poll on issues related to scottish independence€¦ · poll on issues related to scottish...

POLL ON ISSUES RELATED TO SCOTTISH INDEPENDENCE

As the leading supplier of opinion polls within Scotland for over 30 years, TNS will be

publishing regular polling in the run-up to the Scottish Independence referendum on 18th

September 2014, using the exact wording which will feature on the ballot paper for the

referendum vote.

TNS conducted one of this series of voting intention polls between 3rd and 10th January 2014.

In the same survey, TNS was commissioned by BBC Scotland to ask additional questions

about the issues which are likely to be of most importance to voters when thinking about how

to vote in the Scottish Independence referendum on 18th September 2014 (Q2a-Q2c in this set

of data tables).

The results of these questions were included in the BBC documentary “Scotland’s Top Ten

Battlegrounds”, broadcast on 11th February 2014. Respondents were presented with a list of

10 issues, and the ranking of these issues used in the documentary was based on a mean

score calculation of the number of respondents rating each issue as most, second most or

third most important to them in how they might vote.

TNS UK is a member of the British Polling Council (BPC) and abides by its rules. We also

operate within the Code of Conduct of the Market Research Society (MRS). In accordance with

these rules the following information is provided:

Sample size 1,008

Sampling points 54 Scottish parliament constituencies

Fieldwork dates 3rd – 10th January 2014

Interview method Face-to-face, in-home CAPI

Population sampled All adults aged 16+ in Scotland

Sampling method The poll was conducted through our Omnibus, Scottish Opinion Survey. For this survey, sampling points are selected to be representative of Scotland demographically and geographically. Within each sampling point, a quota sampling method is used for respondent selection.

Data weighting Data is weighted to the profile of all adults aged 16+ in Scotland, based on population profile estimates from the BARB (Broadcasters’ Audience Research Board) Establishment Report 2011, Mid year population estimates 2011 and the 2001 Census. Weighting is carried out in relation to working status within gender, age, social grade and electoral region. Data is also weighted by recalled vote to match turnout and share of constituency vote from the 2011 Holyrood election, as recorded in SPICe Briefing 11-29 2011 Scottish Parliament Election Results. Unweighted and weighted bases are shown at the top of each data table.

Questions The data tables show the question wording in full

Further enquiries [email protected]

Page Table Title Base Description Base

1 1 Q1. There will be a referendum on Scottish Independence on the 18th of September 2014. How do you intend to vote in response to the question: Should Scotland be an independent country?

BASE: All adults aged 16+ in Scotland 1008

4 2 Q2a. Looking at the list below which, if any, of these topics would you say is most important to you in deciding how you might vote in the referendum? BASE: All adults aged 16+ in Scotland 1008

7 3 Q2b. And which would you say is second most important to you in deciding how you might vote in the referendum? BASE: All adults aged 16+ in Scotland 1008

10 4 Q2c. And which would you say is third most important to you in deciding how you might vote in the referendum? BASE: All adults aged 16+ in Scotland 1008

13 5 Q2a-Q2c. Summary table: Importance of topics in deciding how you might vote in the referendum BASE: All adults aged 16+ in Scotland 1008

14 6 Q2a-Q2c. Summary table: Importance of topics in deciding how you might vote in the referendum: Total Most or Second Most Important BASE: All adults aged 16+ in Scotland 1008

17 7 Q2a-Q2c. Summary table: Importance of topics in deciding how you might vote in the referendum: Total Most, Second or Third Most Important BASE: All adults aged 16+ in Scotland 1008

20 8 Q2a-Q2c. Summary Table: Importance of Economy in deciding how you might vote in the referendum. BASE: All adults aged 16+ in Scotland 1008

23 9 Q2a-Q2c. Summary Table: Importance of Currency in deciding how you might vote in the referendum. BASE: All adults aged 16+ in Scotland 1008

26 10 Q2a-Q2c. Summary Table: Importance of Pensions in deciding how you might vote in the referendum. BASE: All adults aged 16+ in Scotland 1008

29 11 Q2a-Q2c. Summary Table: Importance of Scotland's relationship with rest of the UK in deciding how you might vote in the referendum. BASE: All adults aged 16+ in Scotland 1008

32 12 Q2a-Q2c. Summary Table: Importance of Scotland's relationship with EU in deciding how you might vote in the referendum. BASE: All adults aged 16+ in Scotland 1008

35 13 Q2a-Q2c. Summary Table: Importance of Welfare in deciding how you might vote in the referendum. BASE: All adults aged 16+ in Scotland 1008

38 14 Q2a-Q2c. Summary Table: Importance of Defence in deciding how you might vote in the referendum. BASE: All adults aged 16+ in Scotland 1008

41 15 Q2a-Q2c. Summary Table: Importance of Immigration in deciding how you might vote in the referendum. BASE: All adults aged 16+ in Scotland 1008

Page Table Title Base Description Base

44 16 Q2a-Q2c. Summary Table: Importance of Energy in deciding how you might vote in the referendum. BASE: All adults aged 16+ in Scotland 1008

47 17 Q2a-Q2c. Summary Table: Importance of Broadcasting in deciding how you might vote in the referendum. BASE: All adults aged 16+ in Scotland 1008

50 18 Q2a-Q2c. Summary table: Importance of topics in deciding how you might vote in the referendum BASE: All adults aged 16+ in Scotland 1008

51 19 Q3. How likely do you think you are to vote in the referendum on Scottish Independence on the 18th of September 2014? BASE: All adults aged 16+ in Scotland 1008

54 20 Q4. The last Scottish Parliament election was held in May 2011. For which party did you vote for your constituency MSP in that election? BASE: All adults aged 16+ in Scotland 1008

SEGSEGAGESEXC2DEABC1DEC2C1AB55+35-5416-3465+55-6445-5435-4425-3416-24FemaleMaleTotal517491310207291200481296231320161150146140915474611008Unweighted base5055033012042862173603453032071531801641581455244841008Weighted base

147136984975618511682404559574537120163283Yes29%27%32%24%26%28%24%34%27%19%29%33%35%28%26%23%34%28%

18923291971281041761331131116572605162220200421No37%46%30%48%45%48%49%38%37%54%42%40%37%32%43%42%41%42%

1701341125883519996109564349476346184120304Don't know34%27%37%28%29%24%28%28%36%27%28%27%29%40%32%35%25%30%

Page 1SCOTTISH OPINION SURVEY - INDEPENDENCE : Early January 2014 : JN114901

Table 1Q1. There will be a referendum on Scottish Independence on the 18th of September 2014.

How do you intend to vote in response to the question:Should Scotland be an independent country?

BASE: All adults aged 16+ in Scotland

Prepared by TNS UKFieldwork : 3rd January 2014 - 10th January 2014

REFERENDUM VOTINGINTENTIONAREAAREA

Don'tMid &NorthEast/knowNoYesSouthWestGlasgowCentralLothiansFifeEastH&INorthSouthWestTotal2914552621581121271261021231451152413344331008Unweighted base304421283131131131141131131131811983614491008Weighted base

--28331404943233437265880146283Yes--100%24%31%38%31%17%26%28%32%29%22%32%28%

-421-655248615947632586153182421No-100%-49%40%37%44%45%36%48%32%43%42%41%42%

304--353934365050312954128122304Don't know100%--27%30%26%26%38%38%24%36%27%36%27%30%






VOTE IN 2011LIKELIHOOD OF VOTINGNot

certain /NotCertaiCertai

DidCan'tverycertain notNotn/verynotremembLibConserlikelyntoveryQuiteVeryCertailikelyvoteerOtherSNPDemLabourvative(Net)(Net)votelikelylikelylikelyn(Net)Total2701171422058253761753053361811307038331008Unweighted base360139623140161702013414168921406678071008Weighted base

8623113852632357471235225260283Yes24%17%25%60%13%16%4%11%17%9%10%14%25%34%32%28%

142592312998607112716262956293349421No39%42%40%13%72%61%86%36%37%40%38%32%40%44%43%42%

13257262637710715621365050148198304Don't know37%41%35%27%15%23%10%53%46%52%52%54%35%22%24%30%







12619469571088675133112393661726151162158320Economy25%38%23%28%38%40%21%39%37%19%23%34%44%38%35%31%33%32%

2718141212712161784124125182645Currency5%4%5%6%4%3%3%5%5%4%3%7%2%7%3%4%5%4%

68484127351371301546252010786749116Pensions13%10%13%13%12%6%20%9%5%22%16%11%6%4%5%13%10%11%

405421202628333129211220111614484694Scotland's relationship8%11%7%10%9%13%9%9%10%10%8%11%7%10%10%9%9%9%with rest of the UK

252315109131513207894316202747Scotland's relationship5%4%5%5%3%6%4%4%7%3%5%5%2%2%11%4%6%5%with EU

5131381317141939258112217178493382Welfare10%6%13%6%6%6%5%11%8%4%7%12%10%11%5%9%7%8%

232413918624101211135539242246Defence4%5%4%4%6%3%7%3%4%6%9%3%3%2%6%5%5%5%

40182713711151528785101513312758Immigration8%4%9%6%2%5%4%4%9%3%5%3%6%9%9%6%5%6%

221215784141281133853181634Energy4%2%5%3%3%2%4%3%3%5%2%2%5%3%2%3%3%3%

36-36-1351-2131538Broadcasting1%1%-1%2%-*1%1%*-1%1%2%1%1%1%1%

474723252423602311342791483474894None9%9%8%12%8%10%17%7%4%16%17%5%8%5%2%9%10%9%

342926816131921231361291013342963Don't know7%6%9%4%5%6%5%6%8%6%4%7%5%6%9%7%6%6%


Table 2Q2a. Looking at the list below which, if any, of these topics would you say is most important to you in deciding how you might vote in the referendum?BASE: All adults aged 16+ in Scotland




841399733393955313755328292146320Economy27%33%34%25%29%29%39%23%28%42%40%41%25%32%32%

15161411751132326142545Currency5%4%5%8%5%4%8%3%2%3%3%3%4%6%4%

4244302282591613156204451116Pensions14%10%11%17%6%19%7%13%10%12%8%10%12%11%11%

225121147511238161025462494Scotland's relationship7%12%7%10%6%4%8%18%6%12%13%12%13%5%9%with rest of the UK

121917565399559211747Scotland's relationship4%4%6%4%5%4%2%7%7%4%7%5%6%4%5%with EU

26203612261110836611195282Welfare9%5%13%9%20%9%7%6%2%5%7%6%5%12%8%

102115648847547142646Defence3%5%5%4%3%6%6%3%5%4%5%4%4%6%5%

26151787109679312163058Immigration8%4%6%6%5%8%6%4%5%7%4%6%5%7%6%

915966622337891734Energy3%4%3%5%4%4%2%1%2%2%8%4%2%4%3%

423112-4-1-1448Broadcasting1%*1%1%1%1%-3%-1%-*1%1%1%

1759187171216530617414794None6%14%7%6%13%9%11%4%23%4%2%4%11%10%9%

39195534720137311411163Don't know13%5%2%4%2%3%5%15%10%6%4%6%11%2%6%







12241276144223531054192953215267320Economy34%29%34%33%34%26%32%26%31%11%28%31%37%32%33%32%

86114*107613--67323945Currency2%4%11%6%1%6%10%3%4%--6%5%5%5%4%

291812543082033-713128395116Pensions8%13%14%11%10%19%11%10%10%-11%14%9%12%12%11%

317119812161023-6413718494Scotland's relationship9%5%13%8%19%7%23%5%7%-9%4%10%11%10%9%with rest of the UK

175-1537171842-11304147Scotland's relationship5%3%-7%8%4%1%3%5%10%3%-8%4%5%5%with EU

3261254131192836109546382Welfare9%5%9%11%11%8%2%9%8%7%9%11%7%8%8%8%

195*12281610-254364046Defence5%3%4%5%4%5%1%3%3%-2%5%3%5%5%5%

268113181172867411314158Immigration7%6%15%6%3%5%1%8%8%13%10%5%8%5%5%6%

98-727110143434202434Energy2%6%-3%6%4%1%5%4%7%6%3%3%3%3%3%

32-3-1-44-12-558Broadcasting1%1%-1%-1%-2%1%-2%3%-1%1%1%

2722-161198162675411687994None8%16%-7%3%12%11%8%8%16%7%5%8%10%10%9%

3712-5-543440148126232963Don't know10%8%-2%-3%6%17%12%35%12%13%4%3%4%6%





6991363253384761522720322923298278160Economy14%18%12%16%18%18%13%18%17%13%13%18%17%15%20%16%16%16%

41462120262028302812161219208424587Currency8%9%7%10%9%9%8%9%9%6%10%7%11%12%5%8%9%9%

514529213214432924261719101114494796Pensions10%9%10%11%11%6%12%8%8%12%11%10%6%7%9%9%10%10%



5955431630253547312313242316155064114Welfare12%11%14%8%11%11%10%14%10%11%8%13%14%10%10%10%13%11%

283418102311212318156158126352762Defence6%7%6%5%8%5%6%7%6%7%4%8%5%8%4%7%6%6%

452228181572316281112971414373067Immigration9%4%9%9%5%3%6%5%9%5%8%5%4%9%10%7%6%7%

443426182311272327141311121710433578Energy9%7%9%9%8%5%8%7%9%7%8%6%7%11%7%8%7%8%

44323136-2151--548Broadcasting1%1%1%1%1%*1%2%-1%1%3%1%--1%1%1%

12111027495981323719423None2%2%3%1%3%2%2%2%3%4%1%2%1%2%5%4%1%2%

102462-4443122147512Don't know2%*1%3%1%-1%1%1%2%1%1%1%*3%1%1%1%

8276493340368044344733222218168177157Not stated16%15%16%16%14%16%22%13%11%23%21%12%14%11%11%15%16%16%


Table 3Q2b. And which would you say is second most important to you in deciding how you might vote in the referendum?BASE: All adults aged 16+ in Scotland




5059512119172428152115326166160Economy16%14%18%16%14%13%17%21%12%16%18%16%17%15%16%

2736231010161061120424253887Currency9%9%8%7%8%12%7%5%9%15%5%12%7%8%9%

244725231791510610716265496Pensions8%11%9%18%13%7%10%8%4%7%8%8%7%12%10%



3538411215221017141014214251114Welfare11%9%14%9%12%17%7%13%11%8%17%11%12%11%11%

153611784131067814202862Defence5%9%4%5%6%3%9%7%4%5%10%7%6%6%6%

1531221711101056549233667Immigration5%7%8%13%8%7%7%4%5%4%5%5%6%8%7%

2627251591075914823243178Energy8%6%9%11%7%8%5%4%7%11%10%11%7%7%8%

33311131-1-1358Broadcasting1%1%1%*1%1%2%1%-1%-*1%1%1%

11931585-42-241723None4%2%1%*4%6%3%-3%2%-1%1%4%2%

2643323-21-14812Don't know1%1%1%2%2%1%2%-1%1%-*1%2%1%

567824132016232444135188258157Not stated18%18%8%10%15%12%16%19%33%10%6%9%23%13%16%







53181431020152443671218117135160Economy15%13%19%19%24%13%21%12%13%14%10%13%13%18%17%16%

23141227145112715516597587Currency7%10%15%9%18%9%7%6%8%2%7%6%11%9%9%9%

311312531951934171015627796Pensions9%9%11%11%8%12%7%9%10%3%11%11%11%9%10%10%

3410*25493162933913556884Scotland's relationship9%7%5%11%10%5%4%8%8%8%4%10%9%8%8%8%with rest of the UK

1710121172515-1410445459Scotland's relationship5%7%13%9%3%5%3%3%4%-2%4%7%7%7%6%with EU

4418123420323465512236891114Welfare12%13%16%10%10%13%5%11%14%13%8%13%17%10%11%11%

2331931112917-278445262Defence6%2%13%4%8%7%16%5%5%-3%8%6%7%6%6%

274*14-15814202847475467Immigration8%3%7%6%-9%11%7%6%4%11%5%5%7%7%7%

316-184145182721069516078Energy8%4%-8%10%9%7%9%8%5%15%6%6%8%7%8%

2--3121------888Broadcasting1%--1%3%1%1%------1%1%1%

67-5141912-453111423None2%5%-2%2%2%1%5%4%-6%6%2%2%2%2%

51-3-2135-21271012Don't know1%1%-1%-1%1%1%1%-3%1%2%1%1%1%

6534-211241250662113161691107157Not stated18%24%-9%3%15%17%25%19%51%19%17%12%14%13%16%





575032242624433727202222169186443107Economy11%10%11%12%9%11%12%11%9%10%14%12%10%6%13%12%9%11%

395625153324303629161417191614504696Currency8%11%8%7%11%11%8%11%10%8%9%9%12%10%9%10%9%9%

46512421292229382914161819246504696Pensions9%10%8%11%10%10%8%11%10%7%10%10%12%15%4%10%10%10%



425324183023273732161120181219563996Welfare8%11%8%9%10%11%7%11%10%8%7%11%11%8%13%11%8%9%

35332213191418242614313121214373269Defence7%7%7%7%7%7%5%7%9%7%2%7%7%8%10%7%7%7%

46372224271027332413142491310354983Immigration9%7%7%12%9%5%8%10%8%6%9%13%5%9%7%7%10%8%

604038212515333036181514172016405999Energy12%8%13%10%9%7%9%9%12%9%10%8%10%12%11%8%12%10%

151-14411321-1-347Broadcasting*1%*-*2%1%**1%1%1%-1%-1%1%1%

14129584911563754181926None3%2%3%2%3%2%3%3%2%3%2%4%3%3%1%1%4%3%

1441044-106381142211818Don't know3%1%3%2%2%-3%2%1%4%1%1%2%1%1%2%2%2%

104896340503993534858352627212710786193Not stated21%18%21%20%17%18%26%15%16%28%23%15%16%13%18%20%18%19%


Table 4Q2c. And which would you say is third most important to you in deciding how you might vote in the referendum?BASE: All adults aged 16+ in Scotland




3143332012111115121312224243107Economy10%10%12%16%9%9%7%12%9%10%15%11%12%10%11%

22522215151411101091219304696Currency7%12%8%11%11%11%7%8%8%7%14%10%8%10%9%

3131351610519139151023353996Pensions10%7%12%12%7%4%14%10%7%11%12%12%10%9%10%



2642271114101815612920284796Welfare9%10%10%9%11%8%13%11%5%9%11%10%8%10%9%

2029201179101195712272969Defence6%7%7%8%6%7%7%8%7%4%9%6%8%6%7%

232931138171114812213313983Immigration8%7%11%10%6%13%8%11%6%9%2%7%9%9%8%

38253616161713312121019305199Energy13%6%13%12%12%13%9%2%9%9%12%9%8%11%10%

-34----124-43-7Broadcasting-1%1%----1%1%3%-2%1%-1%

4121021122216-641626None1%3%4%2%1%9%1%2%1%5%-3%1%4%3%

9822321524-49618Don't know3%2%1%1%2%1%1%4%2%3%-2%2%1%2%

699331162825312449165219082193Not stated23%22%11%12%21%19%22%19%37%12%6%10%25%18%19%







41912622171430437167793107Economy11%7%14%11%5%13%9%7%9%10%4%8%11%12%12%11%

35912371191829341111677896Currency10%7%19%10%17%7%13%9%9%6%6%12%8%10%10%9%

301023451231930461011667796Pensions8%7%30%15%13%8%4%10%9%9%9%11%8%10%10%10%

1914-13410781911512485967Scotland's relationship5%10%-6%10%6%10%4%6%2%2%6%8%7%7%7%with rest of the UK

261-1126513191936323851Scotland's relationship7%1%-5%4%4%6%6%6%4%13%3%4%5%5%5%with EU

2314-234229112115510758496Welfare6%10%-10%9%14%13%6%6%2%8%5%7%11%10%9%

2115-152887201-613486169Defence6%11%-7%5%5%11%4%6%2%-7%9%7%8%7%

39711751232133-71412506283Immigration11%5%11%7%12%7%5%10%10%-11%15%9%8%8%8%

3481275195173637619648399Energy10%6%13%12%11%12%8%8%10%7%11%7%13%10%10%10%

1--2211-2---2477Broadcasting*--1%4%1%1%-1%---2%1%1%1%

57*7141411-137152326None1%5%7%3%3%3%2%2%3%-1%3%5%2%3%3%

91*314-7735--111118Don't know3%1%5%1%1%3%-4%2%7%7%--2%1%2%

7643-2923014628321192221110131193Not stated21%31%-13%6%19%19%31%24%51%28%24%15%16%16%19%




Third mostSecond mostimportantimportantMost important

100810081008Unweighted base100810081008Weighted base

107160320Economy11%16%32%

968745Currency9%9%4%

9696116Pensions10%10%11%

678494Scotland's relationship7%8%9%with rest of the UK

515947Scotland's relationship5%6%5%with EU

9611482Welfare9%11%8%

696246Defence7%6%5%

836758Immigration8%7%6%

997834Energy10%8%3%

788Broadcasting1%1%1%

262394None3%2%9%

181263Don't know2%1%6%

193157-Not stated19%16%-


Table 5Q2a-Q2c. Summary table: Importance of topics in deciding how you might vote in the referendumBASE: All adults aged 16+ in Scotland



195285105901611241211941646556931018480243236480Economy39%57%35%44%56%57%34%56%54%32%37%52%61%53%55%46%49%48%

6764353237274146442020242331136071131Currency13%13%12%16%13%12%11%13%15%10%13%13%14%20%9%11%15%13%

1199370496627114593972423920182111796212Pensions23%19%23%24%23%12%32%17%13%35%28%22%12%11%15%22%20%21%

7999413847515465593222343133259880178Scotland's relationship16%20%14%19%17%24%15%19%19%15%14%19%19%21%17%19%16%18%with rest of the UK4760291820403436371618221410274562106Scotland's relationship9%12%10%9%7%18%9%10%12%8%12%12%8%6%18%9%13%11%with EU

11087812948395486563124464033239997196Welfare22%17%27%14%17%18%15%25%18%15%15%25%24%21%16%19%20%19%

5058311941174532312719201215155949108Defence10%11%10%9%14%8%13%9%10%13%12%11%8%10%11%11%10%11%

8540553022183831561820141729286857125Immigration17%8%18%15%8%8%11%9%19%9%13%8%10%18%19%13%12%12%

6546402531154235352516142022136151112Energy13%9%13%12%11%7%12%10%12%12%11%8%12%14%9%12%10%11%

710359149521623110717Broadcasting1%2%1%2%3%*1%2%1%1%1%3%1%2%1%2%1%2%

8276493340368044344733222218168177157Not stated16%15%16%16%14%16%22%13%11%23%21%12%14%11%11%15%16%16%


Table 6Q2a-Q2c. Summary table: Importance of topics in deciding how you might vote in the referendum: Total Most or Second Most ImportantBASE: All adults aged 16+ in Scotland




1331981495457567959527647114153212480Economy44%47%53%41%44%43%56%45%40%58%58%58%42%47%48%

415337201721201014236294062131Currency14%13%13%16%13%16%14%8%10%18%7%15%11%14%13%

66915545263424271925133670105212Pensions22%22%19%34%20%26%17%21%14%19%16%18%19%23%21%

4683482016162333173021457162178Scotland's relationship15%20%17%16%12%12%16%25%13%23%27%23%20%14%18%with rest of the UK29374191012923141811274237106Scotland's relationship9%9%14%7%8%9%7%17%11%14%13%14%12%8%11%with EU

61597624413320251716193261103196Welfare20%14%27%19%32%25%14%19%13%12%24%16%17%23%19%

2557261212112114131213203454108Defence8%14%9%9%9%9%15%11%10%9%16%10%9%12%11%

414639251820181113147213965125Immigration13%11%14%19%14%15%13%8%10%10%9%10%11%15%12%

354234211416107111715303348112Energy12%10%12%16%11%12%7%6%9%13%18%15%9%11%11%

65622335-2-27917Broadcasting2%1%2%1%1%2%2%4%-1%-1%2%2%2%

567824132016232444135188258157Not stated18%18%8%10%15%12%16%19%33%10%6%9%23%13%16%







1755931192462377714810264171332403480Economy49%42%53%52%59%39%53%38%43%25%38%45%51%50%50%48%

312023582412174015112391115131Currency9%14%26%15%19%15%16%8%12%2%7%12%17%14%14%13%

60312508491340671152327146173212Pensions17%22%25%22%19%30%18%20%19%3%22%26%19%22%21%21%

64171441221192552391327126152178Scotland's relationship18%12%18%19%29%13%26%13%15%8%13%14%19%19%19%18%with rest of the UK331513651431233444217495106Scotland's relationship9%11%13%16%12%9%4%6%10%10%6%4%15%11%12%11%with EU

7625248833542748122233122155196Welfare21%18%25%21%21%21%7%21%22%20%17%24%23%18%19%19%

428120519121628-412128192108Defence12%6%18%9%13%12%17%8%8%-6%13%8%12%11%11%

5312127122931487159177895125Immigration15%8%22%12%3%14%12%15%14%17%22%9%12%12%12%12%

3915-25621628415149137184112Energy11%10%-11%16%13%9%14%12%12%20%10%9%11%10%11%

52-613144-12-131317Broadcasting1%1%-3%3%2%1%2%1%-2%3%-2%2%2%

6534-211241250662113161691107157Not stated18%24%-9%3%15%17%25%19%51%19%17%12%14%13%16%





25133513711418714916423219186781151179298307279587Economy50%67%46%56%65%69%46%67%63%42%51%64%71%58%68%59%58%58%

10612160477051718274373440424727110117227Currency21%24%20%23%24%23%20%24%24%18%22%22%25%30%18%21%24%23%

164144947095491449768855857404127167142309Pensions33%29%31%34%33%23%40%28%23%41%38%32%24%26%19%32%29%31%

10713861476474738685423244424639135110245Scotland's relationship21%27%20%23%22%34%20%25%28%20%21%24%26%29%27%26%23%24%with rest of the UK6691402738535153532724302222317186157Scotland's relationship13%18%13%13%13%24%14%15%18%13%16%17%14%14%22%14%18%16%with EU

1521401044778628112387463566584542155137292Welfare30%28%35%23%27%29%23%36%29%22%23%36%35%28%29%30%28%29%

8691533260316357574122332427309681177Defence17%18%18%16%21%14%18%16%19%20%14%18%15%17%21%18%17%18%

1317877544929656480313538254238103106209Immigration26%15%26%27%17%13%18%18%26%15%23%21%15%27%26%20%22%21%

1258679465730756571433228374229101110211Energy25%17%26%23%20%14%21%19%23%21%21%16%23%26%20%19%23%21%

915451058106537251131023Broadcasting2%3%1%2%3%2%2%3%2%2%2%4%1%3%1%2%2%2%

8276493340368044344733222218168177157Not stated16%15%16%16%14%16%22%13%11%23%21%12%14%11%11%15%16%16%


Table 7Q2a-Q2c. Summary table: Importance of topics in deciding how you might vote in the referendum: Total Most, Second or Third Most ImportantBASE: All adults aged 16+ in Scotland




1642411817570678974648959136195255587Economy54%57%64%57%53%51%63%56%49%68%73%69%54%57%58%

641055935313531202433184969109227Currency21%25%21%27%24%27%22%15%18%25%22%25%19%24%23%

9612290613639444027402259105144309Pensions32%29%32%46%27%30%31%31%21%30%28%30%29%32%31%

65111682527223148263729579691245Scotland's relationship21%26%24%19%21%17%22%36%20%28%36%29%27%20%24%with rest of the UK4163531417151726153518495059157Scotland's relationship14%15%19%11%13%11%12%20%12%27%22%25%14%13%16%with EU8710110336554339402328285289150292Welfare29%24%36%27%42%33%27%30%17%22%35%26%25%33%29%

4586462320203125211720336183177Defence15%20%16%18%15%15%22%19%16%13%25%17%17%19%18%

6475703826372925202693470104209Immigration21%18%25%29%20%28%21%19%16%20%11%17%19%23%21%

7367713730332210242925496399211Energy24%16%25%28%23%25%16%8%18%22%31%25%17%22%21%

67102233625-59923Broadcasting2%2%3%1%1%2%2%5%1%4%-3%3%2%2%

567824132016232444135188258157Not stated18%18%8%10%15%12%16%19%33%10%6%9%23%13%16%







2176841452683449117814294887409496587Economy60%49%67%63%64%51%62%45%52%34%42%53%62%61%61%58%

66293581535203469392235158193227Currency18%21%45%25%36%22%29%17%20%8%14%24%25%24%24%23%

904238413621659975213338212249309Pensions25%30%55%36%32%38%22%29%28%12%31%36%27%32%31%31%

843115716312633714101838174212245Scotland's relationship23%22%18%25%39%19%37%16%21%10%15%20%27%26%26%24%with rest of the UK591614762072551613727106132157Scotland's relationship16%12%13%21%16%12%10%12%15%14%18%7%19%16%16%16%with EU993927212561453959172742196239292Welfare27%28%25%31%29%34%19%26%28%23%25%29%30%29%30%29%

6323136727202348141824129153177Defence17%16%18%15%18%17%28%12%14%2%6%20%17%19%19%18%

92192436341251817222230128157209Immigration26%14%34%19%15%21%17%26%24%17%33%24%21%19%20%21%

732315211401244768211532135167211Energy20%16%13%23%27%25%16%22%22%19%31%17%23%20%21%21%

62-834146-122171923Broadcasting2%1%-3%6%2%2%2%2%-2%3%2%3%2%2%

6534-211241250662113161691107157Not stated18%24%-9%3%15%17%25%19%51%19%17%12%14%13%16%





12619469571088675133112393661726151162158320Most important (+3)25%38%23%28%38%40%21%39%37%19%23%34%44%38%35%31%33%32%

6991363253384761522720322923298278160Second most important14%18%12%16%18%18%13%18%17%13%13%18%17%15%20%16%16%16%(+2)575032242624433727202222169186443107Third most important (+1)11%10%11%12%9%11%12%11%9%10%14%12%10%6%13%12%9%11%

1.131.621.031.281.591.651.001.621.540.921.111.491.761.501.581.361.391.38Average


Table 8Q2a-Q2c. Summary Table: Importance of Economy in deciding how you might vote in the referendum.BASE: All adults aged 16+ in Scotland




841399733393955313755328292146320Most important (+3)27%33%34%25%29%29%39%23%28%42%40%41%25%32%32%

5059512119172428152115326166160Second most important16%14%18%16%14%13%17%21%12%16%18%16%17%15%16%(+2)3143332012111115121312224243107Third most important (+1)10%10%12%16%9%9%7%12%9%10%15%11%12%10%11%

1.251.371.511.231.261.231.581.241.161.691.711.681.221.371.38Average







12241276144223531054192953215267320Most important (+3)34%29%34%33%34%26%32%26%31%11%28%31%37%32%33%32%

53181431020152443671218117135160Second most important15%13%19%19%24%13%21%12%13%14%10%13%13%18%17%16%(+2)41912622171430437167793107Third most important (+1)11%7%14%11%5%13%9%7%9%10%4%8%11%12%12%11%

1.431.201.541.481.571.161.481.101.260.701.081.291.501.431.441.38Average





2718141212712161784124125182645Most important (+3)5%4%5%6%4%3%3%5%5%4%3%7%2%7%3%4%5%4%

41462120262028302812161219208424587Second most important8%9%7%10%9%9%8%9%9%6%10%7%11%12%5%8%9%9%(+2)

395625153324303629161417191614504696Third most important (+1)8%11%8%7%11%11%8%11%10%8%9%9%12%10%9%10%9%9%

0.400.400.360.450.410.390.350.420.440.320.380.420.420.570.310.360.440.40Average


Table 9Q2a-Q2c. Summary Table: Importance of Currency in deciding how you might vote in the referendum.BASE: All adults aged 16+ in Scotland




15161411751132326142545Most important (+3)5%4%5%8%5%4%8%3%2%3%3%3%4%6%4%

2736231010161061120424253887Second most important9%9%8%7%8%12%7%5%9%15%5%12%7%8%9%(+2)

22522215151411101091219304696Third most important (+1)7%12%8%11%11%11%7%8%8%7%14%10%8%10%9%

0.390.410.390.510.420.470.440.250.310.450.320.420.340.440.40Average







86114*107613--67323945Most important (+3)2%4%11%6%1%6%10%3%4%--6%5%5%5%4%

23141227145112715516597587Second most important7%10%15%9%18%9%7%6%8%2%7%6%11%9%9%9%(+2)

35912371191829341111677896Third most important (+1)10%7%19%10%17%7%13%9%9%6%6%12%8%10%10%9%

0.290.400.820.470.570.420.550.280.360.100.210.420.460.420.430.40Average





68484127351371301546252010786749116Most important (+3)13%10%13%13%12%6%20%9%5%22%16%11%6%4%5%13%10%11%


0.690.570.680.720.690.410.910.540.400.990.820.640.420.420.390.670.590.63Average


Table 10Q2a-Q2c. Summary Table: Importance of Pensions in deciding how you might vote in the referendum.BASE: All adults aged 16+ in Scotland




4244302282591613156204451116Most important (+3)14%10%11%17%6%19%7%13%10%12%8%10%12%11%11%



0.670.610.620.980.530.750.550.640.450.610.510.590.610.670.63Average







291812543082033-713128395116Most important (+3)8%13%14%11%10%19%11%10%10%-11%14%9%12%12%11%

311312531951934171015627796Second most important9%9%11%11%8%12%7%9%10%3%11%11%11%9%10%10%(+2)


0.500.650.940.690.610.870.510.590.570.150.630.760.550.660.640.63Average





405421202628333129211220111614484694Most important (+3)8%11%7%10%9%13%9%9%10%10%8%11%7%10%10%9%9%9%



0.450.580.400.510.480.700.450.530.570.460.430.540.510.600.540.540.490.51Average


Table 11Q2a-Q2c. Summary Table: Importance of Scotland's relationship with rest of the UK in deciding how you might vote in the referendum.BASE: All adults aged 16+ in Scotland




225121147511238161025462494Most important (+3)7%12%7%10%6%4%8%18%6%12%13%12%13%5%9%



0.440.580.490.450.390.330.460.800.390.630.750.640.590.390.51Average







317119812161023-6413718494Most important (+3)9%5%13%8%19%7%23%5%7%-9%4%10%11%10%9%

3410*25493162933913556884Second most important9%7%5%11%10%5%4%8%8%8%4%10%9%8%8%8%(+2)

1914-13410781911512485967Third most important (+1)5%10%-6%10%6%10%4%6%2%2%6%8%7%7%7%

0.500.400.490.520.860.390.860.340.430.180.370.380.560.560.560.51Average





252315109131513207894316202747Most important (+3)5%4%5%5%3%6%4%4%7%3%5%5%2%2%11%4%6%5%



0.270.340.280.270.230.490.280.290.360.240.330.340.240.220.510.260.360.31Average


Table 12Q2a-Q2c. Summary Table: Importance of Scotland's relationship with EU in deciding how you might vote in the referendum.BASE: All adults aged 16+ in Scotland




121917565399559211747Most important (+3)4%4%6%4%5%4%2%7%7%4%7%5%6%4%5%



0.270.280.390.220.250.240.210.440.290.440.420.430.310.250.31Average







175-1537171842-11304147Most important (+3)5%3%-7%8%4%1%3%5%10%3%-8%4%5%5%

1710121172515-1410445459Second most important5%7%13%9%3%5%3%3%4%-2%4%7%7%7%6%(+2)

261-1126513191936323851Third most important (+1)7%1%-5%4%4%6%6%6%4%13%3%4%5%5%5%

0.300.260.260.430.350.250.150.210.300.350.270.110.420.310.330.31Average





5131381317141939258112217178493382Most important (+3)10%6%13%6%6%6%5%11%8%4%7%12%10%11%5%9%7%8%


0.620.510.740.440.500.530.430.720.550.410.450.740.700.590.510.580.550.57Average


Table 13Q2a-Q2c. Summary Table: Importance of Welfare in deciding how you might vote in the referendum.BASE: All adults aged 16+ in Scotland




26203612261110836611195282Most important (+3)9%5%13%9%20%9%7%6%2%5%7%6%5%12%8%

3538411215221017141014214251114Second most important11%9%14%9%12%17%7%13%11%8%17%11%12%11%11%(+2)2642271114101815612920284796Third most important (+1)9%10%10%9%11%8%13%11%5%9%11%10%8%10%9%

0.580.430.760.550.940.660.490.560.320.390.660.480.470.680.57Average







3261254131192836109546382Most important (+3)9%5%9%11%11%8%2%9%8%7%9%11%7%8%8%8%

4418123420323465512236891114Second most important12%13%16%10%10%13%5%11%14%13%8%13%17%10%11%11%(+2)2314-234229112115510758496Third most important (+1)6%10%-10%9%14%13%6%6%2%8%5%7%11%10%9%

0.570.500.590.630.610.630.270.560.580.510.510.630.600.560.570.57Average





232413918624101211135539242246Most important (+3)4%5%4%4%6%3%7%3%4%6%9%3%3%2%6%5%5%5%



0.310.340.330.300.420.250.370.290.330.380.350.320.250.290.370.340.310.33Average


Table 14Q2a-Q2c. Summary Table: Importance of Defence in deciding how you might vote in the referendum.BASE: All adults aged 16+ in Scotland




102115648847547142646Most important (+3)3%5%5%4%3%6%6%3%5%4%5%4%4%6%5%



0.260.390.310.310.280.300.430.330.310.250.450.300.300.360.33Average







195*12281610-254364046Most important (+3)5%3%4%5%4%5%1%3%3%-2%5%3%5%5%5%

2331931112917-278445262Second most important6%2%13%4%8%7%16%5%5%-3%8%6%7%6%6%(+2)

2115-152887201-613486169Third most important (+1)6%11%-7%5%5%11%4%6%2%-7%9%7%8%7%

0.350.250.400.290.340.340.470.230.250.020.140.390.280.370.350.33Average





40182713711151528785101513312758Most important (+3)8%4%9%6%2%5%4%4%9%3%5%3%6%9%9%6%5%6%



0.510.270.530.480.270.270.330.320.540.270.410.320.320.540.540.390.390.39Average


Table 15Q2a-Q2c. Summary Table: Importance of Immigration in deciding how you might vote in the referendum.BASE: All adults aged 16+ in Scotland




26151787109679312163058Most important (+3)8%4%6%6%5%8%6%4%5%7%4%6%5%7%6%



0.430.320.450.540.390.510.400.310.300.370.240.340.350.440.39Average







268113181172867411314158Most important (+3)7%6%15%6%3%5%1%8%8%13%10%5%8%5%5%6%

274*14-15814202847475467Second most important8%3%7%6%-9%11%7%6%4%11%5%5%7%7%7%(+2)

39711751232133-71412506283Third most important (+1)11%5%11%7%12%7%5%10%10%-11%15%9%8%8%8%

0.480.280.710.360.200.400.310.490.460.480.650.380.410.350.360.39Average





221215784141281133853181634Most important (+3)4%2%5%3%3%2%4%3%3%5%2%2%5%3%2%3%3%3%



0.420.290.440.380.340.220.360.320.380.390.330.250.400.430.320.340.370.35Average


Table 16Q2a-Q2c. Summary Table: Importance of Energy in deciding how you might vote in the referendum.BASE: All adults aged 16+ in Scotland




915966622337891734Most important (+3)3%4%3%5%4%4%2%1%2%2%8%4%2%4%3%



0.390.300.400.490.390.410.240.150.290.380.570.440.290.370.35Average







98-727110143434202434Most important (+3)2%6%-3%6%4%1%5%4%7%6%3%3%3%3%3%

316-184145182721069516078Second most important8%4%-8%10%9%7%9%8%5%15%6%6%8%7%8%(+2)


0.340.330.130.360.480.420.270.410.380.380.570.300.350.340.340.35Average





36-36-1351-2131538Most important (+3)1%1%-1%2%-*1%1%*-1%1%2%1%1%1%1%

44323136-2151--548Second most important1%1%1%1%1%*1%2%-1%1%3%1%--1%1%1%(+2)151-14411321-1-347Third most important (+1)*1%*-*2%1%**1%1%1%-1%-1%1%1%

0.040.060.020.060.080.030.030.060.050.040.030.080.040.070.030.050.040.05Average


Table 17Q2a-Q2c. Summary Table: Importance of Broadcasting in deciding how you might vote in the referendum.BASE: All adults aged 16+ in Scotland




423112-4-1-1448Most important (+3)1%*1%1%1%1%-3%-1%-*1%1%1%

33311131-1-1358Second most important1%1%1%*1%1%2%1%-1%-*1%1%1%(+2)-34----124-43-7Third most important (+1)-1%1%----1%1%3%-2%1%-1%

0.050.030.070.040.040.060.050.110.010.060.000.040.050.050.05Average







32-3-1-44-12-558Most important (+3)1%1%-1%-1%-2%1%-2%3%-1%1%1%

2--3121------888Second most important1%--1%3%1%1%------1%1%1%(+2)1--2211-2---2477Third most important (+1)*--1%4%1%1%-1%---2%1%1%1%

0.040.030.000.070.090.040.030.060.040.000.060.080.020.050.050.05Average




Scotland'sScotland'srelationshiprelationshipwith rest of

BroadcastingEnergyImmigrationDefenceWelfarewith EUthe UKPensionsCurrencyEconomy1008100810081008100810081008100810081008Unweighted base1008100810081008100810081008100810081008Weighted base

834584682479411645320Most important (+3)1%3%6%5%8%5%9%11%4%32%

878676211459849687160Second most important1%8%7%6%11%6%8%10%9%16%(+2)79983699651679696107Third most important (+1)1%10%8%7%9%5%7%10%9%11%

0.050.350.390.330.570.310.510.630.401.38Average


Table 18Q2a-Q2c. Summary table: Importance of topics in deciding how you might vote in the referendumBASE: All adults aged 16+ in Scotland



37543221416124518731628420817913715313111097415392807Any certain / very likely74%86%71%79%86%86%88%82%68%87%89%85%80%70%67%79%81%80%(Net)

3043631671362021612842331501591251281058169347320667Certain to vote60%72%56%67%71%74%79%68%49%77%82%71%64%51%47%66%66%66%

7169462443273251582012252629296972140Very likely to vote14%14%15%12%15%12%9%15%19%10%8%14%16%19%20%13%15%14%

5933372225819254710915102720573592Quite likely to vote12%7%12%11%9%4%5%7%16%5%6%8%6%17%14%11%7%9%

492035141271920291176141316383168Not very likely to vote10%4%11%7%4%3%5%6%10%5%5%3%9%8%11%7%6%7%

2318167414615196-79811142741Certain not to vote4%4%5%3%1%7%2%4%6%3%-4%5%5%8%3%6%4%


Table 19Q3. How likely do you think you are to vote in the referendum on Scottish Independence on the 18th of September 2014?BASE: All adults aged 16+ in Scotland




1983492601011091071211011079863149283375807Any certain / very likely65%83%92%77%83%82%86%77%82%74%78%76%78%84%80%(Net)

148293225781009110384797954123221323667Certain to vote49%70%80%59%76%69%73%64%60%60%67%62%61%72%66%

505635231017181728199276252140Very likely to vote16%13%12%17%7%13%13%13%22%14%11%14%17%12%14%

50291211151410131012918314392Quite likely to vote16%7%4%8%11%10%7%10%7%9%11%9%9%9%9%

362671367107613719232668Not very likely to vote12%6%2%10%4%6%7%5%4%10%8%10%6%6%7%

211647121109921124641Certain not to vote7%4%1%5%1%2%1%8%7%7%3%6%7%1%4%







22410762183814469-140---140667807807Any certain / very likely62%77%100%95%95%89%97%-41%---100%100%100%80%(Net)

1588252003312763------667667667Certain to vote44%59%79%87%82%79%90%------100%83%66%

67261185175-140---140-140140Very likely to vote19%19%21%8%13%11%8%-41%---100%-17%14%

5421-511019292--92---92Quite likely to vote15%15%-2%2%6%1%46%27%--100%---9%

479-61416868-68----68Not very likely to vote13%7%-3%2%2%1%34%20%-100%----7%

352-1-4-414141-----41Certain not to vote10%1%-*-2%-20%12%100%-----4%





208153135738963631131852934526083101179181360Did not vote41%30%45%36%31%29%18%33%61%14%22%29%37%53%70%34%37%36%

215061526243625102610151064343670Conservative4%10%2%7%9%11%10%7%3%13%7%8%6%3%3%7%7%7%

9566504641248452255232272514119170161Labour19%13%16%22%14%11%23%15%8%25%21%15%15%9%7%17%14%16%

931271517191651188841192140Liberal Democrat2%6%1%3%5%8%5%5%2%5%5%4%5%2%1%4%4%4%

96135603676591039334535054402311107124231S.N.P.19%27%20%18%27%27%29%27%11%26%33%30%24%15%8%20%26%23%

33212132113111-336Other candidate or party1%1%1%*1%1%1%1%**2%1%*1%-1%1%1%

7366462737285144443417242027179148139Can't remember15%13%15%13%13%13%14%13%15%16%11%13%12%17%12%17%10%14%


Table 20Q4. The last Scottish Parliament election was held in May 2011. For which party did you vote for your constituency MSP in that election?BASE: All adults aged 16+ in Scotland




13214286545148493845443069126166360Did not vote44%34%30%41%39%37%35%29%35%34%37%35%35%37%36%

76031153618518524311670Conservative2%14%1%9%4%2%4%13%3%14%7%12%9%4%7%

379826191939281723133165294161Labour12%23%9%15%15%29%20%13%18%10%4%8%14%21%16%

62953543947512151340Liberal Democrat2%7%2%2%4%3%2%7%3%5%6%6%4%3%4%

623113825282338313033235279100231S.N.P.20%7%49%19%21%18%27%24%23%25%29%26%22%22%23%

2211*111-112236Other candidate or party1%1%1%1%***1%-1%1%1%*1%1%

5759231722141718241413245758139Can't remember19%14%8%13%17%11%12%13%18%11%16%12%16%13%14%







360------13620335475467158224360Did not vote100%------68%59%85%70%58%48%24%28%36%

------7027-115636970Conservative------100%1%2%-1%1%4%9%9%7%

-----161-1735441017127144161Labour-----100%-9%10%9%5%11%12%19%18%16%

----40--27-115333840Liberal Democrat----100%--1%2%-1%1%4%5%5%4%

---231---123116518200218231S.N.P.---100%---6%9%3%9%6%13%30%27%23%

--6-----1---1566Other candidate or party--100%-----*---1%1%1%1%

-139-----325829212682107139Can't remember-100%-----16%17%4%14%23%18%12%13%14%




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