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María Paz CigaránNational Environmental CouncilPresidency of the Ministerial Cabinet - PERU
Towards a National Adaptation Strategy in Peru:
Climate Change into Development Paris, March 21 2005
Nùmero de Emergencias entre 1995-2001
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
A 1995 A 1996 A 1997 A 1998 A 1999 A 2000 A 2001
INCREASING TREND OF ANNUAL EMERGENCIES1995-2001
Growing trendGrowing trend
FEN 98FEN 98 South South EarthquakeEarthquake
Number of emergencies
Source: Historical Data BankNational System of Civil Defense
EMERGENCIES RELATED TO NATURAL HAZARDS 1995-2001
ALUDALUVION
DERRUMBE DE CERRODESLIZAMIENTOGRANIZADAHELADAHUAYCO (LLOCLLA)INUNDACIONLLUVIA INTENSAMARETAZO (MAREJADA)NEVADASISMOSISMO (EPICENTRO)(vacías)
Floods 47% intense rains 15%, Huaycos (landslides) 13%, landslides 9% SourceMultisectoral Commission of Risk Reduction for Development
At least 84 % of declared emergencies due to climate risks
Glacier shrinkage in the White Cordillera: Example of Artesonraju Glacier
1932 1947 1952
1984 1999 2002
COUNTRY POLICY Nº 10Poverty Reduction
COUNTRY POLICY Nº 19Sustainable Development and
Environmental Management
NATIONAL AGREEMENT FOR GOVERNABILITY AND DEVELOPMENT
PROCLIM
NATIONAL STRATEGY
ON CLIMATE CHANGE
LET’S CLEAN THE AIR
By supreme decree
By supreme decree
EmissionInfo and control
The process towards an Adaptation Strategy
1 NC Is Peru Vulnerable: Preliminary results
BC (2003 – 2005): Bottom up/3 areas/different approaches
Vulnerability mapSample: 3 other areas
US$ Disastres costed/can cost
HDI / GDPSectoral V&A
(infraestructure)
MEF involved: Regional Budget allocation/Ministries Budget/ PINS
National Adaptation Strategy•Policy: Regional/Sectoral•Research and climate info•Instrument: Budget allocation/PINS/EIA/LUP•GDP / HDI monitoring
Integrated Vulnerability Integrated Vulnerability Assessment in PiuraAssessment in Piura
Regional climate scenarios: • El Niño Event• Change in average intensity of rains
Analysis on 5 crops:Lemon, rice, cotton, corn, vulnerable to intense rains and incrase in temperature
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PAITA
AYABACA
PACAIPAMPA
LA BREA
LA HUACA
SULLANA
SONDOR
MARCAVELICA
LAS LOMAS
MIGUEL CHECA
HUANCABAMBA
SAPILLICA LAGUNAS
SONDORILLO
COLAN
VICHAYAL
QUERECOTILLO
PAIMAS
IGNACIO ESCUDEROAMOTAPE
TAMARINDO
ARENAL BELLAVISTA
VICE
FRIAS
PIURA
BERNAL
SECHURA
CHALACO
YAMANGO
CASTILLA
CATACAOS
LA ARENA
LA UNION
MORROPON
LALAQUIZ
SALI TRAL
HUARMACA
CURA MORI
EL TALLAN
CANCHAQUE
CHULUCANAS
LA MATANZA
TAMBO GRANDE
BUENOS AIRES
SANTO DOMINGO
CRISTO NOS VALGA
SAN JUAN DE BIGOTE
BELLAVISTA DE LA UNION
SANTA CATALINA DE MOSSA
SAN MIGUEL DE EL FAIQUE
SALITRAL
ECUADOR
LAMBAYEQUE
OCEANO PACIFICO
RINCONADA DE LLICUAR
N
EW
S
520000
520000
560000
560000
600000
600000
640000
640000
680000
680000
9360
000 9360000
9400
000 9400000
9440
000
9440000
9480
000 9480000
Incidencia de Deslizamientos y Huaycos en la decada 1990-1999
1 evento
LEYENDA
Capital de distrito#Y
Centros poblados#
Límite Departamental
Límite Distrital
Límite de Cuenca
Límite de Zonas de Interés
Hidrografía
Lagunas
SIGNOS CONVENCIONALES
PATRONES DE RIESGOS DE DESASTRE ASOCIADOS CON LOS EFECTOS LOCALESDEL CAMBIO CLIMATICO GLOBAL EN LA REGION DE PIURA:PROCESOS SOCIALES, VULNERABILIDAD Y ADAPTACION
INCIDENCIA ESPACIAL DE DESLIZAMIENTOS Y HUAYCOS EN LA DECADA 1990-1999 EN LA CUENCA DEL RIO PIURA
SEGUN REGISTROS DEL DESINVENTAR
Elaboración:
ITDG LAOficina Regional para América L atinaPrograma de Desastres yGobernabi lidad LocalPDGL-SIG
Fuente:
Mapa Base de la Cuenca del Río PiuraINRENABase de Datos DesInventarITDG
Fecha: 27/08/2004
Escala: 1:550,000
Mapa N°
28(La incidencia de eventos se basa en eventos extremos registrados por el DesInventar)
02/04/1992
04/02/1994
07/02/1994
04/02/1994
Impact on population:• Disaster analysis• Land use• Extreme weather events
• Low part of the river basin: Increment in floods (Piura city, Catacaos)
e avance: Piura (1)
Impact on fisheries/coast:• Impacted species
The process towards an Adaptation Strategy
1 NC Is Peru Vulnerable: Preliminary results
BC (2003 – 2005): Bottom up/3 areas/different approaches
Vulnerability mapSample: 3 other areas
US$ Disastres costed/can cost
HDI / GDPSectoral V&A
(infraestructure)
MEF involved: Regional Budget allocation/Ministries Budget/ PINS
National Adaptation Strategy•Policy: Regional/Sectoral•Research and climate info•Instrument: Budget allocation/PINS/EIA/LUP•GDP / HDI monitoring
Selva Alta, Alto Mayo basin
Sierra Cordillera Blanca, glacier zone, coastal area
Sierra of Cusco, glacier zone
Highlands, Titicaca Lake basin
Approach to Priority Approach to Priority Areas for V&A Areas for V&A
assessment assessment
Integrated map of climate risks (including droughts),
agrobiodiversity and human development
index
Piura: El Niño
Mantaro Basin, Hydro and agriculture
Socioeconomic conditions - poverty Vulnerable to climate variability: no prevention culture Insufficient information and management Climate Change – still in the environmental comunity Law = Budget allocation
V& As: sample of regions and sectors Tools and info to convince/ to decide qnd prioritize Capacity building: equipment/ human resources
Barriers and needs