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NADA Used Car Guide Industry Update
NADA Used Car Guide Industry Update
NADA Used Car Guide and its logo are registered trademarks of National Automobile Dealers Association, used under license by J.D. Power and Associates. ©2016 J.D. Power and Associates
NADA Used Car Guide, a division of J.D. Power | nada.com/b2b
June 2016
Wholesale Depreciation Accelerates in May
Prices decline by an average of 2%
Used Vehicle Price Index Rises Slightly
Index increases by 0.7% to 119.1
New Vehicle Deliveries Decrease
Sales fall by 6.1%, SAAR reaches 17.37M
Incentive Spending Increases by Double-Digits
Average spending per unit jumps 11% in May
Guidelines | June 2016
NADA Used Car Guide® and its logo are registered trademarks of National Automobile Dealers Association, used under license by J.D. Power and Associates.
© 2016 J.D. Power and Associates
NADA Used Car Guide, a division of J.D. Power 8400 Westpark Drive, 6th Floor| McLean, VA 22102 | 800.544.6232 | nada.com/b2b
2
NEW & USED MARKET TRENDS
USED MARKET UPDATE
Typical for the month of May, depreciation accelerated as wholesale prices of used
vehicles up to eight years in age fell by 2% compared to April (or a half-percentage point
more than the 1.5% drop recorded a month earlier). But while depreciation on a
monthly basis was higher, May’s performance was better than expected and was an
improvement over the 2.7% decline averaged over the previous four years.
As a result, NADA Used Car Guide’s seasonally adjusted used vehicle price index rose by
0.7% to 119.1; the first increase recorded since November 2015.
Prices of used mainstream cars continued to fall at industry-high rates in May. Compact
car depreciation reached 3% over the month, while large and mid-size car losses
averaged 2.7%. Subcompact car depreciation remained elevated at 2.4%, yet the dip
was an improvement over April’s 4% loss. Losses
likely would have been steeper had it not been for a
17% pullback in late-model auction sales volume over
the month (although subcompact car sales volume
year-to-date was up 29%).
Similar to cars, mainstream compact utility prices fell
at an above-average rate last month. Under pressure
from a growing pool of supply and higher new vehicle
incentives, prices for the group fell by 2.5% in May —
nearly 1.5-percentage points more than April’s
TABLE OF CONTENTS
New & Used Market Trends ........................................................................................................ 2
Economic Update ......................................................................................................................... 10
NADA Official Used Car Guide Value Trends ............................................................................... 12
At NADA Used Car Guide ............................................................................................................. 13
70
80
90
100
110
120
130
Jan
uar
y 2
01
0 =
10
0
Month
NADA Used Vehicle Price IndexVehicles up to eight years in age. Seasonally adjusted.
Source: NADA Used Car Guide
May 2016:
Index rises 0.7% to 119.1
Guidelines | June 2016
NADA Used Car Guide® and its logo are registered trademarks of National Automobile Dealers Association, used under license by J.D. Power and Associates.
© 2016 J.D. Power and Associates
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3
decline. Year-to-date, compact utility depreciation versus Q4 2015 is nearly 5-
percentage points worse than it was over the same period last year. The popular
segment is tied with subcompact and compact cars for the biggest negative swing in the
industry.
Supported by a 22% reduction in late-model auction sales volume, mid-size van prices
fell by less than 1%. Prices for the segment fell by an
average of nearly 2.5% in May over the past two
years.
After a somewhat soft start to the year, mid-size and
large pickup prices returned to their former track of
strength over the past two months. Prices for the
two dipped by a combined average of just 0.4% in
May, up a bit from April’s similarly small 0.6% drop.
On the luxury side of the market, segment losses
were primarily mild compared to their mainstream
counterparts. Luxury compact utility prices declined
the most for the month (2.1%), which is slightly more
than the segment’s 0.6% average decline in May over the past two years. Losses for
remaining luxury segments averaged 1.2% for the month.
When compared to the same period in 2015 on an index basis year-to-date (YTD),
average prices this year are down by about 4%. Through the first five months of the
year, depreciation has accelerated at a steeper rate for small to mid-size cars, as well as
small and mid-size utilities. Vehicles in the large car, truck, SUV and luxury segments
have fared better.
AUCTION VOLUME TRENDS
Historically the norm each May, auction sales volume of units up to eight years in age
fell. Compared to the four prior weeks, this past month’s volume dropped by 4% over
the four-week period extending through May 23. Sales volume for the 2013 and 2016
model years rose by 1% and 5%, respectively, while sales volume for other years fell 2%
(2011) to 9% (2014 and 2015).
[ NEW & USED MARKET TRENDS CONTINUED ]
-3.0%
-2.8%-2.6%
-2.5% -2.4%
-2.1% -2.1%-2.0% -2.0%
-1.7%
-1.3% -1.3%
-0.8%-0.7%
-0.5% -0.4%-0.3%
-3.5%
-3.0%
-2.5%
-2.0%
-1.5%
-1.0%
-0.5%
0.0%
Pri
or
Mo
nth
Ch
ange
Monthly Change in Wholesale Used Vehicle Prices - Apr vs. May 2016Vehicles up to eight years in age.
Source: NADA Used Car Guide
Guidelines | June 2016
NADA Used Car Guide® and its logo are registered trademarks of National Automobile Dealers Association, used under license by J.D. Power and Associates.
© 2016 J.D. Power and Associates
NADA Used Car Guide, a division of J.D. Power 8400 Westpark Drive, 6th Floor| McLean, VA 22102 | 800.544.6232 | nada.com/b2b
4
Although sales volume for the off-rental heavy 2015 model year moved progressively
lower over the past two months, the nearly 136,500 units sold through the lanes were
12% higher than sales of 2014 models in April and May last year. As a result, the number
of 2015 model year auction sales is now higher than model year 2014 units on a like-age
basis.
Year-to-date, late-model auction volume (up to three years in age) reached 1,101,400
units through the end of May, which is 10.5% higher than last year. Up by 37.6%, large
pickup volume was up the most over the five-month period, followed by subcompact
cars and compact utilities (where sales were around 29% higher). Luxury large car, large
car and mid-size van prices fell by 20% to 30%. Volume share was once again dominated
by mid-size cars (23.5%), compact cars (19.5%) and compact utilities (15.4%).
JUNE 2016 USED VEHICLE PRICE FORECAST
NADA Used Car Guide’s June 2016 forecast has prices of vehicles up to eight years in age
falling by 2.5% to 3% when compared to May. The anticipated drop is similar to the 2.5%
decline recorded for the month in 2014 and 2015.
Keeping with long-running trends, subcompact, compact and mid-size car prices are
expected to drop the most among mainstream segments. Prices for the trio are
scheduled to decline by an average of 3%, which is generally in line with last June’s
losses. Compact utility depreciation is expected to move from 2% last June to almost 3%
this year (due primarily to the aforementioned jump in used supply). Prices of pickups
and large utilities should decline by 2% or less, while prices for remaining non-luxury
segments should fall by an average of 2.5%. Luxury segment prices are expected to fall
between 2% (luxury large utility) to 2.6% (luxury large car).
Matching June, depreciation in July and August is expected to fall between 2.5% to 3%.
Prices fell by an average of 2.5% over the two months in 2014 and 2015. NADA Used Car
Guide’s full-year forecast remains unchanged from last month, with prices expected to
be down 5% to 6% on an index-basis from 2015. This would place prices below 2011
levels and mark one of the steepest non-recession declines experienced over the past
20 years.
[ NEW & USED MARKET TRENDS CONTINUED ]
Guidelines | June 2016
NADA Used Car Guide® and its logo are registered trademarks of National Automobile Dealers Association, used under license by J.D. Power and Associates.
© 2016 J.D. Power and Associates
NADA Used Car Guide, a division of J.D. Power 8400 Westpark Drive, 6th Floor| McLean, VA 22102 | 800.544.6232 | nada.com/b2b
5
JUNE OFFICIAL USED CAR GUIDE VALUE MOVEMENT
Trade-in values in June’s edition of the NADA Official Used Car Guide® decreased by
1.2% relative to May. This is the best retention of the past three editions, however still
worse than June 2015’s 0.9% decline.
For the month, car values were lowered by 1.6%, while trucks were reduced by only
0.7%. For the second straight month, entry
subcompact cars performed the worst. Values for
the group were lowered by an average of 3.9%. On
the opposite end of the spectrum, large pickup
values were the strongest as prices for this segment
were reduced by an average of only 0.3%. Non-
luxury vehicles were reduced by 1.2%, while luxury
vehicle values were lowered by a slightly worse
1.3%.
NEW VEHICLE DELIVERIES FALL BY 6.1%,
SAAR REACHES 17.37M UNITS
Though new vehicle sales decreased by 6.1% year-
over-year, the seasonally-adjusted annual rate
(SAAR) climbed for the third consecutive month to
reach 17.37 million units, which was a 1.9% drop
from a year ago.
DOMESTIC SALES SLIDE BY 9%
The U.S. Big Three collectively struggled, and realized
a 9% sales loss in May. The year-to-date tally of the
trio now stands just 1% above last year’s figures.
After realizing a 1.1% increase in deliveries, Fiat
Chrysler was the only member of the U.S. Big Three
to achieve positive growth last month. The Italian-owned, American automaker’s 6.4%
[ NEW & USED MARKET TRENDS CONTINUED ]
-10%
-5%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
0.0
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.8
1.0
1.2
1.4
1.6
1.8
Pe
rcen
t Ch
ange
Sale
s V
olu
me
(m
illio
ns)
Month
New Vehicle SalesNew Vehicles Sales YoY Change
Source: WardsAuto
-6%
-4%
-2%
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
10%
12%
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
Pe
rcen
t Ch
ange
Ne
w V
eh
icle
SA
AR
(m
illio
ns)
Month
New Vehicle SAARSAAR YoY Change
Source: WardsAuto
Guidelines | June 2016
NADA Used Car Guide® and its logo are registered trademarks of National Automobile Dealers Association, used under license by J.D. Power and Associates.
© 2016 J.D. Power and Associates
NADA Used Car Guide, a division of J.D. Power 8400 Westpark Drive, 6th Floor| McLean, VA 22102 | 800.544.6232 | nada.com/b2b
6
year-to-date sales improvement also bests its domestic peers. However, the result isn’t
as rosy as it appears since every one of FCA’s brands saw sales decline, save for Jeep and
Alfa Romeo; the latter of which sold merely 44 cars.
Ford Motor Company’s deliveries fell by 6.6% in May, while its sales total through the
first five months of the year is 3.6% higher than a year
ago. Lincoln exhibited 6.9% growth, but all of it was the
sole result of a hot-selling MKX. On the other side of the
company, the Blue Oval brand saw deliveries decrease
by 7.1% as its F-Series, Escape, Expedition and Transit
models couldn’t combat a sales decline sufficiently.
General Motors received a bit of a roughing up as its
sales plummeted 18% last month, causing the
automaker’s year-to-date deliveries to fall to 5% below
its total at this point in 2015. Every one of its brands
displayed reduced sales of 14% or greater, with volume
brand Chevrolet down nearly 19%.
IMPORT SALES DROP 3.8%, KOREANS SHINE
Importers fared better than domestics in May, but their
3.8% loss in deliveries left much to be desired. On a
bright note, import brand sales are still up 1.1% for the
year.
Of the major automobile-producing countries, South
Korea stood above the rest with a 6.3% boost in sales
last month. The successful rise was largely a result of the
brisk sales activity of Hyundai’s Santa Fe and Tucson
models (a 12% increase, collectively). Japanese
automakers, however, sold 5.4% fewer units year-over-
year after all but Subaru exhibited sales decreases.
Subaru deliveries rose by 1.1% with all of its non-sports car models beating last year’s
marks.
[ NEW & USED MARKET TRENDS CONTINUED ]
Mainstream Brand Performance (Units Sold)
Change From
May-16 Apr-16 May-15 Month Ago Year Ago
Buick 15,625 17,720 20,062 -12% -22%
Chevrolet 169,331 183,442 207,970 -7.7% -19%
Chrysler 24,276 22,843 29,802 6.3% -19%
Dodge 42,837 43,575 45,268 -1.7% -5.4%
Fiat 3,137 3,045 3,867 3.0% -19%
Ford 219,715 214,476 236,452 2.4% -7.1%
GMC 43,395 47,159 50,657 -8.0% -14%
Honda 133,547 132,623 137,551 0.7% -2.9%
Hyundai 71,006 62,213 63,610 14% 12%
Jeep 90,545 84,298 79,652 7.4% 14%
Kia 62,926 56,508 62,433 11% 0.8%
Mazda 28,328 26,195 29,606 8.1% -4.3%
Mini 4,595 4,796 5,833 -4.2% -21%
Mitsubishi 9,025 9,674 9,575 -6.7% -5.7%
Nissan 122,668 113,429 124,305 8.1% -1.3%
Ram 42,102 44,356 42,165 -5.1% -0.1%
Scion 6,659 6,640 4,806 0.3% 39%
Smart 420 466 837 -9.9% -50%
Subaru 50,083 50,380 49,561 -0.6% 1.1%
Toyota 185,998 179,603 208,102 3.6% -11%
Volkswagen 28,779 27,112 34,758 6.1% -17%
Source: WardsAuto
Luxury Brand Performance (Units Sold)
Change From
May-16 Apr-16 May-15 Month Ago Year Ago
Audi 18,728 17,801 18,428 5.2% 1.6%
BMW 29,017 24,951 31,003 16% -6.4%
Acura 13,561 16,206 17,042 -16% -20%
Alfa Romeo 44 60 40 -27% 10%
Cadillac 12,099 11,236 14,408 7.7% -16%
Infiniti 10,828 10,432 10,474 3.8% 3.4%
Jaguar 2,164 1,087 1,204 99% 80%
Land Rover 4,950 5,188 5,382 -4.6% -8.0%
Lexus 26,682 24,882 29,671 7.2% -10%
Lincoln 9,807 9,776 9,174 0.3% 6.9%
Mercedes-Benz 32,147 31,825 32,352 1.0% -0.6%
Porsche 4,578 5,410 4,268 -15% 7.3%
Volvo 5,536 6,169 5,023 -10% 10%
Source: WardsAuto
Guidelines | June 2016
NADA Used Car Guide® and its logo are registered trademarks of National Automobile Dealers Association, used under license by J.D. Power and Associates.
© 2016 J.D. Power and Associates
NADA Used Car Guide, a division of J.D. Power 8400 Westpark Drive, 6th Floor| McLean, VA 22102 | 800.544.6232 | nada.com/b2b
7
Relative to the largest players in the industry, Nissan North America performed
moderately well in May after selling only 1% fewer vehicles year-over-year, which
helped keep its year-to-date sales up 7.4% compared to a year ago. The Nissan brand
saw deliveries fall by 1.3%, but traditionally lower-volume models, such as the Maxima
and Frontier, performed exceptionally well. Infiniti achieved a 3.4% sales bump due to
positive gains across its utility vehicle lineup.
American Honda Motor Co. realized a 4.8% sales loss last month, but its five-month total
remains 5.7% above 2015’s figures. Acura struggled significantly and saw its deliveries
drop by over 20% after every model failed to outperform last year’s results. The Honda
brand exhibited a 2.9% sales decrease with only the HR-V and Civic improving year-over-
year.
Toyota Motor Sales experienced a 9.6% decline in deliveries last month and is now
behind last year’s pace by 2.2%. Both Toyota and Lexus saw sales fall by more than 10%
as the company’s product portfolio delivered very few sales bright spots. Scion
deliveries jumped up by 39%, however, that was achieved only through the addition of
the brand’s new iA and iM models.
Among Europeans, smaller automakers Volvo and
Jaguar Land Rover increased sales by 10% and 8%,
respectively, while their counterparts from Germany
realized a 7.2% sales decrease. Audi’s deliveries rose
by 1.6% due to growth among its Q3, Q5 and Q7
models. BMW and Mercedes-Benz, however,
headed in the other direction with deliveries down a
respective 6.4% and 0.6%.
INCENTIVES INCREASE BY DOUBLE-DIGITS
FOR FIFTH STRAIGHT MONTH
Incentive spending last month increased by nearly
11% year-over-year, and reached and average of
$3,151 per unit, according to figures from Autodata.
[ NEW & USED MARKET TRENDS CONTINUED ]
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
10%
12%
14%
16%
18%
$2,650
$2,700
$2,750
$2,800
$2,850
$2,900
$2,950
$3,000
$3,050
$3,100
$3,150
$3,200
Pe
rcen
t Ch
ange
Ave
rage
Ince
nti
ve S
pe
nd
ing
Month
IncentivesAverage of Total YoY Change
Source: Autodata
Guidelines | June 2016
NADA Used Car Guide® and its logo are registered trademarks of National Automobile Dealers Association, used under license by J.D. Power and Associates.
© 2016 J.D. Power and Associates
NADA Used Car Guide, a division of J.D. Power 8400 Westpark Drive, 6th Floor| McLean, VA 22102 | 800.544.6232 | nada.com/b2b
8
Ford Motor Company’s spending climbed by almost 35%, but its per unit average was
just under $3,600.
General Motors and Chrysler both exhibited average per-unit spending of nearly $4,100
after they increased incentives by 7.7% and 26%, respectively.
Although Nissan North America’s year-over-year spending decreased by 5.1%, its
incentives of $3,242 per unit was over 48% higher than Toyota Motor Sales, which spent
about 7.6% more per unit. Meanwhile, American Honda Motor Co. cut back incentives
by an average of 9.4% and exhibited a per-unit spend of less than $1,800.
BMW’s incentives continue to climb. For the month of May, they rose by an average of
26% and reached nearly $6,200 per unit. Mercedes-Benz exhibited an incentive spend
close to $4,800 after it increased incentives by 9.7%. Its competitor, Audi, kept
incentives relatively low at $3,304 for the month even though the dollar amount is a
19% increase over last month for the four-ringed marque. Incredibly, Volkswagen’s
spend of over $4,137 per unit was higher than that of nearly every mainstream
automaker and reflected a 26% hike year-over-year.
Subaru and Land Rover remain the lowest spenders in the industry with just $610 and
$639 directed per unit, respectively.
DAYS’ SUPPLY FALLS BY 11 DAYS
The industry’s average days’ supply decreased by 11
days and ended the month of May at 59 days — a
three day increase compared to last year.
At 67 days, General Motors had the lowest supply
among the U.S. Big Three once again. Fiat Chrysler
and Ford Motor Company each reduced inventory by
13 days, with the former at 71 days and the latter at
73 days.
While American Honda Motor Co. and Nissan North
America both saw their respective days’ supply fall to 56 days, Toyota Motor Sales
reduced its inventory by 11 days to reach just 43 days at month-end.
[ NEW & USED MARKET TRENDS CONTINUED ]
-12
-7
-2
3
8
13
18
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
Day C
han
ge
Day
s o
f Su
pp
ly
Month
New Vehicle Days' SupplyDays' Supply YoY Change
Source: WardsAuto
Guidelines | June 2016
NADA Used Car Guide® and its logo are registered trademarks of National Automobile Dealers Association, used under license by J.D. Power and Associates.
© 2016 J.D. Power and Associates
NADA Used Car Guide, a division of J.D. Power 8400 Westpark Drive, 6th Floor| McLean, VA 22102 | 800.544.6232 | nada.com/b2b
9
German luxury automakers BMW, Daimler and Audi each had days’ supply of 39, 44 and
52 days, respectively. Volkswagen, on the other hand, still had inventory to last 75 days
at the end of May — even after its days’ supply decreased by 18 days.
Subaru exhibited a mere 23-day supply, which is over two weeks’ worth less than the
next automaker.
[ NEW & USED MARKET TRENDS CONTINUED ]
Guidelines | June 2016
NADA Used Car Guide® and its logo are registered trademarks of National Automobile Dealers Association, used under license by J.D. Power and Associates.
© 2016 J.D. Power and Associates
NADA Used Car Guide, a division of J.D. Power 8400 Westpark Drive, 6th Floor| McLean, VA 22102 | 800.544.6232 | nada.com/b2b
10
EMPLOYMENT AND WAGES
According to the Bureau of Labor Services, employers added just 38,000 workers to
their payrolls in May, which is a sharp employment slowdown that could potentially
push back the Federal Reserve’s decision to raise interest rates. The employment figure
might be somewhat exaggerated since it includes 35,000 unionized Verizon employees
who have voluntarily gone on strike. Technically, the Labor Department classifies
employees on strike as unemployed. The heaviest job losses in May were in the
construction, manufacturing and mining industries.
The latest health snapshot suggests the economic recovery may have stalled this spring
— or at least temporarily. As a result of Americans dropping out of the labor force
rather than finding new jobs, the official unemployment rate fell to 4.7%. A broader
measure of unemployment — which includes people too discouraged to search for work
or are making do with a part-time job because they cannot find full-time employment —
stayed steady at 9.7%.
Additionally, the Labor Department has shrunken its initial estimates of March and
April’s employment totals by 59,000. As a result, the average monthly gain for the last
three months was 116,000 jobs, which means May’s figures were the lowest monthly
growth since September 2010.
On a brighter note, average hourly earnings rose again — 0.2% for the month — for a
gain of 2.5% for the last 12 months. The stats are an encouraging sign many more
working Americans are beginning to enjoy the benefits of a tighter labor market.
HOUSING MARKET
Apart from the jobs figures, a surge in home construction and hardy consumer spending
have contributed encouraging signs to a stronger economy. Most analysts expect
the pace of economic growth to pick up to about 2.5% over the next three months from
the first quarter’s 0.8%. Consumer spending, which accounts for more than two-thirds
of U.S. economic activity, surged 1.0% last month as households bought a range of
goods and services.
[ ECONOMIC UPDATE ]
Guidelines | June 2016
NADA Used Car Guide® and its logo are registered trademarks of National Automobile Dealers Association, used under license by J.D. Power and Associates.
© 2016 J.D. Power and Associates
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11
The median home price was $232,500 in April, which was up 5.4% from March and 6.3%
from April of last year. The median home price has increased by approximately $18,800
in the past year alone. The National Association of Realtors reported sales at a
seasonally adjusted annual rate of 5.5 million homes for the month of April. This was an
increase of 1.7% from March, and an increase of 6% from April 2015. There was a 4.7-
month supply of housing inventory in April, up from 4.4 months in March. The total
number of homes for sale in April increased by 6.8% to 2.14 million homes nationwide,
but that was still 80,000 fewer listings than April of last year.
OIL AND GASOLINE PRICES
In May, gasoline prices rose to an expected $2.27 per gallon, which is approximately 45
cents per gallon (16.5%) less than last year. Prices were up from $2.11 per gallon in April
due to seasonality and a continuing 8-month slide in U.S. production. Both WTI and
Brent crude levels climbed to $50 per barrel by the month’s end; the first time prices
reached this level since July 2015.
Despite promises of an output freeze at current levels, OPEC members failed to reach a
consensus, leaving many speculating about the possibility of a freeze in the foreseeable
future. If an agreement is made, it is likely global supply will tighten, pulling crude
prices even higher. Additionally, rebel attacks in Nigeria cut the country’s production by
10% in May — roughly 160,000 barrels a day — which contributed to a drop in OPEC’s
monthly supply. It is important to note that as prices reach $60 – $65 per barrel, which
is seen as the new equilibrium price by many experts, the market may realign to bring
back domestic producers.
[ ECONOMIC UPDATE continued ]
Guidelines | June 2016
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12
NADA Used Car Guide® and its logo are registered trademarks of National Automobile Dealers Association, used under license by J.D. Power and Associates.
© 2016 J.D. Power and Associates
[ NADA OFFICIAL USED CAR GUIDE® TRENDS ]
Monthly Change in NADA Used Car Guide Value: May vs. June 2016
Annual Change in NADA Used Car Guide Value: June, 2015 vs. 2016
YTD Change in NADA Used Car Guide Value: January — June 2016
NADA Segment 2009MY 2010MY 2011MY 2012MY 2013MY 2014MY 2015MY*
Compact Car -1.8% -3.5% -2.0% -3.0% -0.7% -1.1% -0.6%
Compact Utility -1.2% -2.0% -0.7% -1.6% -0.2% 0.2% 0.4%
Large Pickup -1.3% -0.5% -0.6% -1.4% -0.3% 0.9% -0.1%
Large SUV -1.6% 0.4% -0.4% -0.9% 0.4% -0.5% -1.0%
Luxury Compact Car -1.7% -1.7% -1.6% -1.1% -0.7% -0.8% -2.1%
Luxury Compact Utility 0.6% -0.6% -0.2% -1.7% -0.3% -1.6% -2.5%
Luxury Mid-Size Car -2.0% -1.1% -1.5% -1.4% -0.8% -3.8% -2.2%
Luxury Mid-Size Utility -0.5% -0.8% 0.4% -0.9% -1.1% -1.6% -2.9%
Mid-Size Car -1.8% -2.7% -2.6% -3.3% -1.4% -1.3% -0.2%
Mid-Size Utility -1.7% -1.9% -0.7% -1.3% 0.4% -0.4% 0.3%
Mid-Size Van 0.4% -1.8% -1.5% -3.8% 0.3% 1.4% 1.3%
Premium Luxury Large Car -1.8% -2.5% -2.8% -1.2% -2.4% -2.6% -2.3%
Subcompact Car -3.2% -3.3% -3.6% -4.4% -2.3% -3.4% -0.3%*Value movement can be influenced by newly valued vehicles.
NADA Segment 2009MY 2010MY 2011MY 2012MY 2013MY 2014MY 2015MY*
Compact Car -4.9% -4.6% -5.2% -5.3% -2.3% -6.5% -6.8%
Compact Utility -5.5% -5.6% -5.3% -4.6% -2.0% -4.0% -5.3%
Large Pickup -5.9% -5.7% -6.0% -6.3% -2.9% -1.2% -9.4%
Large SUV -5.6% -6.8% -6.1% -5.2% -0.2% -3.6% -12.5%
Luxury Compact Car -7.5% -8.2% -8.0% -5.3% -4.8% -8.2% -8.2%
Luxury Compact Utility -6.2% -6.3% -6.1% -5.1% -4.6% -6.3% -5.1%
Luxury Mid-Size Car -9.1% -9.1% -6.9% -8.3% -6.6% -13.5% -8.7%
Luxury Mid-Size Utility -6.3% -7.1% -5.9% -7.2% -8.4% -7.2% -9.3%
Mid-Size Car -3.6% -3.3% -3.9% -5.9% -1.1% -6.5% -6.5%
Mid-Size Utility -5.4% -7.6% -6.3% -5.9% 0.7% -5.1% -4.6%
Mid-Size Van -3.7% -2.3% -4.2% -7.0% 2.4% -0.1% -5.2%
Premium Luxury Large Car -9.6% -8.3% -10.3% -6.8% -8.3% -5.3% -4.4%
Subcompact Car -4.3% -5.2% -8.2% -9.3% -5.4% -10.3% -4.3%*Value movement can be influenced by newly valued vehicles.
NADA Segment* 7YR 6YR 5YR 4YR 3YR 2YR 1YR
Compact Car -11.6% -9.8% -5.7% -9.4% -6.2% -8.6% -4.0%
Compact Utility -5.3% 0.0% -4.3% -6.0% -4.7% -7.9% -2.3%
Large Pickup -0.3% -1.5% 2.1% -0.3% -3.6% 2.7% 10.3%
Large SUV 3.6% 3.2% 4.8% 3.4% 8.0% 1.3% 12.2%
Luxury Compact Car -5.4% -7.4% -10.4% -5.6% -0.6% 0.3% -6.6%
Luxury Compact Utility 9.6% 6.2% -4.3% -0.3% -4.9% -1.4% -3.0%
Luxury Mid-Size Car -8.3% 1.1% -0.6% -2.2% -1.5% -2.3% -5.3%
Luxury Mid-Size Utility 1.6% -4.2% -0.6% -1.7% -5.0% -2.5% -3.2%
Mid-Size Car -8.2% -9.2% -6.6% -7.7% -3.7% -4.7% -4.9%
Mid-Size Utility -8.2% -0.2% 3.5% -4.5% 1.8% -4.5% -5.9%
Mid-Size Van -2.0% -4.1% 17.3% -10.2% 0.5% 4.4% 4.1%
Premium Luxury Large Car 2.6% -2.9% -15.3% -4.8% 0.7% 14.5% 3.3%
Subcompact Car -19.8% -13.1% -22.9% -22.0% -9.8% -12.6% -5.7%*Value differences can be the result of changes in segment mix (i.e. models entering/leaving), model redesigns, and overall market performance.
Guidelines | June 2016
NADA Used Car Guide® and its logo are registered trademarks of National Automobile Dealers Association, used under license by J.D. Power and Associates.
© 2016 J.D. Power and Associates
NADA Used Car Guide, a division of J.D. Power 8400 Westpark Drive, 6th Floor| McLean, VA 22102 | 800.544.6232 | nada.com/b2b
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AT NADA USED CAR GUIDE
About NADA Used Car Guide, a division of J.D. Power and Associates
Since 1933, NADA Used Car Guide has earned its reputation as the leading provider of vehicle valuation products, services and information to businesses throughout the United States and worldwide. NADA Used Car Guide’s team collects and analyzes over one million combined automotive and truck wholesale and retail transactions per month. Its guidebooks, auction data, analysis and data solutions offer automotive/truck, finance, insurance and government professionals, the timely information and reliable solutions they need to make better business decisions. Visit nada.com/b2b to learn more about solutions for your business and nada.com/usedcar to stay abreast of the latest used and new vehicle market trends.
Financial Industry, Accounting, Legal, OEM Captive Steve Stafford 800.248.6232 x7275 [email protected]
Director, Sales and Customer Service Dan Ruddy 800.248.6232 x4707 [email protected]
Automotive Dealers, Auctions, Insurance, Credit Unions, Fleet, Lease, Rental Industry, Government Doug Ott 800.248.6232 x4710 [email protected]
Director, Business Development James Gibson 800.248.6232 x7136 [email protected]
What’s New
The new NADA Values Online introduces New Vehicle Values, a range of values that provide new vehicle pricing guidance based on actual market transactions and market influencers. It also includes inventory valuation, vehicle valuation trends and a custom reporting tool to help you see vehicle values from every angle. With NADA Values Online, you have the data and insight you need to make better business decisions and see better outcomes.
See how we can help your business >> Go to nada.com/valuesonline.
On the Road
Say, “Hi” to Mike Stanton at the 2016 NIADA Convention and Expo in Las Vegas, June 13-16.
Larry Dixon will present on a panel covering collateral risk and vehicle values at the 2016 Southeastern Credit Union Conference and
Exposition on June 16 in Orlando.
Jonathan Banks will share NADA Used Car Guide’s latest research on used value pricing at the annual Automotive Resource Network
Conference in Atlanta, which runs August 2 – 3.
Commercial truck senior analyst, Chris Visser, will attend the 2016 Commercial Vehicle Outlook Conference in Dallas, August 24 – 25.
Guidelines | June 2016
NADA Used Car Guide® and its logo are registered trademarks of National Automobile Dealers Association, used under license by J.D. Power and Associates.
© 2016 J.D. Power and Associates
NADA Used Car Guide, a division of J.D. Power 8400 Westpark Drive, 6th Floor| McLean, VA 22102 | 800.544.6232 | nada.com/b2b
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NADA USED CAR GUIDE CONSULTING SERVICES
NADA Used Car Guide’s market intelligence team leverages a database of nearly 200 million automotive transactions
and more than 100 economic and automotive market-related series to describe the factors driving current trends to
help industry stakeholders make more informed decisions. Analyzing data at both wholesale and retail levels, the team
continuously provides content that is both useful and usable to the automotive industry, financial institutions,
businesses and consumers.
Complemented by NADA Used Car Guide’s analytics team, which maintains and advances its internal forecasting models
and develops customized forecasting solutions for automotive clients, the market intelligence team is responsible for
publishing white papers, special reports and the Used Car & Truck Blog. Throughout every piece of content, the team
strives to go beyond what is happening in the automotive industry to confidently answer why it is happening and how it
will impact the market in the future.
VP, Vehicle Analysis & Analytics Jonathan Banks 800.248.6232 x4709 [email protected]
Senior Manager, Market Intelligence Larry Dixon 800.248.6232 x4713 [email protected]
Senior Automotive Analyst David Paris 800.248.6232 x7044 [email protected]
Senior Automotive Analyst Joseph Choi 800.248.6232 x4706 [email protected]
ADDITIONAL RESOURCES
Connect with NADA Used Car Guide
White Papers NADA Used Car Guide’s white papers and special reports aim to inform industry stakeholders on current and expected used vehicle price movement to better maximize today’s opportunities and manage tomorrow’s risk.
Used Car & Truck Blog Written and managed by the Market Intelligence team, the Used Car & Truck Blog analyzes market data, lends insight into industry trends and highlights relevant events.
Perspective
Leveraging data from various industry
sources and NADA Used Car Guide’s
analysts, Perspective takes a deep dive
into a range of industry trends to
determine why they are happening and
what to expect in the future.
Guidelines Updated monthly with a robust data set from various industry sources and NADA Used Car Guide’s proprietary analysis, Guidelines provides the insight needed to make decisions in today’s market.
Read our Blog nada.com/usedcar
Follow Us on Twitter @NADAUsedCarGde
Find Us on Facebook Facebook.com/NADAUsedCarGuide
Watch Us on YouTube Youtube.com/NADAUsedCarGuide
Disclaimer: NADA Used Car Guide makes no representations about future performance or results based on the data and the contents available in this report (“Guidelines”). Guidelines is provided for informational purposes only and is provided AS IS without warranty or guarantee of any kind. By accessing Guidelines via email or the NADA Used Car Guide website, you agree not to reprint, reproduce, or distribute Guidelines without the express written permission of J.D. Power and Associates.