payments on the internet: the demand side presentation for the ecb conference „e-payments without...

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Payments on the internet: The demand side esentation for the ECB Conference „E-payments without frontie Dr. Malte Krueger University of Karlsruhe and PaySys Consultancy GmbH Karlsruhe, 10 November 2004

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Page 1: Payments on the internet: The demand side Presentation for the ECB Conference „E-payments without frontiers“ Dr. Malte Krueger University of Karlsruhe

Payments on the internet: The demand side

Presentation for the ECB Conference „E-payments without frontiers“

Dr. Malte Krueger

University of Karlsruhe and PaySys Consultancy GmbH

Karlsruhe, 10 November 2004

Page 2: Payments on the internet: The demand side Presentation for the ECB Conference „E-payments without frontiers“ Dr. Malte Krueger University of Karlsruhe

Introduction

„Guiding questions“:

Size of demand and main determinants

„Payments on the internet: the demand side“

Differences across Europe

Convergence of needs

Dr. Malte Krueger: The demand side

Need for pan-European surveys

Page 3: Payments on the internet: The demand side Presentation for the ECB Conference „E-payments without frontiers“ Dr. Malte Krueger University of Karlsruhe

What are we looking at?

Dr. Malte Krueger: The demand side

Internet payment systems

= electronic payments systems intended to facilitate payments in e/m-commerce

Page 4: Payments on the internet: The demand side Presentation for the ECB Conference „E-payments without frontiers“ Dr. Malte Krueger University of Karlsruhe

How big is the demand for internet payment systems?

A short answer:

Smaller than you might think!

Impossible to provide a reliable estimate of thevolume of internet payments

A look at e-commerce in „real goods“= „extended moto“ model

Moto has been flourishing without internet payments

Adding a new distribution channel should notfundamentally change this

Dr. Malte Krueger: The demand side

C2B Payments

Page 5: Payments on the internet: The demand side Presentation for the ECB Conference „E-payments without frontiers“ Dr. Malte Krueger University of Karlsruhe

How large is the demand for internet payment systems?

A driver of demand for internet payment systems?

E-commerce in digital goods

Well, at the moment …

Dr. Malte Krueger: The demand side

Advertising95% Per Click

and Subs.5%

Advertising66% “Per Click”

and Subs.33%

Revenue from print media

Revenue from digital content on the internet

Germany 2002

Page 6: Payments on the internet: The demand side Presentation for the ECB Conference „E-payments without frontiers“ Dr. Malte Krueger University of Karlsruhe

Big demand in some countries(if the only alternatives are cash and cheques)

C2C Payments

Little in others(if there are effcient giro systems)

Dr. Malte Krueger: The demand side

How large is the demand for internet payment systems?

Page 7: Payments on the internet: The demand side Presentation for the ECB Conference „E-payments without frontiers“ Dr. Malte Krueger University of Karlsruhe

Differences across Europe

Evidence regarding e-commerce

Do critical demand-shaping factors differ?

Dr. Malte Krueger: The demand side

Source EEIGSource EEIG

EU15 citizens who have purchased on the internet(% in 2003)

Page 8: Payments on the internet: The demand side Presentation for the ECB Conference „E-payments without frontiers“ Dr. Malte Krueger University of Karlsruhe

Differences across Europe

No systematic EU-wide study of internet payments

Do critical demand-shaping factors differ?

Dr. Malte Krueger: The demand side

Credit Card

Debit Giro transfer

Cash upon del.

Belgium 50 33 9

Denmark 10 90

Germany 11 24 27 15

Netherl. 26 23 4

UK 60 30

Sources: BIS, ECR, insites, own estimates

Use of various payment methods on the internet (in %)

Page 9: Payments on the internet: The demand side Presentation for the ECB Conference „E-payments without frontiers“ Dr. Malte Krueger University of Karlsruhe

IZV: Survey of Consumer Payments on the Internet

Dr. Malte Krueger: The demand side

Carried annually – starting 1998 2004: 7th survey with 13.186 usable responses

Open www-survey

So far: confined to Germany 2005: Austria will be included + possibly, other countries 59 questions covering:

Activity on the internet

Purchase of „real“ goods on the internet Purchase of digital goods on the internet Questions about specific internet payment methods Ways to improve payment methods Personal data

Page 10: Payments on the internet: The demand side Presentation for the ECB Conference „E-payments without frontiers“ Dr. Malte Krueger University of Karlsruhe

IZV: Survey of Consumer Payments on the Internet

Dr. Malte Krueger: The demand side

A quick sketch of our results

Payment methods used on the internet

N = (10.405-10.914) % of respondents

Mobile Phone 3,3

Prepaid Systems 22,6

Billingsystems 54,9

Credit Card 62,4

e-mail 14,4

Online-Debit 70,3

Online-(Giro-)Transfer 79,0

Paperbased Debit 40,6

Paper based (Giro-)Transfer 53,3

Cash upon Delivery 63,8

Respondents could name more than one method

Page 11: Payments on the internet: The demand side Presentation for the ECB Conference „E-payments without frontiers“ Dr. Malte Krueger University of Karlsruhe

IZV: Survey of Consumer Payments on the Internet

Dr. Malte Krueger: The demand side

Why have you never bought real goods on the internet?

N = 2.130 % of respondents

No suitable payment method 12,1

Respondents were asked to name the three most important factors

Why have you never bought digital goods on the internet?

N = 3845 % of respondents

No suitable payment method

Respondents were asked to name the three most important factors

13,4

Page 12: Payments on the internet: The demand side Presentation for the ECB Conference „E-payments without frontiers“ Dr. Malte Krueger University of Karlsruhe

IZV: Survey of Consumer Payments on the Internet

Dr. Malte Krueger: The demand side

 

 

 

Up to what amount would you be prepared phone?

to pay with your mobile

N = 279 % of respondents

Up to 50 € 100,0

Up to 25 Euro 83,5

Up to 50 Euro 62,7

Up to 200 Euro 31,5

More than 200 Euro 16,1

Page 13: Payments on the internet: The demand side Presentation for the ECB Conference „E-payments without frontiers“ Dr. Malte Krueger University of Karlsruhe

IZV: Survey of Consumer Payments on the Internet

Dr. Malte Krueger: The demand side

 

 

 

Whom do you trust?

N = 9.341 % of respondents

Credit Card Companies

Banks

Telcos

Internet Service Providers

ISOs

No preference 10,9

12,2

17,1

14,0

84,4

59,0

Page 14: Payments on the internet: The demand side Presentation for the ECB Conference „E-payments without frontiers“ Dr. Malte Krueger University of Karlsruhe

PaySys Consultancy GmbHIm Uhrig 7D-60433 Frankfurt am MainTel.: +49 69 95 11 77 -12E-Mail: [email protected]: www.paysys.de

Thank you!

Universität Karlsruhe (TH)IWW, Sektion Geld und Währung Postfach 69 80 D-76128 KarlsruheTel.: +49 721 608-6329E-Mail: [email protected]: http://www.iww.uni-karlsruhe.de/

Dr. Malte Krüger

PaySys is German member of the Euro-pean Payments Consulting Association

Dr. Malte Krueger: The demand side

A summary of the IZV7 results can be found underhttp://www.iww.uni-karlsruhe.de/IZV