global equities portfolio : income as a solution to a...
TRANSCRIPT
For Professional Clients and, in Switzerland, for Qualified Investors
only
Any views and opinions expressed hereafter are those of the
investment manager, unless otherwise stated.
Global equities portfolio : income as a solution to a challenged investment
backdrop ? BNY Mellon Global Equity Income Fund Nick Clay Lead portfolio manager
February 2016
INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT INVESTMENT SERVICES
• $1.6 trillion in assets under management1 • One of the largest providers of investment services with $28.9 trillion of assets under custody and/or administration (as at 31 December 2015)
• 6th largest global asset manager2 • $2.1 trillion average tri-party repo balances globally (as at 30 September, 2015)
• 7th largest US asset manager2 • #1 service provider for ETFs, based on # of funds 4
• 5th largest asset manager active in the European marketplace2 • #1 provider of third party subaccounting services in the US4
• $183 billion in private client assets (as at 30 September 2015) • $2.9 trillion in inventory of lendable assets for securities lending5 (as at
30 September 2015)
• Top 10 US wealth manager3 • #2 among peers for Fund of Hedge Fund Assets 6
• A leading provider of clearing and financial advisory solutions to introducing broker-dealers and registered investment advisor firms (Pershing)7
• #1 US clearing firm, ranked by number of broker-dealer clients (Pershing LLC)8
• Fifth largest participant in CHIPS funds transfer volume9
• One of the world’s leading providers of performance & analytics
BNY Mellon Strong market positions in our businesses
All company statistics are as at 31 December 2015 unless otherwise noted 1 Assets under management include investment boutiques and wealth management and exclude securities lending cash management assets and assets managed in the Investment Services business. BNY Mellon Investment Management is
one of the world’s leading investment management organizations and one of the top US wealth managers, encompassing BNY Mellon’s affiliated investment management firms, wealth management services and global distribution companies. 2 Rankings include assets managed by BNY Mellon investment boutiques and BNY Mellon Wealth Management. Each ranking may not include the same mix of firms. Global asset manager rankings by Pensions & Investments, November 2015;
US asset manager rankings by Institutional Investor, November 2015; European asset manager rankings by Investment & Pensions Europe, November 2015 3 Barron’s, 25 September 2015 4 As ranked by the 2015 Mutual Fund Service Guide 5 As at 30 September 2015, and includes assets of CIBC Mellon clients. CIBC Mellon is the brand name for CIBC Mellon Trust Company and CIBC Mellon Global Securities Services Company, each a joint venture between BNY Mellon (50%)
and Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce (50%). Securities lending for CIBC Mellon clients is transacted through The Bank of New York Mellon as agent, and is part of The Bank of New York Mellon Agency Lending Program 6 Based on assets under administration. HFMWeek 24th Biannual AuA Survey – April 2015 7 Pershing is the umbrella name for Pershing LLC (member FINRA, SIPC and NYSE), Pershing Advisor Solutions (member FINRA and SIPC), Pershing Prime Services (a service of Pershing LLC), Pershing Limited (UK), Pershing Securities
Limited (UK), Pershing Securities International Limited (Ireland), Pershing (Channel Islands) Limited, Pershing Securities Canada Limited, Pershing Securities Singapore Private Limited and Pershing Securities Australia Pty. Ltd. SIPC protects
securities in customer accounts of its members up to $500,000 in securities (including $250,000 for claims for cash). Explanatory brochure available upon request or at www.sipc.org. SIPC does not protect against loss due to market fluctuation. SIPC protection is not the same as, and should not be confused with, FDIC insurance. Investment products (other than deposit products) referenced in this brochure (including money market funds) are not insured by the FDIC (or any other
state or federal agency), are not deposits of or guaranteed by BNY Mellon or any bank or non-bank subsidiary thereof, and are subject to investment risk, including the loss of principal amount invested 8 InvestmentNews, 2015 9 ClearingHouse, August 2015
2
BNY Mellon Investment Management
1 As at 31 December 2015
• Total AUM US$1.6 trillion1
• Institutional grade investment management, innovation and market leading intelligence
• Each investment manager has its own proprietary investment processes
No ‘house view’ is imposed: there is no overall Chief Investment Officer
Each investment manager retains complete investment autonomy
• An entrepreneurial, focused approach is encouraged
Each investment manager focuses on investment management
• A great breadth and depth of expertise in every major asset class and sector
More than 275 institutional investment management product offerings
3
A multi-boutique investment management model encompassing
investment skills of world class specialist investment managers
BNY Mellon Investment Management Our world class specialist investment managers*
* Investment managers are appointed by BNY Mellon Investment Management EMEA Limited (BNYMIM EMEA) or affiliated fund operating companies to undertake portfolio management services in respect of the products and services provided by BNYMIM EMEA or the fund operating companies. These products and services are governed by bilateral contracts entered into by BNYMIM EMEA and its clients or by the Prospectus and associated documents related to the funds
1 AUM f or The Alcentra Group 2 A div ision of The Drey f us Corporation 3 Assets under management are represented by the v alue of cash securities and other economic exposure managed f or clients 4 AUM f or the Newton Group 5 Minority Owned Prov isional AUM has been prov ided by BNY Mellon Finance as at 31 December 2015 Total AUM includes the asset managers outlined in this f ile as well as The Drey f us Corporation, BNY Mellon Wealth Management and ex ternal data
4
Global sub-investment grade
debt asset management
US$25.1bn1
Brazilian multi-strategy, long/short,
long-only and f ixed income strategies
US$1.9bn
Money market funds
US$224.2bn
Active fundamental equity manager;
core, grow th & value styles; US, global
and w orld ex-domestic market
US$36.6bn
US & Global real estate
investment management
US$8.2bn
Fund of hedge funds; non-proprietary
manager of managers
US$4.8bn
Leader in liability driven investment, f ixed
income, currency risk management, multi-
asset, absolute return and specialist equity
solutions
US$603.2bn3
Global multi-asset solutions and strategies
ranging from indexing to alternatives
US$352.4bn
Active equity and bond, multi-asset, real-return
and income solutions in a global thematic
framew ork
US$69.2bn4
Multi-strategy private equity investing; direct
investment and fund-of-funds
US$10.6bn
Aw ard-winning global, emerging markets and
regional f ixed income solutions specialist
US$156.4bn
Global equity
investment management
US$58.8bn
Total AUM US$1.6 trillion
2
5
600
800
1.000
1.200
1.400
1.600
1.800
2.000
2.200
2.400
2.600
nov/0
5
me
i/06
okt/0
6
mrt
/07
aug
/07
jan
/08
jun
/08
nov/0
8
apr/
09
se
p/0
9
feb
/10
jul/1
0
dec/1
0
me
i/11
okt/1
1
mrt
/12
aug
/12
jan
/13
jul/1
3
dec/1
3
me
i/14
okt/1
4
mrt
/15
aug
/15
jan
/16
(£)
Newton Global Income FTSE World Index²
Newton Global Income strategy
Key facts
• Newton Global Income Strategy £6.1bn asset under
management across seven funds, as at end December 2015
Investment policy/guidelines
• All new holdings must have a prospective yield 25% greater
than the FTSE World Index yield
• Any holding whose prospective yield falls below the FTSE
World Index yield will be sold
• Portfolios of 50-80 stocks, not constrained by any country,
regional, sector or industry restrictions
About Newton
• Top tier, London-based investment house with more than 30
years of global fund management experience
• A pioneer of global thematic investing
• Dedicated global research analysts employ the Fund’s
thematic approach to drive their stock recommendations
• £47.0bn in assets under management as at end December
2015
Notes: 1 Inception 30 Nov ember 2005 2 For illustrativ e purposes only . This example does not take into account f actors, such as inf lation, that could hav e a negativ e ef f ect on the v alue of an inv estment 3 The FTSE World Index is used as a comparativ e index f or this strategy Source: Newton. Total return including income net of UK tax, ongoing charge and perf ormance f ee (where applicable). The impact of an initial charge (currently not applied) can be material on the
perf ormance of y our inv estment. Further inf ormation is av ailable upon request
Strategy type Global equity income
Performance
aim
To achieve increasing income and capital
growth over the long term from investing
predominantly in global securities
Value of £1,000 invested at launch1 to 31 January 20162
£2,398
£2,005
5
Newton outlook
6
Recap …
For illustrativ e purposes only Source: Shutterstock (unless otherwise stated), October 2015
The Migration
The experiment
QE
Mind the gap
The Sirens
Cover your ears
Source: John William Waterhouse (1849-1917), ''Uly sses and the Sirens'' (1891)
7
False assumption of central banks “a machine where you can control the output”
For illustrativ e purposes only
LSAPs
Boost broader
asset
prices
INF
LATIO
N
GAU
GE
Increase confidence
Raise income,
profits
Spurs spending,
investment
MONEY IN
Unconventional
policies
Not everything that counts can be counted, and not
everything that can be counted counts
William Bruce Cameron 1963, Informal Sociology
” Source: PA Photos Limited, PA- 24236609, 24 September 2015
Car emissions test body receives 70% of cash from
motor industry
The Guardian, 4 October 2015
”
Suppression, fat tails, fragile
8
Ecosystem instead – constant change
For illustrativ e purposes only Source: Shutterstock, October 2015
Anti-fragile
In all my work on the evolution of cooperation, it is always the same story –
cooperation is never here to stay. Cooperation prevails for some time. Then the
system breaks down and you have to rebuild it. … This is far away from the
typical economist notion of equilibrium. There is no equilibrium.
Martin Nowak
Supercooperators: Altruism, Evolution, and Why We Need Each Other to Succeed. 2011
” ”
9
Ecosystem
For illustrativ e purposes only Source: Shutterstock, October 2015
Cause
Zero Interest Rate Policy
Negative Interest Rate Policy
Quantitative Easing
Asset
prices
rise
Confidence
Spending
Leverage
Bubbles
Investment
De-valutions risk on • Mal-investment
• Bursts
• Default
• Low growth
• Deflation
• Volatility
• Inequality
• Inflation …
Instead, the main impact of suppressed interest rates is to
encourage yield-seeking speculation, to give low quality creditors access to the capital markets, to misallocate scarce saving, to
subsidise leveraged carry trades, to reduce the long-term
accumulation of productive capital, and to foment serial bubbles and crashes.
Hussman funds, 21 September 2015
Re-set
So the consequences
Transfers to
10
Effect Consequence
In corporate profits … … in world GDP …
Low growth …
For illustrativ e purposes only Source: Newton, Bloomberg, IMF, September 2015
… and now employment growth …
… and in prices
-40
-30
-20
-10
0
10
20
30
40
jan/91 mrt/95 apr/99 mei/03 jun/07 jul/11 sep/15
(% y
y)
S&P 12m forwards earnings growth, 3m average, Bloomberg ests
70
120
170
220
270
320
sep 10 sep 11 sep 12 sep 13 sep 14 sep 15
(Thousands)
3m average change in US private employment
-3,0
-2,0
-1,0
0,0
1,0
2,0
3,0
4,0
5,0
6,0
dec/00 nov/03 okt/06 okt/09 sep/12 sep/15
(% y
y)
US UK Eurozone Japan
Annual % change in 12m forw ard EPS
expectation turns negative for the f irst
time since 2009
CPI YoY % change
Serial disappointment
11
1,8
2,3
2,8
3,3
3,8
4,3
mrt/10 mrt/11 mrt/12 mrt/13 mrt/14 mrt/15
(% y
y)
2011 forecast 2012 forecast2013 forecast 2014 forecast2015 forecast 2016 forecast2017 forecast IMF World GDP (actual) %yy
… and volatile backdrop
For illustrativ e purposes only Source: Newton, Bloomberg ,September 2015
No risk?
… uhm
0
5
10
15
20
25
0
20
40
60
80
100
aug/0
1
aug/0
2
aug/0
3
aug/0
4
aug/0
5
aug/0
6
jul/07
jul/08
jul/09
jul/10
jul/11
jul/12
jun/1
3
jun/1
4
jun/1
5
(Index le
vel)
(Index le
vel)
VIX Index S&P Deutsche Bank FX volatility index (RHS)
-20
-15
-10
-5
0jul 05 jul 07 jul 09 jul 11 jul 13 jul 15
($ tr
illio
ns)
Bloomberg World exchange market cap ($tn) 3m change from high
The riskiest thing in the world is the widespread belief that there’s no
risk.
Howard Marks, It’s not easy
September 2015
”
It ain't what you don't know that gets you into trouble.
It's what you know for sure that just ain't so.
Mark Twain
”
Risk always been there
– now simply being priced in
12
Remember – central banks not omnipotent
For illustrativ e purposes only Source: Jef f eries/Twitter September 2015
Promises can be broken
13
Their influence is eventually finite
For illustrativ e purposes only Source: Newton, Bloomberg 30 September 2015
Increasing gap risk
SNB gives up China’s non command stock market
Commodities telling a different story Not such a one way bet
-43%
+187%
-50%
-22%
0,95
1,00
1,05
1,10
1,15
1,20
1,25
1,30
jan/12 jun/12 okt/12 mrt/13 aug/13 jan/14 jun/14 nov/14 apr/15 sep/15
(EU
R:C
HF)
Swiss Franc vs. Euro
50
70
90
110
130
150
170
190
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
(Index le
vel -
rebased)
LME Copper USD Brent Crude USD
6,10
6,15
6,20
6,25
6,30
6,35
6,40
6,45
2.000
2.500
3.000
3.500
4.000
4.500
5.000
5.500
okt/14 nov/14 dec/14 feb/15 mrt/15 apr/15 mei/15 jul/15 aug/15 sep/15
(Index le
vel) (I
ndex le
vel)
Shanghai stock exchange Chinese Renminbi
0
200
400
600
800
1.000
1.200
1.400
jan/12 jul/12 jan/13 aug/13 feb/14 aug/14 feb/15 sep/15
(Index le
vel)
US High Yield energy spreads
14
Infamous joke
For illustrativ e purposes only Notes: 1 Source: Datastream, Bloomberg, US Census Bureau, Newton 2 30 September 2015 3 Calculated by the Bureau of Economic Analy sis in the US in calculating the national accounts 4 Used 10 y ears of earnings to remov e the ef f ect of the economic cy cle f rom the PE calculation 5 Data as at 30 June 2015 6 Source: Newton, September 2015
SNB gives up Then and now: it’s a different world1
And cycle already long in the tooth6 Duration of US expansionary periods6
How do you get to escape velocity? …
well I wouldn’t start from here.
”
End 1981 United States Q3 20152
12% Fed funds rate 0.25%
14% 10-year bond yield 2.0%
$149 billion Monetary base $4.0 trillion
10.7% Profit margins (national accounts)3 16.5%5
7.8x S&P cycle adjusted PE4 24.7x
5.8% MSCI USA dividend yield 2.2%
27 Average age of baby boomer 59
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
0 4 9 13 18 22 27 32 36 41 45 50 55 59 64 68 73 78 82 87 91
(% g
ain
fro
m lo
w)
Number of months since low
1942 1949 1982 1990 2002 2009
The start is everything
15
50
80
37 45 39
24
106
36
58
12
92
120
74 75
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
mrt/3
3
jun/3
8
okt
/45
okt
/49
mei/5
4
apr/58
feb/6
1
nov/
70
mrt/7
5
jul/80
nov/
82
mrt/9
1
nov/
01
jun/0
9
Expansio
n (
month
s)
Date of prior trough
Expansion (Months) Median expansion over period
Protectionism rising as growth slows
According to the Global Trade Alert report the number of protectionist measures introduced in 2013 exceeded those
in 2009... G20 economies had introduced more than 450
protectionist measures, an average of one every 23 hours.
FT.com, 12 November 2014
Newton’s perspective Structural headwinds are outweighing policy action
All charts are f or illustrativ e purposes only Source: BAML, Bloomberg, Datastream, Newton, 31 January 2015 unless otherwise stated
16
Backdrop to remain
Source: UN World Population Projects, 2010 Source: Euromonitor, Centre f or Retail Research, y Stats.com, Forrester Research, select GEM markets in
orange 2013
Change in the ratio of the working-age population (15-64 year
olds) to the total population between 2010 and 2050
eCommerce as % of total retail (2013)
Government net debt as % of GDP
UK was 1% in 2004
US was 4% in 2003
020406080
100120140160180
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
(% o
f G
DP)
USA Japan UK France
Greece Portugal Italy Ireland
12,7% 12,4%
7,8% 7,7%
6,0% 5,5%
4,4% 3,6%
2,5% 2,5%
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
USA UK Brazil China Poland Mexico Russia Chile Turkey SouthAfrica
(%) of to
tal r
eta
il
7,5 5,8
1,1 -0,3
-0,7 -2,4
-5,8 -8,6
-9,0 -9,2
-9,6 -12,4
-20% -15% -10% -5% 0% 5% 10%
AfricaIndia
Lat AM & CarribeanAsia
WorldBrazil
United StatesWestern Europe
Russian FederationChina
Eastern EuropeJapan
Yet no turning back
For illustrativ e purposes only Source: (image) Shutterstock, October 2015
China launches Rmb1tn infrastructure bonds plan
as economy fears grow
FT, 5 August 2015
Federal Reserve rate rise would cause
panic and turmoil, warns World Bank
Telegraph, 9 September 2015
Fed Delays Interest-Rate Liftoff
The Wall Street Journal, 17 September 2015
Japan needs extra stimulus, says Abe adviser
FT, 30 September 2015
IMF asks US Federal Reserve to delay rate rise
BBC, 4 June 2015
Jeremy Corbyn's QE for the people is exactly what
the world may soon need
Telegraph, 16 September 2015
US woos private investment in transport infrastructure
FT, 30 September 2015
More stimulus likely
17
A perspective on investment returns remains appropriate
Notes: For illustrativ e purposes only 1 31 December 2015 2 Calculated by the Bureau of Economic Analy sis in the US in calculating the national accounts 3 Used 10 y ears of earnings to remov e the ef f ect of the economic cy cle f rom the PE calculation 4 Data as at 30 June 2015
Source: Datastream, Bloomberg, US Census Bureau, Newton
18
• Active, flexible approaches
• Emphasis on income
• Strategies that preserve capital and aim for asymmetry
of return
• ‘Return based’ objectives
Characteristics for a lower return/volatile world
End 1981 United States Q4 20151
12% Fed funds rate 0.5%
14% 10-year bond yield 2.3%
$149 billion Monetary base $3.8 trillion
10.7% Profit margins (national accounts)2 16.2%4
7.8x S&P cycle adjusted PE3 25.9x
5.8% MSCI USA dividend yield 2.1%
27 Average age of baby boomer 59
Recent history characterised by
more volatility and lower expected returns
Re
turn
Time For illustrative purposes only
1980-2000’s trend 2000’s – ? trend
Relevant solutions need to reflect a changed environment
Positioning and performance
Pricing power and structural drivers
For illustrativ e purposes only
China consumes mind-boggling amounts of raw materials
… and that’s w hy slowing growth may continue to cause headaches for commodity
producers
Bloomberg commodity Index
Yes
• Microsoft
• Procter & Gamble
• Sysco
• Paychex
• Roche
• Tobacco
• Relx
• Wolters Kluwer
Not
• Miners
• Oil Services
• Weak brands
• Tech hardware
• Agricultural equipment
• Banking
0
50
100
150
200
250
1991 1994 1997 2000 2003 2006 2009 2012 2015
(Index le
vel)
US retail sales: grocery stores vs restaurants
and bars – January 1992 to August 2015
Growth in nominal aggregate health
care spending
US tobacco volumes and price
Source: US Census Bureau, August 2015 Source: Census Bureau, Quarterly Serv ices Surv ey (hospital serv ices & ambulatory serv ices); Bureau of
Economic Analy sis National Income and Product Accounts
(prescription drugs, population, GDP price index), Q2 2015
Source: TMA 1976-2008; Altria 2009-2015
20
Source: FT, 11 September 2015 Source: Bloomberg, September 2015
-15%
-10%
-5%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
197
6
197
8
198
0
198
2
198
4
198
6
198
8
199
0
199
2
199
4
199
6
199
8
200
0
200
2
200
4
200
6
200
8
201
0
201
2
201
4
Volumes Price
Positioning as at 31 January 2016 BNY Mellon Global Equity Income Fund
Notes: 1 The FTSE World Index is used as a comparativ e index f or this strategy
Source: Newton, 31 January 2016
Major stock positions Major sector positions
Country allocation
Relative to index1 (%)
Number of stocks – 50
21
Fund (%)
Index1 (%)
Relative (%)
Top 10
Reynolds American 5.57 0.13 5.44
Philip Morris International 5.52 0.43 5.09
Microsoft 5.20 1.23 3.97
Sysco 3.45 0.06 3.39
Procter & Gamble 3.97 0.69 3.28
Eversource Energy 3.29 0.05 3.24
GlaxoSmithKline 2.81 0.31 2.50
CMS Energy 2.49 0.03 2.46
Wolters Kluwer 2.46 0.03 2.43
Roche 2.79 0.56 2.23
Bottom 5 holdings
Apple 0.00 1.67 -1.67
Alphabet 0.00 1.35 -1.35
Exxon Mobil 0.00 1.00 -1.00
General Electric 0.00 0.84 -0.84
Apple 0.00 1.67 -1.67
11,4
6,4
2,6
2,1
1,3
-2,4
-4,1
-4,4
-4,7
-11,3
Consumer goods
Utilities
Health care
Telecommunication
Consumer services
Technology
Basic materials
Industrials
Oil & gas
Financials
Asset Allocation Fund (%)
Index1 (%)
Relative (%)
Top five
United Kingdom 14.98 7.22 7.77
Netherlands 7.27 1.11 6.16
Switzerland 8.20 3.31 4.89
Norway 2.00 0.21 1.79
United States 56.08 55.01 1.07
Bottom five
Japan 0.00 9.01 -9.01
Germany 0.00 3.16 -3.16
Canada 0.00 2.69 -2.69
Australia 0.94 2.46 -1.52
Taiwan 0.00 1.25 -1.25
Performance BNY Mellon Global Equity Income Fund, as at 31 January 2016
1Perf ormance calculated as total return including income net of UK tax, net annual charges, no initial charge, in GBP. 2 The FTSE World index is used as a comparativ e index f or this strategy
Source: Lipper as at 31 January 2016
(%) GBP 3 months 1 year
3 years (cumulative)
Since inception1 (Annualised)
BNY Mellon Global Equity Income Fund C Inc -4.00 -0.51 4.69 8.23
FTSE World TR USD2 -8.16 -5.62 5.04 7.93
Lipper UK Offshore – Equity Global Sector Avg. -9.66 -8.89 1.64 4.56
Cumulative return over five years
22
28.30%
55.85%
52.71%
-10
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
jul/10 dec/10 mei/11 okt/11 feb/12 jul/12 dec/12 apr/13 sep/13 feb/14 jun/14 nov/14 apr/15 sep/15 jan/16
Gro
wth
(%
)
BNY Mellon Global Equity Higher Income Fund C Inc FTSE World Lipper UK Offshore – Equity Global
Equity income can provide an asymmetric return profile
For illustrativ e purposes only Note: Chart created f rom MercerInsight MPA on 26 October 2015 at 10.14 am. This output should be read in conjunction with, and is subject to, MercerInsight MPA™:Important notices and
Third-party data attributions. See https://www.mercerinsight.com/importantnotices.aspx f or details. Copy right 2014 Mercer LLC. All rights reserv ed
Source: MercerInsight MPA, February 2016
Newton Global Income composite
Quarterly Excess Return vs FTSE World with cumulative line in GBP (before fees) over nine years and three quarters, ending
December 2015
• Actively change
RP composition to
suit the times
• Meaningfully
reduce RP risk
from end 2007
• The global income
strategy generally
outperforms in
down markets
since 2007
• Compounding
effect on returns is
important
23
-80
-60
-40
-20
0
20
40
60
80
-8
-6
-4
-2
0
2
4
6
8
mrt
/06
jun
/06
sep/0
6
de
c/0
6
mrt
/07
jun
/07
sep/0
7
de
c/0
7
mrt
/08
jun
/08
sep/0
8
de
c/0
8
mrt
/09
jun
/09
sep/0
9
de
c/0
9
mrt
/10
jun
/10
sep/1
0
de
c/1
0
mrt
/11
jun
/11
sep/1
1
de
c/1
1
mrt
/12
jun
/12
sep/1
2
de
c/1
2
mrt
/13
jun
/13
sep/1
3
de
c/1
3
mrt
/14
jun
/14
sep/1
4
de
c/1
4
mrt
/15
jun
/15
sep/1
5
de
c/1
5
Rollin
g e
xcess re
turn
(%)
Excess retu
rn (
%)
Quarterly excess return (up markets) Quarterly excess return (down markets) Cumulative rolling
Newton has been here before
Notes: RP*= representativ e portf olio 1 Period 31 March 2009 to 30 April 2010 2 Period 30 September 2012 to 31 October 2014 3 The FTSE World Index is used as a comparativ e index f or this strategy . 4 Perf ormance calculated f rom Lipper, net of f ees, net income reinv ested in GBP. Inception (30 Nov ember 2005) v s FTSE World
Source: Newton as at 31 December 2015
Cumulative performance4
GI RP rolling 12 month relative performance4
CAPE valuation (S&P 500)
-50
0
50
100
150
(%)
Newton Global Income RP* FTSE WORLD³
• Market remains distorted by policy
• Portfolio behaving as expected
• Over medium/long term process works
• Been here before
• Comfortable with their view
• Confident over medium term
• Active stock selection retains focus on valuations
• Overall market not attractively valued
• Underlying fundamentals not driving
markets
-15
-5
5
15
(%)
Rolling relative 12m periods
10
20
30
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
CA
PE (
x)
CAPE Long run average
+50%1 +46%2
RE rating RE rating
24
How have dividends helped?
Notes: *RP=representativ e portf olio 1 Inception: 30 Nov ember 2005 2 The FTSE World Index is used as a comparativ e index f or this strategy Source: Newton, 31 December 2015, net of f ees GBP
Newton Global Income RP* (since inception1 to 31 December 2015)
83,7
56,2
139,9
47,0
58,1
105,1
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
Income Contribution Capital Return Total Return
Cum
ula
tive
re
turn
(%
)
Global Income Fund FTSE World²
25
Newton Global Income Strategy Composite performance as at 31 December 2015
For illustrativ e purposes only Notes:
1 The FTSE World Index is used as a comparativ e index f or this strategy . The strategy does not aim to replicate either the composition or the perf ormance of the comparativ e index.
2 To f if th percentile 3 To 95th percentile
Chart created f rom MercerInsight MPA on 12 February 2016 at 10.57 am. This output should be read in conjunction with, and is subject to, MercerInsight MPA™:Important notices and Third-party
data attributions. See https://www.mercerinsight.com/importantnotices.aspx f or details. Copy right 2016 Mercer LLC. All rights reserv ed. Source: MercerInsight MPA, February 2016
Performance characteristics vs FTSE World1 in GBP (before fees) over nine years and nine months, ending Sept-15 (monthly calculations)
Comparison with the Mercer Global Equity Universe (actual ranking)
First quartile²
Second quartile
Third quartile
Fourth quartile³
Newton Global Incomecomposite
Excess return (% p.a.)
Standard deviation (% p.a.)
Return/ standard deviation
Tracking error (% p.a.)
Information ratio
Newton composite return 3.41 13.50 0.78 5.77 0.59
Newton composite ranking 12 172 13 61 22
Upper quartile 1.67 15.54 0.60 6.04 0.37
Median 0.67 14.66 0.53 4.42 0.17
Lower quartile -0.29 13.79 0.46 3.32 -0.09
Number in universe 208 207 207 207 207
26
-3,0
-2,0
-1,0
0,0
1,0
2,0
3,0
4,0
12,0
13,0
14,0
15,0
16,0
17,0
18,0
19,0
0,2
0,3
0,4
0,5
0,6
0,7
0,8
0,9
1,0
2,0
3,0
4,0
5,0
6,0
7,0
8,0
9,0
10,0
-0,6
-0,4
-0,2
0,0
0,2
0,4
0,6
0,8
Summary, as at 31 January 2016
• Global dividend yields are attractive
relative to other sources of income
• Income will remain important driver of total
return
• Newton Global Income concentrated,
active and focused on income
• Income a core Newton competency
• Well placed to continue to deliver global
diversification, income generation and
capital growth
Notes: 1 Inception date: 30 Nov ember 2005 2 RP= representativ e portf olio. Perf ormance calculated as total return including income net of UK tax, net annual charges, no initial charge, in GBP 3 The FTSE World Index is used as a comparativ e index f or this strategy Source: Newton, Lipper (weekly data, total return in sterling, net of f ees and income reinv ested), 31 January 2016
Risk versus return since inception1
27
Low High
Newton Global Income RP2
FTSE World3
IA Global
MSCI World High
Dividend Yield
MSCI World
5,0
5,5
6,0
6,5
7,0
7,5
8,0
8,5
9,0
9,5
10,0
13,4 13,6 13,8 14,0 14,2 14,4 14,6
Retu
rn (
% p
.a.)
Volatility (% p.a.)
Appendix
Newton’s investment philosophy Global thematic investing since 1978
Newton believes in …
Source: Newton, 2015
Thinking globally,
evaluating each idea in a global context
Using themes to
understand the forces driving global change
Global Themes Analysis Conviction
Conducting rigorous
fundamental analysis of each
investment opportunity
Constructing
investment portfolios incorporating
Newton’s highest
conviction ideas
29
Newton’s sole objective
is delivering results for their clients
Newton Investment Management As at 31 December 2015
Focus
• Single location
• Investment only; no distractions
Stability and experience
• +30 years in global investing
• Team-based approach
Perspective
• Thematic framework
• Proprietary global research; skilled security selection
• Integrated ESG research
Alignment of interests
• Performance culture
• Real equity ownership
30
Our culture is aligned with your objectives Note: 1 AUM f or SAA included in respectiv e underly ing asset class Source: Newton, 31 December 2015
Newton Global Income Strategy
Newton Global Income RP*
• Launch date: 30 November 2005
• Objective: The objective is to achieve increasing income and
capital growth over the long-term from investing
predominantly in global securities. The strategy may also
invest in collective investment schemes
• Domicile: UK
• Comparative Index: FTSE World1
• IA sector: Global Equity Income
• Historic yield: 3.6%
• AUM: Ten year old RP* has grown to over £4.4bn in assets
BNY Mellon Global Equity Income Fund
• Launch date: 29 July 2010
• Objective: The objective is to achieve increasing income and
capital growth over the long-term from investing
predominantly in global securities. The Fund may also invest
in collective investment schemes
• Domicile: Dublin
• Comparative Index: FTSE World1
• Historic Yield: 3.4%
• AUM: $466 million
Launched following investor demand from clients who did not
wish to use sterling denominated UK domiciled funds:
• Same team, same strategy
• A broad choice of currency share classes available
Notes: 1 The FTSE World index is used as a comparativ e index f or this strategy
*RP= representativ e portf olio
Source: Newton, all data 31 December 2015
31
Single location, interactive and collaborative approach
Global Equity Income team Income a core competency
Total number of inv estment personnel = 68 (some personnel included in more than one category ) Source: Newton, December 2015
Equity
Real Return team 17 years’ investment experience
8 years at Newton
Global Strategy Group Thematic Focus Groups Bond/FX Strategy Group
UK Equity Income
Multi-Asset
Portfolio Managers
18 years’ investment experience
12 years at New ton
Global Research
15 years’ investment experience
8 years at New ton
Emerging & Asian Equity
Global Equity
Fixed Income
Multi-Asset & UK
Real Return Responsible Investment
Industry analysts
Credit
32
Asian Equity Income Emerging Equity Income
Nick Clay
Ian Clark
Terry Coles
Global Equity portfolios
Common philosophy and process, distinctive portfolios
9,847
listed Global Equities
50-80 stocks Focused income portfolios, constructed without reference to
the benchmark, seeking strong total returns with lower volatility
over the medium term
Global Income
Research
Recommended Lists
Income Filter
Themes
Global Research
Global Equity
Team
Portfolio
33
Fo illustrativ e purposes only .
Global thematic framework Themes help identify opportunities and challenges
Represent the first
stages of idea generation and risk
management
Provide a dynamic
framework for investment thinking
Identify drivers of
long-term change
Allow a longer-term
global perspective in a volatile world
Source: Newton, 2015
34
Dividends Favourable characteristics
Dividends are important because
• They encourage disciplined capital allocation by management
and the generation of cash flow
• Aligns management and investor interests
• Capital discipline leads to higher earnings
• They can be used to highlight value
• Generates a consistent source of return
• Thus making them an important part of the returns investors
receive from an equity investment (especially in a low return
world)
For illustrativ e purposes only Source: Arnott and Asness (2003) ‘Surprise! Equity Div idends = Equity Earnings Growth’ FAJ v ol 59, no. 1
Subsequent 10-year earnings growth (%)
Dividend payout ratio (%)
30 40 50 60 70 80 90
(% p
.a.)
Payout ratios and earnings growth from 1946-2001
35
Dividends The biggest driver of equity returns
For illustrativ e purposes only Source: SG Cross Asset Research, MSCI, total annualised real return in local currency , to 31 December 2014
Compounding effects of dividend yield dominates real returns in the long term (1970-2014)
36
5,0
6,2
5,3 4,8
4,1 5,6
3,6
-3,0
-2,0
-1,0
0,0
1,0
2,0
3,0
4,0
5,0
6,0
7,0
UK US France Germany Australia Canada Japan
(%)
Dividend Yield Dividend growth Multiple expansion Total annualised returns
Dividends: need to be active
Source: SG Quantitativ e Research, Newton/Factset, 31 December 2015
Comparing forecast and realised dividend yields since end-1995 to 31 December 2015
1,7
4,5
5,4
6,5
7,4
8,4
9,5
11,8
17,0
1,8
4,3 5,1
5,7 6,2 6,5 6,4
6,0 5,3
0,0
2,0
4,0
6,0
8,0
10,0
12,0
14,0
16,0
18,0
<4% 4%-5% 5%-6% 6%-7% 7%-8% 8%-9% 9%-10% 10%-15% 15%-20%
Div
idend
yie
ld (
%)
Average yield Realised yield
37
Controlling the risks
Fundamentals/Valuation Proprietary research Single portfolio approach Perspective
How much risk? Stock weights, correlation, volatility
What kind of risk? Currency, industry, stock specific
Is risk consistent? Strategic views, security selection, income level
Portfolio diversification: At country and sector level
Single Portfolio: 50-80 holdings
Volatility is not at risk: Dividend cuts are risks
Risk control
(portfolio guidelines)
Risk monitoring
Outperformance of
FTSE World
Newton Global Income Strategy Yield criteria
Bottom up risk management
Themes
Security selection Portfolio construction
Risk parameters
Quantitative risk assessment
Ensuring risk is appropriate, consistent and intended
38
Portfolio
construction
Security selection
Source: Newton
Assess the outlook for end markets, industries and regions
Thematic headwinds
Thematic tailwinds
• Unrecognised business quality:
Lowest cost; unique assets
• Cyclically depressed with business outlook improving
• Management: integrity, quality and
capital allocation
• Dividend yield as starting point …
but focus on cash flow and return on invested capital based valuation
• Scenario analysis with a focus on
downside
• Balance sheet strength in worst
case scenario
39
Evolution of investment themes From 2003
Source: Newton, Representation of themes since 2003, as at Nov ember 2015
2015 2012 2009 2006 2003 2006 2009 2012 2014
Current theme timeline
Historic theme timeline
40
Capital cycle Necessity of perspective
For illustrativ e purposes only Note: 1 ROIC – Return on Inv ested Capital, CoC – Cost of capital
Source: Newton, December 2015 Themes help Newton think about capital allocation
ROIC1 low
Asset values low
BUST
BOOM
ROIC1 high
Asset values high
No one makes money
Capital denied
Capacity exits Price wars
Utilisation falls
ROIC1 < CoC1
Supply > demand
Marginal ROIC1 falls
Leverage, M&A Capital aplenty
Supply < demand
ROIC1 > CoC1
Capital returns
ROIC1 increases
Capital cycle
Favourable investment environment Dangerous investment environment
41
Where today?
For illustrativ e purposes only Note: 1 ROIC – Return on Inv ested Capital, CoC – Cost of capital
Source: Newton, December 2015
ROIC1 low
Asset values low
BUST
BOOM
ROIC1 high
Asset values high
Capital cycle
Leverage, M&A Capital aplenty
IPO’s
Mining
Content media
Chinese fixed asset
investment
Rights Issues
Central bank policies/
currencies
Copper
UK Food Retail
Mature IT
EM debt
Beef
European Telecom’s
Share buybacks
European construction
Social media
Big Oil
Oil sands Big Pharma
Capital denied
Capacity exits
Price wars
Utilisation falls
ROIC1 < CoC1
Supply > demand
Marginal ROIC1
falls
Supply < demand
ROIC1 > CoC1
Capital returns
ROIC1 increases
No one makes money
Favourable investment environment Dangerous investment environment
42
Guides our stock selection
Recent transaction highlights Newton Global Income strategy
Source: Newton, December 2015
Sales
Tesco
Balfour Beatty Sell discipline
Suez Environnement
Pfizer
SES
Deutsche Post
Statoil
Reynolds American
Total
Valuation
McDonalds
Johnson & Johnson
Imperial Tobacco
Royal Mail
CMS Energy
Principal Financial
Western Union
Procter & Gamble
Altria
Purchases
43
Portfolio positioning
For illustrativ e purposes only Source: Newton, September 2015
Extremely selective in financials. Avoid those
challenged by government interference
Focus on healthcare, telecoms, selected
technology areas and staples.
Limited exposure to developing markets
Caution in energy, commodities and basic
industries and their infrastructure
In a lower growth world, with more volatility, investors should
prize both growth and stability. At the current time large
capitalisation, diversified and relatively defensive equities are
selling at attractive valuations
The effect of debt will continue to pressure financials and
economies. Divergent performances likely to yield stock and
regional selection opportunities
The effort to reflate western economies with QE type policies
will continue to underpin demand for ‘real assets’. Longer term
demand fundamentals and real supply challenges in various
resources will continue to present opportunities and risks
Selective developing world economies have longer term
attractions in terms of their stage of development and
favourable demographics. However capital flight driven by
falling returns on capital are likely to lead to pro-cyclical
monetary tightening or currency weakness as the credit cycle
plays out
44
Performance attribution Newton Global Income RP*, year to date to 31 January 2016
Note: *RP= representativ e portf olio
1 The FTSE World index is used as a comparativ e index f or this strategy
Source: Newton, 31 January 2016
Sector attribution Stock attribution
45
Net mgmt
effect (%)
Top 10
Reynolds American 0.72
Philip Morris International 0.44
Eversource Energy 0.36
CMS Energy 0.33
Procter & Gamble 0.32
McDonald's 0.24
Microsoft 0.22
Verizon Communications 0.21
GlaxoSmithKline 0.18
Wolters Kluwer 0.17
Bottom 10
Zurich Insurance -0.20
Novartis -0.12
Cisco Systems -0.10
Principal Financial -0.10
Cobham -0.10
Facebook -0.09
AT&T -0.08
Centrica -0.08
TDC -0.07
Paychex -0.06
Total RP* return
(%)
Total index
return1
(%)
Net mgmt
effect
(%)
Total 2.89 -2.22 –
Oil & gas -1.94 0.52 -0.16
Basic materials 0.00 -6.07 0.16
Industrials -1.74 -2.65 0.09
Consumer goods 7.59 0.38 2.11
Health care -0.30 -3.90 0.49
Consumer services 4.84 -1.05 0.78
Telecommunication 2.75 4.30 0.08
Utilities 3.74 5.56 0.35
Financials -2.69 -5.87 0.75
Technology 0.97 -1.52 0.22
Cash - 0.00 0.60
Newton Global Income Representative Porfolio Performance attribution highlights: 2008-2015
Source: Newton, 2015
Financials u/w t
Telecommunications
Industrials
Basic materials
Gold Fields
Fording Canadian
Coal
Hopew ell Highw ay
HTC
Advanced Info
Service
Utilities u/w t
Financials u/w t
Standard Charter
Turner
Parkw ay
TNE
Vale Capital
Noble Group
Financials u/w t
Technology u/w t
HTC
Reynolds American
Advance Info Service
Link Real Estates
DNB
Gold Fields
Consumer goods
Healthcare
Financials u/w t
Telecommunications
Reynolds American
Phillip Morris
Advance Info Service
Roche/Glaxo/Pfizer/
Abbott
Utilities u/w t
Industrials
Deutsche Post
Aberdeen Asset
Man.
REITS
CCR
DNB
Industrials
Deutsche Post
Lockheed Martin
Microsoft
Paychex
ICAP
Deutsche Telekom
Financials u/w t
Basic materials u/w t
Consumer goods
Reynolds American
Microsoft
Northeast Utilities
Novartis
Consumer goods
Oil & gas u/w t
Basic materials u/w t
Technology
Reynolds American
Microsoft
Philips Morris
Utilities
Consumer services
Healthcare
Consumer goods
Parkw ay
First Gen
Bursa Malaysia
Astra Agro Lestari
Straits Asia
Resources
Basic materials u/w t
Telecommunications
Technology u/w t
LG Telecom
Cable & Wireless
Bristol-Myers Squibb
Merck & Co.
PDLT
Telstra
Industrials
Oil and gas
Telecommunications
TNE
Deutsche Telekom
Deutsche Post
Total
QBE Insurance
ENI
Technology
HTC
DNB
Suez Environment
Apple(void)
ICAP
IBM
Consumer goods
Health care
Technology
HTC
Reynolds
Telekom Polska
Statoil
Worley Parsons
Financials u/w t
Consumer goods
CCR
Telekom Polska
Philip Morris
Annaly Capital Mgmt
Gold Fields
China Mobile (HK)
Orkla
Telecommunications
Health care
Mattel
Centrica
GlaxoSmithKline
Apple(void)
TeliaSonera
TDC
Balfour Beatty
Telecommunications
Health care
Financials
TDC
Centrica
Po
sit
ive
co
ntr
ibu
tors
N
eg
ati
ve
co
ntr
ibu
tors
2014 2013 2012 2011 2009 2008 2010 2015
46
Newton Global Income RP*
Notes: *RP= representativ e portf olio 1 Perf ormance calculated as total return including income net of UK tax, net annual charges, no initial charge, in GBP 2 The FTSE World Index is used as a comparativ e index f or this strategy . The strategy does not aim to replicate either the composition or the perf ormance of the comparativ e index Source: Lipper as at 31 January 2016
Longer term performance Returns (net annualised)
Newton Global Income1 FTSE World2
47
4,8
8,0
9,2 9,0
-0,1
9,0
8,0
7,1
-2
0
2
4
6
8
10
1 yr 3 yrs 5 yrs Since inception30-Nov-05
(%)
16,3 18,3
-16,9
17,7
13,3
2,5
10,2
14,2
8,2 9,1
6,5
9,5
-18,2
19,6
16,3
-5,8
11,8
22,4
11,3
4,3
-25
-20
-15
-10
-5
0
5
10
15
20
25
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
(%)
Newton Global Income RP* Fundamental analysis
For illustrativ e purposes only Notes:
*RP= Representativ e portf olio 1 Sty le Research, based on 3 y ear data Source: Bloomberg, Newton
All calculations, portf olio and index are weighted sums using weights as at 31 December 2015
LT ROIC ref ers to av erage of last 5 y ears ROIC F Score is non f inancials – in keeping with Soc Gen’s methodology . Cash Conv ersion – adds back D&A to the Net Income bef ore calculation and excludes any stocks with negativ e amounts
Newton Global Income portfolio data at 31 December 2015
Aggregate statistics Portfolio ex financials MSCI World Index ex financials
Risk
Tracking error1 4.2
Beta1 0.9
Number of stocks 50 1,269
Fundamentals
Return on equity % 25.3 20.5
Return on invested capital % 13.8 12.0
Net debt/equity % 63.9 79.6
Cash Generation (NI/FCF) % 72.2 67.6
Valuation
Free cash flow yield % 5.0 4.3
Dividend Sustainability (F score) 5.8 6.2
Distributions
Historic yield (last 12 months) % 4.0 2.6
48
Dividends Need to be active
Source: SG Quantitativ e Research, Factset/Newton Global Income strategy as at 31 December 2015
Comparing forecast and realised dividend yields since end-1995 to 31 December 2015
1,7
4,5 5,4
6,5 7,4
8,4 9,5
11,8
17,0
1,8
4,3 5,1 5,7 6,2 6,5 6,4 6,0 5,3
0,0
5,0
10,0
15,0
20,0
<4% 4%-5% 5%-6% 6%-7% 7%-8% 8%-9% 9%-10% 10%-15% 15%-20%
Div
idend
yie
ld (
%)
Average yield Realised yield
Newton Global Income strategy stock selection
61,7
15,0 10,0
4,6 4,6 1,4 1,8
0,0
10,0
20,0
30,0
40,0
50,0
60,0
70,0
<4% 4% - 5% 5% - 6% 6% - 7% 7% - 8% 8% - 9% 9% - 10% 10% - 15% 15% - 20%
% o
f N
ew
ton G
lobal
Incom
e R
P
Dividend yield group (%)
49
-32
-24
-16
-8
0
8
16
24
32
Dec-
05F
eb-0
6A
pr-
06
Jun-0
6A
ug-0
6O
ct-06
Dec-
06F
eb-0
7A
pr-
07
Jun-0
7A
ug-0
7O
ct-07
Dec-
07F
eb-0
8A
pr-
08
Jun-0
8A
ug-0
8O
ct-08
Dec-
08F
eb-0
9A
pr-
09
Jun-0
9A
ug-0
9O
ct-09
Dec-
09F
eb-1
0A
pr-
10
Jun-1
0A
ug-1
0O
ct-10
Dec-
10F
eb-1
1A
pr-
11
Jun-1
1A
ug-1
1O
ct-11
Dec-
11F
eb-1
2A
pr-
12
Jun-1
2A
ug-1
2O
ct-12
Dec-
12F
eb-1
3A
pr-
13
Jun-1
3A
ug-1
3O
ct-13
Dec-
13F
eb-1
4A
pr-
14
Jun-1
4A
ug-1
4O
ct-14
Dec-
14F
eb-1
5A
pr-
15
Jun-1
5A
ug-1
5O
ct-15
Dec-
15
(%)
Oil & gas
Basic materials
Industrials
Consumer goods
Health care
Consumer services
Telecommunication
Utilities
Financials
Technology
Cash / bonds / options
-60
-40
-20
0
20
40
60
Dec-
05F
eb-0
6A
pr-
06
Jun-0
6A
ug-0
6O
ct-06
Dec-
06F
eb-0
7A
pr-
07
Jun-0
7A
ug-0
7O
ct-07
Dec-
07F
eb-0
8A
pr-
08
Jun-0
8A
ug-0
8O
ct-08
Dec-
08F
eb-0
9A
pr-
09
Jun-0
9A
ug-0
9O
ct-09
Dec-
09F
eb-1
0A
pr-
10
Jun-1
0A
ug-1
0O
ct-10
Dec-
10F
eb-1
1A
pr-
11
Jun-1
1A
ug-1
1O
ct-11
Dec-
11F
eb-1
2A
pr-
12
Jun-1
2A
ug-1
2O
ct-12
Dec-
12F
eb-1
3A
pr-
13
Jun-1
3A
ug-1
3O
ct-13
Dec-
13F
eb-1
4A
pr-
14
Jun-1
4A
ug-1
4O
ct-14
Dec-
14F
eb-1
5A
pr-
15
Jun-1
5A
ug-1
5O
ct-15
Dec-
15
(%)
UK equities
North American equities
Europe ex UK equities
Japanese equities
Pacific ex. Japan equities
Other International equities
Bonds/ Cash/ Other
Portfolio actively managed Positioning since inception1 to 31 January 2016
Note: 1 Inception 30 Nov ember 2005 Source: Newton, 31 January 2016
Relative sector positioning (%)
Relative regional positioning (%)
50
Portfolio actively managed Positioning since inception1 to 31 January 2016
Note: 1 Inception 30 Nov ember 2005 Source: All charts, Newton at 31January 2016
Ex Post Beta rolling three year
51
0,5
0,6
0,7
0,8
0,9
1,0
1,1
1,2
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Beta
-15
-10
-5
0
5
10
15
20
Oil
& g
as
Basic
ma
teria
ls
Ind
ustr
ials
Consu
mer
good
s
Health
care
Consu
mer
serv
ices
Te
lecom
mu
nic
ation
Util
itie
s
Fin
ancia
ls
Te
chnolo
gy
Cash /
bond
s / o
ptio
ns
(%)
Current positioning
Newton Global Income strategy Newton Global Income RP* – dividend payment history
For illustrativ e purposes only *RP= representativ e portf olio
Source: Newton, Newton Global Income Representativ e portf olio; GBP, income share class, January 2016
0,34 0,55 0,78
1,28 1,01 0,99 0,84 1,01 0,96 0,99 1,11 0,50
0,71
0,94
1,05 1,20 1,06 1,20
1,30 1,05 1,12
1,65
1,85
2,01
2,12 2,81
2,64 2,25
2,36 2,53 2,39
0,94
1,11
1,56
1,18
1,02 1,36
1,32
1,21 1,13 1,07
3,43
4,22
5,29
5,63
6,04 6,05
5,61 5,88
5,67 5,57
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Net
am
ount
(GB
P)
Jan Apr Jul Oct
52
Newton Global Income RP* Since inception dividend growth history
For illustrativ e purposes only Notes:
*RP= representativ e portf olio 1 Annualised div idend growth since inception (30 Nov ember 2005), illustrated by a starting income pot of £1,000 Source: MSCI as at end December 2015 and Newton, Newton Global Income RP; GBP, SG Quantitativ e Research, MSCI High DY GBP, December 2015
Comparing annual dividend growth with a global high yielding index
23,0 25,4
6,4 7,3
0,2
-7,3
4,8
-3,6 -1,8
9,9
13,2
-14,9
1,8
14,3
1,0 1,1 0,4
3,2
£0
£200
£400
£600
£800
£1.000
£1.200
£1.400
£1.600
£1.800
£2.000
-20,0
-10,0
0,0
10,0
20,0
30,0
40,0
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Cum
ula
tive gro
wth
of in
itial £
1000 d
ividend
Annual
div
idend
gro
wth
(%
)
Newton Global Income MSCI World High Dividend Yield
Newton Global Income MSCI World High Dividend Yield
£1,624
(+3.0% p.a.)1
£1,303
(+5.5% p.a.)1
53
Investing for the medium to longer term
Notes: *RP= Representativ e portf olio 1 The FTSE World Index is used as a comparativ e index f or this strategy 2 Inception: 30 Nov ember 2005 Source: Newton, Lipper, net of f ees, midday close, GBP relativ e to FTSE World, as at 31 December 2015
Newton Global Income RP* – % of months outperforming index¹
(Since inception²)
49
56
68
64
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
Monthly returns Rolling annual returns Rolling three year returns Rolling five year returns
(%)
54
Performance characteristics in different markets Newton Global Income RP*
For illustrativ e purposes only Notes:
*RP= Representativ e portf olio 1 The FTSE World Index is used as a comparativ e index f or this strategy 2 Inception date 30 Nov ember 2005
Source: Newton, Bloomberg f or all charts, 31 December 2015
Before crisis After crisis
0102030405060708090
100
<-5 -4 to -5-3 to -4-2 to -3-1 to -2 0 to -1 0 to 1 1 to 2 2 to 3 3 to 4 4 to 5 >5
Fre
quency
Weekly change
GI Gross FTSE World TR GBP¹
Frequency distributions – weekly returns 2006 – 2009 Frequency distributions – weekly returns 2009 – 2015
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
<-5 -4 to -5-3 to -4-2 to -3-1 to -2 0 to -1 0 to 1 1 to 2 2 to 3 3 to 4 4 to 5 >5
Fre
quency
Weekly change
GI Gross FTSE World TR GBP¹
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
<-5 -4 to -5-3 to -4-2 to -3-1 to -2 0 to -1 0 to 1 1 to 2 2 to 3 3 to 4 4 to 5 >5
Fre
quency
Weekly change
GI Gross FTSE World TR GBP¹
Frequency distributions – weekly returns since inception2 S&P 500 annual returns since 1899
-60 -40 -20 0 20 40 60
2013
15th best year since 1899
GI outperforms GI underperforms Appropriate characteristics
for investment backdrop
55
No change in the way the representative portfolio and the BNY Mellon Global Equity Income fund are managed
*RP= Representativ e portf olio Source: Newton. Newton Global Income Representativ e Portf olio and BNY Mellon Global Equity Income Fund, 31 December 2015
Commonality to remain high between both income RP* and BNY Mellon Global Equity
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
jun/11 sep/11 dec/11 mrt/12 jun/12 sep/12 dec/12 mrt/13 jun/13 sep/13 dec/13 mrt/14 jun/14 sep/14 dec/14 mrt/15 jun/15 sep/15 dec/15
Com
monalit
y b
etw
een
GI
and G
EI (%
)
Newton aim to keep turnover consistent and low
Annualised monthly turnover
Newton Global Income strategy 25%
BNY Mellon Global Equity Income Fund 28%
56
Dividends Globally diversified
• In 2015, 33% of the constituents in the FTSE World yielded
3% or greater – 800+ stocks
• 92% of the securities that yield 3% or greater are located
outside of the UK
• Asia Pacific ex-Japan and Emerging Market region continues
to increase in significance
Source: FactSet, Datastream, December 2015
Geographical split of the number of FTSE World Index
stocks yielding greater than 3% (2015)
20,9%
22,5%
6,9%
31,3%
13,0%
5,4%
North America Europe ex UK UK
Asia Pacific ex Japan Other Japan
57
Global diversification achievable
Global Income team
CFA® and Chartered Financial Analy st® are registered trademarks owned by CFA Institute
Nick Clay Ian Clark Terry Coles
Portfolio manager,
global equity team
Nick is the lead manager of the Newton Global Income Strategy and the BNY Mellon Global Equity Income Fund. He has been a member of the global equity
team since 2012. He is a member of a number of investment groups, including chairing the equity
income group
From 2000 to 2012 Nick was the lead manager on a variety of global multi-asset fund strategies
Prior to joining Newton in 2000, Nick acquired a range of experience as a UK equities manager at Morley
Fund Management and as an analyst at Sun Alliance. Nick is an associate member of the UK Society of Investment Professionals
14 years at Newton 24 years’ investment experience
Portfolio manager,
global equity team
Terry is a portfolio manager within the global equities team, and is responsible for the management of a number of global equity and global equity income
portfolios
Prior to joining Newton in 2010, Terry acquired a range
of experience as a global investment manager and analyst at F&C International and Morgan Stanley. He began his career as an offshore dealer at Fidelity
International. Terry is a CFA charterholder
5 years at Newton
19 years’ investment experience
Global research analyst,
global equity and real return team
Ian is part of the Newton global equity team specialising in the global income strategy. He is also a member of the real return team with responsibility for
generating investment ideas, monitoring and maintaining existing positions, as well as client
marketing
Prior to joining Newton, Ian worked for Ziff Brothers Investments covering industrial, building materials,
transport and commodity companies. Ian also spent two years at McKinsey as a consultant in the corporate
finance practice
3 years at Newton 10 years’ investment experience
58
Idea generation Global thematic framework
Source: Newton
Economics, geopolitics and demographics
Stephen Rowntree
Fati Naraghi
Robert Canepa-Anson
Douglas Reed
Paul Markham
Chair – Charles French
Informed debate and challenge
Strategists – Peter Hensman, Brendan Mulhern
Global Strategy Group
Finances and policy Innovation
Environment and infrastructure
Khuram Sharih
Terry Coles
Naomi Waistell
Tracey Grace
Matthew Brown
59
Global research Team overview
Notes: 1 Accounting and v aluation ov ersight 2 Combined Research/Inv estment Management roles
Source: Newton, December 2015 Fostering collaborative teamwork
Global research 18 Industry analysts
5 Credit analysts
4 Responsible investment 2 Strategy
Sandra Carlisle
RI Team Leader
Ian Burger
Victoria Barron
Freddie Woolfe
Khuram Sharih
Howard Cunningham2
Scott Freedman2
Martin Chambers
Parmeshwar Chadha2
Fati Naraghi
Roger Wilkinson Co Head of Research
Jonathan McMullan
Charles French Head of
Investment
Paul Schenk
Nick Pope
Peter Hensman
Brendan Mulhern
Stephen Rowntree
Emily Fletcher
Rosie Bichard
Tracey Grace
Maria Toneva
Duncan Bulgin Co Head of Research
Michal Plotkowiak
Tim Lucas
Robert Canepa- Anson
Christopher Smith
Jeremy Stuber1
Mathieu Poitrat Rachmaninoff
60
Investment team
Single location is key
• Fosters a global perspective
• Facilitates seamless communication
and the use of themes
• Enables swift idea generation and implementation
Well resourced investment team
• Deep sector knowledge feeds proprietary research
• Focused specialist and generalist investors
• Powerful combination of perspectives
Thematic
focus groups
Consumer (3)
Financials (3)
Cyclical sectors
(7)
Tech & Telco
(3)
Healthcare (2)
Responsible Investment
(4)
Credit (5)
Global Equity
(9)
Real Return
(7)
Fixed Income
(9)
Strategy (2)
Emerging & Asian Equity
(8)
Multi- Asset & UK (16)
Source: Newton, December 2015 Total Inv estment Personnel = 68
The abov e chart includes double counting as some inv estors are included in more than one team
61
A powerful combination Expertise in both global equity and income investing
Global equities at Newton
• £15.7bn in specialist global equity mandates
• 41 individual client portfolios managed across a range of
strategies (including Global Equity, Global Opportunities,
EAFE, Global ex UK and Global Income etc)
• £6.1bn of which is in the Global Income strategy
Source: Newton as of 31 December 2015 Note ef f ects of rounding and parentheses indicate strategy inception y ear
Equity Income investing at Newton
• 22% of firm assets, £10.2bn and 28 years’ experience
UK Income (1987) £1,8bn
Global Income
(2005) £6,1bn
Emerging Income
(2012) £0,1bn
Asian Income (2005) £2,2bn
Equity income is a core competency
62
Newton Global Equity Income composite Annual disclosure
• Newton Global Equity Income Composite contains fully discretionary portfolios which invest in global equities, but only if certain yield criteria are met. Securities delivering a 25% yield premium
to the FTSE W World index may be considered for investment
• New ton claims compliance w ith the Global Investment Performance Standards (GIPS®) and has prepared and presented this report in compliance w ith the GIPS standards New ton has been
independently verif ied for the periods 1996 to 2014, (PS Ashland (1996 to 2003), Pricew aterhouseCoopers LLP (2004 to 2010) and KPMG (2011 to 2014)). The verif ication reports are available
upon request. Verif ication assesses whether (1) the f irm has complied w ith all the composite construction requirements of the GIPS standards on a f irm-w ide basis and (2) the f irm’s policies and procedures are designed to calculate and present performance in compliance w ith the GIPS standards. Verif ication does not ensure the accuracy of any specif ic composite presentation
• New ton, the f irm, includes all the assets managed by New ton Investment Management Limited, New ton Capital Management Limited and New ton Capital Management LLC and are w holly ow ned
subsidiaries of The Bank of New York Mellon Corporation. The AUM for the f irm, w here quoted, may include assets managed by the f irm’s off icers as dual off icers or employees of the Bank of New
York Mellon
• New ton Investment Management Limited is authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority in the conduct of investment business. New ton Capital Management Limited is registered w ith the US Securities and Exchange Commission as an investment advisor under the Investment Adviser’s Act 1940.
• The Pound Sterling is the currency used to express performance. Further information regarding the exchange rates used is available upon request. Returns are presented gross of management
fees and include the reinvestment of all income. Actual returns w ill be reduced by investment advisory fees and other expenses that may be incurred in the management of the account. The fee
schedule appropriate for this presentation starts at 0.75%, how ever, individual fees are negotiated on an account by account basis
• A list of composite descriptions and additional information regarding the f irm’s policies and procedures for valuing portfolios, calculating and preparing compliant presentations are available upon request
Composite created Q1 2006 n/a = the three-y ear ex-post risk statistics are not presented because the composite does not y et hav e 36 monthly returns as of this date. FTSE index range is calculated gross of withholding taxes
Year End
Total Firm Assets
(£ million)
Composite Assets Annual Performance (in £ terms) 3 Year Ex Post Risk Statistics
£ (millions)
% of Firm Assets
Number of Accounts
Gross Composite
FTSE W World
Composite Std Dev
Benchmark Std Dev
Information Ratio
2014 50,220 5,314 11% 7 9.3% 11.3% 8.6% 9.0% (0.6)
2013 51,301 5,588 11% 9 16.3% 22.4% 8.4% 10.7% 0.4
2012 49,364 4,322 9% 9 12.0% 11.8% 8.7% 12.6% 0.5
2011 45,364 2,556 6% Five or fewer 4.5% (5.8)% 13.2% 17.2% 0.4
2010 47,224 1,901 4% Five or fewer 13.8% 16.3% 20.0% 21.1% 0.1
2009 42,101 911 2% Five or fewer 18.3% 19.6% 19.8% 19.4% 0.7
2008 35,292 475 1% Five or fewer (13.8)% (18.2)% 17.6% 15.5% 1.4
2007 39,535 294 Less than 1% Five or fewer 20.3% 9.4% n/a n/a n/a
2006 35,610 118 Less than 1% Five or fewer 17.9% 6.5% n/a n/a n/a
63
Important information
64
PRE000176-Expires-5/24/2016
Past performance is not a guide to future performance. The value of investments can
both fall and rise. Investors may not get back the amount invested. Income from
investments may vary and is not guaranteed. 'For Professional Clients and, in
Switzerland, for Qualified Investors only.
This is a financial promotion and is not investment advice. For a full list of risks applicable to this fund, please refer to the Prospectus. Investors should read the
Prospectus and KIID for each fund in which they want to invest. Go to
www.bnymellonim.com.
In Germany, this is for marketing purposes only.
Investments should not be regarded as short-term and should normally be held for at least f ive years.
Portfolio holdings are subject to change, for information only and are not investment
recommendations.
BNY Mellon is the corporate brand of The Bank of New York Mellon Corporation and its
subsidiaries.
Unless otherw ise noted, all references to total assets under management (AUM) (w hich are
approximate), are provided by The Bank of New York Mellon Corporation and are as of
31/12/2015.
AUM for The Boston Company Asset Management, EACM Advisors, Mellon Capital
Management Corporation and Standish Mellon Asset Management Company LLC includes assets managed by those individual f irms’ off icers as associated persons, dual off icers or
employees of The Dreyfus Corporation. In addition, AUM / OUM for the follow ing f irms may
include assets managed by them as non-discretionary investment manager for, or by the
individual f irms’ off icers as dual off icers or employees of, The Bank of New York Mellon: The
Boston Company Asset Management, LLC, The Dreyfus Corporation and its BNY Mellon Cash Investment Strategies division, Mellon Capital Management Corporation, New ton Capital
Management Limited (part of The New ton Group), Standsh Mellon Asset Management
Company LLC, and CenterSquare Investment Management, Inc. AUM includes BNY Mellon
Wealth Management and external data.
AUM outlined for New ton represents the aggregate AUM of the follow ing aff iliated companies: New ton Investment Management Limited and New ton Capital Management Limited. Insight
investment's assets under management are represented by the value of cash securities and
other economic exposure managed for clients.
All rankings based on w orldwide assets under management for The Bank of New York Mellon
Corporation as at 31 December 2015, unless otherw ise stated.
The Bank of New York Mellon Corporation holds 90% of The Boston Company Asset
Management, LLC and a 20% minority interest in Siguler Guff & Company LLC and certain
related entities. BNY Mellon Cash Investment Strategies is a division of The Dreyfus
Corporation. BNY Mellon Investment Management EMEA Limited, BNY MGM and any other
BNY Mellon entity mentioned are all ultimately ow ned by The Bank of New York Mellon
Corporation. The Fund is a sub-fund of BNY Mellon Global Funds, plc, an open-ended investment company w ith variable capital (ICVC), w ith segregated liability betw een sub-funds.
Incorporated w ith limited liability under the law s of Ireland and authorised by the Central Bank
of Ireland as a UCITS Fund. The Management Company is BNY Mellon Global Management
Limited (BNY MGM), approved and regulated by the Central Bank of Ireland. Registered
address: 33 Sir John Rogerson’s Quay, Dublin 2, Ireland.
In France, the Fund received an authorisation for marketing from the AMF. Before subscribing,
please read the most recent Prospectus and latest f inancial reports. The KIID, Prospectus,
articles and latest annual report related to [the Fund/s] are freely available upon request to BNP
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Paribas Securities Services, 3 rue d'Antin, 75002 Paris, tél: 00 33 1 42 98 10 00.
In Austria, the current Prospectus and the Key Investor Information Document are available
free of charge from Raiffeisen Zentralbank Österreich Aktiengesellschaft, Am Stadtpark 9, A-
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FINMA, in German, and further information free of charge from the Sw iss representative.
In Germany, the prospectus is available from BNY Mellon Investment Management EMEA
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Issued in UK and Europe (excluding Switzerland) by BNYMIM EMEA, BNY Mellon Centre,
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