presentation for potential studies don’t …...potential studies don’t maximize. optimize!...
TRANSCRIPT
www.dunsky.com(514) 504-9030 | [email protected]
POTENTIAL STUDIESDON’T MAXIMIZE. OPTIMIZE!October 31, 2017 | Phoenix, AZ
PRESENTATION FOR
`
2017 National Conference on Energy Efficiency as a Resource
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SERVICESEXPERTISE
DUNSKY OVERVIEW
ASSESS
opportunities
DESIGN
strategies
EVALUATE
performance
EFFICIENCY RENEWABLES MOBILITY
CLIENTELE*Governments ▪ Utilities ▪ ▪ Private firms ▪ Non-profits
* selection of clients
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STORY INTRO
Four legs of an (optimized) potential study stool
METH
OD
OLO
GY
OP
TIM
IZED
SC
OP
E
DELI
VER
ED
PR
OD
UC
T
QU
ALI
TY C
ON
TRO
L
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NEEDSSCOPING: FOUR DEFINING NEEDS
What needs should shapeoptimized study scopes?
DEPTH SENSITIVITY TIMEFRAME DELIVERY
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SCOPES
NEEDSSCOPING: FOUR DEFINING NEEDS
MeasureReach
MarketResearch
EmergingTech
Risk Analysis
Program Matching
DEPTH SENSITIVITY TIMEFRAME DELIVERY
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SCOPES
SCOPING: FOUR DEFINING NEEDS
MeasureReach
MarketResearch
EmergingTech
Risk Analysis
Program Matching
Q Are goals aggressive, moderate or low?
DEPTH SENSITIVITY TIMEFRAME DELIVERY
aggressive
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SCOPES
SCOPING: FOUR DEFINING NEEDS
MeasureReach
MarketResearch
EmergingTech
Risk Analysis
Program Matching
DEPTH SENSITIVITY TIMEFRAME DELIVERY
Q How critical are savings to grid reliability? to shareholder returns?
critical?aggressive?
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SCOPES
SCOPING: FOUR DEFINING NEEDS
MeasureReach
MarketResearch
EmergingTech
Risk Analysis
Program Matching
DEPTH SENSITIVITY TIMEFRAME DELIVERY
Q Is targeted timeframe near or long-term?
long horizon?critical?aggressive?
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SCOPESProgram Matching
SCOPING: FOUR DEFINING NEEDS
MeasureReach
MarketResearch
EmergingTech
Risk Analysis
DEPTH SENSITIVITY TIMEFRAME DELIVERY
Q Does client plan and/or deliver programs?
client delivers?long horizon?critical?aggressive?
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SCOPESProgram Matching
Sample | GOVERNMENT AGENCY
MeasureReach
MarketResearch
EmergingTech
Risk Analysis
DEPTH SENSITIVITY TIMEFRAME DELIVERY
long horizon
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SCOPESProgram Matching
Sample | UTILITY (easy goals)
MeasureReach
MarketResearch
EmergingTech
Risk Analysis
DEPTH SENSITIVITY TIMEFRAME DELIVERY
client delivers
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SCOPESProgram Matching
Sample | UTILITY (tough goals)
MeasureReach
MarketResearch
EmergingTech
Risk Analysis
DEPTH SENSITIVITY TIMEFRAME DELIVERY
client deliversaggressive
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0
10
20
30
40
50
0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800 900
Life
tim
e S
AV
ING
S(M
MD
th)
Annual Program COSTS ($M)
50% BAU
BAU
BAU +
BAU+ w/FIN
BAU+ w/+$$
MAX
SAMPLE: These potential study scenarios reveal savings opportunity
POTENTIAL METHODOLOGY
OPTIMIZATION
$150M savings
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BOTTOM LINE
Potential studies can be powerful tools to guide action on energy efficiency
Achieving that promise requires robust methodology, solid QC, user-friendly deliverables and… methodical scoping to needs
“My study will suck your blood”
“My study will sprinkle fairy dust
on your rainbow dreams”
