Nuclear Energy— A means to ensure energy security and socio-economic

development of Bangladesh

-Abid ImtiazNSSSD

Bangladesh Atomic Energy Commission

INPRO Dialogue Forum 11 “Roadmaps for a Transition to Globally Sustainable Nuclear Energy Systems”

20-23 Oct., 2015IAEA HQ, VIC, Vienna, Austria

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Bangladesh- Basic Info.• Area: 147,570 sq. km

• Population: ~160 million

• Per capita income: 1,314 US$

• GDP growth: ~6%

• Energy Consumption: Total: 230KgOE Electricity: 320 kWh per capita

• Access to electricity: ~50%

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GDP growth comparison

Source: The World Bank

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Electricity generation scenario

Furnace Oil 20%

Nat. Gas 63%

Hudro 2%

Import 5%

Coal 2%

Diesel 8%

Fuel Type MW

Diesel 854

Coal 250

Hydro 230

Gas 6651

Oil 2133

Import 500

Total 10618

*As on August 2014. Source: BPDB

MW

0

4000

8000

12000

Aug., 2014

4,738

5,880

Public Pivate

45%

55%4

Energy Resources and Policy

Fuel Type 2012 2030

Gas 67.21% 25%

Oil 22.33 % 5%

Domestic Coal 5.52 % 30%

Imported Coal 2.58 % 20%

Renewable + Cross Border 2.35 % 10%

Nuclear 0% 10%

Total Installed Capacity (MW) 8,525 38,685

Natural Gas: 7 Companies: 3 National, 4 Foreign25 Gas Fields: Daily Avg. Prod. 2.0697 BCF [~Jul. 2014]Proven Reserve: 20.84 TCFUltimate Recoverable Reserve: 50-100 TCF

Coal: 2 mine are in operation to extract 1 million tones of coal and 1.65 million tones of graniteEst. Coal Deposit 390 MMTEst. Granite Deposit 174 MMT

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Power System Master Plan 2010-2030

•Continual “Encouraging Energy Efficiency” will be necessary, but not sufficient ! •Domestic Reserve (Gas & Coal) will not be enough. •Should look for economic alternative for Fossil oil based IC Engines•Gas should be prioritizing in petrochemical and fertilizer industries

Resource Gap! Options: Imported Coal, LNG, Cross border import, Renewable Sources

and Nuclear Power (1000 MWe scale)

Present Generation: 6500MW (demand 8700 MW), by 2015– 8500 MWVision 2021: Universal Electrification: 20000 MW, by 2030– 33500 MW

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Power System Master Plan 2010

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Source: PSMP Study Team

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RNPP- 1st NPP

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Strategic location of RNPP

Power System Master Plan 2010

To actively develop domestic primary energy resources

To maintain domestic primary energy supply over 50%

To deal with Bangladesh’s rapid economic growth and the accompanying increase of electric power, there is an urgent need to secure a source of energy that is essential to the economy and stability. The active development of domestic primary energy resources is the best and realistic way to supply energy resources. The main domestic primary energy resources are domestic natural gas and domestic coal. As shown in Fig. 2-2, domestic coal has been unevenly distributed in the Western part of Bangladesh, while natural gas is located in the Eastern area. As shown in Fig. 2-3 and Fig. 2-4, domestic gas supply will be expected to decrease in the near future, while domestic coal supply will increase. In the event that fuel diversification advances during the later years, the Master Plan aims to acquire a 25% share of domestic coal and a 20 percent share of domestic natural gas, and a 5% share of national hydropower and renewable energy, thus ensuring the self-sufficiency of the primary energy resource to be over 50 percent by Year 2030.

Source: PSMP Study Team

Fig. 2-2 Domestic coal and natural gas production area

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History of NPP in Bangladesh

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History of NPP in Bangladesh…

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History of NPP in Bangladesh…

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History of NPP in Bangladesh…

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National position on Nuclear Energy

! The rising expectation of introduction of nuclear power is a reality for Bangladesh

! Bangladesh is committed for addition of 2000 MW(e) Nuclear Capacity by 2021 (the Vision 2021; the Perspective Plan of Bangladesh; the Revised National Energy Policy)

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Advantages

• fuel diversification

• competitive resource

• quality power supply

• access to electricity for all (industry, agriculture, domestic)

• less sensitive to fuel market

• low interest credit

• political commitment and public acceptance

• supports from local community (site area)

• human resource

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• public perception may change

• infrastructure issues

• political instability

• only one site

• grid development

Disadvantages/Challanges

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2nd Nuclear Power Plant Project!

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Conclusion

• Country needs power

• Energy diversification is necessary

• Expanding economy

• Culture for safety and security must be cultivated in the society for ensuring safety of people and the environment and security of NMs.

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