morning consult poll october 13th

National Tracking Poll

Project: 151003N Size: 2002 Registered Voters

Margin of Error: 2%Topline Report October 8-12, 2015

Question Response Frequency PercentageP1 Now, generally speaking, would you say that things in the country are going in the

right direction, or have they pretty seriously gotten o on the wrong track?Right Direction %

Wrong Track %

P2NET Do you approve or disapprove of the job Barack Obama is doing as President?Approve %

Disapprove %Dont Know / No Opinion %

P2 Do you approve or disapprove of the job Barack Obama is doing as President?Strongly Approve %

Somewhat Approve %Somewhat Disapprove %Strongly Disapprove %

Dont Know / No Opinion %

P3 Now, thinking about your vote, what would you say is the top set of issues on yourmind when you cast your vote for federal oces such as U.S. Senate or Congress?

Economic Issues %Security Issues %

Health Care Issues %Seniors Issues %Womens Issues %

Education Issues %Energy Issues %

Other %

ID1_1NET Next we will look at a list of names that have been talked about as potentialRepublican candidates for President. It is a long list, please take the time to go throughthe list carefully and give an individual answer for each name below. For each person,please indicate if you have a Very Favorable, Somewhat Favorable, SomewhatUnfavorable, or Very Unfavorable opinion of each individual. If you have heard of theperson, but do not have an opinion, please mark Heard Of, No Opinion. If you havenot heard of the person, please mark Never Heard Of. Jeb Bush

Total Favorable %Total Unfavorable %

No Opinion / Never Heard Of %

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Question Response Frequency PercentageID1_1 Next we will look at a list of names that have been talked about as potential

Republican candidates for President. It is a long list, please take the time to go throughthe list carefully and give an individual answer for each name below. For each person,please indicate if you have a Very Favorable, Somewhat Favorable, SomewhatUnfavorable, or Very Unfavorable opinion of each individual. If you have heard of theperson, but do not have an opinion, please mark Heard Of, No Opinion. If you havenot heard of the person, please mark Never Heard Of. Jeb Bush

Very Favorable %Somewhat Favorable %

Somewhat Unfavorable %Very Unfavorable %

Heard Of, No Opinion %Never Heard Of %

ID1_2NET Next we will look at a list of names that have been talked about as potentialRepublican candidates for President. It is a long list, please take the time to go throughthe list carefully and give an individual answer for each name below. For each person,please indicate if you have a Very Favorable, Somewhat Favorable, SomewhatUnfavorable, or Very Unfavorable opinion of each individual. If you have heard of theperson, but do not have an opinion, please mark Heard Of, No Opinion. If you havenot heard of the person, please mark Never Heard Of. Rand Paul



ID1_2 Next we will look at a list of names that have been talked about as potentialRepublican candidates for President. It is a long list, please take the time to go throughthe list carefully and give an individual answer for each name below. For each person,please indicate if you have a Very Favorable, Somewhat Favorable, SomewhatUnfavorable, or Very Unfavorable opinion of each individual. If you have heard of theperson, but do not have an opinion, please mark Heard Of, No Opinion. If you havenot heard of the person, please mark Never Heard Of. Rand Paul




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Question Response Frequency PercentageID1_4NET Next we will look at a list of names that have been talked about as potential

Republican candidates for President. It is a long list, please take the time to go throughthe list carefully and give an individual answer for each name below. For each person,please indicate if you have a Very Favorable, Somewhat Favorable, SomewhatUnfavorable, or Very Unfavorable opinion of each individual. If you have heard of theperson, but do not have an opinion, please mark Heard Of, No Opinion. If you havenot heard of the person, please mark Never Heard Of. Mike Huckabee



ID1_4 Next we will look at a list of names that have been talked about as potentialRepublican candidates for President. It is a long list, please take the time to go throughthe list carefully and give an individual answer for each name below. For each person,please indicate if you have a Very Favorable, Somewhat Favorable, SomewhatUnfavorable, or Very Unfavorable opinion of each individual. If you have heard of theperson, but do not have an opinion, please mark Heard Of, No Opinion. If you havenot heard of the person, please mark Never Heard Of. Mike Huckabee




ID1_5NET Next we will look at a list of names that have been talked about as potentialRepublican candidates for President. It is a long list, please take the time to go throughthe list carefully and give an individual answer for each name below. For each person,please indicate if you have a Very Favorable, Somewhat Favorable, SomewhatUnfavorable, or Very Unfavorable opinion of each individual. If you have heard of theperson, but do not have an opinion, please mark Heard Of, No Opinion. If you havenot heard of the person, please mark Never Heard Of. Ben Carson



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Republican candidates for President. It is a long list, please take the time to go throughthe list carefully and give an individual answer for each name below. For each person,please indicate if you have a Very Favorable, Somewhat Favorable, SomewhatUnfavorable, or Very Unfavorable opinion of each individual. If you have heard of theperson, but do not have an opinion, please mark Heard Of, No Opinion. If you havenot heard of the person, please mark Never Heard Of. Ben Carson




ID1_6NET Next we will look at a list of names that have been talked about as potentialRepublican candidates for President. It is a long list, please take the time to go throughthe list carefully and give an individual answer for each name below. For each person,please indicate if you have a Very Favorable, Somewhat Favorable, SomewhatUnfavorable, or Very Unfavorable opinion of each individual. If you have heard of theperson, but do not have an opinion, please mark Heard Of, No Opinion. If you havenot heard of the person, please mark Never Heard Of. Chris Christie



ID1_6 Next we will look at a list of names that have been talked about as potentialRepublican candidates for President. It is a long list, please take the time to go throughthe list carefully and give an individual answer for each name below. For each person,please indicate if you have a Very Favorable, Somewhat Favorable, SomewhatUnfavorable, or Very Unfavorable opinion of each individual. If you have heard of theperson, but do not have an opinion, please mark Heard Of, No Opinion. If you havenot heard of the person, please mark Never Heard Of. Chris Christie




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Republican candidates for President. It is a long list, please take the time to go throughthe list carefully and give an individual answer for each name below. For each person,please indicate if you have a Very Favorable, Somewhat Favorable, SomewhatUnfavorable, or Very Unfavorable opinion of each individual. If you have heard of theperson, but do not have an opinion, please mark Heard Of, No Opinion. If you havenot heard of the person, please mark Never Heard Of. Marco Rubio



ID1_8 Next we will look at a list of names that have been talked about as potentialRepublican candidates for President. It is a long list, please take the time to go throughthe list carefully and give an individual answer for each name below. For each person,please indicate if you have a Very Favorable, Somewhat Favorable, SomewhatUnfavorable, or Very Unfavorable opinion of each individual. If you have heard of theperson, but do not have an opinion, please mark Heard Of, No Opinion. If you havenot heard of the person, please mark Never Heard Of. Marco Rubio




ID1_9NET Next we will look at a list of names that have been talked about as potentialRepublican candidates for President. It is a long list, please take the time to go throughthe list carefully and give an individual answer for each name below. For each person,please indicate if you have a Very Favorable, Somewhat Favorable, SomewhatUnfavorable, or Very Unfavorable opinion of each individual. If you have heard of theperson, but do not have an opinion, please mark Heard Of, No Opinion. If you havenot heard of the person, please mark Never Heard Of. Rick Santorum



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Republican candidates for President. It is a long list, please take the time to go throughthe list carefully and give an individual answer for each name below. For each person,please indicate if you have a Very Favorable, Somewhat Favorable, SomewhatUnfavorable, or Very Unfavorable opinion of each individual. If you have heard of theperson, but do not have an opinion, please mark Heard Of, No Opinion. If you havenot heard of the person, please mark Never Heard Of. Rick Santorum




ID1_10NET Next we will look at a list of names that have been talked about as potentialRepublican candidates for President. It is a long list, please take the time to go throughthe list carefully and give an individual answer for each name below. For each person,please indicate if you have a Very Favorable, Somewhat Favorable, SomewhatUnfavorable, or Very Unfavorable opinion of each individual. If you have heard of theperson, but do not have an opinion, please mark Heard Of, No Opinion. If you havenot heard of the person, please mark Never Heard Of. Ted Cruz



ID1_10 Next we will look at a list of names that have been talked about as potentialRepublican candidates for President. It is a long list, please take the time to go throughthe list carefully and give an individual answer for each name below. For each person,please indicate if you have a Very Favorable, Somewhat Favorable, SomewhatUnfavorable, or Very Unfavorable opinion of each individual. If you have heard of theperson, but do not have an opinion, please mark Heard Of, No Opinion. If you havenot heard of the person, please mark Never Heard Of. Ted Cruz




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Republican candidates for President. It is a long list, please take the time to go throughthe list carefully and give an individual answer for each name below. For each person,please indicate if you have a Very Favorable, Somewhat Favorable, SomewhatUnfavorable, or Very Unfavorable opinion of each individual. If you have heard of theperson, but do not have an opinion, please mark Heard Of, No Opinion. If you havenot heard of the person, please mark Never Heard Of. Carly Fiorina



ID1_11 Next we will look at a list of names that have been talked about as potentialRepublican candidates for President. It is a long list, please take the time to go throughthe list carefully and give an individual answer for each name below. For each person,please indicate if you have a Very Favorable, Somewhat Favorable, SomewhatUnfavorable, or Very Unfavorable opinion of each individual. If you have heard of theperson, but do not have an opinion, please mark Heard Of, No Opinion. If you havenot heard of the person, please mark Never Heard Of. Carly Fiorina




ID1_12NET Next we will look at a list of names that have been talked about as potentialRepublican candidates for President. It is a long list, please take the time to go throughthe list carefully and give an individual answer for each name below. For each person,please indicate if you have a Very Favorable, Somewhat Favorable, SomewhatUnfavorable, or Very Unfavorable opinion of each individual. If you have heard of theperson, but do not have an opinion, please mark Heard Of, No Opinion. If you havenot heard of the person, please mark Never Heard Of. Donald Trump



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Republican candidates for President. It is a long list, please take the time to go throughthe list carefully and give an individual answer for each name below. For each person,please indicate if you have a Very Favorable, Somewhat Favorable, SomewhatUnfavorable, or Very Unfavorable opinion of each individual. If you have heard of theperson, but do not have an opinion, please mark Heard Of, No Opinion. If you havenot heard of the person, please mark Never Heard Of. Donald Trump




ID1_13NET Next we will look at a list of names that have been talked about as potentialRepublican candidates for President. It is a long list, please take the time to go throughthe list carefully and give an individual answer for each name below. For each person,please indicate if you have a Very Favorable, Somewhat Favorable, SomewhatUnfavorable, or Very Unfavorable opinion of each individual. If you have heard of theperson, but do not have an opinion, please mark Heard Of, No Opinion. If you havenot heard of the person, please mark Never Heard Of. Lindsey Graham



ID1_13 Next we will look at a list of names that have been talked about as potentialRepublican candidates for President. It is a long list, please take the time to go throughthe list carefully and give an individual answer for each name below. For each person,please indicate if you have a Very Favorable, Somewhat Favorable, SomewhatUnfavorable, or Very Unfavorable opinion of each individual. If you have heard of theperson, but do not have an opinion, please mark Heard Of, No Opinion. If you havenot heard of the person, please mark Never Heard Of. Lindsey Graham




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Republican candidates for President. It is a long list, please take the time to go throughthe list carefully and give an individual answer for each name below. For each person,please indicate if you have a Very Favorable, Somewhat Favorable, SomewhatUnfavorable, or Very Unfavorable opinion of each individual. If you have heard of theperson, but do not have an opinion, please mark Heard Of, No Opinion. If you havenot heard of the person, please mark Never Heard Of. Bobby Jindal



ID1_14 Next we will look at a list of names that have been talked about as potentialRepublican candidates for President. It is a long list, please take the time to go throughthe list carefully and give an individual answer for each name below. For each person,please indicate if you have a Very Favorable, Somewhat Favorable, SomewhatUnfavorable, or Very Unfavorable opinion of each individual. If you have heard of theperson, but do not have an opinion, please mark Heard Of, No Opinion. If you havenot heard of the person, please mark Never Heard Of. Bobby Jindal




ID1_15NET Next we will look at a list of names that have been talked about as potentialRepublican candidates for President. It is a long list, please take the time to go throughthe list carefully and give an individual answer for each name below. For each person,please indicate if you have a Very Favorable, Somewhat Favorable, SomewhatUnfavorable, or Very Unfavorable opinion of each individual. If you have heard of theperson, but do not have an opinion, please mark Heard Of, No Opinion. If you havenot heard of the person, please mark Never Heard Of. George Pataki



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Republican candidates for President. It is a long list, please take the time to go throughthe list carefully and give an individual answer for each name below. For each person,please indicate if you have a Very Favorable, Somewhat Favorable, SomewhatUnfavorable, or Very Unfavorable opinion of each individual. If you have heard of theperson, but do not have an opinion, please mark Heard Of, No Opinion. If you havenot heard of the person, please mark Never Heard Of. George Pataki




ID1_16NET Next we will look at a list of names that have been talked about as potentialRepublican candidates for President. It is a long list, please take the time to go throughthe list carefully and give an individual answer for each name below. For each person,please indicate if you have a Very Favorable, Somewhat Favorable, SomewhatUnfavorable, or Very Unfavorable opinion of each individual. If you have heard of theperson, but do not have an opinion, please mark Heard Of, No Opinion. If you havenot heard of the person, please mark Never Heard Of. John Kasich



ID1_16 Next we will look at a list of names that have been talked about as potentialRepublican candidates for President. It is a long list, please take the time to go throughthe list carefully and give an individual answer for each name below. For each person,please indicate if you have a Very Favorable, Somewhat Favorable, SomewhatUnfavorable, or Very Unfavorable opinion of each individual. If you have heard of theperson, but do not have an opinion, please mark Heard Of, No Opinion. If you havenot heard of the person, please mark Never Heard Of. John Kasich




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Democratic candidates for President. It is a long list, please take the time to gothrough the list carefully and give an individual answer for each name below. Foreach person, please indicate if you have a Very Favorable, Somewhat Favorable,Somewhat Unfavorable, or Very Unfavorable opinion of each If you have heard of theperson, but do not have an opinion, please mark Heard Of, No Opinion. If you havenot heard of the person, please mark Never Heard Of. Hillary Clinton



ID2_1 Next we will look at a list of names that have been talked about as potentialDemocratic candidates for President. It is a long list, please take the time to gothrough the list carefully and give an individual answer for each name below. Foreach person, please indicate if you have a Very Favorable, Somewhat Favorable,Somewhat Unfavorable, or Very Unfavorable opinion of each If you have heard of theperson, but do not have an opinion, please mark Heard Of, No Opinion. If you havenot heard of the person, please mark Never Heard Of. Hillary Clinton




ID2_2NET Next we will look at a list of names that have been talked about as potentialDemocratic candidates for President. It is a long list, please take the time to gothrough the list carefully and give an individual answer for each name below. Foreach person, please indicate if you have a Very Favorable, Somewhat Favorable,Somewhat Unfavorable, or Very Unfavorable opinion of each If you have heard of theperson, but do not have an opinion, please mark Heard Of, No Opinion. If you havenot heard of the person, please mark Never Heard Of. Martin OMalley



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Democratic candidates for President. It is a long list, please take the time to gothrough the list carefully and give an individual answer for each name below. Foreach person, please indicate if you have a Very Favorable, Somewhat Favorable,Somewhat Unfavorable, or Very Unfavorable opinion of each If you have heard of theperson, but do not have an opinion, please mark Heard Of, No Opinion. If you havenot heard of the person, please mark Never Heard Of. Martin OMalley




ID2_5NET Next we will look at a list of names that have been talked about as potentialDemocratic candidates for President. It is a long list, please take the time to gothrough the list carefully and give an individual answer for each name below. Foreach person, please indicate if you have a Very Favorable, Somewhat Favorable,Somewhat Unfavorable, or Very Unfavorable opinion of each If you have heard of theperson, but do not have an opinion, please mark Heard Of, No Opinion. If you havenot heard of the person, please mark Never Heard Of. Jim Webb



ID2_5 Next we will look at a list of names that have been talked about as potentialDemocratic candidates for President. It is a long list, please take the time to gothrough the list carefully and give an individual answer for each name below. Foreach person, please indicate if you have a Very Favorable, Somewhat Favorable,Somewhat Unfavorable, or Very Unfavorable opinion of each If you have heard of theperson, but do not have an opinion, please mark Heard Of, No Opinion. If you havenot heard of the person, please mark Never Heard Of. Jim Webb




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Democratic candidates for President. It is a long list, please take the time to gothrough the list carefully and give an individual answer for each name below. Foreach person, please indicate if you have a Very Favorable, Somewhat Favorable,Somewhat Unfavorable, or Very Unfavorable opinion of each If you have heard of theperson, but do not have an opinion, please mark Heard Of, No Opinion. If you havenot heard of the person, please mark Never Heard Of. Lincoln Chafee



ID2_8 Next we will look at a list of names that have been talked about as potentialDemocratic candidates for President. It is a long list, please take the time to gothrough the list carefully and give an individual answer for each name below. Foreach person, please indicate if you have a Very Favorable, Somewhat Favorable,Somewhat Unfavorable, or Very Unfavorable opinion of each If you have heard of theperson, but do not have an opinion, please mark Heard Of, No Opinion. If you havenot heard of the person, please mark Never Heard Of. Lincoln Chafee




ID2_7NET Next we will look at a list of names that have been talked about as potentialDemocratic candidates for President. It is a long list, please take the time to gothrough the list carefully and give an individual answer for each name below. Foreach person, please indicate if you have a Very Favorable, Somewhat Favorable,Somewhat Unfavorable, or Very Unfavorable opinion of each If you have heard of theperson, but do not have an opinion, please mark Heard Of, No Opinion. If you havenot heard of the person, please mark Never Heard Of. Bernie Sanders



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Democratic candidates for President. It is a long list, please take the time to gothrough the list carefully and give an individual answer for each name below. Foreach person, please indicate if you have a Very Favorable, Somewhat Favorable,Somewhat Unfavorable, or Very Unfavorable opinion of each If you have heard of theperson, but do not have an opinion, please mark Heard Of, No Opinion. If you havenot heard of the person, please mark Never Heard Of. Bernie Sanders




v16r1 If the 2016 Republican primary for President were held today, for whom would youvote? (N=749)

Jeb Bush %Ben Carson %

Chris Christie %Ted Cruz %

Carly Fiorina %Mike Huckabee %

Rand Paul %Marco Rubio %

Donald Trump %Lindsey Graham %

Bobby Jindal %George Pataki %John Kasich %

Rick Santorum %Someone Else %Dont Know %

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Question Response Frequency Percentagev16r2 And, who would be your second choice? (N=749)

Jeb Bush %Ben Carson %

Chris Christie %Ted Cruz %

Carly Fiorina %Mike Huckabee %

Rand Paul %Marco Rubio %

Donald Trump %Lindsey Graham %

Bobby Jindal %George Pataki %John Kasich %

Rick Santorum %Someone Else %Dont Know %

v16d1 If the 2016 Democratic primary for President were held today, for whom would youvote? (N=826)

Hillary Clinton %Martin OMalley %Bernie Sanders %

JimWebb %Lincoln Chafee %Someone else %


v16d2 And, who would be your second choice? (N=826)Hillary Clinton %

Martin OMalley %Bernie Sanders %

JimWebb %Lincoln Chafee %Someone else %


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Question Response Frequency PercentageQ141 If the 2016 Democratic primary for President were held today, and these were the

candidates, for whom would you vote? (N=773)Hillary Clinton %

Martin OMalley %Bernie Sanders %

JimWebb %Lincoln Chafee %

Joe Biden %Someone else %


v16g1 If the 2016 presidential election were held today and the candidates were DemocratHillary Clinton and Republican Jeb Bush, for whom would you vote?

Hillary Clinton %Jeb Bush %


v16g2 If the 2016 presidential election were held today and the candidates were DemocratHillary Clinton and Republican Rand Paul, for whom would you vote?

Hillary Clinton %Rand Paul %


v16g3 If the 2016 presidential election were held today and the candidates were DemocratHillary Clinton and Republican Ben Carson, for whom would you vote?

Hillary Clinton %Ben Carson %


v16g4 If the 2016 presidential election were held today and the candidates were DemocratHillary Clinton and Republican Marco Rubio, for whom would you vote?

Hillary Clinton %Marco Rubio %


v16g5 If the 2016 presidential election were held today and the candidates were DemocratHillary Clinton and Republican Donald Trump, for whom would you vote?

Hillary Clinton %Donald Trump %


v16g6 If the 2016 presidential election were held today and the candidates were DemocratHillary Clinton and Republican Carly Fiorina, for whom would you vote?

Hillary Clinton %Carly Fiorina %


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Question Response Frequency Percentage

Note: Group proportions may total to larger than one-hundred percent due to rounding. All statistics are calcu-lated for registered voters with demographic post-stratification weights applied.

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Morning Consu;tRespondent Demographics Summary

Respondent Demographics Summary

Summary Statistics of Survey Respondent DemographicsDemographic Group Frequency Percentage

xdemAll Registered Voters %

xdemGender Gender: Male %Gender: Female %

N

age5 Age: 18-29 %Age: 30-44 %Age: 45-54 %Age: 55-64 %Age: 65+ %

N

xpid3 PID: Dem (no lean) %PID: Ind (no lean) %PID: Rep (no lean) %

N

xpidGender PID/Gender: DemMen %PID/Gender: DemWomen %

PID/Gender: Ind Men %PID/Gender: Ind Women %

PID/Gender: Rep Men %PID/Gender: Rep Women %

N

xdemTea Tea Party: Supporter %Tea Party: Not Supporter %

N

xdemIdeo3 Ideo: Liberal (1-3) %Ideo: Moderate (4) %

Ideo: Conservative (5-7) %N

xeduc3 Educ: < College %Educ: Bachelors degree %

Educ: Post-grad %N

xdemInc3 Income: Under 50k %Income: 50k-100k %

Income: 100k+ %N

Continued on next page

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National Tracking Poll #151003, October, 2015Respondent Demographics Summary


xdemWhite Ethnicity: White %

xdemHispBin Ethnicity: Hispanic %

demBlackBin Ethnicity: Afr. Am. %

demRaceOther Ethnicity: Other %

xrelNet Relig: Protestant %Relig: Roman Catholic %Relig: Ath./Agn./None %Relig: Something Else %

N

xreligion1 Relig: Jewish %

xreligion2 Relig: Evangelical %Relig: Non-Evang. Catholics %

N

xreligion3 Relig: All Christian %Relig: All Non-Christian %

N

xdemUsr Community: Urban %Community: Suburban %

Community: Rural %N

xdemEmploy Employ: Private Sector %Employ: Government %

Employ: Self-Employed %Employ: Homemaker %

Employ: Student %Employ: Retired %

Employ: Unemployed %Employ: Other %

N

xdemJobStatus Job Type: White-collar %Job Type: Blue-collar %Job Type: Dont Know %

N

xdemMilHH1 Military HH: Yes %Military HH: No %

N Continued on next page

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Morning Consu;tRespondent Demographics Summary


xnr1 RD/WT: Right Direction %RD/WT: Wrong Track %

N

xnr2Bin Obama Job: Approve %Obama Job: Disapprove %

N

xnr3 #1 Issue: Economy %#1 Issue: Security %

#1 Issue: Health Care %#1 Issue: Medicare / Social Security %

#1 Issue: Womens Issues %#1 Issue: Education %

#1 Issue: Energy %#1 Issue: Other %

N

xsubVote14O 2014 Vote: Democrat %2014 Vote: Republican %

2014 Vote: Other %2014 Vote: Didnt Vote %

N

xsubVote12O 2012 Vote: Barack Obama %2012 Vote: Mitt Romney %

2012 Vote: Other %2012 Vote: Didnt Vote %

N

xreg4 4-Region: Northeast %4-Region: Midwest %

4-Region: South %4-Region: West %

N Note: Group proportions may total to larger than one-hundred percent due to rounding. All statistics are calcu-lated with demographic post-stratification weights applied.

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National Tracking Poll #151003, October, 2015

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National Tracking PollRespondent Demographics Summary

morning consult poll october 13th

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