navigating global bond markets, the benefits of...

49
NAVIGATING GLOBAL BOND MARKETS, THE BENEFITS OF FLEXIBILITY Michael Zelouf, CFA 9 March 2016 This information is only for use by professional clients, eligible counterparties or qualified investors. It is not aimed at, or for use by, retail clients.

Upload: others

Post on 06-Oct-2020

0 views

Category:

Documents


0 download

TRANSCRIPT

Page 1: NAVIGATING GLOBAL BOND MARKETS, THE BENEFITS OF …acties.trends.knack.be/acties/trends/investmentsummit/files/Mason.… · IT’S ALL ABOUT THE OIL PRICE Source: Bloomberg, As of

NAVIGATING GLOBAL BOND MARKETS,

THE BENEFITS OF FLEXIBILITY

Michael Zelouf, CFA

9 March 2016

This information is only for use by professional clients, eligible counterparties or qualified investors. It is not aimed at, or for use by, retail clients.

Page 2: NAVIGATING GLOBAL BOND MARKETS, THE BENEFITS OF …acties.trends.knack.be/acties/trends/investmentsummit/files/Mason.… · IT’S ALL ABOUT THE OIL PRICE Source: Bloomberg, As of

AGENDA

2016 macro outlook

How have markets reacted?

Navigating global bond markets

Appendix

1

Page 3: NAVIGATING GLOBAL BOND MARKETS, THE BENEFITS OF …acties.trends.knack.be/acties/trends/investmentsummit/files/Mason.… · IT’S ALL ABOUT THE OIL PRICE Source: Bloomberg, As of

MACRO REVIEW: THE START OF 2016

Global growth and inflation have moved lower, downside risks persist

Accommodative monetary policy remains crucial for ongoing global recovery

2

Source: Western Asset, as at 18 February 2016. Opinions expressed are subject to change without notice and do not take into account the particular investment objectives, financial situations or

needs of investors.

FEARS

Credit markets priced beyond recession

Systemic risk premium for banks globally

Global recession – China, oil, banks

OPPORTUNITIES

No systemic crisis

Slow global growth

Moderate US growth

Page 4: NAVIGATING GLOBAL BOND MARKETS, THE BENEFITS OF …acties.trends.knack.be/acties/trends/investmentsummit/files/Mason.… · IT’S ALL ABOUT THE OIL PRICE Source: Bloomberg, As of

OFFICIAL GROWTH FORECASTS:

HOW LIKELY IS A GLOBAL RECESSION ?

Source: IMF, IBRD and OECD

3

1.9

4.0

3.1

1.6

4.3

2.4

3.0

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

Advanced Emerging World

2.1

4.3

3.4

2.1

4.8

2.9 3.0

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

Advanced Emerging World

IMF (Jan 2016)

World Bank (Jan 2016)

OECD (Feb 2016)

2.1

4.7

3.6

2.1

5.3

3.1 3.3

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

Advanced Emerging World

2015 2016 2017

60% of the global economy is likely to grow by at least 1% in 2016

Page 5: NAVIGATING GLOBAL BOND MARKETS, THE BENEFITS OF …acties.trends.knack.be/acties/trends/investmentsummit/files/Mason.… · IT’S ALL ABOUT THE OIL PRICE Source: Bloomberg, As of

WORLD GDP AND REAL OIL PRICE

4

-60

-40

-20

0

20

40

60-1

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015

PercentPerc

ent

World GDP World Oil Price (RHS)

Source: Bloomberg. As of 31 Dec 15

Low oil prices boost real incomes in energy consuming economies

Page 6: NAVIGATING GLOBAL BOND MARKETS, THE BENEFITS OF …acties.trends.knack.be/acties/trends/investmentsummit/files/Mason.… · IT’S ALL ABOUT THE OIL PRICE Source: Bloomberg, As of

US ECONOMY :

HIRING AND INCOME GROWTH REMAIN STRONG

-1000

-800

-600

-400

-200

0

200

400

600

1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015

Tho

usan

ds

Non-Farm Payroll Job Growth, 3-Month Average

Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics. As of 31 Jan 16

-8

-6

-4

-2

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015Y

ear-

over

-Yea

r G

row

th (

%)

Income Consumption

Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics. As of 31 Jan 16

5

Page 7: NAVIGATING GLOBAL BOND MARKETS, THE BENEFITS OF …acties.trends.knack.be/acties/trends/investmentsummit/files/Mason.… · IT’S ALL ABOUT THE OIL PRICE Source: Bloomberg, As of

CHINA ECONOMY:

LOWER BUT MORE BALANCED GROWTH

Growth is becoming more service based than manufacturing driven

Source: NBS, as at 31 December 2015

6

Page 8: NAVIGATING GLOBAL BOND MARKETS, THE BENEFITS OF …acties.trends.knack.be/acties/trends/investmentsummit/files/Mason.… · IT’S ALL ABOUT THE OIL PRICE Source: Bloomberg, As of

150

200

250

300

350

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

Corn

150

200

250

300

350

400

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

Wheat

10

15

20

25

30

35

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

Sugar

120

160

200

240

280

320

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

Coffee

40

60

80

100

120

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

Oil

50

70

90

110

130

150

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

Coal

50

100

150

200

250

300

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

Rubber

40

80

120

160

200

240

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

Cotton

5,000

6,000

7,000

8,000

9,000

10,000

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

Copper

25

50

75

100

125

150

175

200

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

Iron Ore

1,000

1,200

1,400

1,600

1,800

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

Gold

1,500

1,700

1,900

2,100

2,300

2,500

2,700

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

Aluminum

COMMODITIES: ARE BROAD DECLINES SIGNALLING

A WEAKER GLOBAL ECONOMY ?

Commodity units priced in US Dollars. Source: Indexmundi.com. As of 31 Dec 15

Price Trends of Key Commodities in US Dollars

7

Page 9: NAVIGATING GLOBAL BOND MARKETS, THE BENEFITS OF …acties.trends.knack.be/acties/trends/investmentsummit/files/Mason.… · IT’S ALL ABOUT THE OIL PRICE Source: Bloomberg, As of

ARE FINANCIAL CONDITIONS SIGNALLING A

SYSTEMIC CRISIS?

Source: Bloomberg, as at 31 January 2016

-1

-0.5

0

0.5

1

1.5

2

2.5

3

98

99

100

101

102

103

104

105

Jan 07 Oct 07 Jul 08 Apr 09 Jan 10 Oct 10 Jul 11 Apr 12 Jan 13 Oct 13 Jul 14 Apr 15 Jan 16

Financial Conditions Indicators ( GS vs. Chicago Fed)

GSERFCI NFCINDX

8

Page 10: NAVIGATING GLOBAL BOND MARKETS, THE BENEFITS OF …acties.trends.knack.be/acties/trends/investmentsummit/files/Mason.… · IT’S ALL ABOUT THE OIL PRICE Source: Bloomberg, As of

2000 - 07 2007 - 14¹

Average 7.3 5.3

8.5 2.8

5.7 5.9

5.8 9.3

9.4 2.9

Compound Annual Growth Rate (%)

20 37 452233

5826

38

56

19

33

40

87

141

199

0

50

100

150

200

250

Q4 00 Q4 07 Q4 14¹

UD

S T

rillio

n

Household

Corporate

Government

Financial

¹Q214 data for advanced economcies and China; Q413 data for other developing econocmies Note: Data may not sum due to roundingSource: Mckinsey Global Institute. 28 Feb 15

DEBT ACCUMULATION MAKES THE GLOBAL

ECONOMY VULNERABLE TO DEFLATION

Global Government, household and non-financial corporate debt

Total Debt as

% of GDP 246 269 286

9

United States (left)

Brazil, Russia, India & China (right)

60

80

100

120

140

160

100

125

150

175

200

2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

Percent of G

DPP

erce

nt o

f GD

P

Private Credit

Source: BIS. As of 31 Mar 15

Page 11: NAVIGATING GLOBAL BOND MARKETS, THE BENEFITS OF …acties.trends.knack.be/acties/trends/investmentsummit/files/Mason.… · IT’S ALL ABOUT THE OIL PRICE Source: Bloomberg, As of

HOW HAVE THE MARKETS REACTED?

10

Page 12: NAVIGATING GLOBAL BOND MARKETS, THE BENEFITS OF …acties.trends.knack.be/acties/trends/investmentsummit/files/Mason.… · IT’S ALL ABOUT THE OIL PRICE Source: Bloomberg, As of

IT’S ALL ABOUT THE OIL PRICE

Source: Bloomberg, As of 12th Feb 2016.

-100

-90

-80

-70

-60

-50

-40

-30

-20

0.6

0.8

1.0

1.2

1.4

1.6

1.8

2.0

Sep 14 Nov 14 Jan 15 Mar 15 May 15 Jul 15 Sep 15 Nov 15

Pir

ce

(in

ve

rted

)

OA

S

Credit Is Tracking Oil

Barclays US Agg Credit WTI Crude Oil

11

Page 13: NAVIGATING GLOBAL BOND MARKETS, THE BENEFITS OF …acties.trends.knack.be/acties/trends/investmentsummit/files/Mason.… · IT’S ALL ABOUT THE OIL PRICE Source: Bloomberg, As of

FEAR OF RECESSIONS PAST

With the exception of 2008 current spreads on high-grade bonds are higher than all of the past five contractions

Source: Citigroup, as at 12 February 2016. An investor cannot invest directly in an index. Unmanaged index returns do not reflect any fees, expenses or sales charges.

Past performance is not an indicator of future results and may not be repeated.

12

211

193

180

125

77

100

Current Dec '07 Mar '01 Jul '90 Jul '81 Jan '80

0

50

100

150

200

250

Past Recessions

Basis

Po

ints

Investment Grade Spread to Treasuries Index: Citi Broad Investment-Grade Corporate Index

Page 14: NAVIGATING GLOBAL BOND MARKETS, THE BENEFITS OF …acties.trends.knack.be/acties/trends/investmentsummit/files/Mason.… · IT’S ALL ABOUT THE OIL PRICE Source: Bloomberg, As of

INVESTMENT-GRADE CREDIT*

EXCESS RETURNS

Source: Barclays, as at 12 February 2016. *Year-to-date ending 12 February 2016. An investor cannot invest directly in an index. Unmanaged index returns do not reflect any fees, expenses or sales

charges. Past performance is not an indicator of future results and may not be repeated.

13

EXCESS

YEAR EVENT RETURN (bps)

1998 Russian default / emerging markets crisis -238

2000 NASDAQ collapse / recession -463

2002 Recession / WorldCom -187

2007 Housing / structured credit collapse -464

2011 Euro crisis -322

2015 China / commodity collapse -169

February 2016* Global recession fear? -323 *Index: Barclays US Credit Index

Page 15: NAVIGATING GLOBAL BOND MARKETS, THE BENEFITS OF …acties.trends.knack.be/acties/trends/investmentsummit/files/Mason.… · IT’S ALL ABOUT THE OIL PRICE Source: Bloomberg, As of

LONG-TERM US BBB CREDIT SPREADS

PRICED FOR RECESSION

14

0

200

400

600

800

1925 1935 1945 1955 1965 1975 1985 1995 2005 2015

Ba

sis

po

ints

Long-Term Spread History

US Recession BBBs (to Tsy)

Source: Morgan Stanley Research, Moody's .

0

3

6

9

12

15

1929 1939 1949 1959 1969 1979 1989 1999 2009

Per

cent

Default Rates, Investment-Grade Corporates

5-Year Cumulative Rate of Historical Defaults,Investment-Grade Corporates

5-Year Default Rate Based on 30% Recovery Implied by Market Pricing 31 Jan 16 (11.33%¹)

Source: Moody's, Barclays, Bloomberg. As of 31 Jan 16¹Calculation assumes 25 bps liquidity premium

Past performance is no guarantee of future results.

Page 16: NAVIGATING GLOBAL BOND MARKETS, THE BENEFITS OF …acties.trends.knack.be/acties/trends/investmentsummit/files/Mason.… · IT’S ALL ABOUT THE OIL PRICE Source: Bloomberg, As of

INVESTMENT-GRADE CREDIT SPREADS

Credit Spreads Wider: Large Dispersion Between Winners and Losers

Past performance is no guarantee of future results. 15

YTD Excess

Returns

Investment-Grade Credit Spreads

US Credit -193 bps

Cable Satellite -252 bps

Banking -140 bps

Oil Field Services -1092 bps

Metals & Mining -649 bps

Energy -676 bps

Airlines -140 bps

Tobacco -139 bps

T1 Banks -339 bps

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

400

450

500

550

600

Jan 14 Mar 14 May 14 Jul 14 Sep 14 Nov 14 Jan 15 Mar 15 May 15 Jul 15 Sep 15 Nov 15 Jan 16

OA

S (

bps)

Source: Barclays. As of 31 Jan 16

Page 17: NAVIGATING GLOBAL BOND MARKETS, THE BENEFITS OF …acties.trends.knack.be/acties/trends/investmentsummit/files/Mason.… · IT’S ALL ABOUT THE OIL PRICE Source: Bloomberg, As of

US HIGH-YIELD SPREADS APPEAR TO PROVIDE A

SIGNIFICANT CUSHION VS. EXPECTED DEFAULT RATES

16

84 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

16

18

20

0

200

400

600

800

1000

1200

1400

1600

1800

2000

Default R

ate (%)

OA

S (

bps)

US High-Yield Default Rates vs. Spreads

Moody's DefaultRate¹ (right)

Moody's US Trailing 12-MonthDefault Rate Forecast² (right)

Barclays U.S. High-YieldIndex Spread (left)

Source: Moody's, Barclays, Western Asset. As of 31 Jan 16¹As of 31 Dec 15²Moody's US Trailing 12-Month Issuer-Weighted Spec-Grade Default Rate Forecast ending 31 Dec 16

Past performance is no guarantee of future results.

Page 18: NAVIGATING GLOBAL BOND MARKETS, THE BENEFITS OF …acties.trends.knack.be/acties/trends/investmentsummit/files/Mason.… · IT’S ALL ABOUT THE OIL PRICE Source: Bloomberg, As of

EMERGING MARKETS: ATTRACTIVE VALUATIONS

Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results.

Emerging Markets (EMs)

have been challenged by

China slowdown, weak

commodity prices and

Federal Reserve policy

uncertainty

Valuation gap to

developed market bond

yields is nearing global

financial crisis levels.

17

300

350

400

450

500

550

600

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

Bas

is P

oint

s

Spread Between Local Currency EM and DM Sovereign Yields

Source: J.P. Morgan. As of 30 Sep 15

Page 19: NAVIGATING GLOBAL BOND MARKETS, THE BENEFITS OF …acties.trends.knack.be/acties/trends/investmentsummit/files/Mason.… · IT’S ALL ABOUT THE OIL PRICE Source: Bloomberg, As of

HOW DO YOU NAVIGATE THIS UNCERTAINTY?

18

Page 20: NAVIGATING GLOBAL BOND MARKETS, THE BENEFITS OF …acties.trends.knack.be/acties/trends/investmentsummit/files/Mason.… · IT’S ALL ABOUT THE OIL PRICE Source: Bloomberg, As of

HOW TO NAVIGATE DIFFICULT BOND MARKETS:

UNCONSTRAINED FIXED INCOME

19

Attractive returns

Liquidity and capital protection

Diversification from declines in equity and other “risk”

assets

Low nominal and real rates

Rise in inflation and increase in volatility

Correlations between bonds and equities becoming less

predictable

Invest only in markets offering fundamental value

Flexibility to short duration and sector exposure

Active management & flexible guidelines provide potential

for uncorrelated alpha

Needs Challenges Solutions

Page 21: NAVIGATING GLOBAL BOND MARKETS, THE BENEFITS OF …acties.trends.knack.be/acties/trends/investmentsummit/files/Mason.… · IT’S ALL ABOUT THE OIL PRICE Source: Bloomberg, As of

January 2000:

Launch of Western Asset’s first

unconstrained strategy

March 2012:

Cayman domiciled fund is

launched

August 2013:

US domiciled fund is launched

November 2013:

Irish domiciled Legg Mason

Western Asset Macro

Opportunities Bond Fund is launched

31 December 2015:

Total Strategies combined AUM

of $7.8 billion

WESTERN ASSET

A HISTORY OF UNCONSTRAINED BOND INVESTING

• Utilises all of Western’s global capabilities – WAM AUM: $443.7 billion (as at 31 December 2015)

• Headed by CIO Ken Leech

• A Macro orientated all weather approach to bond investing.

Source: Legg Mason, as at 31 December 2015.

20

1 January 2006

Launch of Western Asset’s first Global total return investment grade

bond segregated mandate

December 2015:

Irish domiciled Legg Mason

Western Asset Global Total

Return Investment Grade Bond Fund

launched

Page 22: NAVIGATING GLOBAL BOND MARKETS, THE BENEFITS OF …acties.trends.knack.be/acties/trends/investmentsummit/files/Mason.… · IT’S ALL ABOUT THE OIL PRICE Source: Bloomberg, As of

TWO GLOBAL UNCONSTRAINED FIXED INCOME

PROPOSITIONS How the strategies differ:

Source: Legg Mason, as at 31 December 2015.

21

Legg Mason Western Macro Opportunities Bond Fund Legg Mason Western Asset Global Total Return

Investment-Grade Bond Fund

Sources of alpha Long term value investing across global fixed income

combined with active management of duration, yield curve

and volatility

Long term value investing in global investment grade

sectors combined with active management of duration,

yield curve and volatility

Allocation limits

Currencies Up to 50% in non-USD currency exposure; May short

currencies

Up to +/-25% aggregate currency exposure other than

the US dollar; May short currencies

Emerging Markets Max 50%

Below Investment Grade Max 50% None (100% IG at purchase)

Duration range Duration range of - 5 years to +10 years Duration range of - 3 years to +8 years

Volatility range Max 10% annualised ex-post volatility limit Max 6% volatility limit

Derivatives Active use of derivatives for alpha and hedging

Leverage No financial leverage

Fund Structure Dublin UCITS Fund

Inception date 29 November 2013 31 December 2015

Page 23: NAVIGATING GLOBAL BOND MARKETS, THE BENEFITS OF …acties.trends.knack.be/acties/trends/investmentsummit/files/Mason.… · IT’S ALL ABOUT THE OIL PRICE Source: Bloomberg, As of

INVESTMENT PHILOSOPHY

DRIVEN BY FUNDAMENTAL VALUE

22

Long-term

fundamental value

Multiple diversified

strategies

Markets often misprice securities. Prices can deviate from fundamental fair value, but

over time, they typically adjust to reflect inflation, credit quality fundamentals and liquidity

conditions. Consistently investing in undervalued securities may deliver attractive

investment returns.

We can systematically identify mispricings. We believe we can identify and capitalize

on markets and securities that are priced below fundamental fair value. We do this

through disciplined and rigorous analysis, comparing prices to the fundamental fair values

estimated by our macroeconomic and credit research teams around the globe.

Our portfolios emphasize our highest convictions. The greater the difference between

our view of fair value and markets’ pricing, the bigger the potential value opportunity. The

greater the degree of confidence in our view of fundamentals, the greater the emphasis of

the strategies in our portfolios.

We seek diversified sources of returns. Our objective is to meet or exceed our

investors’ performance objectives within their tolerances for risk. We seek to diversify

investments and add value across interest rate duration, yield curve, sector allocation,

security selection, country and currency strategies. We deploy multiple diversified

strategies that benefit in different environments so no one strategy dominates

performance, helping to dampen volatility.

Page 24: NAVIGATING GLOBAL BOND MARKETS, THE BENEFITS OF …acties.trends.knack.be/acties/trends/investmentsummit/files/Mason.… · IT’S ALL ABOUT THE OIL PRICE Source: Bloomberg, As of

INVESTMENT PROCESS

BENCHMARK-AGNOSTIC FLEXIBLE STRATEGY

Allocations between long-term strategic themes, middle-term opportunities and very short-term tactical positions depend on the current market and the manager’s conviction.

23

Strategy that is Opportunistic and Tactical

Initiate positions in undervalued credit with

a long-term perspective to realise value

Provide stability during periods of stress

Short-Term Tactical Medium-term Opportunities Long-term Strategies

Positioning Provide stability in volatile markets/

Enhance returns when views are correct

Protect core/long-term portfolio or take

advantage of market dislocations Best ideas/ high conviction

Types of Trades Derivatives rather than cash bonds Derivatives rather than cash bonds Cash bonds / Derivatives

Holding Period Intraday to weeks Multiple weeks Beyond 6 months

Aim is to add value when views are

correct and mitigate volatility during

times of extreme stress

Page 25: NAVIGATING GLOBAL BOND MARKETS, THE BENEFITS OF …acties.trends.knack.be/acties/trends/investmentsummit/files/Mason.… · IT’S ALL ABOUT THE OIL PRICE Source: Bloomberg, As of

FLEXIBILITY: HISTORICAL RANGES OF THE MACRO

OPPORTUNITIES STRATEGY*

Source: Western Asset as at 31 January 2016. The information provided is supplemental to the Macro Opportunities Composite.

*Note: Exposure and attribution data up to 30 November 2013 pertains to the Representative Account, after which the data pertains to the Legg Mason Western Asset Macro Opportunities Bond Fund.

**Emerging Markets exposure is denominated in both USD and local currency. Local currency exposure is reflected in both the EM and FX sectors. ***Represents gross currency exposure.

There are differences between the Representative Account and the Legg Mason Western Asset Macro Opportunities Bond Fund, including differences in the number of holdings, the amount of assets

under management, cash flows, fees and expenses, and applicable regulatory requirements, including investment and borrowing restrictions. The past performance of the above Representative

Account is, therefore, not indicative of the future performance of the Legg Mason Western Asset Macro Opportunities Bond Fund. Inception date: 21 March 2012. The Western Asset Macro

Opportunities Strategy is not measured against a benchmark. There is no benchmark available which appropriately reflects the strategy. Past performance is not indicative of future results. The

information provided is supplemental to the Macro Opportunities Composite. Please see the composite disclosure in the appendix.

24

9.9

-4.9

-6

-4

-2

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

Effective Duration (years)

Effective DurationMax Min

Market Value USD 7.2 billion

Effective Duration 3.70

Macro Opportunities Strategy

63.5%

22.9%17.6%

38.8%

49.9%

18.0%

8.5%6.5%

-30.4%

-1.7% 0.0%

14.4%

0.0%0.0%

-40%

-20%

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

InvestmentGradeCredit

High YieldCredit

PeripheralEurope

EmergingMarketsDebt**

FX*** MortgageBacked

Securities

Municipals

Credit/Emerging Market Currencies

Max Min

Page 26: NAVIGATING GLOBAL BOND MARKETS, THE BENEFITS OF …acties.trends.knack.be/acties/trends/investmentsummit/files/Mason.… · IT’S ALL ABOUT THE OIL PRICE Source: Bloomberg, As of

FLEXIBILITY MACRO OPPORTUNITIES STRATEGY

EXPOSURES*: OPPORTUNISTIC AND TACTICAL

Source: Western Asset as at 31 January 2016. The information provided is supplemental to the Macro Opportunities Composite.

*Note: Exposure and attribution data up to 30 November 2013 pertains to the Representative Account, after which the data pertains to the Legg Mason Western Asset Macro Opportunities Bond Fund.

**Peripheral European and Emerging Markets exposures are denominated in both USD and local currency. Local currency exposure is reflected in FX as well as in the Peripheral Europe and EMD

sectors. ***Represents gross currency exposure.

There are differences between the Representative Account and the Legg Mason Western Asset Macro Opportunities Bond Fund, including differences in the number of holdings, the amount of assets

under management, cash flows, fees and expenses, and applicable regulatory requirements, including investment and borrowing restrictions. The past performance of the above Representative

Account is, therefore, not indicative of the future performance of the Legg Mason Western Asset Macro Opportunities Bond Fund. Inception date: 21 March 2012. The Western Asset Macro

Opportunities Strategy is not measured against a benchmark. There is no benchmark available which appropriately reflects the strategy. Past performance is not indicative of future results. The

information provided is supplemental to the Macro Opportunities Composite. Please see the composite disclosure in the appendix.

25

-5

0

5

10

15

20

-50%

0%

50%

100%

150%

200%

Mar 12 Jun 12 Sep 12 Dec 12 Mar 13 Jun 13 Sep 13 Dec 13 Mar 14 Jun 14 Sep 14 Dec 14 Mar 15 Jun 15 Sep 15 Dec 15

Effe

civ

e D

ura

tion

(Ye

ars

)N

oti

on

al M

ark

et E

xp

osu

re

Investment Grade Credit High Yield Credit Peripheral Europe Emerging Markets Debt**

FX*** Mortgage Backed Securities Municipals Eff. Duration (years)

Page 27: NAVIGATING GLOBAL BOND MARKETS, THE BENEFITS OF …acties.trends.knack.be/acties/trends/investmentsummit/files/Mason.… · IT’S ALL ABOUT THE OIL PRICE Source: Bloomberg, As of

GLOBAL TOTAL RETURN INVESTMENT GRADE BOND

REPRESENTATIVE ACCOUNT

Source: Western Asset, as at 31 December 2015. There may be differences between the representative account of the strategy composite and the Legg Mason Western Asset Global Total Return

Investment Grade Bond Fund including differences in the amount of assets under management, cash flows, fees and expenses, and applicable regulatory requirements, including investment and

borrowing restrictions. The past performance and allocations of the representative account may not be indicative of the Legg Mason Western Asset Global Total Return Investment Grade Bond Fund

over the same period. For more information on the strategy composite see the composite disclosure in the appendix.

26

-4

-2

0

2

4

6

8

10

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

Dur

atio

n C

ontr

ibut

ion

(yea

rs)

Governments/Agencies Inflation-Linked US Agency MBS

Investment Grade Credit Local Emerging Markets USD Emerging Markets

Emerging Market Credit Total Portfolio Duration

As of 31 Dec 15Global Total Return Representative Account

Sector by Duration Contribution

Page 28: NAVIGATING GLOBAL BOND MARKETS, THE BENEFITS OF …acties.trends.knack.be/acties/trends/investmentsummit/files/Mason.… · IT’S ALL ABOUT THE OIL PRICE Source: Bloomberg, As of

LOW CORRELATION TO EQUITY AND TRADITIONAL

FIXED INCOME ASSET CLASSES

27

Macro Opportunities Strategy Correlation

S&P 500 JPM EMBI Global Barclays Global

Aggregate BofAML Glbl HY BB-B

Barclays US Corp

Investment Grade

Macro Opportunities

Strategy 0.25 0.44 0.20 0.40 0.39

Can be a good equity diversifier – strategy does not substitute interest rate risk for equity-like credit risk

Can be a good fixed income diversifier – low correlation can help lower the risk of a fixed income portfolio

Low correlation with high yield – Fund seeks performance without increasing credit risk

Source: Legg Mason/Morningstar Direct. As of 31 December 2015. Since inception of Macro Opportunities strategy. The data has been used to demonstrate the longer term track record of the

investment manager. There are differences between the above composite and the Legg Mason Western Asset Macro Opportunities Bond Fund, including differences in the number of holdings, the

amount of assets under management, cash flows, fees and expenses, and applicable regulatory requirements, including investment and borrowing restrictions. The past performance of the above

composite is, therefore, not indicative of the future performance of the Legg Mason Western Asset Macro Opportunities Bond Fund. The Western Asset Macro Opportunities Strategy is not measured

against a benchmark. There is no benchmark available which appropriately reflects the strategy. Past performance is not indicative of future results. The information provided is supplemental to

the Macro Opportunities Composite. Please see the composite disclosure in the appendix. Strategy Inception Date: 21 March 2012. ©2015 Morningstar. All Rights Reserved. Past Performance is

no guide to future results. Please refer to the section entitled “Important Information” for additional details.

Page 29: NAVIGATING GLOBAL BOND MARKETS, THE BENEFITS OF …acties.trends.knack.be/acties/trends/investmentsummit/files/Mason.… · IT’S ALL ABOUT THE OIL PRICE Source: Bloomberg, As of

CONCLUSION

Credit spreads are pricing in excessively pessimistic outcomes for macroeconomic

fundamentals. We think the odds of a global recession are very low.

Low interest rates and positive growth present opportunities within credit markets but

careful sector and issue selection are important

Focus on value and flexibility to deal with short term volatility is key to navigating

uncertain markets

The Legg Mason Western Asset Macro Opportunities Bond Fund and the Legg Mason

Western Asset Global Total Return Investment Grade Bond Fund offer two compelling

solutions

28

Page 30: NAVIGATING GLOBAL BOND MARKETS, THE BENEFITS OF …acties.trends.knack.be/acties/trends/investmentsummit/files/Mason.… · IT’S ALL ABOUT THE OIL PRICE Source: Bloomberg, As of

APPENDIX

29

Page 31: NAVIGATING GLOBAL BOND MARKETS, THE BENEFITS OF …acties.trends.knack.be/acties/trends/investmentsummit/files/Mason.… · IT’S ALL ABOUT THE OIL PRICE Source: Bloomberg, As of

WESTERN ASSET MANAGEMENT

GLOBAL REACH

Western Asset - fixed income specialists:

Wholly owned subsidiary of Legg Mason, Inc.

One of the world’s leading global fixed income

managers with $433.7bn in assets under

management worldwide

Long standing experience dating back to 1971

Focuses on managing fixed income assets

Coverage of all global fixed income sectors

Extensive experience in managing investment

grade and high yield corporate bonds

Stable and experienced management team

Team driven, sector emphasis

Source: Western Asset, as at 31 December 2015.

* Includes Derivatives, Economics, Equities, Multi-markets, and Management.

30

Global research driven investment teams

Sector Global

professionals

Mortgage Backed 10

Emerging Markets 20

Governments 27

Investment Grade 19

High Yield 20

Short Duration/Currencies 11

Municipals/Insurance 11

Other* 8

Portfolio Operations 47

Product 18

Offices in Pasadena, New York, London, Melbourne, Tokyo,

Singapore, Hong Kong, Dubai and Sao Paulo

A global investment management firm committed to understanding the needs of each client,

identifying potential investment solutions and aiming to deliver long-term investment solutions

Page 32: NAVIGATING GLOBAL BOND MARKETS, THE BENEFITS OF …acties.trends.knack.be/acties/trends/investmentsummit/files/Mason.… · IT’S ALL ABOUT THE OIL PRICE Source: Bloomberg, As of

WESTERN ASSET

GLOBAL BREADTH & LOCAL DEPTH

Source: Western Asset, as at 31 December 2015. Assets under management in USD (billions).

*Splits time between Hong Kong and Singapore offices.

Total AUM: $433.7 billion

8 Countries (9 Offices)

Total Staff: 821

Investment Professionals: 127

Singapore Managed: $4.0

Serviced: $16.9

Investment Professionals: 5

Total Staff: 22

New York Managed: $152.2

Serviced: $117.0

Investment Professionals: 22

Total Staff: 86

London Managed: $38.0

Serviced: $26.7

Investment Professionals: 16

Total Staff: 64

Tokyo Managed: $8.5

Serviced: $41.2

Investment

Professionals: 4

Total Staff: 24

São Paulo Managed: $9.3

Serviced: $8.7

Investment Professionals: 18

Total Staff: 67

Pasadena Managed: $206.7

Serviced: $172.5

Investment Professionals: 57

Total Staff: 543

Hong Kong Total Staff: 1*

Dubai Serviced: $48.7

Total Staff: 1

Melbourne Managed: $15.0

Serviced: $2.0

Investment Professionals: 5

Total Staff: 14

31

Page 33: NAVIGATING GLOBAL BOND MARKETS, THE BENEFITS OF …acties.trends.knack.be/acties/trends/investmentsummit/files/Mason.… · IT’S ALL ABOUT THE OIL PRICE Source: Bloomberg, As of

LEGG MASON WESTERN ASSET MACRO

OPPORTUNITIES BOND FUND: A SEASONED TEAM

S. Kenneth Leech 38 Years’ Experience

Western Asset Management Company –

Chief Investment Officer, 1990-Present

Education

The Wharton School, University of

Pennsylvania, M.B.A., B.S., 1972-1976

Joseph A. Filicetti 29 Years’ Experience

Western Asset Management Company –

Product Manager, 2010-Present

Education

Columbia University, M.B.A.

Niagara University, B.A.

Source: Western Asset as at 31 December 2015.

32

Product Managers

Portfolio Managers

Michael B. Zelouf 30 Years’ Experience

Western Asset Management Company –

Director of EMEA Business, 1989 - Present

Education

Imperial College, London, B.Sc.

Chartered Financial Analyst

Prashant Chandran 16 Years’ Experience

Western Asset Management Company –

Portfolio Manager, 2007-Present

Education

University of Chicago, Graduate School of

Business, M.B.A.

University of Toledo, M.Sc.

Indian Institute of Technology, Bombay, B.Sc.

Chartered Financial Analyst

Page 34: NAVIGATING GLOBAL BOND MARKETS, THE BENEFITS OF …acties.trends.knack.be/acties/trends/investmentsummit/files/Mason.… · IT’S ALL ABOUT THE OIL PRICE Source: Bloomberg, As of

LEGG MASON WESTERN ASSET GLOBAL TOTAL

RETURN: A SEASONED TEAM

S. Kenneth Leech 38 Years’ Experience

Western Asset Management Company –

Chief Investment Officer, 1990-Present

Education

The Wharton School, University of

Pennsylvania, M.B.A., B.S., 1972-1976

Source: Western Asset as at 31 December 2015.

33

Gordon Brown 21 Years’ Experience

Western Asset Management Company –

Co-Head of Global Portfolios, 2011-Present

Education

University of Stirling, M.Sc. Investment Analysis

University of Strathclyde, M.Sc. Business

Economics

University of Aberdeen, M.A. Economic Science

UK Society of Investment Professionals,

Associate Member

Andrew Cormack 12 Years’ Experience

Western Asset Management Company –

Portfolio Manager, 2004-Present

Education

London School of Economics, B.Sc.

(Honors)

Product Manager:

Catherine Matthews 28 Years’ Experience

Western Asset Management Company –

Product Specialist, 1987-Present

Education

London Business School

Page 35: NAVIGATING GLOBAL BOND MARKETS, THE BENEFITS OF …acties.trends.knack.be/acties/trends/investmentsummit/files/Mason.… · IT’S ALL ABOUT THE OIL PRICE Source: Bloomberg, As of

Theme

Global Growth/Macro Strategies

Perspective

Global central bank monetary stimulus has

supported moderate global economic recovery but

process is uneven

GDP growth in US is slow, but steady and improving

Inflation remains subdued. Need 3.0% or more GDP

growth for extended period of time to reduce slack in

economy

Expect continuation of very accommodative

monetary environment. Timing of next rate move

contingent on inflation trends and easing in financial

conditions. Estimates for GDP are approx. 1.5% to

2.0%

Positioning

Interest rate duration: generally moderate duration

exposure at current levels supports view that growth

will remain slow but positive with very slow rate

normalization

Eurodollar / front-end rates: short March,

December 2016 contracts, long June 2016 contracts

Curve exposure: short in intermediate rates and

long in long-dated rates, with a flattening bias, and

paying on 7-year swaps

MAJOR THEMES

31 JANUARY 2016

34

Theme

Emerging Market (EM) Exposure

Perspective

EM fundamentals continue to face headwinds

of slowing growth, inflation and current

account deficits; however, valuations remain

attractive relative to developed markets

Much of EM debt is denominated in local

currency putting less pressure on issuers

Believe lower energy prices should be good

for many emerging economies. Oil is likely to

stabilise as supply headwinds abate and

demand recovers later in year

China facing cyclical and structural growth

challenges but policymakers will continue to

ease monetary and fiscal policy to manage

growth and economy’s rebalancing away from

exports and investment

Positioning

Local debt and currency longs in Mexico, and

India. Smaller positions in Brazil, Russia and

Poland and China local debt. Short currency

in Chinese, South Korean and Colombian

currencies

FX-only short in Singapore dollars, Turkish

lira and Malaysian ringgit

Hold sovereign debt in Mexico, Brazil,

Colombia and Turkey and selected corporate

debt in Colombia and Brazil

Theme

Peripheral European Position

Perspective

European Central Bank (ECB) maintains

aggressive monetary policy to prevent

deflationary and systemic risks

ECB continues to provide liquidity to

Eurozone countries via asset purchases and

negative deposit rates. Draghi likely to further

ease policy in March to help reverse the

decline in inflation expectations.

Increased private sector borrowing indicates

improving growth prospects but structural

issues including a potential UK exit from the

EU and worries about Europe’s banks remain

a headwind to a robust recovery

Euro currency to weaken consistent with the

long-term direction of the ECB

Positioning

Long Italian sovereign and corporate debt in

the long-dated part of the curve

Opportunistically short German bund duration

Short the euro currency versus the US dollar

Source: These are the opinions of Western Asset as at 31 January 2016. Opinions expressed are subject to change without notice and do not take into account the particular investment objectives,

financial situation or needs of individual investors. Individual securities mentioned are intended as examples only and are not to be taken as advice nor are they intended as a recommendation to buy or

sell any investment or interest. There is no guarantee that forecasts or estimates will be correct.

Page 36: NAVIGATING GLOBAL BOND MARKETS, THE BENEFITS OF …acties.trends.knack.be/acties/trends/investmentsummit/files/Mason.… · IT’S ALL ABOUT THE OIL PRICE Source: Bloomberg, As of

LEGG MASON WESTERN ASSET

MACRO OPPORTUNITIES BOND FUND

Source: Western Asset, as at 31 January 2016.

*Yield to worst measures the lowest potential yield that can be achieved on a bond without the issuer’s defaulting. Yield to worst is based on the underlying portfolio and not on the dividends paid by

the fund, which may differ. Yields are not guaranteed and are subject to change. **Higher of WAM Average Quality. Nationally Recognized Statistical Rating Organization’s (NRSRO’s) assess the

likelihood of bond issuers defaulting on a bond’s coupon and principal payments. The weighted average credit quality by Western Asset Management assigns each security the higher rating from

three NRSRO’s (Standard & Poor’s, Moody’s Investor Services and Fitch Ratings, Ltd.). If only one NRSRO assigns a rating, that rating will be used. Securities that are not rated by all three NRSRO’s

are reflected as such. The lower the overall credit rating, the riskier the portfolio. The credit rating is expressed as a regular letter rating (from high to low quality): AAA, AA, A, BBB, BB, ...D.

*** US dollar share class.

35

Sector (%) Core Market Duration Contribution (years) Currency (%) ***

Statistics

Yield* 7.1 %

Effective Duration 3.7 years

Spread Duration 0.5 years

Average Rating** BBB+

CDS

10.7

0.8

1.0

3.8

13.8

13.9

0.6

7.1

8.3

2.7

4.5

0.9

3.2

22.8

5.5

2.3

Peripheral Europe

Municipal

Agency

US MBS/ABS

IG Financial

IG Industrial

IG Utility

US IG Credit CDS

HY Financial

HY Energy Industrial

HY Other Industrial

US High Yield CDS

Euro High Yield CDS

Local EM

USD EM

EM Corporate

-0.9

1.1

-1.3

-1.3

4.5

3.3

-1.5

-3.1

6 Month US

2 Year US

5 Year US

10 Year US

20 Year US

30 Year US

Japan Govt

German Bund

104.0

5.6

5.4

3.4

3.4

1.7

1.1

0.9

0.8

0.6

-0.6

-0.6

-0.7

-1.0

-3.0

-4.7

-7.7

-8.9

US Dollar

Canadian Dollar

Mexican Peso

Indian Rupee

Russian Ruble

Brazilian Real

Indonesian Rupiah

Polish Zloty

Norwegian Krone

Australian Dollar

Peruvian Sol

Turkish Lira new

Colombian Peso

Singapore Dollar

South Korean Won

Euro

Chinese Yuan

Japanese Yen

Page 37: NAVIGATING GLOBAL BOND MARKETS, THE BENEFITS OF …acties.trends.knack.be/acties/trends/investmentsummit/files/Mason.… · IT’S ALL ABOUT THE OIL PRICE Source: Bloomberg, As of

LEGG MASON WESTERN ASSET GLOBAL TOTAL

RETURN INVESTMENT GRADE BOND FUND

Source: Barclays, Western Asset, as at 31 January 2016.

*Yield to Worst. The lowest potential yield that can be received on a bond without the issuer actually defaulting.

**Higher of WAM Average Credit Quality. Credit Quality Breakdown: Nationally Recognised Statistical Rating Organisation’s (NRSROs) assess the likelihood of bond issuers defaulting on a bond’s

coupon and principal payments. The credit quality allocation by Western Asset Management assigns each security the higher rating from three NRSROs (Standard & Poor’s, Moody’s Investor

Services and Fitch Ratings, Ltd.). If only one NRSRO assigns a rating, that rating will be used. Securities that are not rated by all three NRSROs are reflected as such. The lower the overall credit

rating, the riskier the portfolio. The credit rating is expressed as a regular letter rating (from high to low quality): AAA, AA, A, BBB, BB, ...D.

36

Sector (%) Sector Duration Contribution (years) Currency (%)

Statistics

Yield* 1.7 %

Duration 2.5 years

Average Rating** A+

0

0

37

10

4

0

2

1

1

5

18

2

8

4

8

German Bund

UK Gilt

US Treasury

Italy Govt

Poland Govt

Australian Govt

Mexico Govt

Brazil Govt

India Govt

USD EM

US Corporate

Euro Corporate

UK Corporate

EM Corporate

Cash/Cash Equivalents

-1.4

-0.7

-0.6

0.5

0.3

0.2

0.2

0.2

0.1

0.5

2.1

0.1

0.7

0.3

0.0

German Bund

UK Gilt

US Treasury

Italy Govt

Poland Govt

Australian Govt

Mexico Govt

Brazil Govt

India Govt

USD EM

US Corporate

Euro Corporate

UK Corporate

EM Corporate

Cash/Cash Equivalents

14

4

1

1

1

1

-2

-3

-3

-5

-9

US Dollar

Polish Zloty

Mexican Peso

Brazilian Real

Indian Rupee

Canadian Dollar

Australian Dollar

South Korean Won

Japanese Yen

Chinese Renminbi

Euro

Page 38: NAVIGATING GLOBAL BOND MARKETS, THE BENEFITS OF …acties.trends.knack.be/acties/trends/investmentsummit/files/Mason.… · IT’S ALL ABOUT THE OIL PRICE Source: Bloomberg, As of

0.740.28

2.19 2.34

1.12 0.880.65

-0.20

0.90

0.110.42

0.10

-1.50

0.11

3.16

0.19 0.01 0.19

-1.76

1.41

-1.23-1.82

2.74

-0.19-0.85

-2.26

-3.28

-0.58

3.28 3.51

7.75

-4

-2

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

-4

-2

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

Dec-1

3

Jan-1

4

Fe

b-1

4

Ma

r-1

4

Apr-

14

Ma

y-1

4

Jun-1

4

Jul-1

4

Aug

-14

Sep

-14

Oct-

14

Nov-1

4

Dec-1

4

Jan-1

5

Fe

b-1

5

Ma

r-1

5

Apr-

15

Ma

y-1

5

Jun-1

5

Jul-1

5

Aug

-15

Sep

-15

Oct-

15

Nov-1

5

Dec-1

5

Jan-1

6

3 M

onth

s

1 Y

ea

r

2 Y

ea

r

S.I.

Ann.*

%%

Monthly Performance (LHS) Percentage Growth (RHS)

LEGG MASON WESTERN ASSET

MACRO OPPORTUNITIES BOND FUND

37

Source: Legg Mason, as at 31 January 2016. Performance is calculated NAV to NAV with gross income reinvested without initial charges but reflecting annual management fees, based in USD for class P

shares. Performance for periods under one year are not annualised. *Fund Inception Date: 29 November 2013. Past performance is not an indicator of future results and may not be repeated.

Class P Accumulation - Performance to 31 January 2016 in USD

Page 39: NAVIGATING GLOBAL BOND MARKETS, THE BENEFITS OF …acties.trends.knack.be/acties/trends/investmentsummit/files/Mason.… · IT’S ALL ABOUT THE OIL PRICE Source: Bloomberg, As of

MACRO OPPORTUNITIES COMPOSITE:

INVESTMENT RESULTS

Source: Western Asset Management. Returns as at 31 January 2016, in US Dollars. Performance is gross of investment advisory fees. The data has been used to demonstrate the longer term track

record of the investment manager. There are differences between the above composite and the Legg Mason Western Asset Macro Opportunities Bond Fund, including differences in the number of

holdings, the amount of assets under management, cash flows, fees and expenses, and applicable regulatory requirements, including investment and borrowing restrictions. The past performance of

the above composite is, therefore, not indicative of the future performance of the Legg Mason Western Asset Macro Opportunities Bond Fund. *The Western Asset Macro Opportunities Strategy is not

measured against a benchmark. There is no benchmark available which appropriately reflects the strategy. Past performance is not indicative of future results. 1The information provided is

supplemental to the Macro Opportunities Composite. Please see the composite disclosure in the appendix. 2Compounded Return. 3Strategy Inception Date: 21 March 2012.

38

Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec YTD Ret2

2012 2.6%3 1.9% 7.0% 2.5% 2.3% 1.4% -1.4% 1.5% 1.4% -0.2% 20.3%

2013 1.4% 1.1% 1.3% 2.8% -1.4% -1.9% 0.8% -0.8% 1.8% 1.3% 0.0% 0.9% 7.5%

2014 0.9% 2.8% 2.4% 1.4% 1.2% 0.7% 0.1% 1.0% -0.1% 0.6% -0.1% -1.6% 9.7%

2015 -0.2% 3.2% 0.2% 0.5% 0.3% -1.8% 1.5% -1.2% -1.5% 2.7% -0.2% -0.5% 2.9%

2016 -1.9% -1.9%

Performance: Macro Opportunities Representative Account (Gross)*1

Performance to 31 January 2016 in USD

Source: Western Asset. Returns as at 31 January 2016, in US dollars. Returns for periods greater than one year are annualised. Effective 1 October 2014 fee schedule: 0.1% flat fee on all amounts;

the minimum separate account size is US$200 million. Composite performance is preliminary and subject to change.

-2.1

0.7

5.4

9.0

-2.2

-0.3

4.5

8.2

-4.0

-2.0

0.0

2.0

4.0

6.0

8.0

10.0

1 Month 1 Year 3 Years Since Inception1 April 2012Annualised

%

Macro Opportunities Composite (gross)* Macro Opportunities Composite (net)*

Page 40: NAVIGATING GLOBAL BOND MARKETS, THE BENEFITS OF …acties.trends.knack.be/acties/trends/investmentsummit/files/Mason.… · IT’S ALL ABOUT THE OIL PRICE Source: Bloomberg, As of

INVESTMENT RESULTS

GLOBAL TOTAL RETURN COMPOSITE

Source: Western Asset, as at 31 January 2016. There may be differences between the strategy composite and the Legg Mason Western Asset Global Total Return Investment Grade Bond Fund

including differences in the amount of assets under management, cash flows, fees and expenses, and applicable regulatory requirements, including investment and borrowing restrictions. The past

performance and allocations of the strategy composite may not be indicative of the Legg Mason Western Asset Global Total Return Investment Grade Bond Fund. For more information on the

strategy composite see the composite disclosure in the appendix.

39

-0.3

2.3

4.3

5.4

-1

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

1 Year 3 Years 5 Years Since Inception01 Jan 06

Tot

al R

etur

n (%

)

Global Total Return Composite

Standard Deviation (%) 2.8 3.9 5.0 4.4

Sharpe Ratio -0.1 0.6 0.9 1.0

Page 41: NAVIGATING GLOBAL BOND MARKETS, THE BENEFITS OF …acties.trends.knack.be/acties/trends/investmentsummit/files/Mason.… · IT’S ALL ABOUT THE OIL PRICE Source: Bloomberg, As of

INVESTMENT RISK MANAGEMENT:

INVESTMENT RISK COMMUNICATION

Production processes used in portfolio construction

Single security analytics

Security master file – terms & conditions

Pricing

Portfolio risk analysis

Regular meetings (weekly or monthly) with portfolio management teams

Alignments (client risk tolerances, risk/reward) checked

Warning levels for departures from client risk tolerances discussed

Portfolio construction

Regular meetings between CEO, Director of Risk Management & Operations, and Chief Risk Officer

Weekly meetings between Chief Risk Officer and Head of Portfolio & Quantitative Analysis

Biweekly portfolio and strategy reviews

Monthly Market & Credit Risk Committee (“MCRC”)

Senior personnel

Chartered, minuted committee

Considers many types of risk, such as market, credit, counterparty, stress

Key strategies are analysed in concentrated “risk dashboards”

40

Page 42: NAVIGATING GLOBAL BOND MARKETS, THE BENEFITS OF …acties.trends.knack.be/acties/trends/investmentsummit/files/Mason.… · IT’S ALL ABOUT THE OIL PRICE Source: Bloomberg, As of

MACRO OPPORTUNITIES

SHARE CLASSES AVAILABLE

41

Fund Class Share Type Class

Currency

ISIN Annual

Management

Fee

Minimum

Initial

Investment

Minimum

Subsequent

Investment

Class A Acc. (Hedged) CHF IE00BJGZXZ76 1.50% p.a. (Class A) CHF 1,000 CHF 500

Class A Acc. (Hedged) EUR IE00BHBFD143 1.50% p.a. (Class A) EUR 1,000 EUR 500

Class A Distr. (A) EUR IE00BSBN6725 1.50% p.a. (Class A) EUR 1,000 EUR 500

Class A Distr. (S) (Hedged) EUR IE00BVZCMJ02 1.50% p.a. (Class A) EUR 1,000 EUR 500

Class A Acc. USD IE00BC9S3Z47 1.50% p.a. (Class A) USD 1,000 USD 500

Class A Distr. (M) Plus (e) USD IE00BPBG5G23 1.50% p.a. (Class A) USD 1,000 USD 500

Class X Acc. EUR IE00BHBFD705 1.00% p.a. (Class X) EUR 3,000,000 EUR 1,000,000

Class X Acc. (Hedged) EUR IE00BHBFD812 1.00% p.a. (Class X) EUR 3,000,000 EUR 1,000,000

Class X Distr. (A) (Hedged) EUR IE00BWZN1Z90 1.00% p.a. (Class X) EUR 3,000,000 EUR 1,000,000

Class X Acc. USD IE00BJVDNR83 1.00% p.a. (Class X) USD 3,000,000 USD 1,000,000

Class X Distr. (M) Plus (e) USD IE00BYYQZY00 1.00% p.a. (Class X) USD 3,000,000 USD 1,000,000

Class X Distr. (S) USD IE00BPYD8729 1.00% p.a. (Class X) USD 3,000,000 USD 1,000,000

Premier Class Acc. EUR IE00BHBFDC52 1.00% p.a. (Premier Class) EUR 30,000,000 EUR 5,000,000

Premier Class Acc. (Hedged) EUR IE00BHBX1D63 1.00% p.a. (Premier Class) EUR 30,000,000 EUR 5,000,000

Premier Class Acc. USD IE00BC9S3W16 1.00% p.a. (Premier Class) USD 30,000,000 USD 5,000,000

Source: Legg Mason, as at 19 February 2016.

Page 43: NAVIGATING GLOBAL BOND MARKETS, THE BENEFITS OF …acties.trends.knack.be/acties/trends/investmentsummit/files/Mason.… · IT’S ALL ABOUT THE OIL PRICE Source: Bloomberg, As of

GLOBAL TOTAL RETURN INVESTMENT GRADE

SHARE CLASSES AVAILABLE

Source: Legg Mason, as at 19 February 2016. 42

Fund Class Share Type Class

Currency

ISIN Annual

Management

Fee

Minimum

Initial

Investment

Minimum

Subsequent

Investment

Class A Acc. (Hedged) EUR IE00BZ3FP017 1.20% p.a. (Class A) EUR 1,000 EUR 500

Class A Distr. (A) EUR IE00BZ3FP892 1.20% p.a. (Class A) EUR 1,000 EUR 500

Class A Distr. (A) (Hedged) EUR IE00BZ3FPD44 1.20% p.a. (Class A) EUR 1,000 EUR 500

Class A Distr. (M) Plus (e) USD IE00BZ3FPT04 1.20% p.a. (Class A) USD 1,000 USD 500

Class X Distr. (A) EUR IE00BZ3FPW33 0.60% p.a. (Class X) EUR 3,000,000 EUR 1,000,000

Class X Distr. (A) (Hedged) EUR IE00BZ3FQ973 0.60% p.a. (Class X) EUR 3,000,000 EUR 1,000,000

Class X Distr. (M) Plus (e) USD IE00BZ3FQF33 0.60% p.a. (Class X) USD 3,000,000 USD 1,000,000

Premier Class Acc. (Hedged) EUR IE00BZ3FR278 0.60% p.a. (Premier Class) EUR 30,000,000 EUR 5,000,000

Premier Class Distr. (A) EUR IE00BZ3FR617 0.60% p.a. (Premier Class) EUR 30,000,000 EUR 5,000,000

Premier Class Distr. (A) (Hedged) EUR IE00BZ3FR831 0.60% p.a. (Premier Class) EUR 30,000,000 EUR 5,000,000

Premier Class Acc. USD IE00BZ3FRN81 0.60% p.a. (Premier Class) USD 30,000,000 USD 5,000,000

Premier Class Distr. (M) Plus (e) USD IE00BZ3FRV65 0.60% p.a. (Premier Class) USD 30,000,000 USD 5,000,000

Page 44: NAVIGATING GLOBAL BOND MARKETS, THE BENEFITS OF …acties.trends.knack.be/acties/trends/investmentsummit/files/Mason.… · IT’S ALL ABOUT THE OIL PRICE Source: Bloomberg, As of

COMPOSITE DISCLOSURE:

MACRO OPPORTUNITIES COMPOSITE

43

As at 31 December 2015

Page 45: NAVIGATING GLOBAL BOND MARKETS, THE BENEFITS OF …acties.trends.knack.be/acties/trends/investmentsummit/files/Mason.… · IT’S ALL ABOUT THE OIL PRICE Source: Bloomberg, As of

COMPOSITE DISCLOSURE:

OPPORTUNISTIC VALUE COMPOSITE

44

As at 31 December 2015

Page 46: NAVIGATING GLOBAL BOND MARKETS, THE BENEFITS OF …acties.trends.knack.be/acties/trends/investmentsummit/files/Mason.… · IT’S ALL ABOUT THE OIL PRICE Source: Bloomberg, As of

COMPOSITE DISCLOSURE

GLOBAL TOTAL RETURN COMPOSITE

45

As at 31 December 2015

Page 47: NAVIGATING GLOBAL BOND MARKETS, THE BENEFITS OF …acties.trends.knack.be/acties/trends/investmentsummit/files/Mason.… · IT’S ALL ABOUT THE OIL PRICE Source: Bloomberg, As of

COMPOSITE DISCLOSURE

31 DECEMBER 2015

46

Verification assesses whether (1) the Firm has complied with all the composite construction

requirements of the GIPS standards on a firm-wide basis and (2) the Firm’s policies and

procedures are designed to calculate and present performance in compliance with the GIPS

standards. The verification does not ensure the accuracy of any specific composite

presentation.

For GIPS® purposes, the Firm is defined as Western Asset, a primarily fixed-income

investment manager comprised of Western Asset Management Company, Western Asset

Management Company Limited, Western Asset Management Company Pte. Ltd., Western

Asset Management Company Ltd, Western Asset Management Company Pty Ltd, and

Western Asset Management Company Distribuidora de Títulos e Valores Mobiliários

(DTVM) Limitada, with offices in Pasadena, New York, London, Singapore, Tokyo,

Melbourne, São Paulo, Hong Kong, and Dubai. Each Western Asset company is a wholly

owned subsidiary of Legg Mason, Inc. (“Legg Mason”) but operates autonomously, and

Western Asset, as a Firm, is held out to the public as a separate entity. Western Asset

Management Company was founded in 1971.

The Firm is comprised of several entities as a result of various historical acquisitions made

by Western Asset and their respective performance has been integrated into the Firm in line

with the portability requirements set forth by GIPS.

The Composite is valued monthly. The Composite returns are the asset-weighted average of

the performance results of all the accounts in the Composite. Gross-of-fees returns are

presented before management fees, but after all trading expenses. Net of fees results are

calculated using a model approach whereby the current highest tier of the appropriate

strategy’s fee schedule is used. This model fee does not reflect the deduction of

performance based fees. The portfolios in the Composite are all actual, fee-paying and

performance fee-paying, fully discretionary accounts managed by the Firm for at least one

full month. Investment results shown are for taxable and tax-exempt accounts and include

the reinvestment of all earnings. Any possible tax liabilities incurred by the taxable accounts

have not been reflected in the net performance. Composite performance results are time-

weighted net of trading commissions and other transaction costs including non-recoverable

withholding taxes. Policies for valuing portfolios, calculating performance, and preparing

compliant presentations are available upon request.

The returns for the accounts in the Composite are calculated using a time-weighted rate of

return adjusted for weighted cash flows. The returns for commingled funds in the Composite

are calculated daily using net value (NAV), adding back the funds’ total expense ratio or

equivalent. Trade date accounting is used since inception and market values include interest

income accrued on securities held within the accounts. Performance is calculated using asset

values denominated in a base currency. Composite market value at year-end presented in the

schedule are translated to U.S. dollars using end of year exchange rates.

Composite returns are measured against a benchmark. The benchmark is unmanaged and

provided to represent the investment environment in existence during the time periods shown.

For comparison purposes, its performance has been linked in the same manner as the

Composite. The benchmark presented was obtained from third party sources deemed reliable

but not guaranteed for accuracy or completeness. Benchmark returns and benchmark

three-year annualized ex-post standard deviation are not covered by the report of independent

accountants.

Internal dispersion is calculated using the asset-weighted standard deviation of annual gross

returns of those portfolios that were included in the Composite for the entire year. For each

annual period, accounts with less than 12 months of returns are not represented in the

dispersion calculation. Periods with five or fewer accounts are not statistically representative

and are not presented. The three-year annualized ex-post standard deviation measures the

variability of the composite and the benchmark returns over the preceding 36-month period.

Any gross total three-year annualized ex-post standard deviation measures prior to 2011,

included within the "Examination Period" identified above, are not covered by the report of

independent accountants.

Past investment results are not indicative of future investment results.

Western Asset’s list of composite descriptions is available upon request. Please contact Jan

Pieterse at 626-844-9977 or [email protected]. All returns for strategies with

inception prior to January 1, 2005 are available upon request.

Western Asset claims compliance with the Global Investment Performance Standards (GIPS®) and has prepared and presented this report in compliance with the GIPS standards. Western Asset has been independently verified for the periods from January 1, 1993 to December 31, 2014. The verification report is available upon request.

Page 48: NAVIGATING GLOBAL BOND MARKETS, THE BENEFITS OF …acties.trends.knack.be/acties/trends/investmentsummit/files/Mason.… · IT’S ALL ABOUT THE OIL PRICE Source: Bloomberg, As of

IMPORTANT INFORMATION This is a sub-fund ("fund") of Legg Mason Global Funds plc ("LMGF plc"), an umbrella fund with segregated liability between sub-funds, established as an open-ended investment company with variable capital,

organised as an undertaking for collective investment in transferable securities ("UCITS") under the laws of Ireland as a public limited company pursuant to the Irish Companies Acts and UCITS regulations. LMGF plc is

authorised in Ireland by the Central Bank of Ireland (the "Central Bank").

It should be noted that the value of investments and the income from them may go down as well as up. Investing in a sub-fund involves investment risks, including the possible loss of the amount invested. Past

performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. An investment in a sub-fund should not constitute a substantial proportion of an investor's investment portfolio and may not be appropriate for all investors.

Investors' attention is drawn to the specific risk factors set out in a fund's share class key investor information document ("KIID") and LMGF plc's prospectus (the "Prospectus").

Risks: Legg Mason Western Asset Macro Opportunities Bond Fund

Bonds: There is a risk that issuers of bonds held by the fund may not be able to repay the bond or pay the interest due on it, leading to losses for the fund. Bond values are affected by the market’s view of the above risk, and by changes in interest rates and inflation.

Liquidity: In certain circumstances it may be difficult to sell the fund’s investments because there may not be enough demand for them in the markets, in which case the fund may not be able to minimise a loss on such investments.

Low rated bonds: The fund may invest in lower rated or unrated bonds of similar quality, which carry a higher degree of risk than higher rated bonds.

Emerging markets investment: The fund may invest in the markets of countries which are smaller, less developed and regulated, and more volatile than the markets of more developed countries.

Fund currency: Changes in exchange rates between the currencies of investments held by the fund and the fund's base currency may negatively affect the value of an investment and any income received from it.

Hedging: The fund may use derivatives to reduce the risk of movements in exchange rates between the currency of the investments held by the fund and base currency of the fund itself (hedging). However, hedging transactions can also expose the fund to additional risks, such as the risk that the counterparty to the transaction may not be able to make its payments, which may result in loss to the fund.

Interest rates: Changes in interest rates may negatively affect the value of the fund.

Derivatives: The Fund makes significant use of derivatives. Investment in derivatives may cause the fund to lose as much as or more than the amount invested. Use of derivatives may also result in greater fluctuations

of the value of the fund.

Fund counterparties: The fund may suffer losses if the parties that it trades with cannot meet their financial obligations.

Fund operations: The fund is subject to the risk of loss resulting from inadequate or failed internal processes, people or systems or those of third parties such as those responsible for the custody of its assets, especially to the extent that it invests in developing countries.

Asset-backed securities: The timing and size of the cash-flow from asset-backed securities is not fully assured and could result in loss for the fund. These types of investments may also be difficult for the fund to sell quickly.

Risks: Legg Mason Western Asset Global Total Return Investment Grade Bond Fund

Liquidity Risk: In certain circumstances it may be difficult to sell the fund’s investments because there may not be enough demand for them in the markets, in which case the fund may not be able to minimise a loss on

such investments.

Derivatives Risk: Investment in derivatives may cause the fund to lose as much as or more than the amount invested. Use of derivatives may also result in greater fluctuations of the value of the fund.

Mortgage- and Asset-Backed Securities risk: The timing and size of the cash-flow from asset-backed securities is not fully assured and could result in loss for the fund. These types of investments may also be

difficult for the fund to sell quickly.

Settlement Risk: The debt securities in which the fund invests may have an extended settlement period on redemptions so the fund will normally employ a 10 business day settlement on redemptions with a possible 20

business day settlement in exceptional circumstances.

Fund currency: Changes in exchange rates between the currencies of investments held by the fund and the fund's base currency may negatively affect the value of an investment and any income received from it.

Credit Risk: The Fund is subject to credit risk (i.e., the risk that an issuer of securities will be unable to pay principal and interest when due, or that the value of a security will suffer because investors believe the issuer

is less able to pay). This is broadly gauged by the credit ratings of the securities in which a Fund invests. However, ratings are only the opinions of the agencies issuing them and are not absolute guarantees as to

quality.

Risk of Government Securities: Not all government securities are backed by the full faith and credit of the United States or other national government in the case of foreign government securities. Some are backed

only by the credit of the issuing agency or instrumentality. Accordingly, there is at least a chance of default on these US government securities, as well as on non-US government securities in which the Funds may

invest, which may subject a Fund to credit risk.

47

Page 49: NAVIGATING GLOBAL BOND MARKETS, THE BENEFITS OF …acties.trends.knack.be/acties/trends/investmentsummit/files/Mason.… · IT’S ALL ABOUT THE OIL PRICE Source: Bloomberg, As of

IMPORTANT INFORMATION Individual securities mentioned are intended as examples only and are not to be taken as advice nor are they intended as a recommendation to buy or sell any investment or interest. Opinions expressed are subject to

change without notice and do not take into account the particular investment objectives, financial situations or needs of investors.

Before investing investors should read in their entirety LMGF plc's application form and a fund's share class KIID and the Prospectus (which describe the investment objective and risk factors in full). These and other

relevant documents may be obtained free of charge in English from LMGF plc's registered office at Riverside Two, Sir John Rogerson's Quay, Grand Canal Dock, Dublin 2, Ireland, from LMGF plc's administrator, BNY

Mellon Investment Servicing (International) Limited, at the same address or from www.leggmasonglobal.com.

This material is not intended for any person or use that would be contrary to local law or regulation. Legg Mason is not responsible and takes no liability for the onward transmission of this material.This material does not

constitute an offer or solicitation by anyone in any jurisdiction in which such offer or solicitation is not lawful or in which the person making such offer or solicitation is not qualified to do so or to anyone to whom it is

unlawful to make such offer or solicitation.

Issued and approved by Legg Mason Investments (Europe) Limited, registered office 201 Bishopsgate, London, EC2M 3AB. Registered in England and Wales, Company No. 1732037. Authorised and regulated by the

UK Financial Conduct Authority.

This information is only for use by professional clients, eligible counterparties or qualified investors. It is not aimed at, or for use by, retail clients.

March 2016 P1546

48