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Opportunities & Challenges Using Passively Collected Data In Travel Demand Modeling 15 th TRB Transportation Planning Applications Conference Atlantic City, NJ May 19, 2015 Andy Mullins Ipek Sener, PhD Rich Lee Texas A&M Transportation Institute

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Page 1: Opportunities & Challenges Using Passively Collected Data In Travel Demand Modeling 15 th TRB Transportation Planning Applications Conference Atlantic

Opportunities & Challenges Using Passively Collected Data

In Travel Demand Modeling

15th TRB Transportation Planning Applications ConferenceAtlantic City, NJMay 19, 2015

Andy MullinsIpek Sener, PhD

Rich LeeTexas A&M Transportation Institute

Page 2: Opportunities & Challenges Using Passively Collected Data In Travel Demand Modeling 15 th TRB Transportation Planning Applications Conference Atlantic

Overview

• Project background• Data Types & Use Review• Web survey results• Applications to Advance Use of Data• Conclusions

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Page 3: Opportunities & Challenges Using Passively Collected Data In Travel Demand Modeling 15 th TRB Transportation Planning Applications Conference Atlantic

Project Background

• Passive data used roadway operations monitoring

• Stand-alone GPS units used for supplements to personal travel surveys.

• Mobile phones and particularly smart phones have enhanced supplemental use.

• Instances of replacement of some forms of travel surveying – like external or corridor. 3

Page 4: Opportunities & Challenges Using Passively Collected Data In Travel Demand Modeling 15 th TRB Transportation Planning Applications Conference Atlantic

Project Background

• Barriers to wider use of data in model development?

• Replacement for traditional data in model development?

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Page 5: Opportunities & Challenges Using Passively Collected Data In Travel Demand Modeling 15 th TRB Transportation Planning Applications Conference Atlantic

Data Types & Uses

Cell Data• Identified efforts directed toward applications

in:– Model calibration– Route choice modeling– Trip distribution modeling– Activity-based modeling

• Numerous sub-regional/corridor applications 5

Page 6: Opportunities & Challenges Using Passively Collected Data In Travel Demand Modeling 15 th TRB Transportation Planning Applications Conference Atlantic

Data Types & Uses

Cell Data• Sub-regional/corridor applications examples– Trip length– District-to-district flows– Highway traffic volume

• Generally comparable

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Page 7: Opportunities & Challenges Using Passively Collected Data In Travel Demand Modeling 15 th TRB Transportation Planning Applications Conference Atlantic

Data Types & Uses

GPS• Supplement to traditional travel survey– Improve accuracy of diaries

• External data sets– Transit & truck event-driven data

• GPS-only surveys

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Page 8: Opportunities & Challenges Using Passively Collected Data In Travel Demand Modeling 15 th TRB Transportation Planning Applications Conference Atlantic

Data Types & Uses

GPS - Smartphones• Research in use of other on-board technology

with GPS– Mode detection– Purpose imputation

• App-based data collection– Specific use apps– Passive? 8

Page 9: Opportunities & Challenges Using Passively Collected Data In Travel Demand Modeling 15 th TRB Transportation Planning Applications Conference Atlantic

Data Types & Uses

Bluetooth• Initially small geographies & single corridors– Travel times

• Expanded use– Travel times– O/D matrix estimation– Route choice– Mode detection 9

Page 10: Opportunities & Challenges Using Passively Collected Data In Travel Demand Modeling 15 th TRB Transportation Planning Applications Conference Atlantic

Data Types & UsesBluetooth• Considerations– Scale– Infrastructure dependent

Other Technologies• Social Networking Data• Smart Card Data

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Page 11: Opportunities & Challenges Using Passively Collected Data In Travel Demand Modeling 15 th TRB Transportation Planning Applications Conference Atlantic

Data Uses - Summary• Integration of with traditionally collected data• Hybrid approaches attractive• Key challenges to wider use– Data fusion– Margins of error/sample bias– Data processing standardization

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Page 12: Opportunities & Challenges Using Passively Collected Data In Travel Demand Modeling 15 th TRB Transportation Planning Applications Conference Atlantic

Survey of Use of Passively Collected Data

MPOs and Model Practitioners• Region Characteristics• Use of survey data• Why/how used passive data used• Type of passive data used• Concerns about passive data• Data merging/imputation

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Page 13: Opportunities & Challenges Using Passively Collected Data In Travel Demand Modeling 15 th TRB Transportation Planning Applications Conference Atlantic

Survey of Use of Passively Collected Data

Follow-up for details on• Use of passively-collected data• Model accommodation of passive data• Comparisons to other data sources

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Page 14: Opportunities & Challenges Using Passively Collected Data In Travel Demand Modeling 15 th TRB Transportation Planning Applications Conference Atlantic

Use of Travel Survey Data

No travel survey data

Traditional survey only

Passively collected survey only

Combination

0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50

6(~8%)

0

48(~61%)

24(~31%)

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Page 15: Opportunities & Challenges Using Passively Collected Data In Travel Demand Modeling 15 th TRB Transportation Planning Applications Conference Atlantic

Passively Collected Travel Survey Data – Type

Individual External Freight/Commercial

Speed/Travel time

Transit0123456789

10

5

3 3

7

0

9

7

2

5

0

9

2 2

5

2

BluetoothCellGPS

15

Page 16: Opportunities & Challenges Using Passively Collected Data In Travel Demand Modeling 15 th TRB Transportation Planning Applications Conference Atlantic

Passively Collected Travel Survey Data– Use in Travel Modeling

Other

Estimation of model components

Validation of model outputs

Benchmark to model outputs

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8

1(~5%)

8(~38%)

7(~33%)

5 (~24%)

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Page 17: Opportunities & Challenges Using Passively Collected Data In Travel Demand Modeling 15 th TRB Transportation Planning Applications Conference Atlantic

Passively Collected Travel Survey Data– Reasons/concerns for not to use

048

121620

13

5

19 20

11

18

711

17

Page 18: Opportunities & Challenges Using Passively Collected Data In Travel Demand Modeling 15 th TRB Transportation Planning Applications Conference Atlantic

Passively Collected Travel Survey Data– Should provide the same info?

(20%)

(80%)

YesNo

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Page 19: Opportunities & Challenges Using Passively Collected Data In Travel Demand Modeling 15 th TRB Transportation Planning Applications Conference Atlantic

Passively Collected Travel Survey Data– Should provide the same info?

YesNo

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BiasContentClear accuracy informationNeed secondary data

Page 20: Opportunities & Challenges Using Passively Collected Data In Travel Demand Modeling 15 th TRB Transportation Planning Applications Conference Atlantic

Passively Collected Travel Survey Data– Should provide the same info?

YesNo

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Additional data worth data lossSupplemental useChange to model development process

Page 21: Opportunities & Challenges Using Passively Collected Data In Travel Demand Modeling 15 th TRB Transportation Planning Applications Conference Atlantic

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Future Efforts

• Evaluate data content– Full or partial trips– Trip Chaining– Origin, Destination, Route, Mode Precision

• Data Characteristics– Evaluation of sampling bias– Data expansion

Page 22: Opportunities & Challenges Using Passively Collected Data In Travel Demand Modeling 15 th TRB Transportation Planning Applications Conference Atlantic

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Future Efforts

• Demonstrated use– Case studies– Proofs-of-concept– Small implementations

• Atypical demand• Supplemental vs. exclusive use• Continuous data collection

Page 23: Opportunities & Challenges Using Passively Collected Data In Travel Demand Modeling 15 th TRB Transportation Planning Applications Conference Atlantic

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Conclusions

• Passive data collection methods– Technology influences uses– Limitations of use

• Uses in modeling– Modeling of trip patterns, lengths, times– Mostly supplement traditional surveys– Hybrid uses– Some exclusive use as source for model

development

Page 24: Opportunities & Challenges Using Passively Collected Data In Travel Demand Modeling 15 th TRB Transportation Planning Applications Conference Atlantic

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Conclusions

• Increased Use through applications that– Evaluate data• Traditional data substitute• Data linkage and fusion• Establish traditional survey data statistics

• Potential enhancements by data collectors• Potential direct access to data

Page 25: Opportunities & Challenges Using Passively Collected Data In Travel Demand Modeling 15 th TRB Transportation Planning Applications Conference Atlantic

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Conclusions

• Increased Use through applications that– Capitalize on inherent advantages• Amount and variety• Elements of a continuous source

– Non-traditional demand modeling– Evaluate use in forecasting contexts– Alternative model development methods

Page 26: Opportunities & Challenges Using Passively Collected Data In Travel Demand Modeling 15 th TRB Transportation Planning Applications Conference Atlantic

Thank You