnfavorable, or Very Unfavorable opinion of each individual. If you have heard of theperson, but do not have an opinion, please mark “Heard Of, No Opinion.” If you havenot heard of the person, please mark “Never Heard Of.” Rand Paul

Total Favorable 540 27%Total Unfavorable 889 44%

No Opinion / Never Heard Of 586 29%

gopPresApp_2 Next we will look at a list of names that have been talked about as potentialRepublican candidates for President. It is a long list, please take the time to go throughthe list carefully and give an individual answer for each name below. For each person,please indicate if you have a Very Favorable, Somewhat Favorable, SomewhatUnfavorable, or Very Unfavorable opinion of each individual. If you have heard of theperson, but do not have an opinion, please mark “Heard Of, No Opinion.” If you havenot heard of the person, please mark “Never Heard Of.” Rand Paul

Very Favorable 122 6%Somewhat Favorable 418 21%

Somewhat Unfavorable 451 22%Very Unfavorable 437 22%

Heard Of, No Opinion 334 17%Never Heard Of 252 13%

Page | 2

Page 3: Morning Consult Poll Data Sept 1

Question Response Frequency PercentagegopPresApp_3NET Next we will look at a list of names that have been talked about as potential

Republican candidates for President. It is a long list, please take the time to go throughthe list carefully and give an individual answer for each name below. For each person,please indicate if you have a Very Favorable, Somewhat Favorable, SomewhatUnfavorable, or Very Unfavorable opinion of each individual. If you have heard of theperson, but do not have an opinion, please mark “Heard Of, No Opinion.” If you havenot heard of the person, please mark “Never Heard Of.” Rick Perry

Total Favorable 429 21%Total Unfavorable 918 46%

No Opinion / Never Heard Of 667 33%

gopPresApp_3 Next we will look at a list of names that have been talked about as potentialRepublican candidates for President. It is a long list, please take the time to go throughthe list carefully and give an individual answer for each name below. For each person,please indicate if you have a Very Favorable, Somewhat Favorable, SomewhatUnfavorable, or Very Unfavorable opinion of each individual. If you have heard of theperson, but do not have an opinion, please mark “Heard Of, No Opinion.” If you havenot heard of the person, please mark “Never Heard Of.” Rick Perry

Very Favorable 78 4%Somewhat Favorable 352 17%

Somewhat Unfavorable 418 21%Very Unfavorable 501 25%

Heard Of, No Opinion 374 19%Never Heard Of 293 15%

gopPresApp_4NET Next we will look at a list of names that have been talked about as potentialRepublican candidates for President. It is a long list, please take the time to go throughthe list carefully and give an individual answer for each name below. For each person,please indicate if you have a Very Favorable, Somewhat Favorable, SomewhatUnfavorable, or Very Unfavorable opinion of each individual. If you have heard of theperson, but do not have an opinion, please mark “Heard Of, No Opinion.” If you havenot heard of the person, please mark “Never Heard Of.” Mike Huckabee

Total Favorable 584 29%Total Unfavorable 862 43%

No Opinion / Never Heard Of 570 28%

Page | 3

Page 4: Morning Consult Poll Data Sept 1

Question Response Frequency PercentagegopPresApp_4 Next we will look at a list of names that have been talked about as potential

Republican candidates for President. It is a long list, please take the time to go throughthe list carefully and give an individual answer for each name below. For each person,please indicate if you have a Very Favorable, Somewhat Favorable, SomewhatUnfavorable, or Very Unfavorable opinion of each individual. If you have heard of theperson, but do not have an opinion, please mark “Heard Of, No Opinion.” If you havenot heard of the person, please mark “Never Heard Of.” Mike Huckabee

Very Favorable 194 10%Somewhat Favorable 390 19%

Somewhat Unfavorable 432 21%Very Unfavorable 430 21%

Heard Of, No Opinion 353 18%Never Heard Of 216 11%

gopPresApp_5NET Next we will look at a list of names that have been talked about as potentialRepublican candidates for President. It is a long list, please take the time to go throughthe list carefully and give an individual answer for each name below. For each person,please indicate if you have a Very Favorable, Somewhat Favorable, SomewhatUnfavorable, or Very Unfavorable opinion of each individual. If you have heard of theperson, but do not have an opinion, please mark “Heard Of, No Opinion.” If you havenot heard of the person, please mark “Never Heard Of.” Ben Carson

Total Favorable 686 34%Total Unfavorable 522 26%

No Opinion / Never Heard Of 807 40%

gopPresApp_5 Next we will look at a list of names that have been talked about as potentialRepublican candidates for President. It is a long list, please take the time to go throughthe list carefully and give an individual answer for each name below. For each person,please indicate if you have a Very Favorable, Somewhat Favorable, SomewhatUnfavorable, or Very Unfavorable opinion of each individual. If you have heard of theperson, but do not have an opinion, please mark “Heard Of, No Opinion.” If you havenot heard of the person, please mark “Never Heard Of.” Ben Carson

Very Favorable 301 15%Somewhat Favorable 385 19%

Somewhat Unfavorable 265 13%Very Unfavorable 257 13%

Heard Of, No Opinion 334 17%Never Heard Of 473 23%

Page | 4

Page 5: Morning Consult Poll Data Sept 1

Question Response Frequency PercentagegopPresApp_6NET Next we will look at a list of names that have been talked about as potential

Republican candidates for President. It is a long list, please take the time to go throughthe list carefully and give an individual answer for each name below. For each person,please indicate if you have a Very Favorable, Somewhat Favorable, SomewhatUnfavorable, or Very Unfavorable opinion of each individual. If you have heard of theperson, but do not have an opinion, please mark “Heard Of, No Opinion.” If you havenot heard of the person, please mark “Never Heard Of.” Chris Christie

Total Favorable 518 26%Total Unfavorable 1009 50%

No Opinion / Never Heard Of 488 24%

gopPresApp_6 Next we will look at a list of names that have been talked about as potentialRepublican candidates for President. It is a long list, please take the time to go throughthe list carefully and give an individual answer for each name below. For each person,please indicate if you have a Very Favorable, Somewhat Favorable, SomewhatUnfavorable, or Very Unfavorable opinion of each individual. If you have heard of theperson, but do not have an opinion, please mark “Heard Of, No Opinion.” If you havenot heard of the person, please mark “Never Heard Of.” Chris Christie

Very Favorable 89 4%Somewhat Favorable 429 21%

Somewhat Unfavorable 474 23%Very Unfavorable 535 27%

Heard Of, No Opinion 233 12%Never Heard Of 255 13%

gopPresApp_7NET Next we will look at a list of names that have been talked about as potentialRepublican candidates for President. It is a long list, please take the time to go throughthe list carefully and give an individual answer for each name below. For each person,please indicate if you have a Very Favorable, Somewhat Favorable, SomewhatUnfavorable, or Very Unfavorable opinion of each individual. If you have heard of theperson, but do not have an opinion, please mark “Heard Of, No Opinion.” If you havenot heard of the person, please mark “Never Heard Of.” Scott Walker

Total Favorable 435 22%Total Unfavorable 684 34%

No Opinion / Never Heard Of 896 44%

Page | 5

Page 6: Morning Consult Poll Data Sept 1

Question Response Frequency PercentagegopPresApp_7 Next we will look at a list of names that have been talked about as potential

Republican candidates for President. It is a long list, please take the time to go throughthe list carefully and give an individual answer for each name below. For each person,please indicate if you have a Very Favorable, Somewhat Favorable, SomewhatUnfavorable, or Very Unfavorable opinion of each individual. If you have heard of theperson, but do not have an opinion, please mark “Heard Of, No Opinion.” If you havenot heard of the person, please mark “Never Heard Of.” Scott Walker

Very Favorable 118 6%Somewhat Favorable 317 16%

Somewhat Unfavorable 319 16%Very Unfavorable 365 18%

Heard Of, No Opinion 370 18%Never Heard Of 526 26%

gopPresApp_8NET Next we will look at a list of names that have been talked about as potentialRepublican candidates for President. It is a long list, please take the time to go throughthe list carefully and give an individual answer for each name below. For each person,please indicate if you have a Very Favorable, Somewhat Favorable, SomewhatUnfavorable, or Very Unfavorable opinion of each individual. If you have heard of theperson, but do not have an opinion, please mark “Heard Of, No Opinion.” If you havenot heard of the person, please mark “Never Heard Of.” Marco Rubio

Total Favorable 641 32%Total Unfavorable 740 37%

No Opinion / Never Heard Of 633 31%

gopPresApp_8 Next we will look at a list of names that have been talked about as potentialRepublican candidates for President. It is a long list, please take the time to go throughthe list carefully and give an individual answer for each name below. For each person,please indicate if you have a Very Favorable, Somewhat Favorable, SomewhatUnfavorable, or Very Unfavorable opinion of each individual. If you have heard of theperson, but do not have an opinion, please mark “Heard Of, No Opinion.” If you havenot heard of the person, please mark “Never Heard Of.” Marco Rubio

Very Favorable 175 9%Somewhat Favorable 467 23%

Somewhat Unfavorable 366 18%Very Unfavorable 374 19%

Heard Of, No Opinion 310 15%Never Heard Of 323 16%

Page | 6

Page 7: Morning Consult Poll Data Sept 1

Question Response Frequency PercentagegopPresApp_9NET Next we will look at a list of names that have been talked about as potential

Republican candidates for President. It is a long list, please take the time to go throughthe list carefully and give an individual answer for each name below. For each person,please indicate if you have a Very Favorable, Somewhat Favorable, SomewhatUnfavorable, or Very Unfavorable opinion of each individual. If you have heard of theperson, but do not have an opinion, please mark “Heard Of, No Opinion.” If you havenot heard of the person, please mark “Never Heard Of.” Rick Santorum

Total Favorable 442 22%Total Unfavorable 860 43%

No Opinion / Never Heard Of 712 35%

gopPresApp_9 Next we will look at a list of names that have been talked about as potentialRepublican candidates for President. It is a long list, please take the time to go throughthe list carefully and give an individual answer for each name below. For each person,please indicate if you have a Very Favorable, Somewhat Favorable, SomewhatUnfavorable, or Very Unfavorable opinion of each individual. If you have heard of theperson, but do not have an opinion, please mark “Heard Of, No Opinion.” If you havenot heard of the person, please mark “Never Heard Of.” Rick Santorum

Very Favorable 73 4%Somewhat Favorable 369 18%

Somewhat Unfavorable 432 21%Very Unfavorable 428 21%

Heard Of, No Opinion 402 20%Never Heard Of 311 15%

gopPresApp_10NET Next we will look at a list of names that have been talked about as potentialRepublican candidates for President. It is a long list, please take the time to go throughthe list carefully and give an individual answer for each name below. For each person,please indicate if you have a Very Favorable, Somewhat Favorable, SomewhatUnfavorable, or Very Unfavorable opinion of each individual. If you have heard of theperson, but do not have an opinion, please mark “Heard Of, No Opinion.” If you havenot heard of the person, please mark “Never Heard Of.” Ted Cruz

Total Favorable 513 25%Total Unfavorable 840 42%

No Opinion / Never Heard Of 662 33%

Page | 7

Page 8: Morning Consult Poll Data Sept 1

Question Response Frequency PercentagegopPresApp_10 Next we will look at a list of names that have been talked about as potential

Republican candidates for President. It is a long list, please take the time to go throughthe list carefully and give an individual answer for each name below. For each person,please indicate if you have a Very Favorable, Somewhat Favorable, SomewhatUnfavorable, or Very Unfavorable opinion of each individual. If you have heard of theperson, but do not have an opinion, please mark “Heard Of, No Opinion.” If you havenot heard of the person, please mark “Never Heard Of.” Ted Cruz

Very Favorable 161 8%Somewhat Favorable 352 17%

Somewhat Unfavorable 363 18%Very Unfavorable 477 24%

Heard Of, No Opinion 351 17%Never Heard Of 311 15%

gopPresApp_11NET Next we will look at a list of names that have been talked about as potentialRepublican candidates for President. It is a long list, please take the time to go throughthe list carefully and give an individual answer for each name below. For each person,please indicate if you have a Very Favorable, Somewhat Favorable, SomewhatUnfavorable, or Very Unfavorable opinion of each individual. If you have heard of theperson, but do not have an opinion, please mark “Heard Of, No Opinion.” If you havenot heard of the person, please mark “Never Heard Of.” Carly Fiorina

Total Favorable 491 24%Total Unfavorable 604 30%

No Opinion / Never Heard Of 920 46%

gopPresApp_11 Next we will look at a list of names that have been talked about as potentialRepublican candidates for President. It is a long list, please take the time to go throughthe list carefully and give an individual answer for each name below. For each person,please indicate if you have a Very Favorable, Somewhat Favorable, SomewhatUnfavorable, or Very Unfavorable opinion of each individual. If you have heard of theperson, but do not have an opinion, please mark “Heard Of, No Opinion.” If you havenot heard of the person, please mark “Never Heard Of.” Carly Fiorina

Very Favorable 173 9%Somewhat Favorable 319 16%

Somewhat Unfavorable 319 16%Very Unfavorable 285 14%

Heard Of, No Opinion 351 17%Never Heard Of 569 28%

Page | 8

Page 9: Morning Consult Poll Data Sept 1

Question Response Frequency PercentagegopPresApp_12NET Next we will look at a list of names that have been talked about as potential

Republican candidates for President. It is a long list, please take the time to go throughthe list carefully and give an individual answer for each name below. For each person,please indicate if you have a Very Favorable, Somewhat Favorable, SomewhatUnfavorable, or Very Unfavorable opinion of each individual. If you have heard of theperson, but do not have an opinion, please mark “Heard Of, No Opinion.” If you havenot heard of the person, please mark “Never Heard Of.” Donald Trump

Total Favorable 840 42%Total Unfavorable 1054 52%

No Opinion / Never Heard Of 121 6%

gopPresApp_12 Next we will look at a list of names that have been talked about as potentialRepublican candidates for President. It is a long list, please take the time to go throughthe list carefully and give an individual answer for each name below. For each person,please indicate if you have a Very Favorable, Somewhat Favorable, SomewhatUnfavorable, or Very Unfavorable opinion of each individual. If you have heard of theperson, but do not have an opinion, please mark “Heard Of, No Opinion.” If you havenot heard of the person, please mark “Never Heard Of.” Donald Trump

Very Favorable 435 22%Somewhat Favorable 405 20%

Somewhat Unfavorable 261 13%Very Unfavorable 793 39%

Heard Of, No Opinion 88 4%Never Heard Of 34 2%

gopPresApp_13NET Next we will look at a list of names that have been talked about as potentialRepublican candidates for President. It is a long list, please take the time to go throughthe list carefully and give an individual answer for each name below. For each person,please indicate if you have a Very Favorable, Somewhat Favorable, SomewhatUnfavorable, or Very Unfavorable opinion of each individual. If you have heard of theperson, but do not have an opinion, please mark “Heard Of, No Opinion.” If you havenot heard of the person, please mark “Never Heard Of.” Lindsey Graham

Total Favorable 281 14%Total Unfavorable 796 40%

No Opinion / Never Heard Of 938 47%

Page | 9

Page 10: Morning Consult Poll Data Sept 1

Question Response Frequency PercentagegopPresApp_13 Next we will look at a list of names that have been talked about as potential

Republican candidates for President. It is a long list, please take the time to go throughthe list carefully and give an individual answer for each name below. For each person,please indicate if you have a Very Favorable, Somewhat Favorable, SomewhatUnfavorable, or Very Unfavorable opinion of each individual. If you have heard of theperson, but do not have an opinion, please mark “Heard Of, No Opinion.” If you havenot heard of the person, please mark “Never Heard Of.” Lindsey Graham

Very Favorable 65 3%Somewhat Favorable 215 11%

Somewhat Unfavorable 392 19%Very Unfavorable 404 20%

Heard Of, No Opinion 386 19%Never Heard Of 552 27%

gopPresApp_14NET Next we will look at a list of names that have been talked about as potentialRepublican candidates for President. It is a long list, please take the time to go throughthe list carefully and give an individual answer for each name below. For each person,please indicate if you have a Very Favorable, Somewhat Favorable, SomewhatUnfavorable, or Very Unfavorable opinion of each individual. If you have heard of theperson, but do not have an opinion, please mark “Heard Of, No Opinion.” If you havenot heard of the person, please mark “Never Heard Of.” Bobby Jindal

Total Favorable 385 19%Total Unfavorable 699 35%

No Opinion / Never Heard Of 931 46%

gopPresApp_14 Next we will look at a list of names that have been talked about as potentialRepublican candidates for President. It is a long list, please take the time to go throughthe list carefully and give an individual answer for each name below. For each person,please indicate if you have a Very Favorable, Somewhat Favorable, SomewhatUnfavorable, or Very Unfavorable opinion of each individual. If you have heard of theperson, but do not have an opinion, please mark “Heard Of, No Opinion.” If you havenot heard of the person, please mark “Never Heard Of.” Bobby Jindal

Very Favorable 103 5%Somewhat Favorable 281 14%

Somewhat Unfavorable 336 17%Very Unfavorable 363 18%

Heard Of, No Opinion 324 16%Never Heard Of 608 30%

Page | 10

Page 11: Morning Consult Poll Data Sept 1

Question Response Frequency PercentagegopPresApp_15NET Next we will look at a list of names that have been talked about as potential

Republican candidates for President. It is a long list, please take the time to go throughthe list carefully and give an individual answer for each name below. For each person,please indicate if you have a Very Favorable, Somewhat Favorable, SomewhatUnfavorable, or Very Unfavorable opinion of each individual. If you have heard of theperson, but do not have an opinion, please mark “Heard Of, No Opinion.” If you havenot heard of the person, please mark “Never Heard Of.” George Pataki

Total Favorable 275 14%Total Unfavorable 695 35%

No Opinion / Never Heard Of 1045 52%

gopPresApp_15 Next we will look at a list of names that have been talked about as potentialRepublican candidates for President. It is a long list, please take the time to go throughthe list carefully and give an individual answer for each name below. For each person,please indicate if you have a Very Favorable, Somewhat Favorable, SomewhatUnfavorable, or Very Unfavorable opinion of each individual. If you have heard of theperson, but do not have an opinion, please mark “Heard Of, No Opinion.” If you havenot heard of the person, please mark “Never Heard Of.” George Pataki

Very Favorable 40 2%Somewhat Favorable 235 12%

Somewhat Unfavorable 409 20%Very Unfavorable 286 14%

Heard Of, No Opinion 493 24%Never Heard Of 552 27%

gopPresApp_16NET Next we will look at a list of names that have been talked about as potentialRepublican candidates for President. It is a long list, please take the time to go throughthe list carefully and give an individual answer for each name below. For each person,please indicate if you have a Very Favorable, Somewhat Favorable, SomewhatUnfavorable, or Very Unfavorable opinion of each individual. If you have heard of theperson, but do not have an opinion, please mark “Heard Of, No Opinion.” If you havenot heard of the person, please mark “Never Heard Of.” John Kasich

Total Favorable 376 19%Total Unfavorable 565 28%

No Opinion / Never Heard Of 1074 53%

Page | 11

Page 12: Morning Consult Poll Data Sept 1

Question Response Frequency PercentagegopPresApp_16 Next we will look at a list of names that have been talked about as potential

Republican candidates for President. It is a long list, please take the time to go throughthe list carefully and give an individual answer for each name below. For each person,please indicate if you have a Very Favorable, Somewhat Favorable, SomewhatUnfavorable, or Very Unfavorable opinion of each individual. If you have heard of theperson, but do not have an opinion, please mark “Heard Of, No Opinion.” If you havenot heard of the person, please mark “Never Heard Of.” John Kasich

Very Favorable 79 4%Somewhat Favorable 297 15%

Somewhat Unfavorable 332 16%Very Unfavorable 233 12%

Heard Of, No Opinion 370 18%Never Heard Of 704 35%

demPresApp_1NET Next we will look at a list of names that have been talked about as potentialDemocratic candidates for President. It is a long list, please take the time to gothrough the list carefully and give an individual answer for each name below. Foreach person, please indicate if you have a Very Favorable, Somewhat Favorable,Somewhat Unfavorable, or Very Unfavorable opinion of each If you have heard of theperson, but do not have an opinion, please mark “Heard Of, No Opinion.” If you havenot heard of the person, please mark “Never Heard Of.” Hillary Clinton

Total Favorable 878 44%Total Unfavorable 1052 52%

No Opinion / Never Heard Of 85 4%

demPresApp_1 Next we will look at a list of names that have been talked about as potentialDemocratic candidates for President. It is a long list, please take the time to gothrough the list carefully and give an individual answer for each name below. Foreach person, please indicate if you have a Very Favorable, Somewhat Favorable,Somewhat Unfavorable, or Very Unfavorable opinion of each If you have heard of theperson, but do not have an opinion, please mark “Heard Of, No Opinion.” If you havenot heard of the person, please mark “Never Heard Of.” Hillary Clinton

Very Favorable 419 21%Somewhat Favorable 459 23%

Somewhat Unfavorable 241 12%Very Unfavorable 812 40%

Heard Of, No Opinion 66 3%Never Heard Of 19 1%

Page | 12

Page 13: Morning Consult Poll Data Sept 1

Question Response Frequency PercentagedemPresApp_2NET Next we will look at a list of names that have been talked about as potential

Democratic candidates for President. It is a long list, please take the time to gothrough the list carefully and give an individual answer for each name below. Foreach person, please indicate if you have a Very Favorable, Somewhat Favorable,Somewhat Unfavorable, or Very Unfavorable opinion of each If you have heard of theperson, but do not have an opinion, please mark “Heard Of, No Opinion.” If you havenot heard of the person, please mark “Never Heard Of.” Martin O’Malley

Total Favorable 267 13%Total Unfavorable 517 26%

No Opinion / Never Heard Of 1232 61%

demPresApp_2 Next we will look at a list of names that have been talked about as potentialDemocratic candidates for President. It is a long list, please take the time to gothrough the list carefully and give an individual answer for each name below. Foreach person, please indicate if you have a Very Favorable, Somewhat Favorable,Somewhat Unfavorable, or Very Unfavorable opinion of each If you have heard of theperson, but do not have an opinion, please mark “Heard Of, No Opinion.” If you havenot heard of the person, please mark “Never Heard Of.” Martin O’Malley

Very Favorable 74 4%Somewhat Favorable 192 10%

Somewhat Unfavorable 288 14%Very Unfavorable 228 11%

Heard Of, No Opinion 408 20%Never Heard Of 824 41%

demPresApp_3NET Next we will look at a list of names that have been talked about as potentialDemocratic candidates for President. It is a long list, please take the time to gothrough the list carefully and give an individual answer for each name below. Foreach person, please indicate if you have a Very Favorable, Somewhat Favorable,Somewhat Unfavorable, or Very Unfavorable opinion of each If you have heard of theperson, but do not have an opinion, please mark “Heard Of, No Opinion.” If you havenot heard of the person, please mark “Never Heard Of.” Jim Webb

Total Favorable 286 14%Total Unfavorable 470 23%

No Opinion / Never Heard Of 1259 62%

Page | 13

Page 14: Morning Consult Poll Data Sept 1

Question Response Frequency PercentagedemPresApp_3 Next we will look at a list of names that have been talked about as potential

Democratic candidates for President. It is a long list, please take the time to gothrough the list carefully and give an individual answer for each name below. Foreach person, please indicate if you have a Very Favorable, Somewhat Favorable,Somewhat Unfavorable, or Very Unfavorable opinion of each If you have heard of theperson, but do not have an opinion, please mark “Heard Of, No Opinion.” If you havenot heard of the person, please mark “Never Heard Of.” Jim Webb

Very Favorable 66 3%Somewhat Favorable 220 11%

Somewhat Unfavorable 276 14%Very Unfavorable 194 10%

Heard Of, No Opinion 387 19%Never Heard Of 871 43%

demPresApp_4NET Next we will look at a list of names that have been talked about as potentialDemocratic candidates for President. It is a long list, please take the time to gothrough the list carefully and give an individual answer for each name below. Foreach person, please indicate if you have a Very Favorable, Somewhat Favorable,Somewhat Unfavorable, or Very Unfavorable opinion of each If you have heard of theperson, but do not have an opinion, please mark “Heard Of, No Opinion.” If you havenot heard of the person, please mark “Never Heard Of.” Bernie Sanders

Total Favorable 714 35%Total Unfavorable 609 30%

No Opinion / Never Heard Of 692 34%

demPresApp_4 Next we will look at a list of names that have been talked about as potentialDemocratic candidates for President. It is a long list, please take the time to gothrough the list carefully and give an individual answer for each name below. Foreach person, please indicate if you have a Very Favorable, Somewhat Favorable,Somewhat Unfavorable, or Very Unfavorable opinion of each If you have heard of theperson, but do not have an opinion, please mark “Heard Of, No Opinion.” If you havenot heard of the person, please mark “Never Heard Of.” Bernie Sanders

Very Favorable 303 15%Somewhat Favorable 412 20%

Somewhat Unfavorable 304 15%Very Unfavorable 305 15%

Heard Of, No Opinion 325 16%Never Heard Of 367 18%

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Page 15: Morning Consult Poll Data Sept 1

Question Response Frequency PercentagedemPresApp_5NET Next we will look at a list of names that have been talked about as potential

Democratic candidates for President. It is a long list, please take the time to gothrough the list carefully and give an individual answer for each name below. Foreach person, please indicate if you have a Very Favorable, Somewhat Favorable,Somewhat Unfavorable, or Very Unfavorable opinion of each If you have heard of theperson, but do not have an opinion, please mark “Heard Of, No Opinion.” If you havenot heard of the person, please mark “Never Heard Of.” Lincoln Chafee

Total Favorable 231 11%Total Unfavorable 501 25%

No Opinion / Never Heard Of 1283 64%

demPresApp_5 Next we will look at a list of names that have been talked about as potentialDemocratic candidates for President. It is a long list, please take the time to gothrough the list carefully and give an individual answer for each name below. Foreach person, please indicate if you have a Very Favorable, Somewhat Favorable,Somewhat Unfavorable, or Very Unfavorable opinion of each If you have heard of theperson, but do not have an opinion, please mark “Heard Of, No Opinion.” If you havenot heard of the person, please mark “Never Heard Of.” Lincoln Chafee

Very Favorable 50 2%Somewhat Favorable 181 9%

Somewhat Unfavorable 279 14%Very Unfavorable 222 11%

Heard Of, No Opinion 368 18%Never Heard Of 915 45%

v16r1 If the 2016 Republican primary for President were held today, for whom would youvote? (N=769)

Jeb Bush 71 9%Ben Carson 73 9%

Chris Christie 25 3%Ted Cruz 29 4%

Carly Fiorina 26 3%Mike Huckabee 46 6%

Rand Paul 30 4%Marco Rubio 44 6%

Donald Trump 282 37%Scott Walker 35 5%

Lindsey Graham 2 0%Bobby Jindal 7 1%George Pataki 0 0%John Kasich 12 2%Rick Perry 8 1%

Rick Santorum 13 2%Someone Else 9 1%

Don�t Know 58 8%

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Page 16: Morning Consult Poll Data Sept 1

Question Response Frequency Percentagev16r2 And, who would be your second choice? (N=769)

Jeb Bush 82 11%Ben Carson 100 13%

Chris Christie 52 7%Ted Cruz 55 7%

Carly Fiorina 53 7%Mike Huckabee 43 6%

Rand Paul 42 5%Marco Rubio 45 6%

Donald Trump 80 10%Scott Walker 33 4%

Lindsey Graham 12 2%Bobby Jindal 17 2%George Pataki 12 2%John Kasich 12 2%Rick Perry 18 2%

Rick Santorum 11 1%Someone Else 11 1%

Don�t Know 91 12%

v16d1 If the 2016 Democratic primary for President were held today, for whom would youvote? (N=913)

Hillary Clinton 471 52%Martin O’Malley 9 1%Bernie Sanders 211 23%

JimWebb 16 2%Lincoln Chafee 7 1%Someone else 71 8%

Don’t Know / No Opinion 128 14%

v16d2 And, who would be your second choice? (N=913)Hillary Clinton 162 18%

Martin O’Malley 45 5%Bernie Sanders 189 21%

JimWebb 29 3%Lincoln Chafee 33 4%Someone else 162 18%

Don’t Know / No Opinion 294 32%

v16g1 If the 2016 presidential election were held today and the candidates were DemocratHillary Clinton and Republican Jeb Bush, for whom would you vote?

Hillary Clinton 873 43%Jeb Bush 830 41%

Don’t Know / No Opinion 312 16%

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Page 17: Morning Consult Poll Data Sept 1

Question Response Frequency Percentagev16g2 If the 2016 presidential election were held today and the candidates were Democrat

Hillary Clinton and Republican Rand Paul, for whom would you vote?Hillary Clinton 888 44%

Rand Paul 776 39%Don’t Know / No Opinion 351 17%

v16g3 If the 2016 presidential election were held today and the candidates were DemocratHillary Clinton and Republican Scott Walker, for whom would you vote?

Hillary Clinton 921 46%Scott Walker 714 35%

Don’t Know / No Opinion 381 19%

v16g4 If the 2016 presidential election were held today and the candidates were DemocratHillary Clinton and Republican Marco Rubio, for whom would you vote?

Hillary Clinton 908 45%Marco Rubio 792 39%

Don’t Know / No Opinion 315 16%

v16g5 If the 2016 presidential election were held today and the candidates were DemocratHillary Clinton and Republican Donald Trump, for whom would you vote?

Hillary Clinton 874 43%Donald Trump 846 42%

Don’t Know / No Opinion 295 15%Note: Group proportions may total to larger than one-hundred percent due to rounding. All statistics are calcu-lated for registered voters with demographic post-stratification weights applied.

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Page 18: Morning Consult Poll Data Sept 1

Morning Consu;tRespondent Demographics Summary

Respondent Demographics Summary

Summary Statistics of Survey Respondent DemographicsDemographic Group Frequency Percentage

xdemAll Registered Voters 2015 100%

xdemGender Gender: Male 940 47%Gender: Female 1075 53%

N 2015

age5 Age: 18-29 334 17%Age: 30-44 490 24%Age: 45-54 387 19%Age: 55-64 373 19%Age: 65+ 430 21%

N 2015

xpid3 PID: Dem (no lean) 752 37%PID: Ind (no lean) 657 33%PID: Rep (no lean) 605 30%

N 2015

xpidGender PID/Gender: DemMen 302 15%PID/Gender: DemWomen 450 22%

PID/Gender: Ind Men 326 16%PID/Gender: Ind Women 331 16%

PID/Gender: Rep Men 312 15%PID/Gender: Rep Women 294 15%

N 2015

xdemTea Tea Party: Supporter 584 29%Tea Party: Not Supporter 1413 70%

N 1997

xdemIdeo3 Ideo: Liberal (1-3) 619 31%Ideo: Moderate (4) 534 27%

Ideo: Conservative (5-7) 740 37%N 1893

xeduc3 Educ: < College 1324 66%Educ: Bachelors degree 448 22%

Educ: Post-grad 243 12%N 2015

xdemInc3 Income: Under 50k 874 43%Income: 50k-100k 662 33%

Income: 100k+ 479 24%N 2015

Continued on next page

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Page 19: Morning Consult Poll Data Sept 1

National Tracking Poll #150805, August, 2015Respondent Demographics Summary

Summary Statistics of Survey Respondent DemographicsDemographic Group Frequency Percentage

xdemWhite Ethnicity: White 1641 81%

xdemHispBin Ethnicity: Hispanic 180 9%

demBlackBin Ethnicity: Afr. Am. 259 13%

demRaceOther Ethnicity: Other 115 6%

xrelNet Relig: Protestant 616 31%Relig: Roman Catholic 426 21%Relig: Ath./Agn./None 425 21%Relig: Something Else 302 15%

N 1770

xreligion1 Relig: Jewish 45 2%

xreligion2 Relig: Evangelical 660 33%Relig: Non-Evang. Catholics 626 31%

N 1286

xreligion3 Relig: All Christian 1286 64%Relig: All Non-Christian 727 36%

N 2013

xdemUsr Community: Urban 485 24%Community: Suburban 932 46%

Community: Rural 595 30%N 2012

xdemEmploy Employ: Private Sector 652 32%Employ: Government 133 7%

Employ: Self-Employed 167 8%Employ: Homemaker 194 10%

Employ: Student 85 4%Employ: Retired 493 24%

Employ: Unemployed 146 7%Employ: Other 142 7%

N 2012

xdemJobStatus Job Type: White-collar 826 41%Job Type: Blue-collar 846 42%Job Type: Don’t Know 341 17%

N 2012

xdemMilHH1 Military HH: Yes 448 22%Military HH: No 1564 78%

N 2012

Continued on next page

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Page 20: Morning Consult Poll Data Sept 1

Morning Consu;tRespondent Demographics Summary

Summary Statistics of Survey Respondent DemographicsDemographic Group Frequency Percentage

xnr1 RD/WT: Right Direction 589 29%RD/WT: Wrong Track 1426 71%

N 2015

xnr2Bin Obama Job: Approve 843 42%Obama Job: Disapprove 1110 55%

N 1953

xnr3 #1 Issue: Economy 810 40%#1 Issue: Security 348 17%

#1 Issue: Health Care 253 13%#1 Issue: Medicare / Social Security 241 12%

#1 Issue: Women’s Issues 87 4%#1 Issue: Education 124 6%

#1 Issue: Energy 73 4%#1 Issue: Other 80 4%

N 2015

xsubVote14O 2014 Vote: Democrat 768 38%2014 Vote: Republican 696 35%

2014 Vote: Other 94 5%2014 Vote: Didn’t Vote 444 22%

N 2002

xsubVote12O 2012 Vote: Barack Obama 885 44%2012 Vote: Mitt Romney 702 35%

2012 Vote: Other 102 5%2012 Vote: Didn’t Vote 322 16%

N 2011

xreg4 4-Region: Northeast 367 18%4-Region: Midwest 475 24%

4-Region: South 749 37%4-Region: West 423 21%

N 2015

Note: Group proportions may total to larger than one-hundred percent due to rounding. All statistics are calcu-lated with demographic post-stratification weights applied.

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Page 21: Morning Consult Poll Data Sept 1

National Tracking Poll #150805, August, 2015

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