overview: mining in nwt & nunavut mining in nwt & nunavut global challenges, regional...
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Overview: Mining in NWT & NunavutGlobal Challenges, Regional Solutions
To: 2015 PNWER Economic Leadership Forum #5: Mining By: Tom Hoefer, Executive Director, NWT & Nunavut Chamber of Mines
November 17, 2015
2
Key Messages
• Mining is our economic advantage • Mining has been and is important to our economies• We have more opportunities before us• But, we face challenges • We are not victims – there are actions we can take
3
Mining is our economic advantage: GEOGRAPHY
Area of NWT + Nunavut = Norway, Sweden, Finland, Denmark, France, Germany, Poland, Spain, Portugal, Italy combined.
• Huge: 1/3 of Canada • Remote • Challenging Arctic
conditions & climate• Underdeveloped
infrastructure • Small population • Limited options for
farming, forestry, ranching, urban growth, manufacturing, etc.
NWT NUNAVUT
4
Mining is our economic advantage: GEOLOGY
• 8 geological provinces• Diverse mineralogy
– Gold, silver, diamonds, lead, zinc, uranium, tungsten, rare earths, cobalt, bismuth, nickel, copper, iron, etc.
• Under-mapped & remote means under-explored
• This equals tremendous mining opportunity
5
History of mining
• 1930s - Eldorado (uranium), Con, Negus, Rycon (gold)• 1940s - Giant, Thompson-Lundmark (gold) • 1950s - Rankin (nickel), Discovery (gold) • 1960s - Pine Point (zinc-lead), Cantung (tungsten) • 1970s - Nanisivik (zinc)• 1980s - Polaris (zinc-lead), Lupin, Cullaton Lake (gold) • 1990s - Colomac (gold), Ekati (diamonds) • 2000s - Diavik, Snap Lake, Jericho (diamonds)• 2010s - Meadowbank (gold), Mary River (iron)
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Historical mineral production – Over C$60 billion since 1932 –
Silver2%
Gold18%
Diamonds38%
Zinc30%
Tungsten3%
Lead8%
Uranium1%
Current & Past Producing Mines: Ekati • Diavik • Snap Lake • Meadowbank • Con • Giant • Lupin • Polaris • Nanisivik • Pine Point • Cantung • Discovery • Rankin Nickel • Rayrock • Outpost Island • Supercrest • Eldorado • Ruth • Terra • Norex • Silver Bay • Colomac • Tundra • Camlaren • Contact Lake • Ptarmigan • Tom • Mon • Cullaton Lake • Salmita • Hope Bay • Negus • Thompson-Lundmark • Rich • El Bonanza • Rycon • Bullmoose
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Diamonds – we are world leaders today
• The Northwest Territories by itself is the world’s 3rd
most valuable diamond producer
Russia26%
Botswana25%
Canada14%
Angola 9%
South Africa8%
Others 18%
Value of Global Diamond Production 2014
8
Mining has contributed legacy infrastructure
• Communities: Yellowknife, Rankin Inlet • Roads to Resources, eg: highways to
Yellowknife, Pine Point & Ft. Resolution• Railway (to Hay River & Pine Point)• All 3 NWT hydro-electric facilities • Marine shipping & ports• Microwave communications
9
Today, mineral production is from 6 mines
Ekati (diamonds)
Diavik (diamonds)
Snap Lake (diamonds)
Cantung (tungsten)Meadowbank (gold)
Mary River (iron)
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Our mines create huge value
• NWT: Diamonds are the most significant contributor with lesser tungsten & copper • NU: Gold is the most significant, with some silver (iron will come in 2015)
NWT, Nunavut and Yukon Mining Production
$653 $682$779
$874
$1,667
$2,112
$1,790
$1,638
$1,831
$2,123
$1,507
$2,045$2,140
$1,725$1,659.29
$1,886
$349 $385$321 $272
$35 $35 $4 $32 $35 $13 $0
$317$427
$614 $629.04 $642
$0
$500
$1,000
$1,500
$2,000
$2,500
19992000
20012002
20032004
20052006
20072008
20092010
20112012
2013
2014(p)
$C M
illio
ns
NWTNunavutYukon
Natural Resources Canada – March 2015
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Our mines create people & business success
• 22,000 person years northern mine employment – Today over 1,400 workers, 50% Aboriginal – Mining – largest employer of Aboriginal people
• Over $11 billion in northern business – $5 billion with Aboriginal businesses
• $100 million plus to communities in IBA payments, scholarships, donations
(Note: NWT diamonds example … Nunavut benefits similar)
www.miningnorth.com
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Our mines pay significant taxes
Diamond Mining Taxes
$0
$100
$200
$300
$400
$500
$600
$700
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
$C m
illio
ns
Mining royalties
NWT Corporate Taxes
Federal Corporate Taxes
•Source: GNWT – ITI Economic Model
• AND THAT’S NOT ALL! • ALSO PAYROLL, INCOME, FUEL, & PROPERTY TAXES!
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Aboriginal governments receive royalties, too
• NWT: Over $39 million in diamond resource royalties have been shared with settled Aboriginal claimants. Even more royalties are now being shared under NWT devolution arrangement.
• Nunavut: Inuit are collecting royalties from their own private lands. They are the largest private land holder in the world.
$0
$1,000
$2,000
$3,000
$4,000
$5,000
$6,000
$7,000
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
$C ('
000s
)
Tlicho Government
Sahtu Dene Council
Gwich’in Tribal Council
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Mining – largest private sector contributor
• Mining’s contributions are even larger with spending in other sectors of the economy, eg, construction, transportation, real estate, trade, etc.
Mining18%
Construction12%
Real Estate11%
Public Admin22%
Education 7%
Health5%
Other25%
NUNAVUT GDP (2014)
Mining, Oil & Gas25%
Construction 13%
Transportation 7%Trade
9%
Real Estate 11%
Education4%
Health & Social6%
Public Admin15%
Other 10%
NWT GDP (2014)
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Mine lives are variable
1997 2000 2003 2006 2009 2012 2015 2018 2021 2024 2027 2030 2033 2036
Ekati
Diavik
Snap Lake
Gahcho Kué
Cantung
Meadowbank
Mary River
NWT & Nunavut Mine Lives
• Mines don’t last forever• To sustain and grow mining benefits, we must protect and attract investment
?
??
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Real NWT opportunity: Gahcho Kué diamond mine
• World’s largest and richest new diamond project– Capital cost $859 million– 700 construction workers – 400 operations workers– Operating costs $218m annually for 12 year mine life
• On plan and budget for first production H2 2016– October 2015, construction over 70% complete– De Beers 51%, Mountain Province 49%
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Real NWT opportunity : more robust Diavik mine
• US$350 million to develop A21 deposit over 4 years• Diamond production planned for late 2018• Does not increase mine life of 2023
– But makes operation stronger to end of mine – Brings construction jobs and business spending
Diavik owners have approved a US$350 million investment to mine its fourth kimberlite pipe, an orebody called A21, shown at far left, using similar dike technology as shown around the A418 and A154 pipes. Courtesy Diavik Diamond Mines Inc.
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Real NU opportunity: Hope Bay gold mine
• Construction underway • Production from first of 3 deposits in H2 2016 • TMAC Resources
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Potential Opportunities – advanced deposits
Hope Bay(gold)
High Lake(base metals)
Meliadine(gold)
Hackett River (base metals)
Kiggavik(uranium)
Ulu(gold)
Selwyn(base metals)
Prairie Creek (base metals, silver)
Gahcho Kue(diamonds)
Nechalacho(rare earths)
YK Gold (gold)
NICO(gold, cobalt, bismuth)
Pine Point (base metals)
Courageous(gold)
Back River(gold)
Izok(base metals)
Lupin(gold) Jericho
(diamonds)
Angilak(uranium)
Chidliak(diamonds)
Indin Lake(gold)
Mactung(tungsten)
Three Bluffs(gold)
Amaruq(gold)
Ekati-Jay(diamonds) Roche Bay
(iron)
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Hope Bay(gold)
High Lake(base metals)
Meliadine(gold)
Hackett River (base metals)
Kiggavik(uranium)
Ulu(gold)
Selwyn(base metals)
Prairie Creek (base metals, silver)
Gahcho Kue(diamonds)
Nechalacho(rare earths)
YK Gold (gold)
NICO(gold, cobalt, bismuth)
Pine Point (base metals)
Courageous(gold)
Back River(gold)
Izok(base metals)
Lupin(gold) Jericho
(diamonds)
Angilak(uranium)
Chidliak(diamonds)
Indin Lake(gold)
Mactung(tungsten)
Three Bluffs(gold)
Amaruq(gold)
Ekati-Jay(diamonds) Roche Bay
(iron)
Potential Opportunities – advanced deposits
THE OPTIMIST’S VIEWNWT:
• 1 diamond mine• 1 rare earth metal mine• 1 poly-metallic mine• 2 base metal mines
Nunavut: • 3 gold mines• 1 uranium mine• 1 base metal mine
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The “Chinese Hangover” – price challenges
$0
$20
$40
$60
$80
$100
$120
$140
$160
$180
$200
Apr-00 Apr-02 Apr-04 Apr-06 Apr-08 Apr-10 Apr-12 Apr-14
US$
per
dry
met
ric to
nne
Iron Ore Price, 200-2015 Tungsten Price, 2010-2015
Zinc price
Uranium price
Gold price
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Exploration Financing Challenges – Global
Exploration Financing challenges, Canada too
$0
$2,000
$4,000
$6,000
$8,000
$10,000
$12,000
$14,000
$16,000
$18,000
$20,000
1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
Valu
e of
Fin
anci
ngs (
$mill
ions
)
Year
Value of Junior Company Financings - Exploration StageProposed/Arranged ($millions)
Debt Financing (mil$)
Flow-Thru Financing (mil$)
Equity (non-FT) Financing (mil$)
Source: Gamah International
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All is not lost, though …
“This too shall pass!” History tells us that the markets will improve again.
One reality of the market place that we know
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We can’t change the marketplace, but … we can change ourselves
… take actions now to be ready for the market rise.
26
We have some control of our fate
• Yukon and NU exploration investment followed the markets • NWT Exploration spending was out of synch = means self-inflicted
$0
$100
$200
$300
$400
$500
$600
1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
$C M
illio
ns
Exploration & Deposit Appraisal Expenditures
NWTNunavutYukon
NRCan – Sept 2015
27
We have some control of our fate
• Yukon and NU exploration investment followed the markets • NWT Exploration spending was out of synch = means self-inflicted
$0
$100
$200
$300
$400
$500
$600
1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
$C M
illio
ns
Exploration & Deposit Appraisal Expenditures
NWTNunavutYukon
NRCan – Sept 2015
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Strategic action plans for mining
• NWT Mineral Strategy – 2013 – To prepare for devolution
• Strengthen mining, • Rejuvenate exploration• Support northern jobs, business
and taxes
• Some good actions to date, but … – Government needs to do more
• NU Mineral Strategy – 2007 – To create conditions for a strong and
sustainable minerals industry that contributes to quality of life for all
– Economy will depend on development of resources
• Strategy needs rejuvenation• Devolution is coming …
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Taking action to enhance investment
• Invest in infrastructure – “Level the Playing Field”• Increase certainty with regulatory improvement, eg:
– Do not proceed with regulatory cost recovery in the North – Exempt small projects from EA – MVRMA hair trigger
• Address land access uncertainty – Settle remaining Aboriginal Land Claims – Advance land use planning – Reduce growing protected/conservation areas
• Reduce the high northern cost of living • Create economic strategies that all departments support • Educate to increase public support for mining and our economy • Improve education outcomes and provide training• Have Public & Aboriginal gov’ts join in marketing to investors
www.miningnorth.com
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Conclusion
• Mining is proving its ability to create significant benefits for NWT and NU
• Exploration and mining are challenged by global and regional factors
• But there are actions we can take today to help our industry become even more beneficial and successful to our two Territories
Why it matters
Courtesy Diavik Diamond Mines Inc.